Black FridayUp to 80% OFF

Crypto

CHAINLINK - LOADING A SUPER SWEEP UP! - Traders, In my last $CHAINLINK analysis I wrote out two scenario’s. Scenario 1 did not play out. Scenario 2 was simple: a dump into the next 1.618 extension, and from there the hunt for a fresh long setup begins. That 1.618 was at 12.90$ And here we are. Pixel perfect. So are we wrong? This is why having your levels outlined and being patient matters more than anything. When one path closes, structure reveals another. The chart always speaks. But only those who wait can hear it. What we are looking at $CHAINLINK dumped straight into the 12 to 13 dollar zone. This zone is not random. It is technically one of the most important pockets on the chart. Let’s break down why. Mathematical Levels – The Spot Chart To avoid distortion caused by the 10 October liquidation wick, we start with clean mathematical levels on the spot chart. At 12.886 we have the high timeframe 0.886 Fibonacci retracement. This is the deep retrace zone where momentum often shifts. Price tends to exhaust here because 0.886 represents the final Fibonacci rotation before structural invalidation. It is where the last sellers usually throw in everything they have. At the same time, this level lines up with the 1.618 extension of the first structure after the 10 October crash. The initial high to low is marked with a yellow arrow in your chart. This means one thing: The downside auction has mathematically completed. Both the retracement leg and the extension leg have landed in the same pocket. This is real confluence. The HTF AVWAP Confluence Chart: On 06 August 2024, LINK printed a new significant low. This low kicked off a bullish wave with strong volume behind it. That wave marked the beginning of a long uptrend, which means the AVWAP anchored to this low carries real weight. Now here is the fascinating part: The lower band of the anchored AVWAP aligns perfectly with: The HTF 0.886 retracement The 1.618 extension The current price zone The mathematical exhaustion pocket This is not normal. This is precision level confluence. What this means When AVWAP, Fibonacci, and wave extensions align, it signals that institutional cost basis, market memory, and auction math are all pointing to the same zone as fair value. This is where smart money steps in. Falling Wedge – The Technical Cherry The final ingredient: LINK has printed a clean, textbook falling wedge. A falling wedge is a bullish reversal pattern where momentum compresses and the final sellers run out of strength. It represents exhaustion, not continuation. Combine that with AVWAP, Fibonacci, and mathematical symmetry, and you have a powerful structural reversal setup. Order Flow Confirmation The order flow confirm the technical story: Spot CVD has been trending down, but price is no longer following with the same intensity. Stablecoin and coin margined CVDs are still pushing lower, but again, price is resisting the pressure. Open Interest increased into the lows. New shorts opened into exhaustion. Funding remains small and neutral. Price is holding the key zone. This is absorption. When shorts push and price refuses to break, the market is loading a spring. Conclusion The 12 to 13 dollar range is not random noise. It is a high timeframe confluence zone made of: The 0.886 Fibonacci retracement The 1.618 extension completion The lower AVWAP band from the August trend origin A falling wedge structure Order flow absorption New shorts entering into weakness LINK is setting up for a powerful sweep if this zone holds. Targets. $19.30 $20.50 $38.00 if we move higher. Breaking out of the wedge pattern invalidates the idea. -------- The chart is whispering again. Patience turns whispers into signals. -------- If you like this kind of analysis, drop a like and leave a comment. Everything here is shared for free so more people can cut through the noise and finally see what is actually happening under the surface. No hopium. No fear. Just real data, real structure, and real order flow. The goal is simple. To help traders stop guessing and start understanding what the market is actually saying. Stay sharp. Stay objective. And remember… the chart whispers long before it speaks. - ThetaNomad
Long
by ThetaNomad
5
BITCOIN – THE TIDES ARE TURNING Traders, On November 5 I mapped out a scenario where Bitcoin would push into 107k to 108k and then decline to 98k first and 89k second. This entire scenario has now played out perfectly to the pixel. We swept 108k, we dumped to 98k, and then we flushed into 89k. Where I expected price to retrace from exactly this level: $88.912 So the real question now is simple. What now? Do we break lower, or do we go up? Let’s break Bitcoin down cleanly, without bias, and only by reading structure, levels, and order flow. Levels, Structure and Order Flow AVWAP at the core of the structure Bitcoin is currently trading right near the AVWAP from the 06 August 24 anchor. This is the blue line on your chart and the exact level is 90.881. This anchor began with a large volume impulse. When heavy volume kicks off a leg, the AVWAP from that point becomes a core reference level for the entire future auction. We are now sitting right on top of it, which is exactly where you would expect absorption or a strong reaction. The market is basically deciding if this AVWAP will hold or break. AB=CD completion The full AB=CD measured move has completed exactly into the AVWAP zone. This is a clean harmonic completion and adds confluence to why price reacted here. AB=CD means the downside leg is symmetrical and usually marks exhaustion inside a trend. Fixed Range Volume Profile Using a FRVP from the start of the current HTF auction (07 April until now), we see price wicked directly into the LVN that sits inside the weekly FVG. This area had imbalance and low participation. A wick into an LVN inside an FVG often means that the inefficiency is now cleaned and the auction has reached completion for that side of the range. Wedge breakout Bitcoin technically broke out of the falling wedge, but the breakout does not look clean. We are outside the wedge, but momentum on the breakout is weak. True confirmation would come if price re-enters the wedge from the outside and climbs back through the wedge body. Re-entering the wedge tells you that the breakdown was liquidity and not a structural continuation. If we reclaim it, upside targets become more likely. Order Flow – What the data shows Spot and Futures CVD Across the 15m, 30m and 1h charts, Spot CVD is forming a bullish divergence. Price keeps making lower lows, but Spot CVD is holding higher. This shows that spot buyers are stepping in at the lows and absorbing sell pressure. Futures CVD on both stablecoin margined and coin margined contracts continues to push lower. Price is not following these lower lows. This creates hidden bullish divergence and confirms that aggressive sellers are hitting the market while limit buyers are absorbing the pressure. This is a classic sign of absorption. Selling continues, but the market is refusing to break lower with the same intensity. Open Interest – A shift Earlier in the dump, Open Interest was falling. This means positions were being closed. Most of this was shorts taking profit or exiting the move. When OI drops during a downtrend, continuation becomes harder because the move loses fuel. Near the end of the screenshots, there is a shift. Both stablecoin margined and coin margined OI start to rise again. This rise in OI happens while: CVD continues to make lower lows Price stops making new lows Price begins to stabilize This tells us that new positions are being opened at the lows. Given the CVD behavior, most of these are new shorts entering the market. When new shorts enter and price does not break, the probability of those shorts becoming trapped increases. If buyers step in, this setup often leads to a short squeeze. This is how reversals form in a controlled market. Funding rate – Binance Funding is positive but very small. This means there is no extreme long pressure. There is no overcrowding on the long side. The market is not stretched. With fresh shorts entering at the lows and funding staying neutral, the market can turn quickly if support holds. What this means The combination of: Spot CVD divergence Hidden bullish divergence on futures CVD Rising Open Interest at the lows Neutral funding Price refusing to break down - So price needs to hold. shows that the market is absorbing aggressive selling at a key level. If buyers defend the current level, this can force newly opened shorts to cover, which would fuel the next move up. Targets 109k This is the first upside objective. There is a CME ETH gap resting at this level and gaps of this type tend to get filled. 109k also aligns with the 1.113 Fibonacci extension of the latest wave. This makes it the first logical level if price continues to hold the AVWAP and absorb selling pressure. 112k The next major level is 112k. This area contains single prints on CME and matches an AVWAP level on the BTC CME chart. 112k also lines up with the 1.272 extension of the wave. From a Fibonacci rotation perspective, 1.272 is the next stop after 1.113 and often acts as a mid-cycle continuation target. 118.800 The final target sits at 118.800. This is the full 1.618 extension of the wave and mathematically completes the auction. If the market rotates from AVWAP support, this level becomes the natural endpoint of the move. As long as price continues to hold the AVWAP at 90.881 and the market keeps absorbing futures selling, all three upside targets remain in play. Invalidation The structure changes only if price breaks below 88k. A clean drop under 88k opens the door for the next major high timeframe support at 85k. 85k carries strong confluence. It aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement on the HTF move and sits directly on a Point of Control zone within the Fixed Range Volume Profile. Below that level, the auction shifts into a lower structure entirely. TLDR Bitcoin completed the downside scenario perfectly. Price is now sitting directly on the AVWAP at 90.881. AB=CD is complete. LVN inside weekly FVG has been cleaned. Futures CVD is still pressing lower but price is not. That is absorption. But the key update is OI. OI was dropping earlier on the LTF, but now OI is rising again, and this is happening while CVD continues down and price holds steady. That means new shorts are entering the market and getting absorbed. If AVWAP holds, expect a bounce. Targets: 109k 112k 118.8k If 88k breaks, 85k is next. -------- Abbreviation List AVWAP Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price. A dynamic support or resistance level based on volume since a chosen anchor. AB=CD A harmonic measured move where AB equals CD. FRVP Fixed Range Volume Profile. Shows where volume was traded inside a chosen range. LVN Low Volume Node. A low interest level where price often rejects strongly. FVG Fair Value Gap. An imbalance left by aggressive price moves. CVD Cumulative Volume Delta. Tracks buying vs selling pressure. OI Open Interest. The amount of open futures positions. POC Point of Control. Level with the highest traded volume. -------- If you like this kind of analysis, drop a like and leave a comment. Everything here is shared for free so more people can cut through the noise and finally see what is actually happening under the surface. No hopium. No fear. Just real data, real structure, and real order flow. The goal is simple. To help traders stop guessing and start understanding what the market is actually saying. Stay sharp. Stay objective. And remember… the chart whispers long before it speaks. - ThetaNomad
by ThetaNomad
13
Crypto Is a Zero Growth "Industry"Look at that, after 4 years, failure to fully sustain a new higher market valuation. All the while, stablecoin dominance has increased and ETFs have come into play. Instead, retail money is being extracted through fees and the profits garnered through trader liquidation. That's not a sign of growth. This market is a tool. A tool to take advantage of its participants. Why did it play out this way? Perhaps it has something to do with the fact that "crypto" is now fully associated with these two things: 1) The absolute buffoonery of the U.S. "leadership." 2) The absolute evil of the oligarchic plutocracy. And maybe it also has something to do with the lack of substance. What do I mean by this? Well, already over $1 Trillion has been wiped from the cryptocurrency market since its recent peak. In no way has this evaporation in capital affected the economy, or people's lives materially in a meaningful way. Sure, I'm guessing some people lost a lot of money. But these gambling casualties are largely inconsequential to society. By comparison, if Apple lost $1 Trillion from its current $4 Trillion valuation (a 25% drop), a lot more people's lives would be negatively affected. Not just from the loss in stock value, but what would it mean for the company? What would it mean for the U.S. stock market? What material changes would have to come about for Apple to improve their share value? And, if suddenly we lost all the Gold in the world, we'd have some serious problems in terms of materials and wealth evaporation. Hence the quotes around "industry." Crypto is not an industry at all. It is a market, but a largely illusory one at that. If Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market ceased to exist, there would be almost zero long-lasting or significant fallout. It has also failed the store of value narrative. It probably won't be, but I'm hoping this is the beginning of the end for this market, or at least for its relevance. If I had to make a guess as to how this "end" would play out? A long, slow decline, marked by a few sudden drops when major proponents fold. For instance, Michael Saylor being forced to bail out should price drop meaningfully below $20K. Or pressures to bail out sooner, even. Anyway, looking at the technicals, it's not very positive. The only saving grace is the possibility of a bounce here at a long term trendline. Breaking below would be another sign of stagnation. That's it from me, probably for another long while! Thanks for reading as always. -Victor Cobra
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by VictorCobra
BTC At Sub 80k? The Structure Says It’s PossibleBTC has followed one pattern for two years. Every major pullback reset 33–34% before the next leg up. Look at the last cycles: • 2024 dropped 34% from January to December • Oct 2024 → Jan 2025: new highs, then a 33% retrace across four months • Apr 2025 → Oct 2025: price ran from 74k → 125k, then stalled • Every breakout in this range ended with the same size correction The structure didn’t change. The market behaved the same every time. From the 125k top, BTC still has room to drop 10–15%. If the cycle repeats, the retracement lands near 80k before the next push. History doesn’t repeat perfectly, but BTC has been consistent with this pattern. I’m watching the range. My shorts stay open.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Crypto_Meehow
6
LINKUSDT: Long Setup on Major Support Retest - Targeting $21!Chainlink (LINK) is entering a critical support zone between $13.00 and $14.00, a level that has previously acted as a strong base for bullish reversals. Price action is showing signs of slowing down its downtrend, and we're now closely watching for stabilization or reversal signals before entering a spot long position. 📌 Entry Zone: $13.00 – $14.00 🎯 Take Profit Targets: • TP1: $15.50 – $16.50 • TP2: $19.00 – $21.00 🛑 Stop Loss: $12.50
Long
by Richtv_official
BITCOIN (BTC) — THE FALL HAS ONLY JUST BEGUN⚠️ THE GREAT BITCOIN REVERSAL — THE STORM NO ONE IS READY FOR ⚠️ For years, Bitcoin INDEX:BTCUSD climbed with the arrogance of a king convinced its throne was eternal. But every empire falls. And the chart… The chart has been whispering the truth long before anyone wanted to hear it. Today, that whisper has become a SCREAM. 📉⚡ 🔥 1. The Final Wave Has Broken — and So Has the Illusion The macro Wave 5 top is in. Perfect confluence. Perfect exhaustion. Perfect euphoria. The same pattern that ended EVERY Bitcoin mega-cycle… just printed again. This wasn’t a top. It was THE top. The moment the bull cycle let out its final breath. 💀📈 🩸 2. Smart Money Has Already Left the Building While retail celebrated “new highs,” Smart Money carved out: • Stop hunts • Liquidity grabs • Breaker blocks • Distribution ranges • A devastating SOW • And the cleanest market structure break BTC has shown since 2018 Institutions aren’t buying dips. They are offloading the mountain . The crowd doesn’t see it — yet. ⚡ 3. A Market Structure Collapse Echoing 2014, 2018 and 2021 Each cycle’s death began the same way: A gentle pullback… A sudden rejection… Then a violent swing failure , followed by the HTF structure snapping in half. That exact sequence is happening right now . This is not a correction. This is a cycle reset . 🎯 4. Fibonacci Retracements Don’t Lie — They Warn Every true macro Wave 2 in history has returned to: 🔻 0.786 🔻 0.886 🔻 1.0 – 1.618 extensions Where do they converge this time? 👇 🔮 $6,000 – $1,250 The forgotten land of 2017 mania… A level BTC has avoided for 8 years. But the cycle demands balance. And balance always returns. 🌪️ 5. Price Action Has Flipped From Confidence to Panic The candles have changed character: • Weak closes • Long tall wicks of rejection • Failed rallies • Imbalances breaking lower • Bull traps everywhere • A violent displacement to the downside This isn’t cooling off. This is unwinding. 📉 6. Market Cycle Psychology Has Entered Its Darkest Phase We just exited Euphoria. We are in Complacency. Next comes: 😨 Anxiety 😱 Fear 💀 Capitulation 🔥 Anger 🌑 Depression Only after that does a new accumulation begin. And that’s why Wave 2 is infamous. It destroys what Wave 1 built. 🚨 THE VERDICT: THE DOWNFALL IS IN MOTION — AND WE ARE EARLY From $126K to $90K was not the crash. It was merely the first spark in a forest full of dry leaves. Wave A has barely begun. Wave B will deceive. Wave C will devastate. The endgame target remains: 🎯 $1,250 – $6,000 The cycle reset. The cleanse. The opportunity of the decade — but only after the fire burns everything above it. 🔥 This is not fear. This is structure, math, psychology, liquidity, and time itself. And all of them point in the same direction. Down, Down And Down 🔥 Follow this idea to stay ahead of the next macro move. 📈 We’ll update the chart as the structure unfolds — Wave A, Wave B trap, and the full Wave C capitulation zone. 💬 Drop your thoughts below — agree or disagree, the chart will decide. 🚀 Turn on notifications so you don’t miss the next critical breakdown. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage risk and make decisions based on your own research and personal strategy. #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #BTCUSD #BearMarket #ElliottWave #SmartMoney #PriceAction #MarketCycle #Fibonacci #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCrash #CryptoWarning
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by fibcos
22
SOL/USDT: Relief Rally Builds After Rebound from Key SupportSOL/USDT bounced strongly from the 128–130 support zone, reacting off the lower boundary of its downward channel. While the broader trend remains bearish, this move signals early signs of accumulation. Holding above 130 could open a corrective rally toward 155, as oversold conditions unwind and short-term momentum favors a relief push. ❗️Risks: – Losing 128–130 support reopens downside toward 120–115 – Volatility in BTC may cap gains – Failure to reclaim the channel midpoint may stall the recovery
Long
by RTED_Investing
6
BTC Bearish Scenario This idea is comes from a place purely of pattern recognition, I believe BTC still has more to give this cycle but I have noticed similarities between the "Trump pump" top and the most recent top/ price action: Both tops feature a wick into the diagonal resistance, followed by a slightly larger wick making a new high before selling off. After the highs in January BTC sold off back towards the trend support level, could BTC follow this pattern this time around too? So far they are tracking very closely, the beginning of November would be the bottom at trend channel support if this was to play out. For me $108,000 is the key S/R level in this idea, a break below it would definitely open Bitcoin to the possibility, all the time price stays above it does look significantly stronger.
Short
by ProR35
5
Bitcoin Warning Signals After October TopBitcoin is breaking back below the $100k level and the channel support drawn from the 2022 lows. This price action suggests that we may be completing the bull cycle that began from those lows—one that lasted roughly three years, similar to previous bullish phases from January 2015 to December 2017 and December 2018 to November 2021. Given this context, there is now a meaningful risk of a deeper correction. Historically, each new cycle tends to produce shallower percentage pullbacks, but the correction phase is still an important part of the broader market structure. For those looking to position themselves for the next major bull run, it would be safer to wait for the market to undergo a sustained corrective period, potentially lasting around a year, before re-entering with the broader trend. From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin may have completed a five-wave impulse within a higher-degree wave (V) of III, aligning with the idea that a higher-degree wave IV correction could now be unfolding. Additionally, from a cyclical standpoint, the market appears to have topped in October 2025, which further supports the probability of entering a bear-market phase. In summary, Bitcoin may now be transitioning from a multi-year advance into a structurally significant corrective period—one that could provide a healthier foundation for the next major expansionary cycle.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ew-forecast
1
BTC - Triple Intersection… Now or Never for the Bulls?Bitcoin has been in a steep correction for weeks, sliding inside a clear falling channel. Despite the heavy sell-off, price is now approaching one of the strongest confluence zones on the entire chart, a triple intersection. This key level combines: 1- The major weekly bullish trendline 2- The horizontal support between $85,000–$90,000 3- And the lower boundary of the falling corrective channel This kind of alignment doesn’t happen often. It’s the area where long-term bulls typically show up. As long as BTC holds above $85,000–$90,000, the macro bullish structure remains intact. A strong reaction here could trigger a reversal and kick off the next impulsive wave upward. However, if this triple confluence fails, the market may face a deeper correction before stabilising. We’re standing at a decisive moment… will this zone ignite the next bullish leg or break down into another wave of fear? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr.
Long
by TheSignalyst
1
SOL Pulls Back to Key Support Before Its Next Major MoveHello everyone, after a sharp rebound from 132 USD to 137 USD, SOL is now pulling back and trading around the key 135 USD support — a zone that previously triggered a strong bullish reaction. Selling pressure returned as price touched 137 USD, where the red FVG and Ichimoku cloud converge, slowing buyers down. Meanwhile, broader crypto sentiment has softened as the stronger USD and expectations of delayed Fed cuts reduce risk appetite, especially for assets that rallied aggressively like SOL. With the current market structure, SOL may continue to retreat toward 132–130 USD — an area packed with green FVG and deep liquidity, also the zone where buyers previously stepped in with conviction. A solid reaction here could send SOL back to retest 135–137 USD before choosing its next major direction. But if 130 USD breaks, the downside could extend toward 125 USD. This is a critical moment to watch price behavior — a clean bounce from 132–130 USD could set the stage for the next recovery leg. Do you think SOL can defend this support?
Short
by Momonoo
It's Clear... Isn't it? This chart lays out the cycle tops and bottoms of bitcoin going back to the halving in 2012. What we can clearly identify is that every major cycle low started a run for 1065 days into new All time Highs. If this is true still, we should be headed down for an entire year. However, like many indicators, I believe they become unusable. Over time if something works, too many people use it to identify a trade, whether that's institutions or retail as a collective. This chart should scream bear. However, I love the counter trade. Every major figurehead is screaming bear, I just don't believe that to be the case. If everyone is shorting, what happens. if everyone sold what happens. Counter trade. Most people think they understand, until they don't. A trade can always flip, you cannot hold conviction because you want it to go a certain way, you have to be ready to change your mind when the time is right. I am Bullish. For now. Run the table. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by A7Fund
BITCOIN | LONG BIAS | POTENTIAL REVERSAL AND KEY LEVELS TO WATCHTraders, Bitcoin is now sitting inside a large falling wedge structure on the daily chart. Wedges of this type often form during trend exhaustion and can precede significant reversals when the lower boundary is reached. This pattern sets the stage for everything that follows in this analysis. Below is the full breakdown of why I believe Bitcoin is positioned for a potential reaction and where the most important levels are located. Recap of the Previous Bitcoin Analysis In the previous IG:BITCOIN analysis I mentioned two scenarios. Scenario one outlined the following sequence: • Price pushes into 107k to 108k • That move sweeps the weak high and taps the AVWAP anchor • If spot CVD slows or perps shift into net selling, a rejection becomes likely • That rejection sends price back toward the mid range and possibly into 101k to 102k • Continuation into the higher timeframe LVN at 98k becomes possible Every single step unfolded almost perfectly. Current State of Bitcoin Bitcoin is now sitting directly on the lower band of the AVWAP anchored from 7 April 2025. What this means AVWAP stands for Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price. It calculates the average position of market participants beginning from the chosen anchor point. The April low marked a major shift in trend structure. When price reaches the lower band of an AVWAP anchored to such a significant low, it often acts as dynamic support. This is because it reflects the average entry of early cycle buyers. If price holds and begins reclaiming from this area, it signals that the strongest hands are defending their positions. If it fails, the market risks a deeper flush into lower demand clusters. Value Zone Analysis with Fixed Range Volume Profile To determine whether Bitcoin is inside a significant value region, we use a Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP). The range is anchored from the April low to the October high. Zooming into the profile on the left, price has now re-entered the core value area of this entire swing. The red horizontal line marks the Point of Control, which is the level with the highest traded volume in the entire range. The current low sits almost exactly on this level. Pixel perfect confluence. Why this matters When price returns to the value area after a distribution phase, two possible outcomes appear: 1. Reversal Buyers defend value and price rotates back toward high volume nodes above. 2. Continuation breakdown Price accepts below value, meaning even previous buyers are unwilling to re accumulate here. This opens the door to the next low volume pocket and lower demand zones. Right now, the reaction at this level is critical because we have perfect alignment between the lower AVWAP band and the FRVP Point of Control. Mathematical Levels and Fibonacci Structure Now we collect the mathematical evidence. We are sitting at a core AVWAP level and a core FRVP level. Now we check if the market is stretched mathematically. Bitcoin at the 1.618 Extension On the four hour spot chart, I apply a Trend Based Fibonacci Extension from A to B and project it from C. The placement rule Ask yourself: What was the last meaningful swing high that ended the previous trend and started the current reversal? That swing becomes A to B. The first corrective lower high after that becomes C. Using this structure, Bitcoin has now extended perfectly into the 1.618 level. The 1.618 Fibonacci extension is historically associated with exhaustion. Sharp downlegs often pause, take liquidity, or reverse at this point. TOTAL at the 2.0 Extension To confirm that this move is not isolated to Bitcoin, we check the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL crypto market. TOTAL reflects the entire crypto market and shows equilibrium conditions. When Bitcoin and TOTAL stretch at the same time, reaction probability increases. Start with a retracement from A to B: Price nearly hit the fifty percent mark but not entirely. Then reverse the tool from B to A. Doing so reveals the extension levels below. Price is now sitting exactly at the 2.0 extension. Why the 50 percent connects to the 2.0 If a move retraces halfway, the remaining distance becomes the basis of the flipped extension. Doubling that distance gives the 2.0 level. Because TOTAL did not fully reach the fifty percent retracement, there is a small missing portion. To visualise this, I draw a box between the actual retracement and the fifty percent level. Then I duplicate the box under the 2.0 extension. The duplicated box lands perfectly on the current low, showing mathematical symmetry. Additional Mathematical Check I also check the structure that began after the 10 October crash. By extending from B to A, the downside projections appear. Price tagged the 1.618 level perfectly. Full symmetry Bitcoin at the 1.618 TOTAL at the 2.0 Internal structure at the 1.618 When all three align, the move has reached market wide symmetry. These zones commonly produce strong reactions or reversals. Summary so far We now have confluence in four categories: • AVWAP support • FRVP Point of Control support • Fibonacci extensions on BTC and TOTAL • Mathematical symmetry across multiple swings Next, we check the internal fuel of the move: order flow. Order Flow Analysis Spot CVD Divergence On both the one hour and thirty minute charts, Spot CVD continues making lower lows while price holds steady. This means aggressive sellers are pushing market sell but price refuses to break down. This can only occur when passive limit buyers absorb the flow. This is hidden absorption. Coin Margined Futures CVD Coin margined CVD shows the same pattern: lower lows while price stays flat. This indicates aggressive shorting with no continuation. Why coin margined matters Coin margined futures use BTC as collateral. When price declines, the collateral loses value. When price rises, shorts lose even more because both their collateral and their position move against them. Coin margined shorts get squeezed harder and faster. Open Interest • Stablecoin margined OI: holding steady. Traders continue to open or maintain positions during sell pressure. • Coin margined OI: compressed during the dump and is now flat. This means shorts are sitting in the market and can be forced out. Summary Price stable CVD falling OI steady This is absorption combined with short build-up. This often leads to a sharp reversal when price begins to lift. Volume Analysis Chart: Accumulation and Distribution (A D Indicator) The A D indicator shows whether volume flows into candles or out of them. On the one hour chart, the A/D is trending up while price stays flat. This means buyers are stepping in during down-wicks and absorbing sell pressure. Price is not showing this strength yet, which is typical for accumulation phases. On Balance Volume (OBV) OBV measures directional volume flow. On the last wick down, OBV actually moved up. This means buyers absorbed the move rather than sellers pushing price down. This is the classic bullish volume divergence after a liquidity sweep. Both Spot and Perps Confirm These divergences appear on both spot and perpetual futures. Spot confirmation is the strongest form of validation because it represents real buying without leverage distortion. The combination of A/D rising, OBV diverging, Spot CVD falling, and Futures CVD falling strongly supports that the sell pressure is being absorbed. What Happens Next Based on everything above, I expect Bitcoin to start by taking the weak local high at 99,862. Weak highs form when the wick structure is sloppy and no real sellers defended the level. On fine tick data, this high looks even weaker. Taking that high breaks the current local structure and potentially triggers a short squeeze. If Bitcoin begins closing four hour candles above 106,200, the next important level is 108,500. Main Thesis Bitcoin pushes into the first target zone and performs a Swing Failure Pattern around 115,700. With strong momentum, the move could extend into the 17,300 to 18,000 region. Invalidation and Downside If Bitcoin loses support and spends meaningful time below 93,000, the next major support is 84,617. This is the next Point of Control from the AVWAP auction and an extremely important level to watch. All relevant levels are marked on the charts. Trade safe and manage risk. From the depths of the sands, ThetaNomad ------------------- If you like my analysis, give it a like and leave a comment so more people can see real analysis without the noise.
Long
by ThetaNomad
7
FET - Bulls Preparing for a Comeback?FET has completed a clean correction after its previous strong impulse move, retracing all the way back into the support zone around 0.23–0.28, which has been acting as a key demand area for weeks. Price bounced from that zone and is now attempting to reclaim structure, signaling that buyers might be preparing to take control again. For now, the market structure is simple: Impulse upward ➝ Correction ➝ Potential new impulse. If the bulls manage to hold above the orange zone and break the descending correction trendline, the next impulsive leg toward 0.50 becomes the most likely scenario. However, if FET breaks back below 0.23, the bullish setup would fail and deeper downside would be expected. We are now at the stage where the market decides whether the bulls fully take over… or if this bounce is just a pause before another dip. 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr.
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
Trading Hours Showdown: Stocks, FX, Crypto and When to SleepSome markets close, some don’t, and some don’t care that you need rest. If financial markets were people, they’d each have wildly different sleeping habits. Stocks tuck themselves in usually at 4 p.m. (that is, where they originate from), FX stays up all night but insists it’s “fine,” and crypto is that friend who messages you at 3 a.m. with a life-changing idea (and a 12% move for fun). Understanding when each market is awake, liquid, and volatile is one of the most underrated skills a trader can have. It’s not just about timing entries; it’s about managing risk while you’re away from your devices. Let’s break down the global sleep schedule and why your portfolio should care. 🌅 Stocks: The 9-to-5ers of the Financial World US stocks like routine. They open at 9:30 a.m. ET, close at 4 p.m., and observe weekends and holidays like well-behaved citizens. There’s also pre-market and after-hours trading, but liquidity dries up real fast and moves tend to be exaggerated. Why it matters: Limited hours = overnight gap risk Most volume typically happens in the first and last 30 minutes Big news after hours can cause violent opens the next day Stops can’t protect you when price jumps over your level Every trader eventually experiences the heartbreak of a perfect setup ruined by an overnight earnings surprise. Consider it a rite of passage. 🌍 Forex: The Market with No Bedtime FX ( forex or foreign exchange) trades 24 hours a day, five days a week, rotating through global sessions: Asia (Tokyo) Europe (London) US (New York) That’s a 120-hour work week with no break. Think of it like a global relay race where someone is always awake and analyzing inflation differentials. Why traders love it: Continuous liquidity = fewer gaps Beautiful macro-driven trends Volatility waves follow session overlaps (London–NY especially) But… FX weekends could be silent killers. You’re unprotected from Friday close to Sunday open. That’s plenty of time for geopolitical headlines, surprise events, central bank drama, or a country deciding to unpeg its currency. 🔥 Crypto: The Market That Never Sleeps or Blinks The cryptocurrency market trades 24/7/365. No days off, no weekends, no holidays, no rest. Just pure, unfiltered price action around the clock. This sounds great until you realize you can never fully unplug. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD does not respect your circadian rhythm. Why it’s unique: No “overnight gaps” because it never closes But liquidity gaps may appear during low-volume hours Late-night moves can be extreme due to thin order books Leverage unwinds can trigger liquidation cascades at 3 a.m. Global retail participation exaggerates emotional spikes Crypto doesn’t gap like stocks, but it drifts, snaps, and rips through levels and can make your stomach churn. 🧭 Liquidity: The Real Story Behind the Sleep Schedule Across markets, the one concept that ties them all together is liquidity. That is, how deep the order book is and how efficiently your trades can execute. Stocks Thick liquidity during US hours Thin, jumpy after-hours Prone to large news-driven gaps Forex Deep liquidity almost 24 hours a day Most volume during London–NY overlap Macro news instantly reflected in price Crypto Liquidity pockets vary wildly Exchanges differ in depth Weekends and Asia-over-US crossovers can trigger whipsaws 😴 The Question of Sleep (And How Traders Manage It) Traders eventually learn a few things about trading various asset classes. If you: Hate surprises → Avoid overnight stock positions Love macro trends → FX is your playground Enjoy volatility → Crypto keeps things interesting Value sleep → Choose an asset class that aligns with your time zone and day trade it Choosing a market to trade isn’t just about your strategy, but also about your lifestyle. Volatility doesn’t just depend on the asset. It depends on when you’re watching. Off to you : How do you deal with trading different assets in different time zones? Are you a niche player or a broader market maven? Share your comments below!
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
18
RESOLV BOOOOM !!!Hello everyone 😍 💁‍♂️ The RESOLV-USDT cryptocurrency reached the first target in less than 4 hours and rejected it, experiencing a 51% drop 👌😎 WOOOOOOOOOOOOW 🔥🔥🔥 👌 Another awesome analysis dedicated to my dear followers 😔 I have a complaint from everyone. By posting all this great analysis and very good targets, you are not boosting the analysis and I am slowly losing my motivation. Maybe I will not post any more analysis in TradingView 😔 ⚠️The analysis may not reach the final target, so at each target, if you make a good profit and see signs of a trend change, you can exit the trade or manage your capital. ⚠️ None of the analysis is a recommendation to buy or sell, but simply my personal opinions on the charts. You can use the charts and choose any that interest you and take a position if you wish. To support me, I would appreciate it if you boost the analysis and share it with your friends so that I can analyze it with more energy for you, my dears. Thank you all. 💖
by mehdishirian
How to build a Healthy Trading MindsetMany traders underestimate how much psychology shapes their results. This guide outlines the foundations of a strong trading mindset that supports consistent and disciplined decision-making. 1. Understand That Emotional Discipline Is a Skill Trading naturally triggers emotions such as fear, frustration, greed, and impatience. These reactions are not weaknesses; they are human. What separates consistent traders from inconsistent ones is their ability to recognize emotions without acting on them. A resilient mindset comes from training, not talent. 2. Create Distance Between Yourself and Your Trades Do not tie your self-worth to the outcome of a single position. A loss does not mean you failed, and a win does not mean you are skilled. When traders begin to link identity to results, they make impulsive decisions. Use phrases like “this trade” instead of “my trade” to remove ownership bias. 3. Focus on Process, Not Profit Most traders sabotage themselves by obsessing over the end result. The market does not reward effort; it rewards alignment with probability. Instead of thinking “How much can I make?”, think “Did I execute according to my plan?” Your trading plan should define your entries, exits, risk, and market conditions. Follow it even when it feels uncomfortable. 4. Accept Uncertainty as Part of the Game No setup is guaranteed. Every trade, no matter how perfect, carries uncertainty. Accepting this prevents you from forcing control where none exists. When you fully accept uncertainty, you no longer fear it. 5. Build Consistency Through Routine A stable routine reduces mental noise. Examples include: • Reviewing your plan before each session • Limiting how many markets you monitor • Taking breaks after high-stress situations • Logging your trades with honest notes When your routine is consistent, your decisions become consistent. 6. Use Losses as Data, Not Drama A loss is not a personal attack from the market. It is information. Ask: “What does this loss teach me about my system or my mindset?” If you can extract value from losses, they become opportunities instead of obstacles. 7. Master Patience Most trading errors come from acting too soon, not too late. Patience means waiting for your setup without deviation. If you need to be in a trade at all times, it is no longer trading; it is compulsion. 8. Protect Your Mental Capital Mental capital is as important as financial capital. Overtrading, revenge trading, and excessive chart time drain your cognitive energy. Stop trading when you notice fatigue, frustration, or impulsiveness. A clear mind is an advantage. 9. Develop Long-Term Thinking Think in terms of series, not individual outcomes. A single win or loss means little. What matters is the overall direction of your equity curve. Professional traders think in months and years. Amateurs think in minutes. Conclusion A powerful trading mindset is built through consistency, self-awareness, and emotional control. By focusing on process and discipline rather than short-term results, you create a stable internal environment that supports longevity in the markets.
Education
by Louigi_24
41