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Here is How BITCOINs Historical Cycle Could Pursue.Hello There, recently I spotted an important constellation within the cycle of Bitcoin, which caught my attention and is extremely crucial for the forthcoming of future price actions. While Bitcoin, in the short term, is still extremely bearish with many bears and whales dumping into the market, the middle-to-long-term perspective should be considered from a different angle. In this case Bitcoin could be about to pursue an extremely important cycle, which was already the origin of a massive peak expansion, boosting Bitcoin into massively high spheres. Currently, Bitcoin could just be in the middle of this massively underlying cycle trend, which could repeat itself in a different shape to turn out with a fundamental reversal and increase of volatile price outbreaks. Such dynamics are always interesting to watch for traders when considering placing a trade in a breakout pattern and simultaneous setup for a high profit. This whole cycle mainly consists of 5 elements, of which 2 have already been completed in the current constellation. You can watch all the important levels of cycle progress in my chart. What is highly important and a necessary factor for the current cycle to hold and continue as well is that when bearish volume increases in the short term within the next times, Bitcoin has the ability to continue seeking support within the range. If this does not happen and Bitcoin does not show the ability to hold the $45,000 to $50,000 range, then the potential for a downtrend continuation increases. If this scenario happens, there are two possibilities. Either Bitcoin expands the current uptrend channel to lower levels in which it seeks support within the lower accumulation channel line marked in green, or a black swan event such as corona or a massive financial market crash like the one seen in 2008 could dismiss this whole cycle. Such possibilities would only increase if the bearish price action really accelerates to a point where there are no potentials for reversal. Generally speaking, it will be highly important how Bitcoin reacts to the lower accumulation channel line of this gigantic uptrend channel. If there will be a stabilization and substantial bounce, the possibility of the repetition of the cycle almost increases above any bearish scenario. Also, the 9- and 21-MA are crucial signals here. If this cross down happens again, there is a likelihood that Bitcoin will continue with a cross up also. In any case, the upcoming short-term bearish trend dynamics are highly deterministic for any further price actions and cycle considerations. Thank you very much for watching.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by VincePrince
22
BITCOIN It's really game over if it does that..Not much analysis is needed to address today's topic. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) will close tomorrow not only the year (2025) but also the month (December). This is a critical closing as the 1M (monthly) candle is currently red and if it closes this way (i.e. roughly below $90300), BTC will complete three straight red months. Why this s important? Because during its 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle, it never had three bearish 1M candles in a row and that could be a definitive confirmation that the new Bear Cycle is already underway. In fact it would be almost a perfect match with the first 3 months of the previous Bear Cycle, which were also 3 straight red ones (November 2021 - January 2022), also supported by the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). A lifeline of encouragement would be however that, following those first 3 red candles of the previous Bear Cycle, the market found support on the 1W MA100 and rebounded the next two months (but of course only to drop more aggressively in the later stages). It has to be noted also at this point that 3 straight red months has historically been a strong feature of Bear Cycle activity. In fact only twice Bitcoin displayed 3 straight red months during Bull Cycles: April - June 2021 and July - September 2019. So if December closes in red tomorrow, would that be GAME OVER for BTC? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
3
TON/USDT | TON Holding Support, Watching for a Stronger Push!By analyzing the #TON chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after dropping to $1.40, price attracted demand again and is now trading around $1.65. If TON Coin can hold and stabilize above $1.58, we can expect more upside in the short term. The bullish momentum is present but still weak, so we need to see stronger moves from TON. The next upside targets are $1.74, $2.00, and $2.22. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
12
BTC/USDT | Will it make a move? (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 4-hour chart of BTC, it is still struggling in the same zone it has been for the past 4-5 weeks, going up and down between the IFVG and the Demand zone. BTC will probably fall down to the high of the IFVG, at 86,662. There are no clear indication whatsoever as to when BTC will make a move, but when it does, it'll most likely be a very sharp move. Current targets for BTC: 88,413, 89,409 and 90,406
by AmirAliTrading
11
BTC 1W Update: Boring is Good, Enjoy the Holidays BTC Update: We’re firmly in the boring part of the market right now, and that’s reflected clearly in the price action. Bitcoin is holding up well, but momentum has slowed and volatility has compressed as we move deeper into the holiday period. This is typically when participation dries up, traders step away, and larger institutions go quiet until the new year. Structurally, nothing here looks concerning. BTC remains above major higher timeframe support, and despite the pullback from the highs, price is consolidating rather than breaking down. The recent downside move has transitioned into sideways chop, which suggests the market is digesting prior gains instead of rolling over impulsively. This kind of environment often leads to frustration because nothing seems to happen, but it’s a normal phase in broader uptrends. With liquidity thinning into year end, I wouldn’t be surprised to see some short-term volatility or whipsaw moves, especially as we head into early January when participants return and positioning resets. A brief flush or shakeout is still possible, particularly if the market looks to test lower liquidity pockets before resuming higher. That said, as long as BTC continues to hold these levels and avoid a decisive breakdown, the bigger picture remains intact. Overall, things are holding up well, and this looks more like consolidation within a healthy structure rather than the start of a deeper correction. For now, patience is key. This is the quiet part of the cycle, but these periods often precede the next meaningful move once volume and participation return in the new year.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by OnchainNewsBlog
1
Happy New Year XRP: These Events Set Up Major Moves for 2026.Hello There, welcome to my new analysis about XRP. In recent times a very important dynamic with XRP caught my attention. Throughout 2025, major events happened that are setting up an important foundation for XRP and the upcoming year. These events are building major cornerstones that will have an enormous effect on the price action. From a fundamental and technical perspective, XRP is about to write an epic future. When looking at my chart, you can watch this gigantic uptrend channel in which XRP has already several times bounced within the bullish accumulation zone marked in green. This zone was also the origin of XRP shooting to the moon in October 2024, marking the all-time high of $3.66. This major breakout was already part of the completion of this gigantic bullish triangle formation. Such a formation already completed once for XRP, being the origin of the historical upthrust. While the MA structure is holding this whole trend to the upside, there are also key fundamental signs that reveal an underlying bullishness for XRP. One of them is that XRP just ended its year-long battle against the SEC. This makes way for a financial framework that does not ignore the positive prospects cryptocurrencies like XRP bring to the monetary market. The winning of this case makes XRP much more attractive for further investments and volume into the market. Also, the launch of the XRP ETF on the 18th of September 2025 at CME has pumped massive volume into the market. In some minutes, millions and millions of dollars were pumped into the XRP network. The key element of an ETF, which makes XRP a much better investment for institutions, is a major milestone. Such an ETF event could be the beginning of historical price moves never seen before, similarly to what has been seen with other cryptocurrencies. Technically speaking, XRP is now just about to confirm this gigantic triangle formation. An important factor here is the bounce from the upper boundary of the triangle. As seen in my chart, such a price move is supported by the moving averages, the lower boundary of the gigantic uptrend channel, and also the lower boundary of the triangle formation. This level is extremely important to hold; however, currently there are no signs of invalidation. It will be an interesting journey ahead. And it will be particularly important to consider how XRP reacts to the main zones of support. In any case, it will be compelling to watch how these major levels will be approached. Thank you very much for watching.
CRYPTO:XRPUSD
by VincePrince
1
BITCOIN rejected its 1D MA50 after 2 months! 100k or 77k next??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) touched its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) today for the first time after 2 months (since October 28) and immediately got rejected. This is potentially an early sign that not only does the market remain bearish, but it prepares a strong move downwards. However, that can't be confirmed as long as the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) holds, which as you see has been tested and held (closed all candles above it) 3 times since November 21. The above mentioned MA trend-lines go along a Lower Highs and Higher Lows trend-line respectively, acting as the Resistance and Support of the market since its October All Time High (ATH). As a result, if the price breaks above the Lower Highs trend-line, we expect that counter-trend rally in early 2026 to test the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and this at least $100000, like BTC did during all its previous Bear Cycles. If on the other hand the Higher Lows trend-line breaks first, we expect a minimum -14.96% decline (the least drop sequence since the start of the Bear Cycle) targeting $77000. So which do you think will come first? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
1
ETH 1W Update: Chopping, but looking good for Q1 2026 ETH Update: Ethereum is continuing to work through a higher timeframe consolidation after the strong move into the upper range earlier this year. The rejection from the ~$4.7k resistance zone was sharp, but importantly, price has since stabilized and is now holding above the key ~$2.7k–$3k support region. That area has acted as a major pivot multiple times in the past, and holding it keeps the broader structure constructive. From a market structure perspective, this still looks like a reset within a larger range rather than a full trend failure. The selloff from the highs has transitioned into sideways-to-overlapping price action, which is typical during digestion phases on the weekly. ETH is effectively building a base between higher timeframe support and prior resistance, allowing momentum and positioning to cool off. The ~$3.4k level remains an important inflection zone. Acceptance back above it would be an early signal that ETH is ready to rotate higher again and challenge the upper range. Until then, some chop and volatility should be expected as the market works through this consolidation. The projected path suggests a period of basing followed by a renewed push higher once participation and liquidity return. Zooming out, the bigger picture remains intact. ETH continues to hold above major cycle support, and as long as that remains the case, the odds favor continuation rather than a deeper corrective phase. This looks less like distribution and more like consolidation ahead of the next leg. For now, patience is key. As long as ETH holds this support zone and avoids a decisive breakdown, the structure supports higher prices over time, with the upper range near ~$4.7k remaining the key target once momentum rebuilds.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by OnchainNewsBlog
Finger crossed for BTC 92.5K targetMorning folks, hopefully you've rest well. Ok, BTC is started upward action, as we discussed, although not without adventures. Price action was very choppy on a think market. Now it seems, we have some impulse and hope that it will be enough at least until 92.5K target... If you're interested with this setup, watch for 89.20K and 88.50K support levels to make a decision on entry. If BTC drops under 87.4K lows and erases the rally - deeper bearish action will happen. So, this fast short-term setup will be totally destroyed. Take care, S.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
1
ZEC Update: Fighting back with force ZEC Update: ZEC continues to strengthen structurally, with price firmly back inside the rising channel and now pushing higher within a well-defined uptrend. The prior downside thesis has been fully invalidated, and the reclaim of the channel has clearly shifted momentum back in favor of the bulls. Price is holding above the mid-channel region and printing higher lows, which is exactly what you want to see if this move is going to continue. The reaction off the ~300 level was the key inflection point. That level acted as a higher timeframe demand zone, and the subsequent impulsive move higher suggests strong acceptance rather than a temporary bounce. Since then, ZEC has respected the lower boundary of the channel, using it as dynamic support, which reinforces that this is trend continuation rather than a corrective retrace. Short term, price is consolidating around the low-500s, which looks constructive. This kind of sideways-to-slightly-up consolidation within an uptrend often resolves higher, especially when it occurs above prior resistance. The projected path (yellow) highlights a scenario where ZEC continues to grind higher with some volatility, using pullbacks to reset momentum before pushing toward the upper channel region. As long as ZEC remains inside this rising structure, the bias stays bullish. Any pullbacks into the lower channel or prior breakout areas would be considered normal trend behavior, not weakness. A loss of the channel would be the first sign that momentum is fading, but until that happens, structure favors continuation. Overall, this looks like a strong recovery phase following a failed breakdown, with ZEC transitioning back into trend mode. Patience remains important, but the technical picture continues to improve as long as price holds this uptrend structure and avoids a decisive breakdown back below it.
COINBASE:ZECUSD
by OnchainNewsBlog
ETHUSDT Hello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on ETHEREUM? Ethereum has experienced a sharp decline from recent highs and has now entered a corrective phase. Price is currently consolidating within a short-term ascending channel. At the moment, ETH is trading near the lower boundary of the channel. In the short term, as long as price remains above the key support zone, we expect some consolidation in this area followed by a corrective bullish move toward the upper boundary of the channel.ut trades. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
26
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – 1-Day Timeframe Tradertilki AnalysisGuys, There have been many requests for me to share a new Bitcoin analysis, so here I am with my latest one. My friends, Bitcoin is currently stuck between the levels of $94,500 and $84,000. This consolidation has two possible outcomes: it will break strongly in one direction. If Bitcoin closes a daily candle above $94,500, it means that major buyers will push the price toward the $104,000 target level. In this case, my target level after a breakout above $94,500 will be $104,000. If Bitcoin closes a daily candle below $80,000, the first target will be testing the $74,000 level. This is only an informational Bitcoin analysis for you. My friends, unlike some who throw out random targets, I analyze the data and follow the major buyers. In trading, the most important thing is to move together with those big buyers.✨ My friends, I share these analyses thanks to each like I receive from you. Your likes increase my motivation and encourage me to support you in this way.🙏 Thank you to all my friends who support me with their likes.❤️
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by TraderTilki
47
AFTER CYCLE BTC WILL BREAK UP 100k+ - NEW BULLRUN ON WAYBased on the trend analysis around the $92K–$93K level, this zone could mark the beginning of a new bull run. If this target is reached and held, there is a high probability that BTC will enter a new upward cycle, potentially moving beyond $100K. The coming days are crucial for confirming the overall trend direction. Before this, there could be manipulation trends, with a fake downtrend wick, but the Data shows that we are since the 80k+ still in the uptrend and cycle can get confirmed any time.
Long
by SatochiTrader
4
BTC Update: Holiday Chop can be Boring BTC Update: There hasn’t been a ton of movement since my last update, but that’s not a bad thing. Bitcoin continues to hold up well here, with price stabilizing above recent lows and maintaining acceptance in this mid-range area. The selling pressure that drove the prior move down has clearly cooled, and for now, downside momentum looks muted rather than accelerating. Structurally, BTC still appears to be working through a basing process. Price action remains choppy and overlapping, which is typical during bottoming phases, especially after a sharp corrective leg. What stands out is that repeated pushes lower are being absorbed, and sellers haven’t been able to force a decisive breakdown. That’s a constructive sign, even if it doesn’t immediately translate into upside expansion. The ~$90K area remains an important pivot. While BTC hasn’t yet reclaimed higher resistance levels, it’s also not losing ground aggressively. Holding this zone keeps the market in a stabilization regime rather than a continuation-to-the-downside scenario. As long as price stays above recent lows, the probability of an immediate flush continues to decrease. That said, I’m still keeping an eye on the ~$70K region. It remains the major higher timeframe support and the level that would represent a full reset if the market were to see another volatility spike. While the odds of a clean flush to that level appear lower than before, it’s still the key downside reference point if conditions deteriorate. For now, the bigger picture remains constructive. BTC is holding up, volatility is compressing, and the market looks more like it’s building a base than preparing for another impulsive leg down. Until structure breaks or improves decisively, patience is key. This is still a wait-for-confirmation environment, but so far, price action is doing what it needs to do.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by OnchainNewsBlog
BTCUSDT — Intraday Short Continuation | Range Pressure RemainsContext Following the previous short execution from the seller’s zone 88,600 – 88,200, price delivered a clean downside move and reacted from 86,400. However, despite this reaction, there is no clear evidence of sustained buyer strength at the moment. Expectation Within the current intraday structure, continuation toward the 86,000 area remains a valid and logical scenario. Price is still trading under prior supply, and upside acceptance has not been established. Risk Management This is a continuation idea, not a late entry chase. Risk should be reduced relative to standard position sizing and execution considered only with confirmation. Invalidation The intraday short bias will be invalidated only in the case of an aggressive move and firm acceptance above 88,600.
Short
by linkort
DOGE - Descending Channel at $0.127 Executive Summary COINBASE:DOGEUSD is trading at approximately $0.127 on Christmas Day, down 58% YTD and trapped in a descending channel on the 4H timeframe. The performance metrics are brutal: -60.92% over the past year. However, multiple analysts are pointing to a cycle fractal that suggests DOGE may be in the "golden pocket" for accumulation before a major bull run. The key level to watch is $0.138 - a reclaim above this Fibonacci level could signal the start of a significant rally. Meanwhile, futures trading volume has surged 53,000% to $260 million, and spot DOGE ETFs are boosting demand. BIAS: NEUTRAL - Bullish Potential with Current Bearish Structure The chart structure is bearish (descending channel), but the cycle fractal and accumulation signals suggest this could be the calm before the storm. Wait for confirmation above $0.138 before turning bullish. Current Market Context - December 25, 2025 Dogecoin is at a critical juncture: Current Price: $0.127 (-1.22% in 24h) Market Cap: $19.39 billion 52-Week Range (Market Cap): $15.59B - $64.11B Volume: 590.15M (below 30D average of 1.13B) Open Interest: $1.51 billion (11.8 billion DOGE) Rank: #9 by market cap Performance Metrics - MOSTLY RED: 1 Week: +0.83% (Green) 1 Month: -15.91% (Red) 3 Months: -42.45% (Red) 6 Months: -19.67% (Red) YTD: -58.30% (Red) 1 Year: -60.92% (Red) The numbers are ugly. DOGE has lost nearly 60% of its value this year. But is this the bottom? THE BULL CASE - Cycle Fractal Points to Imminent Rally The Dogecoin Cycle Fractal Crypto analyst Cryptollica has identified a cycle fractal that shows DOGE may be at the point before it begins its bull run. The fractal has repeated itself at the macro level with four distinct structural points: Zone 1 & 2: "Boredom phases" where volatility died and smart money accumulated Zone 2: Was the launchpad for the massive 2021 parabolic run Zone 4 (CURRENT): Same rounding-bottom formation playing out Price is stabilizing and forming a heavy base just like before previous explosions Key Insight: The analyst states this is the "Golden Pocket" for accumulation. If the fractal plays out as it did in 2020 (Zone 2), the current price action is simply the calm before the storm. RSI at Historical Support Weekly RSI at 32 level - acts as historical floor DOGE has formed a macro bottom every time RSI touched this baseline RSI has reset to this critical support level Indicates sellers are exhausted Momentum is primed to flip The $0.138 Level - Key to Recovery Analyst Kevin has identified $0.138 as THE critical level: Must be reclaimed on 3-day to weekly timeframe closes Would place DOGE back above macro 0.382 Fibonacci retracement This Fib level divides bearish and bullish market phases Also aligns with 200-week Simple Moving Average A move above would signal long-term buyers regaining control Next major target after reclaim: $0.46 (liquidity/resistance zone) Futures Volume Surge - 53,000% Dogecoin futures trading volume surged 53,000% to $260 million Driven by Dogecoin ETF activity and derivatives This surge came before recent price stability Could be catalyst for upcoming trend reversal Spot DOGE ETFs launched in late 2025, boosting demand Analyst Price Targets Cryptollica: DOGE could rally significantly and possibly exceed $1 Kevin: Next major resistance at $0.46 after $0.138 reclaim Current resistance targets: $0.148 and $0.196 Support expected in $0.11 range THE BEAR CASE - Descending Channel Still Intact Current Technical Structure The 4H chart shows a clear descending channel: Lower highs and lower lows dominating Price trapped between declining trendlines Channel resistance capping rallies Channel support providing temporary bounces No confirmed breakout yet Bearish structure until proven otherwise Concerning Metrics YTD: -58.30% - Massive underperformance 1 Year: -60.92% - Lost more than half its value Market cap down from $64.11B high to $19.39B Volume below 30-day average (590M vs 1.13B) Open interest dropped 4.03% in last 24 hours Lost crucial $0.13 support level Market Headwinds Broader crypto market in risk-off mode Total crypto market fell below $3 trillion to $2.94 trillion Fed rate expectations pushing out (rates on hold until April) Holiday trading with thin liquidity DOGE utility discussions (sidechains, L2) progressing slowly Technical Structure Analysis Price Action Overview - 4 Hour Timeframe The chart shows a descending channel pattern: Descending Channel Characteristics: Upper trendline: Connecting lower highs (resistance) Lower trendline: Connecting lower lows (support) Channel slope: Bearish (declining) Price oscillating between boundaries Current position: Mid-to-lower channel Recent Price Action: Dec 19 surge to $0.134 high Failed to break channel resistance Pulled back to current $0.127 level Now trading in tight range ($0.126-$0.135) Consolidation setting stage for next move Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Levels: $0.134-$0.135 - Immediate resistance / recent high $0.138 - CRITICAL LEVEL (Fibonacci 0.382 + 200-week SMA) $0.148 - Next resistance target $0.196 - Secondary resistance $0.46 - Major liquidity zone (if $0.138 reclaimed) $1.00 - Analyst moon target Support Levels: $0.126 - Immediate support / range bottom $0.125 - Key support (must hold for bullish setup) $0.12 - Psychological support $0.11 - Major support zone $0.10 - Deep support / psychological Range Analysis Current consolidation range: Range high: $0.135 Range low: $0.126 Range width: ~$0.009 (7%) Breakout direction will determine next major move Above $0.138 = Bullish confirmation Below $0.12 = Bearish continuation Moving Average Analysis Price below major moving averages 200-week SMA at ~$0.138 area - key resistance MAs sloping downward on shorter timeframes Need to reclaim MAs for trend reversal Currently bearish MA structure RSI Analysis 4H RSI at 42 - showing growing buyer interest Weekly RSI near 32 - historical support level RSI breakthrough would boost momentum Target resistance at $0.134 if RSI breaks higher Oversold conditions on higher timeframes Bitcoin Correlation - Key Catalyst Analyst Kevin notes that DOGE's recovery is tied to Bitcoin: Bitcoin needs to reclaim $88,000-$91,000 range This would require BTC to rally 2-6% from current levels BTC strength would support bullish momentum across crypto Without BTC confirmation, DOGE may continue consolidating Watch BTC as leading indicator for DOGE direction SCENARIO ANALYSIS BULLISH SCENARIO - Breakout Above $0.138 Trigger Conditions: 3-day or weekly close above $0.138 Bitcoin reclaims $88,000-$91,000 RSI breaks above 50 on weekly Volume surge on breakout Descending channel breakout confirmed Price Targets if Bullish: Target 1: $0.148 - First resistance Target 2: $0.196 - Secondary resistance Target 3: $0.46 - Major liquidity zone Moon Target: $1.00+ (cycle fractal projection) Bullish Catalysts: Cycle fractal pointing to bull run RSI at historical support (32 level) "Golden Pocket" accumulation zone Futures volume surge (53,000%) Spot DOGE ETFs boosting demand Smart money accumulation phase Rounding bottom formation BEARISH SCENARIO - Breakdown Below $0.12 Trigger Conditions: 4H close below $0.12 Bitcoin weakness below $85,000 Volume spike on breakdown Descending channel continues Open interest continues declining Price Targets if Bearish: Target 1: $0.11 - Major support zone Target 2: $0.10 - Psychological support Target 3: $0.08-$0.09 - Extended downside Bearish Risks: Descending channel still intact YTD: -58.30% - Severe underperformance Lost $0.13 crucial support Volume below average Open interest declining Broader crypto market weakness Fed rate expectations pushed out Utility development slow NEUTRAL SCENARIO - Continued Range Trading Most likely short-term outcome: Price continues in $0.126-$0.135 range Consolidation before next major move Wait for Bitcoin direction Wait for $0.138 reclaim or $0.12 breakdown Holiday trading keeps volatility low MY ASSESSMENT - NEUTRAL with Bullish Potential This is a genuinely mixed setup: Bearish Factors (Current Reality): Descending channel intact YTD: -58.30%, 1Y: -60.92% Below all major moving averages Lost $0.13 support Volume declining Open interest dropping Bullish Factors (Future Potential): Cycle fractal pointing to bull run RSI at historical support "Golden Pocket" accumulation zone Futures volume surge 53,000% Spot ETFs boosting demand Analysts targeting $0.46 to $1.00+ Rounding bottom forming My Stance: NEUTRAL - Wait for Confirmation The current structure is bearish, but the accumulation signals are compelling. This is NOT the time to short, but also not the time to go heavy long without confirmation. Strategy: Wait for $0.138 reclaim for bullish confirmation Or wait for $0.12 breakdown for bearish confirmation Small accumulation positions acceptable in $0.125-$0.127 zone Don't chase - let the market show its hand Watch Bitcoin for direction Trade Framework Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Trade Entry Conditions: 3-day or weekly close above $0.138 Volume confirmation Bitcoin above $88,000 Trade Parameters: Entry: $0.138-$0.142 on confirmed breakout Stop Loss: $0.125 below recent support Target 1: $0.148 (Risk-Reward ~1:0.5) Target 2: $0.196 (Risk-Reward ~1:4) Target 3: $0.46 (Extended) Scenario 2: Accumulation in Range Entry Conditions: Price tests $0.125-$0.127 support Bullish rejection candle RSI holding above 30 Trade Parameters: Entry: $0.125-$0.127 at range support Stop Loss: $0.118 below $0.12 psychological Target 1: $0.134-$0.135 (range high) Target 2: $0.138 (key Fibonacci level) Target 3: $0.148+ (if breakout occurs) Risk-Reward: ~1:1.5 to first target Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown Trade Entry Conditions: 4H close below $0.12 Volume confirmation Bitcoin weakness Trade Parameters: Entry: $0.118-$0.12 on confirmed breakdown Stop Loss: $0.128 above recent consolidation Target 1: $0.11 (Risk-Reward ~1:1) Target 2: $0.10 (Risk-Reward ~1:2) Target 3: $0.08-$0.09 (Extended) Risk Management Guidelines Position sizing: 1-2% max risk per trade DOGE is highly volatile - use appropriate size Wait for confirmation before large positions Respect the descending channel until broken Watch Bitcoin correlation closely Holiday trading = thin liquidity Scale into positions rather than all-in Take profits at targets Invalidation Levels Bullish thesis invalidated if: Price closes below $0.11 Descending channel breaks down further Bitcoin crashes below $80,000 Weekly RSI breaks below 25 Bearish thesis invalidated if: Price closes above $0.138 on weekly Descending channel breaks to upside Bitcoin reclaims $91,000 Volume surge on breakout Conclusion COINBASE:DOGEUSD is at a critical inflection point. The current structure is bearish with a descending channel and -58% YTD performance. However, multiple analysts are pointing to a cycle fractal that suggests this could be the "golden pocket" for accumulation before a major bull run. The Numbers: Current Price: $0.127 YTD Performance: -58.30% 1-Year Performance: -60.92% Market Cap: $19.39 billion Key Level: $0.138 (Fibonacci 0.382 + 200-week SMA) Key Levels: $0.138 - CRITICAL (reclaim = bullish confirmation) $0.134-$0.135 - Immediate resistance $0.127 - Current price $0.125-$0.126 - Immediate support $0.12 - Psychological support (breakdown level) $0.11 - Major support The Setup: Dogecoin is consolidating in a descending channel with the cycle fractal suggesting accumulation. The $0.138 level is THE key - a reclaim would signal the start of a potential rally to $0.46 and beyond. Without that confirmation, the bearish structure remains intact. Strategy: NEUTRAL stance - wait for confirmation Small accumulation acceptable at $0.125-$0.127 Bullish above $0.138 (targets $0.148, $0.196, $0.46) Bearish below $0.12 (targets $0.11, $0.10) Watch Bitcoin for direction As analyst Cryptollica says: "Ignore Dogecoin now, chase it later." The spring is loading - patience is required.
CRYPTO:DOGEUSD
by officialjackofalltrades
4
86-87K is still a BTC Red lineMerry Xmas, folks! So, last time we said that signals are mixed but we could keep an eye on 86-87K support area. BTC will keep chances on upward action until it holds. And... it still holds. Maybe this is just a result of a thin Xmas market, but BTC tries to form a reversal pattern here. Overall setup doesn't look fascinating, context is weak. But, at the same time, the cash risk is very small, dealing with this H&S pattern here. So, that's the only stuff that I want to share with you today.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Is the 4-Year BTC Cycle Still Alive?* Bitcoin is closing 2025 below expectations, even after ETFs, institutional buying, and a pro-crypto backdrop created ideal conditions for a bull market. * Bitcoin’s RSI relative to gold has reached levels that historically appeared near major cycle turning points. * The market looks compressed and tired rather than broken, with price action indicating a decision phase rather than a collapse. Looking at Bitcoin’s recent price action, it’s clear the market isn’t in panic mode, even though 2025 has been frustrating and confidence feels thin. Right now, the BTC price is trading around $87,690.28, and while that’s well below earlier highs, the behavior lately doesn’t look like fear-driven selling. Bitcoin didn’t fall apart in one sharp move. The price rolled over from the highs near $110,000 and spent months grinding lower, slowly wearing traders down. But recently, that rhythm has changed. Instead of accelerating to the downside, the market has started to pause. It feels more like hesitation than fear. Traders seem to be reassessing after a long stretch of disappointment, rather than rushing for the exits. The BTC price is trading inside a broad range where buyers have stepped in repeatedly. Every dip into this zone has found demand, even if the rebounds have been weak and short-lived. That matters because earlier in the year, Bitcoin sliced through multiple support levels without much resistance. This is one of the first areas where selling pressure has clearly slowed. Moves lower are getting absorbed faster. Sellers don’t look as aggressive as they did during the spring and autumn selloffs, while buyers remain cautious but present. It’s not confidence yet, but it’s also not capitulation. On-chain data backs that up. Bitcoin’s market cap has stopped falling sharply and has started to level out instead. Capital isn’t rushing out of the network any longer. It looks more like money is sitting on the sidelines, waiting for clearer signals. Network activity tells a similar story. Active addresses and transaction counts have cooled, but they are still well above levels seen during true bear market lows. Usage hasn’t collapsed. It has stabilized. So what’s next for Bitcoin? On lower timeframes, the BTC price continues to run into resistance, with each bounce losing momentum before it can turn into a trend. Buyers are showing up near support, but conviction is still missing. That leaves Bitcoin in a wait-and-see phase. Selling pressure has eased, but the market hasn’t shown enough strength yet to confirm a clean move higher. Whether the BTC price can break out of this range or slip back into another stretch of sideways chop will likely shape the next phase of this cycle.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by CoinCodex
BTC/USDT | More Downside Ahead? Let's Discuss in the Comments!Bitcoin climbed back to $90,500, tapped resistance, and is now trading around $87,800. This bounce looks more like a classic liquidity grab than a trend reversal. I’m still leaning bearish. As long as $90,000 doesn’t flip into solid support, we’re likely heading lower. My next downside targets: $85,000 → $82,700 → $80,500 Nothing’s changed, structure is still weak, and the pressure’s on the bulls. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
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