DXY retracement from it's last peak seems to have bottomed out, and is starting the next leg up to retest highs. Inflation is driving rates back up, or holding them up. While bonds occasionally sell off and yields rise. I imagine either other countries start lowering yields to prevent banking failures, or the US starts increasing yields to avoid dollar debt...
Monthly is winding up for a big drop or huge jump.
Daily shows price winding up potentially the rest of the year. So I will look towards year end for the fireworks, that will decide if our pent up momentum will release upwards or downwards.
My gut says inflation will send it upward in the near future.
Daily is winding up to an inflection point, while the weekly is getting close as well. I'm favoring the bearish break; but there is a chance for a bullish reversal- so time will tell. What I can say is that we're approaching a conclusive point in time that will send price with signifcant momentum in either direction. When I look for an inflection point I watch for...
This probably still needs time but we're approaching an inflection point, it may take another month or two to wind up, so I'll have to watch. Bitcoin has been popping up in it's low liquidity enviroment, and the MM is likely net short due to the influx of buyers. Since the market needs sellers, it's possible MM will push price down to get some liquidity.
On the 1...
Using momentum indicators (keltner channel) I've been watching this weekly rally and recent correction. Using the close, and the last wave, oil price could climb to astronomical levels in USD. There is a momentum shift of the correction, and the bull market for oil appears to be underway. At this pace, 200 by june is not far fetched. I expect the Dollar to lose...
TSLA seems to be bottoming out on the momentum indicators, this looks like it will delay the 100 level test in which supposidly Elon will get margin called at if it were to break. I can see this getting delayed for another week, or perhaps it will bottom here then and form a lower high and restest 100 closer to june/july.
Timeline is 6 months - 2 years
The crash has already started. At some point everyone will start to sell thier treasury bonds, yields will go up proportionally to inflation until the dollar loses it's status as the global currency and dramatic measures are used to stop inflation resulting in stagflation and yield recovery. Else hyper inflation and the dollar is...
Some weekly consolidation; Possible yields haven't topped yet. These inflection points lead to weekly and monthly trend changes which I will be looking for a potential spike as momentum shifts back down and rates test the keltner channel mid or upper line. There is also a possibility that rates breakout of the resistance (trend change) of this bullish leg from...
Here we continue the saga of the FTX fallout. Another dominoe in the collapse is falling. Bitcoin has broken a 4 hour momentum channel which appears to be the next leg to lower lows.
This is the Daily version, since the 1 hour chart will not play for very long.
4 Hour Channel:
Here I made an elliot wave count, this is a complete wave assuming the 5th wave is short like in 2013/2014.
I will look into making an alternate count that shows one more 5th wave to go before a major correction like 2014/2018... Or unlike we've seen in bitcoin history? 60k-1k???
Well no need to get too excited, time will tell which way we're going and it's too...
Seeing a weekly momentum shift forming, expect major trend change.
Couple of scenarios, Economy could break and fed allows inflation to creep up while easing on rates, If they reduce reverse repo rates then yields will drop as money market funds buy 1 yr bills on the open market again.
Otherwise they might have to increase rates if inflation continues to weigh...
As you can see bitcoin is in a dire situation. There maybe a relief bounce to 33k to close a gap produced on the bearish push down. However I doubt that it will amount to anything, if it were to hold there is a chance for a new bullish cycle to start, but no signs yet. Instead we're developing momentum downward and will start to really grind if we don't get that...
We're at a crucial spot on the daily. We've rejected numerous times from the 50% retracement of ~68k-~27k, a crucial level to confirm the double top. Some people think a 30k drop is a correction in bitcoin. In reality that is just a little noise compaired to the 90% 5th wave corrections we've seen in the past, you must view bitcoin logarithmically, and the real...
Target for the next several months is ~20 usd
The sooner we hit it, the sooner we can start another bullish leg.
Short Term Targets are bullish ~23 usd
Anything can happen in this market, as JPM, Deutsche, USB, HSBC have all been fined for spoofing or manipulating the silver market in the past 3-4 years.
Bitcoin at a critical juncture in our lives. A tiny dominoe is about to collapse the house of cards.
Was it all by design? Is the math sound? Does a fiat collapse in the woods make a depression?
Come with me down to the depths of sound insanity.
The 1 hour had shifted. The recovery is over. In the next 6 months you will begin to understand The...
Indicators are signaling a breakdown for some time, and now momentum is building, fate has been decided.
20K target was reached from my dec 2021 analysis.
Every target hit this year.
Next up is domino contagion now that everyone has realised the crypto sphere is built on lies.
We have reserves, against 9x liabilities, in order to profit and extract...
Bitcoin has just about hit the last transient zone, 25k area and has consolidated some 2 months.
It didn't quite reach my first target, but it did consolidate in this zone hitting important price levels leaving new targets.
the 10k-5k zone is an ideal area for the next wave to hit and consolidate in, and because we hadn't hit the 15-10k zone yet, bullish moves...