Litecoin Is Still Eyeing December 2024 HighsLitecoin turned lower recently, but we believe this is just another corrective retracement within a broader bullish trend, which has been showing higher swing lows since the rebound from the 78.6% Fibonacci level back in April. We expect that retracement down from the December highs will be fully retraced, meaning there’s room for a push up toward 147 as illustrated on a daily chart. It can be looking for wave (5) of a diagonal pattern, or alternatively, maybe even wave (3) if it extends decisively above upper diagonal line and goes for 200 area. In the 4-hour chart, we got a sharp rebound from projected support and back above channel resistance line after we noticed an ABC correction, so bulls are back, and we may easily see more gains toward December 2024 highs, just watch out for short-term pullbacks.
Cryptocurrency
BTC consolidates after a significant price spikeBITSTAMP:BTCUSD price has had a slight correction after the previous increase.
Yesterday, the price broke the trendline and the EMA approached, creating a momentum accumulation zone before a strong break - as planned to buy.
Currently, BTC is correcting after the increase, just cutting down the EMA, showing that buying power is weakening, the short-term trend may turn down.
There is no clear signal to enter the order. Continue to observe the price reaction around the EMA and wait for a clear setup before taking action.
You can refer to my previous analysis here:
Please like and comment to support our traders. Your feedback motivates us to produce more analysis in the future 🙏✨
BITCOIN making a bullish break-out similar to July'sBitcoin (BTCUSD) just broke above the Lower Highs trend-line of its August 14 All Time High (ATH). This was implemented after a bottom on the 5-month Higher Lows trend-line as well as the 1D RSI Support.
The last time all those conditions were fulfilled was on the July 02 Lower Highs break-out, after which BTC completed a +25.33% rally from the Low, almost touching its 1.786 Fibonacci extension.
Ahead of another 4H Golden Cross, just like then, we expect Bitcoin to make another +25.33% Bullish Leg and reach at least $136000 on the medium-term.
Do you think that's reasonable to expect within October? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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AKE ON WAY TO MAIN TREND - UPDATE 30-10-2025📊 AKEDO/USDT Update
The coin is now trading above the low time frame zone (0.00129 – 0.00133), showing strength after the recent recovery.
If momentum continues, the next key area is the main trend zone (0.00170 – 0.00190).
Once price enters and holds this main trend, there’s open space above with potential continuation toward 0.00259.
As long as AKEDO stays above the low time frame, bias remains positive for a push toward the main trend.
✅ Outlook: Strong chance of continuation if main trend is reclaimed.
Bitcoin - Shortterm correction in the bullish trend!Introduction
The Bitcoin price action is currently moving within a structured range where both liquidity and fair value gaps (FVGs) are playing an important role in shaping potential market direction. By analyzing the chart, we can identify key areas of liquidity, resistance, and support that traders are likely to pay close attention to in the coming days. Understanding how price reacts around these zones will help anticipate whether bulls can maintain control or if bears will attempt to reclaim lost ground.
Upside liquidity
At the top of the range, we can see a clear liquidity area where price previously reversed. This liquidity pool represents buy-side liquidity, and the market could be drawn towards it as price seeks to sweep the highs. Liquidity is often targeted by the market before making a significant move in the opposite direction, which makes this area important to watch closely.
Resistance from the 4h and daily FVG
Before price can reach higher liquidity levels, it must contend with a strong resistance zone that overlaps with both the 4-hour and the daily fair value gap. This confluence strengthens the resistance, making it more likely that price will struggle to break through immediately. Traders will be watching for signs of rejection within this area, which could cause short-term pullbacks before any potential breakout.
4h FVG and CME gap support
On the downside, the 4-hour fair value gap aligns with the CME gap, providing a strong support level. This zone acts as an attractive area for price to retrace into before continuing higher. It is common for the market to return to such imbalances to fill inefficiencies, so a temporary dip into this support could serve as a healthy retracement before bulls attempt to push price further upward.
Bullish inversion
Another critical development is the inversion zone, where previous resistance has now flipped into support. This shift highlights that bulls are taking control of the market structure, strengthening the overall bullish outlook. As long as this inversion level holds, buyers are likely to defend it aggressively, reducing the probability of a deeper breakdown.
Final thoughts
Overall, the market remains in a bullish posture with upside liquidity acting as a magnet, but significant resistance awaits at the overlapping 4h and daily FVG. Short-term pullbacks into the 4h FVG and CME gap support are likely before the next major move upward. If the bullish inversion continues to hold, we could see a strong push towards the higher liquidity zones, potentially targeting levels beyond 117,000. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether bulls can maintain this control or if resistance proves too strong.
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FINALLY LIGHT CONFIRMS THE LOW TIME FRAME - BREAK UP $1.40Based on trend analysis, the chart shows a confirmed low-timeframe activation. This setup suggests that ALPINE could, with time, break above the $1.40 level and potentially move toward the main target around $2.
The trend is going in waves, we expect there will come a moment when this token will go out the normal trend of waves and against BTC to break up the $1.40
XLMUSD getting ready for an explosive break-out.Stellar (XLMUSD) has been trading within a Descending Triangle since the July 18 High and currently is ranging within its Support level and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
A similar Ascending Triangle back in May - June, rallied aggressively to its 2.0 Fibonacci extension (the July 18 High) after breaking above both its Lower Highs trend-line and the 1D MA50. Even the 1D RSI sequences among the two fractals are similar.
As a result, if the price breaks above the 1D MA50 - Lower Highs trend-line, we will turn bullish, targeting 0.78000 (Fib 2.0 ext).
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LIGHT CAN BREAKOUT AS MYX did before - UPDATE 30-09-2025LIGHT / USDT Trading Update
🔹 The coin is currently consolidating inside the secure zone, showing strong accumulation signs.
📊 As long as price holds this area, the probability of a major breakout remains high.
🚀 Similar to MYX, once momentum builds, this setup has the potential to break out toward the $2.00 level.
🔑 Key breakout confirmation will come once price clears the resistance zone.
📌 Summary:
Light is forming a strong base, and as long as the secure zone holds, the chart suggests a high chance for breakout, with the first major target set at $2.00.
Bitcoin HOLDING THE MAIN TREND.. UPDATE 30-09-2025BTC/USDT Update
🔻 Bitcoin is currently trading below the low time frame zone, showing short-term weakness.
✅ However, BTC is still holding the main trend, which keeps the bigger picture positive.
📊 As long as the main trend support (around $110K) is defended, the market structure remains intact.
🚀 A rebound from this area could bring BTC back into the low time frame range and open the way toward $115K+.
📌 Summary:
BTC lost the low time frame, but the fact that it’s holding the main trend is a key positive signal. This level is crucial for maintaining the bullish outlook.
BITCOIN Did the 1W MA20 just save the day??On one of our recent analyses we talked about the importance of the 1W MA20 (red trend-line) for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the continuation of its non-stop bullish trend since the April 07 2025 Low.
As mentioned then, BTC was likely to extend the trend as long as the 1W candles keep closing above the 1W MA20. The three times a candle didn't, since June 2023, the price declined more to hit (or come very close to) the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
Last week was again a successful 1W candle close above the 1W MA50, third time in a month (since August 25) to do so. Technically that solidifies it as a Support and as long as it holds, Bitcoin has more probabilities to repeat at least a +96.38% rally ('weakest' rally it had on this Bull Cycle) and test $145000.
So do you think the 1W MA50 just saved the day and a new rally is ahead of us? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Phemex Analysis #107: Pro Tips for Trading Ethereum (ETH)Ethereum (ETH) has pushed back into the spotlight after shaking off early‑summer weakness and reclaiming the psychological $4,000 handle. With price now hovering near $4,200, buyers have stepped back in and the daily chart shows a clean sequence of higher lows—story beats that often precede a decisive move. The question on every trader’s mind: does ETH press higher from here, or does it need one more reset before the next leg?
Possible Scenarios
1) Bullish Breakout — momentum carries above nearby supply
If ETH can extend above the immediate supply zone (watch the $4,300–$4,350 band) on rising volume, a trend continuation opens toward $4,500 and a stretch into $4,800.
Pro Tips:
Entry: Look for a strong daily close through $4,350 or a break‑and‑retest that holds as support.
Risk: Initial stop below the breakout zone (~$4,000), then trail under higher lows.
Profit‑taking: Scale out into $4,500 and $4,800 while leaving a runner if momentum expands.
2) Range & Accumulation — base building above $4,000
ETH may continue to coil between $4,000 support and $4,350 resistance while the market digests macro cues and liquidity rotates across majors.
Pro Tips:
Plan the box: Accumulate near $4,000, lighten up into $4,300–$4,350.
Avoid the middle: Wait for edges; don’t chase mid‑range noise.
Watch volume: Expansion at range edges often telegraphs the break direction.
3) Bearish Pullback — liquidity sweep into deeper supports
Failure to hold $4,000 on heavy sell volume invites a deeper flush toward $3,750 and, in a heavier risk‑off tape, $3,500.
Pro Tips:
Defense first: Cut risk on a decisive daily close below $4,000.
DCA with discipline: Long‑term bulls can consider staggered bids only after stabilization (shrinking candles, waning sell volume, higher‑low attempts) near $3,750 / $3,500.
Re‑entry tells: Look for momentum divergences or a strong reclaim of $4,000 to re‑engage.
Conclusion
ETH sits at a pivotal zone with a clear if/then map:
If $4,350 breaks and holds → ride the trend toward $4,500–$4,800.
If the range persists → harvest the $4,000–$4,350 box with tight risk.
If $4,000 fails → wait for stabilization at $3,750 / $3,500 before redeploying.
Anchored by deep liquidity, relentless builder activity, and a maturing staking and L2 ecosystem, Ethereum remains the market’s bellwether. Trade the levels, respect the tape, and let structure—not emotion—drive your decisions.
🔥 Tips:
Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Will Ripple (XRP) continue to sell XRP – Distribution Pattern & Elliott Wave Roadmap
We’ve now tapped this support line five times. The structure looks like another Lower High (LH) forming inside a distribution pattern.
• Bullish scenario: If price breaks above the LH structure, we could see continuation toward a new all-time high.
• Bearish scenario: If lower highs persist, I don’t expect a sixth touch of this support. Instead, a decisive break lower would confirm the top of Wave (5) and start a larger correction.
That correction should complete as a 3-wave structure, setting up the Super Cycle Wave (1) top. From there, leg 2 develops before a true leg 3 rally begins. Based on my count, that rally zone could emerge from $0.05 – $0.14.
This chart is part of my overall Elliott Wave view (see my first post). I’ll update that main chart when a minor leg one within this corrective phase is confirmed.
⚠️ CRYPTO:XRPUSD Stay tuned—updates will follow as CRYPTO:XRPUSD defines its path.
BTC/USDT | BTC Bounce After $111K Dip – Liquidity Gap in FocusBy analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after a heavy correction down to $111,000, the price found demand again and is now trading around $113,600.
I expect Bitcoin to continue rising to fill the liquidity gap, with the first target at $114,150. Other targets and scenarios will be shared tomorrow!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
DOGE This is how to trade it in October.Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since March but recently has found a new Support on the Higher Lows trend-line that started on the August 03 Low. This price action has been additionally supported by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
As long as the 1D MA100 holds, October should see at least Doge testing the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the pattern. Given that the previous Higher Lows rebound peaked on the 1.136 Fibonacci extension, our Target will be 0.3200.
If the Higher Highs trend-line breaks (1D candle close above it), extend buying to a total +101.96% rise from the bottom, targeting 0.41000.
If however the 1D MA100 breaks (candle close below it), we expect the Channel Up to go for a full pricing of a Higher Low bottom, on a similar -45.82% decline to both previous Bearish Legs, targeting 0.17000.
As a result, the current price action, which has Doge sitting just above the 1D MA100, offers a great reward on the lowest possible risk.
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Bitcoin going on the flow UPDATE 29-09-2025BTC/USDT Update
✅ Bitcoin has successfully moved above the main trend, a strong signal that momentum is shifting positively.
🔑 As long as BTC holds this main trend support, the outlook remains bullish.
📈 This structure opens the door for further upside continuation, with buyers maintaining control above this level.
📌 Summary:
BTC is currently holding above the main trend, which keeps the short-term outlook positive as long as this level is defended.
Cryptocurrency : The New Normal & The World of Leverage Trading.📌 Cryptocurrency: The New Normal & The World of Leverage Trading ⚔️ ( A Sweet Killer! )
🌍 Why Are Traders Shifting to Crypto? COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:ETHUSD COINBASE:SOLUSD
✔️ Lower capital required compared to stocks
✔️ Fewer gaps (24/7 market = no overnight gap-up/down shockers)
✔️ High leverage opportunities (control bigger trades with smaller margin)
✔️ Global accessibility (Binance, Bybit, OKX, CoinDCX, Mudrex etc.)
📊 Types of Trading in Crypto
💠 **Spot Trading** → In India, 30% tax on capital gains ( check according to your country ).
💠 **Options & Futures** → Taxed as *Business Income* ( like F&O in stocks ). No flat % rule.
⚡ What is Leverage?
👉 Leverage means using *small capital* to control a *large trade size* , because the exchange lends you money.
Think of it like **margin trading** in stocks — but much more aggressive.
🔹 Example 1 : Normal Trade style ( No Leverage )
suppose you have 💰 Capital = $10,000
Bought BTC at Price = $10,000,000
* You can buy 0.001 BTC ( 10000 ➗ 10,000,000 ).
* If BTC rises 10% → Profit = $1,000 (+10%)
* If BTC falls 10% → Loss = $1,000 (-10%)
👉 Risk & reward move in proportion to your capital.
🔹 Example 2 : Leverage Trade style ( 10x Leverage )
suppose you have 💰 Capital = $10,000
opted Leverage = 10x
New Trade Size ( margin ) = $1,00,000 ( you can now utilize this margin amount for trading )
* You can buy 0.01 BTC ( 10000 ➗ 10,000,000 ).
* If BTC rises 10% → Profit = $10,000 (+100% return)
* If BTC falls 10% → Loss = FULL $10,000 ( Liquidation 🚨 )
👉 A 10% move = your account will be blown.
🔹 Example 3:
suppose you have 💰 Capital = $10,000
opted Leverage = 50x (Extreme ⚠️)
New Trade Size ( margin ) = $5,00,000 ( you can now utilize this margin amount for trading )
* You can buy 0.05 BTC ( 50000 ➗ 10,000,000 ).
* If BTC rises just 2% → Profit = $10,000 (+100% return)
* If BTC falls just 2% → FULL $10,000 loss ( Liquidation 🚨 )
* If BTC rises just 10% → Profit = $50,000 (+500% return)
* If BTC falls just 10% → FULL $10,000 loss ( Liquidation 🚨 )
👉 Tiny moves in high volatile asset class = jackpot or wipeout/blown.
⚔️ Key Takeaways :
1️⃣ Leverage multiplies profits 💸 but also multiplies losses too💀 ( a sweet killer! )
2️⃣ Crypto is *highly volatile* (10–20% daily moves are common) → High leverage is extremely risky, if not managed well.
3️⃣ Beginners should **never use more than 2x–3x leverage**
👉 In simple words: **Leverage is a double-edged sword ⚔️**
Used wisely → You’re a king 👑
Used recklessly → You’re broke 🥀
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🚘 Liquidation Explained ( ex: Car Analogy )
Imagine you pay $10,000 ( as a security ) to rent a car worth $1,00,000. (That’s 10x leverage).
* The car is in your hands, but $90,000 still belongs to the owner of car (exchange).
* If the damage goes beyond your $10,000 margin → the owner takes back the car immediately.
👉 That’s liquidation: when your loss = your margin.
🔹 Case 1: Normal Trade style ( No Leverage )
Margin = $10,000 → Buy BTC.
If BTC drops 10% → Loss = $1,000.
You still have $9,000 left.
✅ No liquidation. Just a normal loss.
🔹 Case 2: 10x Leverage Trade style
Margin = $10,000
New Trade Size ( margin ) = $1,00,000
* BTC rises 10% → Profit = $10,000 (+100%)
* BTC falls 10% → Margin wiped = Liquidation 🚨
🔹 Case 3: 20x Leverage Trade style
Margin = $10,000
New Trade Size = $2,00,000 ( margin )
* BTC rises 5% → Profit = $10,000 (+100% return)
* BTC falls 5% → Margin wiped = Liquidation 🚨
👉 Just 5% against you = Account gone.
🔹 Case 4: 50x Leverage Trade style (High-Risk Zone ⚠️)
Margin = $10,000
New Trade Size = $5,00,000 ( margin )
* BTC rises 2% → Profit = $10,000 (+100% return)
* BTC falls 2% → FULL $10,000 loss = Liquidation 🚨
👉 Just 2% against you = Blown account = Game over.
🎯 Final Word
Leverage = Power ⚡
But in crypto’s volatile world, it’s also a **trap for the impatient**.
* Liquidation is directly proportionate to Leverage.
* Smart traders use small leverage.
* Impulsive traders burn out with high leverage.
💬 Question for you: What’s the **highest leverage** you’ve ever used in a trade? Drop it below 👇 (Be honest—we’ve all been tempted!)
If this Idea gave you a value information then please, Boost it, share your thoughts in comments, and follow for more practical trading!
Happy Trading & Investing!
@TradeWithKeshhav and team
BITCOIN Is there time left for one final run??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern through the entirety of its Bull Cycle. The key characteristic of this pattern, which has also helped us at taking profits during each phase in timely manner, has been that every High since the Bear Cycle's Lower Highs trend-line broke, has been on a +0.5 Fibonacci extension interval.
As you can see, starting from Fib 1.5 ext, BTC has fulfilled the pattern by making Highs on the 2.5, 3.5 and 4.5 Fibs so far. What technically remains plausible until the end of the year is the 5.5 Fib ext, which sits at $180k.
With the 4-year Cycle theory suggesting a Cycle Top a little before the end of the year, is it realistic to expect this Target? Do you think there's time for BTC to make one final run like this? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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114-114K is a Key Level for BTC directionMorning folks,
So, BTC indeed dropped as we suggested. It was not a surprise with so tight liquidity situation in the US... Now, BTC keeps door open to both scenarios with some adv. on bearish side. But this adv. is not total.
Since our H&S pattern in a process of failure, it is logical to suggest [b ]potential Butterfly on daily chart
At the same, on 1H chart we can see that BTC is forming reverse H&S pattern. By itself, it is not a problem for daily butterfly, this H&S might become a part of it. But, it could become the part of weekly opposite butterfly either.
So, everything depends on 114-114.5K area which is a neckline. Upside breakout increases bullish chances. What we're going to do?
Obviously - try to take a long position with H&S. No matter, will it get minor target or become a reversal pattern - anyway it has to be considered. And we also will be keep an eye on its failure. This is also important and gives us a confidence with downside continuation.
Probably to the next update on Thu, we should get the clarity over this pattern. Right now we prefer to sit on the hands.
IMX HOLDING THE MAIN TREND AND CAN RETURN HUGE - UPDATE 28-05IMX/USDT Trading Update
🔹 Main trend holding: IMX is holding its main trend support, which is a very important signal for keeping the broader uptrend intact.
🔻 It did lose the low time frame trend and corrected from $0.83 down to the $0.70–$0.75 zone.
🔄 However, holding the main trend gives strong potential that the low time frame trend may return in the coming sessions.
🎯 First target: If recovery continues, the first upside target is set at $1.00, marking a full rebound from this cycle.
📌 Summary:
Despite losing momentum on the low time frame, IMX remains positive as long as it holds the main trend. Expectation stays bullish with the next target toward $1.00.
BITCOIN ON WAY TO MAINTREND - UPDATE 28-09-2025📊BTC/USDT Trading Update
✅ Low time frame confirmed: Bitcoin has established support in the $109.3K – $109.7K zone, which now acts as a strong base.
📈 Price is moving toward the main trend zone ($110.8K – $111.5K). This will be the key resistance area to watch.
🔑 Breakout potential:
If BTC clears the main trend zone, momentum could accelerate with the next target around $112K – $113K.
This would confirm a stronger continuation of the short-term uptrend.
Scenarios:
Bullish case: Hold above $109.3K and break $111.5K → expansion toward $112K – $113K.
Bearish case: Failure to break the main trend could lead to sideways action or retest of $109K support.
📌 Summary:
BTC has confirmed its low time frame breakout and is now targeting the main trend zone. A break above this range will likely fuel a push toward $112K – $113K.
BTC at a Crossroad: Path to 62.5k Is Conditional-Pick Your PlayI’m sharing a possible irregular flat correction that could pull BTC toward ~62,513—only if two key trend supports break.
Note: This Elliott count differs from my main count. It’s my secondary scenario—lower conviction, but it deserves close attention because the structure is developing cleanly. This does not mean BTC is going down (it's just a watch out scenario)
The story so far
From the Nov 22, 2022 low, BTC ran a full 5-wave impulse.
Wave 3 was the extended one.
Wave 4 formed a triangle.
Wave 5 ran hotter than expected (roughly the size of Wave 3). That’s unusual, likely fueled by extreme Bollinger Band Width compression before the final push.
Why this matters: when Wave 3 extends, Wave 5 is usually shorter. It isn’t a hard rule—just a guideline—so this count stays on the board, but it’s not a high-conviction setup.
What I think is happening now
The drop and bounce look like an expanded (irregular) flat: (A) down, (B) up which was our All time high, C down.
If the pattern completes, C could target ~62,513.
Quick pattern note (irregular flat): It’s a 3–3–5 structure — A = 3 waves, B = 3 waves (often pokes above the prior high), and C = 5 waves. On this chart, A and B already printed as 3 + 3. The setup isn’t confirmed until we see C unfold as a clear 5-wave move (1-2-3-4-5). No five-wave C = no completed irregular flat.
What would confirm it (the “if/then”)
Lose the first rising trend support (≈ 109k).
Then lose the second, deeper trend support.
If both break, the path toward ~62.5k could be opening up.
Between those two lines: BTC can go sideways for a weeks—that “range box” is important.
Why the range box matters (Altseason meter)
Altcoins usually need steady BTC to fly:
BTC sideways (not spiking up or dumping).
TOTAL2 (alt mkt cap) breaks ATH.
BTC.D rolls over (dominance falls).
If these three line up, we’ve got a real altseason setup. If not, it’s noise.
Bottom line
This is a watchlist scenario, not gospel.
I’ll respect the levels: no break = no bear target.
If we range between supports, I’ll look for alt strength while BTC stays calm.