LINK/USDT - Bearish Flag Breakdown in Play (17.12.2025)📝 Description🔹 Setup WHITEBIT:LINKUSDT
LINK/USDT formed a classic Bearish Flag pattern after a strong impulsive drop (flagpole).
Price is now consolidating inside a rising channel, but remains below Ichimoku Cloud resistance and key EMAs — signaling weak bullish momentum.
As long as price stays below the flag resistance, bearish continuation remains the higher probability.
📌 Trading Plan
Primary Bias: 🔴 Bearish continuation
Watch for flag breakdown confirmation below minor support
Momentum confirmation = strong bearish candle close
🔴 1st Support: 12.12
🔴 2nd Support (Flag Target): 11.69
Measured Move: Flagpole height projection aligns with lower target
#LINKUSDT #Chainlink #CryptoTrading #BearishFlag #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarket #TradingView #Altcoins #Kabhi_TA_Trading
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Crypto markets are highly volatile — always use proper risk management and stop-loss.
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Cryptomarket
BTC/USDT - Major Rejection from Supply Zone📝 Description 🔹 Setup Overview WHITEBIT:BTCUSDT
BTC/USDT has faced a strong rejection from the upper resistance / supply zone near the recent highs. Price has broken below the rising trendline, signaling a shift in short-term market structure from bullish to bearish. Failure to reclaim the trendline keeps sellers in control.
📌 Trading Plan📉 Bearish Scenario (Primary Bias )
Sell Zone: Below the broken trendline & previous support
Target 1: 89,030 (1st Support)
Target 2: 87,520 (2nd Support – liquidity area)
Confirmation: Weak bullish candles + rejection from trendline retest
#BTCUSDT #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoTrading #BTC #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarket #TrendlineBreak #TradingView #Kabhi_TA_Trading #SellBTC
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Crypto markets are highly volatile — always manage risk and use stop-losses.
👍 Support the Analysis❤️ LIKE if this helped💬 COMMENT your BTC view
🔁 SHARE with fellow traders
Your support keeps the analysis coming! 🙏
Bitcoin- Cyclical Bottom in the 80Ks leading to new ATH in 2026!I connected the major lows of the last two major corrections ever since BTC began its uptrend from the 37K swing low of January 2024. It appears BTC has completed the correction as per the cycle bottom to bottom half circles. Also, see how the price perfectly bounced off the diagonal support coming off from the January swing low! Next, I anticipate the price to make huge bullish pump to test the diagonal resistance! Next major cycle top I predict can happen in end of February to March 2026 time frame.
XRPUSD; Heikin Ashi Trade Idea📈 Hey Traders!
Here’s a fresh outlook from my trading desk. If you’ve been following me for a while, you already know my approach:
🧩 I trade Supply & Demand zones using Heikin Ashi chart on the 4H timeframe.
🧠 I keep it mechanical and clean — no messy charts, no guessing games.
❌ No trendlines, no fixed sessions, no patterns, no indicator overload.
❌ No overanalyzing the market; use only two time frames.
❌ No scalping, and no need to be glued to the screen.
✅ I trade exclusively with limit orders, so it’s more of a set-and-forget style.
✅ This means more freedom, less screen time, and a focus on quality setups.
✅ Just a simplified, structured plan and a calm mindset.
💬 Let’s Talk:
💡Do you trade supply & demand too ?
💡What’s your go-to timeframe ?
💡Ever tried Heikin Ashi ?
📩 Got questions about my strategy or setup? Drop them below — ask me anything, I’m here to share.
Let’s grow together and keep it simple. 👊
Fear Creates Winners — BTC 84.8K Swing to 132K?BTC Technical Outlook (2D Chart)
I always prefer using the 2-Day timeframe (2D) when analyzing Bitcoin because it helps minimize noise, reduce false signals, and highlight the true macro trend. When you zoom out, the market becomes more honest.
Right now, Bitcoin is testing the lower boundary of its ascending channel, a level that has historically generated strong bullish reversals.
Sentiment is heavily bearish, liquidity is building under 85K, and RSI is approaching oversold — all aligning for a high-probability swing setup.
Swing Trade Plan (Macro Structure)
Entry Zone: Around 84,800 USD
Take Profit: 132,000 USD
Stop Loss:
A confirmed 2-Day CLOSE below 74,400 USD
The idea is simple:
The structure remains bullish as long as BTC stays above the lower channel line. A 2-day close below 74,400 would mean the channel is broken — and the setup is invalidated.
"When everyone becomes bearish, be the fool who buys —
because the fool who buys support becomes the genius at the target."
Entry around 84,800, TP 132K, SL only on a 2-Day close below 74,400.
Risk-to-Reward ≈ 1:4.5
FILUSDT: Bullish Push to 1.700?BINANCE:FILUSDT.P is eyeing a bullish breakout on the 4-hour chart , with price rebounding from the downward trendline and support zone, converging with a potential entry area that could ignite upside momentum if buyers break resistance amid recent consolidation. This setup suggests a reversal opportunity after the downtrend, targeting higher levels with strong risk-reward .🔥
Entry between 1.243–1.287 for a long position. Target at 1.700. Set a stop loss at 1.221, yielding a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:10 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair's momentum post-rebound.🌟
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
1.243 – 1.287
🎯 Target:
• 1.700
❌ Stop Loss:
• 1.221
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• ~ 1:6+ (very aggressive)
⚠️ Risk Notes (Very Important)
This setup carries elevated risk due to:
• FIL’s historically high volatility
• Broader altcoin market sensitivity to BTC moves
• Thin liquidity compared to majors
✅ Consider:
• Reduced position size
• Partial profits on the way up
• No over-leverage
• Strict respect of the stop loss
💡 Your view?
Is FILUSDT forming a genuine base for a breakout toward 1.70 — or just another lower-high before continuation down? 👇
4 hour BITCOIN Update - Bulls looking Good
UPDATE to the 4 hour Bitcoin post yesterday, were we talked about how the Bulls have been stepping up the Fib retracement Ladder.
To remind you, See the first major Drop took us to the 1 retrace Fib line, Obviously.
The second, took us to the 0.768.
And as of NOW, The Bulls appear to be holding the 0.618l.
The Bulls are doing Well.
The Yellow 200 SMA is the next problem for PA, should the bulls carry PA higher.
That is around 90K
BUT this is a Bear flag on a higher Time Frames.
We are still in a "No mans Land" right now.....
PA can go either way
I have BULLISH CAUTION
I would also like you to look at what happened in Early 2025
This Daily chart shows us that Early 2025 also had a pull back, that began ending in a Bear Flag, we dropped to support and then pushed higher.
A total drop of -32.5%
We have just done -35.8%
We are likely to Dip a little lower maybe but I am not yet convinced that we are in a Full on Bear market just yet.
For me, we still have hope while PA remains above that Long Term line of support, that now sits on the 0.768 Fib Line....at around 83351 usdt
I wait patiently.
ADAUSDT: Bullish Push to 0.45?BINANCE:ADAUSDT is eyeing a bullish rebound on the 4-hour chart , with price forming higher lows after touching the downward trendline and cumulative long liquidation zone, converging with a potential entry area that could ignite upside momentum if buyers defend against short-term dips. This setup suggests a reversal opportunity amid recent downtrend, targeting higher resistance levels with strong risk-reward .🔥
Entry between 0.3780–0.3880 for a long position. Targets at 0.43 (first), 0.45 (second). Set a stop loss at a daily close below 0.37 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:2.5 to first target and up to 1:3.5 overall . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair's momentum post-rebound.🌟
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
0.3780 – 0.3880
(Entries within this zone are valid with proper risk & capital management.)
🎯 Targets:
• 0.43 (first)
• 0.45 (second)
❌ Stop Loss:
• Daily close below 0.37
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• Up to 1:3.5 overall
💡 Your view?
Does ADA hold this demand zone and push toward 0.45 — or is this rebound just a dead-cat bounce before another leg lower? 👇
Crypto market review and potential trade opportunitiesAfter breaking those key macro support levels (check my October/November reviews), BTC has moved into a solid downtrend. Right now, any bounce we see should be first viewed as just a correction-phase retrace - not the start of a full-blown rally.
From the correction structure off October highs, a drop to the 75k–71k zone feels like the cleaner play. That would let us call the first wave of this correction done in classic 5-wave fashion from all-time highs.
BTC Chart:
Short-term, things are murkier - it all hinges on price action in the coming days.
• If we break convincingly above December highs around 94.6k, it opens the door to 102.5k–106k, with potential stretch to 112k.
• But if price slips below recent lows at 89k and 87.5k, that deeper correction to 75k–71k starts looking very likely.
For altcoin plays, short ZEC if it breaks below 445 (risk at 476, first profit targets 355–340) looks most compelling to me risk-reward wise
ZEC Chart:
Wishing everyone chill, sunny weekends ahead!
BTCUSDT: Bearish Drop to 84000?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is eyeing a bearish reversal on the 4-hour chart , with price forming lower highs within an upward channel, approaching resistance near cumulative long liquidation zones that could trigger downside momentum if sellers defend the levels amid recent volatility. This setup suggests a pullback opportunity after the rally, targeting lower support levels with overall risk-reward exceeding 1:4.
Entry between 91400–92700 for a short position. Targets at 87900 (first), 84000 (second). Set a stop loss at a close above 93180 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:3.5 in total. Monitor for confirmation via a bearish candle close below entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair's channel dynamics.🌟
Fundamentally , Bitcoin has plunged below $90,000 on December 12, 2025, amid AI-related jitters dragging down Nasdaq and crypto stocks, with prices consolidating around $89,978 after a sharp fall from its $126,000 peak earlier this year. Despite a 1.9% daily crypto market cap increase to $3.23 trillion, sentiment remains cautious with fears of a price crash, as the asset oscillates in the $88,000–$93,000 range on Fed outlook but shows hourly downside after failing $92,735 resistance. Long-term forecasts eye drops to $80,000 by end-2026, with prediction markets skeptical of hitting $100,000 in 2025, though bulls maintain the uptrend for now. Bitcoin correlates with the S&P 500, which slipped today alongside Nasdaq due to AI bubble fears from Broadcom's results, potentially adding downward pressure on BTC. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Short):
91,400 – 92,700
(Entries inside this zone remain valid with proper risk & capital management.)
🎯 Targets:
• 87,900 (first)
• 84,000 (second)
❌ Stop Loss:
A daily close above 93,180
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
More than 1:4 overall
💡 Your view?
Will BTC reject the 92K zone and unwind toward 84,000, or does crypto surprise with a squeeze first? 👇
How to Use VWAP in Confluence with StructureVWAP is one of the few indicators that consistently adds value when used correctly. It does not predict direction and it does not replace market structure, but it provides a powerful reference point for where fair value sits within the current session or trend.
When combined with structural analysis, VWAP helps you filter trades, improve timing, and avoid impulsive entries that fight the underlying flow.
The first step is understanding what VWAP represents. It shows the average price weighted by volume, reflecting where most transactions have occurred. When price trades above VWAP, it signals that buyers are in control of the session.
When price trades below it, sellers dominate. This context becomes meaningful only when it aligns with the higher timeframe structure.
Start by establishing your bias through market structure.
If the higher timeframe is in an uptrend and price trades within a discount zone, VWAP becomes a dynamic confirmation tool. A reclaim of VWAP after a liquidity sweep or after a break of structure is one of the cleanest signals that buyers are stepping back in.
The same applies in reverse for downtrends: a VWAP rejection after a pullback into premium strengthens the short bias.
VWAP also adds clarity during intraday consolidation. Ranges often form around VWAP because it reflects the session’s equilibrium. Breakouts that occur away from VWAP without pullbacks frequently lack durability.
However, a breakout followed by a retest of VWAP shows acceptance and builds confidence in continuation. This combination turns a common indicator into a reliable filter rather than a standalone signal.
Another effective use of VWAP is identifying exhaustion. When price aggressively pushes far above or below VWAP, it often signals that the move is extended. This does not mean you fade the trend, but it does mean you tighten expectations and wait for structure to align before entering. Once price reconnects with VWAP and shows intent, the next move becomes more sustainable.
VWAP becomes particularly powerful when paired with session logic. Trading above VWAP in a bullish higher timeframe environment during London or New York sessions often leads to cleaner impulses.
Trading against VWAP during low-volume hours produces far more false signals. Timing, structure, and VWAP together create a cohesive framework.
Used in confluence, not in isolation, VWAP supports disciplined decision-making.
It aligns entries with momentum, filters low-quality setups, and clarifies whether the market accepts or rejects a level. When you combine VWAP with structure, liquidity, and session context, your trades become more intentional, less emotional, and significantly more consistent.
(BTC/USDT) Starting an Uptrend or Making a New Bottom?BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Hello everyone
In my opinion, if the news is not problematic and does not affect the trend and its change,
Bitcoin can start its uptrend.
On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin reacted well to the block order and the price reversal on the daily and 4-hour timeframes confirmed it.
Tell us your idea in the comments.
$BAT 1WThe BITMEX:BAT in the weekly timeframe is in a downtrend and is trading within a descending channel.
The price is forming lower highs and lower lows.
The channel's midline is a critical and important level, which could create a bullish bounce.
However, if it breaks below this level, a price drop to the channel's bottom is anticipated.
TOTAL MARKET CAP – HTF Context / LTF PlanPrice is currently trading inside the 4H bullish order block.
This zone previously acted as strong demand and is now being respected again.
At the moment, price is still inside a no-trade zone
Liquidity is being built and structure is not yet confirmed.
Bias: cautiously bullish
Plan: patience → confirmation → execution
What I’m waiting for:
A clear AMD sequence
(Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution)
Ideally:
Short-term sweep into the lower part of the 4H OB
Reaction + displacement to the upside
Market Structure Shift (MSS) on lower timeframes
Optional confluence:
1H / 15m FVG tap
Strong bullish candle close with volume expansion
Invalidation:
Clean breakdown and acceptance below the 4H bullish OB
Failure to reclaim internal structure after a sweep
If AMD plays out correctly, this area offers a high R:R long opportunity targeting:
Internal range highs
Higher timeframe imbalance
Potential continuation towards previous highs
Until then: no FOMO, no early entries.
Let price come to us.
MrC
ETHUSD H4 | Potential Bearish DropMomentum: Bearish
Price may retrace toward the sell entry, which has been identified as an overlap resistance level. This confluence adds significant strength to the zone.
Sell Entry: 3,079.09
Overlap resistance
Stop Loss: 3,293.66
Pullback resistance
Take Profit: 2,668.23
Swing-low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
LTCUSD H4 | Bearish ContinuationMomentum: Bearish
Price may retrace to the sell entry, which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, adding significant strength to this level.
Sell Entry: 79.61
Pullback resistance
38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 86.49
Pullback resistance
Take Profit: 71.03
Pullback support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
This Week’s US Data (15-20 Dec): Stocks & Bitcoin1. Jobs report (NFP, unemployment, wages) 👷♂️
Very good / hawkish for Fed
NFP: > 250k new jobs.
Unemployment rate: ≤ 4.0%.
Average hourly earnings YoY: ≥ 4.0%.
Typical read: economy still strong, “higher for longer” rates; can pressure stocks short term and is usually negative for BTC as real yields/UST bid up.
Clearly bad / dovish for Fed
NFP: < 100k new jobs, or negative revision cluster.
Unemployment rate: ≥ 4.4–4.5%.
Wage growth YoY: ≤ 3.5%.
Typical read: cooling labor market, more cuts priced; generally supportive for equities and often bullish BTC via liquidity/risk-on narrative.
2. Retail sales 🛒
Good demand signal
Headline/control retail sales: ≥ +0.5% MoM and broad-based.
Read: consumer still spending, growth backdrop OK; modestly positive for cyclicals but can keep the Fed cautious, mixed for BTC.
Weak demand signal
Headline/control retail sales: ≤ 0.0% MoM or negative, especially if previous month revised down.
Read: demand softening, recession whispers; increases cut odds, usually net bullish indices if not catastrophic, mildly bullish BTC.
3. CPI / core CPI 🔥
Too hot
Headline CPI YoY: > 3.0–3.2%.
Core CPI YoY: > 3.0% or core monthly ≥ 0.3–0.4%.
Read: disinflation stalling; markets re‑price fewer cuts, UST yields pop, typically negative for high‑beta stocks and BTC.
Comfortably cool
Headline CPI YoY: ≤ 2.7–2.8%.
Core CPI YoY: ≤ 2.7–2.8%, monthly core around 0.2%.
Read: inflation close to “mission accomplished”; supportive for risk assets and usually good for BTC as real yields drift lower.
4. Core PCE 🔥
Hawkish
Core PCE YoY: ≥ 3.0% or re‑accelerating vs prior print.
Read: Fed’s preferred gauge still too high; bearish for duration, a headwind for growth stocks and BTC.
Conclusion for this week: markets are set up for reaction, not trend-building, and thin year-end liquidity means moves can overshoot in both directions.
Building Bias and Narrative in Trading (HTF-LTF)Bias is built top-down. The visuals make this clear. Higher timeframes define the environment. Lower timeframes refine execution. Mixing the two leads to impatience and overtrading.
Start with the high timeframe. Weekly and daily charts carry the highest impact on decision-making. They move slowly, but they define direction, value, and market regime. This is where patience matters most. If the higher timeframe is trending, your bias follows that direction. If it is ranging or transitioning, expectations on lower timeframes must be adjusted accordingly.
The first chart illustrates this trade-off clearly. As timeframes get lower, the impact of patience decreases while the risk of overtrading increases. This is why bias must be anchored higher. Lower timeframes react faster, but they lack authority without higher-timeframe alignment.
Once the environment is defined, map key levels on the higher timeframe. Major highs and lows, clear support and resistance, and obvious liquidity zones form the backbone of your narrative. These levels explain where market participants are positioned and where reactions are most likely to occur. Without them, lower-timeframe signals lose meaning.
Next, use momentum and structure to validate the story. Strong impulsive moves on higher timeframes confirm control. Weak follow-through or overlapping candles signal uncertainty. Momentum should support the directional bias defined earlier. If it does not, the narrative weakens.
Only then does the lower timeframe come into play. The second visual shows how the same market prints very different candles depending on timeframe. Weekly and daily charts compress noise into structure. Fifteen-minute and five-minute charts expand that structure into execution detail. Entries belong here, but only in the direction already defined.
The final table ties this together by trader type.
Long-term traders define trend on weekly charts and execute on daily.
Swing traders frame direction on daily and refine entries on four-hour.
Short-term traders align with four-hour structure and execute on hourly.
Scalpers still require hourly context before acting on fifteen-minute charts.
Bias is not prediction. It is alignment. The narrative flows from high timeframe context to low timeframe execution. When you respect this sequence, trades become selective, risk becomes clearer, and execution becomes calmer. The chart stops feeling random because you are reading it as a story, not reacting to each line.






















