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$UFD: 100x Extremum Breakout SetupCHART ANALYSIS Two fake-outs cleared. Year-long base complete. Bottom confirmed. Breakout imminent. 📊 KEY LEVELS: Current: $0.014516 Resistance: $0.041121 (+183%) Extremum Target: 100x zone 📈 PATTERN: 12-month accumulation base ✓ May + July fake-outs shook weak hands ✓ February 2025 bottom confirmed with BUY signal ✓ Clean resistance at 0.041121 ready to test Historic breakout window: March-May 2025 THE FUNDAMENTAL EDGE 365 consecutive days of building. Zero days missed. While 95% of crypto projects die within 6 months, UFD's developer has shown up EVERY. SINGLE. DAY. for an entire year to build and engage the community. This isn't normal. This is top 1% commitment that creates: Unshakeable community loyalty Zero rug risk Compounding product development Cult-like holder conviction WHY THIS COULD PARABOLIC Technical + Fundamental Convergence: When you get a developer building daily for 365 days AND a textbook accumulation pattern completing, you're not looking at a trade. You're looking at a generational setup. 🎯 The Math: Entry: $0.014516 (NOW) Target 1: $0.041121 = 183% gain Target 2: 100x zone = 6,900% gain Risk/Reward: 1:100+ 🔥 The Narrative: Once CT discovers "the dev that never missed a day for a year" + "the chart that bottomed perfectly," FOMO goes nuclear. TIMELINE Now - March 2026: Final accumulation, resistance test March - May 2026: Breakout window opens May - July 2026: Extremum 100x zone activation THE SETUP ✓ 12-month base complete ✓ Weak hands eliminated via 2 fake-outs ✓ Bottom confirmed with technical signal ✓ 365 days proven developer commitment ✓ Battle-tested community ✓ Asymmetric risk/reward (1:100+) ⏳ Breakout pending This is what accumulation looks like before the parabolic move. The question isn't IF—it's are you positioned WHEN. DYOR. Not financial advice. Chart patterns + fundamentals suggest rare alignment. Position accordingly.
CRYPTO:UFDUSDLong
by jflex
1
BTCUSD | Broke 94k | 100k next?Fundamental approach: - Bitcoin prices advanced this week, supported by renewed institutional inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs and shifting expectations around US inflation and Fed policy. The move came amid a broader improvement in risk sentiment across crypto assets as prices stabilized above key psychological levels.​ - ETF data showed US spot Bitcoin products returning to net inflows from 12 Jan till now, ending several days of redemptions and signaling fresh institutional demand for the asset class. This coincided with easing concerns after the latest US inflation readings, which kept alive the narrative of eventual Fed rate cuts and helped underpin appetite for higher‑beta assets like bitcoin. - Bitcoin prices may remain sensitive to incoming US labor and growth data, as well as any shifts in Fed rhetoric that could alter the path of rate cuts. Potential catalysts include additional spot Bitcoin ETF flow data and regulatory or legislative headlines on US digital asset policy.​ Technical approach: - After breaking above the previous swing high, BTCUSD has created higher swings. The price is above both EMAs, indicating a potential bullish trend setup. - If BTCUSD remains above EMA78, the price may advance further and retest the immediate resistance at 100000. - On the contrary, breaking below EMA78 may prompt a further correction toward the following support at 89000. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Long
by DatTong
SOL - Descending Wedge Rejection at $145 | FVG Retest Incoming What's up traders! 👋 SOLUSD is setting up for a key move. We've got a symmetrical wedge pattern with price respecting the descending resistance perfectly - hitting it and getting rejected. Let me break down what I'm seeing on the 45-minute chart. The Setup SOL is trading at $144.85 on the 45-minute timeframe. Price is inside a symmetrical wedge pattern - descending resistance on top (lower highs) and ascending support on bottom (higher lows). The key here: price just hit the descending resistance near $145-$147 and got REJECTED. This is textbook wedge behavior. Price respects the trendlines until breakout. Right now, it's following the wedge DOWN toward the FVG zone. Why I'm Leaning Bearish (Short-Term) Price rejected from descending resistance at $147 Failed to clear $150 resistance - sellers defending Dropped below $146 and $145 - now below 100-hour SMA Hourly RSI below 50 - bearish momentum MACD showing bearish pressure Long/short ratio at 0.7569 - traders leaning short $10.5M in liquidations - $7.7M were longs 3M performance: -20.40% | 1Y: -29.60% - macro downtrend The Wedge Structure DESCENDING RESISTANCE (Top): Lower highs forming - sellers capping rallies at $145-$147 ASCENDING SUPPORT (Bottom): Higher lows forming - buyers defending around $138-$140 CURRENT ACTION: Price hit descending resistance and rejected FVG ZONE: $140-$142 is the next target for retest TREND: Following the wedge DOWN until breakout The News Context - January 16, 2026 Mixed signals but leaning bearish short-term: SOL failed to hold above $146 - entered short-term correction Price below 100-hour simple moving average Broke below 61.8% Fib retracement of $138-$149 move $10.5M liquidations - mostly longs ($7.7M) Long/short ratio 0.7569 - traders positioning short RSI below 50, MACD bearish Bullish Catalysts (Watch For Breakout) Solana ETF inflows $23.57M - highest in 4 weeks Forward Industries building largest SOL treasury (6.9M SOL) Alpenglow upgrade coming - transaction finality 100-150ms (from 12.8s) RWA ecosystem hit $1.15B record valuation Network processed $1.6T in 2025 trading volume 68M active addresses (up 14%) - most used network Open Interest jumped from $6.8B to $8.8B "Clarity Act" could ease SEC requirements for SOL Key Levels I'm Watching Resistance: $145.50 - Day's high / immediate resistance $146 - First major resistance $148.29 - MAJOR RESISTANCE (breakout level) $150 - Psychological round number $155 - Next target if breakout $162 - Extended bullish target $200 - Analyst target (if network growth continues) Support: $144.85 - Current price $141 - Bullish trendline support $140-$142 - FVG ZONE (key retest target) $140.23 - MAJOR SUPPORT (76.4% Fib) $138 - Swing low $137.72 - CHANNEL BOTTOM $132 - Next support if breakdown $124 - Extended bearish target Two Scenarios BEARISH CONTINUATION (PRIMARY): Price continues following the descending wedge. After rejecting from $145-$147 resistance, SOL drops to retest the FVG zone at $140-$142. If FVG fails to hold, continuation to $137.72 channel bottom. First target: $141 (trendline support) Second target: $140.23 (major support / 76.4% Fib) Extended target: $137.72 (channel bottom) Breakdown target: $132, then $124 Triggers: Continued rejection at descending resistance, break below $140, risk-off sentiment, no major bullish catalyst. BULLISH BREAKOUT (ALTERNATE): Big news hits and price breaks above the descending wedge resistance. SOL clears $148.29 with volume and targets higher levels. First target: $150 (psychological) Second target: $155 (next resistance) Extended target: $162, then $173 Moon target: $200 (if network growth accelerates) Triggers: Break above $148.29 with volume, major ETF news, Alpenglow upgrade hype, institutional buying. My Take - BEARISH BIAS (Short-Term) I'm leaning BEARISH here. Here's why: 1. Price respecting descending resistance - SOL hit the wedge top at $147 and got rejected. This is textbook - follow the trend until breakout. 2. Technical indicators bearish - RSI below 50, MACD bearish, below 100-hour SMA. Momentum favors sellers. 3. Liquidation data bearish - $7.7M in long liquidations vs $2.8M shorts. Longs getting squeezed. 4. Long/short ratio bearish - At 0.7569, traders are positioning short. Smart money leaning bearish. 5. Macro structure weak - Down 20.40% in 3 months, down 29.60% in 1 year. Still well below $295 ATH. BUT - Watch for the Breakout The bullish catalysts are real: ETF inflows strongest in 4 weeks Alpenglow upgrade is massive (100ms finality) Institutional adoption growing (Forward Industries) Network fundamentals strong (68M addresses, $1.6T volume) If big news hits, SOL could spike above $148.29 and invalidate the bearish thesis. But until that happens, I'm following the wedge DOWN. Trade Plan Bearish Entry (PRIMARY): Entry: Rejection at $145-$146 resistance OR break below $141 Stop: Above $148.29 (above major resistance) Target 1: $141 (trendline) Target 2: $140.23 (major support) Target 3: $137.72 (channel bottom) R:R: ~1:2 Bullish Entry (if breakout): Entry: Break above $148.29 with volume Stop: Below $144 Target 1: $150 (psychological) Target 2: $155 Target 3: $162 R:R: ~1:2.5 The Bottom Line SOLUSD is respecting the symmetrical wedge perfectly. Price hit descending resistance at $147 and got rejected - now heading toward the FVG zone at $140-$142 for a retest. Short-term, I'm BEARISH. Follow the wedge until it breaks. The FVG zone at $140-$142 is the next target. If that fails, $137.72 channel bottom is in play. Long-term, the fundamentals are strong (ETF inflows, Alpenglow upgrade, institutional adoption). But technicals say DOWN until we break above $148.29. Watch the FVG zone. That's your tell. What do you think? Continuation down or breakout up? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
CRYPTO:SOLUSDShort
by officialjackofalltrades
marketreview Greetings, traders. I’d like to comment on the current crypto market situation to clarify why there has been little analysis published in the group recently. In my opinion, the market is currently in a state of indecision — it lacks a clear directional bias. Consequently, there are no clean charts or structures that would hint at the future trend. For now, we are simply moving sideways with occasional price spikes up and down. However, this volatility is chaotic, and trading it is, in my view, a lottery. I have seen this before, and the only correct decision is to wait for better conditions. This market phase is not eternal; the longer it lasts, the closer its end. I scan the market daily looking for a high-probability setup. But if I don't find anything — I won't publish anything. Better to stay flat than to force a bad trade. The Traders House
by The_Traders_House
2
#TON’s Next Move Could Wipe Out Late Bulls – Are You Exposed? Yello, Paradisers! Are you positioning yourself correctly, or is #TON about to pull a classic fakeout and leave you stuck on the wrong side? What looks like strength to the average trader might actually be the perfect setup for a calculated correction. If you’ve been with us for a while, you know these are the moments that separate pros from gamblers. 💎#TONUSDT has just completed its A wave of the ABC corrective pattern after delivering a clean and aggressive 5-wave impulsive rally. Now, the asset is entering its B wave, and this next phase is where calculated traders thrive. These corrective structures often offer some of the best risk-reward setups—if approached with discipline and proper structure. 💎The top of the fifth wave now stands as a key resistance area. If price breaks through this level with conviction, it will invalidate the current short bias and suggest a broader bullish continuation. On the other side, the $1.420 support level becomes the critical invalidation point for the bullish outlook. If that level fails, bulls need to step aside, and a deeper leg down becomes likely. This is not the time to trade emotionally. It’s the time to stalk the chart like a sniper—waiting for price to come to your area, not the other way around. 💎For now, the Fibonacci zone between $1.850 and $1.900 is emerging as an ideal region to consider as Resistance zone for active trader, especially with clear structure and confluence at that level. Likewise, the $1.600–$1.500 area presents a high-quality support zone if market provide the right reaction. These are the zones where real trading happens—not in the middle of the chart where noise reigns and risk is undefined. 💎It’s also important to remember that we are currently in a corrective move, not an impulsive one. That means exit strategies must be conservative. There is no room for greed here. The priority must be capital preservation, not oversized expectations. Take what the market gives and be ready to move on to the next setup with your capital intact. But it never is, and never will be a free ride. Make sure you play it smart, Paradisers; the next 6–9 months will be juicy for some and painful for others. Discipline, patience, robust strategies, and trading tactics are the only ways you can make it long-term in this market. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
2
Bitcoin back in the fight and under pressure. MAJOR resistance While we all remain ever so Bullish and LONGS increase, we REALLY need to remember just where Bitcoin PA is Right now. In an area that could very easily turn into a Bear Trap, as it did in 2021 Why could this happen? WE ARE UNDER MAJOR RESISTANCE. Why ? Looking at the chart justt above, we can see that rising Trend line..This is NOT a Weak line. Here is the same chart zoomed out. To Cross this line and remain above it Will be just the First Step towards a new ATH. The MAJOR Wall is as we get near that 100K -> 106K line. Remember this Chart ? The Blue Arc of Resistance. The One thing that has rejected EVERY Bitcoin ATH since Bitcoin started. This line MUST be crossed but is Obviously HUGELY STRONG A Closer View of where we are now on this chart. So, that current green candle we know is just under that Cycle line of resistance mentioned earlier. The next step is that 50 SMA ( Red, Just around where we see that Blue Arc. AND we see PA in a Squeeze. We have come back up to this and approach a new APEX around end of March 2026. PA always reacts before the APEX> We now have PA snadwiched between the 50 SMA and the 100 SMA ( Blue ) That 100 is also around that LONGGGGG term line of support We really do NOT want to loose that support. But this may happen if we do not break through that Blue Arc. But we have talk of New beginnings for Bitcoin...... New Cycle patterns appear to be forming Super Cycles are possible as we see signals that the 4 year cyce pattern maybe ending,,Yet to be proved. And this could happen with out Major change to long term PA patterns. This would NOT involve dropping out of the Area PA has been in since 2017 PA can drop as low as 60K before long term Channrl is Lost. So, here we are, New patterns maybe forming and we will not know for a Long time yet. Proof of change is onlly seen afterwards Should PA break over that Blue Arc, It MUST be used as support after. Fasinating Times......Watch that 50 Month SMA closely. We Break that, Off we go So, we wait
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
#ICP Is Coiling Up for a Big Move— Classic HNS pattern Yello Paradisers! Have you spotted what’s shaping up to be a textbook Head and Shoulders pattern on #ICP? If not, you might be missing one of the cleanest bullish setups we’ve seen forming in recent weeks. The structure is clear, and the signals are starting to align—this could be your early heads-up before the next big leg. 💎We’re currently watching a classic inverse Head and Shoulders pattern unfolding, with a notable RSI divergence between the left shoulder and the head. That divergence often signals momentum shifting before price action catches up, and in this case, it’s a sign that buyers may be stepping in just as the pattern is maturing. 💎The neckline is the key level here. If the price breaks through that neckline with conviction, it will confirm the pattern and open the door to a high-confidence breakout scenario. But until that happens, patience is essential. Confirmation is everything in this type of setup. 💎To the downside, major support sits around $2.660. This will act as the final line in the sand for the bullish scenario. If price holds above this level, the bullish structure remains valid. A breakdown below it, however, would invalidate the setup and likely lead to further downside pressure. 💎The first obstacle is around $4.800, just below the psychological round number, which is also the projected level of the HNS pattern. This level may provide temporary rejection or hesitation. The bigger take-profit zone is around $6.500, which marks a significant resistance zone and aligns perfectly with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the Nov–Dec 2025 downswing. That confluence adds even more weight. 💎The market is setting the stage, but the trade isn't ready yet. What matters now is not being early but being right. Let the pattern complete, let the market confirm, and then strike with confidence. That is why we are playing it safe right now. If you want to be consistently profitable, you need to be extremely patient and always wait only for the best, highest probability trading opportunities like Paradisers do. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
11
HTRUSDT to the riseThe last time I published the idea on HTR when it was $0.255 it did the 10X as I predicted and reached $2.5. Again, it is not the same now as it was then. The value of Total2 is now around 1.35T and keep a close eye on this one. Once it reaches around 1.75T Total2 the whole of alt market will gain retail volume and the cycle starts again. HTRUSD is currently in accumulation phase and I am calling this as their bottom. There has been a new advancements for their feeless instant settlement chain. 1. DEX (dozer.finance) 2. Nano contracts (About to reach permission less deployment) 3. Great roadmap for 2026 with AI, Privacy, new token release model, blueprint marketplace. (hathor-public-files.s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com) 4. Incentive for being an early Liquidity provider. (dozer.finance) The volume is currently low but make use of this opportunity to accumulate both on CEXs and DEX. When the volume finally reaches you won't get such good opportunity. I am not expecting anything less than 100X this time around. Current price for KUCOIN:HTRUSDT is around 1 cent and the price will definitely reach the previous ATH when altseason begins (Which again I expect in few weeks). Gather and wait is what I will be doing myself. LP on DEX looks attractive if you like to be technical and get advantage of their rewards. X: @HathorNetwork Website: hathor.network DEX: dozer.finance Telegram: @HathorOfficial Disclaimer: The content reflects my personal opinion and is not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading. Ideas published from my account are for educational purposes only.
Long
by Kingler
XAUUSD (Gold) 1H – Buy the Dip from Strong Demand ZoneGold is currently pulling back into a key demand/support zone, which previously acted as a strong base for bullish continuation. This area is marked as a high-probability buy zone, where smart money showed interest earlier. Price reaction from this zone suggests buyers are still active. As long as the support holds, we can expect a bullish reversal and continuation toward higher highs. 🔹 Trade Idea: Buy Zone: Marked demand area (best place for buy) Target: Previous highs / upside continuation Invalidation: Clear break and close below the demand zone ⚠️ Always wait for confirmation and follow proper risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Adrian_Trades_
CHAINLINK (LINK) - Are you watching accumulation, or just price?Most traders focus on price swings . Institutions focus on where price stops falling and time starts doing the work . That’s exactly what we’re seeing on LINK right now. ⸻ 🔍 What TrendGo Accumulate is showing For 94 bars , LINK has been moving inside a clear Accumulation zone : • Price is holding above the Accumulate baseline • Volatility is compressed • Institutional volume remains low but persistent • Every deeper pullback gets absorbed, not rejected This is not a breakout phase. This is inventory building . ⸻ 🧠 How to read this correctly Accumulation phases are not about speed. They are about patience and positioning . Historically, when LINK entered similar Accumulate zones: • Price stopped trending down • Time replaced volatility • Expansion came after most traders lost interest Right now, price is still boring. That’s usually when risk is lowest - not highest. ⸻ ⚠️ What would invalidate the idea? • Losing and closing below the Accumulate zone • Accumulation turning into distribution (no longer absorption) Until then, this is structure before direction . ⸻ 📌 Final thought You don’t need to predict the breakout. You need to recognize when the market is preparing one . This is what TrendGo Accumulate was built for. What do you see here - accumulation or just another range? 👇
BINANCE:LINKUSD
by TrendGo_Official
“Bitcoin 4H Bullish Continuation Setup — Liquidity Target at 98KMarket Structure Bullish overall structure: Strong impulsive move up from the low ~90k area. CHoCH (Change of Character) on the left confirms a shift from bearish to bullish. Current price action is consolidating after impulse, which is typical before continuation. Key Concepts on the Chart 1. Fair Value Gaps (FVG) Lower FVG (~94k area) This has already been respected → good sign of bullish strength. Mid FVG inside the range Price is currently reacting within this imbalance, suggesting accumulation. 👉 As long as FVGs are respected, bias remains bullish. 2. Fibonacci Levels (Internal Retracement) From the impulsive leg: 0.618 ≈ 96,691 0.5 ≈ 96,290 0.0 ≈ 94,941 Price is consolidating between 0.5–0.618, which is a classic bullish continuation zone. 3. Support Levels Primary support: 94,353 Major invalidation / deeper support: 93,073 📌 If price holds above 94,353, bullish continuation is favored. 📌 A clean break and close below 93,073 would weaken this setup significantly. 4. Resistance & Target Range high / Liquidity: ~97,900 – 98,100 Marked TARGET POINT ≈ 98,117 This aligns with: Previous highs Liquidity resting above the range Measured move from consolidation Projected Scenario (Blue Path) Short-term chop / minor pullback within the range Hold above FVG + support Expansion move targeting 98k+ This is a textbook continuation model. Bias Summary Bias: Bullish 📈 Invalidation: 4H close below ~93k Target: 97.9k → 98.1k Key Area to Watch: 94.3k–95k reaction zone
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Moriss365
TAO Finds Its Balance After a Long Pullback - What Comes Next?* TAO has managed to reclaim an important level after a long pullback, which is starting to shift how the chart looks in the short term. * The price is now moving into an area that could decide whether this bounce has real legs or stalls out. * Momentum is improving, but the chart is still asking for confirmation before calling this a full trend reversal. When you zoom out and look at TAO, it’s clear the selling pressure has eased, even if the market isn’t ready to call this a full recovery yet. After a long pullback, the TAO price has finally found some footing, and that alone changes the tone. Price isn’t racing higher, but the constant push to the downside has slowed. The move above $290 was an important moment. That level had capped the TAO price for months, knocking back every rally. Clearing it didn’t suddenly flip the chart bullish, but it did show that sellers aren’t in full control anymore. TAO has shifted out of defense mode and is now testing whether it can build something higher. Lately, the price action has been more of a grind than a surge. Momentum has cooled, volume has thinned out, and attention has drifted. That doesn’t automatically signal weakness. After a solid move, markets often pause like this while expectations reset. The market cap data fits that picture. Instead of slipping lower during the bounce, TAO’s market cap has been holding steady and inching up. That suggests capital is sticking around and traders are more willing to sit through pullbacks rather than rush for the exit. From here, structure matters more than sentiment. The $355–$360 zone is still the key hurdle. Until TAO can work through that area, the move remains a recovery, not a confirmed trend change. For now, the TAO price is holding its ground, and that’s a meaningful signal on its own.
by CoinCodex
Stablecoin Dominance Pullback = Risk ReturningChart: STABLE.D (Crypto Stablecoin Dominance) vs OTHERS.D Timeframe: 1D Context: Crypto market risk appetite Thesis Stablecoin dominance has rolled over after an extended uptrend, while OTHERS.D has stabilized and begun to base. This suggests capital is rotating out of stables and back into risk assets, particularly altcoins. 🔍 What the Chart Shows STABLE.D put in a strong impulsive move higher, signaling prior risk-off behavior Recent price action shows loss of momentum and a pullback from local highs At the same time, OTHERS.D stopped making lower lows and is attempting to stabilize This inverse relationship often marks a transition phase in market structure. 📈 Why This Matters Rising stablecoin dominance = capital sidelined, defensive positioning Falling stablecoin dominance = capital redeploying into crypto assets If STABLE.D continues to trend lower, it supports: Improved risk appetite Better conditions for alts to outperform Less demand for “parking capital” in stables ❌ Invalidation This view would weaken if: STABLE.D reclaims recent highs with expansion OTHERS.D loses its current base and breaks down That would signal a return to risk-off behavior. 🎯 Takeaway Stablecoin dominance is a macro sentiment gauge. This pullback suggests the market may be shifting from defensive to selective risk-on, especially outside BTC. Watch follow-through — rotations take time.
CRYPTOCAP:STABLE.C.DLong
by Cryptobingbong
Elliot Waves Strategy ExplainedElliott Wave theory is not a forecasting tool. The moment it’s used that way, it becomes useless. It does not tell you where price will go. It describes how participation unfolds once direction is already present. At its simplest, markets alternate between expansion and digestion. Impulse waves show commitment and follow-through. Corrective waves show hesitation, overlap, and redistribution. Everything else traders add on top is interpretation, not edge. Most traders fail with Elliott Waves because they try to label the market instead of read it. Wave counts are adjusted after every pullback to protect bias. When a count needs defending, it has already lost its value for execution. Wave completion does not mean reversal. Strong trends extend, truncate, or move into complex corrections without ever giving clean countertrend entries. Acting on a “finished” wave without a structural break is just early positioning dressed up as analysis. The subjectivity of Elliott Waves is the warning label. If two valid counts exist, neither can justify risk on its own. Structure, location, and participation come first. The wave count only adds context to what price is already showing. Used correctly, Elliott Waves help with expectations and trade management. They stop traders from chasing late impulses and from exiting too early during normal corrections. Used incorrectly, they create the illusion of control over an uncertain market. Elliott Waves don’t give certainty. They give restraint. And restraint is far more valuable.
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDEducation
by tomas_jntx
Quick Bitcoin DAILY Bullish moves continue, now testing support Strong moves by Bitcoin so far this week and potential for more. PA is taking a breather ,as it needs to and will come back down and test that Dotted line as support. This same Trend line was used in September 2024 to push Bitcoin up to New Highs. This 4 hour chart shows us more detail Would be SO VERY Bullish for PA to come back here and test that line as support and hold it..... Can it do that? My opinion is YES but we do have some very strong resistance over head, in many forms. It maybe Good if PA sits on top of this line for a while....And it may do so, as it cools off. The Daily RSI RSI not over bought yet but in an area that shows RSI could do with Cooling and it has turned down slightly...It may continue to do so. The Daily MACD This is one I am watching CLOSE> See that descending line that has rejected MACD twice already. It may do that again....and as we get nearer the end of the month, I am wondering which way this will go The Month candle is currently Green and is statistically, likely to remain that way, However, this could change very easily should we loose this line and PA looses the Bulish sentiment. So, remain Alert and have a plan.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTCUSDT: Volatility Contraction Leads to Expansion - LVRB BreakoWe have broken out of a consolidation range (the "quiet" period), triggering a confirmed LONG signal. On the BTCUSDT 2-hour chart, the LVRB (Low Volatility Range Breakout) indicator identified a volatility squeeze (Box) and has successfully broken above its resistance. I view this current setup as a critical pivot point where the market transitions from Volatility Compression to Expansion. ⚡️ 1. The Logic: Why This Matters Markets move in cycles based on a universal principle: "Periods of low volatility are often followed by periods of high volatility." Box (Accumulation): The True Range (TR) narrows significantly as the market stores energy ("The Silence"). Breakout (Release): That stored energy is released rapidly. We have confirmed a release to the upside . --- ⚡️ 2. Technical Analysis & Track Record Between Jan 10 and Jan 11, price action was compressed into a tight range of $90,200 - $91,000 (the LVRB Box). Today (Jan 12), we saw a clear breakout. A candle close outside the box has confirmed theLONG entry signal. The indicator has been accurately tracking the recent short-term trend direction: Jan 3 | LONG | ✅ $89,500 → $94,500 (Up) | Jan 5 | LONG | ✅ $91,500 → $94,500 (Up) | Jan 8 | SHORT | ✅ $91,000 → $90,000 (Down) | Current | LONG | ⏳ Active / In Progress | --- ⚡️ 3. Trade Plan (The Setup) Here is my actionable plan based on this breakout. We follow the momentum of the breakout to capture trend continuation. Entry: Around $91,700 (Current Price) or on a retest of the box upper limit. Take Profit (TP): Target 1 : $93,500 (Recent swing high) Target 2: $94,500 (Jan 6th High / Key Resistance) Stop Loss (SL): $90,000 (Below the Box Low) This setup offers a ratio of approximately 1:1.6 (TP1) to 1:1.9 (TP2). ⚡️ 4. The Tool: What is LVRB? The LVRB (Low Volatility Range Breakout) is a custom tool I developed, specifically optimized for the BTCUSDT 2H chart. How it works: It analyzes ATR and candle body size to automatically draw boxes around periods where price action is "dead" (accumulating energy). Signals: It detects confirmed breakouts (via Close or Wick) to generate clear LONG/SHORT alerts, helping traders avoid chop and catch the start of a move. ⚡️ Conclusion Trading breakouts from low volatility is one of the most effective ways to catch the start of a new trend. The current LONG signal suggests a move toward $93,500 - $94,500, provided we hold above the $90,000 invalidation level. Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk; please trade responsibly.
Long
by lakshmivibha
2
Quick 2 chart 4 hour BITCOIN UPDATE ] BULLISHMain chart shows that BTC PA has pushed well above the Blue line of long Term resistance / Support and now could come back down and test as support. This could easily happen and we will see why when looking at the next chart- 4 hour Linear BTC chart PA has come up and has hit the Fib circle I been talking about for the last couple of days. PA has the ability to push through but it may not, and if not, we could see PA drop, Firstly to the 4.618 Fib Extension @ 90400 usdt and if that fails, maybe to the Red 236 Fib circle....around 87K BUT if the Bulls get us above this Fib circle, then we face the rising line of resistance at arounf 95K...That one could be tough We will have to wait and see...But the BULLS are here for sure
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
SUIUSDT 30m LTF BSL Reaction and Pullback Setup📝 Description BINANCE:SUIUSDT has pushed into a local liquidity high and is reacting below the HTF range high. The current move shows exhaustion after a sharp upside leg, suggesting a corrective pullback rather than continuation. ________________________________________ 📈 Signal / Analysis Primary Bias: Bearish while price holds below the LTF BSL and 30m supply Preferred Setup: • Entry: 1.803 • Stop Loss: Above 1.816 • TP1: 1.786 • TP2: 1.778 • TP3: 1.767 ________________________________________ 🎯 ICT & SMC Notes • Reaction from LTF BSL • No valid bullish BOS after last pullback • Downside liquidity still untouched ________________________________________ 🧩 Summary As long as price remains capped below local highs, a corrective pullback toward lower M30 PD arrays is favored. ________________________________________ 🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment Although Core CPI came in below expectations, the market quickly reversed, showing the USD has not lost meaningful strength. Risk appetite remains weak, keeping SUI biased to the downside in short-term. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Short
by TFlab