Get started

Cryptomarketcap

MARKETS week ahead: October 20 - 26Last week in the news Fear was a predominant sentiment on financial markets during the previous week. The price of gold is clearly pointing to this for the last nine weeks. Gold reached another all time highest level on Friday at $4.380, but swiftly reverted back toward the $4.250K. The US equity markets were traded in a mixed manner. The S&P 500 managed to add 0,53% on Friday, but generally closed another red week. The crypto market was marked by another sell-off during the week, with BTC managing to close the week around the $107K level. US Treasuries were holding relatively steady, with a 10Y testing the 4,0% level. The US Government continues to be in the status of “shutdown” in which sense, there is still lacking major economic data on the US economy. The US President posted on social media on Friday that the 100% tariffs on imports from China is not sustainable, improving a bit of market sentiment. The Fed Chair Powell was a speaker at the National Association of Business Economists (NABE), noting that the weakening job market is pointing to a need for another rate cut. This news was also positively perceived by markets. Financial markets are sounding alarm bells over the increasing exposure of U.S. banks to risky borrowers, particularly through loans extended to non-depository financial institutions (NDFIs) such as sub-prime lenders, private credit firms and other “shadow” financial vehicles. The fear is that what is currently viewed as isolated defaults could evolve into a broader spill-over effect, where losses at NDFIs ripple back to banks, triggering funding stress, tighter credit conditions, and perhaps wider systemic instability. This alarm was raised after Zions bank announced that it has press allegations to one of its NDFI customers due to false documentation. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon added fuel with a simple comment “When you see one cockroach, there are probably more”. Apple has concluded a five-year exclusive U.S. media rights agreement with Formula 1, starting in 2026, under which Apple TV will become the sole U.S. broadcaster of all F1 races, including practice sessions, qualifying, sprint events and Grand Prix. The deal is reportedly worth around US$140 million per year which is significantly higher than the previous deal held by ESPN. S&P Global delivered a surprise downgrade of France’s long-term credit rating on Friday, cutting it from AA⁻ / A-1+ to A⁺ / A-1. The move reflects growing skepticism over the French government’s ability to maintain fiscal discipline amid political turbulence. The agency underscored that recent instability, including a suspended pension reform and two no-confidence votes against Prime Minister Lécuronu, deepens uncertainty around France’s budget trajectory. S&P warned that this uncertainty could weigh on investment, consumer spending, and economic growth. CRYPTO MARKET Another week on the crypto market ended in red. Fear is the dominant feeling among investors, which is shaping their appetite for risk assets. There are a lot of uncertainties which were additionally heated by the news over a new potential banking crisis due to lending to NDFIs. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 4% as of the end of the week, decreasing its value level by $132B. This week daily trading volumes returned to relatively usual ones, around $295B, which was a significant decrease from $986B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +11%, with a total funds inflow of $340B. BTC was the coin which led to a total crypto market cap decrease. As of the end of the week BTC lost $103B in value or 4,65% w/w. On the other hand, ETH was holding relatively stable, constantly trying to hold to the $4K level. Still, ETH is ending the week at a modest plus of 1,3%. During the previous period ZCash had a strong growth, however, during the previous week the value of this coin dropped by 26,3% w/w. Avalanche was traded down by 11,5%, BNB lost 7,8%, Filecoin dropped by 10%. There were a few coins which managed to end the week in green. Among them are Maker, who gained 12,6% w/w, OMG Network was traded higher by 11,7%, Theta was up by 7,6%. Increased activity continues with coins in circulation. Filecoin traditionally is increasing its number of coins on the market, however, this week FILs number of coins dropped by 0,3%. On the opposite side was Avalanche, which increased its number of coins on the market by 1,0%. ADA, DOGE, BNB, SOL and ZCash increased their number of circulating coins by 0,1% each. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market extended its decline over the past week, as both BTC and ETH futures posted broad-based losses across maturities. The correction followed continued risk aversion in the spot market, though the pace of decline moderated compared to the previous week’s sharp sell-off. BTC futures retreated between -8.64% and -8.82% w/w, reflecting another week of downside pressure across the curve. The October 2025 futures closed at $106,675, while the March 2027 maturity ended at $116,430. The curve remained upward-sloping, suggesting that despite current weakness, investors continue to price in a gradual recovery in the medium to longer term. However, the consistent losses across maturities indicate that near-term sentiment remains cautious. ETH futures also moved lower, though with smaller declines compared to BTC, falling between -4.24% and -4.34% w/w. The October 2025 futures closed at $3,837, while March 2027 settled at $4,270. The fact that ETH futures continue to hold above the $3,800–$4,000 range reflects a measure of resilience, as traders maintain confidence in ETH’s relative strength despite the broader market softness. While the overall tone remains defensive, the more moderate losses in ETH and the persistent upward slope of both BTC and ETH curves suggest that futures markets still view the recent downturn as a corrective phase rather than a fundamental shift in trend direction.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: October 13 - 19Last week in the news Tariffs 2.0 are again moving markets to the negative territory. Investors weighed how much negative impact they could impose on the U.S. economy and on Friday's trading session closed the S&P 500 2,71% lower. A massive selloff was also triggered on the crypto market, where the majority of altcoins lost even 70%-90% in value within only a few hours. BTC shortly dropped to the level of $105K, but ended the week above the $112K. The U.S. Treasury benchmark yields dropped to the level of 4,0%. The only asset which continues to benefit from market uncertainty is the price of gold, which for one more time reached the all-time highest level at $4.050. The U.S. Government continues to be in the state of “shutdown” for more than 10 days now, so there are still no releases of important U.S. macro data. However, the announcements on social networks from the U.S. President continue to shake markets. In Tariffs 2.0, started on Friday, he announced a potential 100% tariffs on imports from China. This was the moment when the significant sell off started of the US equities, while investors were weighing how much impact a 100% tariffs could have on the US economy. Tech companies were the ones hit the most negatively. The story regarding Berkshire Hathaway selling US stocks and stockpiling cash was catching market attention during this year. Its founder Warren Buffet recently noted that he is ready to invest and is investing into Japanese stock. During the previous week, CNBC posted news that Berkshire Hathaway's investments in Japan's five major trading houses—Itochu, Marubeni, Mitsubishi, Mitsui, and Sumitomo—have surpassed $30 billion, reflecting Warren Buffett's long-term commitment to these diversified conglomerates. These holdings have become Berkshire's largest non-U.S. equity positions, with a combined market value of $23.5 billion at the end of 2024.Buffett has praised the trading houses for their shareholder-friendly policies and capital deployment strategies. He has also implemented a currency-neutral strategy by issuing yen-denominated bonds to hedge against exchange rate fluctuations. Berkshire's annual dividend income from these investments is projected to be around $812 million. Despite some fluctuations in share prices, these investments align with Buffett's preference for long-term, value-oriented opportunities in stable, diversified businesses. Apple is reportedly nearing an agreement to acquire Prompt AI, an artificial intelligence start-up specializing in talent management technology. This move aligns with Apple's broader strategy to bolster its AI capabilities, as CEO Tim Cook has expressed openness to acquisitions that accelerate the company's AI roadmap. The acquisition would enhance Apple's AI infrastructure, complementing its previous integrations such as the partnership with Alibaba to introduce AI features in iPhones sold in China. CRYPTO MARKET Tough week for the crypto market. The third largest selloff occurred on Friday. News are reporting that in the largest crypto liquidation event to date, over 1,000 wallets on Hyperliquid were completely wiped out, and 6,300 others are now in the red, with 205 losing more than $1 million each. Triggered by President Trump's announcement of additional tariffs on Chinese imports, the sell-off erased over $1.23 billion in trader capital on Hyperliquid and $19 billion across the broader crypto market within 24 hours. The majority of liquidations were long positions, highlighting the market's bullish sentiment prior to the downturn. Similar situation is also with other crypto exchanges. It was a massive, completely unexpected event. Total crypto market capitalization is closing the week 10% lower from the end of the previous week, with an outflow of $398B. Daily trading volumes were more than doubled as of the end of the week, trading around $986B on Friday, while the week before was closed with total turnover of $386B. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +15%, with a total funds inflow of $472B. The week of extremes led to a significant drop in value of the majority of coins. BTC lost almost 8% w/w, with total funds outflow of $194B. ETH lost more, with a drop in value of 14,3% and funds outflow of 77%. All major altcoins were also on a losing side. Just to mention some like Solana, with a drop of 19%, XRP was down by 16%, ADA dropped by 22%, DOGE decreased its value by more than 22%. Interestingly, ZCash continued to significantly gain in strength, second week in a row, adding additional 73% to its value. DASH was another rare coin, which managed to gain 34% on a weekly basis. For some reason, BNB managed to stay intact during this selloff, actually increasing its value by 2,6% on a weekly basis. There has also been significantly increased activity with coins in circulation. BTC increased its numbers of coins on the market by 0,1% w/w or 10.000 coins. Solana also added 0,2% new coins to the market, while Filecoin increased its circulating coins by 1,2% this week. DASH, Stellar and ZCash added 0,1% new coins to the market. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market softened over the week, though the correction remained relatively moderate compared to the sharp sell-off that struck the spot market on Friday. Both BTC and ETH futures declined along the curve but retained levels that continue to signal underlying confidence in longer-term valuations. BTC futures fell between -5,08% and -5,4% w/w, with the largest losses observed in futures maturing through late 2025. The October futures closed at $116.990, while March 2027 at $127.635. Despite the pullback, prices remained comfortably above recent support levels, and the curve preserved its gradual upward slope. The relative stability in longer-dated maturities suggests that traders continue to anticipate higher BTC valuations over the medium term one. ETH futures experienced a steeper adjustment, declining between -11,7% and -12% w/w across maturities. The October 2025 futures ended the week at $4.007, while March 2027 closed at $4.460. Even with the broader market weakness, ETH futures continued to trade above the psychologically important $4K mark, underscoring resilience in expectations for the coin's longer-term trajectory. As a conclusion to recent developments on the crypto spot market, it should be noted that while the Friday spot market sell-off was both sudden and stronger than anticipated, futures prices did not fully mirror the decline. This divergence indicates that market participants may view the move as temporary rather than structural, maintaining confidence that current weakness could prove to be a short-lived phase within the broader recovery trend.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
BTC/USDT Weekly Chart !!BTC/USDT Weekly Chart Structure: The chart shows a complete market cycle – a deep correction (approximately -85%), followed by a strong recovery and breakout. Current Area: Bitcoin is trading around $114K–$115K, holding above the 111K weekly MA (support). Previous Resistance: The $69K–$71K area (old ATH) has now turned into a strong support zone. Upward Momentum: From the breakout point (~$71K) to the recent high (~$130K), BTC gained approximately +86%, indicating strong bullish momentum. Perspective: As long as the price remains above the $111K MA and does not lose support at $100K, the overall trend will remain bullish, and a retest of $130K–$135K is possible. DYOR | NFA
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSanders9563
Crypto Total Market Cap (TOTAL) — Macro Analysis🌐 Crypto Total Market Cap (TOTAL) — Macro Analysis “The Last Great Wave: Supercycle 5 Unleashed” Elliott Wave Theory | Fibonacci Confluence | Price Action | Fundamentals | Smart Money We are in the final act of crypto’s Supercycle. Macro Wave 3 of Supercycle Wave 5 is unfolding — historically the most powerful and explosive phase. With Smart Money, regulatory tailwinds, RWA tokenization, and macro cracks forming, the global market is revaluing digital assets on a generational scale. 🌀 Corrected Elliott Wave Count (Supercycle Focus) ✅ Supercycle Wave 1 (2009–2013) The beginning of a new monetary class. Bitcoin's rise from $0 to ~$1,200 First global recognition of digital scarcity Infrastructure non-existent, adoption grassroots This was the “discovery” phase 🔻 Supercycle Wave 2 (2013–2014) Classic corrective ABC wave Bubble burst post-Mt. Gox 85%+ crash Smart Money accumulated quietly in despair 🚀 Supercycle Wave 3 (2014–2018) Explosion of the asset class Ethereum launch (2015), ICO mania (2017) Market cap surged from ~$6B to ~$800B Ended at 3.618 Fibonacci extension — textbook Wave 3 expansion Capped by global fear, regulatory clampdowns (SEC, China bans) 🔻 Supercycle Wave 4 (2018–2020) Mild correction at 0.236 retracement No deep flush = extremely bullish long-term Market digested growth as institutions built infrastructure: Coinbase IPO prep Grayscale accumulation Institutional custody models emerged 🔥 Supercycle Wave 5 (2020–~2030+) — Currently in Progress The most explosive, longest, and emotionally driven wave. Historically associated with euphoria, institutional alignment , and eventual blow-off tops. This wave is subdividing into five Macro Waves: 🟢 Macro Wave 1 (2020–2021): From ~$180B to ~$3T Fueled by: 📈 Inflation hedge narratives 🏛️ Institutional participation 🖼️ NFTs, DeFi, Ethereum scalability 🌍 Global lockdowns, liquidity stimulus Ended in November 2021 with euphoric sentiment 🔻 Macro Wave 2 (2021–2022): From ~$3T to ~$780B Bear market: -70% drawdown FTX collapse, Terra-Luna crash, Celsius, BlockFi Retail was obliterated Smart Money accumulated deeply discounted projects Structural bottom confirmed by price action and on-chain data 🚀 Macro Wave 3 (2023–Now): We are in Micro Wave 3 of this Macro Wave 3 — the strongest part of the cycle. 📍 Current targets: Wave (3) extension → $10T–$30T Wave (5) extension → $80T–$120T Supported by: 🧠 On-chain growth (real users, L2 activity, RWAs) 🏦 Institutional alignment (BlackRock, JPM, Visa) 🔗 Tokenization of RWAs (Real estate, bonds, carbon credits) 🌍 De-dollarization via BRICS + commodity-backed stablecoins 📉 Central bank credibility collapse (debt > GDP globally) 📐 Fibonacci Confluence Zones Macro Wave 1 → 3T top Macro Wave 2 → 0.382 retracement to ~$780B Macro Wave 3 2.618 Fib = ~$29.95T ✅ 3.618 Fib = ~$123.89T 🌌 These levels line up with: Global monetary regime transition S-curve mass adoption Tokenized global GDP narrative 📦 Smart Money Concept (SMC) Perspective 📉 2022–2023 range = Accumulation Zone 🔁 BoS (Break of Structure) confirmed in 2023 above $2T 🧲 Liquidity traps above 2021 highs = fuel for Macro 3 🧠 Institutions and sovereign entities are already in position Price is respecting: Demand zones Bullish BOS Market structure shifts Fibonacci channel projections 😮‍💨 Market Cycle Psychology 🧊 Disbelief (2019–2020): “It’s dead.” 📈 Hope (2020–2021): “This time it’s real.” 💥 Euphoria (Late 2021): “It’s going to $100K next week.” 😱 Fear/Panic (2022): “Crypto is a scam.” 🧠 Smart Accumulation (2023): Institutions enter quietly. 🔥 Reawakening (2024–2025): We’re here. 🤯 Parabola & Mania (2026+): Yet to come — peak Wave 3 & 5 💔 Despair (Post-2030): Final Supercycle correction 🌐 Macro-Fundamental Drivers of Wave 5 🏦 Monetary System Decay US debt over $35T+ Japan bond collapse, EU stagflation Dollar losing trust 🌍 Global Transition BRICS de-dollarization Gold & crypto-backed settlement rails Sanction-evading neutral assets gaining traction 📲 Technology Adoption Ethereum scalability (Danksharding, L2s) RWA on-chain (US bonds, private equity, commodities) AI + Crypto convergence Gaming, identity, and DePIN revolution 🔐 Regulation MiCA in EU, Hong Kong openness, US crypto ETFs Institutions now cleared for capital deployment 🎯 Long-Term Price Targets 🥇 Wave 3 of Macro: $10–30T 🥈 Macro Wave 5 of Supercycle: $60–120T 🧠 Generational top expected ~2030 (aligning with macro realignments) 🧠 Ride the structure. Don’t chase the mania! - FIBCOS 📘 Disclaimer: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management. #Crypto #TotalMarketCap #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #Commodities #InflationHedge #MacroEconomics #CentralBanks #BRICS #MonetaryReset
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by fibcos
Crypto Total Market Cap AnalysisHi Team! The crypto market continues to show impressive strength, maintaining its position inside the long-term ascending channel. Despite the recent correction, the overall structure remains bullish as long as the lower boundary of this channel holds. After facing resistance near the upper line of the channel, the total market cap experienced a healthy pullback, which brought it close to the mid-zone of the structure. Buyers stepped in strongly from that area, suggesting that market participants still see dips as opportunities rather than warning signs. The key support zone lies between 3.1T and 2.84T USD, a region that has acted as both a breakout base and a demand area in the past. As long as this zone remains intact, the broader bullish momentum is likely to continue, keeping the medium- to long-term outlook positive. If price action stays within the rising channel and the 2.84T support area holds, the total crypto market cap could soon retest the upper trendline, potentially pushing toward new highs. However, a confirmed breakdown below 2.84T would signal a shift in structure, opening the door to a deeper correction phase.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by melikatrader94
14
MARKETS week ahead: October 6 - 12Last week in the news Despite the federal government “shutdown” delaying key economic data, equity investors pushed markets higher, seemingly focusing more on earnings and tech optimism than macro news. The S&P 500 reached the new all-time highest level at 6.750, despite some pullback on week-end. The government shutdown increased demand for both real and alternative safe-haven assets, in which sense gold reached new highest levels at $3.894, while the price of BTC was also pushed toward levels above the $123K. The US Treasury yields are waging a potential Fed rate cut in October, closing the week at 4,11%. The most important macro indicators, NFP and Unemployment data for September have not been posted during the week, due to the US government “shutdown”. The event was triggered by Congress’s failure to pass a funding bill. Over 800,000 workers were left unpaid, and many agencies scaled back operations. With no agreement so far, the shutdown continues and there’s currently no announced date for when Congress will pass the funding bill. The value of Palantir fell around 7,5% during the previous week after an internal U.S. Army memo flagged “fundamental security” flaws in a battlefield communications system. The memo states the system lacks proper access controls, logging, and verification of software integrity, and that third-party applications integrated into it carry severe vulnerabilities. Palantir disputed the claims, saying the issues were addressed and that no vulnerabilities were found in its core platform; they argued the memo reflected an outdated snapshot of the project. Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, speaking at Italian Tech Week in Turin, Italy, warned that a market pullback is likely ahead, probably within the period of next two years. He noted that current valuations appear stretched and urged investors to prepare for increased volatility. Despite the recent rally in equities, Solomon expressed doubts about its long-term sustainability. His comments reflect broader concerns about overheated markets and rising downside risks. Quantum computing is becoming a key focus for investors as companies like Rigetti Computing and D-Wave gain attention for their advances in quantum hardware and algorithms. The technology promises transformative potential across sectors—from finance to materials science—and is seen as a frontier for long-term growth. Investors are closely watching which firms will emerge as leaders in the race to build scalable, fault-tolerant quantum systems. As the hype evolves into practical breakthroughs, market sentiment could shift rapidly around these quantum names. Robinhood has begun listing Strategy’s Bitcoin-backed preferred shares, including STRC, opening up new structured yield products for retail investors. These instruments aim to offer monthly dividends with varying risk profiles, bridging traditional finance and crypto investment. Walmart-backed fintech OnePay plans to let users buy, hold, and convert Bitcoin and Ether in its finance app by year-end. The crypto features will be powered by infrastructure from Zerohash, aligning OnePay with platforms like Venmo, Cash App, and PayPal. CRYPTO MARKET The crypto market saw strong momentum last week, shaped by weaker private-sector jobs data and ongoing political uncertainty from the U.S. government shutdown, both of which fueled appetite for risk assets. Analysts noted that recent gains across digital assets appear to be driven by genuine institutional inflows and long-term holder accumulation, rather than speculative leverage. Overall, crypto markets reflected increased confidence in the sector's resilience during uncertain macroeconomic conditions. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 10% for the week, adding total $373B to its market cap. Daily trading volumes increased during the week to the level of $350B on a daily basis, from $320B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +27%, with a total funds inflow of $870B. Major coins surged strongly during the week, however, the absolute winner of the week was ZCash. This coin surged by an incredible 200% in one moment, however, ending the week with an increased price of 156% w/w. Such a strong demand for this coin was impacted by a launch of a ZCash Trust for accredited investors by Grayscale fund, framing ZEC as a privacy-focused Bitcoin analog. The rising demand for privacy in the face of surveillance and CBDC discussions pushed renewed attention to ZCash's zero-knowledge proof technology. Back to majors - BTC and ETH performed extremely well during the week, where both had a surge of more than 11%. BTC attracted $246B of fresh funds flow, while ETH gained $54B. Solana managed to add 12% to its value, while BNB gained 17.8% w/w. DASH was another coin with great performance of +43% during the week. Almost all altcoins mark a green week. Considering circulating coins, Solana, Stellar and Filecoins increased the number of their coins on the market by 0,3% each, during the week. Algorand, XRP, DASH and DOGE increased their coins by 0,1% w/w. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market advanced strongly over the week, as both BTC and ETH futures posted consistent gains across the curve. Sentiment among traders turned more constructive, supported by renewed demand for longer-dated contracts. BTC futures rose between 11,6% and 12,63% w/w, with the sharpest gains concentrated in the near-term maturities. Contracts maturing in October 2025 led the advance, closing at $123.635. Prices followed a steadily upward trajectory along the curve, reaching $134.470 for March 2027. This marked the highest level ever recorded for BTC futures, underscoring the growing confidence in longer-term instruments. ETH futures also posted broad-based increases, rising between 11,95% and 12,26% across maturities. October 2025 closed the week at $4.553, while March 2027 settled at $5.054. Despite the solid performance, ETH futures did not reach new highs, with the peak of $5.347 still standing from August this year. The curve nonetheless retained its upward slope, pointing to sustained expectations of gradual recovery.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
Concordium payments infrastructure adoption will launch $CCDThe previous CCD idea played out nicely. Now it's time for real performance. Ultimate goal: 1CCD = 1USD (x50). New set-up End of Q3 2025, the CCD chart has proven heartbeat with signs of volume and decisive price action. New targets are mapped in the chart as Private Presale (PP) levels. Expectation: at least a reclaim of these levels based on strong fundamentals. Fundamentals supportive of case 💳 PayFi and stablecoin narratives are focal for the next level of crypto market growth and adoption 🌐 Outstanding new management team with deep industry connections 💱 >10 stablecoin issuers confirmed to launch on Concordium: transactions and TVL will grow tremendously 🤝 >20 partnerships secured in the last 4 months 📈 Hilbert Capital (NASDAQ-listed) confirmed CCD as a strategic investment, next to CRYPTOCAP:ETH and CRYPTOCAP:BTC 🔧 Q4 2025 protocol upgrade unlocks unique features for institutional adoption in blockchain payments: 1) Programmable stablecoins without smart contract risk 2) Geofenced & age-gated payments (via ID/KYC) 3) Concordium ID: portable KYC across platforms, integrated with payment programmability
Long
by JS_Rocket
1
MARKETS week ahead: September 29 – October 7Last week in the news U.S. PCE data for August were in the spotlight of investors interest during the previous week, which shaped investors sentiment and trading decisions. The US equity markets modestly corrected, where S&P 500 touched the lowest level at 6.565, however ended the week at 6.643. The price of gold reached another all time highest level at $3.790, but eased till the end of the week to $3.760. The US yields also reacted to PCE data, with a move toward the 4,18% level. The crypto market had a corrective week, where BTC dipped down toward levels below the $110K. The key U.S. economic release of the week was the August PCE Price Index, which rose 0.3% month-over-month, bringing the annual rate to 2.7%, in line with market expectations. Core PCE, excluding food and energy, slowed to 0.2% for the month and 2.9% y/y. Personal income rose by 0.4%, while personal spending increased by 0.6% in August. In addition, the final Q2 GDP growth rate came in at 3.8%, beating expectations of 3.3% and reflecting strong economic momentum. As per CME Fed WatchTool investors are continuing to perceive two more rate cuts till the end of this year. The US President Trump proposed a 100% tariff on imported pharmaceuticals effective October 1, but allowed exemptions for companies that had begun building U.S. manufacturing plants. The tariff does not apply to companies that are actively building US drug manufacturing plants. The rationale is to incentivize onshoring of pharmaceutical production and reduce reliance on foreign supply chains. Several European pharma firms, like Novo Nordisk, Roche, and Novartis, saw stock declines, as investors weighed how exposed they would be to the tariff. News is reporting that Chinese stocks have posted strong gains this year, fueled largely by renewed foreign and domestic investor interest in tech, AI, and innovation sectors. Analysts highlight the market’s momentum being driven by policies supporting chip development, optimism over regulation, and favorable valuations that are attracting capital. Foreign investment flows into Chinese equities have increased, while domestic investors are reallocating toward secular growth themes over property or stimulus plays. Still, concerns remain over narrow market breadth, lofty valuations, and whether the rally can sustain itself amid global uncertainty. The U.S. government is reportedly considering a mandate that would force semiconductor companies to produce as many chips domestically as they import, a 1:1 production-to-import ratio, to reduce reliance on foreign supply. Under this plan, firms that fail to meet the ratio over time could face tariffs (possibly up to 100 %). To ease the transition, companies that pledge to build domestic capacity would receive credits, allowing them to import while new plants are constructed. The proposal is part of a broader push to reshore chip manufacturing, though critics note the complexity and cost involved in aligning global supply chains under such a rule. CRYPTO MARKET As per news reports, it seems that large investors decided to offload part of their crypto holdings during the previous week. The offload was followed with higher level of liquidations of leveraged position, which added to total crypto market capitalization decreased during the previous week of 6%, or $251B. However, analysts are noting that this drop should not be perceived as negative development, but a necessary catalyst for future move toward the upside. Daily trading volumes increased during the week to the level of $326B on a daily basis, from $241B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +23%, with a total funds inflow of $748B. It was a correction week for the majority of crypto coins. The largest coin, BTC lost 5,5% in value or $128B in funds outflow. ETH also went through a correction of 10,2% on a weekly basis, signalling investors caution in the altcoin market. From other major coins, XRP finished the week 6,7% lower from the week before, while market favorite Solana, was traded lower by around 15% from the end of the previous week. BNB went through a week relatively solid with a minor drop in value of 2,7% w/w. Most other leading coins such as Cardano, DOGE, Polkadot or Uniswap suffered double-digit losses, underscoring a broadly bearish week across the crypto sector. On the opposite side, ZCash should be especially mentioned, as this coin managed to increase its value by 10%, which was indeed a rarity during the previous week. When it comes to circulating coins, increased activity was also evident in this field. Polkadot managed to increase the number of coins on the market by 0,6%, while Filecoins added by 0,3% new coins to the market. The majority of other altcoins added around 0,1% of new coins to circulation. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market experienced a turbulent week, reflecting the broader correction that swept across the spot market. Both BTC and ETH futures posted consistent declines across all maturities, underscoring cautious sentiment among traders and institutional investors. BTC futures fell between 4,78% and 5,5% w/w, with contracts maturing in January 2026 leading the decline. Prices still followed an upward trajectory along the curve, beginning with $109.195 for September 2025, climbing to $119.875 for March 2027. This week marked the first time March 2027 futures were traded, signalling growing demand for longer-term instruments despite short-term weakness. ETH futures registered steeper losses of 9,2% to 11,2%. Regardless of negative developments on the spot market, ETH futures managed to hold above the $4K mark. December 2026 closed the week at $4.428, while first time trading March 2027 closed the week at $5.502. Despite the consistent declines, ETH futures exhibited an upward-sloping curve, highlighting expectations of gradual recovery over the long run.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
$ETH shows bullish hidden RSI divergence.A **bullish hidden RSI divergence** is a trading signal that suggests a continuation of an upward trend, often indicating that the price will keep rising. It occurs when the price action and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) show a specific pattern. Here's a simple explanation of how to identify and trade it: ### Step 1: Understand the Pattern - **Price Action**: The price makes **higher lows** (each low point is higher than the previous one), indicating an uptrend. - **RSI**: The RSI makes **lower lows** (the RSI is declining while the price is not), showing a divergence from the price trend. - This mismatch suggests that the uptrend is still strong, and the dip in RSI is just a temporary slowdown in momentum, not a reversal. ### Step 2: Identify the Divergence 1. **Chart Setup**: Use a price chart (e.g., candlestick chart) with the RSI indicator (typically set to 14 periods) on a platform like TradingView . 2. **Spot Higher Lows in Price**: Look for a price chart where the recent low is higher than the previous low (e.g., $100 to $105). 3. **Check RSI for Lower Lows**: At the same time, check if the RSI is making a lower low (e.g., RSI drops from 50 to 45 while price makes a higher low). 4. **Confirm the Uptrend**: Ensure the overall trend is bullish (price is generally moving up with higher highs and higher lows). ### Step 3: Trading the Bullish Hidden RSI Divergence 1. **Entry Point**: - Enter a **buy** trade when you confirm the divergence and see the price starting to rise again after the higher low. - Look for additional confirmation, like a bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., a hammer or engulfing candle) or a break above a resistance level. 2. **Stop Loss**: - Place a stop loss below the most recent higher low to protect against a potential trend reversal. - For example, if the higher low is at $105, set the stop loss slightly below, like $103. 3. **Take Profit**: - Target a take-profit level based on previous highs, support/resistance levels, or a risk-reward ratio (e.g., 1:2, meaning you aim for twice the profit compared to your risk). - For instance, if your stop loss is $2 below entry, aim for a $4 profit target. ### Step 4: Manage the Trade - **Monitor RSI**: Ensure RSI doesn’t drop into oversold territory (below 30) or show signs of a bearish reversal. - **Adjust Stop Loss**: As the price moves up, consider trailing your stop loss to lock in profits. - **Exit Strategy**: Exit the trade if the price hits your target, or if you see signs of a trend reversal (e.g., a bearish divergence or break of key support). ### Example - **Price**: Stock XYZ makes a low at $100, then a higher low at $105. - **RSI**: RSI drops from 50 to 45 during the same period. - **Action**: You enter a buy trade at $106 after a bullish candle. Set a stop loss at $103 and aim for a take-profit at $110 (1:2 risk-reward). - **Outcome**: If the price continues its uptrend to $110, you take profit. If it drops below $103, you exit with a small loss. ### Tips - **Timeframes**: Use higher timeframes (e.g., 1-hour, 4-hour, or daily) for more reliable signals. - **Confirmation Tools**: Combine with other indicators like moving averages or trendlines for stronger signals. - **Practice**: Test this strategy on a demo account before using real money to understand how it works in different market conditions. - **Risk Management**: Never risk more than 1-2% of your trading account on a single trade. This strategy works best in trending markets, so always confirm the broader trend before trading.
Long
by Crypto-Adda_Official
Altcoin Market Correction Underway – Final wave is coming!The total crypto market cap excluding BTC has likely completed Wave 3. At the end of Wave 3, a small bearish double top appeared, and the RSI confirmed weakness with a bearish divergence. During Wave 1, the RSI crossed 80. During Wave 3 going up, the RSI crossed 80 again and reached 86, which indicated that the uptrend would continue. However, at the peak of Wave 3, the divergence suggests exhaustion. On the Fibonacci speed resistance band, drawn from the end of Wave 2, the price already broke below the 0.618 level. At the same time, BTC dominance broke its downtrend line and increased by more than 1 percent and breaking 0.618 fib resistance, showing capital rotation back to Bitcoin. All these signals point to the start of Correction wave, the nearest strong support is the 1.42-1.43 trillion (speculative to reach those levels) bulls could push higher before reaching those, BTC correction wave is still ongoing aswell
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Short
by CryptoShip0
4 X Crypto TOTAL charts and VRVP show DO NOT PANICTHESE ARE THE DAILY CHARTS Top line - TOTAL Crypto Market Cap - TOTAL 2 (Excluding BTC ) Bottom Line - TOTAL 3 ( Excluding BTC & ETH ) - OTHERS ( Top 125 coins minus Top 50 by market cap ) TOTAL 3 is ALL ALT coins OTHERS is Mid to Lower Cap ALT coins These 4 Charts use the VRVP the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR), is a technical analysis indicator on TradingView that displays the distribution of trading volume at different price levels within the currently visible range of a chart. The Colour Key is below Value Area High ( VAH ) - Yellow Dashed Line Value Area Low ( VAL ) - Red Dashed line Point of Control ( POC ) - Red Dotted line Developing POC - Blue Dashed line Developing Value Area - Purple Dotted line The MAIN thing to take note of here, is how ALL the charts have come down to the POC ( Point of Control) and then bounced back. This shows VERY Strong support across the entire Crypto Market, though the lower cap are, as always, More volatile. The Point of Control (POC) on a Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP) is the price level with the highest traded volume within the specified time period, representing the price at which the most buyers and sellers interacted, indicating a zone of market equilibrium. The POC can act as a magnet for price action, with prices often gravitating toward it when they move too far away. The POC can serve as a key support or resistance level, with price trading above the POC suggesting bullish sentiment and trading below it indicating bearish sentiment. Traders use the POC to identify potential reversal points, entry and exit zones, and to gauge overall market sentiment PA Arrived at the POC this weekend and Bounced off it. It is showing BULLISH signs though we do need confirmation of continuation before we all shout with Koy. The target for conformation is ode PA to reach and pass above the VSH ( Value Area High orange dash) So, DO NOT PANIC just yet but do remain cautious
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by Orriginal
TOTAL2 – Altcoin Market Cap (Weekly TF) 2025 **Summary:** The TOTAL2 chart (crypto market cap excluding BTC) is showing a structurally bullish formation after a deep retracement and a higher low confirmation. This setup suggests a potential multi-phase rally toward 2.98T and beyond, with defined support zones and Fibonacci targets aligned with liquidity cycles. This analysis visualizes the expected roadmap based on trend-based Fibonacci extensions, retracement levels, and psychological market phases. Notably, the outlook includes the possibility of an initial correction to retest strong support zones before the market begins its ascent. **Chart Context:** TOTAL2 represents the aggregated market capitalization of all crypto assets excluding Bitcoin. Historically, it reflects capital rotation into altcoins, especially following BTC dominance peaks. The current chart shows strong reaccumulation above the 1T support zone, with Fibonacci confluences hinting at a sustained recovery pattern. Dotted arrows illustrate a wave-like projection of accumulation, rally, retracement, and expansion. The possibility of a near-term correction to lower support zones is also embedded in the path structure. **Key Technical Observations: and Levels** TP1 = 1.78T TP2 = 2.05T TP3 = 2.4T TP4 = 2.85T * **Secondary Fib Retracement :** 0% = 1.23T, 100% = 425.89B * Key zones: 23.6% = 1.04T, 38.2% = \~840.42B, 61.8% = \~569.41B Possible Support Levels: 1.04T, 930B, 840B, 766B, 735B, * **Trend-Based Fib (A-B-C):** A = \~420B, B = \~1.23T, C = \~735B * This projection aligns with TP1 at 1.78T * **Support Area:** Around 1T psychological zone (930B) * **Strong Support Zone:** 735 Bto775B * **First Target Zone:** Between 1.73T and 1.89T (early resistance + Fib cluster) **Indicators:** * Weekly structure forming higher lows * Long-term Fib retracements respected * Trend-Based Extension projecting 1.618 move * No divergence, confirming strength **Fundamental Context:** * Liquidity conditions are improving globally with rate cuts expected into late 2025. * ETH and ecosystem tokens are likely to lead altcoin recovery. * Regulatory clarity and ETF flows add legitimacy to broader crypto allocations. * Historical alt-seasons emerge from BTC profit rotation—TOTAL2 leads that shift. * However, several macro risks may trigger a correction before rallying: * The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is currently high, suggesting overbought conditions. * Macroeconomic uncertainties (e.g., inflation, rate hike fears) can suppress short-term risk appetite. * Regulatory tightening across major jurisdictions introduces hesitation in capital deployment. * Technical signs of a five-wave drop in BTC hint at a larger ABC correction scenario. * DAT (Digital Asset Treasury) exposure among public firms may lead to forced liquidations during downturns. **Philosophical or Narrative View:** This is not just a market cycle—it's a reflection of decentralized innovation reclaiming narrative dominance. After fear-induced lows, TOTAL2's rise echoes the resilience of builders, protocols, and investor conviction. Each Fibonacci level acts like a checkpoint in the unfolding story of crypto's evolution beyond Bitcoin. **Related Reference Charts:** * **Bias & Strategy Implication:** * **Bias:** Bullish with short-term corrective risk * **Accumulation Zone:** 1.0T–1.23T * **Initial Risk:** Price may revisit the **Support Area (1T)** or even the **Strong Support Zone (775B–725B)** before a sustained move higher. * **Partial TP:** 1.78T–2.05T * **Extended TP:** 2.4T–2.98T * Caution near TP4–Bonus zones as distribution risk increases * Invalidated if closes below 725B (structure break) **Notes & Disclaimers:** This is a structural macro outlook and not financial advice. Markets are dynamic and subject to rapid shifts in sentiment, liquidity, and regulation. Always use risk management.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by BitonGroup
MARKETS week ahead: September 21 – 27Last week in the news The first Fed rate cut this year occurred during the previous week. The FOMC meeting was the most important event which was closely watched by investors and also with high sentiment. The Fed fulfilled market expectations, and cut interest rates by 25 basis points. This move was highly welcomed by markets. The S&P 500 reached a new all time highest level at 6.665 points. The price of spot gold also had its move toward fresh new historically highest levels at $3.705, following the weakening of the US Dollar. Although the 10Y US benchmark yields reached their lowest level at 4.0%, still they bounced back after the Fed`s decision, toward 4.14% driven by stronger GDP forecasts, slightly higher inflation, and concerns over growing government debt issuance. The crypto market was relatively steady during the week, with BTC holding strongly above the $116K. The U.S. Federal Reserve announced a 0.25 percentage point cut to its key interest rate, the first reduction this year. In a press conference after the meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell addressed the decision and its broader implications. He acknowledged that President Trump's tariffs are starting to raise some prices, though their full impact on inflation and economic activity remains uncertain. Powell also noted that the tight U.S. labour market is more affected by slowing immigration than by trade policies. Regarding housing, he suggested the rate cut is unlikely to significantly shift the market. While he described the move as modest, saying it likely won’t make a huge difference to the economy, Powell emphasized that the Fed is “not on a pre-set path”, leaving future cuts dependent on evolving data. Nvidia announced a $5 billion investment in Intel, acquiring about 4% of the company and triggering a strategic partnership to jointly develop custom chips for data centers and PCs. Intel’s shares jumped around 30% on the news, marking their biggest single day gain since 1987. Under the deal, Intel will build Nvidia-custom x86 CPUs and integrate Nvidia’s GPU chiplets into system-on-chips for PCs, while also employing Nvidia’s NVLink technology to better connect their architectures. Analysts say this could be a turning point for Intel, boosting investor confidence and helping strengthen its competitive position in the AI and high-performance computing sectors. Once a leader in e-commerce, Alibaba is now leaning heavily into artificial intelligence, rolling out a multibillion dollar AI transformation with investments of more than $3,3 billion in AI technology. The company believes that its future growth will depend more on data, automation, and algorithmic efficiency than on its traditional online retail business. This overhaul reflects shifting strategy under pressure from slowing sales growth and intensified competition. Alibaba hopes that embracing AI will help it streamline operations, find new revenue streams, and stay relevant in China’s hypercompetitive tech landscape. CRYPTO MARKET As investors switched their focus to the FOMC meeting and Feds rate cut during the previous week, the crypto market was a bit left behind investors focus. The total crypto market capitalization decreased by a modest 1%, with an outflow of $55B. It could be concluded that the crypto market remained flat during the week. Daily trading volumes were also modestly decreased to the level of $241B, from $298B previously traded. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +23%, with a total funds inflow of $748B. BTC closed the week flat compared to the week before, still moving around the $116K level. The majority of altcoins went into a short price correction. ETH had a weekly drop of 5,3%, with funds outflow of $30,6B. Among higher weekly losers were Uniswap, with a drop in value of 11%, Algorand was traded down by 9% and Filecoin dropped by 7,2%. Among market favorites, Solana had a modest drop in value of 1,9%, while DOGE surprisingly lost 12,5% in value. XRP and Litecoin had a modest drop of 5%. On the opposite side was BNB who managed to increase its value by 6,4% w/w, while Monero was traded higher by 3,9%. Avalanche should be mentioned as the coin surged by 9,1% during the week. There has been modestly increased activity with coins in circulation. This is the second week in a row that IOTA is increasing the number of circulating coins by 0,7%, this week. Filecoin traditionally surging is circulating coins, this week by 0,4%. XRP was also one of the coins which increased its number of coins on the market by 0,3%. Crypto futures market Despite the increasing interest of investors for ETH and its futures, during the previous week ETH futures entered into a short correction of around 5% for all maturities. Contracts maturing in December this year closed the week at $4.541 and December 2026 at $4.895, falling short of the previously reported levels above the $5K mark. BTC futures also experienced a decline of around 1,5% w/w. Futures maturing in December this year ended the week at $117.495, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $124.630. The latest future data points to a cooling off in short term momentum for both BTC and ETH futures, despite sustained institutional interest, as markets react to macroeconomic shifts and Fed policy signals.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
ES Futures: Breakout or Fakeout? Trade Plan Inside --- 🔥 **ES Futures Setup (2025-09-20)** 🔥 📊 **Market View:** Leaning **BULLISH** (short/medium-term) ✅ – MA stacking + MACD support longs – BUT: low volume + RSI \~70 + Stoch \~78 = risk of fake breakout ⚠️ 🎯 **Trade Plan (Market Open):** * Direction: **LONG** * Entry: **6658.77** * Stop: **6574.64** (-84 pts / \$4,207 risk) * Targets: • T1: 6742.91 (+84 pts / \$4,207) • T2: 6784.98 (+126 pts / \$6,310) • T3: 6826.99 (+168 pts / \$8,413) 📏 **Size:** 1 contract (risk \~4.2% on \$100k acct — scale responsibly) 💪 **Confidence:** 60% ⏰ **Timing:** Market Open ⚠️ **Risks:** – Low volume (\~0.31x norm) – Overbought oscillators – Tech weakness could drag index ✅ **Rationale:** Trend + MA stack favors longs. Use 1.5 ATR stop. Lock gains at T1/T2, let runners push to 2R. --- 🚀 **ES LONG 6658.77 → TP 6826.99 | Stop 6574.64 | 60% Confidence** 🚀
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by quantsignals
TOTAL Crypto Market Cap: Structural Breakout Aligns with Macros## 📊 TOTAL – Crypto Market Cap Ready for Expansion Phase? --- ### 🧵 **Summary** The crypto market is showing signs of strong macro strength, with TOTAL reclaiming major support levels and forming a structurally bullish setup. Our multi-Fibonacci confluences and hidden bullish divergence point toward the possibility of a sustained breakout and new expansion leg toward \$4.9T and beyond. This bullish view is further supported by powerful macro fundamentals expected over the next 8–10 months, including: * Central bank rate cuts and liquidity expansion * U.S. and EU regulatory clarity (stablecoins, ETFs, MiCA) * Strong institutional adoption and geopolitical shifts * Ethereum scaling upgrades and Bitcoin halving cycle effects Together, these narratives form a compelling foundation for a broad-based market cap expansion. --- ### 📈 **Chart Context** This is a **weekly chart of the TOTAL crypto market cap**, providing a bird’s-eye view of market cycles, macro structure, and capital flow across the entire ecosystem. --- ### 🧠 **Key Technical Observations** * **Reclaim of \$3.02T level** (key support/fib level) signals macro bullish momentum. * Market is forming **higher lows and bullish continuation structures**. * **Support zones:** \$3.02T (reclaimed), \$2.57T (key pivot), * **Resistance/TP zones:** * **TP1 – \$3.75T** (100% trend-based fib + -27% retracement expansion) * **TP2 – \$4.9T** (161.8% trend-based fib + -61.8% retracement expansion) * **TP3 – \$6.9T** (261.8% fib extension target) --- ### 🧶 **Fibonacci Confluences and TP Logic** We’ve employed both **standard Fibonacci retracement** and **trend-based extension** tools to build our target structure. The **1TP and 2TP zones** are defined by confluences between: * **Retracement expansion levels** of **-27% and -61.8%** * **Trend-based extension levels** of **100% and 161.8%** If price reaches 2TP (~~\$4.9T) and **retraces toward the parallel legs** (100%–127%), this would confirm structural symmetry and open the door for a final push toward \*\*TP3 (~~\$6.9T)\*\* — the 261.8% extension. --- ### 🔍 **Indicators** * **MACD Crossover** and rising histogram bars * **Hidden Bullish Divergence** between MACD and price – a classic continuation signal * Weekly trendline breakout from accumulation zone --- ### 🧠 **Fundamental Context** While not directly charted, key macro catalysts like ETF approvals, global liquidity cycles, monetary easing, and increasing institutional interest will likely play a role in the next phase of expansion. This chart captures the structural readiness for that narrative. ## 📊 Fundamental Context (Extended Outlook: Mid-2025 to Early 2026) Below is a detailed breakdown of upcoming macroeconomic, geopolitical, and crypto-specific developments sourced from: * Bitwise Asset Management * Fidelity Digital Assets * ARK Invest * CoinDesk, Reuters, Axios, WSJ * CapitalWars, Cointelegraph, Coinpedia * European Commission (MiCA regulations) * U.S. Congressional records and SEC announcements These events are chronologically aligned to support a structured macro bullish thesis for TOTAL market cap. Bullish Crypto Catalysts (June 2025 – Feb 2026) Summer 2025 (Jun–Aug): Monetary Easing and Regulatory Breakthroughs Central Bank Policy Pivot: By mid-2025, major central banks are shifting toward easier policy. Market expectations indicate the U.S. Federal Reserve will stop tightening and begin cutting interest rates in 2025, with forecasts of up to three rate cuts by end-2025 bitwiseinvestments.eu . Declining inflation and rising unemployment are pushing the Fed in this direction bitwiseinvestments.eu bitwiseinvestments.eu . Easier monetary policy increases global liquidity and risk appetite, historically providing a tailwind for Bitcoin and crypto prices bitwiseinvestments.eu . In fact, global money supply is near record highs, a condition that in past cycles preceded major Bitcoin rallies bitwiseinvestments.eu . Should economic volatility worsen, the Fed has even signaled readiness to deploy fresh stimulus, which would inject more liquidity – “another tailwind for Bitcoin price growth” nasdaq.com . Liquidity and Inflation Trends: With inflation trending down from earlier peaks, central banks like the Fed and European Central Bank are under less pressure to tighten. This opens the door for potential liquidity injections or QE if growth falters. Analysts note a strong correlation (often >84%) between expanding global M2 money supply and Bitcoin’s price rise nasdaq.com . There is typically a ~2-month lag for liquidity increases to flow into speculative assets like crypto nasdaq.com nasdaq.com . The monetary easing expected in mid-2025 could therefore boost crypto markets by late summer, as new liquidity finds its way into higher-yielding investments. One projection even models Bitcoin retesting all-time highs (~$108K by June 2025) if global liquidity continues upward nasdaq.com – underscoring how “accelerated expansion of global liquidity” often aligns with crypto bull runs nasdaq.com . U.S. Stablecoin Legislation: A landmark regulatory catalyst is anticipated in summer 2025: the first comprehensive U.S. crypto law, focused on stablecoins. The Senate has advanced the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act to a final vote coindesk.com . Passage of this bill (expected by mid-2025) would create a federal framework for stablecoin issuers, resolving a major regulatory gray area coindesk.com . Analysts call this “one of the most important regulatory developments in the history of crypto” – potentially even bigger than the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in impact coindesk.com . By enforcing prudential standards on stablecoin reserves and permitting licensed issuance, the law would legitimize stablecoins as a core part of the financial system. Bitwise predicts that clear rules could trigger a “multi-year crypto bull market,” with stablecoin market cap exploding from ~$245B to $2.5 trillion as mainstream adoption accelerates coindesk.com coindesk.com . A U.S. law would also likely set a global precedent, encouraging other regions to integrate crypto-dollar tokens into commerce. Bottom line: expected stablecoin regulation in summer 2025 is a bullish game-changer, improving market integrity and unlocking new liquidity for crypto markets coindesk.com . Regulatory Clarity in Europe: Meanwhile, Europe’s comprehensive MiCA regulations have fully taken effect as of late 2024, so by summer 2025 the EU has a unified crypto framework. This gives legal clarity to issuers, exchanges, and custodians across the 27-nation bloc pymnts.com skadden.com . The harmonized rules (covering everything from stablecoin reserves to exchange licensing) are expected to expand Europe’s crypto market size by 15–20% in the coming years dailyhodl.com . With MiCA in force, firms can confidently launch crypto products EU-wide, and institutional investors have more protection. U.K. regulators are on a similar path – e.g. recognizing stablecoins as payment instruments – further globalizing the pro-crypto regulatory trend. By mid-2025, this regulatory thaw in major economies is improving investor sentiment. Goldman Sachs recently noted that 91% of crypto firms are gearing up for MiCA compliance – a sign that industry is preparing to scale under clearer rules merklescience.com merklescience.com . Overall, the summer of 2025 marks a turning point: governments are embracing sensible crypto rules (rather than harsh crackdowns), reducing uncertainty and inviting institutional capital off the sidelines. Initial ETF Impact: The first wave of U.S. spot crypto ETFs – approved in late 2023 and January 2024 – will have been trading for over a year by mid-2025 investopedia.com . Their success is already far exceeding expectations: BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust amassed a record $52 billion AUM in its first year (the biggest ETF launch in history) coindesk.com , and other Bitcoin funds from Fidelity, ARK, and Bitwise quickly joined the top 20 U.S. ETF launches of all time coindesk.com . These products have unleashed pent-up retail and institutional demand by offering a regulated, convenient vehicle for crypto exposure coindesk.com . By summer 2025, ETF inflows are still robust, and many Wall Street analysts expect a second wave of approvals. Indeed, 2025 is being called “the Year of Crypto ETFs” coindesk.com . Observers predict dozens of new funds – including spot Ether, Solana, and XRP ETFs – could win approval under revamped SEC leadership in the post-2024 election environment coindesk.com . If so, late 2025 could see a broad menu of crypto ETF offerings, widening investor access to the asset class. This steady drumbeat of ETF launches and inflows adds a structural source of buy-pressure under crypto markets throughout 2025. (Notably, Bloomberg data showed over $1.7B poured into spot crypto ETFs in just the first week of 2025, on top of 2024’s flows etf.com .) In short, the ETF effect – “shocking the industry to its core” in year one coindesk.com – is set to grow even stronger in 2025, channeling more traditional capital into crypto. U.S. Political Shift (Post-Election): The outcome of the Nov 2024 U.S. elections is a crucial backdrop by mid-2025. A new administration under President Donald Trump took office in January 2025 and immediately signaled a markedly pro-crypto policy stance. Within his first 100 days, Trump’s appointments to key financial agencies (SEC, CFTC, OCC) effectuated a “180° pivot” in crypto regulation from the prior administration cnbc.com . Industry observers describe a sharp policy reversal – where previously the sector faced hostility, now it’s courted as an engine of innovation. President Trump has publicly vowed to be “the first crypto-president,” hosting crypto industry leaders at the White House and promising to boost digital asset adoption reuters.com . He even floated creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve for the United States reuters.com – a striking show of support for Bitcoin’s role as a reserve asset (though it remains to be seen if this materializes). More tangibly, regulatory agencies have begun rolling back onerous rules. For example, the SEC under new leadership scrapped a prior accounting guideline that made bank crypto custody prohibitively expensive reuters.com . And the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has “paved the way” for banks to engage in crypto activities like custody and stablecoin issuance reuters.com . These changes in Washington brighten the outlook for crypto markets: with regulatory uncertainty fading, U.S. institutions feel more confident to participate. In essence, by mid-2025 the world’s largest capital market (the U.S.) is shifting from impeding crypto to embracing it, a narrative change that cannot be overstated in its bullish significance coindesk.com reuters.com . Geopolitical Easing and BRICS Actions: Global macro conditions in summer 2025 may also improve due to geopolitical developments. If major conflicts (like the Russia-Ukraine war) de-escalate or move toward resolution by late 2024 or 2025, it would remove a key source of risk-off sentiment. Lower geopolitical risk and easing of war-driven commodity shocks would help cool inflation (especially energy prices) and bolster global growth – factors that support risk asset rallies (crypto included). On another front, the BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa + new members) are continuing their de-dollarization agenda in 2025. At the BRICS summit in October 2024, they discussed creating a new gold-backed reserve currency (“the Unit”) as an alternative to the U.S. dollar investingnews.com . They also announced a BRICS blockchain-based payment network (“BRICS Bridge”) to connect their financial systems via CBDCs, bypassing Western networks investingnews.com . Going into 2025, these initiatives are expected to progress (with Russia currently chairing BRICS). While a full-fledged BRICS currency may be years away (and faces hurdles moderndiplomacy.eu ), the bloc’s move to settle more trade in non-USD currencies is already underway (by 2023, roughly 20% of oil trades were in other currencies) investingnews.com . Implication: A shift toward a more multi-polar currency world could weaken U.S. dollar dominance over time investingnews.com . For crypto, this trend is intriguing – as nations seek dollar alternatives, Bitcoin’s appeal as a neutral, supranational asset may rise. In sanctioned or economically volatile countries, both elites and the public might accelerate adoption of crypto for cross-border value storage. For example, U.S. sanctions on Russia and China have already catalyzed talk of reserve diversification investingnews.com . Fidelity analysts note that “rising inflation, currency debasement and fiscal deficits” globally are making Bitcoin strategically attractive for even nation-states and central banks coindesk.com coindesk.com . Summing up: a backdrop of improving geopolitical stability (if realized) plus a weakening dollar regime provides a bullish macro and narrative case for borderless cryptocurrencies as we enter the second half of 2025. Fall 2025 (Sep–Nov): Institutional Inflows, Adoption & Tech Upgrades Surging Institutional Adoption: By autumn 2025, the cumulative effect of regulatory clarity and market maturation is a wave of institutional adoption unlike any prior cycle. In traditional finance, major U.S. banks and brokers are cautiously but steadily entering the crypto arena. Reuters reports that Wall Street banks are now receiving “green lights” from regulators to expand into crypto services, after years of hesitance reuters.com reuters.com . Many top banks have been internally testing crypto trading and custody via pilot programs reuters.com . As one example, Charles Schwab’s CEO said in May 2025 that regulator signals are “flashing pretty green” for large firms, and confirmed Schwab plans to offer spot crypto trading to clients within a year reuters.com . Banks like BNY Mellon, State Street, and Citigroup – which collectively manage trillions – are expected to roll out crypto custody solutions by 2025, often via partnerships with crypto-native custodians dlnews.com . The OCC has explicitly authorized banks to handle crypto custody and stablecoins (under proper safeguards), removing a key barrier reuters.com . And the SEC’s friendlier stance under new leadership means banks no longer face punitive capital charges for holding digital assets reuters.com . The net effect is that by late 2025, institutional-grade crypto infrastructure is falling into place. More pension funds, endowments, and asset managers can allocate to crypto through familiar channels (regulated custodians, ETFs, prime brokers). Even conservative banking giants are warming up: Bank of America’s CEO stated the bank “will embrace cryptocurrencies for payments if regulations permit” and hinted at possibly launching a BOA stablecoin for settlement reuters.com . Likewise, Fidelity and BlackRock’s crypto units are expanding offerings after seeing outsized demand. This institutional legitimization dramatically expands the pool of potential investors in crypto markets, supporting a higher total market capitalization. Crypto ETF Expansion: In Q4 2025, the roster of crypto-based ETFs and funds is likely to broaden further. As noted, analysts foresee 50+ crypto ETFs by end of 2025 under the pro-industry U.S. regulatory regime coindesk.com . By fall, we may see Ethereum spot ETFs (building on the successful Bitcoin products) and even funds for large-cap altcoins. For instance, Nate Geraci of The ETF Store predicts spot Solana and XRP ETFs are on the horizon in the U.S. coindesk.com . Internationally, Canada and Europe already have multiple crypto ETPs – their continued growth adds to global inflows. With a year of performance history by late ’25, crypto ETFs will likely start seeing allocations from more conservative institutions (insurance firms, corporate treasuries, etc.) that needed to observe initially. Fidelity’s strategists noted that in 2024 much of the ETF buying came from retail and independent advisors, but 2025 could bring uptake from hedge funds, RIAs, and pensions as comfort grows coindesk.com coindesk.com . In summary, fall 2025 should witness accelerating capital inflows via investment vehicles, as crypto solidifies its place in mainstream portfolios. This sustained demand – “2025’s flows will easily surpass 2024’s” according to one strategist coindesk.com – provides a steady bid under crypto asset prices, reinforcing a bullish trend. Nation-State and Sovereign Adoption: A notable development to watch in late 2025 is the entry of nation-states and public institutions into Bitcoin. Fidelity Digital Assets published a report calling 2025 a potential “game changer in terms of bitcoin adoption”, predicting that more nation-states, central banks, sovereign wealth funds, and treasuries will buy BTC as a strategic reserve asset coindesk.com . The rationale is that with rising inflation and heavy debt loads, governments face currency debasement and financial instability, making Bitcoin an attractive hedge coindesk.com . By Q4 2025, we could see early signs of this trend. For example, there are rumors that Russia and Brazil have explored holding Bitcoin reserves fortune.com , and Middle Eastern sovereign funds flush with petrodollars might quietly accumulate crypto as diversification. In the U.S., President Trump and crypto-friendly lawmakers like Senator Cynthia Lummis have openly discussed establishing a U.S. Bitcoin reserve or adding BTC to Treasury holdings coindesk.com . Lummis even introduced a “Bitcoin Reserve” bill in 2024, which if enacted would set a precedent for national adoption coindesk.com . While such bold moves might not happen overnight, even small allocations by governments or central banks would be symbolically massive. It would validate crypto’s role as “digital gold” and potentially ignite FOMO among other nations (a game theory dynamic Fidelity’s report alludes to). Thus by late 2025, any announcements of central banks buying Bitcoin or countries mining/holding crypto (similar to El Salvador’s earlier example) could spur a bullish frenzy. At minimum, the expectation of this “sovereign bid” provides a narrative supporting the market. As Fidelity’s analysts put it: not owning some Bitcoin may soon be seen as a greater risk for governments than owning it coindesk.com . Ethereum & Crypto Tech Upgrades: The latter part of 2025 is also packed with technological catalysts in the crypto sector, which can boost investor optimism. Chief among these is Ethereum’s roadmap milestones. Ethereum core developers plan to deliver major scaling improvements by end-2025 as part of “The Surge” phase bitrue.com . This includes fully rolling out sharding – splitting the blockchain into parallel “shards” – combined with widespread Layer-2 rollups, aiming to increase throughput to 100,000+ transactions per second bitrue.com . If Ethereum achieves this by Q4 2025, it would vastly lower fees and increase capacity, enabling a new wave of decentralized application growth. For users, that means faster, cheaper transactions; for the market, it means Ethereum becomes more valuable as utilization can skyrocket without bottlenecks. Progress is well underway: an intermediate upgrade (EIP-4844 “proto-danksharding”) was implemented earlier to boost Layer-2 efficiency, and the next major upgrade (code-named Pectra) is slated for Q1 2025 focusing on validator improvements and blob data throughput fidelitydigitalassets.com . After that, the final sharding implementation is expected. By late 2025, Ethereum’s evolution – including MEV mitigation (The Scourge) and Verkle trees for lighter nodes (The Verge) – should make the network more scalable, secure, and decentralized bitrue.com . These upgrades are bullish for the ecosystem: a more scalable Ethereum can host more DeFi, NFT, and gaming activity, attracting capital and users from traditional tech. Investors may speculate on ETH demand rising with network activity. Beyond Ethereum, other protocols (Solana, Cardano, Layer-2s like Arbitrum, etc.) also have roadmap milestones during this period, potentially improving their value propositions. Overall, the tech backdrop in late 2025 is one of significant improvement, which supports a positive market outlook – the infrastructure will be ready for mainstream scale just as interest returns. Bitcoin Halving Aftermath: Although the Bitcoin halving took place in April 2024, its bullish impact historically materializes with a lag of 12-18 months. That puts late 2025 into early 2026 right in the window when the post-halving cycle may reach a euphoric phase. By fall 2025, Bitcoin’s supply issuance will have been at half its prior rate for ~18 months, potentially leading to a supply-demand squeeze if demand surges. ARK Invest notes that previous halvings (2012, 2016, 2020) all coincided with the early stages of major bull markets ark-invest.com . Indeed, by Q4 2025 we may see this pattern repeating. ARK’s analysts observed in late 2024 that Bitcoin remained roughly on track with its four-year cycle and expressed “optimism about prospects for the next 6–12 months” following the April 2024 halving ark-invest.com . That optimism appears well-founded if macro conditions and adoption trends align as discussed. By November 2025, Bitcoin could be approaching or exceeding its previous all-time high ( ~$69K from 2021) – some crypto analysts foresee six-figure prices during this cycle. Importantly, a rising Bitcoin tide tends to lift the entire crypto market cap. Late 2025 could see a broad rally across altcoins, often referred to as “altseason,” as new retail and institutional money, emboldened by Bitcoin’s strength, diversifies into higher-beta crypto assets. The expectation of the halving-driven bull cycle can itself become a self-fulfilling sentiment booster: investors position ahead of it, providing additional buy pressure. In summary, fall 2025 is poised to be the crescendo of the Bitcoin halving cycle, with historical analogues (2013, 2017, 2021) suggesting a powerful uptrend in crypto prices. Reduced BTC supply + peak cycle FOMO + all the fundamental drivers (ETF flows, low rates, tech upgrades) make this timeframe particularly conducive to a bullish market cap expansion. Winter 2025–26 (Dec–Feb): Peak Momentum and Continued Tailwinds Bull Market Momentum: Entering winter 2025/26, the crypto market could be in full bull mode. If the above developments play out, total crypto market capitalization may be approaching new highs by late 2025, driven by strong fundamentals and investor FOMO. Historically, the final leg of crypto bull markets sees parabolic gains and surging liquidity inflows. We might witness that in Dec 2025 – Feb 2026: exuberant sentiment, mainstream media coverage of Bitcoin “breaking records,” and increased retail participation. Unlike the 2017 and 2021 peaks, however, this cycle has far greater institutional involvement, which could imply more sustainable capital inflows (and possibly a larger magnitude of inflows). Key macro factors are likely to remain supportive through early 2026: central banks that began easing in 2024-25 may continue to hold rates low or even consider renewed asset purchases if economies are soft. For instance, if a mild U.S. recession hits in late 2025, the Fed and peers could respond with quantitative easing or liquidity facilities, effectively “printing” money that often finds its way into asset markets, including crypto nasdaq.com . China’s PBoC could also inject stimulus to boost growth, adding to global liquidity. Such actions would prolong the “risk-on” environment into 2026, delaying any end to the crypto uptrend. Additionally, global equity markets are projected to be strong in this scenario (buoyed by low rates and easing geopolitical tensions), and crypto’s correlation with equities means a rising stock tide lifts crypto too – as was observed in May 2025 when stock rallies coincided with BTC and ETH jumps blockchain.news blockchain.news . Investor Sentiment and Retail Revival: By early 2026, investor sentiment toward crypto could be the most bullish since 2021. With clear regulatory frameworks, high-profile endorsements (even governments buying in), and tech narratives (Web3, AI+blockchain, etc.), the stage is set for a positive feedback loop. Retail investors who largely sat out during the harsh 2022–23 bear market may fully return, spurred by “fear of missing out” as they see Bitcoin and popular altcoins climbing. This broadening of participation (from hedge funds down to everyday investors globally) increases market breadth and can drive total market cap to climactic heights. Notably, the availability of user-friendly investment onramps – e.g. spot crypto ETFs through any brokerage, crypto offerings integrated in fintech apps and banks – makes it much easier for average investors to allocate to crypto in 2025-26 than in past cycles. The removal of friction means inflows can ramp up faster and larger. Social media and pop culture hype also tend to peak in late-stage bulls; we might see Bitcoin and Ethereum becoming water-cooler talk again, drawing in new demographics. All of this contributes to strong sentiment and capital inflows in winter 2025/26, reinforcing the bullish outlook. Continued Policy and Geopolitical Tailwinds: The policy landscape is expected to remain a tailwind into 2026. In the U.S., if the pro-crypto Trump administration stays aligned with its promises, we could see additional positive actions: perhaps tax clarity for digital assets, streamlined ETF approvals for more crypto categories, or even federal guidelines for banks to hold crypto on balance sheets. Such steps would further normalize crypto within the financial system. Regulatory coordination internationally might also improve – for example, G20 nations in 2025 have been working on a global crypto reporting framework and stablecoin standards, which, once implemented, reduce the risk of harsh crackdowns in any major economy. On the geopolitical front, the BRICS de-dollarization efforts might bear first fruit by 2026, such as increased trade settled in yuan, gold, or even Bitcoin. If Saudi Arabia (a new BRICS invitee) starts pricing some oil in non-USD, that could weaken dollar liquidity at the margins, and some of that displaced value might flow to alternative stores like crypto or gold. Additionally, by 2026 the world will be looking ahead to the next U.S. Presidential election cycle (2028) – typically, in the lead-up, administrations prefer supportive economic conditions. This could mean fiscal stimulus or at least no new financial regulations that rock markets, implying a benign policy environment for risk assets. In Europe, 2026 will see MiCA fully operational and possibly updated with new provisions for DeFi and NFTs, further integrating the crypto market. In sum, early 2026 should carry forward many of 2025’s positive drivers – ample liquidity, regulatory support, and growing mainstream acceptance – giving little reason to suspect an abrupt end to the bullish trend during this window. Bitcoin Halving Cycle Peak: If history rhymes, the crypto market might reach a cycle peak somewhere around late 2025 or early 2026. Past bull cycles (2013, 2017, 2021) peaked roughly 12-18 months after the halving; a similar timeframe would put a possible top in the Dec 2025 – Feb 2026 period. That could mean Bitcoin at unprecedented price levels and total crypto market cap in multi-trillions, barring any unforeseen shocks. ARK Invest’s analysis as of late 2024 remained optimistic that Bitcoin was “in sync with historical cycles” and poised for strong performance into 2025 ark-invest.com . By early 2026, those cycle dynamics (diminished new supply vs. surging demand) might reach a crescendo. One metric to watch is the stock-to-flow or issuance rate – post-halving Bitcoin’s inflation rate is below 1%, lower than gold’s, which can drive the digital gold narrative to its zenith at this point. Moreover, Ethereum’s upcoming transition to a deflationary issuance (with EIP-1559 fee burns and Proof-of-Stake) means ETH could also be seeing declining supply into 2026, potentially amplifying its price if demand spikes. Thus, both of the top crypto assets would have increasing scarcity dynamics during the period when interest is highest – a recipe for a dramatic run-up. Importantly, capital rotations within crypto during peak phases often send smaller altcoins skyrocketing (as investors seek outsized gains), temporarily boosting total market cap beyond just Bitcoin’s contribution. All told, the early 2026 period could represent the euphoric apex of this cycle’s bull market, supported by solid macro and fundamental fuel laid in the preceding months. Even if volatility will be high, the overall outlook through February 2026 remains strongly bullish for crypto’s total market capitalization, given the confluence of loose monetary conditions, favorable policy shifts, geopolitical diversification into crypto, institutional FOMO, and major network upgrades powering the narrative. ✨ Philosophical Reflection In the ever-unfolding rhythm of cycles—accumulation, expansion, distribution, and reset—crypto mirrors the deeper architecture of nature and consciousness. Just as seeds lie dormant in winter awaiting the kiss of spring, so too does capital bide its time in the shadows before surging into momentum. The Fibonacci spirals found in shells, storms, and galaxies reappear in price action—offering not just numbers, but a language of emergence. What we witness in the TOTAL market cap is not just a breakout—it is a reawakening. A collective pulse of belief, liquidity, and intention. In this confluence of technical geometry and macroeconomic tides, the market becomes more than price—it becomes a story, a symbol, a signal. We don’t just analyze this chart—we read it like a sacred map, charting the ascent of value, vision, and velocity.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by BitonGroup
WHAT GOES UP, MUST COME DOWN – $DOT DUMP TIME?In my last analysis we nailed the move: CRYPTOCAP:DOT pumped to sweep the weak 14 Aug high exactly as projected. ✅ That mission is complete – now it’s time for the other side of the trade. Analysis 14 Aug high swept → equilibrium reached. Price in HTF Golden Pocket + strong Fib cluster. Bearish harmonic + hidden bear div on CVD. Orderflow: longs piling in, OI ↑ but price stuck → squeeze risk. Likely SFP around $4.65 (take out Sept 13 high) → then dump. First target: $3.75.
Short
by ThetaNomad
10