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USDT Dominance at a Critical Turning Point–Will Correction BeginIn my previous analysis, I highlighted that USDT dominance had likely completed a 5-wave Elliott structure around 4.60%–4.65%, suggesting that a corrective ABC decline could follow. That call played out accurately, with dominance stalling right at the projected resistance zone. 🔎 Current Update: • Price has now hit the top of the larger descending channel as well as the upper boundary of the short-term rising channel → creating a confluence resistance near 4.70%. • This level remains a high-probability reversal zone. 📊 Scenarios: • 🔻 Bearish (More Likely): Rejection from 4.65%–4.70% could confirm the corrective ABC pattern, targeting 4.30%–4.20% next. 👉 This would signal capital rotation back into crypto & altcoins. • 🟢 Bullish (Alternative): A confirmed breakout above 4.70% would open the door toward 4.90%, extending pressure on the crypto market. ⸻ 📌 Conclusion: Given the technical confluence, the odds still favor a pullback in USDT dominance, which could give altcoins some room to breathe in the coming sessions.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by CryptoPilot
1
Ethereum (ETH/USDT, 4H) – Bounce Setup After Textbook Drop In my previous analysis, I highlighted the $4,700–$4,800 zone as a critical resistance cluster. ETH was rejected exactly from $4,720 and dropped sharply to $3,850, just as projected. ✅ ⸻ 🔎 Current Outlook: • ETH has now reached the lower boundary of its descending channel. • Price is sitting right on the $3,850 support zone, where buyers are showing early signs of activity. • Momentum indicators suggest that the downside pressure may be exhausting, increasing the probability of a relief rally. ⸻ 📊 Scenarios: 🔸 Bullish Reversal (more likely): If $3,850 holds, ETH could rebound toward: • First target: $4,100–$4,200 • Extended target: $4,400 🔸 Bearish Case (alternative): A clean breakdown below $3,850 would expose the next demand zone at $3,600–$3,700. ⸻ 📌 Conclusion: After a sharp and accurate rejection from $4,720, Ethereum is now testing strong support at $3,850. Given the confluence of channel support and demand, the odds favor a bounce scenario over continued downside.
Long
by CryptoPilot
1
USDT Dominance Hits Channel Top – Correction Ahead?USDT dominance has reached the top of its channel, completing a potential 5-wave Elliott structure. This suggests that a corrective ABC pattern may follow. • 🟢 Key Resistance: 4.60% – 4.65% • 🔻 Expected Correction: toward 4.20% – 4.30% • 📈 Market Impact: A decline in USDT dominance often means capital flowing back into crypto & altcoins. If this scenario plays out, we could see altcoins breathing again in the short term.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by CryptoPilot
6
Bitcoin Dominance at Channel Resistance – Reversal Ahead?Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) has reached the top of its ascending channel around 58.5%, which is acting as a strong resistance. 🔹 Main Scenario (More Likely): A rejection from this resistance zone could trigger a pullback toward 57.8% – 58%, giving some relief to altcoins in the short term. 🔹 Alternative Scenario: If BTC.D manages to break and hold above 58.5%, the next upside target would be around 59%. ⚖️ Conclusion: • Current levels are risky for further upside. • Probability of a correction is higher. • This setup may favor altcoin outperformance if dominance drops.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by CryptoPilot
USDT Dominance Hits Major Resistance – What’s Next for Crypto?📊 On the 4H timeframe, USDT dominance (USDT.D) is approaching the 4.60% – 4.70% resistance zone, a level that has repeatedly triggered strong rejections in the past. 🔹 Primary Scenario A rejection from this resistance is the more likely outcome. If confirmed, it could signal a bullish move for Bitcoin and altcoins as capital flows back into risk assets. 🔹 Alternative Scenario If USDT.D manages to break and hold above 4.70%, this would indicate risk-off behavior in the market, potentially leading to increased selling pressure on crypto assets. ⚖️ Summary: • 🔻 Rejection at resistance → Positive signal for crypto rally • 🔺 Break & hold above 4.70% → Warning of further downside in crypto
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by CryptoPilot
1
Ethereum at Critical Support – What’s Next?📊 ETH/USDT – 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ Descending Channel: Ethereum is still moving inside a clear descending channel. Sellers remain in control as every rally to the channel top has been rejected. 2️⃣ Trendline Break: The short-term ascending trendline (orange) has just been broken with strong selling pressure, dragging the price into the $4,200 – $4,250 support zone. 3️⃣ Key Support Zone: The first major support lies at $4,200 – $4,250. If this level holds, ETH could see a short-term rebound toward $4,400 – $4,600. 4️⃣ Main Buy Zone: If $4,200 fails, the next strong demand zone sits at $3,950 – $4,100, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel. This is where stronger buying interest is expected. 5️⃣ Resistance Levels: • Near-term: $4,450 – $4,600 • Major: $4,750 – $4,800 ⚖️ Summary: • Bullish scenario: Holding $4,200 → bounce to $4,400 / $4,600. • Bearish scenario: Losing $4,200 → drop to $4,000 – $3,950 (main BUY zone). 👉 At this stage, trading in the middle of the channel is risky. Safer entries come either near $4,000 – $4,100 or after a confirmed breakout above $4,600.
Long
by CryptoPilot
1
USDT Dominance (USDT.D) Analysis📊 Currently, USDT dominance has reacted negatively after testing the 4.33% – 4.35% resistance zone along with the descending trendline. This area is acting as a supply zone, strengthening the probability of further downside. 🔻 If the resistance holds, we expect USDT.D to enter a bearish leg, first targeting the 4.25% level, and then potentially extending toward the key support zone at 4.20% – 4.21%. ⚡ Alternative Scenario: If a strong candle closes above 4.35%, further upside toward the 4.45% region could be seen. However, as long as price remains below resistance, the bearish outlook remains more likely. 📌 Summary: • Key Resistance: 4.33% – 4.35% • Main Supports: 4.25% and 4.20% • Primary Scenario: Continuation to the downside toward 4.20% if resistance holds
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by CryptoPilot
Bitcoin at Critical Resistance – Reversal or Breakout?Bitcoin (BTCUSDT – 3H) is testing the 117.5k – 118k resistance zone, which coincides with the upper boundary of the descending channel. So far, this level has acted as a strong rejection zone several times. 🔎 Key Insights: • Structure: Price has formed a rising channel/wedge, often seen as a corrective bearish pattern. • Resistance: 117.5k – 118k (major supply zone + channel top). • Supports: • 114k (short-term channel support) • 107k – 108k (major support zone + channel bottom). 📌 Scenarios: • Bearish (more likely): Rejection from 118k → downside targets at 114k and 107k – 108k. • Bullish (alternative): Break & close above 118k → potential rally toward 122k – 124k. ⚠️ As long as BTC stays below 118k, downside risks remain higher.
Short
by CryptoPilot
USDT Dominance on Thin Ice – Breakdown Likely AheadThe USDT dominance chart remains trapped inside a descending channel, with the key resistance sitting around 4.40%. Despite short-term bounces, the structure still favors a bearish continuation. The critical support zone lies at 3.85% – 3.70%, which is the most likely target if dominance fails to break above 4.40%. 🔑 Key Points: • Main resistance: 4.40% – 4.60% • Bearish target: 3.85% – 3.70% • Overall structure still bearish unless 4.60% is reclaimed. 👉 A breakdown here would be bullish for altcoins, as money flows out of USDT.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by CryptoPilot
Ethereum at a Critical Resistance Zone – Will $4,800 Hold or Bre📝 Analysis: Ethereum (ETH/USDT, 4H) is testing a critical resistance zone at $4,700–$4,800, where several technical factors converge: 1. Descending Channel: Price is touching the upper boundary of the long-term descending channel. 2. Fibonacci Extension: The recent rally has reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (~$4,720), which often acts as a potential reversal zone. 3. Resistance Cluster: The $4,700–$4,800 area combines both static resistance and the channel top, making it a high-risk region for buyers. 4. Wave Structure: The strong rally from ~$4,050 could be part of a corrective wave (possibly Wave D). If ETH fails here, we may see a sharp pullback. ⸻ 📊 Scenarios: 🔸 Bearish Case (more likely): Rejection from $4,720–$4,800 could trigger a correction toward: • First support: $4,580–$4,600 • Key support: $4,100–$4,200 🔸 Bullish Case (conditional): A daily close above $4,800 would confirm a breakout from the channel, opening the door for targets at: • $4,950–$5,000 ⸻ 📌 Conclusion: ETH is at a make-or-break level. Failure to hold above $4,800 could bring a strong correction, but a confirmed breakout may fuel a run toward $5,000.
Short
by CryptoPilot
Critical Moment for Tether Dominance – Will Wave (D) Crash the MThe chart shows that Tether Dominance is moving inside a descending channel. Based on the wave count, it seems that wave (C) has just been completed, and now we may expect a sharp wave (D) rally. Such a move could trigger a fast market downturn, as rising USDT dominance usually pressures crypto assets. ⚠️ The key condition is whether the channel bottom, which also aligns with a major order block, holds. • If it holds → wave (D) up, strong bearish pressure on crypto. • If it breaks → continuation of the downtrend in dominance, allowing altcoins to recover. 📊 Summary: • Wave (C) completed • Potential strong wave (D) up → bearish for crypto • Condition: channel bottom must hold
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by CryptoPilot
1
Altcoins on the Edge: Will “Others” Dominance Get Rejected?The Others Dominance chart is moving within an ascending channel and is now approaching the channel’s upper boundary. The 8.31% level is acting as a key resistance near the top of the channel. ✅ A likely scenario is a rejection from this zone, which could trigger a downward correction in dominance. 📉 This would translate into negative volatility for altcoins, as the dominance of smaller-cap coins tends to drop after reaching such resistance levels.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.DShort
by CryptoPilot
1
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) – Neowave UpdateEthereum continues to move inside a short-term descending channel. Based on the Neowave count, the current structure can be interpreted as wave G of a Diametric pattern. 🔑 Main Scenario: • If ETH manages to hold above 4315, buyers could regain control. • In that case, a move toward the channel’s upper boundary around 4410 is likely, completing wave G of the Diametric. ⚠️ Alternative Scenario: • Failure to sustain above 4315 will keep the bearish tone intact. • In this case, ETH may retest the lower boundary of the channel, with possible extensions toward 4200–4150. 📌 Conclusion: Ethereum is at a decision point. A confirmed breakout above 4315 opens room for a rally to 4410, while rejection from this level could extend the corrective phase lower.
Long
by CryptoPilot
Altcoins Under Pressure–Others Dominance Rejected at Channel TOPOthers Dominance has just reacted negatively after touching the upper boundary of its rising channel and aligning with the midline of a larger channel. This confluence has triggered a bearish rejection. 📉 Likely Scenario: If this rejection holds, Others Dominance could decline toward the channel bottom near 7.7%, signaling increased selling pressure on altcoins. ⚡ Conclusion: As long as the resistance zone holds, the short-term outlook remains bearish. A clean breakout above resistance would be needed to shift this bias.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.DShort
by CryptoPilot
Bitcoin Weekly Outlook – Possible Pullback to $98K MidlineBitcoin is still moving inside its long-term ascending channel. After testing the upper boundary near $120K+, the price showed rejection and is now heading lower. 📊 Key Observations: • BTC has respected this parallel channel since early 2023. • The rejection from the upper boundary suggests a healthy correction inside the trend. • The most logical target for this pullback is the channel’s midline (~$98K). • As long as BTC holds above this level, the broader uptrend remains intact. ⚡ Conclusion: A controlled correction to ~$98K should not be seen as a bearish reversal, but rather as a structural retest within the bigger bullish channel. A weekly close below $98K, however, could open the way for a deeper correction toward $85K.
Short
by CryptoPilot
1
USDT Dominance Update – Market at a Turning PointUSDT Dominance got rejected from the 4.55% – 4.60% resistance zone and is now consolidating right on the dynamic yellow trendline and the white diagonal support. 📊 Key Points: • This area is a critical decision zone. • Holding above support could trigger another push toward 4.55–4.60%. • But a clean breakdown below 4.44% may open the way to 4.35% – 4.30%, which would be very bullish for altcoins. ⚡ Conclusion: USDT dominance is at a major crossroad – the next move will likely define the short-term direction for both Bitcoin and altcoins.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by CryptoPilot
1
Bitcoin Dominance at Channel Resistance –Will Altcoins Take Off?BTC Dominance has been moving inside a clear descending channel, and right now, price is testing the upper boundary (channel resistance). Here’s what the price action is telling us: 🔸 If dominance rejects this level and fails to break out, we could see a pullback toward the lower channel, which usually signals money rotating into altcoins → potential altseason setup. 🔸 But if BTC.D manages to break and close above the channel, it may confirm a shift in capital back into Bitcoin, putting pressure on altcoins. 📍 This zone is a make-or-break level, and the reaction here could dictate the short-term market structure for the entire crypto market.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by CryptoPilot
2
USDT Dominance at a Key Decision Point ,Crash or Fly?USDT Dominance has managed to break above the descending trendline (white line) with volume, but so far it has failed to clear the order block resistance at 4.61% (green zone). At this stage, price action is stuck between two critical levels, and the next move could define the market’s mid-term direction: 🔸 Scenario 1 (Bullish for USDT.D / Bearish for Crypto): A clean break and acceptance above the 4.61% order block would confirm demand for stablecoins, signaling capital rotation out of crypto assets. This could trigger a market-wide selloff in Bitcoin and altcoins. 🔸 Scenario 2 (Bearish for USDT.D / Bullish for Crypto): Failure to hold above the broken trendline and a rejection from 4.61% could drive USDT.D back below the descending line, opening the path toward the 3.8% demand zone. This would suggest capital flowing back into crypto, fueling a potential bullish rally. ⚠️ Market participants should keep a close eye on this area — the reaction around 4.61% will set the tone for the weeks ahead.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by CryptoPilot
1
Crypto Market at a Major Crossroad, USDT Dominance Will TellUSDT Dominance has reached the critical descending trendline resistance – a major decision point for the entire crypto market. 🔹 If USDT.D breaks above this trendline and holds, it signals rising demand for stablecoins. This usually means capital is leaving crypto assets, potentially starting a long-term bearish phase for the market. 🔹 On the other hand, if USDT.D fails to break this resistance and gets rejected, it could trigger a decline in dominance. That would suggest money is flowing back into Bitcoin and altcoins, opening the door for a possible new rally. ⚠️ The next few days are crucial. This zone is a macro decision point that may define the medium-to-long-term direction of the crypto market.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by CryptoPilot
Stagnant Dominance Screams No Inflows – Crypto Crash Looming?Overview: Over the past 43 days (July 12 to August 24, 2025), USDT Dominance has hovered around 4% with slight increases (from ~4% to 4.24%), indicating zero fresh capital inflows into crypto. Growth in alts like Ethereum stems solely from money rotating out of Bitcoin (BTC.D decline), not new money— a classic redistribution trap. This setup warns of high crash risk, as the market lacks real liquidity support. As of August 24, 2025, USDT.D at 4.24% is priming for a surge, potentially triggering altcoin carnage. NeoWave Technical Analysis: The chart shows a completed Diametric correction (7 waves A-B-C-D-E-F-G) in the descending yellow channel, with Wave G accelerating downward. Wave A from ~6.4% to 4.9%, B rebound to 5.7%, C drop to 4.5%, D rise to 5.4%, E decline to 4.3%, F short rally to 4.5%, and G plunging to 4.24%. Monowave count (~55-70 subwaves) and symmetry (A/C/E/G large, B/D/F small) validate the pattern. The trendline break confirms reversal, targeting the next line at ~4.6% (1.618 Fib extension from F low). Stagnant dominance over 43 days underlines no inflows—crypto's "growth" is internal shuffling, vulnerable to sudden outflows. Why Crash Risk is High: No new cash means the market is floating on borrowed time. Ethereum's pumps owe to BTC rotations, not organic demand—per Statista, USDT dominance rose in May 2025 but stabilized, signaling caution. If USDT.D breaks 4.6%, alts could dump 20-30% as funds park in stables. Trade Idea (Bullish USDT.D / Bearish Alts): Entry: Long USDT.D above 4.24% on BOS confirmation; short ETH/alts below $4,800. Targets: TP1 at 4.6%, TP2 at 5% (channel midline). For ETH: $3,800-$3,500. Stop Loss: Below 4.1% (R:R ~1:3). Sizing: 1-2% capital; trail on midline breaks. Watch volume—low inflows mean flash crashes ahead. Crypto's house of cards—time to hedge! #USDTDominance #NeoWave #CryptoCrash #NoInflows
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by CryptoPilot
1
Bitcoin Dominance Elliott Wave Update: Wave ⑤ Near CompletionBTC Dominance has been unfolding in a clear 5-wave impulsive decline. Right now, price action is moving within the last leg — wave ⑤ — and has reached the 57.9% zone, which aligns with multiple confluences: • ✅ 0.618 Fibonacci extension of wave (3) • ✅ Bottom of the descending channel • ✅ Strong psychological & structural support zone This confluence suggests that wave ⑤ could be approaching its final stage of completion. 📌 Implication for Altcoins: A local bottom in BTC dominance often translates into increased selling pressure on altcoins, as money flows back toward Bitcoin. 🎯 Key Levels to Watch: • 57.9% → potential termination zone for wave ⑤ • 56.6% → full 1.0 extension of wave (3), deeper bearish scenario ⚠️ Invalidation: If dominance breaks convincingly below 56.6%, the bearish extension continues, giving altcoins more room to breathe. 👉 For now, caution is advised on altcoins as BTC dominance nears completion of wave ⑤. Expect volatility and potential liquidity grabs.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by CryptoPilot