SUI/USDT – Price Outlook (2H TF)🔍 Updated Aug 4, 2025 | SMC + NeoWave
SUI has broken out of the descending channel and is currently holding above the strong demand zone around $3.35–$3.40. This zone overlaps with a bullish order block and prior trendline support.
📌 Bullish Scenario (preferred):
Price confirms support → Push toward $3.90–$4.00 supply zone.
📌 Invalidation:
A close below $3.35 invalidates the setup and suggests continuation of the correction.
💡 Tip: A breakout of structure (BOS) + mitigation of OB = solid confluence for long setups.
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Ripple (XRP/USDT) Technical Analysis – 1H Timeframe🔰 Current Market Context:
After breaking below the ascending channel near $3.50, XRP has entered a corrective phase within a descending channel. Price is now hovering around a mid-range resistance zone, and we can outline two key potential scenarios from here:
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📌 Scenario 1 (Sc1) – Immediate Rejection and Bearish Continuation
In this case:
• Price gets rejected from the current resistance zone ($3.05–$3.10).
• A quick corrective pattern (likely a Zigzag or Flat) plays out.
• XRP moves down to test the next demand zone near $2.70–$2.65, breaking below recent swing lows.
✅ This scenario aligns with the current weak structure and visible sell-side pressure. Liquidity above recent highs has likely been swept, creating a setup for continuation downward.
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📌 Scenario 2 (Sc2) – Extended Correction with a Final Bull Trap
In this case:
• Price pushes higher toward a deeper resistance zone near $3.30–$3.40.
• A liquidity grab above the prior highs triggers a sharper reversal afterward.
• The overall structure could form a Diametric or Complex Correction, suggesting a deeper and more time-consuming wave before resuming the bearish trend.
⛔ This scenario requires strength and acceptance above $3.15, and should be treated as an alternative unless proven by price action.
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🎯 Summary & Trade Strategy:
Scenario 1 is currently more probable unless we see a strong break and close above $3.10. Expectation: XRP may head toward the $2.70–$2.65 demand zone if resistance holds.
⚠️ Avoid entering early. Wait for confirmation via internal BOS (Break of Structure), bearish engulfing near OB zones, or signs of rejection with volume at resistance.
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) – Bearish Channel Structure Developing
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🔍 Technical Overview
Ethereum has broken down from its ascending channel, invalidating the earlier bullish projection toward $4,000. After failing to hold the channel midline around $3,577, price dropped sharply to $3,360, forming a new bearish descending channel.
Currently, ETH is trading near the midline of this bearish channel, which typically acts as a decision point — not a buying zone — in smart money models.
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🧠 NEoWave Interpretation
We may be inside a Complex Corrective Wave, possibly a Running or Contracting Flat evolving after the March top. The current structure resembles a B-wave trap, where price fakes out the upside before shifting momentum sharply downward. The break below the ascending channel midline confirms this bearish shift.
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📊 Smart Money Summary
• 🟥 BOS confirmed on 1H and 4H (lower highs and lower lows)
• 🔻 Midline failure acted as a smart money trap, followed by a liquidity sweep below $3,490
• 📦 Bullish Order Block around $3,490–$3,520 has been tapped, prompting a minor reaction
• 🟡 Current resistance sits near the channel top ~ $3,715
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🎯 Trade Scenarios
📌 Bearish Continuation:
If price fails to reclaim above $3,715, a retest and rejection from the channel top could trigger continuation toward $3,300–$3,250.
📌 Bullish Reversal (less likely for now):
Only a clean break and hold above $3,720 would suggest that bulls are regaining control, opening path toward $3,900–$4,000 — though this scenario is weakened after structural damage.
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⚠️ Trader Tip:
Avoid buying into midline reactions in weak channels. Better long setups form after stop-hunts, ideally near bullish OBs + internal BOS confirmations.
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✅ Conclusion
Ethereum remains under bearish pressure after losing its ascending structure. Unless price reclaims the $3,715 resistance zone with momentum, downside continuation remains likely.
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Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – NeoWave Perspective📅 August 2025 | 📈 4H Chart
📍Posted by: @ CryptoPilot
Gold completed a corrective Wave A near $3160 at the bottom of the descending channel. It then rallied to $3440, followed by a decline toward the channel’s midline at $3227, beginning a potential Wave C.
Attempts to break and hold above the channel failed. Price has since broken below the trendline and is now pulling back to retest it from below.
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🔍 Key Insights:
• 📉 No long entries recommended at current levels
• ✅ Bullish confirmation requires a clear breakout and close above the channel top
• 🛒 Safer long setup may emerge near $3120 at the channel bottom and possible Wave C completion zone.
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🔑 Key Levels:
• Resistance: $3380–$3440
• Support: $3120
• Invalidation / Stop-loss: Below $3110
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💬 Drop your thoughts and alternate counts in the comments below!
NeoWave Alert: BTC G-Wave Sets Up a Brutal Drop After $116K PumpAs anticipated in our previous NeoWave analysis, the market appears to be deep within Wave G of a Contracting Diametric structure (A–G), originating from the March 2025 high.
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🔻 Key Developments:
• After rejecting from $119,000–119,500 (Wave F resistance), price dipped to $112,000, breaking below the previous channel’s lower bound, and now appears to be forming a steeper descending channel.
• This new channel’s resistance has shifted lower to $116,000, becoming a potential bull trap zone.
• The bounce from $112K is likely a liquidity sweep, preparing for one final upside to $116K, followed by aggressive distribution.
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💡 Trading Thesis:
We’re likely seeing a trap-style rally within Wave G, aiming to:
• Attract liquidity up to $116K
• Induce late longs before initiating a more violent selloff toward $105K or lower
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🔍 Smart Money Confluence (SMC / ICT)
• 🟥 Confirmed bearish structure on 1H (Lower Highs + BOS)
• 🟨 Liquidity above $120K already swept during Wave F
• 📉 Order blocks around 119.5K rejected
• 🔻 Price currently trades above $114K, but trapped inside a sharper descending range
• 🧲 Unfilled FVGs between $113K–$110K may serve as magnets
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🧠 Wave G Structure (Diametric)
• Possibly unfolding as a Zigzag or Complex Combination
• Channel boundary now capped at $116K
• Wave G likely targets a breakdown below Wave E ($113K) and toward $105K
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📌 Primary Scenario:
• Final push to $116K → strong rejection expected
• Bearish continuation targeting $110K → $105K
🧯 Invalidations:
• Clean breakout & daily close above $120.5K invalidates this diametric structure
• Watch for triangle or flat morphing if structure shifts
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⚠️ Risk Management:
• $116K = key distribution zone
• Watch closely for rejection and breakdown confirmation
• Shorts valid below $114K with tight invalidation above $117K
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📌 Conclusion:
Bitcoin is nearing the climax of a multi-month complex correction. The current setup favors a liquidity trap toward $116K, followed by continuation of Wave G toward major demand zones. Smart money bias remains bearish below $117K.
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💬 Drop your alternate wave counts or SMC confirmations in the comments!
Smart Money Watching BTC Dominance – Rotation to Alts IncomingAfter a deep correction, BTC Dominance has entered a corrective upward phase inside an ascending channel.
Wave A rallied from 60.5% to 62.3%, followed by Wave B retracing to 60.74%.
Currently, Wave C is developing and has reached around 62.2%.
The key resistance sits near 62.7%, exactly at the upper trendline of the channel. This could act as a reversal point, potentially ending Wave C and triggering a bearish move.
💡 Implication:
If dominance drops from this zone, we could see capital rotation into altcoins, supporting a bounce across the broader altcoin market.