Cycletheory — Trading Ideas on TradingView

Cycle Heatmap Gm, the cycle heatmap says we are still early. This idea is purely based on the 4 year boom and bust cycle theory. We expect btc to bottom about 1 year before the halving and top at least 6 months but probably 9-18 months after the halving. So I adapt this theory to the total market cap and estimate a conservative 50% btc dominance to get an idea of the total crypto market cap targets of this new cycle. We can also combine different cycle based models to create a heatmap. - 140k BTC target as minimum conservative target - 10x total target - 1M BTC target - trololol log regression aasasoft.org - log log price chart price.bublina.eu.org - stock to flow www.lookintobitcoin.com - halving en.bitcoin.it This allows us to track where we are in the big picture and identify mean reversion risks. #dubious #speculation

AMZN Joins the Dow at an Unusual Phase This hugely influential company should have been on the Dow 10 years ago. Listing as a component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average usually occurs when a company is about to enter a Market Saturation to Market Decline Phase. However, such is not the case with $NASDAQ:AMZN. It's quite the opposite. Its fairly new CEO, who was the CEO of AWS, the division of AMZN known for its powerful and totally dominant PaaS cloud technology, has extensive experience in exactly what AMZN needs right now: front running new technologies and driving more new technologies to market introduction faster. The challenge to be #1 in the use of Integrated Artificial Intelligence and other new technologies in the realm of Cloud Technology is on. Who will win depends on the CEO. Never underestimate the importance of the right CEO for the current market conditions. The chart of AMZN stock implies a consolidation or platform may develop during the month and a half between earnings seasons. These patterns tend to form due to value-oriented quiet accumulation by the largest institutions while the rest of the market pulls back from buying or sells.

The Steamroller Secret: Why Chasing Small Gains Could Cost You Simply put, the current market seems to be reaching its limits and it's wise to be cautious. As the saying goes, "Never pick up nickels in front of a steamroller," we shouldn't take unnecessary risks for small profits when there's a chance for significant losses. The tools we use to analyze the market usually go through highs and lows. It appears that there might be one last upward move before the cycle heads back down. When looking at the volume profile, we see we're entering risky territory since we're now two standard deviations away from the volume point of control. This implies that the market might be reaching a level that can't be sustained for long. In short, the current market conditions seem pretty uncertain to the upside, and it's essential to consider these factors when deciding on trading actions. #cycletheory #auctiontheory #PrimeIQLabs #volumeprofileanalysis

Number of Sunspots and Inflation CYCLES Hi friends Today im going to explain about the relationship between Sunspot Numbers and Inflation rate from 1960 to now. so lets start with inventor of this theory : William Stanley Jevons's In 1875 and 1878 Jevons read two papers before the British Association which expounded his famous "sunspot theory" of the business cycle. Digging through mountains of statistics of economic and meteorological data, Jevons argued that there was a connection between the timing of commercial crises and the solar cycle. it called 5.31-Year Cycle too. In the stock market and in the economy, there are both natural frequencies and artificial excitation frequencies. The four-year presidential election cycle is a great example of an excitation frequency, and it has demonstrable effects on stock prices. The schedule of FOMC meetings 8x per year is another possible example of an artificial excitation frequency. When a demonstrable cycle period appears that one cannot tie to some manmade excitation frequency, then the supposition is that it is a "natural" frequency of the economic system. Something about the economy or the market results in an oscillation on a certain frequency which may not have a good outside explanation. Perhaps it is in how money flows. Perhaps it is in how human brains make decisions about surplus and scarcity. It is hard to know. This 5.31-year frequency in the CPIs cycle seems to fall into that category as a natural cycle, because the 5.31-year period does not match any known excitation frequency related to human activity nor the economic calendar. So that makes it probably a natural frequency. In above chart , there does seem to be a relationship between sunspots and the inflation rate. We see lots of instances when the peak of the sunspot cycle coincided with the peak of the inflation rate. There have been spikes in the inflation rate not tied to the sunspot cycle, such as the spike during the Arab Oil Embargo of 1973-74. this examples did, interestingly, come at the halfway point of the sunspot cycle, fitting the half-period harmonic principle(5.31 year cycle). The current rise in inflation fits both the longstanding 5.31-year cycle and the upswing in the sunspot cycle. Solar researchers expect the current sunspot cycle rise to end in July 2025, which is 3 years from now. But the 5.31-year cycle says a top in the inflation rate is expected right now. That would mean seeing the inflation rate bottoming around 2025 just as the sunspot cycle is peaking. Sometimes cycles present us with conflicts that are hard to reconcile. The point of the 5.31-year cycle that we can take away for right now is that the inflation rate should be falling for the next ~2.2 years. But that does not mean we get to zero percent inflation right away. The drops take a while to unfold. Inflation is likely with us for a while, and we have to get used to that idea.

Skipping a cycle If we drop a fib on the 2011 cycle, top to bottom. Read the 3.272, take two steps down to the 2.618, we get something near the top and bottom of the 2017 cycle. Measuring the 2013 cycle, we read off one step from the previous, the 3. Take three steps down (one more than last time) to find the bottom of the 2021 cycle. Measuring the 2017 cycle, we read the 2.618 and four steps down, we then get 393.000 and 62.000 for this cycle. For the cycle after that we get 477.000 and 100.000. It's not a prediction, just seemed like a plausible and fun theory :)

HOW A LONG CYCLE UNFOLDS IN REAL TIME KUCOIN:INJUSDT Above diagram is a simple graphic of a Long trend cycle. CONTRACTION - EXPANSION - TREND. Prices tighten into a sideways corrective environment to the point of almost stoppage (This is where the phenomena of frozen candles pre break occurs) once a fair and true value has been confirmed by the market it breaks out into an expansion phase which begins to oscillate around true value taking out highs and lows in the process before moving into a dedicated Trend phase. In the above structure a return to value will be in play though you should await the trend phase to trade the short move back to true value or equilibrium. More experienced traders can use this cycle knowledge multi time-frame to sell the highs back to true value. THIS KNOWLEDGE UNDERSTOOD HAS A 90% accuracy to trading via orders and 100% to active and live trade management. Any lows under true value are buy signals and any highs over true value are sell signals.