kjetilt

kjetilt

When looking at the 2 week chart, the bull market seems to be split into two when looking at the stochastic rsi. We first rise above 80 (yellow box). Then we go down under 20, which is the start of the red box. Then we go above 80. The point of this is the pattern, not to spot the absolute top. Therefore the red box ends when we go down to 20 again, which is a...

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I admit it, I plagiarized the design of "The golden bull cycle ratio," but the chart's message is what really matters. The first two cycles showed a 51% followed by a 49% trend, while the third cycle reversed to a 49% followed by a 51% pattern. If this current cycle follows the 49%-51% trend and assuming the bottom is already in, then we can expect the peak to...

kjetilt Updated 

Looking at the monthly chart for USDT.D RSI, there seems to be a fragment pattern present. Generally speaking, the upper zones in this pattern have been a favorable time to buy into cryptocurrencies. When the RSI drops below the 50 mark and then breaks out to the upside, it has historically been a good time to return to stable coins.

kjetilt Updated 

(2 week chart) After the top, there are 3 distinct red waves in the macd on the 2 week chart, guiding us towards the bottom. In each macd wave we get three bottoms on the stochastic rsi. In each bottom on stoch rsi we choose the lowest number on the fast line (blue line), which is where the white vertical lines are. When we read the rsi of where the white vertical...

kjetilt Updated 

By using the 140 sma in combination with the logarithmic growth curves (gab´s crypto) by baltristangabriel, we can see that the crossing of the 140 sma (blue line) and the red line on the logarithmic growth curve means the trend has shifted. When the blue line crosses up, it's pretty close to the top. When the blue line crosses down, a volatile move to the upside...

kjetilt

I played around with some numbers in the btc charts, and got one very interesting formula for calculating the cycle bottoms. If we take the cycle top, divide it by pi, then multiply by 0.2, next cycle 0.4, next cycle 0.6, next cycle 0.8, we get the cycle bottom. Remains to be seen if the last one holds. Pi=3,14 Cycle 0- 31,91: pi*0,2= 2,03 Cycle 1- 1240: pi*0,4=...

kjetilt

If we drop a fib on the 2011 cycle, top to bottom. Read the 3.272, take two steps down to the 2.618, we get something near the top and bottom of the 2017 cycle. Measuring the 2013 cycle, we read off one step from the previous, the 3. Take three steps down (one more than last time) to find the bottom of the 2021 cycle. Measuring the 2017 cycle, we read the 2.618...

kjetilt

The bitcoin super cycle indicator has predicted every major top and bottom since april 2013. If june 2022 was the bottom of this cycle, it got it right this time as well. Nonetheless, it is a valuable indicator in our tool kit when spotting the next cycle top. When the (116 ma) cross up on the (1 year ma x2), the cycle top flashes. When the (137 day ma) cross...

kjetilt

When I have turned on the gaussian channel, I switch to bars instead of candles. When the bars light up red on the 2 week is a good buying opportunity. Right now, it's flashing red on the 3 weeks as well, which is of course even better :) What it basically means is that the bars are closing below the median line of the gaussian channel. It does not mean it can't...

kjetilt Updated 

Historically, when when the price is between the 200 sma and the 290 sma on the weekly has been a great buy opportunity. In 2015 and 2019 price exploded after touching the 290 sma (yellow line). But, the best thing to create a healthy bottom is to trade sideways for a few more months before we explode :)

kjetilt

Have you ever noticed that the rsi is different on the heikin ashi chart? That's because it is! I also noticed 2 powerful trendlines on the 2 week that we've held as resistance multiple times throughout bitcoin's history.

kjetilt

In the previous cycles the exact bottom was one candle before the 200 ma (orange line) crossed up on the median line in the gaussian channel on the 3 day chart. The yellow vertical lines are placed at one candle before the crossing. If we don't reach a new low this cycle, the gaussian channel has predicted the exact cycle bottom a third time.