GER30: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: GER30
Pattern – LH - Lower support test
Support – 15,055 - 15,015
Resistance – 15,287 - 15,504
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's analysis. The GER30 daily is today's focus. Due to the tragic events over the weekend, we have seen stock futures trading lower into the new week. The GER30 is testing Friday's firm finish and could be forming a new lower high. The key here will be if sellers can be price back down to test 15,055 - 15,015 support. A break set up a continuation of the med-term downtrend.
If buyers can reject today's selling and break back above Friday's high, this could suggest a new higher leg and a possible test of 15,504.
Good trading.
DAX Index
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 04/10/2023As expected we are seeing further downside as a wave ((v)). There are some signs in favor of a reversal which means that the corrective WXY structure down can be finished. However, at this moment, we are still bearish in the daily and the weekly timeframe.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 02/10/2023 (+ Higher TF)For traders (lower timeframe)
The higher degree correction in the DAX can be finished as we took out the wave (W) low. However, the main expectation is that we see some further downside as a wave ((v)).
For investors (higher timeframe):
In the higher timeframe, the higher level wave ((1)) is probably finished. There is also an alternative scenario where we can make one more high to finish wave ((1)). This wave ((1)) should be followed by a wave ((2)) to the downside which is an interesting buying opportunity for investors.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 26/09/2023The higher degree correction in the DAX can be finished as we took out the wave (W) low. However, the main expectation is that we see some further downside. This downside should be preceded by an upward move as we are close to finishing an ABC structure.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 25/09/2023The higher degree correction in the DAX can be finished as we took out the wave (W) low. However, the main expectation is that we see some further downside. This downside should be preceded by an upward move as we probably finished a WXY structure (in red) or we are close to finishing an ABC structure (in green).
DAX H4 | Rising into pullback resistanceThe DAX index (GER30) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 15565.59 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 15654.35 which is an overlap resistance that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 15454.00 which is a recent swing-low support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 21/09/2023The primary scenario (in green) is now calling for a triangle as a wave (X). We are still missing the E leg before we break down as a wave (Y). The secondary scenario (in red) assumes that wave (X) is in and that we can expect more downside as a wave (Y).
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 20/09/2023The primary scenario (in green) is now calling for a triangle as a wave (X). We are still missing the E leg before we break down as a wave (Y). The secondary scenario (in red) assumes that wave (X) is in and that we can expect more downside as a wave (Y).
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 19/09/2023The primary scenario (in green) is playing out and it looks like we finished wave (X). We can expect more downside as a wave (Y). The secondary scenario (in red) assumes more upside as a corrective wave B. That would mean we get an ABC flat correction instead of a WXY.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 18/09/2023The primary scenario (in green) is playing out and it looks like we finished wave (X). We can expect more downside as a wave (Y). The secondary scenario (in red) assumes more upside as a corrective wave B. That would mean we get an ABC flat correction instead of a WXY.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 15/09/2023 (+ Higher TF)For traders (lower timeframe):
The primary scenario (in green) is playing out and it looks like we finished wave (X). We can expect more downside as a wave (Y). In our move down, we should first see some upside as a wave ((b)) or wave ((2)). The secondary scenario (in red) assumes more upside as a corrective wave B. That would mean we get an ABC flat correction instead of a WXY.
For investors (higher timeframe):
In the higher timeframe, the higher level wave ((1)) is probably finished. There is also an alternative scenario where we can make one more high to finish wave ((1)). This wave ((1)) should be followed by a wave ((2)) to the downside which is an interesting buying opportunity for investors. The wave ((2)) is currently unfolding as a WXY structure. Investors should buy the Y leg.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 14/09/2023The primary scenario (in green) is playing out and it looks like we finished wave (X). We can expect more downside as a wave (Y). In our move down, we should first see some upside as a wave ((b)) or wave ((2)). The secondary scenario (in red) assumes more upside as a corrective wave B. That would mean we get an ABC flat correction instead of a WXY.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 13/09/2023The primary scenario (in green) is playing out and it looks like we finished wave (X). We can expect more downside as a wave (Y). In our move down, we should first see some upside as a wave ((b)) or wave ((2)). The secondary scenario (in red) assumes more upside as a corrective wave B. That would mean we get an ABC flat correction instead of a WXY.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 12/09/2023The primary scenario (in green) is playing out and it looks like we finished wave (X). We can expect more downside as a wave (Y). In our move down, we should first see some upside as a wave ((b)) or wave ((2)). The secondary scenario (in red) assumes more upside as a corrective wave B. That would mean we get an ABC flat correction instead of a WXY.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 11/09/2023 (+ Higher TF)For traders (lower timeframe):
The primary scenario (in green) is playing out and it looks like we finished wave (X). We can expect more downside as a wave (Y). In our move down, we should first see some upside as a wave ((b)) or wave ((2)). The secondary scenario (in red) assumes more upside as a corrective wave B. That would mean we get an ABC flat correction instead of a WXY.
For investors (higher timeframe):
In the higher timeframe, the higher level wave ((1)) is probably finished. There is also an alternative scenario where we can make one more high to finish wave ((1)). This wave ((1)) should be followed by a wave ((2)) to the downside which is an interesting buying opportunity for investors. The wave ((2)) is currently unfolding as a WXY structure. Investors should buy the Y leg.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 08/09/2023The primary scenario (in green) is playing out and it looks like we finished wave (X). We can expect more downside as a wave (Y). The secondary scenario (in red) assumes more upside as a corrective wave B. That would mean we get an ABC flat correction instead of a WXY.






















