DAX Climbs Toward Record Highs – Can Buyers Extend the Breakout?Market Structure
The 4-hour chart remains firmly bullish. Price continues to print higher highs and higher lows, confirming that the medium-term uptrend remains intact.
Key Resistance
First Resistance: 26,350–26,450
This is the immediate resistance area where recent buying momentum has slowed slightly.
Second Resistance: 26,600–26,700
A clean breakout above the current highs could expose this next upside objective and keep the bullish trend intact.
Key Support
First Support: 26,100–26,180
This area may act as the first line of defense if short-term profit-taking emerges.
Second Support: 25,800–25,900
A deeper pullback toward this demand zone could attract fresh buyers while preserving the overall uptrend.
Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains bullish.
The recent rally reflects strong buying interest and continued confidence in the broader uptrend. While resistance may trigger temporary consolidation, buyers remain in control as long as higher lows continue to develop.
Please share your view below:
Do you expect the DAX to break into new highs from here? Or will sellers defend the current resistance and trigger a short-term pullback first?
More market structure and key level updates will be shared regularly. DAX — week of August 10 – 14, 2026: LongLong — Wednesday printed 26,524 and handed back 295 points by the close. Friday printed 26,527 — three points higher — and closed 26,455, near its high. Same ceiling, a 226-point better close, and nothing about the level changed except who was still left defending it.
This morning gapped 20 lower to 26,435, dipped 26,371, and has already taken Friday's settle back at 26,463. So I buy the retest, not the record: the bid is 26,455–26,423, Friday's close folded onto the week's own VWAP, with 26,527 the gate and 26,690 then 26,924 the targets. Europe prints nothing above third tier all week; the verdict gets written at 14:30 CET Wednesday by an American inflation number. A daily close under 26,292 hands the week back to the pivot and leaves nothing of this idea worth defending — I take the loss at the print and let 26,208 look after itself.
THE BIG PICTURE (weekly)
Four weeks ago this index could not hold 26,064. The week that made it also made 24,958 — 1,106 points in five sessions — and it took a month to repair. That repair is finished: last week opened 25,900, never traded below 25,895, and settled 26,455, a full 391 points above the shelf that defined July. What is left is a clean skeleton — pivot 26,292, R1 26,690, R2 26,924, and 866 points of weekly ATR. From this morning's 26,371 low that budget funds 27,237, which puts both R1 and R2 inside one ordinary week with only 97 points spent. The upside is not a stretch here; it is what happens if the pivot holds.
THE SWING (daily)
Five sessions, one statement. Monday gapped to 25,900 and closed 26,153; Tuesday closed on its high at 26,454; Wednesday reached 26,524 and gave back 295 to settle 26,229; Thursday held 26,168; Friday opened 26,231, printed a record 26,527 and closed 26,455. Now look underneath the noise: Wednesday and Friday both bottomed at 26,208, to the point. That shelf, not the high, is what this week stands on. This morning opened 26,435, found 26,371, and is back through Friday's settle.
THE WEEK'S MAP (4H)
Upside: 26,463 (spot) → 26,527 (the record high — the gate, not the target) → 26,690 (weekly R1, first target) → 26,924 (weekly R2) → 27,237 (the outer edge of an 866-point ATR week).
Downside: 26,455 (Friday's settle) → 26,423 (week VWAP — together, the bid band) → 26,371 (this morning's low) → 26,292 (weekly pivot — a daily close under it kills the trade) → 26,208 (the shelf Wednesday and Friday both defended to the point) → 26,058 (weekly S1).
One number all week: 26,292 — the weekly pivot, and the only number that can end this. Here is what the tape is actually saying: for four weeks 26,064 governed this index because everyone who bought it needed flat before letting go, and trapped inventory defends a price the way nothing else does. That inventory is now free. What sits above a record high is not supply with a grievance but supply with a profit — and profit-takers trim, they do not fight. That is the entire difference between Wednesday's rejection and Friday's close at the same number. So the bid is 26,455–26,423 for 26,690 then 26,924. Below 26,292 on a daily close the argument is void and the pivot owns the week.
THE CATALYSTS (CET)
Mon 10 — Euro-area Sentix confidence 10:30 CET, third tier. A survey cannot defend a record high.
Tue 11 — Nothing of consequence in Europe. Either 26,455–26,423 holds as the floor or the reclaim goes back on no news at all.
Wed 12 — German final CPI 08:00 CET is a rerun of a published number; US inflation at 14:30 CET is the verdict. It sets the long end, and the long end prices an index built on banks, insurers, industrials and autos.
Thu 13 — Euro-area industrial production 11:00 CET, then US producer prices and jobless claims 14:30 CET: either Wednesday confirmed or unwound.
Fri 14 — Euro-area flash GDP, employment and trade 11:00 CET, then US retail sales 14:30 CET. Europe's only real data lands after the week has been decided.
BOTTOM LINE
Last week's bid was 26,033–25,974 for 26,355; the low came in at 25,895 and the week settled 26,455 after a record 26,527. The map paid. It now points at a market with nothing charted overhead and a month of trapped supply finally cleared out of the way — which is why I am buying the retest and not the print: 26,455–26,423, for 26,690 then 26,924, inside an 866-point ATR week that has spent 97 of it. Nothing European this week is big enough to defend or break this level; Wednesday afternoon in America decides it. A daily close under 26,292 and the pivot has taken the week back — that print retires the idea, and I do not argue with it.
Not advice — trade your own plan. 
Long
Short
DAX Pushes Higher – Can Bulls Extend the Breakout?Market Structure
The market structure is bullish, with higher highs and higher lows continuing to develop after the recent breakout.
Key Resistance
First Resistance: 26,000–26,100
Price is currently testing this resistance zone, which could temporarily slow the advance.
Second Resistance: 26,350–26,500
A confirmed breakout above 26,100 could open the door for a move toward this next upside target.
Key Support
First Support: 25,700–25,800
This recent breakout area now serves as the first support for buyers.
Second Support: 25,350–25,500
A deeper pullback could revisit this demand zone before the broader uptrend resumes.
Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains bullish.
The recent breakout has strengthened buyer confidence, while higher lows continue to support the prevailing uptrend. As long as support levels remain intact, bulls are likely to retain control despite the possibility of short-term profit-taking near resistance.
Please share your view below:
Will the DAX break above resistance and continue making new highs? Or will sellers defend this area and trigger a short-term pullback?
More market structure and key level updates will be shared regularly. DAX Pushes Toward New Highs, But Wedge Pattern Can Limit UpsideThe German DAX continues to push higher and is now challenging the previous highs. While the current choppy recovery suggests that the upside move may not be finished yet, traders should remain cautious as the potential upside could be limited.
Looking at the latest price action, the structure increasingly resembles an ending diagonal a.k.a. wedge pattern. In this scenario, DAX would now be trading within the final wave five of this wedge formation, meaning that the remaining upside could be part of the last stages of the advance.
Important resistance is located around the 26,200–26,500 area, where the index could complete an ABC formation within the final fifth wave higher. If this scenario plays out, we could see a slowdown and a larger corrective phase after the pattern fully matures.
For now, momentum remains positive, but the current structure suggests that chasing the upside at these levels carries increasing risk, especially as price approaches the projected resistance zone. DAX — week of August 3 – 7, 2026: LongLong — Three losing weeks ended last Monday at 25,270 and the tape has not looked back since: 25,974 by Friday, a 25,710 close, and this morning a 190-point gap to 25,900 that has not surrendered a single point — the session low is 25,895, still 185 above Friday's settle.
The cash index printed an all-time high on the way up. Now the part almost nobody reads correctly: the semiconductor complex sits better than a fifth below its high, and for this index that is not a headwind, it is the fuel. The DAX owns almost none of the AI trade — banks, insurers, chemicals, autos, industrials — so when money leaves crowded growth it does not leave the market, it changes address, and a value-heavy index is one of the few doors wide enough to take that kind of size. Which compresses the entire week into 31 points. Weekly R1 sits at 26,033; the July ceiling sits at 26,064 — the high of a week that also printed 24,958, 1,106 points of damage in five sessions. Every contract bought in that band has waited four weeks to get back to flat and gets its window right here. That is why 26,084 lasted minutes and price is back at 26,051: the ceiling is not a number, it is a queue. My bid is 26,033–25,974 — R1 folded onto last week's high — for 26,355 first, then 26,737, both inside an 864-point ATR week measured from this morning's low. Nothing German prints all week that could defend the level; the tape runs on an American clock until payrolls at 14:30 CET Friday. A daily close back under 25,895 puts price inside the gap it opened, and a gap that fills is a breakout that was never bought — at that print the long side has no argument left and I stop funding it.
THE BIG PICTURE (weekly)
Four weeks ago this market tried exactly what it is trying now, and lost. The week of July 6 printed 26,064 and then printed 24,958 — high to low, 1,106 points in five sessions, an all-time-high failure that took three losing weeks to repair. The repair is finished. Last week opened at 25,370, set its low at 25,270 in the first morning and never revisited it, ran 704 points to 25,974, and closed 25,710 — near the highs, above the weekly pivot, with the prior week's high taken out on the way. This morning added a 190-point gap to 25,900 and has defended every point of it: the low stands at 25,895. That carried price through weekly R1 at 26,033 inside the first hours of the week. What it has not done is clear 26,064. The high is 26,084 — twenty points through, handed straight back — and price sits at 26,051, inside a 31-point band between R1 and the July ceiling. That band is where four weeks of trapped inventory gets its first look at flat, which is precisely why it does not fold on first touch. The budget says the rest is reachable: 864 points of weekly ATR from this morning's 25,895 low funds 26,759, which puts R2 at 26,355 and even R3 at 26,737 inside one ordinary week — and only 189 of those points have been spent.
THE SWING (daily)
The daily tape has been making the same statement for six sessions: it will not go back. Monday 27 July bottomed at 25,270; Tuesday held 25,397; Wednesday held 25,370; Thursday held 25,379 and then closed on its high at 25,799. Three consecutive sessions defended a 27-point shelf and the fourth broke away from it — that is accumulation with a receipt, not a bounce. Friday extended to 25,974 and settled 25,710. This morning's open at 25,900 cleared Friday's high before the first hour and the low has held 25,895, which makes 25,974 — Friday's high, now underneath the market — the first floor that has to survive any pullback, and 25,895 the seam of the gap itself. The zone worth paying is 26,033–25,974, weekly R1 folded onto last week's high, not the 26,084 print that has already been rejected once today. A daily close through 26,064 retires the July shelf and leaves nothing charted above it — from there the map is pivot arithmetic and nothing else: 26,355, then 26,737.
THE WEEK'S MAP (4H)
Upside: 26,033 (weekly R1, taken in hour one) → 26,064 (the July ceiling — the high of the week that also printed 24,958) → 26,084 (today's high, already rejected once) → 26,355 (weekly R2) → 26,737 (weekly R3 — still inside the 864-point ATR budget).
Downside: 26,033 (R1, now the floor) → 26,009 (week VWAP) → 25,974 (prior-week and prior-day high — the first floor that must survive) → 25,895 (today's low, the gap seam — a daily close below kills the long) → 25,710 (Friday's close, full gap fill) → 25,651 (weekly pivot) → 25,329 (weekly S1).
One number all week: 26,064 — the July ceiling, and the only number this week actually turns on. It is not resistance because it is a high; it is resistance because the week that made it also made 24,958 — 1,106 points of damage in five sessions — so every contract bought in that band has spent four weeks getting back to flat and gets its window right here. That is why 26,084 lasted minutes and price handed it back to 26,051. Weekly R1 at 26,033 stacks directly underneath, which makes the band that decides the week 31 points wide, and it will not fold on first touch. Above a daily close at 26,064 there is nothing charted overhead at all and the map becomes pivot arithmetic: 26,355, then 26,737, both inside an 864-point ATR week from this morning's 25,895 low with only 189 points spent. The zone that pays is 26,033–25,974 — R1 folded onto last week's high — not the print. A daily close back under 25,895 puts price inside the gap it opened this morning, and a gap that fills is a breakout that was never bought.
THE CATALYSTS (CET)
Mon 3 — No Tier-1 EU release. Final German and euro-area Manufacturing PMIs 09:55/10:00 CET are revisions; US ISM Manufacturing 16:00 CET. Europe prints nothing capable of defending a record high, so the first genuine test of the gap arrives from America at 16:00, deep inside the evening session.
Tue 4 — Nothing Tier-1 in Europe. A blank Tuesday: either 26,033 holds as the floor or the gap starts handing itself back on no news whatsoever.
Wed 5 — No Tier-1 EU release, but the payroll dress rehearsal runs on the US clock: ADP employment 14:15 CET and ISM Services 16:00 CET. A hot services print lifts US long yields — the one force that can mark this index lower without a single German headline.
Thu 6 — German Factory Orders 08:00 CET + euro-area Retail Sales 11:00 CET. The week's only home-grown data and it is second tier; orders matter for the industrial half of the index but will not decide 26,064.
Fri 7 — German Industrial Production + Trade Balance 08:00 CET, then US Non-Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate and Average Hourly Earnings 14:30 CET. THE print of the week and the only one big enough to settle the ceiling — payrolls set the long end, and the long end decides whether a record high made in thin August liquidity gets to keep it.
BOTTOM LINE
Last week's bid was 25,436–25,370 for 25,701 and the tape paid it to the point: Wednesday's low printed 25,370, the exact lower edge, then ran 604 points to 25,974 and closed the week at 25,710, above target. That is the map working, and the map now says something harder. Three losing weeks ended at 25,270; last week added 704 points and closed near its high; this morning gapped 190 to 25,900 and has not surrendered one point of it, with the low at 25,895 and weekly R1 at 26,033 already behind the market. The cash index made an all-time high on the way. The reason is not a German story at all — the semiconductor complex sits better than a fifth below its high, and this index owns almost none of the AI trade, so money leaving crowded growth does not leave the market, it changes address, and a book full of banks, insurers, chemicals and industrials is one of the few doors wide enough to take that size. Which brings the whole week down to a 31-point band. R1 at 26,033, the July ceiling at 26,064 — the high of a week that also printed 24,958, 1,106 points of damage in five sessions — and every contract bought up there has waited four weeks for this exact window. That is why 26,084 lasted minutes and price handed it back to 26,051: the ceiling is not a number, it is a queue. The bid is 26,033–25,974, R1 folded onto last week's high, for 26,355 then 26,737, both inside an 864-point ATR week with only 189 points spent. Nothing German prints all week that could defend the level; the tape runs on an American clock until payrolls at 14:30 CET Friday, which makes the long end of the US curve the real counterparty here. A daily close back under 25,895 puts price inside the gap it opened this morning, and a gap that fills is a breakout that was never bought — at that print the long side has no argument left and I stop funding it. Buy the retest, not the record.
Not advice — trade your own plan. Long 
Germany DAX 40 Index ($DE40 / GER40) Daily Technical### 🇩🇪 Germany DAX 40 Index ( ICMARKETS:DE40 / GER40) Daily Technical Matrix (Ref: DE40_2026-08-03_08-41-14.png)
We are deploying a Daily (1D) structural framework on the Germany DAX 40 Index ( ICMARKETS:DE40 ). The European benchmark index is currently pressing directly against its all-time high resistance barrier, setting up a key decision node between price expansion into uncharted territory and overhead supply absorption.
The index is exhibiting strong bullish momentum today, up **+0.95% (+244.80 pts)** to trade at **25,949.70**, after reaching intraday peak highs of **25,996.20**.
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### 🔍 Technical Architecture & Resistance Test:
Our quantitative setup highlights a critical historical inflection point:
1. **All-Time High Ceiling Test:** Price action is probing the major horizontal supply wall defined by the red horizontal line at **25,906.98**, directly testing the **26,000.00** psychological barrier.
2. **Primary Ascending Baseline (Green LTA):** The dominant bullish trend remains fully intact, structurally supported by the steep ascending trendline (green LTA) connecting the lows since April.
3. **Institutional Anchor (200-EMA):** The institutional trend floor is positioned far below at the **200-period EMA (purple line at 24,362.91)**, underscoring the strength of the current macro advance.
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### 🛡️ Strategic Operational Scenarios:
* **Scenario A — Confirmed All-Time High Breakout:** A decisive daily close above **26,000.00**, followed by a controlled throwback that respects **25,906.98** as new support, confirms trend continuation toward **26,250.00** and **26,500.00** extended targets.
* **Scenario B — Rejection & Pullback to Trendline:** Sell-side absorption at the **26,000.00** level could induce a temporary mean-reversion move toward the ascending green LTA support zone near **25,250.00 – 25,000.00**.
### 📊 Tactical Parameters Summary:
* **Current Bias:** Strongly Bullish / All-Time High Testing Node
* **Critical Resistance Ceiling:** 25,906.98 – 26,000.00
* **Immediate Support Base (Green LTA):** 25,250.00
* **Upside Expansion Targets:** 26,250.00 / 26,500.00
* **Institutional Risk Baseline (200-EMA):** 24,362.91
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📊 **ChartPro Data**
*European Equity Architecture, Record High Microstructure & Systematic Risk Management.*
⚠️ **Disclaimer:** For educational and informational purposes only. This active market study represents a personal trading framework and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Long 
DAX This signal produced the strongest corrections since 2009.DAX (DE40) closed a green month and is about to test the 1-year Higher Highs trend-line. At the same time, its 1W RSI remains under the bearish pressure of a 1-year Lower Highs trend-line, which is a technical Bearish Divergence.
Every time a similar pattern emerged within its 17-year Channel Up since the 2009 U.S. Housing Crisis, DAX corrected aggressively by at least -24.35%. If we have a strong red 1M September candle next, there are high probabilities to get the same Sell Signal.
If repeated, a new -24.35% decline would test at least the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) at 20500, which has been intact since November 2022. Notice also that the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) has also been holding for many years (more specifically since January 2023) and held during the March 2026 pull-back. It can be used as an additional bearish confirmation signal if broken.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 CAC40 H4: Why 8,456 Is the Only Level That Matters▪️ CAC40 H4 SNAPSHOT — EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
▪️ the CAC has rolled over to 8,408 after failing at 8,551. The pullback is orderly so far, with price rotating back toward the middle of its range.
▪️ Primary outlook is bearish-to-cautious — 8,456 now caps the tape. Sellers own the near term unless it is reclaimed. Heavy liquidity stacked at 8,130 can pull prices lower.
▪️ Key resistance zone: 8,456, rejected 19 times on the way down. Beyond it, 8,551 is the next hurdle.
▪️ Major defense line: 8,278 — a very strong level at 38 retests, the shelf bulls must protect to avoid a deeper leg.
▪️ Primary downside targets: 8,181 first, with 8,130 below it, where resting liquidity sits.
▪️ Major liquidity magnet below: 8,181–8,083 — a test here is where the next real decision gets made.
▪️ Bullish scenario: Reclaim 8,456 and 8,551 becomes the objective bulls want.
▪️ KEY LEVELS
▪️ Current Price: 8,408
RESISTANCE
▪️ 8,551 — ★★★ 7.8 Strong · 6 retests
▪️ 8,456 — ★★★★ 8.7 Very Strong · 19 retests
SUPPORT
▪️ 8,278 — ★★★★ 8.1 Very Strong · 38 retests
▪️ 8,181 — ★ 4.1 Weak · 40 retests
▪️ 8,083 — ★ 5.7 Weak · 38 retests
▪️ ProjectSyndicate Levels Desk — Overview of key S/R zones for indices, metals, FX, NVDA, NQ, ES & GC traders every week. Subscribe to stay up to date with the latest levels. 
Short
DEU40 Tests Resistance — Can Bulls Push Toward New Highs?Market View
DEU40 remains in a constructive bullish structure on the 4H chart after recovering from the recent pullback.
The latest rebound has lifted the price back toward the upper boundary of the recent trading range, showing that buyers have regained short-term control. However, the index is now approaching a resistance zone where selling pressure could increase.
As long as higher lows continue to form, the broader bullish outlook remains intact.
Key Resistance
First resistance: 25,500–25,600
Price is testing this area now. A breakout could attract fresh buying momentum.
Second resistance: 25,800–26,000
Clearing this zone would strengthen the bullish trend and open the way for further gains.
Major resistance: 26,600–26,800
This is the next major upside target if buyers maintain control.
Key Support
First support: 25,200–25,300
Holding above this area would keep the current recovery intact.
Second support: 24,900–25,000
A pullback into this zone could attract renewed buying interest.
Major support: 24,500–24,700
Losing this support would weaken the current bullish structure and increase downside risk.
Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains cautiously bullish.
Buyers continue to control the broader trend, but price is approaching an important resistance area where profit-taking could temporarily slow the advance. A confirmed breakout would reinforce bullish momentum.
Please share your view below:
Will DEU40 break above resistance and continue toward fresh highs? Or will sellers defend this zone and trigger another pullback?
More market structure and key level updates will be shared on a regular basis. Short 
Short 
Long 
JPN225 The Break That Sends It to 69,015 or 63,825▪️ JPN225 H1 SNAPSHOT — EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
▪️ the Nikkei 225 is currently trading near 66,088, holding just above a well-defended support shelf after failing to reclaim overhead supply. Market structure is consolidating, with price pinned between a defended floor below and resistance above.
▪️ Primary outlook is neutral-to-constructive — the reaction at 65,605 is the key tell. While that shelf holds, buyers can attempt another push higher; losing it exposes the deeper demand stack below.
▪️ Key resistance zone: 67,795, where sellers have defended 13 times and are expected to lean again on first test. Beyond it, 69,015 is the next hurdle.
▪️ Major defense line: 65,605 — a strong level at 15 retests. Holding here keeps the bullish attempt alive; a decisive break below opens the door for a corrective slide.
▪️ Primary downside targets: 63,825, where liquidity and demand are stacked.
▪️ Major liquidity magnet below: 65,605–63,825 — this zone could trigger a strong bounce or reversal once tested.
▪️ Bullish scenario: If buyers reclaim and hold above 67,795, the path opens toward 69,015 as the primary upside objective.
▪️ KEY LEVELS
▪️ Current Price: 66,088
RESISTANCEs
▪️ 69,015 — ★★★★ 8.2 Very Strong · 22 retests
▪️ 67,795 — ★★ 6.0 Moderate · 13 retests
SUPPORTs
▪️ 65,605 — ★★★ 7.1 Strong · 15 retests
▪️ 63,825 — ★ 5.0 Weak · 13 retests
▪️ ProjectSyndicate Levels Desk — Overview of key S/R zones for JPN225, NVDA, NQ, ES & GC traders every week. Subscribe to stay up to date with the latest levels.
Long
GER30 Pinned Between 24,777 & 25,193 — The Break Decides▪️ GER30 H1 SNAPSHOT — EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
▪️ the DAX has rolled over to 24,925 after failing at 25,193. The pullback is orderly so far, with price rotating back toward the middle of its range.
▪️ Primary outlook is neutral-to-cautious — 25,193 now caps the tape. Sellers own the near term unless it is reclaimed.
▪️ Key resistance zone: 25,193, rejected 19 times on the way down. Above it the chart is thin — a clean break has room to extend.
▪️ Major defense line: 24,777 — a strong level at 35 retests, the shelf bulls must protect to avoid a deeper leg.
▪️ Primary downside targets: 24,536, followed by 24,263, where resting liquidity sits.
▪️ Major liquidity magnet below: 24,263–24,047 — a test here is where the next real decision gets made.
▪️ Bullish scenario: Reclaim 25,193 and 25,193 becomes the objective bulls want.
▪️ KEY LEVELS
▪️ Current Price: 24,925
RESISTANCEs
▪️ 25,193 — ★★★ 7.6 Strong · 19 retests
SUPPORTs
▪️ 24,777 — ★★★ 7.3 Strong · 35 retests
▪️ 24,536 — ★★ 6.2 Moderate · 25 retests
▪️ 24,263 — ★ 4.3 Weak · 26 retests
▪️ 24,047 — ★★ 6.3 Moderate · 37 retests
▪️ ProjectSyndicate Levels Desk — Overview of key S/R zones for GER30, NVDA, NQ, ES & GC traders every week. Subscribe to stay up to date with the latest levels. Long 
Long 
DAX Returns to a Key Support AreaMarket Structure
The DAX remains in a broad sideways structure with a neutral short-term bias.
The recovery from the March low created a series of stronger lows, but the index has repeatedly failed to build a sustained breakout above the 25,200–25,700 region.
Recent price action reflects a balanced market rather than a clear trend. Buyers continue to defend the lower part of the range, while sellers remain active near the recent highs.
A confirmed move outside the current range would provide a clearer directional signal.
Key Resistance Zone
First resistance: 25,000–25,200
This is the nearest resistance area and an important short-term pivot.
A move back above this zone would suggest that buyers are beginning to regain momentum.
Second resistance: 25,450–25,700
This area includes the recent swing highs and remains the main supply zone on the current chart.
Price has struggled to hold above this region, making it the key breakout area for the bullish case.
Major resistance: 25,900–26,100
This is the next broader resistance zone above the recent highs.
A sustained move above this area would strengthen the medium-term bullish structure and confirm a more meaningful breakout.
Key Support Zone
First support: 24,700–24,850
This is the nearest and most important short-term support area.
Price is currently testing this zone, and holding above it would keep the current consolidation structure intact.
Second support: 24,300–24,500
This area has produced several recent buying reactions and remains an important structural support.
A break below it would increase the risk of a deeper correction.
Major support: 23,800–24,000
This is the lower boundary of the broader recovery structure.
If the price falls below this zone, the medium-term outlook would weaken more clearly.
Market Sentiment
Market sentiment is currently neutral with a cautious bearish bias.
The repeated rejection near the highs has reduced bullish momentum, while the latest pullback shows that sellers remain active. However, the index is still holding above important structural support.
Above 25,200, short-term recovery momentum may improve.
Below 24,700, bearish pressure may increase.
Please share your view below:
Will the DAX defend the 24,700–24,850 support zone and recover toward 25,700? Or will sellers break support and push the index toward 24,400?
More market structure and key level updates will be shared regularly. Long 
Long 
Short 
DAX Can this pattern cause a 20500 correction?DAX (DE40) has been trading within a 17-year Channel Up since the bottom of the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis. This pattern has had 4 major corrections (Bearish Legs), excluding the March 2020 COVID flash crash.
All of those corrections hit at least they 1M MA50 (red trend-line) before bottoming and right now we haven't hit that trend-line since late October 2022 (the longest within this pattern).
At the same time, the 1W RSI is displaying the same kind of Lower Highs Bearish Divergence as the late 2021, late 2018 and June 2011 market Tops. The minimum decline such Sell Signals caused has been -24.35%.
As a result, if this signal is confirmed again, a -24.35% correction from the recent High would certainly make contact with the 1M MA50 after 4 years. Our Target is a bit higher at 20500, as this is where the 0.5 Channel Fibonacci level is, which has also always been hit during those Bearish Legs.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 Short 
Germany DAX 40 ($DE40) 4H: Major Trendline BreakdownGermany DAX 40 ( ICMARKETS:DE40 ) 4H: Major Trendline Breakdown Underway – Awaiting Bearish Confirmation Below 24,770
### 🇩🇪 Germany DAX 40 Index ( ICMARKETS:DE40 ) 4H Technical Update (Ref: DE40_2026-07-16_12-08-35.png)
We are releasing a high-priority technical update on the Germany DAX 40 ( ICMARKETS:DE40 ) tracking the 4-Hour (4H) structural matrix. The market has triggered a major shift in short-term order flow, aggressively challenging the lower boundaries of our previously defined equilibrium zone.
The index is currently trading down at **24,825.90**, exhibiting heavy institutional distribution as selling pressure accelerates.
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### 🔍 Structural Breakdown & Core Validation Parameters:
1. **The LTA & 200-EMA Breaches:** Price action has systematically sliced through both the primary multi-day **Ascending Support Trendline (red diagonal LTA)** and the institutional **200-period EMA (purple line at 24,964.34)**. Reclaiming a position below these dynamic indicators heavily favors sell-side continuation.
2. **The 24,770 Boundary Test:** Sellers are now confronting a major historical horizontal shelf located around the **24,770** domain (anchored by our key red horizontal baselines at **24,814.69** and **24,790.38**). This is the absolute floor of the macro rectangle pattern.
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### 📉 Projected Markdown Scenarios: Waiting for the 4H Close
As the current technical landscape unfolds, our tactical playbook focuses entirely on candle closure validation:
* **The Bearish Confirmation Trigger:** If the active 4H candle registers a decisive close **below the 24,770 support floor**, it will confirm a structural range expansion to the downside.
* **First Downside Target (24,600.00):** Upon confirmation of the breakdown, the immediate mechanical destination sits at the key swing low baseline from late June, mapped strictly at **24,600.00**.
* **Macro Expansion (Wave 3 / Fibonacci Projection):** Sustaining price acceptance below 24,600 opens the technical highway for a textbook Elliott Wave 3 contraction or an extended Fibonacci expansion model. We will monitor order flow at the primary targets to project deeper discount arrays.
### 📊 Trading Execution Parameters:
* **Immediate Bias:** Bearish (Breakdown Monitoring Phase)
* **Critical Support Pivot:** 24,770
* **Confirmation Requirement:** Confirmed 4H candle close below 24,790
* **Immediate Technical Target:** 24,600.00
* **Invalidation Anchor:** Price returning and closing back above the 200-EMA corridor.
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📊 **ChartPro Data**
*European Equity Architecture, Structural Breakdowns & Systematic Risk Management.*
⚠️ **Disclaimer:** For educational and informational purposes only. This active market study represents a personal trading framework and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Short 
