OCT 2: S/R FLIP + 1H+15M FVGOCT 2: S/R FLIP + 1H+15M FVG
My original long idea after the sweep was not revisited, and I happened to also put a short trade on this S/r flip + 1H+15M FVG in expectation of a pull back.
Price nearly hit my stoploss though before hitting TP. I think it was a coincidence that the TP point is right in an SSL area.
Like, idk man... this isn't part of my trading strategy anymore.. but i guess this win is a good one because there's a lot of confluence(SR FLIP + 1H+15m FVG) on this trade.
Can't help but feel the TP point was based on luck though, as I don't remember setting it here specifically because it's an SSL area.
DIV
First Time Losing... That The Reason is ObviousFirst Time Losing... That The Reason is Obvious
I feel like this is a good losing trade.
I basically won.
Figured out the market bias correctly, found the target liquidity, and the narrative(POI) to get there.
1H POI, 1H TARGET, Bearish Orderflow, BSL Sweep, Divergence, Overbought, and entered on the 5min FVG after the sweep.
All criteria for entry are aligned.
Price went to where I expected it to, with momentum.
The only mistake?
Setting the take profit point farther than the 1H TARGET LIQUIDITY.
That's it.
After it hit that liquidity, price really just moved uptrend with momentum.
I've read some comment on youtube that said, “Price seeks liquidity, and once that liquidity is filled, it rebalances back to equilibrium.” or some shit like that honestly it was such an awesome quote that i remembered the meaning of it(very rare). The exact wording, I forgot.
well, that's it.
Honestly, this might seem obvious to you, but this is such a big step for me.
I used to NOT KNOW why my trades were losing. Like, what am I doing wrong, is the strategy wrong, should i find another strategy, should i switch to elliot wave, etc etc lmfao.
But now... the fact that I immediately knew what was wrong with my trade, and the fact that only one thing was wrong and is easily fixable in the next trade... is such a breakthrough for me.
Well, thanks for listening to my TedTalk.
sept 29: 1 loss, 2 winssept 29: 1 loss, 2 wins
I saw that price tapped the DAY FVG + EQH up there and has downtrended massively, so I looked for shorts.
Applied my AVWAPS, and my confluence filters(Orderflow+sweep+div+FVG), which was favorable so I entered.
I kinda rushed into the first trade because I woke up late, but basically would have also won there if I just plotted the AVWAP first(yeah), because if i did plot my AVWAP,
I would have seen that price has a few more pips before hitting the AVWAP line, so I could have put my entry higher and my stoploss higher.
Well I just moved my SL on the first trade, and then re-entered twice after it "respected" the AVWAP (plotted from the DAY FVG STING).
Standard 10TP5SL, and it won twice. so, good day I guess.
SEPT 26: PRICE GOES DOWN TO 4H FVG BEFORE COMING UP AGAINSEPT 26: PRICE GOES DOWN TO 4H FVG BEFORE COMING UP AGAIN
I think price is going up more until a HTF POI is hit.
It has to come down first to a bullish 4h FVG so i entered short once my criteria for entry has appeared(sweep, divergence, overbought, reversal candle+engulfing candle).
Let's see how it goes.
SEPT 24: SUBOPTIMAL TRADE ENTRY?SEPT 24: SUBOPTIMAL TRADE ENTRY?
Well, price came off of monthly fvg and daily eqh last time and has recently took a noseddive so ORDERFLOW was bearish.
1H BULLISH DIV happened though and the ORB was below price once I looked at the charts, so it might reverse?
But at the same time price is reacting off of the 15min fvg + sr flip so let's see if the bullish reversal happens or it comes running back down again.
kinda 50/50 on this one, because price is kinda at the middle between the bullish reversal and the bearish orderflow and confluences.
so we'll see if it wins, i guess.
Perfect Setup AnatomyPERFECT SETUP ANATOMY: Sept 17, 2025
OBVIOUS LIQUIDITY SWEEP(SSL) AREA, OF COURSE PRICE WILL TAKE IT OUT LOL.
i THOUGHT ABOUT PUTTING AN ENTRY HERE JUST IN CASE MY INITIAL FVA RESPECT
ENTRY WAS TAKEN OUT, BUT I WAS OFF THE PC BY THAT TIME SO I DIDN'T.
WELL, THERE WAS A BULLISH DIV + SWEEP + FVA RESPECT AT THIS POINT,
SO I DID WHAT ANY SANE PERSON WOULD DO, RE-ENTER.
Price moved as follows:
1.) TRENDLINE LIQUIDITY GATHERING
2.) ACCUMULATION BEFORE TRENDLINE BREAKOUT. This is where sweep+div+cisd+fvg+fva happened. "PDA accumulation"
3.) FVA RESPECT/RE-TEST
4.) PRICE HITS ORIGINAL DAY EQH TARGET
5.) I SHOULD HAVE PUT THIS ON 1:3RR,
BUT I'M GOING TO TRY 1:1RR FIRST
(TO INCREASE WINRATE = INCREASE CONFIDENCE IN THE STRATEGY),
WITH A TRAILING STOP THAT STARTS AT 1.5RR USING MT5.
LOGIC IS, SO IT FULL TPs AT 1RR MINIMUM,
AND RIDE THE TREND IF THE PRICE RUNS FARTHER.
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so, here's what's required again for a trade to start being considered:
0. HTF Target (EQH/EQL) + HTF OF Alignment
1. Previous Orderflow Liquidity Sweep
2. Accumulation of BUY/SELL Arguments (Trendline Liquidity & FVA = recent sweep+div+CISD+FVG) / PDA ACCUMULATION
3. Respect of FVA
4. Entry
Bias - uptrend, day eqh
Narrative - sting into htf fvg = ltf ssl
Context - ssl to eqh
Entry - fva respect & retest
Intraday play: 1810 I am still bearish on my longer term analysis, but looking at the intraday i see a possible 1810
A falling wedge and exhaustion of selling as we wedge into support. I have pulled a fib retrace from that structure and am targeting the 382.
The 618 may get hit but will act as icing on the cake. Also we have divergence on the RSI below.
Happy trading.
ETH?' IS THIS IT?LONG TERM HORIZONTAL RESISTANCE
.234 FIB
RSI OVERSOLD
RSI BEAR DIV SHORT TERM, BUT COULD POTENTIALLY UNWIND BIGGER M TOP FORMATION
INSIDE BAR CANDLE ON A DAILY TF
ETH 2.0 FUNDAMENTAL EVENT HAPPENED ON AUG 4TH. WILL THIS BE ONE OF THOSE "SELL THE NEWS TOP"?
FEAR AND GREED INDEX FOR CRYPTO 79 - EXTREME GREED. NOT A GOOD SIGN TO SEE AT RESISTANCE.
IF YOU FIND MY IDEA USEFUL, OR BETTER MANAGE TO PROFIT OUT OF IT, FEEL FREE TO DONATE.
OBV-Divergence for BTC on HTFs.On the weekly you can see a massiv bullish divergence on the OBV for Bitcoin building up. This is a regular bulish divergence where the dumps become less and less powerful. I wouldnt base a trade solely on this divergence, but it tells, that a reversal is getting closer. Maybe not the next or the one after. But getting closer.