Tuesday, Oct 21st Weekly Forecast UPDATES!Welcome to the Weekly Forecast Updates!
In this video, we will analyze the following markets: DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, NASDAQ, S&P500
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DXY
XAG/USD – SELL Entry (H1- Wedge Breakout Pattern)The XAG/USD Pair, Price has been trading within a Wedge Pattern on the H1 chart, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows. Price action is now testing the upper boundary of the Pattern, signalling a possible breakout. OANDA:XAGUSD
✅Market Context:
1️⃣Strong Upward Structure Inside the Pattern.
2️⃣Buyers are showing strength near Resistance.
3️⃣Breakout above the Trendline indicates Momentum continuation toward higher zones.
✅Trade Plan:
Entry: Buy after Confirmed Breakout above the Resistance (H1 candle close above trendline or retest of the breakout).
💰Take Profit (TP): At the Key Zone – a Major Resistance area identified ahead.
🛑Stop Loss (SL): Below the Pattern Structure.
✅Psychological Discipline :
1️⃣Stick to plan – No Revenge Trades.
2️⃣Accept losing trades as Part of the Strategy.
3️⃣Risk only 1–2% of your account balance per trade.
💬 Support the community: If you found this useful, drop a 👍 like and share your thoughts in the comments!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
DXY 1H Analysis: Trendline Break with Rising Volume 📊 DXY – 1 Hour Analysis
Technical Outlook:
The trendline has been broken and rising volumes are drawing attention.
Based on this setup, my target level is: 98,498 🎯
Fundamental Analysis:
Recently, a White House economist stated that “we are not in any kind of economic war with China,” which reduced uncertainty in the markets and strengthened the dollar index.
In addition, FED policies, interest rate expectations, and tightening measures continue to be key factors supporting upward pricing on the DXY side.
🙏 Thanks to everyone who supports me with their likes.
USDJPY Holds Gains Above 150The USDJPY is currently trading above the mid-zone of a well-respected ascending channel that has been in place since the April 2025 lows, and below its upper boundary. Two critical confirmation levels define the near-term projection:
• Bullish Scenario:
o A sustained hold above 150 (the channel’s mid-zone) keeps the price aligned with the upper boundary near 153.30.
o A confirmed breakout above 153.30 would signal a continuation toward the 2025 highs near 157, and potentially higher — supported by a bullish rebound in the weekly RSI from oversold territory (as shown in the upcoming chart).
• Bearish Scenario:
o A close back below 150 would expose the pair to a deeper correction toward the channel’s lower boundary near 147.30, which also aligns with the 0.44 Fibonacci retracement of the rebound between April 2025 (139.88) and October 2025 (151.16).
o Should the lower boundary break, the bullish scenario would fade, with potential downside targets at 145.00 and 142.80.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
USDCAD Holds Bullish Ground Above 1.40The USDCAD pair is holding below the upper boundary of an ascending channel that extends from the June 2025 lows, while maintaining a position above key support at 1.4000 — a previous resistance level turned support.
The 1.4080 mark represents a critical resistance zone, aligning with:
• The upper channel boundary.
• The trendline connecting highs from July to August.
• The 0.44 Fibonacci retracement of the downtrend between January and July 2025.
With the bullish hold persisting amid limited economic data, the scenarios are:
o A hold above the upper boundary and 1.41 mark would confirm a bullish continuation toward 1.4180 and 1.4300.
o A failure to hold above 1.40 (the channel’s mid-zone) could extend the decline toward the lower boundary at 1.3880, offering potential support.
o A decisive break below that level would open the door to the next support near 1.3750.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the EURUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.15425
💰TP: 1.14149
⛔️SL: 1.16114
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Bearish mood for the euro persists. A strengthening of the USD is expected in the mid- and short term. The most aggressive sell scenario is to look for an entry point at the current price level below 1.16600 (alternative scenario). A more conservative scenario (main scenario) suggests an approach to support at 1.15500 and then a breakout towards 1.14000.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
King Dollar Returns: 98.190 Break💵 Dollar Breakout — Cross Assets Dumping Hard
The U.S. Dollar just flipped 98.190 CAP
After weeks of hesitation, DXY broke clean through the 98.190 daily imbalance, turning prior resistance into a launchpad — and global markets are reacting fast.
📊 Technical Frame
The daily imbalance that capped price now acts as fresh support, confirming a higher-timeframe breakout.
Momentum alignment across 4H and Daily frames signals a firm trend shift.
Upside magnet sits at 98.800–99.200, the next liquidity shelf where sellers may regroup.
🌐 Fundamental Pulse
Cross assets are dumping — EUR AND GBP all bleeding as Dollar strength tightens global liquidity.
Yields grind higher with markets reloading for extended Fed tightness.
Risk aversion and portfolio deleveraging are amplifying the move — capital is flowing back into USD safety.
🧭 Takeaway
The Dollar is back in charge. Above 98.190, the structure supports continuation toward 99+.
In this regime, correlation flips: strong Dollar = weak everything else.
When the Dollar breathes in, global markets exhale.
Gold Above 4300 – Watching for FVG Fill Before Next LegPrice consolidated all of yesterday’s Asian and London sessions before breaking bullish through NY, clearing the 4300 resistance.
Today, we’re holding above that breakout level and sitting just beneath the weekly high at 4398.
A 4H FVG rests below price around 4345–4360 — that’s my first area of interest for a retrace and possible continuation higher.
If price dips to fill that gap and shows strength, I’ll look for a long toward 4398–4420.
Otherwise, I’ll wait for a clear reclaim above the weekly high before confirming continuation.
Staying patient tonight — the easy part is waiting for the market to tell me what it wants to do.
#FuturesTrading #Gold #ICT #PriceAction #NOFOMO
USDJPY Rally Faces Pressure Near 151.250 on Safe-Haven FlowsHey Traders, in the coming week we’re monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around the 151.250 zone.
The pair remains in a broader downtrend, currently in a corrective phase as it approaches this key resistance level.
Meanwhile, DXY is also correcting within its own downtrend, approaching resistance near 98.600, which reinforces the bearish bias on USD pairs.
With US–China tensions escalating, we’re seeing renewed safe-haven demand for JPY, potentially setting the stage for another leg lower in USDJPY.
Trade safe,
Joe
US DOLLAR UPDATE DXYDXY — Rangebound but Firm: 98.19 Holds the Line
Dollar holds steady inside Friday’s range — a quiet coil before the macro rotation.
🧭 Context
The Dollar spent Monday trapped between Friday’s high and low, liquidating the upper wick at 98.190 before closing back within range.
Price currently sits near the 50% Fibonacci retracement (98.123), keeping the bullish range intact but unconfirmed.
The market is balanced, not directional — patience is the edge here.
📊 Technical Map
Structure: Price remains inside a clean bullish range with a volume imbalance still unfilled near 97.436.
Momentum: Mildly bullish but range-dependent — upward bias, no breakout confirmation yet.
Key Levels:
Support → 97.672 / 97.436
Pivot → 98.123
Resistance → 98.190 / 98.420
🌐 Fundamental Pulse
This week’s key drivers: PMI flash, GDP (Thu), and PCE inflation (Fri) — all high-impact data that will steer the Fed narrative.
Yields remain firm but cooling; risk appetite mixed as traders await fresh growth signals.
Without new inflation pressure, the Dollar likely stays rotational within its higher-timeframe band until late-week catalysts.
🎯 Plan
Primary: Avoid midrange noise. Best setups are at range extremes — 97.6 support and 98.2 resistance.
Execution Filter: Wait for volume expansion or 1H close confirmation before breakout engagement.
Alternative: Failure to hold 98.12 reopens imbalance toward 97.43; a break above 98.19 invites continuation to 98.4–98.6.
⚠️ Risk / Alt
Range = noise. Stay tactical. High-frequency trades only until volatility expands.
🧠 Mindset Pulse
“In dull markets, discipline is the premium asset — not conviction.”
Professionals don’t chase noise; they preserve readiness.
Gold's Historic Rally: Where We're HeadingGold broke out of a multi-year consolidation (2020–2024) when it cleared the previous all-time high of $2,080. Once that level broke, we entered price discovery mode .
This is important: There's no overhead resistance from traders who bought at higher levels because there are no higher levels. That's bullish. But it also means we're in uncharted territory.
The weekly chart shows a clean uptrend with no signs of reversal yet. But rallies this big and fast typically need consolidation phases.
Here's where it gets specific. Gold showed a classic consolidation pattern:
- Consolidation range: $2,565–$2,750
- Breakout point: Early 2025
- Measured move target: ~$3400
Using the Fibonacci extension, if the uptrend continues, it suggests the next major resistance is around $4,500 and $4,750.
If you plot these on a chart, you see:
- Gold broke out cleanly from consolidation
- Every pullback has been bought
We're in a controlled uptrend, not parabolic. This is the structure of a trend that could continue.
But it's also the structure that could reverse if critical support breaks.
DXY AnalysisOn the weekly chart, the price has formed a new trading range. We mark it out and move down to the daily timeframe.
After the correction, the price reacted from an inefficiency zone, showing buyer interest.
At the moment, I’m considering two bullish scenarios:
1️⃣ An impulsive breakout of the daily FVG zone followed by an expansion of the current range.
2️⃣ A reaction from the FVG zone, then a sweep of Friday’s low, after which the price could resume its upward movement.
I see the second scenario as more likely, as it would allow the market to collect liquidity before continuing higher.
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 97.71
1st Support: 96.64
1st Resistance: 99.98
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Weekly Outlook — Gold Futures (MGCZ2025)Price is sitting between key levels after last week’s explosive move.
I’m watching 4,300 as immediate resistance — if bulls can’t hold above this level, I expect a sweep toward 4,200–4,150 (H4 + Daily FVGs) before continuation.
Monday might just be a setup day, building liquidity for a Tuesday/Wednesday move.
Key Levels:
🟦 4,392 – Previous Weekly High
🟨 4,300 – Near-term resistance
🟧 4,200 – Daily Low / Support zone
🟩 4,150 – H4 FVG top
Let’s see how Monday sets the tone for the week.
#Gold #Futures #TradingPlan #ICT #PriceAction
DXY SHORT FROM SUPPLY AREA|
✅DXY Price is retracing toward the supply level, where a reaction is likely once the imbalance gets filled. A rejection from this zone could confirm the retest before continuation lower toward the 98.30 target area. Time Frame 2H.
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
DXY — Between Balance and Breakout
Date: Sunday, October 19
Timeframe: Daily
Analyst: @CORE5DAN
Context
The U.S. Dollar Index holds a bullish daily range between 99.197 and 97.048, now sitting around the Fibonacci 50% retracement at 97.044.
Friday’s session formed a tight box — high 98.190, low 97.672 — showing compression inside balance conditions.
Price trades above mid-range, with a volume imbalance near 97.436 acting as a magnet for short-term rotation.
Key liquidity rests just below 97.700, and reactions there could define early-week direction.
Technical Map
• Structure: Short-term bullish, still inside a broader weekly bearish framework. Watch 97.436–97.700 — a clean reaction zone where imbalance and liquidity converge.
• Momentum: Range-bound bullish, confirming control but lacking expansion. A daily close above 98.190 opens the path toward the range high at 99.197.
• Volume: Imbalance remains unfilled — ideal for mean-reversion setups before any breakout impulse.
Fundamental Pulse (Week Ahead)
• Macro Drivers:
— US GDP advance data: key for growth tone.
— Core PCE inflation: the Fed’s favored inflation gauge.
— Fed speakers and PMIs: tone setters for November rate outlook.
• Yields:
— The 10-year sits near 4.6%.
— A push higher = bullish Dollar, stronger short-term flows.
— A pullback = potential consolidation across USD pairs.
• Global Flows:
— Mild rotation out of risk assets and emerging markets supports the Dollar.
— EURUSD and XAUUSD both reflect this hesitation near key supports.
Plan
Bias stays bullish in the short term, bearish in the long term.
We favor volume imbalance fills and reaction trades at 97.436–97.700 before re-evaluating structure.
If macro data or yield spikes support Dollar demand, expect continuation toward 98.190+.
Otherwise, a drift below 97.436 would signal distribution and confirm corrective pressure.
“Structure is the compass; sentiment is the weather.”
Mindset Pulse
“Authority comes from clarity, not prediction.”
Trade what’s confirmed — not what’s comfortable.
EURUSD BTMM Analysis – Potential Reversal SetupOn the 1-hour chart, EURUSD continues to follow a clear downward trend, with price forming multiple lower highs and lower lows across the week.
Currently, the pair is trading near a potential reversal zone, where market makers may begin accumulation before a shift in direction. The MAs remain bearish, but early signs of exhaustion are visible as momentum slows near 1.1550 support.
If price forms a clear structure shift (SOC) or stop-hunt low, the setup could confirm a Day 1 reversal leading into a bullish retracement or a new cycle phase.
Bias: Preparing for possible bullish reversal
Confirmation: Structure break and hold above intraday highs
Invalidation: Sustained breakdown below 1.1530
DXY: Sellers Take ControlHi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
The US Dollar Index (DXY) formed a sideways range on the daily timeframe at the end of June. The seller’s initiative is now active, with a target at 96.767.
Before that, there was a buyer initiative, and we can see that at the end of it, there was a manipulation around the 98.640 level.
A buyer attack occurred on high volume, but the sellers absorbed the buyer’s attack candle and pushed the price downward on October 15.
The price may return to retest either 98.65 - 98.35 area. However, the main movement on the Dollar Index remains downward.
Wishing you profitable trades!
WHAT IS THE EXPECTED RETURN and DURATION of this GOLD Bull Run?Well, when measured against the DXY index, a clear trend becomes apparent.
A Golden Bull typically lasts about 40 quarters, which is essentially 1 decade (give or take a quarter).
Similar to #Bitcoin and its cyclical bull markets within a larger secular bull, the returns tend to decrease over time.
However, it seems that a triple-digit Gold price relative to the DXY is on the horizon at the very least.
What would that look like if the DXY were to hit a new low around 69? This would suggest a Gold price of $6900 at a ratio of 100:1.
A Gold price of $12K with a DXY of 80 only requires a ratio of 150...
Thus, a five-digit Gold price is certainly within the realm of possibility.
I have forecasts that extend as high as $12K.






















