DXY
DXY FRGNT Weekly Forecast -Q4 | W45 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Weekly Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
GBPUSD Rejection: Has the Pound Topped Out?GBPUSD Rejection: Has the Pound Topped Out? A Critical Deep Dive for Nov 3-7
Hello, TradingView fam! 👋 The British Pound has had a powerful run, but it has slammed into a wall of sellers, closing the week at a pivotal 1.31440 . The euphoric buying has given way to a sharp rejection from the highs, and a classic bearish reversal pattern is now staring us in the face. Is this the end of the road for the bulls, or just a healthy correction before the next leg up? The week of November 3rd to 7th will be absolutely crucial.
Let's break down the technicals across all timeframes, blending timeless theories with key indicators to map out the opportunities ahead. 🇬🇧🇺🇸
🔭 The Macro Perspective: Weekly & Daily Charts - The Bullish Engine Stalls
The market tells you a story. Your job is to listen.
The higher timeframes show a strong uptrend that has encountered a formidable obstacle, and the bears are beginning to make their presence known.
Weekly Chart (1W) : While the primary trend under Dow Theory is still bullish, the most recent candle is a major cause for concern. We have a textbook Shooting Star ( Japanese Candlestick ), a powerful rejection candle, forming right at a multi-month resistance zone. This indicates that sellers have aggressively defended this level and have overwhelmed the buyers for now.
Daily Chart (1D) : The daily chart confirms the bearish reversal thesis. A potential Double Top pattern has emerged, with the second peak failing to hold. More importantly, there is a clear and significant bearish divergence on the RSI. Price made a higher high, but the RSI made a lower high, signaling a severe exhaustion of bullish momentum.
⚔️ The Swing Trader's Arena: 4-Hour & 1-Hour Analysis
This is where the most compelling evidence for a top is found. A classic and highly reliable reversal pattern has formed.
4-Hour Chart (4H) : This is the money chart for the week ahead. A clear and well-defined Head and Shoulders pattern is now in play. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are all visible, and the price is currently sitting directly on the crucial neckline support . A confirmed break and close below this neckline is a high-probability signal for a significant move lower. From a Wyckoff Theory perspective, this represents a completed distribution phase.
1-Hour Chart (1H) : The short-term trend has already flipped bearish. The price has broken decisively below the Ichimoku Cloud and the VWAP, both of which are now acting as dynamic resistance. Any rally back towards the 1.3180-1.3200 area is likely to be viewed as a prime selling opportunity by short-term traders.
🔬 The Intraday Microscope: 30M, 15M, & 5M Views
For intraday traders, the momentum is firmly with the sellers. The strategy is to follow the path of least resistance.
30M/15M Charts : These timeframes show a clear downtrend with a series of lower lows and lower highs. We can see a Bearish Flag pattern forming, which typically represents a brief consolidation before the next wave of selling pressure resumes. The RSI is staying below the 60 mark, indicating bearish control.
5M Chart : On the 5-minute chart, the VWAP is the line in the sand. As long as the price stays below it, shorts are in control. Scalpers should be cautious of any sharp bounces, as they could be bear traps . A sustained break above the VWAP would be the first sign that the intraday selling pressure is easing.
🎯 Actionable Trade Scenarios for the Week Ahead
The technical evidence is heavily skewed towards the bears, hinging on the confirmation of the Head and Shoulders pattern.
The Primary Bearish Breakdown Scenario 🐻
Entry: The highest probability entry is to short a confirmed 4H candle close below the Head and Shoulders neckline, which sits around 1.3100 . A more conservative entry is to wait for a breakdown and then short the retest of the broken neckline as new resistance.
Targets: The first target is the psychological support at 1.3000 . The measured move target for the Head and Shoulders pattern projects a move down towards the major support zone of 1.2920 .
Invalidation: A strong reclaim of the right shoulder's high, specifically a daily close above 1.3220 , would invalidate the bearish setup.
The Low-Probability Bullish Reversal Scenario 🐂
Entry: This is a counter-trend trade. It would require an extremely strong defense of the neckline around 1.3100 , confirmed by a large bullish engulfing candle on the 4H or daily chart.
Targets: A retest of the right shoulder at 1.3200 , and then the recent highs around 1.3280 .
Invalidation: Any confirmed 4H close below the 1.3100 neckline.
Conclusion: The Bears Are Knocking at the Door
The confluence of factors—a weekly rejection candle, daily bearish divergence, and a clear 4H Head and Shoulders pattern—presents a powerful bearish case for GBPUSD. While the bulls could still mount a defense at the neckline, the weight of the technical evidence suggests a breakdown is more likely.
This week is all about confirmation and execution . The plan is set. Now, we wait for the market to give us the signal.
What are your thoughts on Cable? Are you preparing to short the breakdown, or are you buying the dip? Let's discuss in the comments below! 👇
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk. Always do your own research.
DXY Continuing the bullish trend?DXY Weekly Outlook
The dollar has been bullish over the past few weeks, continuing to break structure to the upside. I expect this momentum to carry on a bit further, but as price approaches a strong supply zone, we could see some short-term downside.
This potential pullback would likely cause a temporary push-up for EU and GU before the dollar resumes its bullish move overall.
I don’t trade the dollar directly, but I use it as confluence for my main pairs — and right now, it aligns perfectly with my EU and GU outlooks.
Key Levels:
Possible bullish reaction around 99.600
Potential bearish reaction around 100.000 (psychological level)
Bullish continuation setup?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivo,t which s a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracemnt and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 99.10
1st Support: 98.40
1st Resistance: 100.38
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W44 | D31| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D31| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
GBPUSD Challenges 6-Month SupportThe GBPUSD pair is holding above a critical 6-month support level extending from May 2025, after failing twice to break above the 1.3800 mark (2-year resistance) — signaling potential double-top risks to the downside or a neutral-to-bullish range to the upside, depending on which key level breaks first.
Downside scenario – a close below 1.3140, the 6-month support since May 2025 aligning with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the uptrend between January and July 2025 – could extend losses toward 1.2940, 1.2740, and 1.2670, corresponding with the 50% and 0.618 retracement levels.
Upside scenario:
A sustained hold above 1.3140-1.31 zone could redirect gains toward 1.3520, 1.3600, and 1.3800, after which a bullish breakout may develop, targeting highs last seen in 2021 near 1.4200.
- Raza Hilal, CMT
Stop!Loss|Market View: USDJPY🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the USDJPY currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 153.477
💰TP: 155.036
⛔️SL: 152.140
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The yen continues to accumulate near the 153 resistance area, with a gap in the 148-149 range continuing to attract sellers to open trades. Currently, short-term buy remains the priority, with a breakout of the 153 resistance area toward 154-155 expected.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Gold Futures (MGCZ25) – Monthly Close SetupPrice has ranged all week between 4040 and 3930. With an H4 FVG still sitting above, we might see one last liquidity grab before the next directional move.
⚖️ Neutral bias for now — watching for clean displacement at range extremes.
📍 If price reclaims 4040 → possible push into the H4 FVG.
📍 If it rejects and drops below 4020 → lower FVG fills toward 3930 could be next.
#Gold #Futures #ICT #MarketStructure #NOFOMO
Potential bullish continuation?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support. It could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is in line with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 99.08
1st Support: 98.40
1st Resistance: 100.38
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US Dollar: Bullish-Neutral. Buys Are Valid As +FVG Holds!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct 27 - 31st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD didn't move a lot last week, but it did move higher with Monday and Tuesday moves. The rest of the week was sideways, but it held above the +FVG. As long as the +FVG holds, prices should continue higher.
A candle body close below the +FVG will be a bearish indication.
Mindful that FOMC is Wednesday. That is decision day for the markets. Don't jump into long term moves until after the announcements for Wednesday.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DXY has started a new long-term Bullish Leg to 103.500.Four months ago (June 26, see chart below) we gave a strong Buy Signal on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which in a month's time it hit our 100.000 Target:
Now we see the 3-year Channel Down starting the next Bullish Leg having priced its bottom (Lower Low) on September 17. As you can see this is almost the exact same triple Lower Lows bottoming process as in 2023, using also the same Fibonacci retracement levels as Targets. We have the huge 1W RSI Bullish Divergence to also confirm this.
Based on this symmetry, we have started a Bullish Leg similar to July's 2023. That peaked marginally below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. As a result, we expect DXY to target at least 103.500 by early 2026.
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When the Dollar bleeds, Gold breathes stronger.A clear structural divergence is unfolding between XAUUSD and DXY —
Gold has printed a clean bullish market structure, while the Dollar Index mirrors it with a progressive bearish flow.
This inverse rhythm isn’t coincidence — it’s the pulse of global liquidity.
As capital rotates out of USD strength into hard assets, we’re witnessing how smart money hedges exposure against monetary uncertainty.
Each push in Gold aligns perfectly with weakness in DXY —
a synchronized dance that often precedes macro repricing in risk assets.
💭 The key insight?
Gold’s rise isn’t simply technical — it’s the market’s vote of confidence against the Dollar’s future yield.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Liquidity never lies — when one side inflates, the other exhales.”
US Dollar Index Tests Range Resistance as Momentum Firm Post-FedThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continues to trade within a well-defined horizontal range, bounded by resistance near 100.30 and support around 96.42. Price is currently hovering near the upper half of this range, suggesting renewed bullish momentum in the short term.
The 50-day SMA (98.17) is trending upward and recently acted as dynamic support, while the 200-day SMA (100.53) remains above price, serving as a longer-term resistance barrier. A sustained move above the 100.30 zone would be required to shift the broader structure toward a more constructive outlook.
The MACD shows a mild bullish crossover above the signal line, indicating strengthening momentum, while the RSI (61) remains in neutral-to-bullish territory — suggesting there is room for further upside before overbought conditions emerge.
Overall, the index remains range-bound but shows short-term bullish undertones as it approaches key resistance. Traders may watch for price action confirmation near the upper boundary to gauge the next directional move.
– MW
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): More Growth Ahead
A quick follow-up for the yesterday's idea for Dollar Index.
The market successfully violated a resistance line of a symmetrical triangle
pattern on a daily time frame.
We see its retest this morning.
A confirmed bullish CHoCH on an hourly time frame gives us a strong
intraday bullish confirmation.
There is a high chance that the Index will continue rising.
Goal - 99.35
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast - Q4 | W44 | D30| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D30| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
GC Futures – Patience While the Market Waits for a CatalystYesterday’s session was pure range — no real direction, likely ahead of Fed news and the Trump-China talks. Price continues to consolidate beneath the H4 FVG and above the Daily Low (D-L), with both sides holding liquidity.
Until we see a clean displacement, I’m sitting on my hands and preserving capital. The market’s indecision is information — it’s telling us to wait.
Key levels remain 4,046 (D-H) and 3,930 (D-L) — any clean break beyond these zones should define the next directional move.
#Gold #Futures #GC #DayTrading #NoFOMO #ICT #OrderFlow #MarketStructure
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and oculd bounce to the swing high resistance/
Pivot: 98.97
1st Support: 98.62
1st Resistance: 99.43
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
$USINTR -Fed Delivers Rate Cut (October/2025)ECONOMICS:USINTR
October/2025
source: Federal Reserve
- The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by 25 bps to a target range of 3.75%–4.00% at its October 2025 meeting, in line with market expectations.
The move followed a similar cut in September,
bringing borrowing costs to their lowest level since 2022.
Policymakers cited increasing downside risks to employment in recent months while inflation has moved up since earlier in the year and remains somewhat elevated.
The Fed said it will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook and would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of its goals.
In addition, the central bank decided to conclude the reduction of its aggregate securities holdings on December 1.
FOMC OutlookAs US–China trade war concerns ease, the market’s attention is turning to today’s FOMC meeting. The Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points, a move that is already fully priced in. The decision comes amid “rising risks in the labor market,” as emphasized by nearly all Fed members.
In addition to today’s expected 25 bps cut, markets are also pricing in another reduction at the December meeting. With inflation increasing more slowly than expected and Trump easing tariffs, the Fed now has greater flexibility to lower rates, aligning with our outlook.
Two main topics will be in focus at this meeting. The first is quantitative tightening (QT). The Fed slowed QT earlier this year, and based on Powell’s recent comments, it could slow further or even be halted entirely. The 10-year Treasury yield has already fallen below 4% in anticipation of such a move. The Fed is likely to announce the end of QT or signal that it will conclude soon. If the announcement did not come, it will be seen as hawkish.
The second topic is further rate cuts in 2026. Markets are pricing in two to three additional cuts that year. Powell’s tone regarding the 2026 outlook could be one of the key drivers of today’s market reaction.
The dollar index remains calm ahead of the meeting. After testing the long-term trendline from 2011 (white line), the dollar recovered above its 100-day moving average and has since turned flat. The 99.60–100.80 zone, previously a major support, now acts as resistance. The dollar is currently trapped between that resistance and the long-term trendline. Depending on the outcome of today’s FOMC meeting, the index could start to move either toward the resistance area or back to the trendline.






















