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DXY

DXY: False Breakout, Targets BelowHi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). On the daily timeframe, the Dollar Index is in a sideways range. Upper boundary 98.959, lower boundary 95.906. We see a familiar false breakout pattern of the upper boundary of the range. The price then returned back into the range with a seller IKC candle (the highest-volume candle within the initiative). During this false breakout, the price moved above the 50% level of the last seller initiative on the weekly timeframe, which strengthens the pattern. I am waiting for the first target at 96.66 and the second target at 95.90. As a reminder, my broader expectation is a move toward 94.6. Indirectly, the likelihood of continued decline in the Dollar Index is supported by the fact that the sideways range has expanded more to the downside than to the upside. Wishing you profitable trades!
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by AlexeyWolf
FOMC and Market Reactions – Simple Logic Explained💎MJTrading: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) guides U.S. interest rates. Their decisions ripple through all major markets, not just the dollar. 🔑 How It Works (Simple View): - When the Fed signals higher rates, the USD demand rises (investors seek higher returns), while gold, stocks, and crypto often fall because money becomes “more expensive.” - When the Fed signals lower rates or slows tightening, the USD loses demand, and money flows into assets like gold, stocks, and crypto. 🔍 Why a Rate Cut Weakens the Dollar: * Cutting rates means borrowing money becomes cheaper. * Investors earn less return by holding USD in banks or bonds. * This lowers demand for the dollar, making it cheaper in global markets. 📊 What the Current Charts Show: CAPITALCOM:DXY (Dollar Index): Sharp drop → less demand for USD. FX:XAUUSD (Gold): Demand rises as an alternative store of value. FX:EURUSD : Euro strengthens against weaker dollar. BINANCE:BTCUSD : Risk appetite returns, lifting crypto. BLACKBULL:US30 (Dow Jones): Stocks benefit as liquidity shifts from USD into equities. ⚡ The Core Reason – Demand & Supply Weaker dollar = reduced demand for USD, so supply flows into gold, stocks, euro, and crypto. 🔮 Looking Ahead – Will the Rally Continue? The rally may extend if the dollar remains under pressure and the Fed stays dovish. But caution: after the first strong impulse, markets often retrace to test demand zones before continuing. Next week’s momentum will depend on whether buyers can sustain demand beyond the initial FOMC reaction. 👉 Takeaway for Traders: FOMC moves aren’t random. They’re driven by where capital finds the best return. Understanding this demand–supply flow helps explain why all charts move together in these moments. #MJTrading #FOMC #DXY #XAUUSD #EURUSD #BTCUSD #US30 #Forex #Gold #TradingEducation #Rally Psychology Always Matters:
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by MJElahifx
1
FOMC and Market Reactions – Simple Logic Explained💎 MJTrading: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) guides U.S. interest rates. Their decisions ripple through all major markets, not just the dollar. 🔑 How It Works (Simple View): - When the Fed signals higher rates, the USD demand rises (investors seek higher returns), while gold, stocks, and crypto often fall because money becomes “more expensive.” - When the Fed signals lower rates or slows tightening, the USD loses demand, and money flows into assets like gold, stocks, and crypto. 🔍 Why a Rate Cut Weakens the Dollar: * Cutting rates means borrowing money becomes cheaper. * Investors earn less return by holding USD in banks or bonds. * This lowers demand for the dollar, making it cheaper in global markets. 📊 What the Current Charts Show: DXY (Dollar Index): Sharp drop → less demand for USD. XAUUSD (Gold): Demand rises as an alternative store of value. EURUSD: Euro strengthens against weaker dollar. BTCUSD: Risk appetite returns, lifting crypto. US30 (Dow Jones): Stocks benefit as liquidity shifts from USD into equities. ⚡ The Core Reason – Demand & Supply Weaker dollar = reduced demand for USD, so supply flows into gold, stocks, euro, and crypto. 🔮 Looking Ahead – Will the Rally Continue? The rally may extend if the dollar remains under pressure and the Fed stays dovish. But caution: after the first strong impulse, markets often retrace to test demand zones before continuing. Next week’s momentum will depend on whether buyers can sustain demand beyond the initial FOMC reaction. 👉 Takeaway for Traders: FOMC moves aren’t random. They’re driven by where capital finds the best return. Understanding this demand–supply flow helps explain why all charts move together in these moments. #MJTrading #FOMC #DXY #XAUUSD #EURUSD #BTCUSD #US30 #Forex #Gold #TradingEducation #Rally Psychology Always Matters: Click on the image to read the caption.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by MJElahifx
Aussie: Range-bound 'til further noticeAs expected, TVC:DXY revisited last week's lows after the Jackson Hole meeting where Powell hinted at rate cuts and re-assured us that the jobs numbers are less important than inflation data. We now understand that 2% inflation could be long gone and that the loss of jobs, doesn't mean the loss of money, because of the early adoption of AI. I know of a local US tech shop that laid off 3 engineers in an attempt to replace their function with GPTs. It's not off to a great start, but hey they're saving $400k a year for now. The job data has long-term implications that I believe have yet to fully unfold, so let's ignore for now. OANDA:AUDUSD should be bullish until at least September 17. I believe the cut has already been priced in, explaining the dip sub 97 for TVC:DXY to find a bottom. My plan for the next few weeks is to trade the ranges you see in the chart. I'm buying dips above .6460 and bearish below that point.
Long
by pragmatiq
2
The Dollar's Descent: Understanding Historic WeaknessThe U.S. dollar, long considered the world's premier reserve currency and a symbol of American economic might, finds itself in unprecedented territory as it continues to hover near all-time lows against a basket of major currencies. This sustained weakness represents more than just a numerical decline on foreign exchange charts; it signals a fundamental shift in global economic dynamics, monetary policy effectiveness, and international confidence in American fiscal management. The implications of this historic depreciation extend far beyond currency traders and central banks, touching everything from household purchasing power to geopolitical relationships and the future architecture of the global financial system. The current situation represents a culmination of multiple converging factors that have been building over several years. The dollar's decline hasn't occurred in isolation but rather as part of a complex interplay between domestic fiscal policies, international trade dynamics, shifting reserve currency preferences, and evolving global economic power structures. Understanding this phenomenon requires examining not just the immediate catalysts but also the deeper structural changes that have eroded the dollar's traditional sources of strength. The Anatomy of the Dollar's Decline The measurement of the dollar's value against other currencies typically relies on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against a weighted basket of six major currencies: the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. When analysts refer to the dollar approaching all-time lows, they're observing a sustained depreciation that has pushed this index to levels not seen in decades, with some bilateral exchange rates reaching historic extremes. The technical aspects of this decline reveal a currency under persistent selling pressure. Foreign exchange markets, which trade over six trillion dollars daily, have witnessed consistent dollar weakness across multiple timeframes and against virtually all major and emerging market currencies. This broad-based depreciation suggests that the issue isn't merely tactical positioning by traders but reflects fundamental concerns about the dollar's intrinsic value and future trajectory. Several immediate factors have contributed to this weakness. The Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance, particularly its approach to interest rates and quantitative easing, has played a crucial role. While other central banks have moved more aggressively to combat inflation or support their currencies, the Fed's policies have often prioritized domestic economic stability over currency strength. This divergence in monetary policy has created interest rate differentials that make holding dollars less attractive relative to other currencies offering higher yields. The massive fiscal stimulus measures implemented in recent years have also weighed heavily on the dollar. The expansion of the federal deficit and the dramatic increase in the national debt have raised questions about the long-term sustainability of American fiscal policy. International investors, who must consider currency risk when purchasing U.S. assets, have grown increasingly concerned about the potential for future dollar depreciation as a means of reducing the real burden of this debt. Trade dynamics have further complicated the dollar's position. The persistent U.S. trade deficit means that more dollars flow out of the country to purchase foreign goods than flow in from exports. This structural imbalance creates constant selling pressure on the dollar as these funds are converted into other currencies. Additionally, the weaponization of the dollar through sanctions and financial restrictions has prompted some nations to seek alternatives for international trade settlement, reducing demand for dollars in global commerce. Historical Context and Precedents To fully appreciate the significance of the dollar's current weakness, it's essential to examine historical precedents and the evolution of the dollar's role in the global economy. The Bretton Woods system, established in 1944, positioned the dollar as the world's primary reserve currency, backed by gold and serving as the anchor for international monetary stability. When this system collapsed in 1971, the dollar transitioned to a fiat currency, deriving its value from the strength of the U.S. economy and the confidence of global markets rather than gold reserves. Throughout its modern history, the dollar has experienced several significant periods of weakness. The stagflation of the 1970s saw the dollar lose considerable value as inflation soared and economic growth stagnated. The Plaza Accord of 1985 deliberately weakened the dollar to address trade imbalances, demonstrating that currency depreciation could be a policy tool rather than merely a market outcome. The financial crisis of 2008 triggered another period of dollar weakness as the Federal Reserve implemented unprecedented monetary easing. However, the current situation differs from these historical episodes in several important ways. Previous periods of dollar weakness often occurred within a framework where the dollar's fundamental role as the global reserve currency remained unchallenged. Today, that supremacy faces genuine competition from alternative currencies and payment systems. The rise of the euro, the internationalization of the Chinese yuan, and the emergence of digital currencies all represent potential challenges to dollar hegemony that didn't exist during previous cycles of weakness. The geopolitical context has also shifted dramatically. During past periods of dollar weakness, the United States maintained relatively stable relationships with its major trading partners and allies. Current tensions, trade disputes, and the fragmentation of the global economy into competing blocs have created an environment where dollar alternatives are not just economically viable but politically desirable for some nations. This represents a structural change that could make the current period of weakness more persistent and potentially irreversible in some respects. Global Economic Implications The ramifications of the dollar's sustained weakness extend throughout the global economy, creating both opportunities and challenges for different stakeholders. For American consumers, a weaker dollar translates directly into reduced purchasing power for imported goods. Everything from electronics to clothing to automobiles becomes more expensive as the dollar's depreciation increases the cost of foreign-produced items. This imported inflation adds to domestic price pressures, potentially eroding living standards and complicating monetary policy decisions. American businesses face a mixed picture. Exporters benefit from a competitive advantage as their goods become relatively cheaper in foreign markets, potentially boosting sales and market share. Multinational corporations with significant overseas earnings see those profits translate into more dollars when repatriated, improving their financial results. However, companies reliant on imported inputs face higher costs, and those with international supply chains must navigate increased complexity and currency risk. The impact on financial markets has been profound and multifaceted. Equity markets have shown remarkable resilience, with some sectors benefiting from the currency tailwind to earnings. However, bond markets face challenges as foreign investors demand higher yields to compensate for currency risk, potentially increasing borrowing costs for the U.S. government and corporate issuers. Commodity markets, traditionally priced in dollars, have seen significant price increases as the weakening currency makes raw materials more expensive in dollar terms. For emerging markets, the dollar's weakness presents both opportunities and risks. Countries with dollar-denominated debt benefit from the reduced real burden of their obligations, providing fiscal relief and potentially enabling increased domestic investment. However, those nations that have traditionally relied on dollar stability for their own monetary frameworks face uncertainty and potential instability. The shift away from dollar dependence requires careful management and potentially painful adjustments to monetary and fiscal policies. Developed economies have responded to the dollar's weakness in various ways. The European Union has seen the euro strengthen significantly, creating challenges for European exporters but providing relief from imported inflation. Japan faces particular difficulties as yen strength threatens its export-dependent economy, prompting potential intervention in currency markets. These dynamics have strained international cooperation and raised the specter of competitive devaluations reminiscent of the 1930s. The Reserve Currency Question Perhaps the most significant long-term implication of the dollar's sustained weakness concerns its status as the world's primary reserve currency. This privileged position has provided the United States with what former French Finance Minister Valéry Giscard d'Estaing called an "exorbitant privilege" – the ability to borrow in its own currency, maintain persistent trade deficits, and exercise significant influence over global financial conditions. The erosion of confidence in the dollar threatens this special status. Central banks worldwide have been gradually diversifying their reserves away from dollars, increasing holdings of gold, euros, yuan, and other assets. While the dollar still accounts for the majority of global reserves, its share has been declining steadily. This trend, if it continues, could fundamentally alter the global financial architecture and reduce American influence over international economic affairs. The search for alternatives has accelerated in recent years. The Chinese yuan's inclusion in the International Monetary Fund's Special Drawing Rights basket marked a significant milestone in its internationalization. Digital currencies, both central bank digital currencies and cryptocurrencies, offer potential alternatives for international trade settlement and value storage. Regional payment systems and bilateral currency swap agreements have proliferated, creating pathways for trade that bypass the dollar entirely. However, the transition away from dollar dominance faces significant obstacles. The depth and liquidity of U.S. financial markets remain unmatched, providing essential infrastructure for global finance. The rule of law, property rights protection, and regulatory framework in the United States continue to attract international investment despite currency concerns. No single alternative currency currently possesses all the attributes necessary to fully replace the dollar's multifaceted role in the global economy. Policy Responses and Future Scenarios Policymakers face difficult choices in responding to the dollar's weakness. Traditional approaches to currency support, such as raising interest rates or intervening in foreign exchange markets, carry significant economic costs and may prove ineffective against structural pressures. The Federal Reserve must balance its domestic mandate for price stability and full employment with the international implications of its policies, a task made more complex by the dollar's global role. Fiscal policy presents another set of challenges and opportunities. Addressing the structural factors undermining dollar confidence would require difficult decisions about spending, taxation, and debt management. Political polarization and competing economic priorities make comprehensive fiscal reform challenging, yet the consequences of inaction could be severe. The possibility of a dollar crisis, while still remote, has moved from the realm of theoretical speculation to a risk requiring serious contingency planning. International cooperation could play a crucial role in managing the transition to a new monetary order. Multilateral agreements on exchange rate management, similar to but more flexible than the Bretton Woods system, might provide stability during a period of adjustment. However, the current geopolitical climate makes such cooperation difficult to achieve. The fragmentation of the global economy into competing blocs may accelerate the development of alternative currency systems, further undermining the dollar's position. Looking ahead, several scenarios could unfold. A gradual, managed decline in the dollar's dominance might allow for smooth adjustment to a multipolar currency system, with several major currencies sharing reserve status. This outcome would require careful coordination and policy discipline from major economies. Alternatively, a more chaotic transition could occur if confidence in the dollar erodes rapidly, potentially triggering financial instability and economic disruption. The technological revolution in finance adds another dimension of uncertainty. Central bank digital currencies could reshape international monetary relations in ways that are difficult to predict. The adoption of blockchain technology and smart contracts might enable new forms of international trade settlement that don't require traditional reserve currencies. These innovations could either accelerate the dollar's decline or, if led by the United States, potentially reinforce its position through digital dominance. Conclusion: Navigating Uncharted Waters The dollar's hover near all-time lows represents more than a cyclical fluctuation in currency markets; it signals a potential inflection point in the global economic order. The convergence of fiscal pressures, monetary policy challenges, geopolitical tensions, and technological disruption has created conditions unlike any previously experienced in the modern era of fiat currencies. The implications extend beyond exchange rates to encompass fundamental questions about economic governance, international cooperation, and the distribution of global economic power. For investors, businesses, and policymakers, navigating this environment requires careful consideration of both immediate risks and long-term structural changes. Hedging strategies, diversification approaches, and policy frameworks developed during periods of dollar strength may prove inadequate in a world where the greenback's supremacy can no longer be assumed. The ability to adapt to multiple possible futures, rather than betting on a single outcome, becomes essential for managing risk and capturing opportunities. The social and political implications of the dollar's decline deserve equal attention to the economic aspects. Currency strength has long been intertwined with national prestige and political power. A sustained period of dollar weakness could reshape domestic politics, alter international alliances, and influence the trajectory of globalization itself. The psychological impact of losing reserve currency status, should it occur, would reverberate through American society in ways that extend far beyond financial markets. As the world watches the dollar's trajectory with a mixture of concern and opportunism, the need for thoughtful analysis and measured response becomes paramount. The current situation demands neither panic nor complacency but rather a clear-eyed assessment of changing realities and proactive adaptation to new circumstances. The dollar's decline may mark the end of one era and the beginning of another, but the nature of that new era remains to be written by the collective actions of governments, markets, and societies worldwide. The path forward will likely be characterized by increased volatility, structural adjustments, and the gradual emergence of new monetary arrangements. Whether this transition enhances global economic stability or triggers periodic crises will depend largely on the wisdom and cooperation of global leaders. The dollar's current weakness serves as both a warning and an opportunity – a signal that the old order is passing and a chance to build something better in its place. The challenge lies in managing this transition while maintaining the stability and prosperity that the dollar-based system, despite its flaws, has helped facilitate for decades. In this context, the dollar's hover near all-time lows should be understood not as an isolated phenomenon but as part of a broader transformation of the global economy. The outcomes of this transformation remain uncertain, but its importance cannot be overstated. The decisions made in response to the dollar's weakness will shape international economic relations for generations to come, making this one of the most consequential periods in modern monetary history.
ICEUS:DX1!
by bryandowningqln
EURUSD Testing 1.16650 in Descending Channel as DXY Holds 98.100Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.16650 zone, EURUSD continues to trade inside a descending channel, with price correcting upward toward 1.16650, a key resistance zone aligned with channel structure. At the same time, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remains in an uptrend and is approaching 98.100 support. With recent inflation readings running high, markets may expect a more hawkish Federal Reserve, which could support further USD strength. Monitoring how EURUSD reacts near 1.16650 in relation to DXY’s price behavior to gauge whether bearish momentum will resume or consolidation will continue. Trade safe, Joe.
Short
by JoeChampion
11
ADA/USDT | Cardano Breaks All Targets – Next Stop: Above $1?By analyzing the Cardano (ADA) chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price has surged exactly as expected, beautifully hitting all three targets at $0.85, $0.93, and $1! This move delivered an impressive 48% return. Following Jerome Powell’s remarks about the possibility of interest rate cuts in the coming months, Cardano saw renewed demand and has already risen from $0.82 to $0.91 so far. I expect this bullish momentum to continue, with a potential break and hold above the $1 level soon. Hope you made the most out of this analysis! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
5
US Dollar Index (DXY) Rises Ahead of Fed Chair’s SpeechUS Dollar Index (DXY) Rises Ahead of Fed Chair’s Speech On Monday, we: → noted that the US Dollar Index (DXY) was consolidating at the start of a week packed with key events; → outlined a descending channel (shown in red); → highlighted that the price was trading around the channel’s median line, signalling a balanced market; → suggested that a test of one of the quarter lines (QL or QH), which divide the channel into four parts, could take place. As the DXY chart indicates, since then the balance has shifted in favour of buyers, with the price forming an upward trajectory (shown in purple lines) and breaking through short-term resistance R (which has now turned into support, as marked by the blue arrow). Support line S remains relevant. Today brings the key event that may have the greatest impact on the US Dollar Index (DXY) this week – Jerome Powell’s speech at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium. This appearance is particularly significant because: → it is likely to be Powell’s last speech after seven years as Fed Chair, with his term expiring in May amid ongoing tensions with President Trump; → market participants will closely monitor the tone of his remarks, as a rate cut is expected in September, while recent economic data – namely the rise in the Producer Price Index – suggest that the US economy could face renewed inflationary pressures due to Trump’s tariffs. Technical analysis of the DXY chart From a bullish perspective, in the short term the US dollar is advancing within the purple channel, supported by: → the lower boundary of this channel; → the demand imbalance zone in favour of buyers (shown in green), confirmed by yesterday’s sharp bullish candle. From a bearish perspective: → the RSI has entered overbought territory; → bullish momentum may fade after a breakout above the QH line; → a key resistance at the 99 level lies nearby – a level that reclaimed its role as resistance at the beginning of August (indicated by black arrows). A corrective pullback in the US Dollar Index (DXY) could happen after its rally to the highest level since 6 August. However, the further trajectory will largely depend on Powell’s words this evening. According to Forex Factory, the speech is scheduled for 17:00 GMT+3. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:DXY
by FXOpen
1
Bullish momentum to extend?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 98.25 1st Support: 97.96 1st Resistance: 99.44 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
AUDUSD Tests 0.64400 as DXY Strengthens on Fed BetsHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.64400 zone, AUDUSD is correcting higher within its broader downtrend, with price approaching the 0.64400 resistance area. This zone aligns with prior supply and could be pivotal in determining whether bearish momentum resumes or a deeper retracement unfolds. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) recently broke above the 98.700 key resistance, reinforcing its bullish bias. With U.S. inflation still elevated, markets are focused on potential hawkish commentary from the Federal Reserve at the Jackson Hole symposium — a factor that could further strengthen the dollar and weigh on AUDUSD. Price action around 0.64400 will be critical in assessing whether sellers reassert control or the correction continues.
Short
by JoeChampion
8
Gold Futures | H4 FVG Fully Filled – What’s Next Into Weekly CloEarlier this week I was watching for price to pull back into the new H4 FVG after we closed above the Daily High. Price rejected from the Asian range mid and dropped cleanly into that zone, ultimately filling the H4 FVG completely. Now on Friday, price sits right at the Weekly Low (3775.9) and the bottom of that H4 gap. This is a key decision point going into the weekly close. 📌 Scenarios I’m Watching: ✅ Bullish: If price holds this filled H4 FVG / W-L zone, we could see a re-accumulation and a push back toward 3388–3392 rejection block and possibly the Daily High (3394.6) next week. ❌ Bearish: If price fails to hold here, the next liquidity pools below are 3367.4 (D-L) and 3362.5. 📌 Key Levels: Daily High: 3394.6 Weekly Low: 3775.9 Daily Low: 3367.4 Into Friday close, I’ll be watching whether we get acceptance above this zone (bullish continuation setup) or rejection that opens the door to new weekly lows. 👉 What do you think? Will this area hold as support, or do we see a deeper flush before the week closes?
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
2
US Dollar: Is The Bearish Correction Ending?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 18 - 22nd. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar The USD has been weak since the start of August. But this is after a Bullish July! Is the retracement going to find support and all buyers to take over? Price is currently at the levels that could see buyers step in, just above a protected fractal low. If the low holds, we will see prices move higher. If the low fails, we resume the down trend that we've been in since January. React and do not predict. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
6
DXY Dollar Heist: Can You Escape @100?🔥 DXY Dollar Index Bank Heist Plan (Swing Trade) 🔥 Asset: DXY Dollar Index 💵Plan: Bullish 📈Thief Trading Style: Layered Limit Order Strategy 🕵️‍♂️ 🏦 The Heist Plan 🏦 Dear Thief OG's, Ladies & Gentlemen, get ready to pull off the ultimate DXY heist! 💰 We're using the Thief Layering Strategy to stack multiple limit orders and maximize our loot. Follow the plan, adjust to your risk, and let’s escape with the cash! 🚨 📈 Entry: The Break-In Strategy: Deploy multiple buy limit orders to layer your entries like a master thief 🕴️. Suggested levels: 98.00 💸 98.20 💸 98.40 💸 98.60 💸 Flexibility: Add more layers based on your risk appetite or market conditions 📊. Pro Tip: Set an alert on TradingView to catch the breakout or pullback at these levels 🚨. 🛑 Stop Loss: The Escape Route Thief SL: Set at 97.50 to protect your stash 🛡️. Risk Management: Adjust SL based on your lot size, risk tolerance, and number of layered entries ⚖️. Warning: Don’t get caught! This is a high-stakes heist—stick to your risk plan 🔥. 🎯 Target: The Getaway Police Barricade: Resistance at 100.30 🚓—watch out! Our Target: Take profits at 100.00 to escape with the loot before the market traps you 🏃‍♂️💨. 🧠 Why This Heist? The DXY is showing bullish momentum based on real-time market data 📡: Macro Factors: Strong USD demand driven by economic indicators (check COT reports, geopolitics, and intermarket analysis) 🌍. Technical Setup: Layered entries align with swing trade pullbacks and key support zones 📉. Scalpers 👀: Stick to quick long-side trades with trailing SL to lock in profits 💰. ⚠️ Trading Alerts: Stay Sharp! News Releases: Avoid new trades during high-impact news to dodge volatility traps 🚫. Position Management: Use trailing stop-loss to secure your profits and stay safe 🛡️. 💪 Boost the Heist! Hit the Boost Button to power up our Thief Trading Style! 🚀 Every like and view strengthens our crew, helping us rob the market with precision. Let’s make money and vanish like pros! 🤑 Stay tuned for the next heist plan, Thief OG’s! 🕵️‍♂️🎉
FXOPEN:DXYLong
by The-Thief
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? The EUR/USD pair has been ranging between key support and resistance zones since last week. At present, price is sitting right on a critical support level, as the market appears to be waiting for Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole tomorrow. Our broader outlook remains bearish, but a clear break below support is needed to confirm downside continuation. If support breaks, the pair could head toward lower targets in the coming sessions. Avoid early short positions while price is still holding above support. Wait for a confirmed breakdown of the support level to validate the bearish scenario. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
20
EUR/USD – Buy Setup | H1/H4 OutlookPrice is consolidating after a corrective move and is showing signs of bullish continuation. The structure suggests a possible liquidity sweep towards 1.1636 – 1.1624 demand zone, before a push higher. ✅ Entry Zone: 1.1636 – 1.1624 🎯 Target: 1.1673 (short-term TP) 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 1.1624 🧩 Bias: Bullish (as long as price holds above 1.1624 support zone) ⚡ News events ahead may create volatility, so manage risk accordingly. --- 🔔 Trade Idea Only – Not Financial Advice. Do your own analysis before entering any trade.
Long
by Greenfireforex
2
DXY ready to drop ?DXY trade setup for today : Before we look at potential entry in this pair first let’s look at multiple timeframe analysis in this market. Monthly: 100.24 Monthly resistance price has got rejection strongly from the top Weekly: Bearish engulfed formation with strong liquidity grab Daily: A sharp rejection with liquidity grab from the resistance Entry timeframe 4H : Upon retest of the order block, market has got rejected and potentially breaking out of the market structure to continue to drop to support level. Possible trade recommendation : Bearish entry with SL above sessions high
TVC:DXYShort
by ForexWizard01
Gold: Correction & Retest of Broken Level1. Fundamental Outlook Gold is trading close to $3,300, its lowest level in the past three weeks, as market participants remain cautious ahead of key U.S. monetary policy signals. The current weakness is not only tied to technical flows but also to expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s policy stance. Despite signs of a slowing labor market and softer inflation figures, investors believe that the Fed may resist adopting an overly aggressive easing cycle. The upcoming release of the Fed minutes and, more importantly, Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium, will likely determine the next big move for gold. Until then, sentiment remains defensive, and investors are reluctant to commit to large positions. 2. Dollar Dynamics The U.S. dollar has been strengthening, exerting downward pressure on gold. Several factors are contributing to this: Policy Expectations: Markets still assign around an 85% probability of a September rate cut, but traders expect Powell to signal caution and avoid endorsing steep or rapid cuts. Housing Market Resilience: Strong housing data has reinforced confidence in the U.S. economy, giving further support to the dollar. Geopolitical Headlines: News of potential Ukraine negotiations added a layer of optimism for risk sentiment, while also supporting the dollar as investors adjust safe-haven allocations. As long as the dollar maintains this upward momentum, gold is likely to face headwinds, with upside moves limited to corrective rallies. 3. Technical Setup From a technical standpoint, gold is in the process of a correction following a bearish rally. This corrective phase is characterized by short-term rebounds toward local resistance zones, but without a confirmed breakout, the overall bias remains negative. Resistance Levels: 3328, 3331, 3345 Support Levels: 3314, 3300, 3270 The correction could bring gold to test the 3328–3345 resistance zone. However, if the price fails to sustain above these levels, the risk of renewed selling pressure increases. A confirmed breakdown below 3300 would expose the 3270 area, which serves as the next major downside target. In short, unless gold can establish firm support above 3345, the path of least resistance remains lower. 4. Key Events to Watch The most critical driver for gold in the near term is Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole on Friday. Investors will focus on whether Powell signals a cautious approach—supporting the dollar—or hints at policy flexibility, which could provide temporary relief for gold. Additionally, the Fed minutes release will be analyzed for any details on how policymakers view the balance between inflation risks and economic weakness. Beyond monetary policy, continued monitoring of U.S. economic data releases and geopolitical developments (particularly around Ukraine) will remain essential for short-term positioning in gold. ✅ Conclusion: Gold remains under pressure, weighed down by a stronger dollar and uncertainty around Fed policy. While technical corrections may push prices higher in the short term, the broader outlook remains cautious. The 3300 level is pivotal—holding above it could allow for a corrective bounce, while a break below may accelerate declines toward 3270. The decisive trigger, however, will come from Powell’s comments at Jackson Hole, which are likely to set the tone for gold’s direction into September.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
Gold 4h | BearishGold has been trading within a bearish parallel channel on the 4H timeframe, respecting both upper and lower trendlines with clear momentum to the downside. Price structure continues to form lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), confirming the prevailing bearish trend. 🔎 Key Observations: Bearish Market Structure – The sequence of lower highs and lower lows indicates sellers are firmly in control. Each rally attempt has been capped below previous highs, showing strong supply pressure. Parallel Channel – Price action is respecting the channel boundaries. Recent rejections from the upper trendline reinforce the bearish outlook. Psychological Level – 3300 – The 3300 zone stands out as a major psychological level and a potential magnet for price. It also aligns with historical demand, making it a critical support to watch. Momentum – Current candles show strong bearish bodies with weak rejections, highlighting continued downside pressure. 📉 Bearish Outlook: If sellers maintain control, Gold is likely to extend the move down towards the 3300 demand zone. A clean break below this level could open the door for deeper corrections. 📊 Possible Scenarios: Base Case (Bearish Continuation): Price respects the channel and continues lower toward 3300. Alternative Scenario (Temporary Pullback): A minor retracement to retest 3345–3355 resistance before continuing lower. ⚠️ Risk Management: Watch for bullish reversal signals around 3300, as this level may attract strong buyers. A breakout above 3370 would weaken the bearish bias and suggest short-term strength. ✅ Summary: Gold remains bearish on the 4H chart, with sellers driving momentum toward the 3300 psychological level. Unless bulls step in aggressively, the downside remains the path of least resistance.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by awaisulabdeen
USD/JPY - Triangle Breakout (20.08.2025)The USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Ascending Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 146.82 2nd Support – 146.40 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
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