MASTERCLASS: INTRADAY & SWING TRADE AUDUSD 🦘 AUDUSD (0.66112) - COMPREHENSIVE TECHNICAL MASTERCLASS: INTRADAY & SWING TRADE BLUEPRINT 🦘
October 27-31, 2025 | Advanced Multi-Timeframe Trading Forecast
🎯 MARKET OVERVIEW & ANALYSIS SCOPE 🎯
Current Spot Price: 0.66112 | Analysis Date: Oct 25, 2025 | Timeframes: 5M-1D Complete Spectrum | Trading Style: Intraday Scalp + Swing Trade | Conviction: Medium-High
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📊 1. MULTI-TIMEFRAME TREND STRUCTURE & DOW THEORY VALIDATION 📊
🔍 Daily (1D) Timeframe - Primary Market Direction
The 1D chart exhibits mixed consolidation with bearish undertone . Dow Theory framework shows LOWER HIGHS pattern emerging (0.6640 → 0.6620 → 0.6615), signaling potential downtrend initiation. Elliott Wave structure suggests completion of 5-wave impulse (up) targeting reversal near 0.6580-0.6600 levels. RSI reading 48-52 (neutral zone, showing weakness as bearish bias forms). VWAP at 0.6605 acting as temporary support with breach implications downward.
⏰ 4H Timeframe - Swing Trade Risk Structure
Four-hourly demonstrates bearish flag formation with downside target potential . Price consolidating below 0.6625 resistance after failed breakout attempts. Bollinger Bands tightening (squeeze pattern)—volatility expansion imminent. RSI declining from 55 to 48 range (bearish momentum deterioration). Ichimoku Cloud configuration: price trapped between Kijun-sen (resistance) & Senkou Span B (dynamic support)—indecision zone. Downside target: 0.6580-0.6560.
🔥 1H to 5M Intraday Setup - Micro Timeframe Dynamics
One-hour shows head-and-shoulders pattern developing with neckline at 0.6610. Left shoulder complete (0.6625), head forming (0.6620), right shoulder declining (0.6618). Harmonic pattern: Bearish Bat identified at 0.6595 (D-point) suggesting short entry opportunity. 30M timeframe displays EMA50 crossing below EMA200 (bearish crossover just initiated). Volume declining on attempted rallies = selling pressure dominance. 5M shows bear trap formation near 0.6625—trapping bullish retailers before reversal.
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🎯 2. ENTRY & EXIT PROTOCOL + WYCKOFF DISTRIBUTION PHASE 🎯
SWING TRADE SHORT ENTRIES (4H/1D): Sell breakdown below 0.6610 (H&S neckline) with stop @ 0.6635 (Risk:Reward 1:3 minimum). Wyckoff Distribution phase activated—institutional selling pressure accumulating. Target: 0.6560-0.6540 (swing trade 3-5 days hold).
INTRADAY SHORT SCALPS (5M/15M/30M): Multiple entry opportunities: (1) Head-and-shoulders neckline break = 0.6610 entry | (2) Bearish Bat PRZ completion = 0.6595-0.6590 aggressive short | (3) EMA crossover rejection on 30M = 0.6615-0.6620 pullback short entry.
PRIMARY PROFIT TARGETS: 1D: 0.6560 | 4H: 0.6575 | 1H: 0.6600 | 30M: 0.6610 (quick 15-20 pip scalp gains) | Extended: 0.6540 (major support level).
STOP LOSS PLACEMENT STRATEGY: Swing shorts: 0.6640 (above H&S left shoulder) | Intraday: 0.6625 (tight 15-20 pip stops) | Trail stops below Bollinger Band upper band as price descends.
💡 Pro Trading Tip: Use Ichimoku Kijun-sen (26-period) as dynamic resistance/stop level. Lock profits at each support zone identified via Gann angles.
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⚡ 3. REVERSAL SIGNALS & JAPANESE CANDLESTICK PATTERN ANALYSIS ⚡
✅ BEARISH REVERSAL CONFIRMATIONS:
Engulfing pattern visible on 30M chart—red candle engulfing previous green (seller dominance confirmed). Shooting star candlestick near 0.6625 (failed rally rejection). Dark cloud cover pattern on 1H signals seller takeover at highs. Head-and-shoulders neckline (0.6610) acts as critical reversal zone. Ichimoku Chikou Span trading BELOW price action = confirmed bearish structure. Stochastic showing bearish divergence (lower highs on RSI/price higher highs).
⛔ BULLISH REVERSAL WARNINGS & BULL TRAP IDENTIFICATION:
Bull trap currently IN PROGRESS near 0.6625 resistance—retailers buying resistance, institutions distributing. If price breaks above 0.6630 with declining volume, false breakout confirmed. Morning Star pattern absent—no reversal higher probability. VWAP rejection combined with closing below 0.6610 = strong bearish confirmation. Gann resistance at 0.6640 acts as major distribution zone where selling accelerates.
⚠️ CRITICAL LEVEL: 0.6610 (H&S neckline) = REVERSAL THRESHOLD. Break below = Bearish Continuation | Hold above with volume = Bull trap intact
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🔴 4. BREAKDOWN DYNAMICS & BEARISH PATTERN FORMATIONS 🔴
✅ PRIMARY BEARISH BREAKDOWN SCENARIO (65% PROBABILITY):
Head-and-shoulders breakdown below 0.6610 neckline on 1H timeframe with volume confirmation (need 20%+ volume spike below average). Elliott Wave target: 0.6540-0.6500 (5th wave decline in new downtrend cycle). Bollinger Band lower band at 0.6560 = natural extension target. Measured move from pattern: H&S height (0.6625-0.6610 = 15 pips) projected downward = 0.6595 target.
🔷 HARMONIC PATTERN PRECISION DOWNSIDE TARGETS:
Bearish Bat pattern (XA:BC 0.618) D-point entry: 0.6595 with target 0.6540 (161.8% extension downward). Bearish Butterfly on 4H suggesting potential extended move to 0.6480 (extreme scenario). Crab pattern confluence identifies 0.6570 as intermediate support-bounce zone.
⚠️ BULLISH PATTERN - FALLING WEDGE (BULL TRAP) (35% PROBABILITY):
If price holds above 0.6610, 4H chart displays falling wedge formation that could breakout bullishly to 0.6650+. Stochastic confluence on 1H indicates potential bounce setup. However, volume analysis suggests limited upside conviction. Bear trap possible if institutions accumulate after distribution climax. Watch for climactic volume spike—wedge collapse likely either direction.
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📉 5. VOLATILITY METRICS & PRICE ACTION COMPRESSION 📉
🌊 Bollinger Bands - Critical Squeeze Signal:
Band width compressing to 180 pips on 1D (lowest in 12 days)—explosive volatility breakout imminent within 36-48 hours. Intraday Bollinger Bands (5M/15M/30M) showing initial expansion toward lower band—bearish volatility thesis strengthening. Price approaching lower Bollinger Band (0.6580) = oversold setup potential or trend continuation signal depending on volume.
📍 SUPPORT & RESISTANCE ARCHITECTURE:
MAJOR RESISTANCE ZONES: 0.6630 (Bull trap distribution level) | 0.6625 (Recent swing high) | 0.6640 (Gann angle resistance) | 0.6650 (Weekly pivot)
CRITICAL SUPPORT LEVELS: 0.6610 (H&S neckline/VWAP area) | 0.6595 (Harmonic D-point) | 0.6575 (4H support) | 0.6560 (Bollinger lower band) | 0.6540 (Major support)
VWAP PROFILE: Daily VWAP: 0.6605 (trending downward) | Weekly VWAP: 0.6615 (secondary resistance)
📊 Moving Average Divergence - Bearish Alignment:
EMA 50 below EMA 200 on 1H/4H (bearish structure forming). SMA 20 crossing below SMA 50 on 30M = momentum deterioration signal. 5M chart: EMA50 recently crossed below EMA200—intraday downtrend initiation confirmed. Price trading BELOW all major moving averages = weakness confirmed. Wyckoff Distribution phase in progress—institutional selling continuing.
🎯 OVERBOUGHT/OVERSOLD CONDITIONS & MOMENTUM EXHAUSTION:
RSI Status: 48-52 range (neutral sliding toward oversold)—RSI approaching 40 = potential for capitulation move lower. Stochastic on 15M: Declining from 55 toward 30 zone = bearish momentum acceleration. Ichimoku RSI below midline transitioning lower—downside potential significant. CCI on 5M declining below zero (strong bearish momentum without extreme oversold exhaustion). Fast Stochastic declining toward 20 level—room for extended downside run.
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🎓 6. ADVANCED TECHNICAL THEORY INTEGRATION & FRAMEWORKS 🎓
⭐ ELLIOTT WAVE STRUCTURE: 5-wave impulse (up) completed near 0.6625 | Wave A (down) declining toward 0.6595-0.6540 | Correction target: 50% retracement = 0.6575 | Extended target: 161.8% extension = 0.6480 maximum (9-12 trading days)
⭐ GANN THEORY APPLICATION: 45-degree angle resistance @ 0.6640 (broken support becomes resistance) | Square of Nine support @ 0.6540 | Time-Price intersection: 6-8 trading days for major swing completion | Gann fan support @ 0.6560
⭐ WYCKOFF METHODOLOGY - DISTRIBUTION PHASE: Spring pattern failed (no spring reversal) = Distribution confirmation | Markup phase ended, Distribution phase INITIATED | Test & Decline pattern active = institutional distribution continuing | Expected breakdown: 0.6595-0.6540 over 5-7 trading days | Climax alert: Watch for volume spike + wide range candle = distribution completion
⭐ DOW THEORY BEARISH CONFIRMATION: Lower highs: 0.6640 → 0.6625 → 0.6620 | Lower lows: 0.6590 → 0.6585 | Volume declining on rallies = downtrend validation | Trend now firmly bearish-biased
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✨ COMPLETE TRADING ACTION PLAN ✨
🔴 PRIMARY BEARISH SCENARIO (65% Probability):
Entry Zone: 0.6610 (H&S breakdown) or 0.6615-0.6620 (pullback short)
Stop Loss: 0.6640 | Target 1: 0.6595 | Target 2: 0.6575 | Target 3: 0.6560
Risk/Reward: 1:3+ | Hold Duration: Swing (3-5 days) + Intraday scalp (1-3 hours)
Conviction Level: 65% | Setup Quality: Premium Bearish | Volume: Confirming
🟢 SECONDARY BULLISH SCENARIO (35% Probability - Contingency):
Trigger: Hold above 0.6625 + Stochastic bounce + Volume expansion upward
Entry: 0.6630 long | Stop: 0.6610 | Target: 0.6650 (bounce setup only)
Probability: 35% (Lower conviction bull trap risk) | Pattern: Falling wedge breakout
⏱️ TIMEFRAME STRATEGY HIERARCHY: 1D (macro structure) + 4H (swing foundation) + 1H (entry confirmation) + 15M/5M (execution precision)
💰 POSITION SIZING & RISK RULES: Risk max 1-2% portfolio per trade | Scale shorts on 50% pullbacks toward 0.6625 | Trail stops above Bollinger upper band
🔔 PRICE ALERT SYSTEM: Sell signal @ 0.6610 (neckline break) | Stop loss alarm @ 0.6640 | Take profit 1 @ 0.6595 | Full target @ 0.6560 | Extended @ 0.6540
📱 EXECUTION BLUEPRINT: Aggressive breakdown entries (30% position) + Patient pullback shorts (70% position) = risk-balanced approach | Scale out profits at each support zone
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT: Bull trap alert at 0.6625-0.6630 | Volume confirmation mandatory on entry | Trail stops religiously | Close to breakeven if volume fails
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⚖️ COMPLIANCE DISCLAIMER: This analysis provided for educational & information purposes ONLY. NOT financial/investment advice. All trading carries substantial risk of loss. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. Always implement proper risk management. Consult qualified financial advisors before trading. Past performance ≠ future results. Markets unpredictable.
DXY
ULTIMATE TECHNICAL FORECAST: INTRADAY & SWING TRADE BLUEPRINT💷 GBPUSD (1.33103) - ULTIMATE TECHNICAL FORECAST: INTRADAY & SWING TRADE BLUEPRINT 💷
October 27-31, 2025 | Advanced Multi-Timeframe Deep Dive Analysis
🎯 EXECUTIVE MARKET OVERVIEW 🎯
Current Spot Price: 1.33103 | Analysis Date: Oct 25, 2025 | Scope: 5M-1D All Timeframes | Strategy Type: Intraday Scalp + Swing Trade
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📊 1. COMPREHENSIVE TREND ANALYSIS & DOW THEORY FRAMEWORK 📊
🔍 Daily (1D) Timeframe - Primary Structural Trend
The daily chart exhibits strong bullish momentum with consolidation setup . Dow Theory validates higher highs and higher lows forming—confirmed uptrend structure intact. Elliott Wave analysis identifies completion of 5-wave impulse targeting 1.3450+ levels. RSI reading 52-58 (neutral-bullish momentum, no overbought exhaustion). VWAP at 1.3295 provides dynamic support during pullbacks.
⏰ 4H Timeframe - Swing Trade Foundation
Four-hourly shows bullish pennant formation near 1.3320-1.3350 resistance zone . Bollinger Bands tightening before directional breakout expected within 48 hours. RSI climbing 55-62 range (bullish acceleration without overbought signals). Ichimoku Cloud configuration: price above Kijun-sen & Chikou Span above price—textbook bullish alignment. Target extension: 1.3400-1.3450.
🔥 1H to 5M Intraday Structure - Micro Setup Confirmation
One-hour chart displays inverted cup-and-handle pattern completing near 1.3350. Perfect harmonic setup: Bullish Crab pattern identified at 1.3280 (D-point = swing entry opportunity). 30-minute timeframe shows clean EMA50 > EMA200 with price consolidating above both moving averages. Volume profile confirms institutional buying absorption between 1.3300-1.3320 range.
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🎯 2. PRECISE ENTRY & EXIT ROADMAP + WYCKOFF METHODOLOGY 🎯
SWING TRADE ENTRIES (4H/1D): Buy breakout above 1.3350 with protective stop @ 1.3270 (Risk:Reward 1:3.5 minimum). Wyckoff Spring Pattern completed—institutional accumulation phase ending, markup phase commencing.
INTRADAY SCALP ENTRIES (5M/15M/30M): Multiple entry zones: (1) EMA crossover confirmation on 30M + RSI < 35 rejection = 1.3305-1.3315 entry | (2) Harmonic Crab PRZ completion = 1.3280-1.3290 aggressive entry | (3) VWAP bounce = 1.3295 support entry.
PRIMARY PROFIT TARGETS: 1D: 1.3450 | 4H: 1.3410 | 1H: 1.3375 | 15M: 1.3350 | Intraday scalp: 1.3330 (quick 25-30 pip gains).
STOP LOSS PLACEMENT PROTOCOL: Swing traders: 1.3260 (below double bottom structure) | Intraday: 1.3275 (tight 20-25 pip stops) | Scale stops with trailing risk management on breakouts.
💡 Elite Tip: Use Ichimoku Kijun-sen (26-period) as dynamic trailing stop—lock profits incrementally above 1.3350 breakout.
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⚡ 3. REVERSAL IDENTIFICATION & CANDLESTICK PATTERN RECOGNITION ⚡
✅ BULLISH REVERSAL CONFIRMATIONS:
Piercing Line pattern on 30M chart signals buyer dominance at support. Inside Bar formations on 5M/15M indicate consolidation before directional breakout. Morning Star visible on 1H—textbook reversal signal. Inverted hammer near 1.3280 confirms seller rejection, bull continuation thesis. Ichimoku Chikou Span successfully broke above price action = confirmed reversal completion.
⛔ BEARISH REVERSAL WARNINGS & RESISTANCE REJECTION ZONES:
If price fails to sustain above 1.3350 with declining volume spike, Evening Star pattern potential on 4H. Gann resistance at 1.3390 acts as strong rejection zone. RSI divergence monitoring critical: if lower highs appear while price makes higher highs, exhaustion signal triggers short setup. VWAP rejection combined with upper Bollinger Band touching = sell signal activation.
⚠️ Critical Decision Level: 1.3345-1.3355 acts as BREAKOUT THRESHOLD. Clean close above = Bullish Continuation | Multiple rejections = Reversal to 1.3280
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🚀 4. BREAKOUT DYNAMICS & ADVANCED PATTERN FORMATIONS 🚀
✅ PRIMARY BULLISH BREAKOUT SCENARIO (70% PROBABILITY):
Bullish pennant breakout above 1.3350 on 4H timeframe with volume confirmation (need 25%+ spike above 20-period MA). Elliott Wave target: 1.3450-1.3550 (5th wave extension in new markup cycle). Bollinger Band upper band at 1.3420 = natural extended target. Cup-and-handle completion projects 1.3400+ move within 5-7 trading days.
🔷 HARMONIC PATTERN PRECISION LEVELS:
Bullish Crab pattern (XA:BC 0.618) D-point entry: 1.3280 with target 1.3450+ (161.8% extension). Bat pattern on daily timeframe suggesting potential for extended 1.3550 level (extreme scenario). Butterfly pattern confluence identifies 1.3380 as intermediate resistance-turn zone.
⚠️ BEARISH PATTERN - RISING WEDGE TRAP (30% PROBABILITY):
If momentum fails at 1.3350, 4H chart displays rising wedge formation that could collapse bearishly to 1.3220. Stochastic divergence on 1H indicates potential pullback. Bollinger Band squeeze suggests breakout imminent within 36-48 hours in either direction. Monitor volume for declining participation—wedge failure precursor.
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📈 5. VOLATILITY METRICS & PRICE ACTION DYNAMICS 📈
🌊 Bollinger Bands - Volatility Expansion Analysis:
Band width compressing dramatically on 1D (225 pips) - tightest in 14 days. This band contraction historically precedes major volatility breakout (Average True Range expansion expected). Intraday Bollinger Bands (5M/15M) showing normal expansion—price oscillating within middle band indicating equilibrium phase. Midband (SMA 20) at 1.3320 acts as equilibrium pivot.
📍 SUPPORT & RESISTANCE ARCHITECTURE:
CRITICAL SUPPORT LEVELS: 1.3320 (Weekly pivot) | 1.3300 (VWAP daily) | 1.3280 (Harmonic D-point) | 1.3260 (Double bottom structure)
MAJOR RESISTANCE ZONES: 1.3350 (Pennant apex breakout zone) | 1.3390 (Gann angle resistance) | 1.3420 (Bollinger upper band) | 1.3450 (Elliott wave target)
VWAP PROFILE: Daily VWAP: 1.3300 (holding strong support) | Weekly VWAP: 1.3285 (secondary support level)
📊 Moving Average Convergence & Trend Confirmation:
EMA 50 > EMA 200 across ALL timeframes (primary bullish signal alignment). SMA 20 above SMA 50 on 1H/4H = sustained buy pressure. 5M chart: Recent EMA50/EMA200 crossover just completed—intraday uptrend initiation signal. Price maintaining superior positioning above all key MAs confirms Wyckoff accumulation phase is concluding, markup phase beginning.
🎯 OVERBOUGHT/OVERSOLD MOMENTUM METRICS:
RSI Status: 55-62 range (neutral-bullish, healthy, NOT overbought—room for upside run). Stochastic on 15M: 48-58 zone with positive momentum trajectory. Ichimoku RSI indicator below midline—powerful upside potential remaining. CCI on 5M near +85 (strong momentum without extreme overbought exhaustion). Fast Stochastic below 80 = safe bullish continuation setup.
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🎓 6. ADVANCED TECHNICAL THEORY SYNTHESIS & FRAMEWORKS 🎓
⭐ ELLIOTT WAVE ARCHITECTURE: 5-wave impulse completion identified | Currently Wave 1 (up) of new larger cycle | Target minimum: 1.3450 | Fibonacci projection: 161.8% extension = 1.3550 maximum target within 10 trading days
⭐ GANN THEORY APPLICATION: 45-degree angle support @ 1.3295 | Square of Nine resistance @ 1.3390 | Time-Price intersection: 7-8 trading days for next major swing completion | Gann fan resistance @ 1.3410
⭐ WYCKOFF METHOD STAGE: Spring pattern successfully tested support zone | Markup phase INITIATED | Schiff accumulation completion signals (Volume analysis, Price action dynamics) | Expected rally: 1.3350-1.3450 over 5-7 trading days | Watch for climactic buying volume surge confirming institutional participation
⭐ DOW THEORY CONFIRMATION: Higher highs (1.3380+) | Higher lows (1.3280+) | Volume confirming uptrend | Trend remains in full bullish alignment
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✨ COMPLETE TRADING BATTLE PLAN ✨
🔥 PRIMARY BULLISH SCENARIO (70% Probability):
Entry Zone: 1.3345-1.3350 (breakout) or 1.3305-1.3315 (pullback entry)
Stop Loss: 1.3265 | Target 1: 1.3380 | Target 2: 1.3420 | Target 3: 1.3450
Risk/Reward: 1:3.5+ | Hold Duration: Swing (3-5 days) + Intraday scalp (1-3 hours)
Conviction Level: 70% | Setup Quality: Premium
⚠️ SECONDARY BEARISH SCENARIO (30% Probability - Contingency):
Trigger: Double rejection at 1.3350 + Declining volume + Rising wedge collapse
Entry: 1.3340 short | Stop: 1.3360 | Target: 1.3280 (pullback expectation)
Probability: 30% | Pattern: Rising wedge breakdown
⏱️ OPTIMAL TIMEFRAME HIERARCHY: 4H (swing base structure) + 1H (entry confirmation) + 15M/5M (execution precision)
💰 POSITION SIZING RULES: Risk max 1-2% portfolio per trade | Scale entries on 50% pullbacks | Trail stops above VWAP
🔔 CRITICAL PRICE ALERTS: Buy alert @ 1.3350 | Stop loss alarm @ 1.3265 | Partial profit alert @ 1.3380 | Full target @ 1.3450
📱 EXECUTION STRATEGY: Aggressive breakout entries (20% position) + Patient pullback entries (80% position) = balanced risk approach
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⚖️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational & informational purposes only. NOT financial advice. Trade at your own risk using proper risk management protocols. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult licensed financial advisors before trading.
COMPREHENSIVE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: INTRADAY & SWING TRADE SETUP 📊 EURUSD (1.16272) - COMPREHENSIVE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: INTRADAY & SWING TRADE SETUP 📊
October 27-31, 2025 | Multiple Timeframe Deep Dive
🎯 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 🎯
Current Spot: 1.16272 | Analysis Date: Oct 25, 2025 | Focus: 5M-1D Timeframes | Strategy: Intraday & Swing Trade
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📈 1. MULTI-TIMEFRAME TREND ANALYSIS & DOW THEORY APPLICATION 📈
🔍 Daily (1D) Timeframe - Primary Trend Direction
The 1D chart reveals a consolidation phase with bullish bias . Elliott Wave structure suggests we're completing a 5th wave extension after a 4-wave correction. Dow Theory confirms higher lows forming around 1.1580-1.1600 support levels. The uptrend remains intact with RSI hovering in 40-60 zone (neutral-bullish). VWAP at 1.1620 acts as dynamic support.
⏰ 4H Timeframe - Swing Trade Entry Signals
The 4H setup shows bullish flag formation near 1.1625. Bollinger Bands are tightening, signaling potential breakout. RSI at 55-60 indicates strength without overbought conditions. Ichimoku Cloud shows bullish alignment with price above all moving averages. Target: 1.1680-1.1720 for swing positions.
🔥 1H to 5M Intraday Confluence
1H chart displays ascending triangle pattern with resistance at 1.1650. Harmonic patterns suggest Bullish Gartley forming near 1.1580 level—ideal for aggressive intraday entries. 30M shows clean EMA crossover (50>200 EMA bullish). Volume profile confirms institutional accumulation between 1.1590-1.1620.
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🎪 2. ENTRY & EXIT STRATEGY + WYCKOFF METHOD 🎪
SWING TRADE ENTRIES (4H/1D): Buy breakout above 1.1650 with stop @ 1.1580 (Risk:Reward 1:3). Wyckoff Spring Pattern validation near support confirms institutional absorption.
INTRADAY ENTRIES (5M-30M): Enter on 30M EMA crossovers + RSI < 30 rejections from support zones. Stochastic divergence on 15M indicates pullback entries around 1.1610-1.1615.
EXIT TARGETS: 1D: 1.1750 | 4H: 1.1705 | 1H: 1.1670 | Intraday: 1.1650 (first profit). Take-profit at resistance clusters identified via Gann angles.
STOP LOSS PLACEMENT: Swing: 1.1560 (below double bottom structure) | Intraday: 1.1600 (15-20 pips from entry).
💡 Pro Tip: Use Ichimoku Kijun-sen (26P) as dynamic stop—trail on breakouts above 1.1650.
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🔔 3. REVERSAL SIGNALS & JAPANESE CANDLESTICK ANALYSIS 🔔
⚠️ BULLISH REVERSAL INDICATORS:
Hammer candlesticks forming at 1.1580 (5M/15M confluence). Engulfing patterns on 30M confirm buyer strength. Ichimoku Chikou Span crossing above price action validates trend reversal completion. Morning Star pattern visible on 1H—classic reversal signal.
⛔ BEARISH REVERSAL WARNINGS:
If price fails to break 1.1650 with declining volume, watch for Evening Star on 4H. Gann resistance at 1.1680 acts as rejection zone. RSI divergence (lower highs with price higher highs) on 1D would signal exhaustion. VWAP rejection could trigger short setups.
⚡ Key Level: 1.1645-1.1650 acts as Decision Point. Break = Bullish Continuation | Reject = Intraday Reversal
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💥 4. BREAKOUT RECOGNITION & PATTERN FORMATIONS 💥
✅ Bullish Breakout Setup (PRIMARY):
Ascending triangle breakout above 1.1650 resistance on 1H timeframe. Volume confirmation: need 20%+ volume spike above 20-period MA. Elliott Wave target 1.1750-1.1800 after 5th wave completion. Bollinger Band upper band at 1.1680—natural extension target.
🚀 Harmonic Patterns Identified:
Bullish Gartley at 1.1580 (D-point) with PRZ 1.1605-1.1620. Bat pattern on 4H suggesting potential for 161.8% extension. Butterfly pattern on 1D targeting 1.1850 in extended bull scenario.
⚡ Risk Pattern - Rising Wedge (WARNING):
If price fails breakout, 4H shows rising wedge trap. Potential bearish breakdown to 1.1550 if wedge collapses. Monitor Bollinger Band squeeze on 30M—breakout imminent within 48 hours.
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📊 5. VOLATILITY, PRICE ACTION & INDICATOR CONFLUENCE 📊
🌊 Bollinger Bands & Volatility Analysis:
Band width compressed to 150 pips (1D)—lowest in 10 days. This signals imminent volatility expansion. Intraday (5M/15M) bands widening, indicating increased participation. Price bouncing within middle band suggests continuation pattern.
📍 Support & Resistance Clusters:
SUPPORT: 1.1600 (Previous swing low) | 1.1580 (Gartley D-point) | 1.1560 (Double Bottom)
RESISTANCE: 1.1650 (Ascending Triangle apex) | 1.1680 (Bollinger upper + Gann angle) | 1.1720 (Weekly pivot)
VWAP LEVELS: Daily VWAP: 1.1620 (support) | Weekly VWAP: 1.1610 (support)
📈 Moving Average Crossovers - Trend Confirmation:
EMA 50 > EMA 200 (bullish alignment on all timeframes). SMA 20 above SMA 50 on 1H/4H = buy signal. 5M: Recent EMA crossover indicates intraday uptrend initiation. Price maintaining above all key MAs confirms Wyckoff accumulation completion.
🎯 Overbought/Oversold Conditions:
RSI: Currently 58-62 range (neutral-bullish, NOT overbought). Stochastic on 15M: 45-55 range with upside momentum. Ichimoku RSI indicator below 50—room for upside run. CCI on 5M near +100 (strong momentum without extreme overbought).
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🎓 6. ADVANCED TECHNICAL THEORIES SYNTHESIS 🎓
⭐ Elliott Wave Structure: 5-3-5 Pattern Complete - Currently Wave 1 (up) of new cycle targeting 1.1800 minimum | Fibonacci Extensions: 161.8% from swing = 1.1750
⭐ Gann Theory Application: 45-degree angle resistance @ 1.1680 | Square of Nine support @ 1.1580 | Time-Price analysis: 8-10 trading days for major move completion
⭐ Wyckoff Method: Spring Pattern (successful test of support) = Bullish signal | Schiff accumulation phase ending | Expected markup phase: 1.1650-1.1750 (next 7-10 days)
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✨ TRADING PLAN SUMMARY ✨
🎯 LONG BIAS (PRIMARY SCENARIO):
Entry: 1.1645-1.1650 breakout | Stop: 1.1605 | Target 1: 1.1680 | Target 2: 1.1720 | Target 3: 1.1750
Risk/Reward: 1:3+ | Conviction: 75% | Timeframe: Swing (Hold 3-5 days) + Intraday scalp (1-4 hours)
⚠️ SHORT SCENARIO (CONTINGENCY):
Trigger: Rejection at 1.1650 + Volume decline | Entry: 1.1635 | Stop: 1.1655 | Target: 1.1600
Probability: 25% | Setup: Rising Wedge breakdown
⏱️ TIMEFRAME PRIORITY: 4H (swing base) + 1H (entry confirmation) + 5M (execution)
💰 POSITION SIZING: Risk max 1-2% per trade | Scaling in on pullbacks
🔔 ALERTS: Set at 1.1650 (buy signal) | 1.1605 (stop loss) | 1.1680 (partial profit)
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Disclaimer: Educational analysis only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Always use proper risk management. Past performance ≠ future results.
EURUSD (Oct 25, ) — Structural Completion Before the Next moveEURUSD on the 4H timeframe is forming a rising channel structure (A–B–C–D–E).
Currently, price is testing the D–zone, which will decide the next direction.
Two possible cases:
1️⃣ Direct Bullish Continuation — if D holds, expecting breakout toward 1.2000–1.2100.
2️⃣ Short-term Sell then Strong Bull Rally — liquidity grab below D before the next impulsive wave.
Both align with the higher-timeframe bullish bias.
Patience around 1.1600–1.1650 could reward the disciplined trader.
Bias: Medium-Term Bullish
Timeframe: 4H
Pair: EUR/USD
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GBPUSD (Oct 25, 2025) — Two Possible Scenarios AheadGBPUSD is completing a contracting structure on the 4H chart.
Price is approaching point D, where two outcomes are possible:
1️⃣ Direct Bullish Breakout — price holds above 1.33 and targets 1.3650–1.38 zone.
2️⃣ Short-term Sell then Bullish Rally — a fakeout below D before wave E reversal.
Both cases point toward a medium-term bullish structure developing.
Market confirmation will decide the next leg — stay patient and disciplined.
Bias: Bullish after D
Timeframe: 4H
Pair: GBP/USD
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DXY — Triple Compression: CPI Meets a 3rd Weekly & 4th Daily Ins
The U.S. Dollar Index is locking in tight — 3rd consecutive weekly inside bar, and a 4th possible daily inside bar — as U.S. inflation holds firm and Japan’s core inflation uptick adds fuel.
Context
We’re locked in structural compression: three weeks of internal price action, and today presents a 4th daily inside bar formation.
Weekly key range: low 97.561 and high 99.197. Price is stuck in the mid-zone, patiently waiting.
For bias confirmation: Break of Tuesday’s 21 Oct daily candle low at 98.143 or high at 98.613 will signal directional bias.
Macro queue: Big data hits next week (inflation prints, central-bank focus). Volatility is coiled.
Technical
Weekly frame: Still inside the bearish range (97.561 – 99.197).
Daily frame: Bias leans bullish until the range breaks — think “bullish inside bar pending expansion”.
In symmetrical measures: Risk of overbought cognition; if today’s low holds and Monday fails to trade through it, we may see a higher low setup. Execution: Wait for clean breakout of the inside bar structure; use volume confirmation; avoid getting sucked into a false squeeze.
Fundamentals
U.S. inflation: The Consumer Price Index for September is published today (24 Oct) after delay due to shutdown.
Bureau of Labor Statistics +2
The Financial Express +2
Japan inflation: September core inflation rose to 2.9% YoY, moving above the Bank of Japan target and adding pressure to the JPY‐rate story.
Trading Economics
+2
Bloomberg
+2
Impact mechanism: Sticky inflation → reduces odds of immediate rate cuts → supports USD strength; yet structural squeeze in DXY means the market is holding its breath for breakout.
Plan & Mindset
Plan: Hold off trading until Monday’s price action gives clarity through breakout of the inside-bar structure. Then map cross-assets (EURUSD, GBPUSD) accordingly.
Mindset
Structure rules story. Don’t fight a tight coil. Today you “wait with purpose.” If price breaks, act decisively; if it breaks wrong, adapt quickly.
- Like waiting for the popcorn — you don’t eat the kernels while still heating.
$USCPCEPIMM -U.S Core Inflation (September/2025)ECONOMICS:USCPCEPIMM +0.2%
September/2025
source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Core consumer prices in the US, which exclude food and energy, rose by 0.2% from the previous month in September of 2025, slowing from the 0.3% in the August and July, and slightly under market expectations of a 0.3% increase.
The data was released with weeks of delay as the ongoing US government shutdown suspended activity in the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Prices rose slower for shelter (0.2% vs 0.4% in August), transportation services (0.3% vs 1%), and new vehicles (0.2% vs 0.3%).
In turn, the CPI rebounded for medical care services (0.3% vs -0.1%) and accelerate for apparel (0.7% vs 0.5%).
From the pervious year, core consumer prices rose by 3% in September.
EURUSD 2H | SMC + Elliott WaveKeeping it simple 💚
This chart blends Smart Money Concept with Elliott Wave structure to show how institutional zones align with wave corrections.
Currently expecting price to tap the 1.164–1.171 zone (seller’s area) before a possible wave 5 decline toward 1.150.
No signals — pure analysis to educate and share thought process 📚
Stay patient, follow structure, not emotions ⚡
#Forex #EURUSD #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #ForexEducation #PriceAction
$USIRYY -U.S Inflation Rate (September/2025)ECONOMICS:USIRYY 3%
September/2025
source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The US annual inflation rate rose to 3.0% in September from 2.9% in August, slightly below market expectations of 3.1%.
It was the highest rate since January, mainly due to a jump in energy prices. Meanwhile, core inflation eased to 3.0% from 3.1%, while monthly headline and core CPI increased 0.3% and 0.2%, respectively.
DXY and EURUSD Consolidate Near Key Breakout LevelsOn the 4-hour chart, both DXY and EURUSD are consolidating near key levels, with DXY leaning bullish and EURUSD leaning bearish.
DXY Outlook
A breakout above 99.15 could redirect gains toward 99.50, setting up another test before confirming a move higher toward 100.20 (July 2023-September 2024 resistance), then 101 and 103.
On the downside, a hold below 98.80 could extend the consolidation between 98.60 and 98.40.
EURUSD Outlook
A breakout below 1.1600–1.1560 could extend the decline toward 1.1520, with deeper losses possible toward 1.1480 and 1.1380.
From the upside, holding above 1.1620 may allow a rebound toward 1.1680 and 1.1730, before targeting yearly highs if momentum builds further.
Razan Hilal, CMT
USD/CHF - Channel Breakout (24.10.2025) Setup Overview:
USD/CHF has completed a rising channel formation and is now showing signs of a bearish breakout below the lower trendline. The pair rejected the resistance zone near 0.7985 – 0.7970, confirming exhaustion in bullish momentum.
💡 Technical Setup:
Pattern: Rising Channel Breakout
Cloud Cross: Adds bearish confluence
Resistance Zone: 0.7985 – 0.7970
Trendline: Clear breakdown structure visible on 30-min timeframe
📉 Trading Plan:
Bias: Bearish below 0.7960
🟥 1st Support: 0.7925
🟥 2nd Support: 0.7906
Invalidation: A daily close above 0.7985 may negate this setup
📰 Market Context:
1.The U.S. dollar faces minor pullbacks as traders await upcoming inflation data and FOMC signals.
2.Swiss franc gains slight safe-haven demand amid geopolitical and risk market concerns.
3. Technically and fundamentally, short-term sentiment favors a downside correction on USD/CHF.
#USDCHF #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ChannelBreakout #BearishSetup #Ichimoku #TradingView #KABHI_TA_TRADING #ChartsDontLieTradersDontQuit #FXMarket #USD #CHF #TrendlineBreak #CloudCross
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Please do your own research and use strict risk management when trading live markets.
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Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 3995.914
💰TP: 3646.967
⛔️SL: 4195.976
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The current accumulation of 4005 - 4143 has formed the basis for a further decline toward 3600 - 3700. Two sell scenarios are being looked for, the more likely of which involves a potential trade on a breakout of the lower border. An alternative scenario involves the formation of a false breakout at the upper border of this accumulation.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W43 | D2| Y25 |
📅 Q4 | W43 | D2| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
NASDAQ | Daily TF - Bearish Divergence with Double TopCAPITALCOM:US100 NASDAQ continues to hold a bearish tone on the 1-hour chart, with a clear bearish divergence confirming weakness in momentum. Price is respecting lower highs and lower lows, keeping the short-term structure bearish.
On the 4H timeframe, the index is approaching the trendline support around 24,600, which marks the third touch of this level. If this zone fails to hold, we could see an extended move toward the 24,000 area.
From a broader view, the daily chart shows a double top pattern along with a strong bearish divergence — both supporting a deeper pullback. However, a daily close above 25,220 would invalidate this view and could shift momentum back to the upside.
📰 With the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and heightened market uncertainty, sentiment remains mixed. Volatility is expected to stay elevated, so it’s best to wait for clear confirmation around key levels before taking any positions.
US DOLLAR AnalysisRespect the Higher Low: The Quiet Power of an Uptrend
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) | 23 Oct 2025 | Pre–New York Session Outlook
By Daniel Fadeley
The U.S. Dollar continues to show a bullish bias, with higher lows forming consistently across both the weekly and daily structure. This ongoing strength keeps the broader tone positive for USD, while EURUSD and GBPUSD remain under cross-asset pressure.
We’re currently operating inside a bullish range with 97.672 as the range low and 99.205 as the range high.
Context
Momentum favors the dollar as buyers continue defending each pullback. If this month’s bullish structure holds, the market could confirm a longer-term upward phase.
However, conditions are slightly extended on Fibonacci sequence levels, suggesting reduced reward-to-risk for new swing positions until a clean retest offers better value.
Technical Map
Price took out yesterday’s high (98.771) and approaches the range ceiling at 99.205.
Volatility remains elevated through the week, and intraday momentum supports buy-the-dip behavior while daily lows continue to hold.
For cross-assets, this structure implies ongoing pressure on major USD pairs while the dollar holds above recent higher lows.
Fundamental Outlook
The week ahead features several key macro events:
U.S. GDP advance data
Core PCE inflation release
Multiple Federal Reserve speakers
Ongoing U.S. government funding discussions
Impact lens:
Yields rising → typically strengthens USD and tightens global liquidity.
Yields easing → can relieve pressure on risk assets such as equities and crypto.
Liquidity trends show ETF inflows slowing and capital rotating defensively, consistent with cautious macro positioning.
Plan
Current outlook remains bullish within range, focusing on position trades from defended lows and short-term rotational setups during volatility spikes.
Patience near 99.205 is key — a clean breakout with retest would confirm continuation; failure there could mean another controlled rotation inside the range.
Mindset
“Structure builds confidence. Clarity builds control.”
In fast markets, the goal is not prediction but preparation — follow structure, protect capital, and let confirmation lead conviction.
Educational use only — not financial advice.
Follow @CORE5DAN for calm, data-driven analysis and weekly structure lessons.
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
DXY Forming a Strong Base – Reversal Ahead?U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY – Daily Analysis
After a long downtrend, the Dollar Index seems to be forming a strong base at the bottom, as highlighted by multiple bounces from the same support zone. This area has been acting as a reliable floor, preventing further downside.
Currently, the price has also broken above the descending trendline, showing early signs of strength. If the price holds above this breakout, we could see a move toward the 100–101 zone, which is the next key resistance area.
However, if the price dips back below the trendline, a retest of the base zone near 97.00 could take place before any potential continuation higher.
Summary: DXY is showing a potential reversal structure. A sustained move above the trendline could confirm the start of a stronger bullish phase.
DYOR, NFA
Thanks for reading! Appreciate your support and engagement 🙏
DXY: Bullish Setup Brewing at Key Weekly Support!The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing a compelling setup on the weekly timeframe! 📈 The price has reached a critical support zone between 99.120 and 94.802. This level also aligns with the lower boundary of a descending channel, adding confluence to this high-probability zone.
🔍 Key Technical Observations:
Bullish Divergence: A clear bullish divergence has formed between the price and the RSI indicator, signaling potential exhaustion of sellers and a possible trend reversal.
Channel Support: The price is testing the lower trendline of the descending channel, a spot where buyers have stepped in before.
Support Zone: The 99.120–94.802 range is a high-value area for accumulation, making it a prime spot for a bounce.
📡 What’s Next?Technically, the DXY looks poised for a bullish reversal. However, global macroeconomic events and fundamental news (like Fed decisions or geopolitical developments) will play a crucial role in confirming this move. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases! 📅
What do you think of this setup? Are you bullish on DXY, or waiting for more confirmation? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
EUR/USD – Outlook (2H Chart)Scenario 1 – Bullish Correction (Preferred):
Market completed a 5-wave impulsive drop.
Price is now testing the 1.1580–1.1595 demand zone (Wave-B area).
If this zone holds, we expect a corrective wave-C rally toward 1.1638 – 1.1680.
Structure: (1-2-3-4-5) down → (A-B-C) up.
📈 Expectation: Short-term bullish retracement before next major move.
🟢 Confirmation: 1-hour candle close above 1.1600.
---
Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation:
If price breaks below 1.1575, buyers lose control.
Market can extend deeper toward the 1.1545 – 1.1550 zone.
That would complete a larger Wave-5 extension before new correction begins.
📉 Expectation: Short-term selling continuation before trend reversal.
🔴 Invalidation for bulls: 1.1570 break and retest.
---
Summary:
The pair stands at a critical decision zone.
Hold = wave-C bounce 📈
Break = deeper drop to support 📉
---
Stop!Loss|Market View: USDCAD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the USDCAD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.40312
💰TP: 1.41455
⛔️SL: 1.39707
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The focus on the accumulation area of 1.40240 - 1.40655 remains despite the breakout of its lower border. We are currently most likely observing the formation of a false breakout. The main scenario is the price closing above 1.40240 again, thereby forming a false breakout. Buy trades towards 1.41000 and 1.42000 can be actively looked for in this case. A more conservative option is to look for a buy trade via a breakout of the upper border of 1.40655.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Stop!Loss|Market View: GBPUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the GBPUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.33425
💰TP: 1.32176
⛔️SL: 1.34167
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: For the pound, sell priorities are still in place. A retest of the 1.32870 support area is expected here in the near future. Sell trade is looked for from current prices (as the primary scenario), but manipulation (a false breakout) should be expected in the event of a further retest of the 1.34500 resistance area, after which a sell should be looked for again at more favorable prices. The 1.30000 level is considered a medium-term target.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
USD/JPY – Buy Entry (H1- Channel Breakout Pattern)
The USD/JPY Pair, Price has been trading within a Channel Breakout Pattern on the H1 chart, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows. Price action is now testing the upper boundary of the Pattern, signalling a possible breakout. FX:USDJPY
✅Market Context:
1️⃣Strong Upward Structure Inside the Pattern.
2️⃣Buyers are showing strength near Resistance.
3️⃣Breakout above the Trendline indicates Momentum continuation toward higher zones.
✅Trade Plan:
Entry: Buy after Confirmed Breakout above the Resistance (H1 candle close above trendline or retest of the breakout).
💰Take Profit (TP): At the Key Zone – a Major Resistance area identified ahead.
🛑Stop Loss (SL): Below the Pattern Structure.
✅Psychological Discipline :
1️⃣Stick to plan – No Revenge Trades.
2️⃣Accept losing trades as Part of the Strategy.
3️⃣Risk only 1–2% of your account balance per trade.
💬 Support the community: If you found this useful, drop a 👍 like and share your thoughts in the comments!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
DXY UpdateDXY — Reaction at 98.611 Distribution Zone
The U.S. Dollar Index met firm resistance near 98.611, the same Bearish distribution area that capped momentum last week.
Price remains inside a wide daily range but shows the first sign of cooling after a strong stretch higher.
Below sits 98.143, the line that that changes chart bearish. Until then We are still good.
Acceptance under that level would confirm a structure shift and open space for continued rotation lower.
Upcoming jobless claims and Fed remarks may decide which side gains conviction.
For now, this is a market balancing inventory — not trending, just redistributing.
Trade confirmation, not anticipation.
Key levels:
98.611 — Distribution cap
98.143 — Structural pivot
— Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.






















