TESLA Did it just get rejected on its 4-year Resistance?Tesla (TSLA) has been trading within a Rising Wedge pattern since the November 01 2021 High. The current weekly (1W) candle almost hit this pattern's top (Higher Highs trend-line) yesterday and today got rejected.
That is the 4-year Higher Highs Resistance that initiated Tesla's last major correction of -56% during December 16 2024 - April 07 2025. Technically this pattern has provided another 3 such major correction events, with all declining by at least -50.10%.
With the 1W RSI also trading within its own Wedge, displaying a similar peak pattern, we expect the price to start a strong decline of at least 6 months. The minimum -50.10% decline projection from the Higher Highs trend-line, gives a $260.00 Target estimate. If the 1W RSI hits its Higher Lows (bottom) trend-line first, we can consider taking the profit on this one earlier.
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Electricvehicles
IDRV – Market Structure & Projection ("cup and handle")Market Context
1. IDRV has completed a multi-month bottoming structure resembling a rounded accumulation base.
2. Price has broken above local resistance, confirming a bullish shift in trend.
3. RSI signals alternating bear/bull divergences, showing momentum compression before expansion.
2. Accumulation & Breakout Structure
4. Multiple higher lows since early 2024 indicate sustained accumulation.
5. The breakout above the neckline marks the beginning of an upward trend cycle.
6. Volume and structure support continuation rather than a fake-out.
3. Bullish Continuation Zone
7. The chart highlights a bullish expansion zone between $38 and $42.
8. Holding above this zone confirms trend strength and supports further upside.
9. A clean retest in this area offers a high-probability reload opportunity.
4. Projection Target
10. The projected upside shows a potential +56% move, targeting the $48–$52 region.
11. This aligns with previous supply zones and Fibonacci extension symmetry.
12. Price is expected to follow an ascending impulse pattern into 2026.
5. Risk Management
13. Invalidations occur below the $34–$35 support band where trend structure breaks.
14. A loss of this zone signals a likely return to the accumulation range.
15. Watch RSI bear signals during the climb for early signs of exhaustion.
6. Summary
16. Rounded base → Breakout → Retest → Expansion.
17. Structure supports continued bullish momentum into 2026.
18. Target zone remains $48–$52 if support is maintained.
TSLA 1D: bounced at 380, now 412 decides if 530 is on the tableTesla pulled back precisely into the 380 area, lining up with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the daily trendline, and bounced, confirming 360–380 as a key buy zone. This region combines the prior breakout range, trendline support and fresh accumulation. The next critical step for bulls is a clean breakout and hold above 412 dollars - the main resistance of the recent corrective leg and the local cap for the last swing. A sustained move above 412 unlocks room toward 450 and then the major upside target near 530 within the broader ascending channel.
Company: Tesla is the global leader in EVs, battery systems and energy solutions, combining manufacturing, software, autonomous driving and large-scale storage infrastructure.
Fundamentally , as of November 16, Tesla is in a transition phase: auto margins are lower than during the previous peak cycle due to price cuts and stronger competition, yet volume growth, scaling of the energy segment and improved factory efficiency help to stabilize profitability. Cash flow remains strong, the balance sheet is solid, energy and services are taking a larger share of total revenue, and long-term expectations are anchored by FSD progress and the robotaxi roadmap. For the market, Tesla is still the flagship brand of the EV sector, and any signs of margin stabilization tend to bring institutional money back quickly.
Tactically , as long as price holds above 380 and doesn’t break below 360, the retest-before-continuation scenario remains the base case. A confirmed breakout above 412 becomes the technical trigger toward 450 and then the 530 target along the upper channel. A loss of 360 would shift the picture into a deeper correction, but the current structure still looks more like a pause within an uptrend than a top.
Tesla loves to scare everyone with sharp red candles, then casually act like it was just warming up for the next leg.
The Dual Catalyst: Why Silver's \$50 Breakout is SustainableSilver (XAG/USD) recently broke the crucial $50 per ounce level, signaling a fundamental shift in its market dynamics. While the price edges lower in the short term, primarily due to a strengthened US Dollar (USD), its long-term trajectory is decisively bullish. This surge is not merely speculative. It is driven by an unprecedented convergence of geopolitical risks, critical industrial demand, and shifting macroeconomic policy. Analyzing these catalysts across multiple domains confirms silver's evolving role from a precious metal to a critical industrial asset.
Macroeconomics and Geopolitics
Silver's price strength reflects global systemic risk and monetary policy uncertainty. Current market expectations strongly favor a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut by December, with a nearly 68% probability priced in by the CME FedWatch Tool. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding silver, making it relatively more attractive than bonds or cash. This dovish outlook provides a powerful structural floor for the price.
From a geopolitical perspective, ongoing global tensions and elevated political risks, like recent US government funding debates, accelerate safe-haven demand. Investors seek hard assets to hedge systemic risks. While gold often leads as the primary safe haven, silver's lower cost and dual-use nature attract broader retail and institutional flows, pushing it higher. A strong, sustained rally will require the price to hold above $50 and overcome the next major resistance near the historical high of $54.50.
Technology, Science, and Patents
Industrial demand now constitutes over 50% of silver’s total annual consumption, fundamentally redefining its market. Its unmatched electrical and thermal conductivity makes it indispensable in high-growth sectors.
* Renewable Energy: Silver is critical for photovoltaics (PV), specifically in solar cells, which form the conductive paste that harvests electrons. The global push for green energy and solar capacity expansion creates structural, persistent demand that consistently tightens the market.
* High-Tech and EVs: Electric Vehicles ( EVs) require significantly more silver (25–50 grams per unit) than traditional vehicles for inverters, battery management systems, and high-voltage contacts. The expansion of 5G technology, advanced computing, and the Internet of Things (IoT) further relies on silver-based components for seamless connectivity and efficiency.
Geostrategy and Supply Chain Risk
Silver is now recognized as a critical mineral by several major economies. This reclassification acknowledges its essential role in national security, advanced manufacturing, and the energy transition. This status highlights a geopolitical vulnerability: silver's supply chain is increasingly seen as a strategic concern.
The market currently runs a persistent supply deficit, depleting above-ground stockpiles to critically low levels. Mining silver often occurs as a byproduct of copper, lead, and zinc, meaning its supply cannot easily scale up based on price alone. Trade conflicts or export controls imposed by major producing nations could severely disrupt supply, immediately spiking the price due to its non-substitutable role in key high-tech applications.
Cyber and Economics: The Future Nexus
Silver’s unique properties extend into emerging fields like cybersecurity* and advanced computing. Research integrates silver nanoparticles and quantum materials into sophisticated systems. These materials enhance data processing efficiency and bolster the security of financial supply chains. Furthermore, flexible electronics using silver nanowires* will drive the next generation of wearable and flexible displays, creating entirely new demand vectors.
The long-term economic case for a $100 silver price remains dependent on this confluence of factors. Sustained high industrial consumption, a breakdown in global supply chains, and a continued environment of monetary debasement must align. Silver has truly become a dual-catalyst metal, positioned to thrive as both a financial safe haven and a fundamental building block of the twenty-first-century green and digital economy.
Is Germany's Economic Success Just an Illusion?Germany's benchmark DAX 40 index surged 30% over the past year, creating an impression of robust economic health. However, this performance masks a troubling reality: the index represents globally diversified multinationals whose revenues originate largely outside Germany's struggling domestic market. Behind the DAX's resilience lies fundamental decay. GDP fell 0.3% in Q2 2025, industrial output reached its lowest level since May 2020, and manufacturing declined 4.8% year-over-year. The energy-intensive sector suffered even steeper contraction at 7.5%, revealing that high input costs have become a structural, long-term threat rather than a temporary challenge.
The automotive sector exemplifies Germany's deeper crisis. Once-dominant manufacturers are losing ground in the electric vehicle transition, with their European market share in China plummeting from 24% in 2020 to just 15% in 2024. Despite leading global R&D spending at €58.4 billion in 2023, German automakers remain trapped at Level 2+ autonomy while competitors pursue full self-driving solutions. This technological lag stems from stringent regulations, complex approval processes, and critical dependencies on Chinese rare earth materials, which could trigger €45-75 billion in losses and jeopardize 1.2 million jobs.
Germany's structural rigidities compound these challenges. Federal fragmentation across 16 states paralyzes digitalization efforts, with the country ranking below the EU average in digital infrastructure despite ambitious sovereignty initiatives. The nation serves as Europe's fiscal anchor, contributing €18 billion net to the EU budget in 2024, yet this burden constrains domestic investment capacity. Meanwhile, demographic pressures persist, though immigration has stabilized the workforce; highly skilled migrants disproportionately consider leaving, threatening to transform a demographic solution into brain drain. Without radical reform to streamline bureaucracy, pivot R&D toward disruptive technologies, and retain top talent, the disconnect between the DAX and Germany's foundational economy will only widen.
NIO | China will Lead the EV BattleNIO, Inc. is a holding company which engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles. Its products include the EP9 supercar and ES8 7-seater SUV. It provides users with home charging, power express valet services, and other power solutions including access to public charging, access to power mobile charging trucks, and battery swapping. It also offers other value-added services such as service package, battery payment arrangement, and vehicle financing and license plate registration. The company was founded by Bin Li and Li Hong Qin on November 28, 2014 and is headquartered in Jiading, China.
NIO — The Spark Before the Storm $10000⚡ NIO: The Spark Before the Storm — A New SuperCycle Is Born ⚡🚗
"The storm that started with Tesla is about to find its next wave."
NIO just finished its deep correction of Wave 2 — and Wave 3 is ready to change everything. 🔥
🌩️ The Setup
From hype to despair — that’s how every SuperCycle begins.
After the 2021 peak, NIO collapsed into silence, grinding through a brutal 0.618 Fibonacci retrace.
But markets don’t die in fear — they reset .
And that reset is complete.
Now, the chart shows what could be the first true SuperCycle ignition for NIO — the same point Tesla stood at a decade ago.
🌊 The Wave Map
1️⃣ Wave 1 (2019–2021) — The hype wave. EV mania, hope, and early adoption.
2️⃣ Wave 2 (2021–2025) — The cleansing wave. Fear, dilution, exhaustion.
3️⃣ Wave 3 (2025–2029) — The expansion wave.
🔥 Projected zone: $450 (1.618)
4️⃣ Wave 4 (2030–2032) — The reset.
5️⃣ Wave 5 (2032–2035) — The final mania.
Every great company survives Wave 2… and dominates in Wave 3.
🧭 The Technical Pulse
Major liquidity sweep below $8 → Smart Money re-entry.
Break of Structure (BoS) confirmation above $10 = start of markup phase.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) near $6–9 = accumulation zone.
Fib geometry + historical rhythm = 3rd wave setup confirmed.
Price is coiling under long-term resistance — the spring before expansion.
⚙️ Macro + Fundamentals
EV market entering mass production maturity.
NIO’s battery swap network gives it an unmatched recurring model.
China’s stimulus & EV subsidies may reignite the sector.
Market cap reset = asymmetric opportunity.
This is where long-term conviction separates traders from investors.
🎯 Projection Timeline
📍 Wave 3 → ~$450
🔄 Wave 4 → $100–150 zone
🚀 Wave 5 → $10,000+
💬 Final Take
⚡ NIO’s not dead — it’s recharging.
When Wave 3 hits, disbelief turns to euphoria.
👇 Drop your take — is this the next EV breakout SuperCycle ?
Follow for deep Elliott + Smart Money confluence setups.
#NIO #EVRevolution #Wave3 #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #FIBCOS #Fibonacci #MarketStructure #TradingView #StockMarket #MacroCycle #Investing #WaveTheory #ElectricVehicles
Can Silicon Nanowires Redefine America's Battery Future?Amprius Technologies has positioned itself at the convergence of breakthrough materials science and national security imperatives, developing the world's highest energy density lithium-ion batteries through proprietary silicon nanowire technology. The company's batteries deliver up to 450 Wh/kg with targets exceeding 500 Wh/kg - nearly double the performance of conventional graphite-based cells - by solving silicon's historical expansion problems through a unique rooted nanowire architecture that allows internal expansion without structural degradation.
The strategic value extends beyond pure technology metrics. Amprius has secured $50 million in federal funding under Biden's Bipartisan Infrastructure Law and maintains critical defense contracts, including repeat orders totaling over $50 million from unmanned aerial systems manufacturers. This government backing reflects the company's role in domestic supply chain security, as its 100% silicon anode technology reduces reliance on graphite imports while establishing gigawatt-hour manufacturing capacity in Colorado. The Department of Energy's investment essentially validates Amprius as a strategic national asset in the race for advanced battery independence.
Financially, the company has demonstrated rapid acceleration with H1 2025 revenue of $26.4 million already surpassing all of 2024, while achieving a crucial 9% positive gross margin that signals viable unit economics. However, the path to mass market viability remains challenging, with estimated capital expenditures of $120-150 million per GWh of capacity highlighting the complexity of scaling nanowire manufacturing. Wall Street maintains unanimous "Strong Buy" ratings with price targets above $11.67, though recent insider selling following the stock's 1,100% surge raises questions about current valuation versus near-term execution risks.
The company's hybrid manufacturing strategy - leveraging over 1.8 GWh of international contract capacity while building domestic production - reflects a calculated approach to managing capital requirements while capturing immediate high-margin defense and aerospace opportunities. Success hinges on the operational launch of their Colorado facility in H1 2025 and the ability to translate their performance advantages into cost-competitive production for broader electric vehicle markets.
Can Silicon Carbide Save a Bankrupt Chip Giant?Wolfspeed's dramatic 60% stock surge following court approval of its Chapter 11 restructuring plan signals a potential turning point for the struggling semiconductor company. The bankruptcy resolution eliminates 70% of Wolfspeed's $6.5 billion debt burden and reduces interest obligations by 60%, freeing up billions in cash flow for operations and new fabrication facilities. With 97% creditor support backing the plan, investors appear confident that the financial overhang has been cleared, positioning the company for a cleaner emergence from bankruptcy.
The company's recovery prospects are bolstered by its leadership position in silicon carbide (SiC) technology, a critical component for electric vehicles and renewable energy systems. Wolfspeed's unique capability to produce 200mm SiC wafers at scale, combined with its vertically integrated supply chain and substantial patent portfolio, provides competitive advantages in a rapidly growing market. Global EV sales exceeded 17 million units in 2024, with projections of 20-30% annual growth, while each new electric vehicle requires more SiC chips for improved efficiency and faster charging capabilities.
Geopolitical factors further strengthen Wolfspeed's strategic position, with the U.S. CHIPS Act providing up to $750 million in funding for domestic SiC manufacturing capacity. As the U.S. government classifies silicon carbide as critical for national security and clean energy, Wolfspeed's fully domestic supply chain becomes increasingly valuable amid rising export controls and cybersecurity concerns. However, the company faces intensifying competition from well-funded Chinese rivals, including a new Wuhan facility capable of producing 360,000 SiC wafers annually.
Despite these favorable tailwinds, significant risks remain that could derail the recovery. Current shareholders face severe dilution, retaining only 3-5% of the restructured equity, while execution challenges persist regarding ramping the novel 200mm fabrication technology. The company continues operating at a loss with high enterprise value relative to current financial performance, and expanding global SiC capacity from competitors threatens to pressure pricing and market share. Wolfspeed's turnaround represents a high-stakes bet on whether technological leadership and strategic government support can overcome financial restructuring challenges in a competitive marketplace.
NIO Trendline Break PossibleGood evening traders,
After NIO's rapid growth Pre-Covid, the company has failed to make a comeback. In my opinion this was due to its rapid growth and impulse move back in 2020. My rule with impulse moves is the market will tend to retrace 100% of its initial move.
Following the fall of NIO for the past several years, it has clearly been bouncing from a descending trendline and so far it has touched 4 times. I expect NIO to continue to drop, the $3.00'ish price seems to be a good price to enter with a possibility of it reach the $1.00 area. I'm expecting a breakout soon followed by a retracement back to the trendline and bounce up until is reaches the $27 dollar area. This is just the technical aspect of this analysis. Hope this helps some of you with your investments.
Don't forget to like and follow for more trading ideas & trading opportunities. Happy Trading!
Can One Company Turn Global Tensions Into Battery Gold?LG Energy Solution has emerged as a dominant force in the battery sector in 2025, capitalizing on geopolitical shifts and market disruptions to secure its position as a global leader. The company's stock has surged 11.49% year-to-date to 388,000 KRW by August 12, driven by strategic partnerships and a pivotal $4.3 billion deal with Tesla for LFP battery supply from its Michigan facility. This partnership not only reduces Tesla's dependence on Chinese suppliers but also strengthens LG's foothold in the critical US market amid escalating trade tensions.
The company's strategic expansion in US manufacturing represents a calculated response to changing geopolitical dynamics and economic incentives. LG is aggressively scaling its Michigan factory capacity from 17GWh to 30GWh by 2026, while repurposing EV production lines for energy storage systems (ESS) to meet surging demand from renewable energy projects and AI data centers. Despite a global slowdown in EV demand, LG has successfully pivoted to capitalize on the booming ESS market, with Q2 2025 operating profits rising 31.4% to KRW 492.2 billion, largely attributed to US production incentives and strategic positioning.
LG's technological leadership and intellectual property portfolio serve as key differentiators in an increasingly competitive landscape. The company is pioneering advanced LMR battery technology, promising 30% higher energy density than LFP batteries by 2028, while maintaining over 200 LMR patents and aggressively enforcing its IP rights through successful court injunctions. Beyond technology, LG's commitment to sustainability through its RE100 initiative and integration of high-tech solutions for smart grids and AI-enabled energy systems positions the company at the forefront of the clean energy transition, making it a compelling investment opportunity in the rapidly evolving battery and energy storage sector.
Can Rivian Survive the Perfect Storm of Challenges?Rivian Automotive reported mixed Q2 2025 results that underscore the electric vehicle startup's precarious position. While the company met revenue expectations with $1.3 billion in consolidated revenue, it significantly missed earnings forecasts with a loss per share of $0.97 versus the anticipated $0.66 loss - a 47% deviation. Most concerning, gross profit returned to negative territory at -$206 million after two consecutive positive quarters, highlighting persistent manufacturing inefficiencies and cost management challenges.
The company faces a confluence of external pressures that threaten its path to profitability. Geopolitically, China's dominance over rare earth elements - controlling 60% of production and 90% of processing capacity - creates supply chain vulnerabilities, while new Chinese export licensing rules complicate access to critical EV components. Domestically, the impending expiration of federal EV tax credits on September 30, 2025, combined with the effective end of CAFE fuel economy standards enforcement, eliminates key demand-side and supply-side incentives that have historically supported EV adoption.
Rivian's strategic response centers on three critical initiatives: the R2 model launch, the transformative Volkswagen partnership, and aggressive manufacturing scale-up. The R2 represents Rivian's pivot from niche, high-cost premium vehicles to mainstream, higher-volume products designed to achieve positive gross margins. The $5.8 billion Volkswagen joint venture provides essential capital and manufacturing expertise, while the Illinois plant expansion to 215,000 annual units by 2026 aims to deliver the economies of scale necessary for profitability.
Despite maintaining a strong cash position of $7.5 billion and securing the Volkswagen investment, Rivian's widened EBITDA loss guidance of $2.0-2.25 billion for 2025 and target of EBITDA breakeven by 2027 represent a high-stakes race against time and capital burn. The company's success hinges on flawless execution of the R2 launch, achieving planned production scale, and leveraging its software capabilities and patent portfolio in V2X/V2L technologies to diversify revenue streams beyond traditional vehicle sales in an increasingly challenging regulatory and competitive environment.
Li Auto (LI) – Gaining Speed as China’s EV PowerhouseCompany Snapshot:
Li Auto NASDAQ:LI is scaling rapidly in the Chinese EV market, combining expanding distribution, premium product strategy, and smart technology integration to capture high-value demand.
Key Catalysts:
Aggressive Expansion 🏙️
Now in 140+ cities, with strategic moves into lower-tier regions, Li Auto is boosting brand visibility and tapping into untapped demographics.
Premium Product Pipeline 🚙
New models like the MEGA MPV and upgraded L-Series SUVs are driving strong demand, lifting margins above 22%—a signal of its move upmarket.
Smart Tech Differentiation 🤖
Proprietary AI cockpits, voice command systems, and ADAS platforms elevate the customer experience, creating a clear competitive edge.
Execution at Scale 📈
With YTD deliveries surpassing 180,000, Li Auto is proving it can deliver both volume and quality—earning analyst upgrades and institutional backing.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Entry Zone: Above $26.00–$27.00
Upside Target: $46.00–$47.00, fueled by premium positioning, tech innovation, and delivery momentum.
🔋 Li Auto is not just riding the EV wave—it’s leading it in China’s premium smart vehicle segment.
#LiAuto #EV #ChinaAutos #SmartCars #ADAS #AI #ElectricVehicles #TechStocks #PremiumEV #Mobility #InstitutionalInterest #GrowthStocks #LI
TESLA Is it a good buy after the Trump - Musk clash?Tesla (TSLA) lost $150 billion yesterday, closing the session down by -14%, following President Trump's public feud with its CEO Elon Musk. Trump responded to Musk' criticism over the new tax bill, claiming that Musk was upset because the bill takes away tax benefits for electric vehicle purchases.
The obvious question that arises for investors is this: Is Tesla still a buy?
Quick answer? Yes. And once the dust from the fundamentals/ news settles, the technical patterns will prevail.
The long-term pattern since the January 03 2023 bottom has been a Channel Up. The recent April 07 2025 Low has been a Higher Low on this pattern as, even though it didn't touch the Channel's bottom, it did triple bottom on the 0.236 Fibonacci Channel retracement level.
This kick-started the new Bullish Leg of the pattern and yesterday's correction may be nothing more than the start of a Bull Flag formation, similar to those that took place half-way through both previous Bullish Legs.
You can even see how similar the 1W RSI patterns are among the 3 fractals, which have been Accumulation Phases before the start of the 2nd part of the Bullish Leg.
Even though the 1.618 Fibonacci extension is a technical possibility, we can settle for a $600 Target, which would fulfil the conditions of keeping the price action within the Channel Up by the end of the year.
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POLESTAR (PSNY) - LONGTERM BUYING OPPORTUNITY, RISK:REWARD 1:10Polestar (PSNY) has been in a long term downtrend since its launch on the NASDAQ, the EV sector has seen some excitement however adoption to EV vehicles has been a slow trend worldwide compared to the hype when first introduced. At current, EV sector participants are in the beginning phases of mass adoption and battery and charger technology is seeing some much needed advancement before mass adoption can take place, many barriers exist in real world infrastructure and this technology will take many years to advance. The promise of autonomous self driving will ultimately catapult these EV companies to new heights financially, however the timing is not right just yet. Once AI advances enough to power ASD, rob taxis and self driving will be a common sight around the world starting in smaller cities and eventually becoming advanced enough to power more of the vehicles worldwide. Polestar's all time low trading price is at $.60 cents and currently sits right above $1.00 per share. Any price between $.60 cents and its current price would be a good 1:10 risk reward investment with downside very limited to potential upside gains to $10 and potentially higher in the long term future. If the EV and AI fulfill its promise, the investment should pay off in the long term.
Disclaimer: With any investment advice especially those where you plan to invest your hard earned money, do your own research before taking any financial advice to understand your exposure and risk tolerance, analyze the utilization of any broker(s) or investment vehicle(s) to understand how your funds are stored or utilized within the platform and always have a plan and strategy prior to entering any market.
EV Crossroads: Is BYD's Price War the Future of Mobility?The electric vehicle (EV) sector is currently navigating a period of significant turbulence, exemplified by the recent stock decline of Chinese EV giant BYD Company Limited. This downturn follows BYD's aggressive strategy of implementing sweeping price cuts, ranging from 10% to as much as 34% across its electric and plug-in hybrid models. This bold maneuver, primarily aimed at reducing a burgeoning inventory that swelled by approximately 150,000 units in early 2025, has ignited fears of an intensified price war within China's fiercely competitive EV market. While analysts suggest these discounts could temporarily boost sales, they also underscore deeper anxieties stemming from slowing EV demand, persistent economic sluggishness in China, and ongoing US-China trade frictions, leading to concerns about margin compression across the industry.
In stark contrast to BYD's emphasis on manufacturing scale, vertical integration, and aggressive pricing, Tesla distinguishes itself through a relentless pursuit of technological supremacy, particularly in autonomous driving. Tesla's foundational commitment to autonomy is evident in its Full Self-Driving (FSD) software, which has accumulated over 3.5 billion miles of data, and its substantial investments in the "Dojo" supercomputer and custom AI chip development. While BYD is also investing in advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), including the adoption of DeepSeek’s R1 AI model, Tesla's ambitious Robotaxi project represents a higher-risk, higher-reward proposition centered on true unsupervised autonomy, a strategy that proponents believe could fundamentally transform its valuation.
Further complicating the competitive landscape are escalating geopolitical tensions between the US and China, casting a long shadow over Chinese companies with exposure to US capital markets. Despite BYD's strategic avoidance of the US passenger car market by focusing on other international regions like Europe and Southeast Asia, the broader implications of Sino-American friction are inescapable. Chinese firms listed on US exchanges face rigorous regulatory scrutiny, the persistent threat of delisting under legislation like the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA), and the chilling effect of broader trade restrictions. This environment has led to stark warnings from financial institutions, with Goldman Sachs, for instance, outlining an "Extreme Scenario" where the collective market value of US-listed Chinese stocks could effectively vanish, highlighting how geopolitical stability is now as crucial to investment outcomes as any balance sheet.
RIVIAN Huge 1-year Triangle about to break. Trade the break-out.Rivian Automotive (RIVN) is trading within a 1-year Triangle pattern since the April 15 2024 Low. Right now the price is on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), almost hitting the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the pattern.
This is the second time ever that the 1W MA100 is tested, the previous on was on the last Lower High in late December 2024, giving slightly more probabilities for a bullish break-out above it.
If this is materialized, buy the break-out and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension on the long-term at $26.50.
If it fails to break and instead is rejected back towards the Triangle's bottom, wait for a confirmed break of the Higher Lows trend-line and sell towards the -1.0 Fibonacci extension at $6.50.
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XPEV: Setting Up for a Breakout
Consistent high/mid double-digit quarterly sales and earnings growth, along with high annual EPS growth estimates.
Weekly volume indicates substantial institutional accumulation.
Price has been tightening around the 10-week moving average on decreasing volume, with tight weekly closes (a good sign of accumulation)
As long as the price holds above the April 21 lows, I anticipate at least a mid-term bounce in the coming weeks. Or, potentially, a start of a new macro uptrend to retest 2021 highs.
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
TESLA Is a $600 price tag a pipe dream?Tesla (TSLA) is seeing a steady recovery from the April 21 2025 Low, which has been a Quadruple Bottom, and has found itself consolidating the last 10 days within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
The 2.5 year pattern is a Channel Up and this Quadruple Bottom took place exactly on its 0.236 Fibonacci level, with a 1D RSI sequence that resembles the Bullish Divergence of its previous bottom on April 22 2024. The similarities don't stop there as the Bearish Legs that led to those bottoms have almost been identical (-53.88% and -56.37% respectively).
As a result we can technically assume that the current Bullish Leg that will be confirmed with a break above the 1D MA200, will be symmetrical to the previous one, which made a Higher High on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the bottom. That is now at $823 but falls outside of the 2.5-year Channel Up, so our long-term Target for the end of the year is $600, which is right at the top of the pattern.
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BMW: Stability, Innovation, and Opportunity in a Changing WorldIn times of market turbulence, great opportunities often lie hidden beneath temporary setbacks. Recent tariff-related ripples may have rattled BMW’s price, but for those looking to invest for the long haul, this dip is a golden opportunity to buy into one of the world’s most reliable automakers.
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Resilient Amid Tariff Turbulence
Global trade frictions and tariff uncertainties have impacted many companies, and BMW is no exception. Yet, unlike many peers that retreat during such times, BMW remains steadfast—confident in its strategy and outlook. With industry insiders predicting that these tariffs are only temporary, BMW’s fundamentals remain ironclad. Its robust global presence and proactive planning have positioned it to weather these short-term shocks and bounce back stronger.
A Diverse, Future-Ready Product Lineup
While some high-profile names in the auto space chase trends with empty promises, BMW consistently delivers. Rather than focusing solely on electric vehicles like Tesla, BMW offers a balanced portfolio:
- Low-Emission Fossil Fuel Cars: Advanced, efficient engines that still serve a significant market segment.
- Hybrid and Electric Vehicles: Designed for the evolving demand for cleaner mobility, these models blend performance with environmental responsibility.
- Pioneering Hydrogen Technology: In collaboration with strategic partners, BMW is blazing a trail in hydrogen-powered vehicles—a potential game changer that ensures adaptability as the energy landscape shifts.
This diverse lineup not only meets current market needs but also positions BMW at the forefront of future mobility, delivering real, tangible products that work.
World-Class Manufacturing and Advanced Robotics
BMW’s reputation for engineering excellence isn’t just about beautiful design—it’s rooted in its state-of-the-art manufacturing. The company has embraced advanced robotics and automation, ensuring precision, efficiency, and consistent quality. With production facilities spanning the globe—including significant plants in the United States—BMW solidifies its stature as a truly international enterprise.
A Stable, Dividend-Paying Investment
In a market that often rewards volatile “meme” stocks and empty promises, BMW stands apart as a beacon of stability. Unlike Tesla, which currently pays no dividends, BMW offers a juicy dividend yield of over 5%, providing investors with regular, attractive returns. This dividend, coupled with its solid operational fundamentals, makes BMW a safe bet—one that rewards shareholders consistently even during turbulent times.
The Time to Invest Is Now
BMW is more than just a carmaker—it’s a symbol of resilience, innovation, and pragmatic progress. While market chatter may cast doubt amid temporary tariff-induced lows, the company’s diversified product mix, global manufacturing footprint, and commitment to delivering real, advanced technology create a compelling investment thesis.
For investors seeking stability, reliability, and the promise of long-term growth, BMW offers an opportunity to ride out the storm and benefit from a future where the company’s innovations in hybrids, electrics, and hydrogen continue to shape mobility worldwide. Now is the time to look beyond short-term market jitters and invest in a legacy built on quality, performance, and consistent returns.
Embrace the opportunity—BMW’s bright future is not just a promise; it’s already in motion.
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Is Nio’s ambition outpacing reality?Chinese electric vehicle maker Nio faces significant challenges despite strategic efforts like the recent launch of the Firefly brand. A successful and innovative company known for its battery swaps, Nio is now grappling with increasing domestic competition, slowing economic growth, and significant financial losses reflected in its low share price and market cap. The company’s path forward, and particularly its ambitious global expansion, increasingly appears fraught with external pressures and technological hurdles that threaten its long-term viability.
Chief among these challenges is rising geopolitical risks. Rising trade tensions between major global powers, including potential tariffs from the US and Europe, directly threaten Nio’s access to the international market and its growth prospects. More critically, the unresolved situation regarding Taiwan poses a serious risk of conflict (a Chinese invasion of Taiwan) and subsequent international embargoes. Such a scenario could disrupt global supply chains, especially for critical components such as semiconductors essential for electric vehicles, and cripple Nio’s production and sales.
Furthermore, Nio is in an expensive technological arms race, particularly in autonomous driving, competing with global leaders such as Tesla. While Nio uses a multi-sensor approach with LiDAR in its Navigate on Pilot Plus (NOP+) system, Tesla’s vision-only strategy and extensive data collection pose a formidable challenge. Both companies face obstacles, and with the complex task of perfecting autonomous technology in diverse environments, Nio must not only adapt to technological advances but also navigate complex regulatory landscapes and execute flawlessly to compete effectively and justify its significant investments in this space.
Is a Tesla Stock Rebound Imminent?Tesla's stock has recently faced volatility, partly due to first-quarter 2025 delivery figures that did not meet some market expectations. Despite this, several significant factors suggest a potential for upward movement in the share price. As the stock hovers around $292 in late April 2025, market observers are closely watching for catalysts that could shift sentiment and drive value appreciation for the electric vehicle and energy company.
Key indicators pointing towards a potential rebound include notable insider activity and the highly anticipated launch of a dedicated robotaxi service. A Tesla board member and Airbnb co-founder recently purchased over $1 million in TSLA stock, marking the first insider buy of this magnitude in approximately five years. This action signals strong internal confidence. Furthermore, the planned June launch of a robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, using autonomous Model Y vehicles, is viewed as a transformative step that could open substantial new revenue streams and redefine Tesla's market position.
Adding to the bullish sentiment is unusual activity in the options market, where a significant investor placed a large bet on a substantial price increase in the near term through out-of-the-money call options. While recent delivery misses and concerns regarding external factors have contributed to past stock pressure, the combination of insider conviction, a looming disruptive service launch, and aggressive bullish options trading suggests that the market may be poised for a significant reaction to upcoming positive developments. Investors are keenly focused on the successful execution of the robotaxi strategy as a critical determinant of future stock performance.
Eyes Off the Road, But On the Prize?While Tesla often dominates the autonomous driving narrative, the reality is far more nuanced. This article posits that Mobileye, with its recent significant collaboration with Volkswagen, stands as the only true competitor in this high-stakes technological race. Volkswagen's decision to integrate Mobileye's advanced camera, radar, and mapping technologies into its high-volume models underscores a growing industry trend: established automakers are increasingly relying on specialized technology providers to navigate the complexities of assisted and autonomous driving. This partnership not only validates Mobileye's technological prowess but also signals a potential shift in the autonomous driving landscape, moving beyond Tesla's proprietary approach.
Mobileye's strategic advantage lies in its comprehensive suite of technologies, notably the Surround ADAS platform powered by the EyeQ™6 High processor. This vertically integrated solution delivers sophisticated Level 2+ capabilities, including hands-free driving in specific conditions, and is designed for scalability across mass-market vehicles. Complementing this is Mobileye's innovative Road Experience Management™ (REM™) technology, a crowdsourced mapping system that leverages data from millions of vehicles to create and maintain high-definition maps globally. This approach offers near real-time updates and superior local accuracy, providing a critical foundation for future autonomous capabilities and contrasting with Tesla's reliance on its fleet data.
The fundamental difference in business models further distinguishes the two companies. Mobileye operates as a technology supplier, forging partnerships with over 50 automakers and integrating its solutions into numerous vehicle models. This strategy allows for a diverse and expansive collection of real-world driving data. In contrast, Tesla's vertically integrated model confines its autonomous driving technology primarily to its vehicles, potentially limiting its market reach and the breadth of its data acquisition. While Tesla champions an in-house approach, Mobileye's collaborative strategy positions it as a key enabler for the wider automotive industry's autonomous transition.
Ultimately, Mobileye's current focus on delivering robust and scalable Level 2+ systems, exemplified by the Volkswagen partnership, reflects a pragmatic evolution towards full autonomy. Coupled with positive analyst outlooks and a solid financial foundation, Mobileye is not just a contender but the most significant challenger to Tesla's autonomous driving ambitions, offering a compelling alternative path in the pursuit of a driverless future.






















