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EURUSD, technical analysis 1WHellou traders, We bring you an important technical analysis of the EURUSD currency pair. The value of this asset reached the key level of 1.19, where was a significant reaction. According to Elliott waves, we can see that the abc structure is complete, absolutely perfectly 1:1 = A:C. The RSI indicator also indicates a bearish divergence. The downtrend in the long term also persists. Liquidity was taken. One unclear fact in the chart is still unfilled price GAP - we must be careful and cannot just ignore it, it is theoretically possible that the price will come through it. The conclusion is that the chart shows all the parameters leading to a downtrend. What do you think about it? We will gradually bring you more current analyses from other charts and time frames. So don't forget to follow us! Thanks WavePulse
Short
by WavePulse
1
S&P 500 - Should I be getting in right now?Price continues higher, holding above both the 60-day and 250-day EMAs, but momentum is fading: RSI + MACD divergence Open interest down by 500k (CFTC report) - w/c 23rd September. Shorts likely getting squeezed = price up, participation down. Elliott Wave count suggests we're in the 5th wave of the 3rd impulse — still bullish, but a Wave 4 correction could be next. 📍 Key level to watch: 5,481 (re-entry into Wave 1 territory = count invalidation)
CBOE:SPXLong
by jngtrading
NASDAQ 100 (1W) – Elliott Wave + Smart Money Analysis by FIBCOSThe index (NASDAQ) continues its macro impulsive structure, now expanding through Wave (3) — targeting the 2.618 Fibonacci extension near 26,997( 27K ). Smart Money is driving this leg with clear bullish order flow, creating multiple Fair Value Gaps and Breaks of Structure along the way. After this expansion, we expect a Wave (4) correction between 22,000–17,500, where institutional demand zones await for re-accumulation before the next macro bullish leg (Wave 5) toward 35,000–38,000. 📊 Confluence Highlights: Wave (3) → 2.618 extension (target zone: 26.9K–27K) Wave (4) → 0.382–0.618 retracement (zone: 22K–18K) Wave (5) → 1.618 projection (target zone: 35K–38K) 🧠 Elliott Wave Theory Interpretation ① Wave (1) — The Initial Expansion (2020–2021) Early bullish impulse following pandemic recovery. Represents Smart Money accumulation followed by a breakout. Retail participation remains limited; institutional footprints dominate. ② Wave (2) — Corrective Pullback (2022–2023) Sharp decline toward the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone. This phase was a liquidity grab — Smart Money re-entering after shaking out weak hands. Price formed a higher low , maintaining long-term bullish structure. ③ Wave (3) — The Power Leg (2023–2026) The strongest and most extended wave — aligned perfectly with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~26,997 zone). Confirms institutional markup phase , where: Retail short sellers are trapped. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are created during impulsive moves. Continuous Break of Structure (BOS) validates bullish order flow. Smaller degree sub-waves (1–5) visible inside, confirming internal impulse rhythm. ④ Wave (4) — The Upcoming Correction (2026–2027) Expected macro re-accumulation zone , likely between 22,000 – 17,500 . Market may enter a sideways complex correction (W–X–Y)/(W-X-Y-X-Z) pattern. This is the Smart Money re-accumulation phase — liquidity collection before the next macro expansion. Demand zones: previous unmitigated order blocks around 20,000–18,000 area. ⑤ Wave (5) — The Final Expansion (2028–2029) After consolidation, the index may aim for new all-time highs toward 35,000–38,000 range. This represents a distribution phase , where Smart Money offloads positions near cycle tops. Expect divergence in momentum indicators , hinting at the end of the 5-wave structure. --- 💡 Smart Money Concept (SMC) Confluence Concept | Observation | Implication Liquidity Sweep - Below 2022–2023 lows (Smart Money accumulation confirmation) Order Blocks - 22,000–18,000 zone {Institutional demand zone for Wave (4)} Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) During Wave (3) impulsive rise {Will likely get mitigated during Wave (4)} Break of Structure (BOS ) Continuous bullish BOS confirms institutional intent Premium/Discount Zones Current price at premium (above equilibrium) Ideal region for institutional profit-taking 🧭 Smart Money Flow: Accumulation → Expansion → Re-accumulation → Final Distribution --- 📐 Fibonacci Confluence Levels Wave (3) → 2.618× extension of Wave (1–2) → ~26,997 (expected macro resistance). Wave (4) → retracement likely between 0.382–0.618 → 22,000–17,500 zone. Wave (5) → projected 1.618× of Wave (1–3) → 35,000–38,000 . --- 🧭 Market Outlook Summary Timeframe | Bias | Expectation Short-Term (2025–2026) 📈 Bullish Continuation toward 26,900–27,000 Medium-Term (2026–2027) ⚠ Corrective Re-accumulation phase, smart money reloads Long-Term (2028–2029) 🚀 Bullish Wave (5) macro expansion toward 35K–38K --- 🔖 FIBCOS Summary > NASDAQ 100 Weekly Chart (Elliott + SMC) Currently expanding through a powerful Wave (3) toward the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~27K). After completion, a macro correction (Wave 4) is expected, providing the next Smart Money accumulation zone between 22K–18K before the final Wave 5 expansion toward new highs beyond 35K. 📘 Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Educational purpose only. #FIBCOS #NASDAQ100 #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #MarketAnalysis #MarketCycle #Fibonacci
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by fibcos
2
DXY – Post-Fed Cut: What’s Next for the Dollar?The Fed has cut rates — but the dollar didn’t flinch. No major reaction, which suggests the move was priced in. I currently see two possible scenarios unfolding on DXY: Scenario 1: Triangle Completed – More Downside Ahead If we’ve finished a triangle correction, a break below 96.20 could confirm the move and open up downside toward $95–$92. Chart: Scenario 2: Ending Diagonal in Wave 5 Alternatively, the recent low may mark the end of a 5th wave diagonal, completing Wave 3 of the broader decline. If so, we could see choppy corrective action before any larger moves. Chart: Key level to watch: Break below $96.20 If price closes above $100.25 I will review the analysis as this may indicate the downward trend is complete.
INDEX:DXYShort
by jngtrading
Wave 3 Dynamics: Understanding the Most Powerful WaveHello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, For Learning and Practicing chart Analyzing, Today we are trying to Analyse the State Bank of India (SBIN) chart from an Elliott Wave perspective, we can see that the intermediate-degree Wave (3) completed at the June 2024 high. This was followed by a complex correction that ended at the March 2025 low, marking the completion of Wave (4). We are currently unfolding Wave (5), which will complete the higher-degree Wave ((3)) of Primary degree in black. Within Wave (5), we have five minor-degree subdivisions, which we can see unfolding. The first minor-degree Wave 1 completed at the 22nd April 2025 high, followed by a Wave 2 correction that ended at the May 9, 2025 low. We are currently in Wave 3, which is a dynamic wave with strong momentum. Within Wave 3, we have five minute-degree subdivisions, which are unfolding. The first two subdivisions are complete, and we are currently in the third subdivision. The characteristics of Wave ((iii)) of 3 are evident in the price action, with a strong breakout above the resistance trend line and good intensity of volumes. The Moving Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also positive, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 60, indicating strong momentum. The daily Exponential moving averages (50 and 200) are also aligned in favor of the trend. All these parameters support our view, and we can see an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern or a double rounding bottom pattern unfolding. Overall, the breakout looks promising, and we can expect further upside in SBIN as per Elliott wave theory. Detailed wave counts on chart Primary Characteristics: 1. Strong Momentum: Wave 3 is characterized by strong momentum, often leading to a rapid price movement. 2. Impulsive Price Action: Wave 3 is typically marked by impulsive price action, with prices moving quickly in one direction. 3. Increased Volatility: Wave 3 is often accompanied by increased volatility, with prices fluctuating rapidly. 4. Breakout above Resistance: Wave 3 often begins with a breakout above resistance, leading to a rapid price movement. Secondary Characteristics: 1. Longest Wave: Wave 3 is often the longest wave in an impulse sequence. 2. Most Dynamic Wave: Wave 3 is typically the most dynamic wave, with the strongest momentum and largest price movement. 3. Highest Volume: Wave 3 often occurs with the highest volume, indicating strong market participation. 4. Fewest Corrections: Wave 3 typically has the fewest corrections, with prices moving rapidly in one direction. Behavioral Characteristics: 1. Market Participants become Aggressive: During Wave 3, market participants become more aggressive, leading to increased buying or selling pressure. 2. Emotional Decision-Making: Wave 3 can lead to emotional decision-making, with market participants making impulsive decisions based on fear or greed. 3. Market Sentiment becomes Extreme: During Wave 3, market sentiment can become extreme, with market participants becoming overly bullish or bearish. Keep in mind that these characteristics are not always present, and Wave 3 can exhibit different traits depending on the market context. Here are some snapshots shared below to understand the concept & example Largest wave among wave 1-3-5 Strong Momentum like 90 degree move, Vertical move, Rapid move & Dynamic move Breakout with good volumes Price trading above 50, 100 & 200 Day Exponential Moving Average RSI Breakout on Daily RSI Breakout on Weekly MACD weekly MACD Daily Pattern Repeating I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:SBINEducation
by RK_Chaarts
6
Multiple Nested Wave 3s on Arbitrum! Super Bullish!!🧙‍♂️I have an Elliott Wave count to share with you showing a super bullish Triple 1,2 in the 3rd wave of the Red impulse playing out. Meanwhile, we are currently in the third wave of the 5th wave of the Blue impulse, which contains in itself more nested waves in the form of a triple 1,2. Chart is shown on the 15 min TF, but I included a pic for viewing the LTF subwaves on the 3 min TF. Not financial advice as I am still a student of the wave principle. Happy trading! 🌊🏄‍♂️
Long
by Fractical
2
Are we on Super Bullish Express Highway ? Elliott Waves RoadmapHello friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts Today we're attempting to analyze Bitcoin's chart, specifically the BTCUSD chart, from an Elliott Wave perspective. Looking at the monthly timeframe chart, which spans the entire lifetime of Bitcoin's data since 2011, we can see the overall structure. According to Elliott Wave theory, it appears that a large Super Cycle degree Wave (I) has completed, followed by a correction in the form of Super Cycle degree Wave (II), marked in blue. Now, friends, it's possible that we're unfolding Super Cycle degree Wave (III), which should have five sub-divisions - in red I, II, III, IV, & V. We can see that we've completed red I & II, and red III has just started. If the low we marked in red II doesn't get breached on the lower side, it can be considered our invalidation level. Next, within red III, we should see five primary degree sub-divisions in black - ((1)), ((2)), ((3)), ((4)) & ((5)). We can see that we've completed black ((1)) & ((2)) and black ((3)) has just started. Within black ((3)), we should see five intermediate degree sub-divisions in blue - (1) to (5). Blue (1) has just started, and within blue one, we've already seen red 1 & 2 completed, and red 3 is in progress. So, we're currently in a super bullish scenario, a third of a third of a third. Yes, the chart looks extremely bullish. We won't commit to any targets here as this is for educational purposes only. The analysis suggests potential targets could be very high, above $150,000 or $200,000, if the invalidation level of $98,240 isn't breached. But again, friends, this video is shared for educational purposes only. Many people think that the market doesn't move according to Elliott Waves. But friends, here we've tried to analyze from the monthly time frame to the overly time frame. We've definitely aligned the multi-time frame and also aligned it with the principal rules of Elliott Waves, without violating any of its rules. I agree that the Elliott Wave theory can be a bit difficult, and for those who don't practice it deeply, it can be challenging. But yes, the market moves according to this methodology, following this pattern. This is a significant achievement. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RK_Chaarts
12
Potential Reversal Ahead: Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, Today we're going to analyze chart of stock named IDFC First Bank, based on Elliott wave theory. Today, we're analyzing the chart of IDFC First Bank using Elliott Wave theory. On the chart, we've marked the Elliott Waves, indicating that: - Red wave 1 and 2 (Minor degree) have ended - Price is unfolding into red wave 3 (Minor degree) - Black wave ((i)) and ((ii)) (Minute degree) have completed - Black wave ((iii)) (Minute degree) is ongoing - Blue wave (i) and (ii) (Minuette degree) have finished - Blue wave (iii) (Minuette degree) is in progress - Red wave i, ii, and iii (Subminuette degree) have completed - Possibly in the correction phase of red wave iv (Subminuette degree) We observe that the price gapped up, retraced to correct wave iv, and is now supported by the gap zone. Along with 200Exponential Moving Average is also at Gap level which can also provide a good Support to same view. Our estimate suggests a high probability of a price reversal. However, market uncertainties exist. Potential price targets: 81, 93, and 100+ Nearest invalidation level: 73.09 (wave iv should not overlap wave i) Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only. I'm not a SEBI-registered analyst, and you should consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. Let's see how the market unfolds. This entire study is shared solely for educational purposes. Thank you so much. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:IDFCFIRSTBLong
by RK_Chaarts
Technical Analysis: Price Breakout and BeyondHello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, Let's try to analyze a stock from the FMCG sector, "Dabur India Limited". Elliott Wave perspective. We can see that the correction is completed, which is the IVth wave of the monthly time frame of cycle degree in Red. Now, possibly the impulse wave Vth had start unfolding. If we go inside that, we'll see its five sub-divisions in black, labeled ((1))-((2))-((3))-((4))-((5)) of primary degree. Possibly, wave ((1)) has started unfolding, and within wave ((1)), we'll see five sub-divisions in blue, which is the intermediate degree. Within this, waves (1) and (2) looks complete, and wave (3) has started, which has also broken out of the curve line. Invalidation level If our wave counts are correct, the bottom level of wave IV, which is 433, will be our main invalidation level. If the price goes below this level, it will trigger the invalidation level. If that happens, we'll need to re-analyze the chart from a wave count perspective. But if the price stays above this invalidation level, then our view, which is based on the analysis, will remain bullish, and the chart will remain bullish. Projected Target As per Elliott wave theory, it can show new ATH in Long Term, only if Invalidation level is not breached. Breakout with good Intensity of Volumes The breakout has a good intensity of volume. The volume in the breakout candle is looking very good, which is 3-4 times higher than the average. This means that market participation is very good during this breakout. So, Conviction is high on this breakout. We can clearly see that the price has closed above the 50 Exponential Moving Average (EMA), 100 EMA, and 200 EMA, which is a very good sign that the price has overcome all these hurdles along with Breakout. Now, if there are any hurdles above, they could be the 200 EMA on the weekly time frame, which is coming near the level of 529, and the 50 EMA on the monthly time frame, which is coming near the price of 527. Currently, the price is trading around 513. Once it crosses 529 or 530, it may show even more strength after that. Dow Theory Trend confirmation Based on Dow Theory, if we observe, the price which was falling and making lower highs and lower lows, has now started forming a Higher High and Higher Low pattern on the daily time frame, which is again a sign of bullishness. Standard Deviation crossed Price is trading above the mid-Bollinger Band on the weekly time frame, i.e., in the bullish territory. On the daily time frame, Prince has also crossed the upper Bollinger Band, meaning it has broken out and is expanding above the upper Bollinger Band, which is a bullish sign Supporting Indicators On the daily time frame, a very good breakout is visible inside RSI, and is also moving above 72. Additionally, on both the daily and weekly time frames, the MACD has given a positive crossover. Before making any trading decisions, please conduct your own analysis or consult with a technical expert or financial consultant. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Chaarts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:DABURLong
by RK_Chaarts
A Step-by-step Guide to One of the Chart Analysis Method: VOLTASHello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, Today we're going to learn step-by-step guide to one of the chart analysis Method by analyzing a chart of " VOLTAS LTD. " to identify a trend change opportunity.(Educational Post). Let's get started! Applying Elliott Wave Theory According to Elliott Wave theory, we can see that the high of September 20, 2024, marked the end of the wave III of the cycle degree in Red. After that, a corrective wave unfolded, which reached its low on February 1, 2025. This was the wave IV of the cycle degree in Red, with a low of 1135. The approximately 6 months correction ended here, and now the wave V of the cycle degree in Red has begun. Within this, there will be five sub-divisions of primary degree in black, which we can label as waves ((1)) to ((5)). Of these, waves ((1)) and ((2)) are complete, and we are possibly now in wave ((3)) of the Primary degree in Black. Within wave ((3)), there will be five sub-divisions of intermediate degree in blue, of which waves (1) and (2) are complete, and the (3)rd intermediate degree in Blue is underway. Within this, there will be five sub-divisions waves of minor degree in red, of which 1 and 2 are complete, and today we saw the breakout of the 3 of the (3). Possibly, this is a momentum move according to Elliott Wave theory, which we can call the third of the third of the third. Now that we have this low of wave IV at ₹1135, it should not go below this level according to Elliott Wave theory. If it does, our current wave count will be invalidated. That's why we have an invalidation level within Elliott Wave, which according to this chart is at ₹1135. This low should not be breached. If it is breached for any reason, we'll have to re-analyze our entire count, and the counts could be different. However, if this low holds, then the minimum target for wave V, based on the projection of wave theory, would be at least 100% to 123% of the fall from top III to bottom IV, which could take it to around ₹2000 to ₹2100. Shown in chart image below Possible Elliott Wave Counts on Daily Time Frame Along with Invalidation level & Target levels. Dow Theory Suggests now Up Trend After forming the top of wave III, we can see that the price has moved downwards in a pattern of lower highs and lower lows. However, after completing the bottom of wave IV, the price has started forming a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that an uptrend has begun. This is a clear signal that supports our wave counts moving upwards, i.e., towards an impulse move, based on Dow theory. The successful completion of wave IV and the initiation of the higher highs and higher lows pattern suggest a strong bullish trend, and we can expect the price to continue moving upwards. Shown in chart image below Breakout with good intensity of Volumes In this chart, we've observed a rounding bottom type chart pattern, and today, we've seen a breakout above the upper resistance trend line. Today's candle volume is also significantly higher than the average. Shown in chart images below Chart Pattern: Rounding Bottom Resistance Trendline Breakout with Good Intensity of Volumes Supporting Indicators & Moving Averages Also we can see that the current price has closed above the 50-day EMA and 100-day EMA. Additionally, indicators like RSI is above 60 and showing momentum, MACD is positive and above the zero line, and the histogram is also showing a breakout. Shown in chart images below Breakout above 50DEMA & 100DEMA RSI Breakout above 60+ on Daily Time Frame Bullish side Breakout in Histogram on Daily Time Frame MACD running Positive & above zero line on Daily Time Frame Bollinger Band on Weekly If we look at the weekly time frame, the current week's candle is above the middle Bollinger Band, indicating that the price is above the 20-period simple moving average on the weekly time frame. which is very good sign. Shown in chart image below Price Trading above 20 SMA on Weekly Time Frame (Mid.Bollinger Band) Significant Observation in Price Action & Volumes Before the breakout, the rounding bottom chart pattern that was forming at the bottom can be interpreted as accumulation, as a red bearish candle with high volume appeared, marking the highest volume. Notably, no candle has closed below the low of that candle since then. Although a gap-down candle occurred, it opened and closed bullish, indicating no selling pressure below that level. The absence of bearish follow-up and the subsequent breakout today are significant observations, combining price action and volume. This is a positive sign suggesting the price may move upwards. Shown in chart image below This is how chart analysis is done for investment purposes. We've seen many signs in our favor, and yet we still use a stop loss to prevent significant losses in case the stock or market moves unexpectedly. This is what stop loss is all about - minimizing potential losses. We've also discussed the target projection based on Wave theory, 123.6% level, which we explained through an image. So, friends, I hope you've understood the entire conclusion and learned how to analyze charts using different methods, one of which we shared with you today. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Chaarts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:VOLTASEducation
by RK_Chaarts
18
A Step-by-step Guide to One of the Chart Analysis MethodHello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, Today we're going to learn step-by-step guide to one of the chart analysis Method by analyzing a chart of " Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) " to identify a trend change opportunity.(Educational Post). Let's get started! Applying Elliott Wave Theory First, we can see that the bottom formed in March 2025 is likely a Wave ((4)) in Black as a bottom, marked as such on the chart. From there, Wave 5 should move upwards. Looking at the daily timeframe, we can see that price gone up in five sub-divisions of Wave (1) in Blue of Wave ((5)) in Black have completed, marked as Red 1-2-3-4-5, that means blue intermediate Wave (1) has ended, and Wave (2) has begun, which is unfolded in corrective nature marked as WXY in Red of Wave (2) in Blue. According to the wave principle, Wave (2) should not retrace more than 100% of Wave (1), which started from the 419.65 bottom. Therefore, 419.65 becomes our invalidation level. If the price moves below this level, it would invalidate our Wave (2) principle. Assuming our wave counts are correct, the upward movement is in the five sub-divisions, and the downward movement is in the three sub-divisions. Definitely, the conviction is increasing that we have correctly identified Waves (1) and (2). Shown in chart image below Tweezers at Bottom Now, we can see that Wave 2 has retraced more than 70% and has formed a Tweezer candlestick pattern at the bottom. A bearish candle was followed by a bullish candle, both with a Tweezer-like shape, with the second candle being green. This could indicate a potential reversal. Moreover, the latest candle has also taken out the high of the previous two candles, showing follow-through. The price has also shown follow-through on the upside after that. So, this can be considered as the first sign that Wave 2 might be ending, marked by a significant Tweezer pattern at the bottom with a follow-through candle. Shown in chart image below Significant Breakout Pending Yet Secondly, from the top where Wave 1 ended, we've been considering the decline from around 560.50 as a resistance. We drew a resistance trend line, and if the price breaks out above it, we can say that the resistance trend line has been broken, indicating a breakout above the last fall's trend line, Which is not Broken yet. Shown in chart image below Dow Theory The Dow Theory states that when the price moves up, it forms a Higher High, Higher Low pattern, and when it moves down, it forms a Lower High, Lower Low pattern. Somehow, the Dow Theory also needs to change, as the last swing was forming a Lower High, Lower Low pattern. The last swing high was at 479, which we marked with a green arrow. If the price crosses above it, we can say that the price is now forming a Higher High pattern. This indicates that the Dow Theory is changing from a falling trend to a rising trend. Shown in chart image below Stop Loss Once the Dow Theory also changes, we can use the last swing low at 446.15 as our stop loss. However, this stop loss will only be valid after the Dow Theory changes; otherwise, the invalidation level will remain at 419. Shown in chart image below Projected Target of Wave (3) So, friends, we've applied the Elliott Wave principle, and there's been a significant retracement, all within the valid range, without violating any rules or triggering invalidation. There's limited room left on the downside, and then we have the Tweezer candlestick pattern, which is a significant sign. We're expecting a reversal from there, and the price has followed up with an upward move. What's left now is the breakout above the resistance trend line and a change in the Dow Theory. Once these two conditions are confirmed, all parameters will match, and we can add a position to our portfolio using the last swing low as our stop loss, instead of the invalidation level. This is how chart analysis is done for investment purposes. We've seen many signs in our favor, and yet we still use a stop loss to prevent significant losses in case the stock or market moves unexpectedly. This is what stop loss is all about - minimizing potential losses. We've also discussed the target projection based on Wave theory, 161.8% level, which we explained through an image. So, friends, I hope you've understood the entire conclusion and learned how to analyze charts using different methods, one of which we shared with you today. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:VBLEducation
by RK_Chaarts
27
BABA Stock: A Detailed Analysis using Elliott Wave Theory RulesHello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, Let's analyze Ali Baba Group Holdings Limited, also known as BABA, listed on the NYSE. We'll be using the Elliott Waves theory. Friends, as we can clearly see, after hitting a low of around $95.75 on 9th April 2025, it started an impulse wave. Within this wave, we've completed intermediate degree blue bracketed (1), (2), (3), (4), (5), and primary degree ((1)) in Black. Currently, we're completing primary degree ((2)), with a low around $111. If it breaks the level of $111, we'll assume we're still in primary degree ((2)), as marked in scenario 2 on the chart. This means wave ((2)) is unfolding, and wave ((3)) might start after wave ((2)) is complete. If it doesn't break the $111 level, it's likely that wave ((2)) has completed, and we've started a subdivision of wave ((3)) or its further subdivisions. If it moves further up, following scenario 1 (the black line on the chart), this is a possibility. According to Elliott Wave theory, wave ((2)) cannot retrace more than 100% of wave ((1)). So, our main invalidation level for this count is $95.75. Yes, BABA is turning up against the 95.75 low, and in the near term, we expect the stock to trade higher. Somewhere, this stock might move towards $150 or $160 if it doesn't break down below $ 95.75. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NYSE:BABA
by RK_Chaarts
BTC/USD: 12 JUNE, 2025 - IS THE SECOND WAVE UNFOLDING?Conclusion: The 1-grey wave may have just completed at the 111,965 high, and the 2-grey wave is unfolding to push lower, targeting the low around 95,872.01. I counted a five-wave within the 1-grey wave, which suggests that it may have ended, and we are entering the 2-grey wave. This decline could target around the 95,572 low in the form of a Zigzag labeled a,b,c))-navy. While the price must remain below 110,617 to keep this Bearish view valid.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by ShaneHua
3
BTCUSD Wave Count: Bitcoin Unfolding Wave ((5)) ?Hello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, Let's analyze the Bitcoin chart today using Elliott Wave theory. As we can see, Bitcoin recently made a high around $112,000 on 23rd May 2025. We've marked this as the completion of Primary Degree Black Wave ((3)). After that, it dropped to complete Wave ((4)) on 31st May 2025. Now, it's moving up, possibly unfolding Wave ((5)). According to Elliott Wave principles, Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. So, our nearest invalidation level is the 31st May's low at $103000. If the price sustains above this level, we can expect it to move towards $115,000 as a Projected Target of wave ((5)). However, if it breaks below the invalidation level, we'll need to re-analyze the wave counts. We've also drawn some trend lines, marked in black dotted lines, which act as support and resistance. This is a 1-hour time frame chart. The red line marking the nearest invalidation level is crucial. If it breaks, we'll need to adjust our wave counts. If it holds, we can expect the price to move up towards $115,000. Let's see how the market unfolds. Please note that this is an educational analysis and not a trading tip or advice. Analysis Summary - Analyzing Bitcoin chart using Elliott Wave theory to understand market trends and potential price movements. - Recent high around $112,000 on 23rd May 2025, & Recent Low around $103,000 on 31st May 2025 indicates a significant turning point in the market. Wave Count - Completed Primary Degree Black Wave ((3)) suggests a major uptrend has concluded. - Completed Wave ((4)) on 31st May 2025 indicates a correction phase has ended. - Possibly unfolding Wave ((5)) implies a new uptrend may be emerging. Key Levels - Nearest invalidation level: 31st May's low at $103,000 serves as a crucial support level. - Projected Target: $115,000 represents a potential upside target based on Elliott Wave principles. Elliott Wave Principles - Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1: a key rule governing wave relationships. - Wave ((5)) projection based on Fibonacci ratios and wave extensions. Chart Details - 1-hour time frame chart provides a detailed view of recent price action. - Trend lines marked in black dotted lines highlight key support and resistance levels. - Red line marking nearest invalidation level is crucial for validating the wave count. Important Notes - Breaking below the invalidation level would require re-evaluation of the wave count. - Sustaining above the invalidation level increases confidence in the projected target. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RK_Chaarts
4
BTC: Still in the Grip of Wave BBitcoin is holding steady near the same levels seen at the time of yesterday’s update — and so is the structure. According to our primary scenario, we expect the current corrective wave B to complete soon within the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Once that happens, a wave C selloff should follow, likely targeting the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. That said, our alternative scenario (30% probability) remains intact. In that case, the high of blue wave (i) has yet to form — a breakout above $130,891 would confirm that view and open the door to further upside before a correction resumes. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
Elliot wave corrective ABC Triangle pattern Wave A is an impulsive wave that 5 subdivisions. Wave B is an abcde triangle and each wave has 3 subdivisios. a-b of the triangle is connected by wxy (also has 3 subdivisions each). Look at smaller time frame to see (and confirm structure). Currently looking out for wave d of the triangle (wave 1 of 3) to complete then followed wave e 3 waves in the opposite direction, before there can be any break-out. This is only an idea not financial advice
CRYPTO:MATICUSDLong
by faizel19
5
Elliott Wave Principles: A Study on US Dollar IndexHello friends, today we'll attempt to analyze the (DXY) US Dollar Index chart using Elliott Wave theory. Let's explore the possible Elliott Wave counts with wave Principles (Rules). We've used the daily time frame chart here, which suggests that the primary cycle degree in Black weekly wave ((A)) and ((B)) waves have already occurred. Currently, wave ((C)) is in progress. Within wave ((C)) in Black which are Weekly counts, Subdivisions are on daily time frame, showing Intermediate degree in blue wave (1) & (2) are finished and (3) is near to completion. Post wave (3), we can expect wave (4) up in Blue and then wave (5) down in Blue, marking the end of wave ((C)) in Black. Additionally, within blue wave (3) Intermediate degree, we should see 5 subdivisions in red of Minor degree, which is clearly showing that waves 1 & 2 are done and now we are near to completion of wave 3 in Red. followed by waves 4 and 5, which will complete blue wave (3). Key Points to Learn: When applying Elliott Wave theory, it's essential to follow specific rules and principles. Here are three crucial ones: 1. Wave 2 Retracement Rule: Wave two will never retrace more than 100% of wave one. 2. Wave 3 Length Rule: Wave three will never be the shortest among waves 1, 3, and 5. It may be the largest most of the time, but never the shortest. 3. Wave 4 Overlap Rule: Wave four will never enter into the territory of wave one, meaning wave four will not overlap wave one, except in cases of diagonals or triangles. Invalidation level is a level which is decided based on these Elliott wave Principles only, Once its triggered, then counts are Invalidated so we have to reassess the chart study and other possible counts are to be plotted The entire wave count is clearly visible on the chart, and this is just one possible scenario. Please note that Elliott Wave theory involves multiple possibilities and uncertainties. The analysis we've presented focuses on one particular scenario that seems potentially possible. However, it's essential to keep in mind that Elliott Wave counts can have multiple possibilities. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
TVC:DXYEducation
by RK_Chaarts
Russell 2000 - time to Buy pullbacks...Shorts were good while it lasted... looks like a good time to buy pullbacks. It would be wise to wait for a clear 3 wave correction though. Elliot Wave Analysis shows a larger degree wave IV was completed in March 2020. Since then, the Russell 2000 has been nesting within a bullish rectangle chart pattern, possibly working its way up to the larger degree wave V. Seasonality Chart shows a bullish April with a possible correction in May. Nevertheless, I will not commit to long trades till the chart clearly shows that we are out of the woods. A clear 3 waves move down closer to 1800 in the hourly/4 hourly time frame would be a good setup.
FOREXCOM:US2000
by RayGunaraj