$20 Dollar challenge! As of next week I plan to open a new account with only $20.Yes, I know what you’re thinking but this is why it’s called a challenge. My goal with this challenge is to see if you can actually make money with very little capital. I will only be trading currencies with 1:1000 ratio account. Now, how long could this last before going to zero? Will emotions take over my trading? Will having too much leverage be a disadvantage? Well we will have to see.Every week I will post updates on the trades I took followed by my lot size, my entry, and my exit.If you would like to follow this journey click the follow button,and on the day my account goes to zero you can unfollow.
Quote:“The elements of good trading are: (1) cutting losses, (2) cutting losses, and (3) cutting losses. If you can follow these three rules, you may have a chance.” – Ed Seykota
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Emotions
Lessons from an Experienced Trader #3Lesson 7 Trade Outcome is Random
The outcome of any given trade is random, no matter how strong your edge is. It is impossible to predict whether a trade will result in a loss, decent profit, or a windfall profit. Contrary to what most Price Action traders and price analysts believe, you cannot and will never be able to predict the market. Most amateur traders fail to recognize this fact, or deny this reality altogether. They believe eventually, they will be able to avoid losing trades and pick winners. They do not understand the outcome of any given trade is random, and therefore impossible to know before hand.
Consider weather prediction as an example. Meteorologists have highly sophisticated weather models and algorithms to predict weather behavior, just like traders and institutions in the market. Yet the weathermen cannot accurately predict what will occur. They can say "There is a 60% chance of rain today if you live in X." But they cannot say exactly when or where rain will fall. It is the same in the market. You may have a good idea of what may occur, and even be right! However, there is still a reasonable chance (usually around 40%) that you are wrong, and the exact opposite will occur.
The market is always right. It does not matter what you think or believe should or will happen. All that matters is what is happening. Just because a trade looks good or an edge is strong, does not mean it will result in a profit. There is still an opposing probability that it will fail.
The point is that you will never know beyond a reasonable doubt what the market will do next. You may have a hunch, or a strong edge, but that will only get you so far. Therefore the only thing to do is to always take your edge, because you never know if this will be the windfall profit you are looking for, a small profit, or a loss. And quite frankly, it does not matter!
Lesson 8 Market Outcome Does Not Matter
The outcome of any single trade does not matter. It is very common for traders to become attached to the outcome of this individual trade. This is what leads to emotions, anger and frustration with trading and the market. We get stuck in the mindset that we have to win X amount of profit like 2X risk on this trade, or have to make money every day to be a profitable trader. This is not the case at all. In fact you only have to win one 1 or 2 really good trades out of 10 to maintain a consistent performance.
Any single trade is irrelevant to a trading system or strategy. It is the cumulative result over a series of trades that results in a profit. This is why it is so important to know and only trade your edge, otherwise you introduce randomness into your performance, and are unable to produce consistency.
*If you find this analysis helpful please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions.
Overcoming Emotions and Zen TradingOvercoming Emotions
Most traders want to "overcome" their emotions. They view thoughts and emotions as the enemy which prevents them from succeeding in the market. This is a false perception. Yes emotions and thoughts can lead to actions in the market, but they are impossible to remove. So long as you are human you will have emotions and thoughts. There is an alternative to removing them, and that is to use them to your advantage in the market.
By practicing mindfulness, which is awareness of thoughts, emotions, and perceptions, you can learn to recognize how these affect your trading performance. By recognizing and being aware of them, you have a chance to change the outcome. For instance if you consistently enter poor trades due to fear of missing out. When you become aware of this fear you can learn to stop yourself from entering and avoid the poor trades that hurt your performance.
There is a direct correlation between how you feel about yourself or the market, and how you perform. If you are worried about money you will overly focus on risk or prices going against your position even if only slightly, and likely make a mistake by exiting too soon. Or you do not want to take the loss and will hold the trade too long, hoping the market will let you off the hook with a smaller loss.
What is Zen Trading about?
Zen trading is a mindset of flowing with the market without hesitation, being aware of and trading along side emotions, and making actions intuitively rather than forcefully. A Zen trader remains in a relaxed, effortless state of mind; without any internal struggle. He does not attach his self worth to his performance at any given time, and is unhindered by market outcomes. He acts on his edge when it is present without hesitating, and takes what the market gives him when it is time to do so. He trusts himself, his strategy, and the market to provide him with a consistent performance over time; whether or not he makes money on this trade, today, or this week. He is aware of the bigger picture; the Tao or life, and knows there is more to life than trading or money. Trading is not his life. It is simply something he does to earn a living, and he seeks to maintain a Zen spirit in his trading and actions in the market.
*If you find this analysis helpful please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions.
Lessons from an Experienced Trader
Lessons from an experienced trader.
Lesson 1. Never scalp.
Although scalping seems to be the most profitable and best method in today's market, it is certainly not. Scalping is the hardest method to achieve a consistent performance. High frequency trading firms scalp, but they have many advantages over the retail trader including direct access to exchanges, highly developed algorithms with no emotions, and extremely low costs to name a few. When you are scalping you are competing against these firms or trying to manually do what they do with a computer.
This above is only one problem. The bigger issue is the risk involved. When scalping, you must use a wide stop and be willing to scale in. One bad trade will erase 20 or more good trades. You must be extremely proficient at reading price charts, and be able to act without hesitation. This is virtually impossible for anyone who has not been trading for at least 3 years and has done extensive work on himself to develop the ability to flow with the market, constantly, without any internal conflict.
And worst of all, scalping leads to bad habits. Once you get into the mindset of "get out quick" it is very hard to correct down the road. This makes swing trading more difficult later on after you realize it is a better method.
Lesson 2. Swing Trade the best setups
Swing trading is much more forgiving than scalping, offers a larger reward, and allows for a smaller risk (usually). This makes it much easier to make money long term. When swing trading you only have to win on around 40% of your trades to make a profit. If you can develop the patience to wait for strong setups, you can increase the winning percentage to anywhere from 50-70% and greatly increase your traders equation.
A swing trading approach is also more forgiving when it comes to reading price charts. Some of those who discuss Price Action would lead you to believe you can predict what the markets are going to do next. This is simply not true, no matter how good you are at reading a chart. There is always a degree of randomness in the market, with any edge, any setup, or any context. When swing trading, you can afford to be wrong and make mistakes.
So what setups should a swing trader take? Well, it depends if you want to always in trade or swing trade with signal bar stops. Either is fine, although an always in approach takes more practice and is harder to get right until you are good at reading charts.
An always in trader has two choices. One to take every logical reversal (hardest to accomplish), and constantly reverse when necessary. Or two; wait for the always in direction to be clear and enter any in any fashion until the market flips. The second method is easier, although still tough, and slightly less profitable. An always in trader does not trade when prices are in a trading range. The reward is simply too low, and there are too many reversals to take and that fail, resulting in repeated losses and increased commission costs.
What about a swing trader? A swing trader typically uses a signal bar stop, but can also use a swing stop to increase his probability. A swing trader does not have to take every trade he sees (unlike the first always in trader). In fact, it is best to wait for the best and clearest setups.
What setups are these? High 2's, Low 2's (large) reversals and flags, Wedge reversals and flags, failed breakouts, and failed reversals. The first two are much easier to identify correctly for someone with less experience. The later two often trick newer traders, or fail once or twice before succeeding, making it a bit harder to get right.
Lesson 3. Work on your self
Like discussed before, most new traders and even those who have been around but haven't reached consistency believe that eventually you can read prices well enough to predict what will happen next. It does not matter how long you have traded, you will never predict the market. If it were possible to do so, the market would cease to exist!
So instead of only focusing on reading charts and price action, you must work on your self. You must understand your strengths and weaknesses. You must be aware of your emotions and how they affect your performance. If you do not believe your emotions are directly related to your performance, you will not achieve consistency long term. We are all humans, a computer cannot do what I do. And you cannot remove emotions, no matter how hard you try to do so. So what is the alternative? Develop awareness of them, and use them to your advantage!
It is as plain and simple as this. Trading requires you to understand your self, on a deep and internal level. You must be in tune with your self and the market. If you chose to ignore this fact, you may succeed temporarily, but it is only a matter of time before your performance diminishes. In order to make a lot of money, you must feel you deserve it. If you do not work on yourself, this simply will not happen. Does a professional athlete become a star by waiting around for his coach to tell him what to do? No. He dedicates himself in every possible way to his sport, including conditioning his mind to outperform his competition.
Rather than waiting 2 or 3 years before realizing this, start working on your self from the very beginning. Not only will you become a better trader faster, you will become a better person; a better you.
BTCUSD Friends do not give in to emotionsThe stage of getting rid of hamsters is already over.
The beginning of the 4-year cycle of Bitcoin .
The maximum price of a new next cycle is $ 230,000
Time to accumulate positions.
Like gold , Bitcoin likes to hurt traders.
Even in growing markets there is such a draining of prices.
Before the asset begin to conquer new peaks.
I do not see how Bitcoin breaks through $ 6000 without a new plum.
If Bitcoin wants to break through the $ 6000 level, he needs to shave everyone.
To cut all those who feel the taste of the euphoria of new growth.
Money Management & Psychology 101SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Money Management/Psychology
Cycle of Market Emotions
The Upturn
• Optimism: The normal financial specialist enters the market feeling hopeful. They may likewise have elevated requirements for the profits in which they are involved.
• Excitement: When the market goes up, the desires begin to end up noticeably a reality and the financial specialist encounters commitment.
• Thrill: The market proceeds up and the financial specialist is excited.
• Euphoria: As the market achieves its peak, the financial specialist is euphoric and very certain that the market will proceed up.
The Downturn
• Anxiety: The market starts to plunge, producing sentiments of nervousness (Point 5).
• Denial—The market keeps on falling, and the financial specialist experiences dissent with so many considerations as "It's alright, I'm in it for the long run," and "This is only a transitory misfortune," (Point 6).
• Desperation and Panic—As the market cycles bring down still, sentiments of urgency and anger follow (Points 7 and 8, separately).
• Surrender—Panic, in the long run, offers an approach to surrender when the financial specialist supposes "How might I have been so off-base? I cannot deal with being in the market anymore. I can't take any more misfortunes," (Point 9).
The Bottom and the Recovery
• Depression: While the financial specialist flounders in wretchedness (point 10), the market winds up in a sorry situation and offers a route to another bull.
• Hope: As the market keeps on reinforcing, the financial specialist is confident that the market will proceed up (Point 11).
• Relief: Once the market affirms it is in an uptrend, the speculator feels alleviation, however, they are as yet not sufficiently sure to contribute (Point 12).
• Optimism: The financial specialist holds up until the point that they feel idealistic once more (Point 1 or frequently significantly later) before re-entering the market. As we portrayed over, this typically does not occur until the point that they have officially missed a huge bit of the up move, and their opportunity to recover misfortunes with it.
Position Structure
There are several trading software’s, which empowers the individuals to either structure or drive their framework by an individual or by position. Before the data is set-up in the control tables, an individual should choose which technique to utilise. The framework forms the data contrastingly relying upon the person’s decision. When the software is driven by an individual, work codes are utilised to arrange work information into gatherings. These codes are utilised to connect individual information to work information. When the software is driven by position, despite everything, work codes are utilised to make general gatherings or occupation arrangements in the association, for example, EEO (measure up to business opportunity) and pay review information.
Why 90 Percent of traders FAIL! ***13 Reasons why Part#1***Hey my friends,
here another educational Video for thise who can`t make money in the long-run!
This is especially good for beginners and advanced traders who can`t make profit.
I hope you enjoy it! ;-)
Peace and happy learning
Irasor
Trading2ez
Wanna see more`? Don`t forget to follow me!
Any questions? Need more education or signals? PM me. ;-)
Trading Psychology Introduction to Trader Psychology
There is evidence of technical analysis dating back to the 17th century. The candlestick charts most of use everyday to trade were created in the 18th century by a Japanese rice trader. By this point one would think technical analysis should result in more profitable traders and lead atleast a quarter of price technicians to a profit. However, this is not the case and in fact the opposite is true as most traders fail, even after years of studying price action. With this said, it is obvious learning how to read a price chart alone is not what leads to consistent profits. So what is it that seperates the very few succesful traders from the so many failures? Is it their strategy, their money managament skills, IQ, were they born with a different skill set than most, do they work harder than most, or are they just plain lucky? All of these sound plausible, but are they really the driving factor behind consistent profits? The short answer is no, none of the above. Perhaps we have been looking for the answer in the wrong place all along. In fact, most traders never even consider the possibility that it is their attitude or mental habits which prevent their success. What truely seperates the winners from the losers has nothing to do with external factors, but rather what goes on internally while observing and engaging the market, in other words; a traders mentality.
"If the next bar is a bull follow through bar, the bulls have a 60% chance of making a profit. If the next bar is a bear bar that means....." Absolutely nothing! Unless you can structure a trade plan, and abide your plan as the market unfolds, without questioning yourself or your plan, and execute it flawlessly. Most beginning traders believe if they study harder and learn more setups, they will eventually become profitable. This is the fallacy of price action analysis. In fact, most economists and price analysts do not make good traders. Why? Because they form rigid rules and ideas as to what prices should or will do, and in turn fail to recognize and accept the "now opporutinty" the market is offering to traders who are open to all possibilities, including a lower probability event. Even more debilitating is the false belief that they can pick out winning trades, and avoid the losers, which leads to cherry picking through a traders edge.
If the market spends most of its time with a probability between 40-60%, why is it so hard to generate a consistent profit? Understanding prices and their tendencies is only half the battle of becoming a Professional Trader. The other half and harder to develop, is the traders mindset. What makes a good trader is not only his knack for reading prices. It is the ability to flow with the market as it is unfolding, and the art of doing the right thing at the right time; without questioning himself. If the market is only offering X amount of profit, he takes it. If the market is unfolding in a way that he did not expect, he exits. He is willing to take a loss, and more importantly does not care what happens to "himself" in the market. He does not take it personally, and carries on throughout the day executing trade after trade.
Continued...
On lurking, trading, emotions and risk. This is about psychology - that 'no-go' area. In this video I explore negative emotions from different aspects. I look at how emotions are connected to risk and risk management.
Avoidance is connected both to risk and emotions.
I say that the biggest part of trading is about separating emotions from the objective assessment of risk
The dangers in listening to the newsI'm sharing a chart to give my sentiments about listening to the news. New traders especially tend to listen to the news and website opinions about where markets are heading. I show a bit on how I approached a particular situation on the US30.
A lot of news is late and people who create news items or blogs have their own biases, based on the information they have.
The news can be dangerous to trading as it can cause a trader to become apprehensive, doubtful and stay out of trade setups that may be quite sound for entry.
News can be depressing and cause a trader anxiety.
Some very important earthshaking news may be useful e.g. some major monetary policy change in Europe or America. But on the whole, listening to or reading news is fraught with problems.
I've found that I make better decisions when I approach the markets with a kind of fearlessness described by Mark Douglas . The fearless state of mind is not 'recklessness'. It is about calmly making decisions and accepting risks in a reasonable way, based on a tested strategy.
None of the above or the video is advice to traders.
"One of those days"-- the art of "Locked out"Recently I participate in an analyst competition, and I got eliminated in the trading sections.
Having an established trading system and strong mindset doesn't mean I make profit in every single trading days, as everyone would agree.
That's why we need a daily risk ceiling, if hit, we don't trade anymore,which is called being "locked out". usually 6% (2% per trade basis)
Being locked out is just one of those days, I would like to make so much profit every single trading day,
so all I did in trading was finding opportunities that matches my trades before being locked out.
While,in terms of frequency , basically 2 out of 5 trading days will be locked out as inside bars are not a strategy with high winning percentage.
"One of those days" is what I will talk to myself to stay calm, but when a short-term intraday competition happen to be one of those days,
that's when people will challenge your strategy or even trading ability, and that's pretty much offending to me, but the world will always focus on the result.
Keep fighting and keep trading, do the proper risk management, and not being influenced by one of those days.
Practical Exercise - Challenges in Trading PsychologyPractical Exercise
1) Think of a past scenario where you acted impulsively in your trading and suffered the consequences.
2) What was the psychological issue that triggered the mistake?
3) How can you avoid future occurrences of this mistake?
4) Share in this thread.
BTC/USD- Wait for wave 5 (Elliott Wave) Bullish Typical market cycle playing out here. This pullback is healthy in order to continue bullish uptrend. Elliott wave has played out perfectly so far. We should have a nice bounce off one of the lower levels (4900 or 4400 area) then continue to break into price discovery of 6k. Wave 5 will present itself. Be patient. Good Luck :)
GBP-AUD Strong counter trend Cypher pattern setupThis is not really a trade setup, it´s more of a little thought sharing on emotions, the biggest enemy for us traders.
As you people that follow me knows i trade harmonics an insanely simple and very profitable way of trading, removes all subjectivity from trading with some testable, verifiable, and repeatable rules.
I could not trade in January because i was away from home traveling and too busy to take trades, so when we reached february i was itching to trade, had taken November and December off as always every year from trading and i had a newly investment infusion into my trading account, that ment i now had a responsability to not only make my self a living, but also keep another party happy with very little drawdown. And here comes out the new emotions i had not felt since i started trading, got soo concerned with cash preservation, protecting stops / moving stops that i was not following my rules. I was so hooked on making profit with no losses. But the thing is, in my rules there is no stop moving, my trades hits T1 60-70% of the time if no stop is moved, less if stop is moved, so i was suddenly making rookie mistakes.
I started out with 2 weeks of 2% drawdown, it recovered to a 3% profit in week 3 but at that time i had taken my self in moving stops on so many orders i could have made the double. So i wrote down on a big note that if i broke another rule i was not allowed to trade for a week, which meant calls from the new invester. By doing that i got to remove my feelings from trading again, and what happened.. I got so relaxed about it, i knew my trading plan works and have done it for years, further more i had 8 trades until today that i would have killed with my emotions if i had continued on, like the one i posted right here. It hit my entry live and i was watching it free fall towards the stop, a heavily counter trend trade, but it met the rules - The rules that work again and again every year, in this one i once again cut my emotions out and it turned on a dime right before my stop and hit my entry for a 2% profit for today.
Test your plan, control your emotions and carry out your trades till you can do them in your sleep and you will become Prosper beyond your imagination! But remember loosers is part of the plan too!
Kind regards
Thomas Jeff














