Captain_Walker

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About me Walker marches to the beat of a different drum. No crowd required to follow. Nothing being sold - ever!
Joined UK CapitanWalker
The Captain sails different seas, on different ships - with a set of armoury for a wide variety of situations. I'm here to learn and to help others along. My website at www.newtrader.club will never ever sell anything to fellow traders.
Markets Allocation
71 % forex 6 % cryptocurrency 6 % stocks 18 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
AUDCAD 11% | 2 XAUUSD 11% | 2 GBPUSD 11% | 2 EURUSD 5% | 1
Captain_Walker Captain_Walker AUDCAD, D, Long ,
AUDCAD: (1D) AUDCAD ripe for a long
86 0 4
AUDCAD, D Long
(1D) AUDCAD ripe for a long

I see a pull back in an uptrend on the daily, bouncing off a trend line with an aggressive Williams-Vix-Fix (WVF) signal. Aggressive WVF signals tend to fail but are more reliable when in an uptrend. The Aroons are for the bulls, having originated from a cross at 50. The overall trend seems strong for the upside at this point. The trend could well fail - as no ...

Captain_Walker Captain_Walker USDCAD, W, Long ,
USDCAD: (W) USDCAD may climb
64 3 5
USDCAD, W Long
(W) USDCAD may climb

The difficulty with most trends is finding where the big trend is really heading. Many traders are limited by account sizes when they become tangled in the 'noise' of lower time frames. But where are the big trends going? Is that important? How can we distance ourselves from the noise? It's difficult for the 'small trader' who is forced to accept smaller ...

Captain_Walker Captain_Walker GBPMXN, W,
GBPMXN: (W) GBPMXN at a critical point
17 1 2
GBPMXN, W
(W) GBPMXN at a critical point

The weekly chart on GBPMXN is at a critical stage. A fall below an important trend line (in general) does not necessarily mean trend change - it depends on so much more. Price could still re-test the trend line in coming weeks. I'm also looking carefully for an aggressive and or filtered entry on the William Vix Fix (WVF). Of course the WVF does not rule anything, ...

Captain_Walker Captain_Walker ULTA, W,
ULTA: ULTA due for a correction
47 0 5
ULTA, W
ULTA due for a correction

ULTA is clearly overbought at this point in time. Now is certainly not the time to go long on this equity. Key Points: 1. Overly bullish sentiment 2. RSI on weekly is around 85 - probably the highest in it's history. 3. RSI on daily has been hovering dangerously around 80 for quite some time. 4. There is no clear RSI divergence from price at this time. 5. ...

Captain_Walker Captain_Walker AUDCHF, 240, Short ,
AUDCHF: (4H) AUDCHF ripe for a short
23 0 5
AUDCHF, 240 Short
(4H) AUDCHF ripe for a short

AUDCHF seems ripe for a short on the 4H time frame. I make no recommendation on entry point. Key points: 1. Established down trend on weekly chart. 2. Price struggling in a band or resistance on daily. 3. 4H time frame shows an early signal of a trend change (Aroons have made an ideal cross at 50 for the bears) 4. Stops can possibly be at 0.75500 which equates ...

Captain_Walker Captain_Walker NZDCAD, W, Short ,
NZDCAD: NZDCAD ripe for a short
81 0 6
NZDCAD, W Short
NZDCAD ripe for a short

NZDCAD is ripe for a short. There is a powerful ceiling of resistance on the weekly time frame. On the 4H time frame there is a high cross for the bears. This assessment is based purely on technical analysis.

Captain_Walker Captain_Walker XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: (1D) XAUUSD v US30 - gold rush.
79 0 2
XAUUSD, D Long
(1D) XAUUSD v US30 - gold rush.

There seems to be an inverse correlation between XAUUSD and US30. Interestingly Gold began taking off before the recent mini-crash. OBV on Gold was steadily rising whilst OBV on US30 was falling (even while price was recovering). BREXIT has caused deep uncertainty in a number of markets. GOLD has always been a major safe haven. We saw this at every major world ...

Captain_Walker Captain_Walker GBPUSD, D,
GBPUSD: (1D) Some BREXIT contenders
53 0 2
GBPUSD, D
(1D) Some BREXIT contenders

This line chart is very busy, comparing a few common GBP pairs. I thought it was useful to make this comparison to see what was happening with GBP by keeping the numerator common across the lot. Overall I find that GBP has been recovering in recent days, as BREXIT approaches. I had expected this phenomenon to occur. It does not mean that GBP will necessarily ...

Captain_Walker Captain_Walker US30, D, Short ,
US30: (1D) US30 - WALL STREET - possible crash coming
151 4 4
US30, D Short
(1D) US30 - WALL STREET - possible crash coming

I'm no expert at Elliott waves, so my waves may be wrongly counted or drawn on this. But I'm watching a number of other things adding up. I see trend strength weakening. I see OBV probably heading down in a struggling bullish market. There is a similar wavy pattern emerging, similar to that around Nov 2015 to Jan 2016. I'd be delighted if others who know more ...

Captain_Walker Captain_Walker GBPUSD, D,
GBPUSD: The BREXIT three to watch
99 2 5
GBPUSD, D
The BREXIT three to watch

BREXIT fever has hit the world of forex. I suggest these are the big three to watch: GBPUSD, EURUSD, and GBPEUR (or EURGBP). There is a macro-psychology operating out there I suspect. In times of trouble and uncertainty human nature tends to take the safe position. Hence Sterling has taken a step down for the moment because the reality is that 'everybody' wishes ...

Captain_Walker Captain_Walker XAUUSD, W, Long ,
XAUUSD: (W) XAUUSD - bullish
86 0 5
XAUUSD, W Long
(W) XAUUSD - bullish

My assessment at the moment is that Gold is likely to be bullish over the next few weeks. This is not a prediction; simply an expectation. Price has fallen back to a level of support. Price and time momentum on the weekly chart is favorable for a long. It could well go south. The markets are always right. Not me. This is NOT trading advice or a tip. Prediction is ...

Captain_Walker Captain_Walker EURUSD, 240, Short ,
EURUSD: (4H) EURUSD short.
128 2 1
EURUSD, 240 Short
(4H) EURUSD short.

This is an interesting setup for a short on the EURUSD. I've made my probability estimates based on standard indicators: 1. EMA50 2. Aroon 19 (a customised version). 3. BuySellSignal 4. ATR stop-loss by Vervoort. 5. RSI. 6. Fibonacci Key features - all considered together: 1. Established down trend is re-established by price falling below EMA50 on 4h. 2. Aroon ...

Captain_Walker Captain_Walker CADJPY, W,
CADJPY: Williams Vix Fix to watch on CADJPY
19 0 1
CADJPY, W
Williams Vix Fix to watch on CADJPY

Trend following trade methodologies are not easily understood by most, I've come to appreciate. The WVF backtesting that I've done suggests that it can be a useful method or tool. CADJPY is in a broad up-trend. The recent deep pullback on weekly followed by recent aggressive and filtered entry signals, could well spell further up-trend. Successful use of the WVF ...

Captain_Walker Captain_Walker AUDCAD, 120,
AUDCAD: Potential patterns developing on AUDCADD
70 2 3
AUDCAD, 120
Potential patterns developing on AUDCADD

There are several patterns here. Due to price differentials on different platforms these may or may not be accurate. I'm no expert at Harmonic Patterns - so I'm trying my hand at this. I'm grateful for constructive feedback. There are some interesting trendlines and a potential double-top which could emerge https://www.tradingview.com/x/Cy7Uh7dU/ ...

Captain_Walker Captain_Walker CADJPY, 240,
CADJPY: Williams Vix Fix Combined with GMMA (Guppy)
51 0 2
CADJPY, 240
Williams Vix Fix Combined with GMMA (Guppy)

In this post I explore combining the Williams VixFix with GMMA (Guppy) indicators for Tradingview developed by Chris Moody. Both of these indicators attempt to find longer term trends. They require much training and experience. The methods are entirely different to scalping the markets. There is more exploration and back-testing of the Williams VixFix at ...

Captain_Walker Captain_Walker BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: BITCOIN BUBBLE
91 0 1
BTCUSD, D
BITCOIN BUBBLE

This could well be another bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD bubble as happened around Nov 2013. Looking at the charts I can see that bitcoin tends to disrespect RSIs and Bollinger bands. Analysis of the daily and 4 hourly charts shows that bitcoin is something of a 'teaser'. It tends to leap up make some gentle pullbacks then off it goes again. This tends to happen in the ...

Captain_Walker Captain_Walker CADNOK, 480, Short ,
CADNOK: How powerful can a zone of support be?
42 0 3
CADNOK, 480 Short
How powerful can a zone of support be?

CADNOK is considered by many to be an exotic or at least minor pair. I'm aleady short on this one with 1000pts in my favour. My bet was based on a possible triple top and trend line of peaks moving south on the weekly chart. This 8H chart shows that price has hit a broad zone of support at least 9 times. The latest push down has been a seemingly determined one. ...

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