Enegry — Trading Ideas on TradingView

Market Report — Friday 26.12.25 📉 Market Moves WTI front-month (CLG26): −2.76% (−1.61) Behavior: sharp sell-off through the session; prices weakened intraday as peace-deal headlines gained traction and closed near session lows. RBOB gasoline (RBG26): −2.66% (−0.0467) Behavior: tracked crude lower with high beta; product selling accelerated alongside crude as risk premium was removed. Complex view: broad risk-premium unwind, with crude and products moving in tandem. 📊 Key Drivers Bearish Ukraine–Russia peace progress (major): Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said a 20-point peace plan is ~90% complete and expects to meet Donald Trump, increasing expectations that sanctions on Russian energy could eventually be eased. Risk premium compression: Markets discounted reduced geopolitical disruption risk if negotiations advance, prompting liquidation after recent supply-risk rallies. Rising US rig count: Baker Hughes reported US oil rigs up +3 w/w to 409, tempering the bullish supply narrative from prior weeks. Medium-term surplus narrative: OPEC and IEA continue to project 2025–26 surplus conditions. Bullish Venezuela tanker blockade (secondary): The US Coast Guard forced the sanctioned tanker Bella 1 to turn away as part of the blockade involving Venezuela, supporting prices at the margin. Russia supply constraints (secondary): Continued Ukrainian attacks on refineries and tankers and ongoing US/EU sanctions limit exports from Russia. Nigeria security strikes: US strikes on ISIS targets in Nigeria (an OPEC member) added minor geopolitical support. OPEC+ discipline: OPEC+ reaffirmed its plan to pause production increases in Q1-2026. 📝 Post-Mortem Analysis Why prices moved: Markets aggressively priced in the possibility of a Ukraine–Russia ceasefire, stripping out geopolitical risk premium despite ongoing physical disruptions. Crude vs products: Gasoline followed crude lower with little independent support, reflecting weak seasonal demand and high correlation during risk-off sessions. What changed from prior day: The narrative shifted from supply disruption escalation to diplomatic progress, reversing the bullish momentum built earlier in the week. 🧾 Summary Oil prices sold off sharply as peace-deal optimism triggered a risk-premium unwind that overwhelmed ongoing Venezuela and Russia supply constraints.

SPDR Select Sector Fund - Energy Select Sector If you like my Idea, Don't forget to Boost and comment on my Analysis.. The recommendations are purely for educational purpose only, consult you financial advisor before trading. if you have any questions do not hesitate to contact me.

Possible Long on Crude!With OPEC+ announcing massive production cuts it is safe to assume we will likely see higher. Not only because of the news but the TA also looks bullish. As the price of oil retraces back to the crossing trendlines I expect a bullish divergence to form on the oscillators. Along with the bullish divergences, the crossing point of the trendlines will also lead into an important golden pocket. I will be watching this as close as possible but I am currently really busy with harvest so I am not able to chart as much. Best of luck!

$VDE Energy Sector Profit Taking/Profit Protection Time As the energy sector is heating up, it could be time to start locking in profits or raising stops to protect profits earned from the recent run up Energy more then likely will continue the overall uptrend in the long term as it works it way back towards its 2008 highs however from the recent short term high as the sector has run into a major resistance area over the past few years and increasing by nearly 40%+ since the start of the year to run into this area, it could just as easily pull back a big part of this move before it could be ready for the next leg higher

$FTSI can rise in the next days Contextual immersion trading strategy idea. FTS International, Inc. provides hydraulic fracturing services in North America. The demand for shares of the company looks higher than the supply. These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price in the next days. So I opened a long position from $7,06; stop-loss — $6,05. Information about take-profits will be later. Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision. Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust. You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy. If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas. Thanks for being with me!

CL1! - Will june WTI contract repeat the fate of May contract Oil moves is really fascinating, after expiration of the May contract on WTI which fell to - $40, June entered into the game and already managed to collapse by 42% in a few hours of trading. And it doesn't look like it's going to stop falling. Interesting for how low in a day? Hit the "LIKE" button and follow to support, thank you. Information is just for educational purposes, never financial advice. Always do your own research.

SRE Long idea SRE. I like this trade. The energy market is heating up. OIL is moving higher which will drive this sector. Not the curling higher MA's on the 4 hr chart. The price is above them all. This is a good looking chart. I'd set my stops at $111, and 1st target at last significant high around $123. I also took a position in 3x GUSH.