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Energy Commodities

"Policy + Spot" dual support, short-term recovery potentialThe expectation of Fed rate cut strengthens the financial attributes The current market probability of a 25BP rate cut by the Fed in October is 88%. The implementation of the rate cut will lower the US dollar index (currently at 93.5, if the rate cut occurs, it may drop to 92.5), and the cost of non-US currencies for purchasing crude oil decreases - the Brent crude oil price denominated in euros may decrease by 3%-4%, stimulating non-US demand countries such as India and China to replenish stocks, and short-term pushing up oil prices. Spot supply and demand are marginally tight The Dubai crude oil premium in the Middle East spot market remains at 1.8 US dollars per barrel (higher than 0.6 US dollars a month ago), and the crude oil purchase volume of Chinese refineries in October increased by 28% (for replenishment demand), and the execution rate of OPEC+ for an increase of 13.7 thousand barrels per day in November was only 58% (Saudi Arabia and Russia did not fully increase production), the spot market supports the 60 US dollar price level. Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Today buy：59.5-60 tp:61-61.5 sl:58.5
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
1
Crude Oil Futures (Dec 2025) Daily Chart Analysis Crude Oil Futures (Dec 2025) Daily Chart Analysis Price is trading around 60.15 after a bounce from the 56 area. The recent move up has slowed, shown by smaller candles and reduced volume. Structure shows a lower-high pattern overall, but the market is currently holding above a short-term higher low. This suggests consolidation, not a confirmed trend continuation yet. Key Levels: Resistance at 62. Price has rejected this zone twice. Support at 60. Market is sitting just above this level. Major support at 56. Strong reaction level where price last bounced. What I See: Volume increased on the push up, then faded. Recent candles show hesitation, indicating indecision. Price is ranging between 60 support and 62 resistance. Bullish Scenario: A break and daily close above 62 would signal upside momentum. Targets: 64 then 67. Bearish Scenario: A break and close below 60 sets up a move toward 58 and potentially a retest of 56. Current Bias: Neutral. Price is consolidating. Waiting for a clear breakout or breakdown is prudent. Range trades are possible between 60 and 62 with tight risk management. Catalysts to Watch: Crude reacts strongly to fundamentals including geopolitical events, US inventory data, and OPEC communication. Manage risk accordingly. Follow for more. Happy Trading. The Professor
NYMEX:CLZ2025
by TheMotivationalProfessor
USOIL H4 | Bearish Reversal from Pullback ResistanceUSOIL has rejected the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracemnt and could drop from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 60.77, whichis a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 62.09, which is a swing high resistance. Take profit is at 58.74, which is a pullback support that lines up witht he 61.8% FIbonacci retracement. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADU:USOILShort
by Tradu
Sell crude oil around 62.00, with a target of 60.00-58.00Crude Oil Market Analysis: Crude oil has been trending downwards with fluctuations recently. Our strategy remains to sell at higher prices; any rebound is an opportunity to sell. Today, watch for opportunities to sell around 62.00. Currently, the interest rate cut appears to be having an effective impact on crude oil. Our strategy remains unchanged: if it breaks below 60.00, consider selling on any small rebound. Fundamental Analysis: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected. The Fed lowered its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%, marking the second consecutive rate cut at its meeting, in line with market expectations... Trading Recommendation: Sell crude oil around 62.00, with a target of 60.00-58.00.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by GoldenSpaceship
WTI OIL 1D MA50 rejection. Sell Signal.Last time (October 14, see chart below) we took a look on WTI Oil (USOIL), we gave a Buy Signal right at the bottom of its 3-month Channel Down, which eventually hit our 62.00 Target: This time we have a Sell Signal as the price and the Channel's Bullish Leg got rejected on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). When that happened in September, the market started to decline and reached its lower Support. As a result, we expect Oil to turn bearish here, targeting $56.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingShot
1
Crude Oil is InflationOne of the best ways to gauge where inflation is heading is by tracking the relationship between crude oil prices and the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI). If we take a moment to observe their movement from the 1980s to today, we can see that they have generally moved in tandem. The year of their peaks and troughs are in synchronization. So, who is leading whom? Is it the inflation data that drive crude oil prices higher or lower — or is it crude oil prices that influence the inflation trend? WTI Crude Oil Futures & Options Ticker: MCL Minimum fluctuation: 0.01 per barrel = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by konhow
Crude oil: Sell around 62.50, target 60.00-58.00Crude Oil Market Analysis: Crude oil fell again, in line with our expectations. Today's crude oil price remains bearish. Sell on any rebound. The strategy for crude oil remains to follow the market. Consider selling if crude oil rebounds to 62.50 today. This level has been successfully suppressed. The impact of crude oil inventory data is only temporary. There are no recent data that will have a significant impact on crude oil prices. Focus on the impact of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Fundamental Analysis: The previous smooth Sino-US trade negotiations were positive for the US dollar, leading to a sharp drop in gold's safe-haven sentiment. Another major data point this week is the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Trading Recommendations: Crude oil: Sell around 62.50, target 60.00-58.00.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by GoldenSpaceship
Natural Gas - Did You Profit?Today natural gas saw some downside pressure. We closed our KOLD long - which was our short trade on Nat Gas, netting over 8% gain. Being nimble in the Nat gas market is key, as its a very choppy asset and gains can be lost very quickly. Breaking below the 7 day MA needs to be watched closely as it does leave room for more downside. Inventories lately have been lack luster and need to show some positivity before price start to gravity to the weekly trend.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by Trading-Capital
Crude Oil Long Idea (WTI, 15m)After an extended correction, WTI has reached the lower boundary of the ascending channel, where buying volume spikes are appearing. The market is testing support near $60.70–$60.50, aligning with the median line structure from previous swings. A potential reversal setup may form if price holds above this zone and reclaims $61.20. The first bullish target lies near $62.30–$62.60, followed by the upper channel resistance around $63.50. Bias: short-term long within the broader bullish channel; invalidation if candle closes below $60.00. In essence — buying oil at the lower edge of the channel, expecting a rebound toward midline resistance.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by supplyanddemandtrading
Crude oil: Sell near 63.00, targeting 60.00-58.00Crude Oil Market Analysis: Crude oil has been volatile, with few significant unilateral moves. Today, we're focusing on short-term rebound opportunities. We recommend selling high and taking a bearish stance. The impact of crude oil fundamentals and news is short-lived. Previous inventory data support buying, but we should still sell as crude oil nears 63.00. Fundamental Analysis: The decline in gold prices is ultimately due to the fading of news, which has led to a decline in risk aversion. We will continue to monitor the Federal Reserve's new monetary policy. Trading Recommendations: Crude oil: Sell near 63.00, targeting 60.00-58.00.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by GoldenSpaceship
CRUDE OIL Potential Short! Sell! Hello, Traders! CRUDE OIL Price is reacting to a clear Horizontal Supply Area after liquidity sweep above the recent swing high. Smart money positioning suggests a short-term redistribution phase as sell-side liquidity below $61 becomes the draw.Time Frame 4H. Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TVC:USOILShort
by TopTradingSignals
1
USOIL – Daily Rejection & 4H Bearish Engulfing: Short Setup from 💬 Trade Description: Price on **USOIL** recently pushed into a **daily supply zone** around the **62.00 area**, which had previously acted as a strong rejection point. On the **daily timeframe**, a **clear pin-bar rejection** formed, showing that buyers lost control and sellers are stepping back into the market. Dropping down to the **4-hour timeframe**, price created a **bearish engulfing candle** directly inside that same daily supply zone — confirming a strong **shift in momentum** and offering a precise entry opportunity. This setup aligns perfectly with the **higher-timeframe bearish structure**, where the market continues to print **lower highs and lower lows**. The reaction from the 62.00 zone suggests a potential continuation to the downside as price seeks liquidity near the **next major demand zone around 57.00**. ⚙️ Trade Breakdown: * **Weekly Bias:** Bearish — market creating lower highs. * **Daily Confirmation:** Pin bar rejection from daily supply. * **4H Entry Trigger:** Bearish engulfing after retest. * **Entry:** After 4H candle close. * **Stop Loss:** Above the 4H engulfing high. * **Take Profit:** Targeting 57.00 (next demand zone). --- ## 🧩 Technical Insights: * The **daily pin bar** served as higher-timeframe confirmation that sellers were defending a premium level. * The **4H engulfing** offered an early confirmation of short-term structure shift. * The **trade idea** follows a simple, high-probability model: **“Daily confirmation → 4H execution → Patience for follow-through.”** --- ## 💭 Trader’s Note: Patience was key on this one. I waited for the daily signal first before dropping to the 4H to catch the clean bearish momentum. This is how I’m structuring all my trades now — only executing when the higher-timeframe aligns with the lower-timeframe trigger. Discipline > Frequency. Quality > Quantity.
TVC:USOILShort
by Kingdom-Trader
Crude oil - Sell around 63.60, target 61.00-58.00Crude Oil Market Analysis: Crude oil inventory data triggered a surge in buying. The daily price rebounded to around 60.00 after two sessions. The current daily chart suggests selling pressure remains. This week, our outlook remains bearish. I predict a corrective rebound this week, followed by continued declines in the second half of the week. Crude oil is unlikely to see a significant rebound, so continue selling. Sell if it rebounds to around 63.60 today. Fundamental Analysis: For fundamentals, we're focusing on key data and geopolitical developments. This week will feature the Federal Reserve's significant interest rate decision, and the market currently anticipates continued easing. Trading Recommendations: Crude oil - Sell around 63.60, target 61.00-58.00
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by GoldenSpaceship