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Energy Commodities

Can Crude Oil Spike to 150 USD / bbl ? Scenario Analysis.With Mid East tensions rising and overall unpredictable situation around Strait of Hormuz, let's review potential scenarios for the Crude Oil Prices. I've outlined three scenarios with projected oil prices for each scenario below. 🚨 Market Alert: Israel-Iran Conflict Impact Forecast 📈 🔴 Worst-Case Scenario: Regional War + U.S. Military Involvement 🚢 Oil (Brent): Soars to $150–$200+ if Strait of Hormuz closes 🥇 Gold: Skyrockets to $4,500–$5,000 (safe-haven rush) ₿ Bitcoin: Initial volatility; settles at $80k–$100k 📉 SPX: Crashes to 4,000–4,500 💻 NDX: Drops sharply to 15,000–16,000 🟠 Base-Case Scenario: Protracted Tension, No Major Disruption 🛢 Oil: Stabilizes at elevated $75–$95, occasional spikes 🥇 Gold: Moves higher, trading $3,500–$3,800 ₿ Bitcoin: Trades steady, $90k–$110k range 📊 SPX: Pullback moderate, around 5,200–5,500 💻 NDX: Moderately lower, 18,000–19,000 range 🟢 Best-Case Scenario: Diplomatic De-Escalation 🌊 Oil: Eases down to $65–$75 🥇 Gold: Mild decline, holds at $3,300–$3,500 ₿ Bitcoin: Positive sentiment, lifts to $100k–$120k 📈 SPX: Slight dip; stays strong near 5,800–6,200 💻 NDX: Minor correction, remains high at 20,000–22,000
TVC:USOILLong
by ProjectSyndicate
27
Middle East Tension: Read This Before You Trade today⚔️🕊️💣 Middle East Tension: Read This Before Markets close for the Weekend 🌍🔥✌️ Video: Hey traders, Today’s landscape is delicate and raw: we stand between a possible US strike on Iran and a chance for leaders to step back from the edge. Many are asking: Should I bet on gold? Should I short the indices? Should I buy oil? Here’s my honest read, straight from today’s video (which I highly recommend you watch for full context 📺): 👉 Bitcoin (BTC) Still ranging sideways. The last move hit my resistance zone perfectly. For now, BTC keeps its cool — but watch out: global fear can spark sudden moves, or the opposite, a liquidity crunch. 👉 Gold & Silver Yes, they’re classic safe havens — but don’t fall for the textbook trap. When true chaos strikes, big players often sell profitable gold positions to cover losses elsewhere. So an initial spike is possible, but deep pockets can reverse it fast. This is why I’m cautious: I do not expect a guaranteed pump on gold or silver. 👉 Crude Oil (WTI) The chart says it all: any strike in the Middle East fuels oil prices fast. But as I’ve always said — I do not long oil during human tragedy. Ethics over easy pips. 👉 Indices & USDJPY Gaps are likely. Risk assets may get hammered if bombs fall. If leaders choose dialogue instead, expect a risk-on rebound. The USD stays a wildcard: trust in the US remains, but shocks test that trust. 👉 Airlines Pausing Flights? Yes — major airlines are avoiding the Gulf. That alone signals how real this risk is. ✅ My plan is clear: I never short disasters. I never profit from pain. I am LONG on humanity and peace. I’d rather lose a trade than wish for blood in the streets. I do have some carefully calculated positions open tonight — fully risk-managed and small-sized. If Monday gaps bless me, fine. If peace wins and my trades lose? Even better. 👉 Watch the full video for my live charts, context, and unfiltered thoughts. This text is just a recap — the full idea is already posted as a video. Stay sharp. Stay ethical. Protect your capital and your soul — one good trade is never worth your humanity. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by FX_Professor
2
Middle East Tension & Markets: My Honest Stance🌍🕊️✌️ Middle East Tension & Markets: My Honest Stance 💣 🔥 🗡️ Hi everyone, It’s Friday, June 20th — and we face a fragile moment: the uncertainty of possible US military action against Iran. 📉📰✈️ On my charts: Bitcoin (BTC) reached key resistance and now ranges sideways as we await clarity. Gold (XAUUSD) remains the classic safe haven — it holds an ascending structure, but profit-taking could trigger dips if markets crash. Silver (XAGUSD) is similar, yet needs broader industrial strength to outperform gold. Crude Oil (WTI) could spike dramatically if bombs fall — but I choose not to profit from pain. USDJPY & USD pairs reflect global trust in the dollar and US stability — I’ll cover this more next week. My personal stance is simple: 💙 I never short disasters. I never profit from human suffering. I am LONG on humanity and peace. 🕊️✌️🌈 👉 I expect potential market gaps between now and Monday: ✅ Bad news (war) → gold, silver, oil likely pump ✅ Good news (diplomacy) → risk assets rebound, oil stabilizes I am positioned carefully with small risk and clear stops. My goal: protect my capital, trade my plan, but never bet on pain. If I lose because peace prevails — I win as a human. Stay safe, trade wisely, and never forget: sometimes the best trade is no trade at all. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by FX_Professor
1
XBR/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Price Falls After Trump’s DecisionXBR/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Price Falls After Trump’s Decision As shown on the XBR/USD chart, the price of Brent crude oil has pulled back from yesterday’s 4.5-month high following a statement from the White House that President Donald Trump will make a decision within the next two weeks on whether the United States will take part in the Israel-Iran conflict. According to Reuters, the US President is facing backlash from some members of his team over the prospect of launching a strike against Iran, which could drag the US into yet another prolonged war. Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart From a technical standpoint, Brent crude oil price is developing within an upward channel (marked in blue), though several bearish signals are appearing on the chart: → a bearish gap that formed overnight; → a false bullish breakout (indicated by an arrow) above the $76.50 level, drawn from the 13 June high; → bearish divergence on the RSI indicator; → a break of the recent local ascending trendline (marked in orange). Given the steep angle of the rising blue channel, it is reasonable to assume that bears may attempt to break through its lower boundary, which is currently acting as support. Whether this scenario materialises in the oil market will largely depend on developments in the Middle East. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
1
$100 a barrel coming soon for Crude oil futures In this video we focus on the current accumulation in the oil chart and the prospect of higher prices ahead . I highlight how the respect of the previous quinquennial pivots gave us a 45% move to the upside in the past 8 weeks . Looking ahead on the monthly timeframe we have the following confluences above the current price of $75 . Above the current pa we have the point of control at $ 88 and the avwap at $97, if we can reclaim the poc I think we will continue to push up to the fib levels that I have mentioned in the video. In addition to the above we also have the decennial pivots at $107/$112 alongside the value area high . All of this validates for me why oil will be pushing back up throughout the course of the year . Tools used in the video Tr pocket , pivots , fived range volume profile and fib expansion
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by SJTRADESFUTURES
1
OIL 2 Best Places For Buy Very Clear , Don`t Miss This 1000 PipsHere is my opinion on oil , we have a very aggressive movement to upside and this is normal right now , i`m looking to buy this Pair if the price go back to retest my support and this will be the best place to buy it for me , and if the price moved directly without retest it i will wait the price to break the other res and then i can enter a buy trade and targeting the highest level the price touch it , also if the price go back to retest my support and go up and closed above the other res i will add one more entry with the same target.
TVC:USOILLong
by FX_Elite_Club
15
Will Middle East Flames Ignite Winter Gas Prices?The global natural gas market is currently navigating a period of profound volatility, with prices surging and defying typical seasonal trends. This significant upward movement is primarily driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, specifically the intensifying conflict between Iran and Israel, coupled with the looming potential for direct US military intervention. This complex interplay of factors is fundamentally reshaping perceptions of global energy supply and influencing investor sentiment, pushing natural gas prices towards critical psychological and technical thresholds. Direct military strikes on Iran's energy infrastructure, including the world's largest gas field, the South Pars, have introduced a tangible threat to supply at the source. This is compounded by the strategic vulnerability of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital maritime chokepoint through which a significant portion of the world's liquefied natural gas (LNG) transits. Despite Iran possessing the world's second-largest natural gas reserves and being the third-largest producer, international sanctions and high domestic consumption severely limit its export capabilities, making its existing, albeit modest, export volumes disproportionately sensitive to disruption. Europe, having strategically pivoted to LNG imports following the reduction of Russian pipeline gas, finds its energy security increasingly tied to the stability of Middle Eastern supply routes. A prolonged conflict, especially one extending into the crucial winter months, would necessitate substantial LNG volumes to meet storage targets, intensifying competition and potentially driving European gas prices higher. This environment of heightened risk and volatility also attracts speculative trading, which can amplify price movements beyond fundamental supply-demand dynamics, embedding a significant geopolitical risk premium into current market valuations. This confluence of direct infrastructure threats, critical chokepoint risks, and Europe's structural reliance on global LNG flows creates a highly sensitive market. The trajectory of natural gas prices remains inextricably linked to geopolitical developments, with potential for further substantial increases in an escalation scenario, or sharp reversals should de-escalation occur. Navigating this landscape requires a keen understanding of both energy fundamentals and the intricate, often unpredictable, currents of international relations.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by UDIS_View
Navigating a Pullback in Natural GasNatural gas prices have been on a wild ride lately, with a recent pullback raising questions about the future of this energy source. This video provides insights into navigating this market volatility, offering actionable strategies for live trading in the midst of uncertainty. Current weather forecasts for the U.S. show neither extreme heat nor cold—limiting heating or cooling demand. This typical spring-to-summer lull supports low prices . Although rig counts in the U.S. are falling—the latest count shows an 8‑week decline—production remains ample. Storage levels remain healthy, and oversupply worries persist . Natural gas rallied earlier today but faced resistance at the $4/mmBtu mark—a major psychological barrier. After hitting that ceiling, prices gave back gains, a typical sign of "rally exhaustion"
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital
USoilLatest news. If the Strait of Hormuz is closed, the restrictions on the import and export of oil and natural gas will increase greatly. Because 20% of the world's oil and natural gas exports come from the Strait of Hormuz. So the trend of geopolitics will affect the closing and opening of this important checkpoint. If the increase in geopolitics really reaches this point, the price of oil may rise to 90$-100$. This is an excellent trading opportunity for investors who like to trade oil. But at present, this is an option for Iran to negotiate. Rather than a real closure, after all, the incident has not developed to this situation. If you like to trade oil. You can also follow me. Get brand new trading opportunities and make profits. Do not trade independently to avoid losses.
TVC:USOILLong
by Ludvig_Band_King
WTI(20250620)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, and the voting ratio showed that internal differences were increasing. Traders expect the bank to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 74.33 Support and resistance levels: 77.40 76.25 75.51 73.15 72.40 71.26 Trading strategy: If it breaks through 73.15, consider buying, and the first target price is 75.00 If it breaks through 72.40, consider selling, and the first target price is 71.26
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by NuggetsWarriors
Trump’s “ambiguous” statement, where will oil prices go? 💡Message Strategy Trump's remarks are repeated, and the geopolitical premium still limits the downward space of oil prices Trump said that the United States "may or may not" join Israel's actions against Iran. Analysts pointed out that if the United States is officially involved in the conflict, oil prices may rise by $5; if peace talks are launched, they may fall by the same amount. The geopolitical focus is still on the Strait of Hormuz Iran produces 3.3 million barrels of oil per day, but more importantly, about 19 million barrels of crude oil are transported through the Strait of Hormuz. The escalation of the conflict may threaten the safety of the waterway. The Fed's policy turn to dovish failed to effectively support oil prices Although the Fed hinted that it may cut interest rates twice this year, Chairman Powell emphasized that the decision still depends on inflation data, and Trump's upcoming new round of import tariffs may push up prices and limit the boost in oil demand brought about by loose policies. 📊Technical aspects From the daily chart level, crude oil prices in the medium term broke through the upper resistance of the range and tested a new high of 75.50. The moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, and the medium-term objective trend is in the direction. The current trend is in the upward rhythm of the main trend. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines overlap with the bullish column above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is currently full, and it is expected that the medium-term trend is expected to usher in a wave of rising rhythm. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:73.00-73.50，SL：72.50 The first target is around 75.50 The second target is around 76.50 If the situation in the Middle East escalates, the room for crude oil to rise will be enlarged
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
WTI Oil H1 | Overlap resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 76.02 which is an overlap resistance that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 78.00 which is a level that sits above a multi-swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 71.40 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:USOILShort
by Tradu
Crude oil------Buy around 74.00, target 75.00-76.50Crude oil market analysis: Crude oil has been strong recently, and it is also because of the support of fundamentals and inventory data that crude oil has begun to strengthen. Today's idea is still bullish on crude oil. Continue to buy after the retracement. The daily moving average has begun to diverge. The small support for buying has reached around 72.00. The suppression position is around 74.00 and 77.60. I estimate that it will form a small shock and then break through and rise again. If it does not break 70.00, it is still strong. Buy crude oil around 74.00 today. Fundamental analysis: The interest rate results announced by the Federal Reserve last night remained unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, and the fourth consecutive meeting remained unchanged, which was in line with market expectations. The uncertainty of the United States about the future has led to no major changes in monetary policy in the near future. Operational suggestions Crude oil------Buy around 74.00, target 75.00-76.50
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by NuggetsWarriors
Will oil prices fall after the sharp surge in crude oil?Oil prices corrected under the dual pressure of news-driven factors and inventory data. Brent crude oil futures traded in a narrow range, reaching $76.38 per barrel, while WTI July contracts edged down to $73.35 per barrel. With intensified geopolitical uncertainties, market sentiment remains dominated by wait-and-see attitudes. The unexpected increase in EIA crude oil inventories dampened market optimism. According to the latest data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), crude oil inventories in the U.S. increased by 2.6 million barrels for the week ending June 14, far exceeding the market expectation of a 1.1 million barrel decline, indicating weak demand. The rebound in inventories has exerted downward pressure on oil prices. Oil prices have repeatedly crossed the moving average system, with the short-term objective trend showing a range-bound rhythm. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator is intertwined near the upper side of the zero axis, reflecting weak bullish momentum. It is expected that crude oil prices will mainly maintain a consolidative pattern, with the trading range between 79.00 and 73.00. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results. Trading Strategy: buy@75.0-76.0 TP:78.0-79.0
FX:USOILLong
by MyronWilson
The wealth code of crude oil is: low and long 💡Message Strategy According to market research, Iran's crude oil export infrastructure has not been directly hit yet, and most of the impact is still concentrated on shipping. However, analysts pointed out that once the conflict spreads to the entire region, oil prices are likely to rise further. The Strait of Hormuz has become the market's biggest concern. It is the throat of about one-fifth of the world's crude oil supply. Although there is no sign that Iran is trying to block the channel, any escalation of the situation may pose a serious threat to the global energy supply chain. "Trump's threat to Iran's supreme leader shows that diplomatic channels are no longer effective," said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo Financial Markets Ltd. in Singapore. "If Iran's exports are interrupted, or even in the worst case scenario such as the Hormuz blockade, oil prices may soar rapidly." The rise in geopolitical risks has also triggered turmoil in financial markets, with investors turning to safe-haven assets such as gold, and the volatility of the crude oil market has hit a three-year high. At the same time, crude oil producers have stepped up hedging operations, and futures and options trading volumes have surged. The latest API crude oil inventory data showed that U.S. crude oil inventories fell sharply last week, further reinforcing market expectations of tight supply. According to data released by the American Petroleum Institute (API) in the early hours of June 18, U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 11 million barrels in the week ending June 14, far exceeding market expectations of a decline of 2.5 million barrels, marking the largest weekly drop since August last year. 📊Technical aspects From a technical perspective, the daily chart of US crude oil (WTI) shows a clear bullish trend. After breaking through the previous high of $72, the price quickly rose and stabilized above $75, showing strong upward momentum. The current K-line has closed with long positive lines, and the red column of the MACD indicator has expanded, and the fast and slow lines have crossed, indicating that the bullish momentum continues to increase. At the same time, the price has moved away from the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. There is a possibility of a technical correction in the short term, but the overall trend is still upward. If the geopolitical situation continues to be tense, the target may be raised to $77.5 or even the integer mark of $80, and the support will focus on the vicinity of $72.50. 💰 Strategy Package Crude oil has reached our upward target of 74.00 yesterday and fell back. The current upward pressure on crude oil is around 75.50. If it breaks through upward, it will soon reach our second target of 77.50. rend: Upward trend Support: Around 72.50 Resistance: Around 75.50 Long Position:72.00-72.50，SL：71.50 The first target is around 75.00 The second target is around 77.50
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
Bullish momentum to extend?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 73.40 1st Support: 71.46 1st Resistance: 76.64 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by ICmarkets
WTI(20250619)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed's June meeting - kept interest rates unchanged for the fourth time in a row, and the dot plot showed two rate cuts this year, but the number of officials who expected no rate cuts this year rose to 7, and the rate cut expectations for next year were cut to 1. Powell continued to call for uncertainty, and the current economic situation is suitable for waiting and watching. He also expects tariff-driven inflation to rise in the coming months. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 72.69 Support and resistance levels: 75.60 74.51 73.81 71.58 70.88 69.79 Trading strategy: Upward breakthrough of 73.81, consider entering the market to buy, the first target price is 74.51 Downward breakthrough of 72.69, consider entering the market to sell, the first target price is 71.58
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by NuggetsWarriors