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Energy Commodities

WTI OIL Channel Up bottom buy signalWTI Crude Oil (USOIL) has almost touched the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of its September Channel Up, following a strong rejection (Bearish Led) just below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). With the 4H RSI entering its medium-term Buy Zone, we have a strong short-term buy signal at our hands. Our Target is $66.50, expecting a 1D MA200 test, below the 1.1 Fibonacci extension, below which the previous Higher High was priced. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
U.S. Gas prices recoverU.S. Gas prices recover On September 29, natural gas finished higher, reversing earlier losses. Prices had initially been pressured by forecasts of warmer-than-normal weather in the coming weeks, but later gained support from other factors — including data showing stronger export demand for U.S. natural gas. According to EBW Analytics, the above-average warmth is expected to limit natural gas demand through the first half of October. Citing DTN’s temperature forecasts, EBW noted that U.S. storage is projected to grow by about 270 bcf between September 26 and October 16. This means that whenever colder weather eventually arrives, markets will be well supplied, which should help cushion any price spikes. Now natural gas (XNGUSD) are trading at $3.39. In Europe storage facilities across the EU have reached 82.5% capacity ahead of winter, according to Gas Infrastructure Europe (GIE). On September 28, EU countries injected 206 million cubic meters of gas into storage, while withdrawals declined to 28 million cubic meters. Total storage now stands at 90.9 billion cubic meters — the seventh-highest September level in the historical record. Despite this progress, storage levels remain 6.9 percentage points below the five-year seasonal average and well under last year’s 94.2% mark for the same date. Under European Commission rules, member states must fill storage sites to at least 90% between October 1 and December 1 each year, though up to 10% flexibility is permitted under difficult conditions. These requirements are contributing to upward pressure on European gas prices.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by ProfessorSingapore
USOIL: Sideways-to-lower in a tight bandThis is my previous analysis — feel free to take a look for reference. 1. Institutional Forecast Updates IEA (Sep 15, 2025): WTI targets $64.2/bbl for 2025 and $47.8/bb l for 2026 Brent targets $68/bbl for 2025 and $51/bb l for 2026 Goldman Sach (Jul 14, 2025): WTI targets $63/bbl for H2 2025 and $52/bbl for 2026 Brent targets $64/bbl for H2 2025 and $56/bbl for 2026 J.P. Morgan (May 16, 2025): Brent targets $64/bbl for H2 2025 and $56/bbl for 2026 www.rigzone.com www.reuters.com www.jpmorgan.com 2. Key Drivers & Risks 📉 Supply OPEC+ unwinding cuts of 2.2 mb/d (2024–2025), plus +137 kb/d starting October 2025. Global supply reached 106.9 mb/d in Aug 2025; projected to rise by +2.7 mb/d to 105.8 mb/d in 2025. U.S. output hit a record 13.2–13.4 mb/d (2024–2025) Brazil, Guyana, and Canada are key contributors to non-OPEC+ growth. U.S. shale breakeven costs: ~$62–68/bbl. New offshore projects breakeven at ~$47/bbl. OECD inventories in July 2025: 2,848 million barrels; 58.1 days of forward cover. ✳️ Demand Global oil demand in 2024: ~103 mb/d (~193 EJ) 2025 demand growth of only +0.7 mb/d (weakest since 2009, excluding 2020). OPEC projects demand growth of +1.3 mb/d in 2025 and +1.4 mb/d in 2026. Consumption structure: transport accounts for ~two-thirds of oil demand; >90% of transport energy comes from oil. Petrochemicals (naphtha, LPG) remain a key driver of incremental demand. 🛑 Politics & Geopolitics Escalating Middle East tensions: growing risks in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea. Kurdistan–Turkey pipeline (~0.23 mb/d) subject to recurring disruptions. Venezuela: Chevron faces restrictions on U.S. exports. OPEC+ often produces ~0.5 mb/d below quota due to capacity limits. Long-term trend: EV adoption and emission policies structurally weaken demand growth. ✅ Overall View: Overall, governments both want to bring oil prices down to support their economies and also tend to protect oil companies, since prices are currently low relative to many firms’ breakeven levels. Prices are likely to edge gradually lower within a narrow range of $70–$50, and it is important to closely monitor factors that could trigger supply–demand shocks. 3. Technical Analysis * Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide. ** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals. *** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion. **** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
FX:USOILLong
by ZuperView
USOIL: Waiting for resistance rejection & buying at support zonePlease refer to my previous higher-timeframe analyses to better follow my current outlook on USOIL. * Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide. ** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals. *** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion. **** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
TVC:USOILLong
by ZuperView
HUT downside still to come?NASDAQ:HUT has had a great rally finally being subdued by the macro channel upper boundary resistance sending price back to the High Volume Node support on overbought RSI. RSI has reset to the EQ but has room to fall (or grow again). The next target is the High Volume Node resistance and R4 pivot at $44 with a terminal target of $65 If price loses the support node the next support target is the pivot and wave 1 high $24 and I would look out for a long here if we get it. Safe trading
NASDAQ:HUT
by Maddox_Metrics
BTDR Bounces from previous swing high support!NASDAQ:BTDR found support at the at the wave 1 high and R1 pivot and looks poised to continue to the first take profit target and all time High Volume Node tat $25! Wave (3) of 3 appears to be underway so should continue to be powerful! Analysis is invalidated if we drop below $13 and lose the High Volume Node support which sits at the Fibonacci golden from the wave (2) bottom. RSI did not reach overbought so has room to grow. Safe trading
NASDAQ:BTDR
by Maddox_Metrics
RIOT doesn't want to retrace this time!After hitting the High Volume Node and first take profit area NASDAQ:RIOT was rejected as expected but instead of a deep retracement continued to push powerfully back into the node looking poised for a breakout above! Once the resistance is clear and tested as support RIOT should move quickly to the next High Volume Node and take profit area at $40. Analysis is invalidated below the R2 pivot, $16, and the retracement will instead be underway! Safe trading
NASDAQ:RIOT
by Maddox_Metrics
9
CIFR deep pullback before more upside?CIFR appears to have completed 5 waves for wave (1) of 3 completing at the previous all time High Volume Node where we expect Elliot wave 1s to complete. The orange channel boundary also had a throwover and drop back, an ending pattern! Wave (2) has an expected shallow pullback of the 38.2 Fibonacci retracement at the daily pivot and High Volume Node support $7 where I will look out for long signals. The ascending 200EMA will also meet this point making it a quadruple support and an excellent opportunity area if price gets there! If we continue into price discovery the analysis will be invalidated and I'll take a breakout long. Daily RSI hit overbought but has since fell with no divergence. Safe trading
NASDAQ:CIFR
by Maddox_Metrics
CLSK Attempting a significant resistance breakout!NASDAQ:CLSK has awoken at long last and has smashed through the wave 1 resistance High Volume Node straight into the Macro Triangle upper boundary i have been sharing in the weekly time frame posts. Breaking out above this and wave D at $20 will be a bullish signal with significant upside to come! The High Volume Node resistance held as support in the big drop last week, quickly recovering back to highs showing strong demand. The next local target is the wave D resistance $20 with continued upside in wave 3 Daily RSI is overbought but divergence yet and daily 200EMA has flicked positive. Analysis is good unless we go back below wave 2 into the golden pocket. Safe trading
NASDAQ:CLSK
by Maddox_Metrics
5
WTI Crude Oil🔹 I’ve marked the key resistance zones. 🔹 If I see a reversal signal at any of these levels, I’ll go short. 🔹 The breakout scenario is always valid too—if a level breaks, I’ll take the trade in the direction of the market. 🚫 No bias towards numbers, levels, or analysis. ✨ The key is to flow with the market, not fight it. If you try to stand against it, the market won’t just take your money—it will crush your confidence too. 🎯 We’re only a small part of a bigger picture. Stay flexible, stay unbiased.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by ForexCSP
WTI extends drop after 200 MA testAfter printing an inverted hammer off its 200-day average on Friday, we have seen a sharp slide in oil prices today. Reports that the OPEC+ plans another increase to output in November is not helping the cause, with the market already fearful over excessive supply and weak demand growth. Key support at 61.50 to 62.00 area was tested multiple times last week and it held. A break below that zone this week could be pivotal, if seen. Resistance seen at 65.00 now, then the area between 66.50-67.00 - marking the 200 day MA. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
U.S. Natural Gas holds near 10-week highsU.S. Natural Gas holds near 10-week highs U.S. natural gas futures hovered around $3.20/MMBtu, a ten-week high, supported by lower output. Production in the Lower 48 slipped to 107.4 bcfd in early September from a record 108.3 bcfd in August. The earlier supply surge fueled large storage injections, leaving inventories 6% above the five-year average and 1% higher year-over-year. On the demand side, forecasts call for above-normal warmth into early October, while LNG feedgas flows averaged 15.7 bcfd—slightly below August levels. Longer-term risks remain. Global LNG capacity is projected to expand 60% by 2030, with half of the new supply coming from the U.S. This raises the threat of oversupply, potentially pressuring prices in Asia and Europe. Still, strong domestic demand—driven by slower renewable deployment and rising AI-related power needs—may lend support to U.S. prices. In Europe, gas inventories stand at 82.3% capacity, with France and Italy above 90% and Germany at 76.6%. Softer Asian demand due to milder cooling needs has freed up cargoes for Europe, helping push prices lower. Geopolitical risks remain in focus. NATO–Russia tensions and potential sanctions on Russian energy—including Europe’s ban on seaborne imports by 2027—could disrupt supply and limit downside.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
USOIL: Breaks $64.75 — Is a retest of $66 and higher level?This is my previous analysis — feel free to take a look for reference. * Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide. ** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals. *** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion. **** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
TVC:USOILLong
by ZuperView
USOIL: Range-bound setup with upside test before downside risk * Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide. ** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals. *** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion. **** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
TVC:USOILLong
by ZuperView
3
Options Blueprint Series [Basic]: Risk-Defined Bull Spread on CLIntroduction Crude Oil has been carving out a compelling structure on the daily timeframe. The chart has formed a Triple Bottom pattern, a classic base-building formation that often precedes significant directional moves. As prices approach a critical resistance area, traders are watching closely for confirmation of a breakout. Options provide a unique way to participate in such setups. Instead of buying futures outright — which exposes the trader to potentially unlimited downside — a Bull Call Spread allows participation with limited and predefined risk. Today, we’ll explore how this strategy can be structured on WTI Crude Oil (CL) Options on Futures to target a move higher while keeping risk controlled. Market Setup Chart pattern: Triple Bottom on the daily timeframe. Entry trigger: Breakout above 66.68, where the top line of the Triple Bottom coincides with the upper band of the Supertrend indicator. Target: ~70.63, which aligns with both the Triple Bottom projected objective and a relevant UFO (UnFilled Orders) resistance area. Trend context: A successful breakout here would not only complete the Triple Bottom pattern but also suggest a broader trend reversal on the daily chart. This confluence of technical signals makes 66.68 a price level worth paying attention to. The Strategy: Bull Call Spread A Bull Call Spread involves buying one call option with a lower strike and simultaneously selling another call option with a higher strike, both with the same expiration. Buy: CL Nov-17 65 Call (cost ≈ 2.77) Sell: CL Nov-17 71 Call (credit ≈ 1.02) Net debit (cost): ≈ 1.75 points Since each CL options contract represents 1,000 barrels of oil, the cost of this spread is about $1,750 per spread (subject to commissions). Why November 17? The timing matches the behavior of prior Supertrend cycles. The longest green cycle shown on the chart lasted about 37 trading days. By selecting Nov-17 expiration, the position allows sufficient time for a breakout and follow-through, while not overpaying for excess time value. Risk/Reward Profile From the risk graph: Maximum Profit: ≈ 4.25 points, or $4,250 per spread. Maximum Loss: ≈ 1.75 points, or $1,750 per spread. Reward-to-Risk Ratio: ~2.4:1. Breakeven: ~66.8 (very close to breakout level). The breakeven location is important: it aligns almost exactly with the breakout trigger on the chart. This means that if the technical pattern validates, the option structure begins to work immediately. The reward-to-risk ratio above reflects the pricing available at the time of building the spread. If a trader waits for confirmation of the breakout before entering, option premiums may rise, making the Bull Call Spread slightly more expensive. In that case, the risk-to-reward ratio would be somewhat less favorable, though the trade-off is higher confirmation of the technical signal. Trade Application Entry trigger: Now, or confirmed breakout above 66.68 depending on trader style. Target: ~70.63, aligning with the Triple Bottom projection and UFO resistance. Stop-loss consideration: If prices fall back below the Triple Bottom lows, the breakout thesis would be invalidated. Here, the options spread itself already caps the maximum loss at $1,750 per spread. Still, traders may choose to exit earlier if the chart setup fails, avoiding full risk. The defined-risk nature of the spread helps enforce discipline, as the worst-case scenario is known from the outset. Contract Specs & Margin Considerations WTI Crude Oil contracts at CME come in two main forms: Standard CL Contract: Represents 1,000 barrels of crude oil. A single point move = $1,000 P&L impact. Micro CL Contract (MCL): Represents 100 barrels of crude oil. A single point move = $100 P&L impact. Both contracts offer powerful ways to trade Crude Oil, and traders also have access to options on the Micro CL contract. This means the same Bull Call Spread structure can be applied with much smaller capital outlay. Instead of ~$1,750 risk per spread with the standard CL options, the risk would be about $175 per spread using MCL options. The availability of Micro contracts and options provides traders with greater flexibility to tailor exposure to account size and risk tolerance, while still benefiting from the same strategic advantages. Margin requirements vary depending on the broker and clearing firm, but options spreads like this one are far more capital-efficient compared to holding outright futures. The premium paid becomes the required margin ($1,750 or $175 in this case) as it defines the total risk, without margin calls tied to daily fluctuations. Risk Management The hallmark of this Bull Call Spread is defined risk. Unlike a naked long call, where premium decay can erode value quickly, the short 71 Call helps reduce the upfront cost and lowers time decay exposure. Key considerations: Position sizing: Limit risk per trade to a fraction of total trading capital. Time decay management: If the move happens quickly, consider taking profits early instead of holding until expiration. Adjustment potential: If CL approaches 70 quickly, traders may roll the short call higher to extend potential gains. Risk management is not just about setting stops; it’s also about designing positions where the worst-case scenario is tolerable before the trade is entered. This Bull Call Spread embodies that principle. Conclusion The WTI Crude Oil market is at a pivotal point. With a Triple Bottom base, a breakout above 66.68 could carry prices toward the 70.63 region, where unfilled orders and technical projections converge. A Bull Call Spread on the Nov-17 expiration offers a structured way to engage with this potential move. It balances opportunity with defined risk, aligning the technical chart setup with the capital efficiency of options on futures. As always, this is an educational case study designed to highlight how options can be used to structure trades around market scenarios. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by traddictiv