The BTC cycle that started at 84K is projected end at 114K This is a cycle update for BTC/USDT. Based on the cycle data, the cycle that started at 84K has ended at 114K. This indicates that we are now entering a new major trend breakdown in the cycle. It can take time, but when there is a new uptrend cycle, we will add.
This time frame and action made the end of the cycle that started from 84K
This could mean that btc can enter below 110K in the coming time. We have seen more times in the history of BTC that by the cycle end, the trend breaks down in steps.
ETH-D
BTC/USDT Breakdown: Loss of Key Levels Confirms Bearish Structur📉 BTC/USDT Market Update
Bitcoin has broken down key structural levels, confirming a bearish outlook in the short to mid-term.
✅ Low Time Frame Support Lost: The $112,083 – $112,531 demand zone has failed to hold, indicating that buyers are losing control on lower time frames.
✅ Main Trend Zone Rejected: The $113,798 – $114,000 supply area acted as strong resistance, and BTC was unable to reclaim this key trend level.
✅ Momentum: Current price action shows continuation to the downside, with sellers stepping in aggressively after repeated failed attempts to sustain higher levels.
Bias: Bearish
As long as BTC trades below $113,800, the market structure favors sellers. Further downside pressure may target the $111,000 – $110,800 range in the near term.
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $113,800 – $114,000 (Main trend rejection zone)
Support: $111,000 – $110,800 (Next liquidity pool)
BTC 110K Low time frame can be the return for Bitcoin📊 Market update low time frame
If there is good news, then BTC should confirm in 4H max.
If btc is able to gain 110K on the low time frame, there is a good chance we can go with BTC to a new uptrend, which could also mean good news for most of the altcoins.
All eyes are on the 10K in the coming time frame for a confirmation.
BTC can make a downtrend move to get volume with a spike to a low time frame, as we know from BTC.
IF BTC moves lower, the low time frame can change to 109800
110K can be the reason for 113K, and a confirmed main trend means a positive BTC
We will follow it step by step.
$ASTER is ready for ATH vibes again$ASTER is ready for ATH vibes again
Price Movement: The chart shows a significant uptrend from around $1,000 to a peak near $2,443, followed by a pullback to the current price of $2,049 (as of 10:44 UTC on September 25, 2025). This indicates a recent correction after hitting resistance.
Resistance Level: The horizontal red line at $2,443 acts as a key resistance level where the price struggled to break through, suggesting strong selling pressure at this point.
Support Zone: The intersection of the two trend lines (light blue upward trend and darker blue downward trend) around $2,000-$2,100 marks a potential support zone. The gray circles highlight this area where the price might find buying interest.
Trend Lines: The upward-sloping light blue line reflects the overall uptrend, while the downward-sloping darker blue line indicates a short-term correction or consolidation phase.
Volume and Momentum: While volume data isn't fully visible, the price action suggests momentum has slowed after the resistance test, with a 0.27% change indicating stability at the current level.
Outlook: The price is currently testing the support zone. A bounce from here could signal a retest of $2,443, while a break below $2,000 might lead to further downside toward $1,800-$1,900.
IMX NEW INCREASE VOLUME📊IMX has a pre-scan increase, which could build to a real increase in the coming time frame.
With the View of 2 levels, what IMX can target
Between $0,73 and $0,75, possibility of new uptrend volume
With the data study, this coin comes out as a coin that can show a new increase, even with the breakdown of the main market.
We will follow it to see what the possibilities are
AFTER END OF CYCLE BTC CAN RETURN BELOW 110K - 90K📊 BTC/USDT Market Update
Current Price: ~$113,509
Cycle Recap: From the $84,000 low to the $114,000 high, BTC has completed what looks like an end of cycle phase (as marked on chart).
We did explain here the end of the cycle
There is a high chance in the coming time that BTC will break down below 110K and enter the correction zone.
ETHUSDT 1D chart Review1. Trendline (orange) - was clearly pierced down → it is a signal of weakening the growth moment.
2. Horizers of support / resistance:
• Resistance: $ 4,604 (strong), above $ 4,960.
• Support: $ 4 150 (currently tested), next $ 3,958 and $ 3,696.
3. Price - currently ~ 4 169 $, i.e. right with the support of $ 4 150.
4. Candles - a strong inheritance candle after piercing the trend → weakness signal.
5. STOCHASTIC RSI - in the sales zone (<20), which may suggest the possibility of short -term reflection.
⸻
🔹 Application:
• Short date: possible reflection from $ 4 150 thanks to the sale (technical bounce).
• average date: If level $ 4 150 breaks and the candle closes below → the road opens to $ 3,958 and even $ 3,696.
• Only a return above $ 4 272 and a retest trendline from below would give a signal of buyers.
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👉 To sum up: The market is in the critical zone - support $ 4 150 decides.
• Bull: keeping the defense of this level + reflection from the sale.
• Bear: loss $ 4 150 = greater correction in the direction of $ 3 950–3 700.
ETH 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 26❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, Ethereum is currently ranging after its recent drop, sitting in a decision-making zone. It already faked the range low once and bounced back up, creating a clean trading structure. If ETH breaks above the $4,210 resistance, it could complete its correction and push higher. On the other hand, if ETH continues its deeper correction, a break and confirmation below the $4,135 support would open the way to lower levels.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, it’s now hovering around the 50 zone. A cross above 51 could trigger a bullish breakout, while a cross below 35 would suggest Ethereum is heading for a deeper correction.
🕯 Candle size and volume have shrunk inside this range, showing clear consolidation. Buyers and sellers are in a tug-of-war, and we’d prefer not to trade in these tight squeezes with heavy volume until a clear winner emerges. A breakout of the range will likely need strong “whale candles” to confirm direction.
💸 The ETH/BTC pair also shows a similar structure — after its recent drop, it has entered a tight consolidation pattern that mirrors the price action seen against USDT.
🧠 For trading ETH, patience is key. Wait to see which side Ethereum chooses to break out from. Once the range high or low (outlined above) is taken out with confirmation, we can look for a position in that direction.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH is Sinking Deep: Strong Downtrend and Big SELL Opportunity!Currently, ETH/USDT is under strong selling pressure due to both fundamental and technical factors . According to the latest news, over 2.6 million ETH (equivalent to about $11.7 billion ) is waiting to be withdrawn from the Ethereum network. When these ETH are released, it will create significant selling pressure, greatly affecting ETH's price in the short term. This could lead to investor anxiety and a potential sell-off, diminishing confidence in the market.
From a technical perspective , the chart shows a descending wedge, with lower highs and the current bottom becoming weak. It is highly likely that ETH will drop to the support level at $4,110 before making any new moves.
Given these factors, the appropriate trading strategy is to open a SELL order if the price cannot break through the resistance at $4,410 and falls below the support at $4,110. The Stop Loss should be placed at $4,450, just above the resistance, and Take Profit at $4,110.
In conclusion, ETH is facing a strong downtrend in the short term. Investors should keep an eye on the market and open a SELL order as the price continues to drop.
Entry Point: Sell at 4180 **Trade Setup**
Entry Point: Sell at 4180
Stop Loss: Set your stop loss just above the resistance level at approximately 4210 to minimize risk
Take Profit: Aim for a profit target around 4000, where previous support levels have formed.
**Timeframe**
This setup is ideal for short to medium-term traders. Monitor for changes in market sentiment.
**Conclusion**
As Ethereum approaches the 4180 level with bearish signals, this could present a selling opportunity. Be sure to manage your risk and adjust your strategy based on market developments.
Good luck and trade wisely!
ETH/USDTCurrently trading in a local consolidation, moving within its range expansion.
After a deviation below the range low, long setups can be considered — but only if confirmation conditions are met.
Potential short opportunities may appear in the 4400–4500 zone, again only with proper confirmations.
ETH Correction Finally Underway!Local Analysis / Targets / Elliot Wave
I have been banging the drum about a deeper ETH pullback for a weeks and it appears to be finally underway with bearish market structure confirmed with the lower low from yesterday. Online sentiment, mainstream media attention, silly price targets from analysts, discussions of the ‘the flippening’ returned and Trumps son bragging on X were all major warning signs of a local top. The ETH validator exit queue is record breaking causing a delay of 40+ days if you want to un-stake your ETH. Wrapped Ethereum like stETH may be a good option if you really want out fast! Weather this supply hits the markets is still up in the air.
Price is in the High Volume Node support and below the daily pivot. This isn’t likely to break immediately but after a few attempts to weaken it first (4? lol). The first target for the end of the correction is the same as a few weeks ago - the S1 pivot, rising daily 200EMA and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at $3500, followed by the S2 pivot, High Volume Node support and 0.786 ‘alt-coin golden pocket’ at $2700. This could present a great buy opportunity.
RSI is making its way to oversold which is a good sign when in a range.
Standard Deviation Band Analysis
Standard deviation bands tell a different story with price still only testing the fair value regression line as resistance after presenting a fantastic buy opportunity from the green zone earlier this year. Price rides this line most of the time as you can see by looking left. A significant breakout above would see the SD+2 threshold target around $7000, a blow off top could reach $10,000 at the SD+3 threshold.
Safe trading
ETH/USDT -> Clear Head & Shoulders → bearish biasHello guys!
Pattern: obvious Head & Shoulders on the 4-hour. The neckline was taken out by a large bearish candle, which is a good confirmation of the breakdown.
Retest: price is testing the broken neckline/supply zone (blue box). The current action is a classic retest → if it gets rejected here again, probability favors more downside.
Target: the measured move projects into the red box; roughly ~$3,850 (range $3.7k–$3.9k depending on where you measure the neckline/head). This level also lines up with the last major resistance zone, so it’s a natural magnet.
Momentum: RSI showed divergence around the head and has dropped into oversold territory with a small relief bounce.
Invalidation: a clean, sustained reclaim and close back above the blue supply zone (above ~4.32–4.40k with conviction) would invalidate the immediate H&S bearish thesis and open the door for a deeper retrace.
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A simple trade idea:
Short on a failed retest of the blue box (4.20–4.32k) after a bearish price candle.
Stop: just above the supply zone / last swing high.
Targets: scale profits into 3.9k then 3.8k (final target ~3.7–3.9k). Trail if price action turns constructive.
Manage risk: keep position sizing sensible.
ETH 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 25😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 4-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 4H timeframe for Ethereum, we can see that after breaking below its maker-buyer zone, ETH moved down toward lower support levels, experiencing a **7% drop** — an unexpected move that even pushed major holders to sell. Ethereum is now sitting at a **multi-timeframe support zone**, and if this level is lost, it could head toward the next lower maker-buyer area, where we’ll need to observe how price reacts.
🧮 The **RSI oscillator** shows ETH deep in the **oversold zone** with heavy selling pressure. Buyers have yet to step in, meaning that with more sell-side momentum, Ethereum could remain oversold for an extended period.
🕯 The **size and volume of red candles** have increased sharply in a short span of time. This fast move down with fewer candles signals **strong selling sentiment**, while price itself looks uncertain about its next direction.
💸 Looking at **ETHBTC**, the pair experienced a sharp drop and deep correction with the start of the new week. It is also resting at a multi-timeframe support zone. If that breaks, Ethereum could face a further correction.
🧠 As for positioning, it’s still early. We’d prefer to wait for the market to build a stronger structure and possibly a wider range before entering. A **short position below the 4147 support** is possible with low risk, but since RSI remains heavily oversold, we must also consider the potential for a **price rebound**.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Possible Pre-Skyrocket ManipulationSince every soul on this earth knows that we will see huge bull-moves with given and upcoming rate cuts + october price action, its not unlikely that we COULD manipulate even lower after the Billion Dollar liquidation move overnight.
IF we do so, we would do it pretty fast and continue the displacement from the bearish head and shoulders pattern that broke the daily 50 EMA%SMA in the next few weeks.
On a technical site, there is still a huge amount of liquidity on CRYPTO:ETHUSD left (around 20B$), most accumulated at around 3.450$.
Strangely enough, that area matches the current ranges equilibrium, standard deviation levels of prior bearish manipulation moves, KEY SR Levels of 3400 and 3200, monthly and daily imbalances (which will get filled sooner or later), the 200D EMA and 50W EMA, AND the current htf bullish trendline and broken triangle resistance...
If we hit this before mid-October, these will be free longs, and I will DCA into my position, which sits at 1.794$ currently.
ETH - 17/09 VS TODAY - MASTERCALL AGAIN! 🏆 #ETH - 17/09 vs Today - Update 🔄
Medium-Term Outlook: “Insane Plays Ahead!” 🔥
🎯Targets hit: $4,000–$4,050 liquidity zone ✔️
Current TA:
🔸Price rejected sharply; H4 looks bearish, RSI is highly oversold.
🔸Short-term: potential for a relief bounce!
🔸Possible scenario: Retest of the $4,300–$4,350 former support ahead? 📈
Weekly Structure
🔹Bias stays bullish long-term.
🔹BUT: Structure reminds me a lot of #BTC right before its massive run!
🔹Are we about to see an extra dip towards $3,700- $3,800 before the next moon mission? (Check chart for context!)📉💣
Short-Term Bias
🔹Price action = Neutral & tricky.
🔹Bulls want a reclaim above $3,780 to keep the upper hand.
🔹Big risk: If we break below $3,780 → likely drop to $3,300–$3,200 range!⚠️
Local Support Zones
$4,070
$4,000
💡Summary
Still bullish medium/long term, but a further correction is very possible before liftoff!
Bulls need to hold $3,780. Below = trouble…Above = game still on for ATH attempts later. 📉
ETH Swing Long Idea - RDM is in playETH Swing Long Idea
📊 Market Sentiment
FED has resumed its rate-cutting cycle, starting with a 0.25% cut in September, with two more 0.25% cuts expected in the coming months. Additionally, institutional liquidity inflows have accelerated as the U.S. officially adopts crypto as part of its reserves. While inflation remains elevated, the weakening labor market is forcing the FED to ease, driving more capital into risk-on assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price is in HTF bullish order flow, so I will only be looking for long setups.
ETH made its all-time high and is currently retracing to gather more energy for higher moves.
Price also ran the HTF Range Low liquidity, which contained significant liquidity — an engineered move I expect to lead the market higher.
📘 Range Deviation Model (RDM)
In this model, I define the HTF Range High/Low. I wait for price to run one side of the range liquidity (either Range High or Range Low), then close back inside the range. That becomes the entry trigger, targeting internal range liquidity first. If HTF trend supports, the opposite range liquidity becomes the full target.
📌 Game Plan
I will be playing the Range Deviation Model (RDM) here.
Looking for a daily close above 4065$ as validation.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Entry after daily close above 4065$.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 4000$
Targets:
TP1: 4484$
TP2: 4700$
TP3: 4965$
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
$USELESS liquidity sweep **liquidity sweep** in trading happens when the price of a coin or asset quickly moves to a level where many stop-loss orders or pending orders (buy/sell) are placed, triggering them. These orders are often clustered at key support or resistance levels, like round numbers or recent highs/lows. Large players (like whales or institutions) may intentionally push the price to these levels to "sweep" or clear out this liquidity (execute these orders), allowing them to buy low or sell high before the price reverses.
**In simple words**: It’s when the market price suddenly moves to hit a bunch of stop-losses or pending orders, clearing them out, often before a big price move in the opposite direction. For example, if many traders set stop-losses just below a support level, a liquidity sweep might push the price down to trigger those stops, then bounce back up.
**How to use this in trading**:
- Watch key levels (support/resistance) on charts where stop-losses might cluster.
- Avoid placing stop-losses at obvious levels (e.g., exact round numbers like $0.10).
- For coins like #WLFI or #USELESS, check order books or volume spikes to spot potential sweeps.
- Manage risk by using smaller position sizes and setting stops away from crowded levels.
Always confirm price action and trends before acting, especially with volatile new coins.
Ethereum: Undervalued Powerhouse or September Slump? Ethereum: Undervalued Powerhouse or September Slump? Breakout to $5K on the Horizon?
Ethereum (ETH) has held steady around $4,300 this month amid a choppy crypto market, down about 15% from its August all-time high but showing resilience with a modest 0.52% gain today to $4,328.5. Early September saw over $500 million in outflows from spot Ethereum ETFs, reversing summer inflows and fueling doubts about institutional appetite.
Yet, with analysts eyeing a potential rally to $9,000–$12,000 by year-end 2025 driven by ETF rotation and broader adoption, is ETH the undervalued blue-chip crypto ready for a rebound, or will seasonal weakness cap its upside? Let's dive into the fundamentals, charts, and key levels to navigate this pivotal moment.
Fundamental Analysis
Ethereum's core drivers remain tied to its ecosystem growth and macroeconomic tailwinds, but recent ETF flows have introduced volatility. As the backbone for DeFi, NFTs, and layer-2 scaling, ETH benefits from rising staking rewards and network upgrades like Dencun, which have boosted efficiency.
Analysts project ETH could hit $5,194 by late September, with long-term forecasts up to $12,000 in 2025 if institutional demand surges via ETFs. However, sticky inflation and Fed policy uncertainty could delay rate cuts, pressuring risk assets like crypto.
- **Positive:**
- Record ETF inflows in July–August signal growing institutional interest; recent positive territory returns hint at rotation back to ETH.
- Staking growth and adoption in DeFi (e.g., Aave, Uniswap) underscore undervaluation, with ETH's market cap at ~$520 billion versus Bitcoin's dominance.
- Broader trends like AI-blockchain integration and regulatory clarity (e.g., potential spot ETFs for challengers like Sui) bolster ETH's utility.
- **Negative:**
- $500M+ ETF outflows in early September reflect profit-taking and risk-off sentiment amid U.S. labor market weakness.
- Seasonal September weakness in crypto, compounded by geopolitical risks, could extend the correction if Bitcoin falters.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, ETH is coiling in a tight symmetrical triangle pattern after bouncing from the $4,320–$4,325 support base, with volume picking up on the upside. This consolidation follows a descending channel breakdown, but the hold above key EMAs suggests building momentum for a potential impulse wave higher. Current price: $4,328.5, with VWAP at $4,300 providing intraday support.
Key indicators:
- **RSI (14-day):** Hovering at 48, neutral but nearing oversold territory— a dip below 40 could signal a strong bounce. 📈
- **MACD:** Histogram in negative territory, but the signal line crossover is imminent, hinting at bullish divergence if volume confirms. ⚠️
- **Moving Averages:** Price above the 21-day EMA ($4,280) but testing the 50-day SMA ($4,350)—a sustained hold here avoids short-term bearish pressure.
Support/Resistance: Firm support at $4,320 (recent low and 200-day EMA), with major resistance at $4,500 (August high). Patterns/Momentum: The triangle apex nears; a bullish breakout above $4,500 could target $4,800–$4,952, while failure risks a retest of $4,200. 🟢 Bullish signals: Accumulation on hourly charts. 🔴 Bearish risks: Death cross if 50-day SMA flips below 200-day.
Scenarios and Risk Management
- **Bullish Scenario:** A clean break above $4,500 on ETF inflow news or positive macro data (e.g., softer PCE) targets $4,800 initially, then $5,000–$9,000 by Q4. Buy on pullbacks to $4,320 support for optimal entry.
- **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below $4,320 eyes $4,200 (psychological level); a full death cross could accelerate to $3,800. Avoid longs if Bitcoin slips under $60K.
- **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound $4,200–$4,500 if data remains mixed, ideal for scalping or options plays.
Risk Tips: Set stops 2–3% below support ($4,200) to cap losses. Risk no more than 1–2% of portfolio per trade. Diversify with BTC or stablecoins to hedge crypto correlations—avoid overexposure in this volatile September.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, a bullish bias emerges if ETH reclaims $4,500 and ETF flows reverse, positioning it as an undervalued play with 100%+ upside potential into 2025 amid institutional rotation.
But watch today's crypto volatility and upcoming Fed signals for confirmation—this fits the classic September Effect of weakness before Q4 rallies. What's your take? Bullish on ETH's rebound or sitting out the slump? Share in the comments!