ETH-D
2063.38 ~ 2261.70: Support zone forming
Hello, traders!
Follow us to get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day!
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The current position can be viewed from two perspectives.
First, we need to consider whether the price can rise after finding support in the 1597.76 ~ 1879.61 range.
This is because, as seen in the chart above (), if it declines, it will enter a range with no end in sight.
Therefore, to maintain the uptrend, the price must remain above the 1597.76 ~ 1879.61 range.
-
Second, we need to consider whether the price can rise after finding support in the currently forming DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicator ranges.
The range we are trying to create, i.e., the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, is the 2063.38 ~ 2261.70 range.
If support is found in this range, it would be a good time to buy.
This is because, as seen in the chart above, the upward trend can only continue if the price rises above the 2419.83 to 2706.15 level.
-
When a new candlestick is formed, we need to check whether the BSSC indicator rises above the 0 level.
This is because a rise above the 0 level indicates that buying pressure is dominant.
Therefore, the price is likely to rise.
However, as mentioned earlier, the key question is whether buying pressure can gain enough momentum to break above the 2419.83 to 2706.15 level.
To determine this, we need to check whether the On-Bottom Volume (OBV) indicator rises above the High Line and remains there.
Currently, the OBV indicator is showing signs of re-entering the Low Line, so we need to see if the price maintains the 2063.38 to 2261.70 range and rises toward the High Line.
Therefore, to break above the 2419.83 ~ 2706.15 range and continue the uptrend, the StochRSI, BSSC, and OBV indicators must show upward trends.
If possible,
1. The StochRSI indicator should not enter the overbought zone.
2. The BSSC indicator should remain above zero.
3. The OBV indicator should maintain prices above the High Line.
A rise in the OBV indicator above the High Line indicates a high probability of a decline below the High Line in the near future.
In other words, a re-crossing of the High Line indicates a decline from the high range.
If the StochRSI indicator also rises to the overbought zone and then declines, this also indicates a decline from the high range. Therefore, it is recommended to monitor the movements of the StochRSI indicator alongside the OBV indicator.
The BSSC indicator is a comprehensive evaluation of the MFI, AD Line, and Williams %R indicators.
Therefore, like the StochRSI and OBV indicators, it is a leading indicator, so I believe it can be helpful for intuitively identifying trends.
Leading indicators aren't always ideal.
This is because real-time indicator movements can make chart interpretation more difficult.
In other words, during periods of volatility, real-time indicator movements can lead to false positives, misinterpreting price movements.
Therefore, when referencing indicators, it's important to check for support and resistance points or support within a range.
In conclusion, the most important factor is how influential support and resistance points are drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
The success of a trade depends on considering the characteristics of the support and resistance points, assessing whether support is present near them, and developing a trading strategy accordingly.
The indicators used in this chart are StochRSI, OBV, and MACD as basic indicators, with modified indicators like HA-Low, HA-High, DOM(-60), and DOM(60).
The key indicators here are the HA-Low and HA-High, which initiate trades.
By combining the HA-Low and HA-High indicators with the DOM(-60) and DOM(60) indicators, you can create a basic trading strategy.
This basic trading strategy involves buying in the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range and selling in the HA-High to DOM(60) range.
However, if the HA-High to DOM(60) range rises, a stepwise upward trend is likely, while if the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range falls, a stepwise downward trend is likely.
Therefore, trading should be done in segmented phases.
Basically, the best time to buy is when support is found in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range.
However, if support is found in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range and the price rises, a step-like upward trend is likely. While buying in this range is possible, it carries a higher risk. It's best to day trade and switch to short-term trading when the price begins to rise above the DOM(60) indicator.
-
I believe the timeframe for confirming support in the coin market is shorter than in the stock market.
This is because the coin market offers significantly more trading time.
Therefore, confirming support in the coin market requires a period of one to three days.
Confirming support doesn't necessarily mean an upward trend.
This is because the price may move sideways as it enters a sideways trading range.
To determine whether the current price is in a sideways range, you need to examine whether it falls within the Low Line and High Line of the On-By-Value (OBV) indicator.
You can also determine whether the sideways range is rising or falling by examining whether the channel formed by the Low Line and High Line is a rising or falling channel.
-
Before asking whether the price will rise or fall, I believe it's best to first examine the movements of the indicators provided on the chart to determine the current situation.
Ultimately, you can only make trades based on your own judgment.
ETH's next volatility period is around March 2nd, while BTC's next volatility period is around February 17th. Therefore, we need to examine the direction in which the price deviates from the 1879.61 to 2419.83 range by February 17th.
-
Thank you for reading to the end. We wish you a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
Ethereum · The ABC correction is over —volume analysisLet's see if we can figure out what is happening here.
Ethereum is producing great volume today, really high, at least twice or even thrice as much as the daily average yet prices are not rising. What is happening here?
I can speculate that this is happening because of massive selling. There are tons of (misguided) sellers but all this selling is being bought. So prices are not rising but neither dropping. Volume continues to rise and it is going to be a huge volume day.
Here is what is going to happen: Once all the selling is absorbed, we get a strong bullish jump.
I will keep this one short.
The correction is over, it is as clear as a cloudless sky. It cannot be denied.
The ensuing rise will put ETHUSDT at $3,000 in a flash; this is the first resistance level, right below $3,000.
I am certain we will go higher in this bullish phase. How high? I don't know, but the recovery won't end at 3K, it will go much higher. Just buy and hold, go long.
We are looking at the best entry possible. It will become complicated to buy once prices start to grow. There will be strong volatility, big price swings. It will be hard... But, if you enter now, it is already over and it is just too easy.
Namaste.
$BMNR: The $161 Ghost Top – Will the Great price void be filled?💀📉 💀📉
We need to talk about #BMNR.
Tom Lee’s vision of an 'Ethereum Treasury' is a grand experiment, but for retail investors, it’s becoming a house of mirrors.
The Trap: Thousands of retail accounts are trapped at the $100+ entry levels. With the current price at $25, the psychological damage is already done.
The Gap: Look at the monthly chart. There is a massive, unfilled gap from $12.38 down to the $4.57 zone.
The Reality: $4 billion of unrealised losses on just $79.3M in revenue is not a business; it's a high-stakes bet with YOUR capital. $200M stake on youtuber is a massive gamble. Completely unrelated to bringing Tradfi on chain.
Warning: If we lose the $24.33 support, the next unfulfilled targets will likely be met.
With $16.70 a high conviction probability imho.
#BMNR #TomLee #Ethereum #StockMarketCrash #RetailTrap #DilutionWarning
📉 3 Red Flags
1. The "Split-Adjusted" Illusion & High-Price Trap
The stock reached an all-time high of $161 earlier in the year but is currently trading around $25.10.
The Danger: Retail investors who "bought the top" are now sitting on 84% losses.
The Gap: There is a significant technical gap back toward the $3.20 - $5.00 range (the 52-week low). If the market loses faith in the "Ethereum Treasury" narrative, the stock could gravity-pull toward its DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) fair value of just $0.18.
2. The "Alchemy of 5%" vs. Extreme Dilution
Tom Lee’s strategy, "The Alchemy of 5%," aims to control 5% of the total ETH supply.
The Dilution: To fund this, Lee recently asked shareholders to approve a 100x increase in authorised shares—from 500 million to 50 billion.
The Warning: While Lee claims this keeps the share price "reasonable," it effectively ensures that current retail holders will be massively diluted unless ETH prices go parabolic immediately.
3. The Financial "Flippening"
The company’s latest financials (Q1 2026) showed a staggering $5.2 billion net loss, flipping from a profit just one quarter prior.
Fragile Model: Despite having $14 billion in assets, the revenue from staking.
Is only revenue if sold for Dollars.
He made himself a Eth whale --- where dumping is part of the business model.
The Risk: This creates a situation where the stock trades purely on the sentiment of ETH, but with the overhead of a massive corporate cash-burn.
After a 31% drawdown, are we due for a relief bounce?After the ~30% drop I mentioned earlier, are we due for a relief bounce this weekend toward the 2400 range before another leg down, possibly to 1700?
Indicators are already showing bullish divergence on lower timeframes. There’s also a scenario where ETH breaks above 2400 and continues higher.
ETH: Same Cycle, New Year?CRYPTOCAP:ETH based on historical price action and market structure, ETH appears to be following a similar pattern seen in previous bear market cycles.
In past bear markets, ETH has declined 70%–85% from the cycle top. If a comparable drawdown plays out from the recent highs, price could revisit the $1,000–$1,100 zone, which aligns with a major historical demand area and prior accumulation range.
This region could act as a potential bottom.
DYOR, NFA
#etherum
Ethereum Roadmap: Will ETH Bounce or Begin a Deeper Correction!?Today, I’d like to dive into an analysis of Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSDT ). Given that over 80% of tokens in the crypto market are built on the Ethereum blockchain, Ethereum’s performance can serve as a roadmap for other tokens on the network.
So, stay tuned!
In recent times, Ethereum hasn’t been able to keep pace with Bitcoin’s growth and struggled to set a new All-Time High(ATH=$4,956). After Bitcoin’s decline, Ethereum also started to drop and is currently moving near the Heavy Support zone($2,160-$1,370), Support lines, Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($1,745-$1,629), and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that Ethereum has completed its main five-wave impulsive. This suggests that we might now be entering a corrective phase. The extent of this correction will depend on multiple factors, and technical analysis alone won’t predict the exact magnitude of Ethereum’s decline in the coming days or weeks. Nonetheless, I’ll keep you updated step-by-step.
Looking at the USDT.D%( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ), it’s currently on an upward trend. This rising dominance can lead to further declines in Ethereum, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Another important index is the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield ( TVC:US10 ). If the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield continues its upward movement, it can put additional pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) and Ethereum, leading to further declines.
Now, the question is: where might we see Ethereum resume its upward trajectory?
It’s likely that Ethereum will continue its downward movement(-30%), potentially filling the CME Gap($2,344-$2,186), CME Gap($1,745-$1,629) near the $2,000(Round Number). Once it stabilizes around that zone, we could look for signs of a recovery.
However, if Ethereum breaks below its Heavy Support zone($2,160-$1,370), we might face even more significant declines, potentially exceeding -60%.
Where do you think Ethereum will start to rise again? Or are more red days ahead?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Ethereum Analyze (ETHUSDT), Weekly time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Ethereum hits bottom at $1,750 —Time to go LONGEther just hit bottom as a higher low compared to April 2025.
When the lowest point came up in April, it was coupled with the highest bearish volume candle in years. When the lowest point came up in February 2026, it is coupled with the highest bearish volume since April 2025. $1385 vs $1750.
On this chart you can also see a classic ABC correction. The final leg, the C wave, is extremely steep. Such a strong move cannot last that long. It lasted a long while but it looks like it already ran its course.
This bearish move is ending as a higher low.
This might not be the end of the bear market of course, we have some reckoning to do later in 2026. But now, the entire Cryptocurrency market is about to turn big green.
Since you were with me through all the ups and down, I just wanted to be the first to let you know.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
ETH - V Reversal - Livermore Accumulation Cylinder to ATHLivermore accumulation cylinders are my bread and butter. ETH just posted it's final low into a 5+ year liquidation zone within a livermore accumulation cylinder
All of the on-chain liquidations are decimated, there are no more forced sellers.
Up only from 1739.
ETH Ethereum Bear Market If you haven`t bought the recent Double Bottom on Ethereum:
Now you need to know that historically, Ethereum has shown a tendency to retrace in December before starting a recovery around March. This pattern could repeat this season, with ETH facing selling pressure as year-end portfolio rebalancing and macro uncertainties weigh on the market.
While a brief Santa Claus rally might provide temporary relief, the bearish trend is expected to dominate until March. By then, ETH could trade below $3,000 before regaining momentum, aligning with its historical recovery trend as market conditions stabilize in spring.
ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 1607.90 BPC 12© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework
Bolzen Market Institute
🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector.
TradingView Publication Date: 06.02.2026
🏷 1607.90 — price not yet reached at time of publication.
🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant — Strength Index: 12
Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks.
🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard.
🏷 Static Stream 1: price published in energy-block production sequence.
🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not by time, but by execution priority. Crucially: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution order records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic stream is tied to proprietary energy-production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it.
EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω²
📎 Screenshot:
🏷 When trading from levels, use liquidity zones from BPC 10 and above.
🏷 Bolzen Liquidity Map — ETH (numerical equivalent):
🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations.
The persistent ETH and BTC Energy Grid Dashboard remains publicly accessible and is intended for international institutional review.
Dear international community,
I extend my gratitude to the TradingView moderation team for their impartiality and support of analytical work at the global level, as well as to all who follow my research. This platform serves as a space to demonstrate contributions to the advancement of market analytics.
Attention and time are your most valuable resources. ATH is emotion; timeframes are your truest allies. Thank you.
— The Architect
BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 1737.02 BPC 28© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework
Bolzen Market Institute
🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector.
TradingView Publication Date: 06.02.2026
🏷 1737.02 — price not yet reached at time of publication.
🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant — Strength Index: 28
Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks.
🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard.
🏷 Static Stream 1: price published in energy-block production sequence.
🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not by time, but by execution priority. Crucially: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution order records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic stream is tied to proprietary energy-production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it.
EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω²
📎 Screenshot:
🏷 When trading from levels, use liquidity zones from BPC 10 and above.
🏷 Bolzen Liquidity Map — ETH (numerical equivalent):
🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations.
The persistent ETH and BTC Energy Grid Dashboard remains publicly accessible and is intended for international institutional review.
Dear international community,
I extend my gratitude to the TradingView moderation team for their impartiality and support of analytical work at the global level, as well as to all who follow my research. This platform serves as a space to demonstrate contributions to the advancement of market analytics.
Attention and time are your most valuable resources. ATH is emotion; timeframes are your truest allies. Thank you.
— The Architect
BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 1872.78 BPC 22© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework
Bolzen Market Institute
🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector.
TradingView Publication Date: 01.01.2026
🏷 1872.78 — price not yet reached at time of publication.
🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant — Strength Index: 22
Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks.
🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard.
🏷 Static Stream 1: price published in energy-block production sequence.
🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not by time, but by execution priority. Crucially: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution order records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic stream is tied to proprietary energy-production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it.
EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω²
📎 Screenshot:
🏷 When trading from levels, use liquidity zones from BPC 10 and above.
🏷 Bolzen Liquidity Map — ETH (numerical equivalent):
🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations.
Imagine price on a chart moving in a “zigzag”—up, then down, in an apparently chaotic sequence.
To this dynamic we introduce Magnitude 1.0 —a mathematical construct whose purpose is to trace a single, smooth, continuous line that best captures the overall direction of what initially appears to be disorderly motion.
This is analogous to the tire mark left on wet asphalt after a sharp maneuver: the track is jagged, yet you can still discern an “average” line indicating the vehicle’s general trajectory.
Magnitude 1.0 filters noise —minor fluctuations, emotional impulses, short-term liquidity spikes. It reveals not randomness, but structure .
Unlike linear models, Magnitude 1.0 permits this “average line” to be nonlinear , which is critical in markets where trends are rarely straight—especially in crypto assets.
Now we introduce Magnitude 1.1 —the logical forward extension of Magnitude 1.0.
If Magnitude 1.0 is a smooth curve fitted through historical data, then Magnitude 1.1 is its extrapolation beyond the observable time horizon .
This is not a forecast, but a hypothesis :
“If the market continues behaving as it has over the past N periods, price will most likely reside somewhere here.”
Magnitude 1.0 is a tool of anticipation, not action. It answers the question:
“What level could reasonably serve as a target, assuming the current market geometry holds?”
Yet the market is a living system. A new announcement, a liquidity shift, a macro impulse—any of these can instantly invalidate the hypothesis. Thus, the value of Magnitude 1.1 emerges only in context :
- current volume,
- position relative to key structural levels,
- the state of the external information environment.
Consider a river.
Magnitude 1.0 defines its general channel, despite waves, eddies, and local turbulence.
Magnitude 1.1 speculates where the river might flow next— if the terrain remains unchanged .
But if rain begins or a dam appears, the hypothesis collapses.
You do not build your house based on Magnitude 1.1. You merely prepare for one of several plausible scenarios.
Why does this matter?
Within the framework of Capital Geometry , where price is not merely a number but a projection of hidden structure:
- Magnitude 1.0 extracts implicit architecture from the chaos of price data,
- Magnitude 1.1 tests the temporal resilience of that structure— without conflating the model with reality .
This aligns with a foundational principle:
Analysis is not prediction—it is preparation for a sequence of events.
To whom is this addressed?
— Not to retail traders leveraging 100x.
— Not to those who “draw” arbitrarily on charts, then complain that price “goes the wrong way,” oblivious to timeframe hierarchy.
— Not to those who operate without defining price ranges or structural context.
This material is intended for institutional players, quantitative analysts, and those capable of decoding the embedded information .
It is a gesture of respect to those who think in terms of capital geometry , not short-term speculation.
The retail sector operates via mechanics : trading from levels within near-term ranges, only after confirmation and closure on timeframes of 1D and higher.
But if your analysis relies solely on indicators supplied by vested corporate entities for the purpose of disinformation—it is no surprise you fear the future.
Some are deceived by randomness, others lack patience, and a third group has merely been favored by capital—to make the crowd believe in illusion.
Volume. Time. Price.
These categories belong to a fading era.
Each is governed by deeper mathematical magnitudes.
Some participants provide liquidity, others are professional traders, and others still are analysts.
And then there are those who remain in the shadows—yet whose work forms the bedrock of market order.
I extend to you a sign of respect.
Because between the lines, you understand .
I assist those who think .
And I conceal pathways—not out of fear, but out of respect for the capital that engineered this system.
It is logical. Designed. And projected years ahead.
Thank you.
— The Architect
BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
The "US Bitcoin Reserve" is a Lie. (A Macro Deep Dive)While Retail is chasing headlines about a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve," Smart Money is aggressively de-risking. Why? Because the "News" is a linguistic misunderstanding, and the "Macro" just turned violently bearish.
If you are buying this dip because you think the US Government is about to print trillions to buy Bitcoin, you are walking into a trap. Today, we are going to deconstruct the three pillars of this bearish thesis: The "Project Vault" Deception, The Kevin Warsh Pivot, and the Technical Reality of DXY and ETHUSD .
__________________________________________________________________________________
1. The "Project Vault" Deception (Fact Check) 🕵️♂️
The entire bullish narrative right now hangs on the rumor that the administration's "$12 Billion Project Vault" is a secret plan to accumulate Bitcoin.
This is false.
I dug into the executive details. "Project Vault" is indeed a strategic reserve, but not for Crypto. It is a stockpile for Critical Minerals ,specifically Gallium, Cobalt, and Lithium—to secure the US defense supply chain against China.
• Retail hears: "Vault" = Cold Storage for BTC.
• Reality: "Vault" = Warehouses for EV Batteries and Fighter Jet components.
• The Takeaway: The market is pricing in a massive liquidity injection for Crypto that simply does not exist. When this realization hits the masses, the repricing will be severe.
__________________________________________________________________________________
2. The Macro Villain: Kevin Warsh 🦅
While everyone watches the "Reserve" headlines, they are ignoring the single most important variable: The Federal Reserve.
The new nominee for Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh , is the ultimate Hawk.
• History: He resigned from the Fed in 2011 specifically because he opposed Quantitative Easing (QE).
• Philosophy: He believes in a "Smaller Fed," "Positive Real Rates," and a "Strong Dollar."
• The Impact: Warsh is the anti-thesis to the "Money Printer Go Brrr" narrative. His nomination is a signal that the era of easy liquidity is ending. This is a Liquidity Withdrawal Event , and risk assets like BTCUSD are the first to suffer.
__________________________________________________________________________________
3. The Technical Truth: DXY & ETH 📉
The charts are confirming the Macro view perfectly. The "Smart Money" is already positioning for a liquidity crunch.
A) The DXY (US Dollar Index) Squeeze
The Dollar is waking up.
• Price Action: DXY is compressing tight at 26.9950 , sitting exactly at the confluence of the EMA50 and EMA200 . This is a massive decision point.
• Momentum: Stochastic is overbought (95.3), BUT ADX is at 52.2 . This tells us the trend strength is real.
• The Trigger: A 4H close above 27.09 (Upper Bollinger Band) triggers a breakout. If the Dollar flies, Crypto dies. It’s that simple.
B) Ethereum (The Canary in the Coal Mine)
If the "US Reserve" story were real, insiders would be front-running it on ETHUSD . Instead, ETH is lifeless.
• Structure: We have confirmed a CHoCH Bearish . Price is trading below every major Moving Average (20, 50, 200).
• The Trap: RSI is oversold (25.1), but ADX is 53.0 . Do not mistake "Oversold" for "Reversal." High ADX + Low RSI = A strong, relentless downtrend.
• Volume: We are trading at 39% below average volume . There is ZERO institutional support at these levels. The "Smart Money" has left the building.
__________________________________________________________________________________
4. The Operational Risk (The "John Lick" Scandal) 🚨
Finally, for those who believe the US Government is competent enough to manage a trillion-dollar Bitcoin reserve, look at the news from last week. A government contractor’s son was caught draining US-seized wallets on Telegram to flex wealth.
The Reality: The US Government cannot even secure the Bitcoin it already has. The idea that they are about to execute a sophisticated sovereign accumulation strategy is a fantasy.
__________________________________________________________________________________
🎯 The Verdict & Strategy
The "Strategic Reserve" narrative marked the top. The "Kevin Warsh" reality will drive the trend.
• The Trade: I am fading this narrative entirely.
• Invalidation: A DXY breakdown below 26.41 or an ETH reclaim of 3,403 (Bearish Order Block).
• Target: As long as DXY holds above the EMA200, I am targeting a flush on BTCUSD to 70k and ETH to 2,224 .
Do not trade the Headlines. Trade the Liquidity.
Do you trust the "US Reserve" hype?
A) Yes, HODL for nation-state adoption 🇺🇸
B) No, the chart is broken 📉
Vote A or B below! 👇
$ETH / Ethereum - Don't Try and Catch KnivesUpdated ETH chart and thoughts:
I will wait until our weekly close to remove the demand/support weekly area near $2800 for further invalidation. I will then add a new supply/resistance area near $3000.
Areas of interest for a bounce/reversal are in green.
Not calling anything until I see slowed selling pressure. Don’t try and catch knives out here hoping for v shape reversal. A foundational bottom takes time to form.
There will be opportunities to buy and add more.
Are we due for a relief bounce on Bitcoin soon?After the ~22% drop I mentioned earlier, could Bitcoin see a relief bounce this weekend toward the 78,000 range? Indicators are already showing bullish divergence.
The question is whether this would be a dead-cat bounce before another leg down or a potential double bottom. A clean break above 78,000 could also open the door for further upside.
Ethereum Update 05FEB2026: Last Minor Leg Down UnfoldsEthereum price follows the map posted last November
The expected minor consolidation within second red leg down is over
as the last minor leg down unfolds quickly right after that
The bottom of the first large red leg down is the imminent target at $882
Full retracement is the next target
Coinranger|ETHUSDT. Moving to H16 aim level🔥News
🔹JOLTS employment report at 18:00 UTC+3
🔥ETH
🔹Monday's forecast is still actual:
1️⃣ There are dynamic 2150 and 2240 levels above.
2️⃣ 1970 below is still actual. Level of h16.
Expecting a breakout of the level below.
---------------
Share your thoughts in the comments!
Bearish continuation?Ethereum (ETH/USD) has rejected off the pivot, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 2,185.81
1st Support: 1,952.49
1st Resistance: 2,347.75
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party






















