ETH 15M Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 33☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 15-Minutes timeframe .
👀 On the 15-minute timeframe for Ethereum, we can see that after an impressive 10% rally, ETH showed one of the strongest recoveries in the market compared to other major coins — managing to climb above $4,100 and form a new trading range early in the week. Currently, Ethereum is consolidating within a range between $4,200 (top) and $4,121 (bottom). A breakout from this range could create either a long or short setup. Keep in mind that following this strong bullish move, trading volume has started to decline inside this range.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, we can see that after the recent surge, ETH’s momentum is now fluctuating between 43 and 70. A breakout above or below this RSI range would likely increase volatility and accelerate Ethereum’s next move — potentially with fewer candles but stronger momentum.
🕯 The size and volume of recent candles during Ethereum’s rally have been exceptional. Major buyers and institutional players have added substantial ETH positions to their portfolios. The large, high-volume bullish candles leading up to the current range reflect Ethereum’s strong momentum. Now, while the price is oscillating inside the range with reduced volume, a clear volume expansion is expected once the range breaks.
🧠 As Ethereum remains trapped inside this trading range, a breakout will require increased volume and RSI confirmation beyond the defined thresholds. This setup gives us two potential scenarios:
↗️ Long scenario: If Ethereum breaks above $4,200, which acts as a taker-seller resistance, and RSI pushes above 70 (Overbought zone), ETH could launch another bullish leg early in the week — showing an even stronger recovery compared to the rest of the market.
📉 Short scenario: If Ethereum breaks below $4,121, which is a maker-buyer support, and RSI drops under 43 toward the Oversold zone, it could continue its downward correction. However, given ETH’s strong bullish momentum, this bearish scenario would likely require negative market fundamentals to fully play out.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH
ETH is still following my plans pretty preceiselyWhat a mess Friday turned out to be with a recording breaking liquidation event with the numbers still growing - bigger than FTX!
SUNK COST FALLACY: THE DAMAGE IS DONE, DO NOT PANIC IN AND OUT OF POSITIONS.
So many alt-coins proved there is nothing but thin air holding them up - no real demand whatsoever! I'll take a look at some charts today. Now these wicks can be classed as 'anomalies' in technical analysis but in this case i think we've revealed some of the strong tokens now with real backing.
It is expected that with such large wicks we at least test the centre of the wick on one more terrifying shake-out that isn't actually as bad as the one we just has but feels it because traders and investors are been kicked while their down in a state of panic.
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CRYPTOCAP:ETH was looking toppy for a while especially with the 'poke above all time high' Elliot wave 1 rule and i shared my thoughts on downside targets. It is has my secondary target o the drop of the daily 200EMA and bounce hard with bullish divergence in RSI. This is also a shallow retracement of the .382 Fibonacci showing macro strength.
I expect another pullback to test the High Volume Node as support before a strong wave 3 to commence
Safe trading
ETH Looks Bearish (12H)It seems that Ethereum has completed a large bearish triangle, with the first move already played out.
A pullback to the supply zone | marked in red | has now occurred.
The price is expected to eventually reach the green zone, accompanied by some fluctuations along the way.
The main target is the green zone.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BRIEFING Week #41 : Havoc on CryptosHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Phil
ETH (My thoughts after TP on my long position)I’m still an Elliott Wave noob, so the drawing on my chart is purely theoretical. It’s based on personal speculation — not financial advice.
Right now, I’m working under the assumption that we’re either in a corrective Wave A heading down, or in Wave 2 of a larger structure on a higher timeframe.
Last night, I counted five waves down within Wave 3 and started to notice signs of support. So instead of riding it out for a retrace back to the usual 0.382 Fib, I decided to long Wave 4 early and took profit once it hit an amount I was comfortable with.
Given how sharp the recent drop was, I was worried this might be one of those weak sub-Wave 4 retracements. I honestly doubted we’d even make it to 0.382, and even if we did, I expected it to take another 12–24 hours.
This morning, ETH shot up another $200 to $4000 right after I TP’d. I won’t lie — I definitely felt some ROMO (regret of missing out). An hour later, I checked again and saw it nearly tagged the 0.618 Fib. I was shocked at how fast it recovered.
But I reminded myself: don’t FOMO in and end up stuck in a long while Wave 5 is setting up to go down. I’ve learned that less profit is better than no profit. So I’m sticking to my plan and moving on.
My outlook from here:
I’m expecting Wave 5 to start between now and the London session open. Then, during the U.S. session, we might see another impulsive 1-2-3-4-5 leg up or begin corrective Wave B (if we really are in corrective Wave A down).
Good luck, everyone. Stay disciplined and trade your plan.
BTC Game Plan - DTB ModelBTC Game Plan – DTB Model
📊 Market Sentiment
After the sharp 10/10 crash triggered by Trump’s announcement of up to 100% tariffs on Chinese imports, risk assets — especially altcoins — faced massive liquidation, with some dropping over 80%.
As of 12/10, headlines indicate that Trump may reach out to President Xi, with Vice President Vance clarifying the statement. The market reacted bullishly, showing a strong rebound.
However, sentiment remains neutral, as volatility persists and geopolitical uncertainty continues to influence short-term direction.
📈 Technical Analysis
BTC retraced into the HTF Demand Zone, running the daily swing liquidity inside it.
Additionally, price retested the bearish trendline, confirming it as a key technical pivot.
Currently, BTC is attempting to recover toward the equilibrium (0.5 Fibonacci) of the recent decline.
📘 Model to be used – Demand to Trendline Break (DTB Model)
1-Identify HTF trend and valid demand zones.
2-Wait for liquidity sweep inside demand for energy confirmation.
3-Watch for price recovery toward equilibrium (0.5 fib).
4-Confirm with a strong close above bearish trendline and equilibrium for entry signal.
📌 Game Plan
I’ll be waiting for BTC to break and close above the 0.5 Fibonacci (equilibrium) and the orange bearish trendline. That will be the first confirmation that the bearish phase may end, and momentum may shift to the upside.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Daily strong close above the orange bearish trendline and 0.5 Fibonacci equilibrium level.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Below $107,500 (protecting capital is more important than chasing profits)
Target: $126,300 (near previous all-time highs)
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
ETH— What the 3500 Support Means and How I’m Trading ItExactly on Friday, just before the big drop, I bought ETH at 4300.
Fortunately, I had a stop loss at 4150, which — of course — got triggered.
But instead of frustration or searching for someone to blame, I took it like a trader should — accepted it, moved forward, and focused on what’s next. Because in trading, maturity starts where ego ends.
Technical Picture
Looking at the chart, after breaking the 4300 support line, ETH accelerated to the downside and found buyers around 3500.
This level is not random — it’s defined by:
1. A major horizontal support
2. The ascending trendline from previous lows
3. And the psychological round number of 3500
Naturally, we saw an initial rebound from that area.
Trading Plan
If the market retests the 3500 zone, I’ll be looking for buying opportunities, targeting a potential retest of 4300.
However — and this is crucial — my trade will be low-volume and protected by a tight stop.
Why? Because while I believe this could be a turning point, so does everyone else.
And when every retail trader sees the same thing, I trade carefully — because as we’ve all learned now, there’s no such thing as free money.
Final Thought
Discipline is not about winning every trade — it’s about staying rational when emotions scream louder than logic.
Crypto Total Market Cap AnalysisHi Team!
The crypto market continues to show impressive strength, maintaining its position inside the long-term ascending channel. Despite the recent correction, the overall structure remains bullish as long as the lower boundary of this channel holds.
After facing resistance near the upper line of the channel, the total market cap experienced a healthy pullback, which brought it close to the mid-zone of the structure. Buyers stepped in strongly from that area, suggesting that market participants still see dips as opportunities rather than warning signs.
The key support zone lies between 3.1T and 2.84T USD, a region that has acted as both a breakout base and a demand area in the past. As long as this zone remains intact, the broader bullish momentum is likely to continue, keeping the medium- to long-term outlook positive.
If price action stays within the rising channel and the 2.84T support area holds, the total crypto market cap could soon retest the upper trendline, potentially pushing toward new highs.
However, a confirmed breakdown below 2.84T would signal a shift in structure, opening the door to a deeper correction phase.
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) – Daily Chart Analysis !!!Ethereum (ETH/USDT)
Ethereum is moving at a similar pace to Bitcoin – showing heavy volatility and liquidation pressure, but there are also signs of accumulation near strong support.
The chart shows a return to a key demand zone after a breakout failure from a descending wedge, followed by the formation of a potential reversal structure.
Descending Channel and Breakdown
ETH had been moving within a descending channel for several weeks.
Recently, it attempted a breakout, but sellers regained control, resulting in a false breakout and a retest rejection.
The candle's sharp decline through the red moving average (around $4,300) indicates that bulls were heavily liquidated.
However, the price saw buying interest around the $3,800–$3,400 area, which aligns with the chart's gray support area.
Moving Average Insights
Red MA (50-day): Currently acting as dynamic resistance; ETH needs a clear close above it to confirm a short-term bullish recovery.
Green MA (200-day): Still trending upwards, indicating that the long-term structure remains bullish despite near-term weakness.
If the price stabilizes above the 200-day MA, it will likely attract medium-term investors.
Current Price Activity
At $3,836, ETH is testing the lower boundary of the support zone.
The chart projection (curved black line) suggests:
A possible short-term retest towards $3,380,
Followed by a gradual recovery towards $4,200,
And then a potential continuation towards $4,800+ if momentum strengthens.
This pattern resembles a "spring" setup—a common accumulation behavior before a major reversal.
DYOR | NFA
(BTC) bitcoin "biggest losing candle ever"This looks like the biggest losing candle I've ever seen on Bitcoin, and the same goes for Ethereum. Huge single day losses for cryptocurrency. I find a winning a solution and instead the entire market of cryptocurrency loses big time all because they don't want me to be able to win. Decentralizing trades does nothing to protect information when comparing Coinbase to Coinbase wallet defi. The Defi of coinbase wallet is the same as Coinbase where some type of inside log knows data of my trades and I lose when I start putting my money in at the perfect time to win.
ETHUSD – Wave 4 Correction Near Completion? Preparing for the FiEthereum (ETHUSD, Log Mode) appears to be completing a Wave 4 corrective structure (W–X–Y) within the broader impulsive cycle from the March lows.
Wave 4 found strong support near the 0.5 retracement level around $3,500, aligning with the lower parallel channel of the wave 3 advance.
A potential Wave 5 rally could begin once confirmation of reversal is seen, with upside targets projected at:
$4,867 (3.618 extension of Wave 1)
$7,800–$7,900 (1.272 extension of the macro structure)
If ETH breaks below $3,500, it could invalidate this immediate bullish count and suggest a deeper correction.
Key Levels:
Support: $3,530 / $3,350
Resistance: $4,867 / $7,800
Invalidation: Below $3,500
Watching for signs of a Wave 4 bottom to confirm the start of Wave 5, potentially leading Ethereum into new all-time-high territory in the coming months.
ETH 1D Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 32☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Day timeframe .
👀 On the Ethereum daily timeframe, we can see that after the historic economic war between the U.S. and China, Ethereum broke its ascending channel with a high-volume whale candle and has now managed to stabilize below this channel. Currently, Ethereum is in a critical decision-making zone, with two key resistance levels at $3,873 and $4,223.
A break and confirmation above these zones, especially $4,223, could lead to a bullish continuation; otherwise, a breakdown below the channel support may trigger a deep correction and cause Ethereum to enter a risk-off phase on the higher timeframe (weekly).
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, after crossing down from the 50 level, it is now heading toward the 30 and oversold region. These two zones — 50 and 30 — are our key RSI levels, and when volatility crosses these zones, it can be accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume.
🕯 The recent daily candle of Ethereum has shown a massive amount of sell volume, with an open around $4,400 and a close below $3,900 (ignoring the shadow). This indicates strong selling pressure — if buyers fail to hold Ethereum above $4,200, we could see further correction and selling pressure ahead.
🧠 Currently, there’s no specific trigger for Ethereum, but a trading range will likely form in this zone until the end of the week.
A break of either the top or bottom of this range across multiple timeframes could give us a potential long or short position.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Bitcoin September 2025 Outlook: a/b/c price fractal structureBTC enters September post-ATH with a seasonal headwind. Base case: a ~10% A-leg dip toward $108k, a B-bounce into ~$122k, then a C-flush near ~$94k—echoing April’s ABC rhythm. Once complete, the uptrend should re-assert into year-end. 📉🔁📈 #Bitcoin #Seasonality #Crypto
🟠 Bitcoin September Outlook: Seasonality vs. Structure
After a fresh ATH, September’s historical bias skews mildly red. Base case is a ~10% A-leg dip that develops into an A/B/C correction before trend continuation. Think controlled pullback → consolidation → next markup. 📉➡️🔁➡️📈
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🗓️ Seasonality Snapshot (2015–2024)
• Mean (10-yr): −2.55% · Median: −4.52%
• Red months: 6/10
• Worst September: 2019 (−13.88%)
• Best September: 2024 (+7.39%)
• Last 3 yrs avg: +2.8% (2024 +7.39%, 2023 +3.99%, 2022 −3.09%)
• Last 5 yrs avg (2020–2024): −1.3%
Read: September has tended to be weak, but the last two years printed green. Seasonality is a headwind—not a handbrake. 🌬️
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🧩 Structure Thesis (Fractal Analog)
You’re looking for a repeat of April 2025’s A/B/C rhythm—scaled up:
• April 2025 reference: A ≈ $92k → B ≈ $106k → C ≈ $80k
• Now (projected):
o A ≈ $108k (≈ 10% pullback from recent highs) 📉
o B ≈ $122k (relief rally / lower high) 🔁
o C ≈ $94k (final flush into demand, completing the correction) 🧱
Interpretation: A measured September fade aligns with the A-leg. A reflexive B-bounce can follow as funding resets and late longs get cleaned up, with a C-leg completing the pattern before the next expansion. 🚀
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📊 How Seasonality Supports the Call
• Typical drag: Median −4.5% and multiple red Septembers justify a down-bias.
• Volatility window: The historical 21-point spread (best +7.39% vs worst −13.88%) means a 10% dip sits well within normal bounds.
• Cycle context: With a new ATH just printed, a shallow corrective phase is constructive—not bearish regime change.
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🧭 Levels & Triggers
• Bias line: Momentum cools into $108k → watch for seller absorption and open interest reset.
• Relief cap: $122k acts as B-rally resistance; sustained closes above $122k would invalidate the ABC idea and argue for immediate continuation. ✅
• Completion zone: $94k (C) is the buy-the-dip completion area; clean breaks below raise risk of a deeper time correction rather than a swift V-reversal. ⚠️
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🧪 What to Monitor (Confirmation/Invalidation)
• Liquidity & OI: De-leveraging into A, controlled OI rebuild into B, washout into C.
• Spot-ETF flows / stablecoin issuance: Weakening into A, stabilizing by late month supports B→C rhythm.
• Funding/basis: Overheated → normalize during A; negative spikes near C often mark capitulation.
• Breadth (alts): Underperform into A/C; broad risk-on breadth usually returns post-C.
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📝 Base Case Path (Textbook)
September: drift to $108k (A) → bounce toward $122k (B) → final tag of ~$94k (C) → reset + markup into Q4.
(If price reclaims and holds above $122k early, treat that as trend continuation—not a correction.)
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🔒 Risk Notes
• Seasonality is a tendency, not a rule. Macro catalysts (CPI, policy, liquidity) can dominate calendar effects.
• This is market commentary, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidation levels. 🛡️
#ETH #ETHUSDT #ETHEREUM #Analysis #Update #Eddy#ETH #ETHUSDT #ETHEREUM #Analysis #Update #Eddy
According to the formed pattern, namely QM in the RTM style on the weekly block breaker, I expect an upward movement and a ceiling hunt and an ATH of Ethereum, and also in the ICT and liquidity styles, I expect a Fake BOS and a drop to the weekly block order to liquidate long positions and then continue the upward trend according to the analysis I did on the chart and the Path I drew. I expect the Ethereum currency to act accordingly.
So I expect an upward movement, a drop and a re-rise according to this analysis and explanation.
The important upper timeframe area for volatility has been identified and named.
These settings are based on a combination of different styles, including volume style with ict style and a combination of RTM and liquidity style.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations to enter the trade in these volatility settings.
Don't forget about risk and capital management.
The entry point, take profit point and stop loss point along with their values are indicated on the chart.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I am not responsible for any failure to comply with your risk management and capital.
🗒 Note: If, according to the analysis, the progress after the main rise begins, I expect the price of Ethereum to reach the targets of the latest analysis provided on Ethereum, which will be attached.
⚠️ Warning: Predicting market movements is a mistake and this analysis may be violated, so do not rush into your decisions and proceed to trade after obtaining the necessary confirmations. Market makers will always surprise us and predicting movements and future movements is a complex and difficult task.
Check out my previous analysis on Ethereum via the link below :
Further market dynamicsTo date, the market has fully fulfilled its targets at the 3500 retest against the background of brent leaving below 64. Further, until the second half of Sunday, the probability of purchases up to the 4500 retest prevails. An important guideline for further dynamics will be the opening level of the new week and the second half of the month. If these periods open at least above 4,100, the probability of a flat and maintaining the market with the possibility of a breakout next month will remain. With weak purchase dynamics, there is a chance of opening the second half of the month below 4,100. In this case, in any case, we will see purchases before the end of the month for a pullback on the monthly candle, but then the market will consolidate around 3500. The available technical signals currently outweigh the bullish scenario. In this case, individual coins will turn the current month into a bullish one with significant interruptions.
The main contenders for this month's move are MITO VIC BMT HOOK, which are highly unlikely to be contenders for the monitoring tag and are more suitable for medium-term investments. It is also possible to consider scalping in the short term CHESS FIO COS QUICK DATA, which have reached supports and can show a deeper drawdown only when the ether falls below 3500. A signal has been left for a move to the ADX, however, there is a possibility of a deeper drawdown to 0.075-85 before the reversal.
MATIC approaching Head and shoulders target...versus ETH
which would be a -91% loss of value versus the second most important crypto
$ETH market update 5-10-2025📊 Ethereum Market Update (on request)
Right now, there’s nothing major happening for Ethereum. It continues to consolidate in a range between the ATH at $4800 and the $3800 level, because of this massive bearish divergeance.
On the daily chart, the MACD is bullish and the Stochastic RSI is supportive, but momentum looks exhausted. There isn’t much conviction in this move. Bitcoin is the real superstar, while Ethereum is fading in its shadow.
From my analysis, we might still have about one more week of growth, potentially pushing to a new ATH — but don’t expect a parabolic rally. This looks more like a technical follow of BTC rather than genuine investor interest.
⚠️ That means the probability is high that we see a dump back below $4000, likely testing $3800 as support.
If bulls regain control and Bitcoin rotation restarts, ETH could resume its rally. Otherwise, we may see deeper consolidation, possibly down to $3400, before finding the energy to push again toward a new ATH.
#Ethereum #ETH #EthereumPrice #Crypto #CryptoNews #CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #BTC #Altcoins #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoUpdate #MACD #StochasticRSI #ATH #CryptoTrading #Investing
Support at the 4403.87-4749.30 range is key
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Have a great day!
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
This period of volatility is expected to last until October 5th.
Accordingly, the key question is whether support can be found around 4403.87 and whether it can rise above 4749.30.
If the price fails to rise,
1st: 3900.73-4107.80
2nd: 3239.06-3438.16
3rd: 2419.83-2706.15
We need to check whether support is found around the 1st-3rd levels above.
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To break above a key point or range and continue the uptrend,
- The StochRSI indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it's best to avoid entering the overbought zone.
- The On-By-Sign Volume indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the High Line.
- The TC (Trend Check) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the 0 level.
You should determine whether the above conditions are met at critical points or ranges and consider a response plan accordingly.
Currently, the StochRSI, OBV, and TC indicators are all showing an upward trend, so we believe the key point of 4403.87 has been broken upward.
However, to sustain this upward trend, the OBV indicator must rise above its High Line, and the StochRSI and TC indicators must maintain their current trend.
Therefore, we can see that support around 4403.87 is crucial.
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The 4403.87-4749.30 range corresponds to the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range.
If this level is broken upward, a stepwise uptrend is likely, but it is likely to act as resistance.
Therefore, as mentioned earlier, determining whether the conditions for an upward breakout of a critical point or range are met will help you decide how to proceed with your trade.
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Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading.
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$Solana $250+ or DOWN 216?In our recent post, we perfectly predicted the touch of 250 and 190.
Price has now reversed off the supply zone and is making its way back up, lets see what the potential out come for the next two weeks are!
Solana (SOL/USDT) 1H Chart Analysis
Current Price: ~$232
Trend : Price is was inside a clear ascending channel, respecting support and resistance lines - however has now breached resistance.
Key Levels
Support Zones:
$225 → Psychological support + 4H FVG.
$216 → Deeper 4H FVG and strong volume node. ( + 4 Hour Fib GP )
$200 → Major psychological level + prior supply zone flip.
Resistance Zones:
$250 → Psychological resistance + demand zone.
$275 → Next major resistance if $250 breaks.
Bullish Scenario
If SOL holds above $225 and consolidates within the trend channel, price could retest $250.
Break and close above $250 may extend rally toward $275.
Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold $225 could drag SOL to the $216 FVG or even $208.
A breakdown of $208 increases risk of revisiting $200.
Summary
Market structure remains bullish as long as price respects the rising trendline.
$225 is the key short-term pivot: holding above favors $250+, losing it opens downside risk toward $216–200.
Let me know what you think!
Following PIVX, we take the X's on the HOOKAs I have already written, you should not try to jump on the departed train on pivx, which I recommended for purchase for more than a month, it is better to consider the options where the X's are just being prepared. First of all, they include CHESS HOOK BMT MITO VIC.
Consider the position of the HOOK. After listing on binance, the token left several strong technical signals for a retest up to 0-50-75, which is highly likely to lead to a major growth wave. The growth momentum last week was only the first investment in the upcoming trend. An uptrend line has been formed and there is a high probability of an attempt to consolidate above it before the end of this month. The quarter opened in a mixed zone, an opening above 0.09 gives a signal for growth up to 0.15, however, an opening below 0.1 is likely to give pullbacks in the event of a sharp increase. The main long-term support for the current issue is the 0.0750-850 range, from which there was a rebound after a long-term rebidding. A hike below this range is likely only with an additional significant drawdown of ETH. The most likely target is an attempt to close the current monthly candle above 0.21-21 in order to continue the trend in the new month. With negative overall market dynamics, there is a possibility of a pullback from 0.21-25. In this case, in the new month, we can expect a new attempt to return to the trend line from 0.110-125, which will provide an additional opportunity for scalping.






















