ETH
This Volatility Period:Around September 24th(September 23rd-25)
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(ETHUSDT 1D Chart)
This Volatility Period: Around September 24th (September 23rd-25th)
Before this volatility period began, the price fell below 4403.87 and then fell to the 3900.73-4107.80 range.
The 4403.87-1749.30 range, which corresponds to the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range, is likely to act as resistance, as it represents a high point.
The 3900.73-4107.80 range represents the previous all-time high (ATH). If the price remains above this range, the uptrend is likely to continue.
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can find support in the 3900.73-4107.80 range and rise above the 4403.87-4749.30 range.
After this volatility period, we should examine whether the price can find support in the 3900.73-4107.80 range.
If not, support around 3265.0-3438.16 is crucial.
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If the OBV indicator falls below the Low Line, the price is likely to decline again.
Therefore, support around 3900.73-4107.80 is crucial.
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The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
Considering this basic trading strategy, it may be natural for the price to decline since it failed to rise above 4403.87-4749.30.
Since it fell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, it is likely to decline until it meets the DOM(-60) or HA-Low indicator.
However, since important support and resistance points or zones have formed, the trend can reverse at any time depending on whether support is found at those points or zones.
In this sense, the K value of the StochRSI indicator is in the oversold zone, suggesting a potential uptrend in the near future.
While the K value of the StochRSI indicator is in the oversold zone, the possibility of further decline is high. However, the established support and resistance zones increase the likelihood of turning this crisis into an opportunity.
In this situation, what we can do is confirm the signs of an uptrend.
Otherwise, if we anticipate a new trade in advance, we may face another crisis as the volatility period progresses.
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If you are currently trading, there is an opportunity to sell in the first installment when resistance is encountered in the 4403.87-4749.30 zone.
As mentioned earlier, this is based on the basic trading strategy.
Depending on whether support is found in the 3900.73-4107.72 range, you'll decide whether to sell in two installments or buy.
Since the stock market trades in single-share increments, selling before the price has more than doubled from the purchase price makes it difficult to buy again.
However, the coin market allows for decimal trading, making trading easier than in the stock market.
This freedom of buying and selling is the biggest advantage of the coin market.
If your buy price is below 3900.73, buying when the 3900.73-4107.80 range shows signs of support will increase your average buy price, potentially putting you under psychological pressure.
However, as mentioned earlier, the coin market allows for decimal trading, making it possible to separate your buy price into separate trades.
Therefore, you can record the purchase price and purchase amount separately, differentiating them from the existing average purchase price, and then trade them separately.
If you understand this principle, you'll find the coin market much easier to trade than the stock market.
This is one of the reasons why even those who have successfully traded in the stock market often fail in their initial trading in the coin market.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
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ETHUSDT 1D chart Review1. Trendline (orange) - was clearly pierced down → it is a signal of weakening the growth moment.
2. Horizers of support / resistance:
• Resistance: $ 4,604 (strong), above $ 4,960.
• Support: $ 4 150 (currently tested), next $ 3,958 and $ 3,696.
3. Price - currently ~ 4 169 $, i.e. right with the support of $ 4 150.
4. Candles - a strong inheritance candle after piercing the trend → weakness signal.
5. STOCHASTIC RSI - in the sales zone (<20), which may suggest the possibility of short -term reflection.
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🔹 Application:
• Short date: possible reflection from $ 4 150 thanks to the sale (technical bounce).
• average date: If level $ 4 150 breaks and the candle closes below → the road opens to $ 3,958 and even $ 3,696.
• Only a return above $ 4 272 and a retest trendline from below would give a signal of buyers.
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👉 To sum up: The market is in the critical zone - support $ 4 150 decides.
• Bull: keeping the defense of this level + reflection from the sale.
• Bear: loss $ 4 150 = greater correction in the direction of $ 3 950–3 700.
XRP deadcat bounce?Today Bulls had their fun on XRP. The fall was only the beginning. This was a test of supply. In my opinion I believe demand for next month is $1.30 in that range. We shall see. We are still in a Wyckoff distribution pattern and haven't broke any eyes if we break higher than my green box we remain bullish.
ETHERUM FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅ETHUSD reacts from higher-timeframe support, running sell-side liquidity before shifting orderflow bullish. Entry at discount seeks draw on liquidity above, targeting imbalance fill near 4360$.
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Entry: 4,169$
Stop Loss: 4,050$
Take Profit: 4,360$
Time Frame: 7H
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LONG🚀
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USDT.D - Watch the Blue Zone: Break = Bullish for CryptoUSDT dominance ripped into the 4.55–4.60 supply and stalled. Price is hovering on the blue support zone at 4.44–4.48.
This area is key 🔑. If the blue zone breaks down and holds below 4.44–4.48, that’s bullish for crypto (alts + BTC) as dominance rotates lower toward 4.30–4.25, even 4.22.
If the zone holds and 4.60 is reclaimed, dominance can push higher and keep pressure on risk assets.
What’s your plan => wait for a confirmed break of the blue zone to flip risk-on, or fade the first rejection at 4.60? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
STABLECOIN SUPERCYCLE CAN SEND AAVE TO $5,000We have a #HVF forming that is yet to breakout.
The fundamental driver is of course stablecoin growth. Namely the ones that the United States allow to dominate in this space. Permissioned quasi CBDC's like USDT and USDC.
So what is AAVE if you don't know;
Aave (AAVE) is a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol enabling users to lend, borrow, and earn interest on crypto assets without intermediaries through automated liquidity pools.
Liquidity Markets – Users deposit assets into pools to earn yield or borrow against collateral.
Flash Loans – Pioneered uncollateralized loans executable within a single blockchain transaction.
Community Governance – AAVE token holders vote on protocol upgrades, risk parameters, and expansions.
So there we have it ... congrats to hodler's of this protocol that was once called ETHLend.
Theres still plenty meat left on the bone for these next few years.
ETH/USD: The Perfect Time to Buy?! (PART II)Over the last four and a half years, the price range around $4000 has played an important role in ETH movements.
It first acted as support for a short period after ETH made its all-time high back in 2021. More importantly, this level has worked multiple times as strong support. Each touch has only reinforced its importance.
At the beginning of August 2025, COINBASE:ETHUSD made a strong breakthrough — a confirmed breakout. Heavy buying power smashed through the zone.
And now comes the best part: price is currently retesting that breakout zone, a classical Break & Retest setup.
So, this strong price level is now starting to act as support, and technically, this is a very solid setup.
I don’t post crypto that often, but the last time I shared an ETH/USD chart was just before the current rally started. Let’s call this Part II. 😉
Keep an eye on the current price levels — technically, it’s a very clean setup.
Good luck,
Vaido
The BTC cycle that started at 84K is projected end at 114K This is a cycle update for BTC/USDT. Based on the cycle data, the cycle that started at 84K has ended at 114K. This indicates that we are now entering a new major trend breakdown in the cycle. It can take time, but when there is a new uptrend cycle, we will add.
This time frame and action made the end of the cycle that started from 84K
This could mean that btc can enter below 110K in the coming time. We have seen more times in the history of BTC that by the cycle end, the trend breaks down in steps.
SUI Game Plan - Suinetwork📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains strongly bullish as the FED is expected to deliver a 0.25% rate cut, with speculation building for a possible 0.5% cut in September. Monetary policy shifts are being driven by both inflation trends and weakening labor market data. The latest August and September job reports were soft, signaling that the economy is cooling rapidly. This environment continues to fuel expectations for a major bullish run in the weeks ahead.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price is on HTF bullish trend so we will be looking only long setups.
Price ran HTF liquidity and closed above then broke the market on daily-weekly timeframe, creating the Daily Demand Zone.
Moreover, price broke the bearish trendline and closed above, giving strong upward momentum. Now price is retracing back into the Daily Demand Zone.
📌 Game Plan
1-Price to hit back to Daily Demand Zone
2-Price to hit possibly 0.75 max discount range zone. If not, I’ll still enter with LTF confirmation.
🎯 Setup Trigger
4H break of structure after hitting 3.36$ level. I won’t enter unless I see the 4H BOS.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Below 4H swing low responsible for BOS
Targets:
TP1: 3.88$
TP2: 4.17$
TP3: 4.44$
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
$AVNT Perform of a bullish pennantWhat the pattern indicates
A bullish pennant is a continuation pattern, meaning that it signals the market is likely to continue its current trend after a brief pause. It suggests that the buying pressure that caused the initial rally is gathering strength for another push upward.
How to trade the pattern
Traders can use this pattern to plan entry and exit points:
Entry: A common strategy is to enter a long position (buy) when the price breaks above the pennant's resistance trendline.
Profit target: The typical price target for the trade is determined by measuring the height of the initial flagpole and projecting that distance from the breakout point.
Stop-loss: To manage risk, a stop-loss order can be placed just below the pennant's lower trendline.
ETH 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 26❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, Ethereum is currently ranging after its recent drop, sitting in a decision-making zone. It already faked the range low once and bounced back up, creating a clean trading structure. If ETH breaks above the $4,210 resistance, it could complete its correction and push higher. On the other hand, if ETH continues its deeper correction, a break and confirmation below the $4,135 support would open the way to lower levels.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, it’s now hovering around the 50 zone. A cross above 51 could trigger a bullish breakout, while a cross below 35 would suggest Ethereum is heading for a deeper correction.
🕯 Candle size and volume have shrunk inside this range, showing clear consolidation. Buyers and sellers are in a tug-of-war, and we’d prefer not to trade in these tight squeezes with heavy volume until a clear winner emerges. A breakout of the range will likely need strong “whale candles” to confirm direction.
💸 The ETH/BTC pair also shows a similar structure — after its recent drop, it has entered a tight consolidation pattern that mirrors the price action seen against USDT.
🧠 For trading ETH, patience is key. Wait to see which side Ethereum chooses to break out from. Once the range high or low (outlined above) is taken out with confirmation, we can look for a position in that direction.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH - Near ATH… Price Discovery Reload?BINANCE:ETHUSDT ETH has marched back to its cycle ceiling on the weekly after a long range. We’re now pressing the final resistance band around $4,880–$5,000—where a clean breakout would shift ETH into price discovery again.
Confluence is strong here: prior ATH supply + round-number magnet + momentum structure. If buyers clear $5K with a weekly close, I’ll look for the next leg toward $6.5K–$7.25K, then a stretch path into five digits as discovery unfolds. If rejected, a healthy retest toward $4,100–$3,550 would keep the uptrend intact while the range persists.
What’s your plan => buy the weekly breakout above $5K, or wait for a dip into $4.1K for better risk–reward? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC/USDT Breakdown: Loss of Key Levels Confirms Bearish Structur📉 BTC/USDT Market Update
Bitcoin has broken down key structural levels, confirming a bearish outlook in the short to mid-term.
✅ Low Time Frame Support Lost: The $112,083 – $112,531 demand zone has failed to hold, indicating that buyers are losing control on lower time frames.
✅ Main Trend Zone Rejected: The $113,798 – $114,000 supply area acted as strong resistance, and BTC was unable to reclaim this key trend level.
✅ Momentum: Current price action shows continuation to the downside, with sellers stepping in aggressively after repeated failed attempts to sustain higher levels.
Bias: Bearish
As long as BTC trades below $113,800, the market structure favors sellers. Further downside pressure may target the $111,000 – $110,800 range in the near term.
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $113,800 – $114,000 (Main trend rejection zone)
Support: $111,000 – $110,800 (Next liquidity pool)
ETH is Sinking Deep: Strong Downtrend and Big SELL Opportunity!Currently, ETH/USDT is under strong selling pressure due to both fundamental and technical factors . According to the latest news, over 2.6 million ETH (equivalent to about $11.7 billion ) is waiting to be withdrawn from the Ethereum network. When these ETH are released, it will create significant selling pressure, greatly affecting ETH's price in the short term. This could lead to investor anxiety and a potential sell-off, diminishing confidence in the market.
From a technical perspective , the chart shows a descending wedge, with lower highs and the current bottom becoming weak. It is highly likely that ETH will drop to the support level at $4,110 before making any new moves.
Given these factors, the appropriate trading strategy is to open a SELL order if the price cannot break through the resistance at $4,410 and falls below the support at $4,110. The Stop Loss should be placed at $4,450, just above the resistance, and Take Profit at $4,110.
In conclusion, ETH is facing a strong downtrend in the short term. Investors should keep an eye on the market and open a SELL order as the price continues to drop.
Entry Point: Sell at 4180 **Trade Setup**
Entry Point: Sell at 4180
Stop Loss: Set your stop loss just above the resistance level at approximately 4210 to minimize risk
Take Profit: Aim for a profit target around 4000, where previous support levels have formed.
**Timeframe**
This setup is ideal for short to medium-term traders. Monitor for changes in market sentiment.
**Conclusion**
As Ethereum approaches the 4180 level with bearish signals, this could present a selling opportunity. Be sure to manage your risk and adjust your strategy based on market developments.
Good luck and trade wisely!
ETH/USDTCurrently trading in a local consolidation, moving within its range expansion.
After a deviation below the range low, long setups can be considered — but only if confirmation conditions are met.
Potential short opportunities may appear in the 4400–4500 zone, again only with proper confirmations.
ETH Correction Finally Underway!Local Analysis / Targets / Elliot Wave
I have been banging the drum about a deeper ETH pullback for a weeks and it appears to be finally underway with bearish market structure confirmed with the lower low from yesterday. Online sentiment, mainstream media attention, silly price targets from analysts, discussions of the ‘the flippening’ returned and Trumps son bragging on X were all major warning signs of a local top. The ETH validator exit queue is record breaking causing a delay of 40+ days if you want to un-stake your ETH. Wrapped Ethereum like stETH may be a good option if you really want out fast! Weather this supply hits the markets is still up in the air.
Price is in the High Volume Node support and below the daily pivot. This isn’t likely to break immediately but after a few attempts to weaken it first (4? lol). The first target for the end of the correction is the same as a few weeks ago - the S1 pivot, rising daily 200EMA and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at $3500, followed by the S2 pivot, High Volume Node support and 0.786 ‘alt-coin golden pocket’ at $2700. This could present a great buy opportunity.
RSI is making its way to oversold which is a good sign when in a range.
Standard Deviation Band Analysis
Standard deviation bands tell a different story with price still only testing the fair value regression line as resistance after presenting a fantastic buy opportunity from the green zone earlier this year. Price rides this line most of the time as you can see by looking left. A significant breakout above would see the SD+2 threshold target around $7000, a blow off top could reach $10,000 at the SD+3 threshold.
Safe trading
ETH 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 25😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 4-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 4H timeframe for Ethereum, we can see that after breaking below its maker-buyer zone, ETH moved down toward lower support levels, experiencing a **7% drop** — an unexpected move that even pushed major holders to sell. Ethereum is now sitting at a **multi-timeframe support zone**, and if this level is lost, it could head toward the next lower maker-buyer area, where we’ll need to observe how price reacts.
🧮 The **RSI oscillator** shows ETH deep in the **oversold zone** with heavy selling pressure. Buyers have yet to step in, meaning that with more sell-side momentum, Ethereum could remain oversold for an extended period.
🕯 The **size and volume of red candles** have increased sharply in a short span of time. This fast move down with fewer candles signals **strong selling sentiment**, while price itself looks uncertain about its next direction.
💸 Looking at **ETHBTC**, the pair experienced a sharp drop and deep correction with the start of the new week. It is also resting at a multi-timeframe support zone. If that breaks, Ethereum could face a further correction.
🧠 As for positioning, it’s still early. We’d prefer to wait for the market to build a stronger structure and possibly a wider range before entering. A **short position below the 4147 support** is possible with low risk, but since RSI remains heavily oversold, we must also consider the potential for a **price rebound**.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Possible Pre-Skyrocket ManipulationSince every soul on this earth knows that we will see huge bull-moves with given and upcoming rate cuts + october price action, its not unlikely that we COULD manipulate even lower after the Billion Dollar liquidation move overnight.
IF we do so, we would do it pretty fast and continue the displacement from the bearish head and shoulders pattern that broke the daily 50 EMA%SMA in the next few weeks.
On a technical site, there is still a huge amount of liquidity on CRYPTO:ETHUSD left (around 20B$), most accumulated at around 3.450$.
Strangely enough, that area matches the current ranges equilibrium, standard deviation levels of prior bearish manipulation moves, KEY SR Levels of 3400 and 3200, monthly and daily imbalances (which will get filled sooner or later), the 200D EMA and 50W EMA, AND the current htf bullish trendline and broken triangle resistance...
If we hit this before mid-October, these will be free longs, and I will DCA into my position, which sits at 1.794$ currently.






















