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BITCOIN – THE LAST DANCE AT THE BORDER OF DEATHTraders, I believe Bitcoin is potentially setting up for a swing fail pattern around 117.500. A swing fail pattern, very simply, is when price runs the previous high, takes out the liquidity sitting above it, and then fails to hold above that level. In other words, it clears the stops, shows strength for a moment, and then turns. It is the market taking a breath before it bites. Here is how I see it and why I am positioned for shorts, not longs. 1. Structure into 117.500 The zone around 117.000 to 117.500 is, for me, the kill zone. Why? There is a clean previous high that has not been taken yet There is visible imbalance from the last fast drop sitting in that band We have London morning wick liquidity above us that I believe price still wants to clean The math and harmonics I am running line up in the same area When I say the math lines up I am talking about measured extensions and harmonics off the leg that started around 103k to 104k and impulsed higher. My 1.618 extension clusters around 116.7 to 117.5. The 1.272 and 1.414 levels already got respected on the way up. This last one is usually where you get the overextension and the last grab. On top of this, the 1.618 extension confluences with the HTF Golden Pocket. We also sit right on top of what I call the border of death. Above 117.500 I do not want to see Bitcoin hold. If it does hold and build acceptance up there then this entire idea is invalidated and I will adapt. I am not married to bias. I am married to data. 2. Order flow and participation Let us talk about what is behind this move, not just what it looks like. Spot CVD is still depressed compared to the beginning of the run. That means real buyers paying cash are not the ones driving price higher. This is not a classic spot accumulation bid. This is not strong hands owning the level. Stablecoin margined CVD and coin margined CVD both curled up into the most recent leg. So who is lifting price It is perps. Not investors, not patient buyers, just leverage. Open Interest is also telling us a story. Stablecoin margined OI is grinding back up into the highs. Coin margined OI is starting to climb again. That means people are adding new exposure on the way up. They are not just covering shorts anymore, they are now chasing longs into the high. This is where positioning gets fragile. The crowd thinks we are going to keep going. I start thinking about harvesting that belief. The floor under us is not built by conviction. It is built by leverage. We have seen this before. The desert looks quiet before the sandstorm picks up. 3. What I am expecting I am expecting a sweep of the high into roughly 117.500. Clean the liquidity. Fill the imbalance. Tap the last little pocket of inefficiency that is still sitting there. Show strength on the surface. Then reject. That rejection is the tell for me. If we push above the high and then snap back below it on force, that confirms the swing fail for me. From there I am looking for rotation much lower. 4. The target zone if this plays out If this plays out the way I think it can, I am looking toward 98k. This is not a random number. That is basically the next meaningful pocket of imbalance below. That is the next unfair area that never got re tested. Price likes to rebalance. The market eventually revisits the places it skipped when it was moving too fast. We call it inefficiency but it is really just unfinished business. Will it instantly teleport there No. This is a path idea, not a straight line prediction. But 98k is where I think equilibrium lives if this whole run unwinds. 5. Risk management and positioning Because of this view I have adjusted. My earlier thesis from October 16 is, in my eyes, no longer valid in its original form. Never say never, but I am not trading that idea anymore. I have closed all long positions. I am no longer here to squeeze the upside. I am here to stalk shorts. Does that mean I am instantly full size short here No. I am not interested in guessing tops. I am interested in letting the market reach for the level I want, and only then taking the trade with data behind it. If Bitcoin breaks through 117.500 and starts holding acceptance above that level, I will back off this idea. No ego. No stubbornness. I am here to survive. Survival is the only way you ever get to mastery. 6. Summary I believe Bitcoin is setting up for a classic swing fail pattern at around 117.500. I think price will hunt that liquidity, stop out shorts, convince late longs they are right, and then turn. I think the next meaningful re balance sits much lower, around 98k. This is not guaranteed. Nothing in trading is guaranteed. Trading is probability, not fantasy. But right now the flow, the harmonics, the imbalance, the extensions, and the psychology of the crowd all rhyme in the same place. And when the market whispers in the same tone across different tools, I listen. I am ThetaNomad.
Short
by ThetaNomad
10
Ethereum in Symmetrical Triangle – Next Big Move Coming?Let’s take a look at Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSDT ) on the 4-hour timeframe . Recently, Ethereum dropped by over -20% during the latest crypto market sell-off but has since started to recover. Right now, it appears to be in a corrective pattern, moving inside a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern . Currently, Ethereum is testing a Heavy Support zone($4,107-$3,860) , and a break below that zone, confirmed by breaking the lower lines of the symmetrical triangle , could signal further downside. Note: In general, a Symmetrical Triangle is a continuation pattern, and since the prior trend was downward, we might expect more downside if the broader crypto market continues to decline. Before concluding, let’s also glance at the ETHBTC ( BINANCE:ETHBTC ) pair on the daily timeframe . It looks like ETHBTC has been in a downtrend and might revisit its support zone once more. That suggests if Bitcoin declines, Ethereum could see even more pressure . In conclusion, I expect Ethereum to drop at least to its Support lines and Support zone($3,532-$3,436) after breaking the lower lines of the symmetrical triangle. There's also a CME Gap($3,461-$3,417) that might get filled. Note: Keep in mind that weekend trading volumes are often lower, so the breakdown might not happen immediately. However, if tensions between the US and Venezuela escalate, we could see a sharper reaction even over the weekend. First Target: $3,764 Second Target: $3,597 Stop Loss(SL): $4,044 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $4,182-$4,114 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $3,697-$3,3654 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Ethereum Analyze (ETHUSDT), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
17
ETH Sell/Short Setup (4H)After a strong bearish move, the price has made a solid recovery and is approaching a good supply zone. At this level, it’s better to look for sell/short positions, as there are strong order blocks in this area that could push the price downward. We’ve considered a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio, and you can see the targets and stop-loss levels on the chart. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
AAVE/USDT – New Volume Box Activation🔹 AAVE/USDT – New Volume Box Activation AAVE is forming a new volume box structure between $203 – $385, showing renewed momentum after the last low recovery. Price is currently stabilizing around the lower range with growing volume, suggesting early accumulation activity. As long as AAVE holds above the $200 support zone, we follow for a possible continuation inside this box. The first target for structure development sits around $322, followed by $385 as the main breakout resistance level. The setup remains active as long as the current momentum and volume stay consistent — confirmation on lower time frames will define the strength of the next move.
Long
by SatochiTrader
BTC/USDT — Pre-Cycle Range Breakout📊 Market Update Bitcoin entering up on the low time frame with strong volume — we are now in an area where BTC is building a new uptrend cycle with the last trend view. Remember, BTC can always change trend unexpected, and when that data comes, we will share it fast. For now BTC still holding positive around the support at 108K. 🔹 Market Structure Last 4 days+ BTC been building uptrend, and as long this stays consistent we can speak about positive trend. Important zone is 117K, we will see if BTC can reach there soon. We continue daily updates as always — everything is possible in the market.
Long
by SatochiTrader
The key is whether it can rise above 4403.87 Hello, traders. Follow us to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day. ------------------------------------- (ETHUSDT 1W chart) The formation of an upward trend line (A) created an upward channel from (A) to (B). Therefore, the key is whether it can continue to rise along this upward trend line. If the upward movement fails, we need to check whether the price rises along the rising trend lines (1) and (2). Therefore, the 3900.73-4107.80 range is a crucial area for sustaining the upward trend. In this context, we expect a significant period of volatility to begin around the week of November 24th. This period of volatility could continue until around the week of January 12th, 2026. - (1M Chart) If this month closes with a bearish candle, forming an upward trend line (a), the key question is whether the price can rise along trend line (a). If not, there's a possibility of touching the upward trend line (2), so we need to consider a response plan. - (1D Chart) The key is whether the price can sustain above the uptrend line (1) and rise above 4403.87. To do this, we need to see if it can break above the downward channel created on the 1D chart. Therefore, we need to observe how the price moves after the volatility period around November 5th. The HA-High ~ DOM(60) section (4393.04-4780.15) on the 1W chart overlaps with the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section (4403.87-4749.30) on the 1D chart, so it's likely to act as resistance. ------------------------------------ The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section. However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like uptrend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downtrend is likely. Therefore, a split trading strategy is recommended. To maintain a step-like uptrend in the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, 1. The StochRSI indicator must be rising. If possible, it should not enter the overbought zone. 2. The On-By-Value (OBV) indicator must be rising. If possible, it should remain above the High Line. 3. The TC (Trend Check) indicator must be rising. If possible, it should remain above the 0 level. If the above conditions are met, the uptrend is likely to continue. If not, a high point is likely to form, so you should consider a countermeasure. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
BTC Market Update – New Volume Activation - $114K📈 BTC Market Update – New Volume Activation BTC continues to show strong momentum within the current structure. Price action remains bullish, with no clear signs of breakdown at this stage. From the current zone (~111.4K–111.7K), there’s visible new volume activation, suggesting renewed interest and potential continuation toward the $114K target zone. As long as BTC holds above the support range, the main trend remains intact. If a structural change occurs, it will be highlighted in the next update. Focus: Continuation toward $114K while maintaining volume support.
Long
by SatochiTrader
PIPPIN/USDT — Dip Buying Zone Formed After BreakdownPIPPIN/USDT — Dip Buying Zone Formed After Breakdown 💎 After the recent breakdown, PIPPIN has entered its volume zone, which often acts as a re-accumulation area before a potential rebound. If the price can stabilize and build strength here, this level could represent a dip-buying opportunity with the possibility of a return toward previous highs. 📊 Key Range: $0.015 – $0.024 💡 Focus: Watching for a volume confirmation or strong reversal candle to signal a bounce
Long
by SatochiTrader
1
Ethereum VS. Russell 2000 Russell 2000 index and Ethereum charts follow a strikingly similar pattern. Both assets peaked in November 2021 and then entered a prolonged correction. Interestingly, both formed major lows around April 2025. The Russell 2000, just before breaking through the 2021 ATH resistance area, retested the demand zone, just as CRYPTOCAP:ETH is currently doing. This similarity suggests that Ethereum could be poised for a strong breakout, following in the footsteps of the Russell 2000. History is sometimes more than just a coincidence…
IG:RUSSELLLong
by EtherNasyonaL
ETH - The Symmetrical Triangle of the Month!Ethereum has spent most of October coiling inside what can only be called the symmetrical triangle of the month => a textbook compression of volatility where both bulls and bears are building pressure for the next decisive move. 📦Price is trapped between the $4,265 resistance and $3,640 support, with multiple clear reactions from both boundaries. Each time ETH bounces off the lower orange trendline, buyers step in aggressively… but every push higher has been capped by lower highs, a perfect battle of strength versus patience. The breakout from this formation will likely dictate ETH’s next major swing. - A break above $4,265 could ignite a rally toward $4,720 and beyond. - A break below $3,640, however, would expose $3,300, a strong historical demand zone. ⚔️ Until one side wins , it’s all about staying patient, waiting for confirmation, and letting the structure do the talking. The tighter this triangle gets — the bigger the breakout tends to be. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
37
Etherium to 7500Right now BINANCE:ETHUSDT is just barely holding above 3500 area which is a good sign and showing it's potential to break ATH. But remember 3500 is not that major support, so it may break this support area and look for major support zone which is around 2100-2600 area. That would be a perfect opportunity enter long position on BINANCE:ETHUSDT , or maybe buy on spot. It can also fakeout 3500 area and go up. And also there is a obvious triangle pattern appeared in 1W timeframe which is a very good sign to go up in my opinion. Our first target will be 7500 and then 10k, 12k, 15k. So time will tell.
Long
by terayu
$ETH in the calm before the storm.In the HTF view, Ethereum maintained its structural strength with rising lows, broke the major supply zone and is currently progressing in the retest process. It is quietly accumulating strength and preparing for a new move between the 2021 ATH resistance and the area that used to be the supply zone and now serves as support as the demand zone. Bear market rhetoric may be prevalent, but structural data suggests Ethereum is preparing for a major rally.
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by EtherNasyonaL
BTC/USDT — Holding Strength Above Low Time Frame, Eyeing 114K BTC/USDT — Holding Strength Above Low Time Frame, Eyeing 114K Zone 🚀 Bitcoin continues to show positive structure, trading above the low time frame support and aligning with the broader uptrend momentum. The recent stabilization and gradual rise in volume indicate that buyers are maintaining control, keeping BTC in a constructive phase toward the $114,000 target zone. As long as Bitcoin sustains above $109,700–$110,000, the trend remains bullish, with higher-timeframe confirmation aligning in favor of continuation. 📊 Technical Overview: Support Zone: $109,700 – $110,000 Resistance Target: $114,000 Trend: Positive continuation above low TF Bias: Bullish Momentum and volume remain healthy — suggesting BTC could attempt another push into the 114K region if current structure holds. 📈 Outlook: Uptrend continuation 🎯 Target: $114,000+
Long
by SatochiTrader
PIPPIN/USDT — Early Signs of a New Hype Cycle?Looking at the data and historical structure, PIPPIN is showing similar early movement patterns that preceded its last explosive rally. The current trend shows renewed volume inflow, a base breakout, and a potential start of a new accumulation-to-expansion phase. If this pattern continues, the structure suggests that a new hype wave could be forming — just like the previous major move that sent it skyrocketing. 📊 Key Observations: Historical accumulation followed by vertical expansion Volume returning at local bottom Early breakout momentum forming Could this be the start of another hype run? What do you think — is PIPPIN entering its next cycle? 🔥
CRYPTO:PIPPINUSDLong
by SatochiTrader
Ethereum weakened or holding structure? | ETH 1H Analysis👋🏻 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel. ✨ Today we’re diving into the 1-Hour Ethereum analysis. Stay tuned and follow along. 👀 We observe Ethereum on the 1-hour timeframe. After breaking and stabilizing at the $3,889 zone, Ethereum formed a higher low on this area and is now moving along a trendline (dynamic support), with an important static resistance at $3,982.50. Price has reacted to this level once but has not succeeded in breaking it!!! 🧮 Using the RSI oscillator is a reasonable approach in this situation. Since Ethereum is currently in a box/trading range, a breakout requires entering overbuy territory and surpassing the 70 level. Note that there is a significant oscillation support below the average, at the 44.5 zone, which holds strong validity and represents our swing low. 🐷 Pay attention to Ethereum’s volume. To break the specified zone, Ethereum needs to show a strong reaction, fill sell orders, and liquidate futures contracts. Therefore, we need buyer market makers to support the breakout, causing volume to increase through a price jump. ✍️ The scenario forming for Ethereum may require some patience and could play out differently, because we are now facing the second touch of this level, so the win rate of this scenario may be slightly lower. 🟢 Long Position Scenario Breaking Ethereum’s resistance at $3,982.50 along with surpassing the 70 RSI level and seeing a significant increase in buying volume and price squeeze can form a good long position scenario on Ethereum. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long
by Satoshimultiframe