ETH Daily – High Volume, Rising OI, and a Fight for StructureETH Daily – Volume King Leading the Rebound
At this moment, ETH shows the highest trading volume across major assets.
After the sharp crash that dragged price down to 3435$, under the 0.236 Fib level, ETH found strong support near 3738$,the 0.236Fib level.
From that level, price has now reclaimed the 4000$ mark, a psychological and technical milestone.
If momentum continues, the next resistance sits at the 0.5 Fib level around 4321$.
From a system perspective, structure remains technically bearish for now:
SMA < MLR < Price < BB Center, with PSAR still bearish (above price).
To flip structure bullish, ETH would need a daily close above the BB Center with PSAR reversal confirmation.
OI Analysis:
ETH OI +7.70% growth confirms new leveraged exposure entering during this rebound: a positive sign showing traders are adding risk rather than de-risking.
This increase in OI, combined with strong spot volume (74.6B in 24h), suggests conviction behind the recovery rather than a mere short-covering bounce.
However, elevated OI also means volatility risk is rising: if ETH fails to close above 4000$ or BB Center, liquidations could amplify the next pullback.
Bias:
Cautiously bullish, short-term momentum improving, structure still lagging. Watching daily close above 4k today and BBcenter for future confirmation.
High volume and rising OI often mark the start of a structural shift, but confirmation always comes from the daily close.
In moments like this, patience is what separates the trader reacting to price from the one anticipating the next move.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
ETH
BTC — Bitcoin: Macro x ETFs x Hashrate → Real Flow, Real Volatil⭐️ BTC — Bitcoin: Macro x ETFs x Hashrate → Real Flow, Real Volatility
Buy/Hold bias long term; short-term: correction likely in September (seasonality), with bear target ≈ $88,000 in my playbook.
🔥 Latest headlines (spot check)
🔸BTC back near $111K as risk assets bounce to start September.
🔸Hashrate sets a fresh record (~1 zettahash/s 7-day avg); a >7% difficulty hike is expected within days. Network is the strongest ever, but miner margins tighten.
🔸U.S. spot BTC ETFs show renewed net inflows (e.g., +$333M on Sep 2 across funds). Flows remain a key daily demand gauge.
🔸MicroStrategy (now “Strategy”) bought more BTC last week (~4,4k coins; holdings ≈ 636.5k BTC)—ongoing corporate bid.
🔸Europe angle: a Winklevoss-backed bitcoin treasury firm plans an Amsterdam listing, signaling appetite for listed BTC exposure in the EU.
🗓 Near-term event & data catalysts (September)
🔸Fri, Sep 5 — U.S. Jobs (NFP, Aug) at 08:30 ET. Labor softness would bolster rate-cut odds and risk appetite; a beat could do the opposite.
🔸Wed, Sep 11 — U.S. CPI (Aug) at 08:30 ET. Inflation surprise drives real-rate expectations → BTC beta.
🔸Tue–Wed, Sep 16–17 — FOMC + press conference. Policy path & dot plot = macro volatility for BTC.
Fri, Sep 26 — Options/Derivs expiry:
• Deribit monthly BTC options expire 08:00 UTC (last Friday rule).
• CME Bitcoin monthly options settle Sep 26 as well.
These expiries often amplify gamma flows and spot-vol.
Early Sept — Next difficulty adjustment likely >7% up (tightens miner economics short-term).
Medium-dated overhang
Mt. Gox creditor deadline: Oct 31, 2025. Any schedule/details update could swing “supply overhang” narratives.
📈 Flows & on-chain/market structure
🔸ETF flows remain the cleanest real-time demand proxy; watch daily creations/redemptions. 🔸Sustained positives tend to align with spot strength; outsized outflows can weigh on price.
🔸Network health is stellar (ATH hashrate), but rising difficulty + a softer tape can pressure high-cost miners → potential miner selling into weakness.
🔸Corporate treasuries (e.g., Strategy/MSTR) keep adding on dips—bullish signal for supply absorption on red days.
🧠 Seasonality & tone check
September is historically a weak month for BTC (average ~−3% to −4% since 2013), which fits the current “pullback/mean-revert” setup.
📣 Social/flow buzz (signals, not noise)
🔸ETF flow posts (Farside, Bloomberg desks) are getting traction again—watch after U.S. close for prints.
🔸Saylor/Strategy buying headlines keep the “corporate bid” narrative front-and-center.
🧭 Levels & plan (author’s framework)
🔸Bias: Long-term constructive; near-term: correction mode likely extends through September (seasonality + event risk).
🔸Bear target: $88,000 (where I’d expect volatility to attract responsive buyers).
🔸Invalidation for bears (tactical): A strong reclaim/close above ~$113K–$115K with improving 🔸ETF inflows would weaken the pullback thesis.
🔸Sizing: Respect macro data days (NFP/CPI/Fed) and options expiry week—expect higher realized vol.
🗺 What to watch next (checklist)
🔸Daily U.S. spot BTC ETF flows (post-close updates). Momentum if creations persist; caution on redemptions clusters.
🔸Sep 5 — NFP (Aug) 08:30 ET. Risk-on if soft; risk-off if hot.
🔸Sep 11 — CPI (Aug) 08:30 ET. Headline/core surprises steer the FOMC tone.
🔸Sep 16–17 — FOMC + presser. Watch guidance on cuts, balance sheet, and growth.
🔸Sep 26 — Deribit & CME monthly expiries. Positioning/“max pain” dynamics into that Friday.
Difficulty adjustment (early Sept). If >7% up as projected, monitor miner behavior/sell pressure.
Ethereum Accumulation Before BreakoutEthereum has regained bullish momentum after a recent correction phase, supported by improving sentiment in the broader crypto market. The asset is displaying early signs of stabilization as traders begin accumulating around value zones, indicating renewed confidence among market participants.
From a macro perspective, Ethereum continues to benefit from increasing network activity, particularly within the DeFi and Layer-2 ecosystems. The sustained growth in on-chain transactions and staking participation reflects long-term investor interest, adding strength to the current recovery phase.
Market data also shows that institutional inflows into major crypto assets are on the rise, with Ethereum standing out due to its strong fundamentals and ecosystem resilience. This inflow supports the likelihood of a continued price rebound, as liquidity and trading volume remain consistent.
Overall, ETHUSDT is showing a constructive recovery setup. The combination of improving sentiment, strong fundamentals, and gradual accumulation suggests a potential medium-term bullish continuation, provided global market conditions remain favorable.
Possible Next Moves for Ethereum | ETH 1H Analysis D2👋 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! - ❤️ Welcome to Satoshi Frame .
📅 Today we’re diving into the 1-hour Ethereum analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Ethereum (ETH), we can see that ETH is currently moving inside a triangle compression structure, and it has now reached the final third of that triangle — meaning we’re waiting for a breakout to trigger a trade. The red trendline, which forms the upper edge of the triangle, acts as a dynamic resistance and overlaps with the $4064 resistance zone — creating a strong Long trigger setup. The bottom of the triangle acts as our Short trigger, where a confirmed break below it, combined with a Maker Buyer zone breakdown, could start ETH’s next move and break it out of this compression phase.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, ETH is currently fluctuating between 56.4 and 30. A breakout beyond either side of this range could enhance trading volatility and increase ETH’s momentum in the upcoming move.
🕯 Analyzing ETH’s volume, we can see that upon reaching the Maker Buyer zone, buying volume has increased — causing a noticeable reversal reaction from that level. If ETH continues to see increased buying pressure, it can break through resistance; otherwise, if it faces selling pressure, a large whale candle will be needed to break the Maker Buyer zone to the downside.
🧠 For Ethereum positioning, we can define two clear scenarios — since the price is near the end of its compression, these setups are relatively simple and well-defined:
🟢 Long Scenario: A breakout above the static + dynamic resistance at $4064, combined with RSI moving above 56.4 and increasing buying volume, could push ETH toward higher resistance levels.
🔴 Short Scenario: A break below the key Low at $3692, accompanied by a large whale candle cutting through the Maker Buyer zone and RSI dropping below 30 to enter its 1-hour OverSell area, would confirm bearish momentum. Note that if ETH dips slightly these days, many major projects, institutions, and even government-linked entities have been accumulating heavily within this identified Maker Buyer zone — so it’s wise to approach short positions with reduced risk exposure.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH Lower in wave 2?CRYPTOCAP:ETH Struggled at all time high which is a high probability rejection area per the Elliot Wave motif wave 1s.
Wave 2 may have ended at the daily 200EMA but we need to see a bd at the current support High Volume Node os risk another large drop. A swing below the trend line and touch of the S2 pivot and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement is a high confluence outcome.
Price is making an expanding series lower lows.
RSI has printed bullish divergence from oversold but another sell off would negate this.
Safe trading
ETHEREUM Only the 1D MA50 can save the day.Ethereum (ETHUSD) marginally broke its 1W MA20 (red trend-line) on last Friday's flash crash and rebounded. The bullish continuation wasn't enough however to break above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and so far it's been rejected.
This is the exact same reaction it had the last time it hit its 1W MA20 (June 22), technically the previous Higher Low of the Fibonacci Channel Up. Both crashes have been around -27%. It took the market some days of consolidation below the 1D MA50 but when it finally broke it, the new Bullish Leg was confirmed.
With a 1D RSI Bullish Divergence already under ETH's belt (Higher Lows against the price's Lower Lows), the market looks like it has bottomed but this can only be validated by a 1D MA50 break-out. The next Bullish Leg can lead ETH to a least $7150 (+108.31% rise similar to the first Bullish Leg).
A break and candle closing below the 1W MA20 however, opens the way to further decline towards the 1W MA100 (green trend-line, the natural long-term Support of the Bull Cycle) around $3050.
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ETH/USDT – Ethereum’s Downtrend May ContinueAlthough Ethereum saw a slight recovery on October 14th, it remains under significant pressure from US-China trade tensions, negatively impacting the financial markets and Ethereum’s value. The US imposing 100% tariffs on Chinese goods, along with retaliatory measures from China, has raised concerns about global economic stability. These factors have pushed ETH/USDT down to a low of $3,893.
The chart shows that Ethereum is trading within a clear downtrend channel, with $4,130 acting as a strong resistance level. After hitting this resistance, Ethereum may continue to decline towards $3,530 in the coming days if there is no positive shift in the fundamental factors.
With the market still uncertain and US-China trade tensions unresolved, Ethereum is likely to remain under downward pressure in the short term.
ETH Game Plan – FTKZ ModelETH Game Plan – FTKZ Model
📊 Market Sentiment
After the sharp 10/10 crash triggered by Trump’s 100% tariff announcement on Chinese imports, altcoins saw heavy liquidations some exceeding -80%.
On 12/10, Vice President Vance clarified Trump’s remarks, causing a temporary rebound.
However, Trump’s 15/10 statement reaffirming a trade war with China reignited selling pressure.
Sentiment remains bearish, as volatility and geopolitical risk continue to shape short-term direction.
📈 Technical Analysis
ETH maintains a bullish structure on the weekly timeframe.
If the weekly candle closes below 3350$, it would signal a potential bearish reversal.
Price is currently retracing toward the HTF Key Zone, aligning with both an FFVG and HTF trendline confluence ideal for long setups if support holds.
📘 Model to be used – FTKZ Model (HTF FFVG + Trendline + Key Zone)
1️⃣ Determine the HTF weekly trend — trade only in that direction.
2️⃣ Identify the HTF Fair Value Gap (FFVG) that price may rebalance.
3️⃣ Confirm confluence with HTF trendline support.
4️⃣ Locate the HTF Key Zone showing strong order flow.
5️⃣ Enter after LTF confirmation.
📌 Game Plan
I will be watching ETH to test the 3350$ HTF Key Zone (weekly swing liquidity & monthly FFVG).
If the weekly close forms back above 3350$, I will expect continuation toward higher levels.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Weekly close above 3350$ confirming bullish continuation.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Weekly close below 3350$
Targets: TP1: 4300$ | TP2: Bearish Trendline
Move stoploss to breakeven after TP1 hits.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
ETHUSD H4 | Bullish Reversal FormationEthereum (RTH/USD) is falling towards the buy entry, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, and could bounce from this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 3,712.02, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss is at 3,514.48, whichis a pullback support.
Take profit is at 4,2756.43, which is a pullback resistance.
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ETH/USDT Long Setup – Demand Zone BounceHi Everyone,
Ethereum is sitting just above the $4,000 support after bouncing from the $3,500–$4,000 demand zone and reclaiming the 20W EMA. As long as price holds this level, I’m looking for continuation to the upside.
My target for this trade is $5300,
A break back below $3,500 would invalidate this setup, however I have my stop loss priced at $3200.
Simple plan: hold above demand, ride it higher.
I believe this trade will hit target within 2-4 weeks.
ETH/USDT 4H chart review📉 Main trend (short-term)
• The price is below the black downtrend line, which means sellers are dominating.
• There is an attempt to break out above the trendline, but there is no continuation - i.e. a false breakout (so-called "bull trap").
⸻
🔴 Key support and resistance levels
• Resistances:
• 4,252 USDT – local resistance, the limit of the previous rebound.
• 4,471 USDT – strong resistance, earlier peak after breakout.
• 4,750 USDT – main resistance from a higher interval (possible target after a trend change).
• Support:
• 3,963 USDT – current price level, acts as local support.
• 3,763 USDT – next strong support, confirmed by the previous rebound.
• 3,435 USDT – critical zone, bottom of the structure.
⸻
📊 RSI (oscillator)
• RSI (bottom chart) is close to the oversold zone (<30).
• This means that the market is overloaded with selling and a technical rebound may occur in the short term.
⸻
🔍 Volume
• Volume decreases with subsequent declines → a sign of supply fatigue.
• This may suggest that a local bottom is approaching and a possible corrective move upwards.
⸻
📈 Scenarios
✅ Bull scenario
• If ETH stays above USDT 3,960-3,970, there may be a rebound to:
👉 USDT 4,250-4,470 (first target).
• Confirmation: a candle closing above the black trend line.
❌ Bear scenario
• If the price drops below USDT 3,960 and stays there for 4H,
next drop target is:
👉 3,760 USDT, and in the event of a breakout – 3,435 USDT.
TradeCityPro | Ethereum: Break Key Levels for Bullish Momentum👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to examine Ethereum for you. The queen of the crypto market, with a $497 billion market cap, is ranked 2nd on CoinMarketCap.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
This coin, in the 4-hour timeframe, after breaking the range box at the ceiling and moving towards the $3800 level, is now in a corrective phase and has made an upward movement.
⭐ The $3800 range is a very important level for Ethereum, and this zone was not broken even during the Flash Crash that occurred on Friday, and it managed to hold the price.
🚀 Now, the price has moved towards the range between 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci, and has been rejected once from this zone.
📊 The volume has not increased significantly during this move and has mostly been range-bound, but since the price has created a higher low at the $3971 level, if the buying volume increases, we can get a bullish confirmation with a break of the $4255 level.
💥 Since this coin is bullish on higher timeframes and is currently undergoing a correction on lower timeframes, if the price gives us a small bullish confirmation, we can take advantage of it and open a long position.
💡 The main resistance for Ethereum is the $4718 level. Breaking this level will initiate the next wave for Ethereum on higher timeframes, such as weekly charts. Therefore, I will try to open a long position on Ethereum before this level is broken.
📈 The suitable trigger right now seems to be a break of $4255. With this break, the price can move towards $4718, and if this level is broken, we will have a very good and attractive entry point for a long position on Ethereum.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
$LYN Performing a symmetrical triangle**$LYN** **Performing a symmetrical triangle** `symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern formed by two converging trendlines that connect a series of lower highs and higher lows. It represents a period of market consolidation and indecision, with neither buyers nor sellers having a clear advantage. The price range narrows as it moves toward the triangle's apex, or point of convergence.`
Ethereum 1H Analysis – Key Battle at $4,278 Resistance | D1👋 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great!
💥 Welcome to Satoshi Frame — today we’re diving into the 1-hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 1-hour timeframe of Ethereum, and we can see that Ethereum, after the heavy drop it experienced, broke down from the 4278$ area and moved toward its lower support levels. A major support level has formed around the 3692$ area, where we saw strong buyer support, and they pushed the Ethereum price upward. After the upward movement and buyer support, as Ethereum approached its resistance in the 4278$ area, the buying volume decreased, and then buyers’ strength ended. Sellers, with strong momentum and multiple red candles, pushed the price down toward the 3941$ support, where the price was supported again. Now a higher low has formed compared to the 3941$ bottom, and the price is moving toward its key resistance area at 4278$.
🧮 We can see in the RSI oscillator that there is a key level around 70, which is the OverBuy boundary. If the fluctuation limit passes this area, Ethereum can break its resistance around 4278$.
🕯 Regarding volume, there is an educational note that when the price approached the 4278$ resistance, it faced a decrease in buying volume and was rejected from this area with many red candles. Now that the price is moving toward this resistance, if it is accompanied by an increase in buying volume, it increases the probability of breaking this resistance for us.
🧠 For the Ethereum position, a breakout of the 4278$ area is needed, and now if the price moves toward this area, it will form our second touch and create several scenarios for us.
↗️ First scenario for long position: breakout of resistance accompanied by an increase in volume and setting the trigger at 4278$, which gives us a large stop size and reaches its risk-to-reward ratio later.
↗️ Second scenario for long position: wait for the price to have a reaction to the 4278$ area and then create a higher high and higher low for us, and we can enter on the created higher low and place our stop below that same low.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH Consolidates Below Yesterday Cloee ETH 30M – Waiting for Long Confirmation
After a sharp pullback, Ethereum is now consolidating right below key dynamic levels, the perfect zone where patience pays more than prediction.
🧭 System Overview:
I track 3 confirmation signals:
1️⃣ MLR10 crossing above SMA3.
2️⃣ MLR10 crossing above BB center
3️⃣ PSAR flipping below price.
⚙️ Current Time Frame (30m):
PSAR (gray) still above price → bearish bias not yet invalidated.
MLR10 (blue) is between SMA3 (magenta) and BB center (orange) → neutral zone.
RSI at 49.7 → momentum flat.
MACD turning red → fading strength.
200MA (red) near 4000 → key structural support.
💡 Interpretation:
ETH is preparing, not breaking.
There’s potential energy building, but entry discipline is crucial.
Until PSAR flips below and MLR reclaims both SMA and BB center, we stay flat.
📊 Market context:
Open Interest ↓ 1.8% → leverage cooling off.
Funding neutral → no retail squeeze in play.
Liquidations balanced → no directional aggression.
➡️ Conclusion:
No confirmed long yet, but structure shows early recovery potential.
A valid System Long will trigger once all 3 signals align.
Key levels:
Resistance: Yesterday close , dotted line
Support: MA50
Next long trigger → when PSAR flips & MLR > SMA3 > BB center
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
Bullish reversal setup?The Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance that aligns with hte 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 3,830.73
1st Support: 3,567.83
1st Resistance: 4,433.88
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Volatility Period: October 16 (October 15-17)
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(ETHUSDT 1D Chart)
Following BTC, ETH is also entering a volatility period.
This period of volatility for ETH is expected to last until October 16th (October 15th-17th).
After this period of volatility, the key question is whether the price can find support around 3900.72-4372.72 and rise above 4403.87 to maintain its price.
If the price fails to rise, it is expected to encounter the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, so a response plan should be considered.
-
(1M chart)
The StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart is entering an overbought zone, potentially limiting its upward movement.
Therefore,
1st: 3900.73-4107.80
2nd: 3321.30-3438.16
We need to determine whether the price can rise after finding support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
In other words, we need to see if the price remains above the M-Siganl indicator on the 1M chart.
-
(1W chart)
Looking at the 1W chart, the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range is formed in the 4393.04-4780.15 range. Therefore, a rise above this range is necessary for a stepwise uptrend.
Ultimately, the key question is whether the price can rise above the 4393.04-4780.15 range.
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Therefore, the key question is whether the 4393.04-4780.15 range, which corresponds to the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1W and 1D charts, can rise after this period of volatility.
As I always say, to break above this important point or range and continue the uptrend,
1. The StochRSI indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it's best to avoid entering the overbought zone.
2. The On-By-Sign-Observable (OBV) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the High Line.
3. The TC (Trend Check) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the 0 level.
If the above conditions are met, the uptrend is likely to continue.
It's recommended to draw support and resistance points or ranges on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and utilize auxiliary indicators to determine the significance of these points or ranges.
When drawing support and resistance points or zones, we often think of them as important, but it can be difficult to recognize how important they actually are.
Therefore, when drawing support and resistance points or zones, it's important to be able to develop a basic trading strategy.
Once you've established a basic trading strategy, the key to trading is figuring out how to maintain that strategy and respond accordingly.
No matter what chart analysis you use, you'll ultimately need to draw support and resistance points or zones.
Therefore, the first step is to draw support and resistance points or zones on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Next, you should check auxiliary indicators to determine the importance of the drawn support and resistance points or zones and determine whether you should respond.
To achieve this, you need to understand your investment size and how to manage your reserve funds.
You should always keep a certain portion (approximately 20%) of your total investment in cash.
This allows you to respond to volatility when it occurs.
If you've invested too much money in a single coin (token, stock), it's a good idea to sell some of it when the price rises to a certain level and secure cash.
Ultimately, overcoming the relentless volatility of the beginning and achieving profit depends on how you manage your funds.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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BTC/USDT — Volume Confirmation Points Toward UptrendBitcoin has reclaimed strength within the low time frame zone, while also showing rising volume activity — a key technical signal that supports the early stage of a potential uptrend continuation.
BTC volume has been increasing since the last 7H step by step.
Currently, BTC is stabilizing between $111K and $113.6K, forming a supportive base within this range. The volume range just above acts as a confirmation layer — once price holds above this level with consistent demand, the uptrend momentum could accelerate.
📊 Technical Highlights:
Low Time Frame Support: $111K–$113.6K
Volume Zone: $116.6K area and important confirmation zone.
Main Resistance / Target: $118-120K
A sustained move above the volume zone ($116K) would be the main confirmation that BTC’s next leg toward $126K is underway.
📈 Bias: Bullish continuation forming
🎯 Key levels: $113.6K → $116K → up 118K
SHELL/USDT — Breakout Setup Building, Eyes on $0.1524SHELL/USDT — Breakout Setup Building, Eyes on $0.1524 🚀
SHELL has formed a clear bottom structure and is now showing early signs of trend recovery after a sharp correction. The price is currently reclaiming strength above the $0.09 level, suggesting a potential shift in short-term momentum.
📊 Technical Overview:
Support zone: $0.0360
Current price: $0.093
Breakout target: $0.1524
A breakout above $0.10–$0.11 could confirm a new upward phase, opening the path toward the $0.1524 zone, which acts as the next significant resistance level.
Momentum indicators and price structure indicate that buyers are gradually stepping in — pointing to a possible continuation move if volume supports the trend.
📈 Bias: Bullish setup forming
🎯 Targets: $0.115 → $0.1524
🕓 Watch for confirmation: A 4H close above $0.10
ETH – Key Scenarios #ETH – Key Scenarios
Current price: $3,913
Ethereum remains inside a corrective structure following rejection near $4,250–$4,300.
The chart outlines three potential paths — continuation, consolidation, or deeper correction.
Technical Context
• ETH lost momentum after failing to break above the prior swing high near $4,300.
• Price action remains guided by a descending channel, while short-term volatility spikes around macro events.
• The mid-term structure depends on whether ETH can break above this channel or remain trapped within it.
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation (White / Cyan Path)
• Structure: Impulse wave 1–2–3–4–5 forming a new major wave (3).
• Confirmation: breakout above $4,200–$4,300, supported by high volume.
• Targets:
– Wave 3 ≈ $4,700–$4,900
– Extended 5th ≈ $5,200+
• Invalidation: daily close below $3,700.
• Probability: Moderate–High, if risk appetite returns and BTC leads the rally.
2️⃣ Extended ABC Correction (Orange Path)
• Structure: A–B–C correction unfolding toward lower Fibonacci retracements.
• Key levels:
– Wave A ≈ $3,600
– Wave B bounce ≈ $3,900–$4,000
– Wave C ≈ $2,800–$2,600
• Narrative: macro tightening or BTC rejection near resistance.
• Probability: Moderate, especially if liquidity contracts or sentiment weakens.
3️⃣ Channel Consolidation / Range Scenario (Gray Path)
• Structure: price remains within the descending channel, oscillating between support and resistance.
• Range:
– Upper boundary ≈ $4,200–$4,300
– Lower boundary ≈ $3,400–$3,600
• Character: prolonged sideways correction forming a triangle or complex W-X-Y pattern.
• Implications: market indecision, volatility compression before the next macro move.
• Probability: High (short-term) — typical after sharp drops and in anticipation of new catalysts.
🧭 Summary
• ETH is currently consolidating inside a descending channel, forming a decision point for Q4.
• Three paths remain open:
- Breakout and impulsive continuation above $4,300.
- Range-bound sideways phase within the channel.
- Full ABC correction toward $2.8K–$2.6K.
Trend bias: Neutral-bullish while above $3,700, turning bearish on a confirmed channel breakdown.






















