ETH Tactical Long: Laddered Bounce from Absorption ZoneCOINBASE:ETHUSD has been in a steady 1H downtrend, but key support at $3,440 is showing signs of absorption. Volume is thinning on sell-offs, and we're seeing early reversion signals.
This is my over the weekend analysis, not a final recommendation.
Setup Type: Mean Reversion / Absorption Bounce
- Trend: Still bearish on 1H (below 50/100/150 MAs), but slope compression hints at weakening
momentum
- RVI: Below 50, but curling up → early bounce bias
- Volume: Sellers fading into $3,440 = buyer absorption zone
📊 1hr Quant Entry Levels & Laddered Plan
Zone Type Action
$3,440–3,435 Primary Entry Base long entry zone 🔄
$3,420–3,410 Add-on Entry Optional bid stack 🧱
$3,320 Soft Invalidation Trend continuation if lost 🚫
$3,150 Deep Value Wick Low-prob, high-juice trap 💎
🎯 Targets:
T1: $3,515 → EMA cluster rejection zone
T2: $3,600–3,638 → Range midpoint
T3: $3,800 → Trend reversal if reclaimed
⚖️ Risk/Reward: 1:2.5+ (depends on fill ladder)
We are starting entries here, but be cautious if we break through our support levels and you don't have the appetite for the deep value range it may be wiser to wait for a confirming trend or post.
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
ETH Gears Up Again
ETH on the 4H is confirming the uptrend
MLR > SMA > BB Center — trend structure is bullish
PSAR has flipped bullish
RSI has plenty of room to run
MACD has turned green
Next resistance: 0.236 Fib and the 50MA.
On the macro side:
• Fed chair replacement talks
• Slower job numbers
• CFTC launching “Crypto Sprint”
Momentum is building. We’ll be here to watch it unfold.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
Bitcoin Range for August?Historically August has been a tough month for crypto in the past with mostly flat to negative returns. For that reason, although not a perfect science, I would not be surprised if we see a rangebound environment continuation for BTC.
So what would that look like? Structurally there are three thirds to the range, currently price is looking to break through into the upper third after bouncing off the bottom third bullish orderblock.
Trade setups will naturally present themselves as rotational plays both bullish and bearish at the extremes of each of the thirds but much larger trades from the range top and bottom.
Altcoins are lagging behind BTC structurally so where BTC has been choppy for a few weeks, most large cap alts have hit their highs and are now looking to settle into a range before the next leg up.
Testing $3,500 Support, Rebound Ahead?Instrument: ETHUSD
Timeframe: Daily
Date: August 4, 2025
Analysis:
ETH fell 7.9% to $3,500 from $3,800, testing support after failing to break its high. The hawkish FOMC and rising BTC.D (62%) pressured altcoins. I entered the dip on $3,500, as shared on X and my previous report
Chart Setup:
Support: $3,500
Resistance: $3,600, $3,800
Ethereum’s 1H Chart Screams Breakout — Next Stop $3,941?Ethereum has recently broken above a short-term descending trendline that had been guiding the market lower over the past sessions. This breakout occurred after price formed a strong base around the $3,357 support zone, indicating that sellers were losing momentum. The “B” buy signals printed near these lows further strengthen the bullish outlook.
The immediate resistance lies around $3,559, which is the level price is currently approaching. If buyers can maintain momentum above this area, the next upside targets are $3,576, $3,680, $3,717, and $3,773. The major resistance and projected take-profit area is near $3,941.
From a structural standpoint, the shift from lower lows to higher lows suggests that the short-term trend may be reversing in favor of buyers. This aligns with the increased buying volume observed after the breakout, hinting at potential follow-through in the next London or New York session.
Trading Setup
• Entry: Around $3,553 after breakout confirmation
• Stop-loss: Below $3,357
• Take-profit 1: $3,680
• Take-profit 2: $3,773
• Final Target: $3,941
• Risk-Reward: Approximately 1.89:1
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) – Bearish Channel Structure Developing
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🔍 Technical Overview
Ethereum has broken down from its ascending channel, invalidating the earlier bullish projection toward $4,000. After failing to hold the channel midline around $3,577, price dropped sharply to $3,360, forming a new bearish descending channel.
Currently, ETH is trading near the midline of this bearish channel, which typically acts as a decision point — not a buying zone — in smart money models.
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🧠 NEoWave Interpretation
We may be inside a Complex Corrective Wave, possibly a Running or Contracting Flat evolving after the March top. The current structure resembles a B-wave trap, where price fakes out the upside before shifting momentum sharply downward. The break below the ascending channel midline confirms this bearish shift.
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📊 Smart Money Summary
• 🟥 BOS confirmed on 1H and 4H (lower highs and lower lows)
• 🔻 Midline failure acted as a smart money trap, followed by a liquidity sweep below $3,490
• 📦 Bullish Order Block around $3,490–$3,520 has been tapped, prompting a minor reaction
• 🟡 Current resistance sits near the channel top ~ $3,715
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🎯 Trade Scenarios
📌 Bearish Continuation:
If price fails to reclaim above $3,715, a retest and rejection from the channel top could trigger continuation toward $3,300–$3,250.
📌 Bullish Reversal (less likely for now):
Only a clean break and hold above $3,720 would suggest that bulls are regaining control, opening path toward $3,900–$4,000 — though this scenario is weakened after structural damage.
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⚠️ Trader Tip:
Avoid buying into midline reactions in weak channels. Better long setups form after stop-hunts, ideally near bullish OBs + internal BOS confirmations.
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✅ Conclusion
Ethereum remains under bearish pressure after losing its ascending structure. Unless price reclaims the $3,715 resistance zone with momentum, downside continuation remains likely.
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📌 Save this analysis
💬 Share your thoughts or alt wave counts in the comments.
ETH Looks Bearish (3D)Ethereum approached the weekly trendline and experienced a correction. It seems likely that we may see one more push upward to create a false bullish sentiment on this coin. There is even a possibility of a fake breakout above the descending trendline. However, before any major move, a significant correction toward the green zone appears likely | after which the main bullish move is expected to occur.
On higher timeframes, this is currently our outlook on Ethereum.
A daily candle closing above or below the invalidation levels would negate the current buy or sell bias.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ETH | Ethereum - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context:
Traders are currently anticipating a potential 0.25% rate cut at the September FOMC meeting, which continues to support the broader bullish outlook.
While the market pulled back following weaker-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll data, overall sentiment remains optimistic.
Greed has cooled off into a more neutral stance. Historically, August often brings some consolidation or pullbacks — but the structural bias for crypto market remains bullish.
🧾 Weekly Recap:
ETH started the retracement movement after building a bullish trend over the past couple of weeks.
It’s mainly being affected by Bitcoin's bearishness, so we’re closely following BTC’s price action.
ETH has tapped into the Weekly Fair Value Gap, which is a key level for me.
We may see a bounce from here.
📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan:
I expect to see another low on ETH before we go up — as I’m also anticipating one more leg down on Bitcoin.
So I’ll wait for a final bearish expansion and a trap for late sellers before positioning for longs.
After that, I want to see price closing above the purple line at $3500.
🎯 Setup Trigger:
A candle close above the $3500 level will be my signal to look for long setups.
📋 Trade Management:
Stoploss: Below the swing low that breaks above $3500
Take Profit: Targeting $3870, but will trail and lock in aggressively in case of deeper downside expansion.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
Bitcoin Dominance & The Fall of AltcoinsBitcoin has sold off sharply in recent session.
Allowing alt coins to capture small percentages of bitcoins liquidity which resulted in epic bullish moves.
Now that Bitcoin is retesting a major moving average (50 MA) we might see BTC recapture some of that crypto dominance.
Other alt coins are well off of their 50 day moving average making them a riskier buy.
When BTC dominance starts to take leadership we often see alt coins and the total market cap sell off.
Bitcoin dominance is hitting a multi year trendline and looks poised to capture some of the alt liquidity.
We still think BTC can sell off and go lower, but on a relative basis it should hold up better than other alt coins & Ethereum.
There are some key nuances that are building and shaping up for a very similar topping formation that occurred in 2021.
ETH Bearish Divergence!CRYPTOCAP:ETH has been in a strong uptrend, printing consistent higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). However, on the daily chart, the price has now reached a critical resistance zone near the $3,800–$4,000 range.
Key Points:
🔸 Bearish RSI Divergence
While price action has formed a new higher high, the RSI has printed a lower high, signaling bearish divergence.
This indicates that upward momentum is weakening even as price attempts to push higher — a common early warning of a possible short-term reversal.
🔸 Fibonacci Retracement Levels
The fib 0.382 at $3240 and 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels are sitting around $3,000 and $2,800, respectively, potential targets if a correction follows.
🔸 Volume Profile
Volume is gradually declining as price approaches resistance, suggesting buyer exhaustion.
If the price breaks above the $4,000 psychological resistance, we could see a strong bullish move.
ETH is facing strong resistance after a powerful rally, with RSI bearish divergence and weakening momentum hinting at a possible short-term pullback. We should be cautious entering fresh longs here without confirmation.
Support: $3,200, $3,000, and $2,800
Cheers
Hexa
BINANCE:ETHUSDT BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
ETH 4H – MACD Histogram Caught The 54% Increase, Did You?The MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy doesn’t just catch trends — it shows you how strong they are. On this ETH 4H chart, a textbook move unfolds:
🔹 Histogram flipped positive → Long entry triggered
🔹 Rising bars = building momentum
🔹 Tallest bar = momentum peak (July 21)
🔹 Shrinking bars signaled a weakening trend before price ever reversed
🔹 Histogram turned negative → clean exit at the top
The MACD histogram is a direct visual of momentum:
– Bars rising = acceleration
– Bars shrinking = exhaustion
– Crossing below 0 = confirmation of reversal
⚙️ Strategy Settings:
– MACD: 25 / 60 / 220
– EMA Filter: 50 / 9 / 3
– Entry Mode: Histogram + Crossover Combo
ETH 4H Mid-Zone BounceETH on the 4H
ETH found support right at the midpoint between the 0.382 and 0.236 Fib levels — exactly at yesterday’s close.
Price closed above the BB center, and the SMA is also holding above it — early signs of recovery.
RSI formed a double bottom in the oversold zone and has now crossed above its moving average.
MACD is about to flip bullish.
I remain bullish and still holding my long, but with tight risk management.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
ETHUSD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse ETHUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,482.9 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,433.9..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Seven topics explaining why Ethereum might be heading towards atSeven topics explaining why Ethereum might be heading towards at least $4,500 after returning to its trend:
1. Market Sentiment and Bullish Reversal
When Ethereum breaks out of a consolidation phase or a downtrend, it often signals a shift in market psychology. A bullish reversal can be triggered by technical patterns such as ascending triangles, breakouts above key resistance levels, or bullish candlestick formations. Positive news (e.g., regulatory clarity, major partnerships, or favorable market reports) enhances investor confidence. Once traders recognize a trend reversal, it leads to increased buying momentum, further propelling ETH higher. This shift in sentiment often acts as a self-fulfilling prophecy, attracting more capital into the asset.
2. Institutional Adoption and Investment
Institutional investors, including hedge funds, asset managers, and pension funds, play a crucial role in cryptocurrency price dynamics. Large-scale investments, ETFs, or custodial solutions designed for institutional clients can generate significant buy pressure. Notable endorsements from major financial firms or integration of Ethereum-based products into mainstream financial platforms can serve as a validation, encouraging broader participation. This institutional involvement often brings stability and confidence, supporting sustained upward movement towards higher targets like $4,500.
3. DeFi and NFT Growth
Ethereum's ecosystem is the backbone of the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector and NFTs. The expanding adoption of DeFi applications (lending, borrowing, staking) and booming NFT markets increase demand for ETH, since it is essential for transaction fees and smart contract execution. As new projects and use cases emerge, the utility of ETH grows, directly impacting its value. Additionally, mainstream adoption of DeFi and NFTs draws more retail and institutional investors into the ecosystem, contributing to price appreciation.
4. Network Developments
Ethereum continues to undergo significant upgrades to address scalability, security, and sustainability. Ethereum 2.0, with features like proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus, shard chains, and Layer 2 scaling solutions (like Rollups), greatly enhance network efficiency. These upgrades improve user experience and reduce transaction costs, making Ethereum more attractive for developers and users. The improving technology infrastructure can result in increased transaction volume, user activity, and investor confidence, which collectively drive the price upward.
5. Macro and Cryptocurrency Market Factors
Broader macroeconomic conditions influence Ethereum’s price. A declining dollar, inflation concerns, or global economic uncertainty can push investors toward alternative assets like cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin’s market movement often correlates with ETH, and a bullish Bitcoin trend can lift ETH prices as well. Additionally, positive regulatory developments or a general rally in the crypto market can create a favorable environment, supporting Ethereum’s ascent to higher levels.
6. Technical Indicators
Traders rely heavily on technical analysis. Breakouts above significant resistance levels (e.g., previous highs around $3,500 or $4,000), increased trading volume, and bullish chart patterns such as flags or bullish divergence reinforce the upward trend. These technical signals attract momentum traders and institutional players, which accelerate the price increase. Consistent bullish technicals contribute to a self-sustaining upward trajectory toward the $4,500 target.
7. Supply Dynamics
Ethereum's supply mechanics significantly influence its price. The implementation of EIP-1559 introduced a fee-burning mechanism that reduces circulating supply over time, creating a deflationary pressure. When network activity is high, more ETH is burned, decreasing supply and potentially increasing scarcity. Furthermore, the transition to Ethereum 2.0's proof-of-stake reduces issuance, limiting new ETH supply entering the market. These supply-side dynamics, combined with growing demand, can lead to significant appreciation, moving ETH toward and beyond the $4,500 level.
ETH to + $4,5007 topics explaining why Ethereum might be heading towards at least $4,500 after returning to its trend:
1. Market Sentiment and Bullish Reversal
When Ethereum breaks out of a consolidation phase or a downtrend, it often signals a shift in market psychology. A bullish reversal can be triggered by technical patterns such as ascending triangles, breakouts above key resistance levels, or bullish candlestick formations. Positive news (e.g., regulatory clarity, major partnerships, or favorable market reports) enhances investor confidence. Once traders recognize a trend reversal, it leads to increased buying momentum, further propelling ETH higher. This shift in sentiment often acts as a self-fulfilling prophecy, attracting more capital into the asset.
2. Institutional Adoption and Investment
Institutional investors, including hedge funds, asset managers, and pension funds, play a crucial role in cryptocurrency price dynamics. Large-scale investments, ETFs, or custodial solutions designed for institutional clients can generate significant buy pressure. Notable endorsements from major financial firms or integration of Ethereum-based products into mainstream financial platforms can serve as a validation, encouraging broader participation. This institutional involvement often brings stability and confidence, supporting sustained upward movement towards higher targets like $4,500.
3. DeFi and NFT Growth
Ethereum's ecosystem is the backbone of the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector and NFTs. The expanding adoption of DeFi applications (lending, borrowing, staking) and booming NFT markets increase demand for ETH, since it is essential for transaction fees and smart contract execution. As new projects and use cases emerge, the utility of ETH grows, directly impacting its value. Additionally, mainstream adoption of DeFi and NFTs draws more retail and institutional investors into the ecosystem, contributing to price appreciation.
4. Network Developments
Ethereum continues to undergo significant upgrades to address scalability, security, and sustainability. Ethereum 2.0, with features like proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus, shard chains, and Layer 2 scaling solutions (like Rollups), greatly enhance network efficiency. These upgrades improve user experience and reduce transaction costs, making Ethereum more attractive for developers and users. The improving technology infrastructure can result in increased transaction volume, user activity, and investor confidence, which collectively drive the price upward.
5. Macro and Cryptocurrency Market Factors
Broader macroeconomic conditions influence Ethereum’s price. A declining dollar, inflation concerns, or global economic uncertainty can push investors toward alternative assets like cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin’s market movement often correlates with ETH, and a bullish Bitcoin trend can lift ETH prices as well. Additionally, positive regulatory developments or a general rally in the crypto market can create a favorable environment, supporting Ethereum’s ascent to higher levels.
6. Technical Indicators
Traders rely heavily on technical analysis. Breakouts above significant resistance levels (e.g., previous highs around $3,500 or $4,000), increased trading volume, and bullish chart patterns such as flags or bullish divergence reinforce the upward trend. These technical signals attract momentum traders and institutional players, which accelerate the price increase. Consistent bullish technicals contribute to a self-sustaining upward trajectory toward the $4,500 target.
7. Supply Dynamics
Ethereum's supply mechanics significantly influence its price. The implementation of EIP-1559 introduced a fee-burning mechanism that reduces circulating supply over time, creating a deflationary pressure. When network activity is high, more ETH is burned, decreasing supply and potentially increasing scarcity. Furthermore, the transition to Ethereum 2.0's proof-of-stake reduces issuance, limiting new ETH supply entering the market. These supply-side dynamics, combined with growing demand, can lead to significant appreciation, moving ETH toward and beyond the $4,500 level.
Aerodrome Finance (AERO)Aerodrome (AERO) is showing strong signs of accumulation.
We've been trading within this parallel channel for nearly three months, and it's repeatedly respected both the upper and lower bounds. As we approach the bottom of this range again, it looks like an ideal accumulation zone for long-term holders.
I'm very bullish on this project. Aerodrome is the leading DEX on Base — Coinbase’s Layer 2 network — and with no native Base token currently, AERO is in a prime position to claim that top spot. There's a vacant throne on Base, and AERO is well-positioned to sit on it.
ETH 4H | Eyes on Support |ETH on the 4H
Bears are having their moment — and that’s fine.
Price is heading lower, with the 200MA around $3200 as the next support. If that breaks, the 0.382 Fib near $3000 is the last line before things get ugly.
My plan? Watch RSI for signs of bullish divergence.
Until then, hold tight.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
SOL/USDT | SOL Drops 25% – Approaching Key Buy Zone at $136–$148By analyzing the Solana chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that, like the rest of the market, it's undergoing a correction — dropping over 25% from the $206 area so far. Solana is now approaching a highly attractive buy zone between $136–$148, so be sure to closely monitor the price reaction in this range. Bullish targets will be announced soon — stay tuned!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
ETH Targets $12,500 With Potential Ascending Triangle BreakoutThis post updates my earlier post and revises the previous prediction upwards.
Pattern
As we can see on the 3-Month ETH/USD log chart, ETH price compresses within an Ascending Triangle formed by trendlines set at the candle bodies (not wicks). The upper trendline is almost perfectly horizontal and sits at $3600. ETH is currently attempting breakout, but would need a 3-Month close (end of Q3) above the upper trendline at $3600 to confirm the new uptrend.
Target Price
As someone new to Technical Analysis, my original chart used the linear layout, which I have come to learn is less well suited for charting patterns on long timeframes. The updated chart here shows a much more reliable pattern, but also suggests a much higher, yet still conservative, price target of $12,500. I am unsure of the timeline for which ETH could achieve this price, but I assume it would occur this cycle, which is consistent with other bullish ETH predictions, such as Tom Lee's recent call for $10k - 15k.
Method
Ascending Triangles are bullish continuation patterns. The breakout price target is obtained by measuring the percentage distance from the widest part of the triangle and projecting that same percentage above the upper trendline.
Please feel free to offer your criticisms and observations. This is not financial advice.
Ethereum Market Flush, Retrace & Support ZoneEthereum is now on its third consecutive red day and bearish action is fully confirmed. The market is preparing for a strong drop.
As I've been mentioning, this move looked up from a broader perspective is part of a small correction for the last major advance. Ethereum moved up from $2,500 to almost $4,000. Now we get a retrace that ends in a higher low followed by additional growth.
The retrace is now confirmed as Ether needs to test EMA55 and EMA89 as support. If these levels hold, you can count on a reversal right away. If these levels are compromised strongly, then prices can linger lower before a recovery shows up. It should be fast and strong. It should all happen within a few days, the crash and bottom, and the reversal a long-term process; sustained long-term growth, the market will be removing some of the weak hands.
We are going to be experiencing a bull run, are you sure you want to stay?
Protect your positions at all cost. We've seen nothing yet. $8,000 or more by the end of the bull run phase.
Namaste.
ERA : Risky but profitableHello friends🙌
Given the high that has been made and the price has returned, there is a possibility that the price will correct to the middle of the move, which is why we have provided two buying levels for you, which you can buy with risk and capital management and move towards the specified goals.
🔥Follow us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*
ETHUSD The Week Ahead Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3677
Resistance Level 2: 3752
Resistance Level 3: 3833
Support Level 1: 3485
Support Level 2: 3400
Support Level 3: 3316
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