Market Analysis: EUR/USD Trims GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Trims Gains
EUR/USD started a downside correction from 1.1740.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro struggled to clear 1.1740 and corrected gains against the US Dollar.
- There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1705 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD, the pair gained pace for a move above 1.1650. The Euro tested 1.1735 and recently corrected gains against the US Dollar.
The pair dipped below 1.1700 and a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1705. It sparked a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1574 swing low to the 1.1736 high.
The pair shows some bearish signs below the 50-hour simple moving average, and gains might remain capped since the RSI is now below 50. Immediate resistance on the upside is near 1.1655. The next key hurdle for the bulls could be near the 50-hour simple moving average at 1.1675.
An upside break above 1.1675 might send the pair toward 1.1705. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward 1.1740.
On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near the 76.4% Fib retracement at 1.1610. The next major area of interest is 1.1575. A downside break below 1.1575 could send the pair toward the 1.1500 handle.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Eurodollar
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 03, 2025 EURUSDThe euro remains under pressure as demand for the US dollar as a “safe haven” rises amid higher long-end Treasury yields and a broader risk-off tone. Today during Asian trading, the pair fluctuates around 1.16300–1.16500. Dollar inflows are supported by concerns over fiscal sustainability in advanced economies and a steeper US yield curve, which dampen risk appetite and reduce demand for the euro.
From a fundamental standpoint the setup is mixed: markets still price a chance of a Fed rate cut in September, yet the actual backdrop—firmer long-dated yields and cautious commentary on the US cycle—keeps the dollar supported. In the euro area, attention stays on inflation and signs of cooling domestic demand: soft PMI components and CPI expectations limit upside for the euro, while the differential in real rates continues to favor the USD.
Near-term drivers include the incoming US macro flow on employment (including advance gauges and Friday’s labor data) as well as fresh inflation pointers from the eurozone. Against this backdrop, the fundamental balance still tilts in favor of the dollar, keeping downside break risks elevated for EURUSD in case US releases surprise to the upside.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.16300, SL 1.16800, TP 1.15800
EURUSD | TRADING PLAN | DAY 28🔵 Demand Zone (Buyers’ Area):
1.1623 – 1.1580
Price has completed an ABC corrective structure and is now entering the demand zone.
Expectation: Buyers to step in and push the price higher.
🔴 Supply Zones (Targets):
1. 1.1658 – 1.1688 → First supply zone, ideal for partial profit-taking.
2. 1.1705 – 1.1720 → Major supply zone, where strong sellers may re-enter.
📌 Trade Idea:
Look for bullish confirmation (reversal candle / liquidity sweep) inside the demand zone.
Entry: 1.1625 – 1.1600 (within demand zone).
Stop Loss: Below 1.1573 (protected low).
Take Profit 1: 1.1658
Take Profit 2: 1.1688 – 1.1720
⚖️ Risk–Reward Ratio (RRR):
Approx. 1:3 to 1:4 depending on entry execution.
---
✅ This plan is valid as long as price holds above 1.1573.
📌 Discipline with SL & partial profits is key.
EURUSD: EU Is Bullish, But Potential Headwinds Are Present!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 1 - 5th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: EURUSD
The EURUSD has been ranging all summer long. September marks the end of that consolidation.
With the market moving bullishly in a retracement to the .786 fib, the market can either keep going higher... or turn over with a bearish break of market structure. Because the marker is in this final line of corrective territory, the potential for the market turn cannot be ignored.
Look for some continuation of the bullish momentum, but be mindful where price is in the structure. Have a plan in place to take action quickly should the market signal its true direction.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of August 29, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the most recent trading session, the Euro showed moderate upward movement. It initially declined to the Mean Support level of 1.160 before starting an effective upward trend. Current analyses indicate that the primary targets for the Euro are the Mean Resistance levels of 1.172 and 1.177, as well as the Key Resistance level of 1.181. Additionally, there is a long-sought-after target to be hit at the Outer Currency Rally target of 1.187. The ongoing price action may result in a notable pullback from these upward targets.
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 29, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is losing ground after three days of decline, trading around 1.1660 during Asian hours on Friday.
The EUR/USD pair is depreciating amid a recovery in the US dollar (USD) due to US economic growth in the second quarter. Annual gross domestic product (GDP) in the US grew by 3.3% in the second quarter, exceeding initial estimates of 3.1% and the previous 3.0%.
However, the US dollar may face difficulties amid renewed dovish sentiment regarding the prospects for Federal Reserve (Fed). According to Reuters, Fed member Christopher Waller said on Thursday that he would support lowering interest rates at the September meeting and further cuts over the next three to six months to prevent a collapse in the labor market.
Concerns about the Fed's independence have intensified following recent statements by US Vice President Jay D. Vance. He noted: "I don't think we should allow bureaucrats to make decisions about monetary policy and interest rates without taking into account the opinions of people who were elected to serve the American people... The US president is much better equipped to make such decisions."
Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1690, SL 1.1610, TP 1.1790
EUR/USD Recovers from 20-Day LowEUR/USD Recovers from 20-Day Low
The EUR/USD pair today is moving under the influence of several factors:
- Donald Trump’s decision to dismiss Lisa Cook, a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, raising concerns over the Fed’s independence;
- expectations of a Fed rate cut in September;
- anticipation of US GDP and jobless claims data (due today at 15:30 GMT+3);
- the political crisis in France.
These and other drivers pushed the pair down to a 20-day low yesterday (with a local low L3 formed on the EUR/USD 4-hour chart), before it staged a firm recovery.
EUR/USD Chart Technical Analysis
At the start of the week, we:
→ outlined a descending channel (shown in red);
→ drew an interim upward price trajectory (purple lines);
→ highlighted bearish signs (for instance, the lower purple line acting as resistance), suggesting a possible attempt to break key support at 1.1600.
Yesterday’s price action confirmed such an attempt, but it triggered renewed demand. The bulls prevented further downside momentum, leaving EUR/USD trading above 1.1600 today.
At the same time:
→ with the formation of the L3 low, a bullish engulfing pattern can be observed;
→ the sequence of higher highs (H1→H2→H3) alongside lower lows (L1→L2→L3) forms a megaphone pattern.
As for resistance, the 1.1660 level stands out – bears were successful here when they broke through the lower boundary of the interim upward trajectory, and this zone also coincides with the axis of the megaphone pattern.
Thus, we could assume that in the near term EUR/USD may fluctuate within the 1.1600–1.1660 range, until sentiment shifts – for example, due to statements from Washington or fresh US labour market data.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR/USD Exchange Rate Shows Increased VolatilityEUR/USD Exchange Rate Shows Increased Volatility
Powell’s speech on Friday had a distinctly dovish tone. Expectations of an interest rate cut strengthened, which led to a sharp weakening of the dollar — on the EUR/USD chart, a bullish impulse A→B was formed.
On Monday, as often happens after an initial emotional reaction to major news, the price corrected as market participants reassessed prospects in light of the Fed Chair’s softened rhetoric.
What is particularly notable is that the correction was most evident on the EUR/USD chart, where the decline B→C almost completely offset Friday’s surge. This could point to underlying weakness in the euro, which seems justified when considering that the euro index EXY (the euro’s performance against a basket of currencies) has risen by roughly 13% since the beginning of the year.
The EUR/USD rate reacted less strongly to the news that President Trump had decided to dismiss Lisa Cook, a member of the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors. While the media debates whether the President has the authority to remove her, traders may instead assess how EUR/USD could fluctuate following the A→B→C volatility swing.
Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
Recently, we outlined a descending channel using the sequence of lower highs and lows observed this summer. The upper boundary clearly acted as resistance for EUR/USD’s rise on Friday.
From the bears’ perspective:
→ the price has broken downward through an ascending trajectory (shown in purple), and the lower purple line has already changed its role from support to resistance (as indicated by the arrow);
→ today’s rebound from the 1.1600 support level appears weak, as highlighted by the long upper shadow on the candlestick;
→ if this rebound is merely an interim recovery following the bearish B→C impulse, it fails to reach the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.
In addition, the B peak only slightly exceeded the previous August high (which resembles a bull trap).
Taking all this into account, we could assume that in the near term we may see bears attempt to break the 1.1600 support level and push EUR/USD towards the median line of the primary descending channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 26, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding onto its gains after rising more than three-quarters of a percent in the previous session, trading around 1.1630 during Asian hours on Tuesday.
President Trump posted a letter on social media Tuesday morning announcing that he was removing Fed Governor Cook from the Fed's board of directors. However, Cook said she would not resign because there was no reason for her dismissal. “I will continue to fulfill my duties,” she added.
President Trump also warned that he could impose a 200% tariff on Chinese goods if China refuses to supply magnets to the US. In addition, Trump threatened “additional tariffs” and restrictions on the export of advanced technologies and semiconductors in response to digital services taxes that have hit US technology companies.
The EUR/USD pair is strengthening as the euro (EUR) receives support after the European Central Bank (ECB) signaled a pause in monetary policy easing amid a strengthening labor market in the eurozone. Meanwhile, details of the agreement between the EU and the US indicate that a 15% tariff will be imposed on most European goods, while cars, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors may be exempt from tougher US duties.
Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1655, SL 1.1585, TP 1.1765
EUR/USD at Critical Buying Zone | Liquidity Grab Before 1.1800?EUR/USD at Critical Buying Zone ⚡ | Liquidity Grab Before 1.1800?
Market Structure
BOS (Break of Structure):
Around late June, price broke to the upside, confirming bullish order flow.
In early August, another BOS occurred to the downside, showing a short-term bearish shift.
Current price action is consolidating within a range between 1.1600 – 1.1700, with liquidity resting on both sides.
Key Zones
Support Zone: 1.1350 – 1.1450
Strong demand area that previously initiated a bullish rally.
Buying Zone (1.1600 region):
Price is currently testing this level. Historically, this zone acted as a re-accumulation base before pushing higher.
Resistance Zone: 1.1750 – 1.1850
A supply area where sellers previously took control.
Liquidity & Fair Value Gap
FVG (Fair Value Gap): identified below resistance; this is an imbalance zone where price could revisit before any major continuation.
Liquidity (“$$$”): resting above the short-term highs near 1.1720; market may grab these buy-side stops before reversing lower.
Scenario Outlook
Bullish Case:
If price holds the Buying Zone (1.1600 support), expect liquidity sweep above 1.1720 and a push toward 1.1800–1.1850 resistance.
Bearish Case:
Failure to defend 1.1600 could trigger a deeper decline back toward 1.1400 support zone.
Bias
Currently, the chart suggests a liquidity grab and bullish continuation scenario. The drawn projection hints at a short-term sweep of lows (below 1.1600) followed by a strong rally toward resistance at 1.1800.
eurusd🔸Last week the Euro bounced off our resistance zone but did not reach the target range for buying
🔹Price has bounced back to the resistance zone but with stronger momentum and likely invalidating this range too
🔸The previous demand range is still a good place to enter a buy trade if it bounces back
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of August 22, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the most recent trading session, the Euro exhibited considerable volatility, initially declining before embarking on a substantial upward trajectory. Current analyses suggest that the primary targets for the Euro are the Mean Resistance level of 1.177 and the Key Resistance level of 1.181, along with the Outer Currency Rally target of 1.187. The ongoing price action may lead to a consequential pullback to the Mean Support level of 1.166 before the resumption of the upward trend.
EUR/USD: Euro Rally to 1.197 on the Horizon? FX:EURUSD is poised for a bullish move on the 4-hour chart , with an entry zone at 1.165 near a solid support zone .
First target at 1.1875 marks initial resistance, while the second target at 1.197 aligns with a key psychological level. Set a stop loss on a 4-hours close below the 200 EMA to manage risk effectively.
A break above 1.17 with strong volume could spark this rally, driven by Eurozone data and USD softening. Keep an eye on ECB statements and U.S. economic releases as potential catalysts.
Ready to catch this wave? Share your thoughts below!
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CurrencyPairs #DayTrading #MarketSignals
EURUSD: Will Sellers Take Control? Moment Of Truth!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 18 - 22nd.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: EURUSD
The EURUSD is at a point in the uptrend it has been on since January where there is some
strong resistance.
July was a very bearish month, but August has corrected about 80% of the move, the last line on a fib retracement. It could keep going higher, of course. Or it could do what it has done the last two time the HTF swing highs reached these levels... turn around.
Wait for the market to decide, which should happen early during next week. Then look for valid entries.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EURUSD | Major Trend Reversal in Play? Bias: Sell Setup🧠MJTrading:
📸 Viewing Tip:
🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size.
🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here:
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📝 Idea: PEPPERSTONE:EURUSD | Major Trend Reversal in Play?
Bias: Bearish (Sell Setup)
📊 Structure Breakdown
- After the 2022–25 High at 1.18300, price has started forming Lower Highs and a Lower Low, hinting at a potential Major Trend Reversal (MTR).
- The Pressure Gap and Pullback rejection around the descending trendline strengthen the bearish outlook.
- Current Price Action suggests sellers are gradually taking control inside the Rising Wedge inside the Descending Channel:
ZOOM IN:
A 2nd leg is also possible.
📌 Trade Setup
Sell Entry: Around current price (~1.16800–1.17000).
Stop Loss: Above 1.18020 (invalidates the setup).
Targets:
TP1 → 1.15520 (mid-channel support).
TP2 → 1.14300 (major support zone - Channel Bottom line).
TP3 → 1.11800 (extension, strong liquidity pool).
Risk–Reward: Attractive multi-level downside with clear invalidation.
For confirmation wait for valid breakdown from the Rising Wedge...
“If the structure speaks to you, let it echo.”
#EURUSD #Forex #FX #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoney #MTR #MAJORTRENDREVERSAL #MarketStructure #TrendReversal #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ChartDesigner #MJTrading
Psychology Always Matters:
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Dips AgainMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Dips Again
EUR/USD declined from 1.1720 and traded below 1.1650.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a fresh decline after a decent move above 1.1680.
- There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1650 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD, the pair rallied above the 1.1680 resistance zone before the bears appeared, as discussed in the previous analysis. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below 1.1660 against the US Dollar.
There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1650, and a low was formed near 1.1622. After that, the pair started a consolidation phase.
There was a minor recovery wave above 1.1630. EUR/USD is now trading below 1.1650 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the pair is now facing hurdles near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1692 swing high to the 1.1622 low at 1.1640.
The next key resistance is 1.1655 and the 50% Fib retracement. The main barrier for the bulls could be 1.1665. A clear move above 1.1665 could send the pair toward 1.1690. An upside break above 1.1690 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward the 1.1720 zone.
If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1620. The next important region for buyers sits at 1.1600. If there is a downside break below 1.1600, the pair could drop toward 1.1550. Any more losses might send the pair toward 1.1500.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURO Breakout Alert- Long Setup In Play EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.1660, showing strong bullish momentum after holding key support levels. The pair is forming higher lows, indicating sustained buying pressure. If price action maintains above 1.1650, the next upside target is 1.1700, with a potential extension towards 1.1730. Euro strength is driven by positive market sentiment and weakness in the dollar index. Watch for a clean breakout above 1.1675 for confirmation of further upside. Ideal buy entry remains around 1.1660 with stop loss below 1.1640. Short-term trend remains bullish as long as the pair stays above 1.1640.
EUR/USD Buy idea to the upside Weekly EURUSD Analysis
My outlook for EU is similar to GU — I’ll be watching for a retracement into demand before looking for buys back to the upside. The key area on my chart is the 9H demand zone, where I’ll be monitoring for signs of accumulation before entering longs.
At the same time, I’ve marked a 6H supply zone sitting at a strong premium level. If the bullish scenario doesn’t play out, this would be an ideal area to catch potential sells to the downside. Either way, I’ll be waiting for price to slow down and confirm at one of my POIs before committing.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- Strong 9H demand zone responsible for the last break of structure.
- Overall bullish structure → pro-trend trade idea.
- DXY analysis aligns with bullish EU outlook.
- Imbalance above + liquidity that still needs to be taken.
P.S. If price breaks below the 9H demand zone, I’ll be eyeing the 5H demand zone just beneath, as it’s more discounted and potentially offers an even cleaner long setup.
Let’s have a strong week ahead!
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of August 15, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the last trading session, the Euro demonstrated a notable increase, retesting the Mean Resistance level of 1.169. Recent analyses suggest that the primary targets for the Euro are the Mean Resistance level of 1.177 and the Key Resistance level of 1.181, in addition to the Outer Currency Rally target of 1.187. Such movements may precipitate a considerable pullback before the upward trajectory resumes.
EUR/USD Shows Optimism Ahead of Trump–Putin MeetingEUR/USD Shows Optimism Ahead of Trump–Putin Meeting
The meeting between the Presidents of the United States and the Russian Federation, scheduled for today in Alaska, is a major geopolitical event with the potential to exert a significant influence on financial markets.
Expectations are mounting that the talks could lead to a cessation of hostilities in Ukraine – a prospect acting as a bullish factor for the euro. As a result, the EUR/USD chart has been displaying an upward trajectory this week (highlighted by the blue channel).
The blue arrow indicates that:
→ Yesterday’s release of the highest Producer Price Index (PPI) figures in three years triggered a sharp strengthening of the US dollar – possibly because market participants assumed the Federal Reserve might postpone monetary policy easing in light of rising producer prices (widely considered a consequence of Trump’s tariff measures).
→ However, the lower boundary of the upward channel prevented further decline, and today EUR/USD is showing optimism ahead of the presidential meeting.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On 7 August, we plotted a descending channel based on the sequence of lower highs and lows formed over the summer.
From the bearish perspective, the price is currently near a cluster of key resistance levels, which include:
→ the upper boundary of the descending (red) channel;
→ the 1.17145 level (a historical price interaction zone, as shown by the arrows on the left side of the chart);
→ the median line of the ascending (blue) channel.
Conversely, the bulls could be supported by:
→ the lower boundary of the blue channel;
→ the aggressive buying momentum evident in the sharp EUR/USD rally on 12 August (highlighted by the orange arrow).
The bullish case is further reinforced by the fact that buyers managed to fully recover from the decline that began on 28 July.
Given the above, we could assume some consolidation today as the market awaits the outcome of the presidential talks. The fact that the ADX indicator is hovering near its lows and trending downward underscores the current indecision and caution in the market.
However, Monday’s open could prove highly volatile. Be prepared for sharp EUR/USD movements in either direction, depending on statements made by the US and Russian leaders.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.