EURUSD Channel Up starting its new Bearish Leg.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a 1-month Channel Up and has already completed two straight red 1D candles. Last time this happened, the pattern had technically started its previous Bearish Leg.
Since there is a high degree of symmetry between the structural Legs of this pattern, we expect the current one to repeat the former -1.40% decline and target 1.15250.
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Eurusdsignals
EURUSD Channel Up peaks on this trend-line?The EURUSD pair has been trading within a 10-day Channel Up and is currently on its 2nd Bullish Leg. Both previous rallies since October got rejected on the Lower Highs trend-line shown on the chart.
With the 1H RSI already overbought, we expect the Channel Up to peak there again and make at least a -0.50% pull-back. Our Target is 1.15900.
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EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports and resistances for EURUSD
for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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EURUSD Last bounce before a Lower Low.The EURUSD pair continues to trade within its 2-month Channel Down and following the start of the latest Bearish Leg since the November 13 Lower High rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we are now experiencing the first consolidation phase.
Based on the previous Bearish Legs of this pattern, this consolidation could end up in a short-term rebound limited by the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, only for it to be rejected and resume the bearish trend.
Both previous rejections eventually made a Lower Low for the Channel Down, hitting the -0.618 Fibonacci extension (minimum), declining in total Bearish Leg terms by at least -2.03%.
As a result, our 1.14200 medium-term Target (still above both conditions) remains valid, but we will close it earlier if we see the price hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and fail to close the 1D candle below it.
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EURUSD Channel Down has started its new Bearish Leg.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down since the October 01 High and price its latest Lower High last Thursday, getting rejected exactly on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time in 1 month.
Today it broke below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) after 10 days and such break-outs have confirmed both previous Bearish Legs. As a result, we turn bearish again on this pair and since both previous Legs declined by at least -2.03%, we are targeting 1.14200.
As you can see, this can make a perfect technical Lower Low on the 1D MA200 (black trend-line) a major long-term market Support. Another metric to look for, is the 4H RSI, which provides a Buy Signal when it double bottoms below 30.00.
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EURUSD: Updated Support and Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis, important supports
and resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD could target 1.0300 if this level breaks.The EURUSD pair has been trading within an 11-year Channel Down and has found itself on a 2-month pull-back currently ever since the September 17 2025 market High.
Technically that was a Lower High for this long-term pattern and was formed while the 1W RSI has been on Lower Highs, against the price's Higher Highs, which is a huge Bearish Divergence.
This is the same kind of divergence that was present during the Channel's last two Lower Highs in January 2021 and February 2018. Both tops initiated Bearish Legs that got confirmed when the price broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
On both occasions, the price hit at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the Channel Down, declining by at least -15.25%.
As a result, if the 1W MA50 breaks again, being the market's last Support, we expect EURUSD to target at least 1.0300.
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EUR/USD Outlook: Buyers Regain ControlThe EUR/USD market is beginning to show early signs of recovery momentum as sentiment gradually turns constructive. After an extended period of controlled weakness, the pair is attracting renewed interest from institutional participants positioning for a potential upward rotation in the coming sessions.
Market tone has shifted from defensive to cautiously optimistic. Liquidity distribution across recent sessions indicates accumulation behavior at lower price zones, often a precursor to a bullish transition. Traders appear to be building exposure in anticipation of improved Euro-area sentiment and potential easing of dollar strength, both of which may provide the foundation for a broader corrective advance.
Price action suggests that selling pressure is losing effectiveness as downside extensions are quickly absorbed. The slowdown in bearish momentum combined with increased buying participation signals a developing phase of re-accumulation, where stronger hands begin to dominate short-term flows.
Confidence is gradually improving, supported by expectations that market equilibrium is tilting back toward Euro favor. While volatility remains moderate, structural patterns imply that the market may be preparing for a sentiment-driven expansion to the upside. The tone of order flow has shifted toward buy-side liquidity, pointing to a constructive environment for continuation of the upward phase once momentum fully confirms.
In summary, EUR/USD appears to be entering the early stage of a bullish rotation characterized by accumulation, strengthening sentiment, and declining downside conviction. The pair is poised for potential medium-term appreciation as market positioning aligns with renewed optimism toward the Euro’s relative outlook.
EURUSD 1M MA200 rejection kickstarted 1 year Bear Cycle.The EURUSD pair is currently on its 2nd straight red 1M candle following September's rejection near the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line). That level is of the utmost importance as since January 2018 it has kickstarted the last two major Bearish Legs of the 10-year Channel Down.
Both of those legs hit at least the Channel's 0.618 Fibonacci level and on a remarkable display of symmetry, their candles that hit that level completed a -15.25% decline from their respective tops.
As a result, we expect 2026 to be a new Bearish Leg that will could hit at least 1.0300 upon making contact with the 0.618 Fib.
Notice also the excellent Support and Resistance Zones of the 1M RSI. The market hit the Resistance Zone on June's High and since then it's been declining on a Bearish Divergence. Both previous Channel Down tops have been priced when the 1M RSI hit and got rejected on this Resistance Zone.
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EURUSD: Important Breakout 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD broke and closed below a significant daily horizontal support.
The pair has a potential to drop way lower now.
We can expect a down movement to 1.1465 support.
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Euro Eyes Breakout Ahead of Rate DecisionFenzoFx—EUR/USD is trading lower today, below the descending trendline. The price has been reacting to the ascending trendline multiple times as shown on the chart. There is a double bottom formed at $1.1584, which could limit the upside momentum as liquidity rests below them. As we approach the US interest rate decision, we expect Euro to trade higher against the U.S. dollar and break above the descending trendline.
In this scenario, Euro could rally to 1.1766, followed by 1.1830. On the flip side, if Euro remains below the descending trendline, the price could target the double bottom at 1.1584, as sell-side liquidity is resting below this level.
EURUSD Huge Bearish Divergence and Cross targets 1.12000.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a 3-year Channel Up since the September 28 2022 market bottom. On September 17 2025 it hit its top (Higher Highs trend-line) for the first time since the July 18 2023 High.
The current Bullish Leg has almost been the same as the previous one (around +18%) and is about to form a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1D MA100 (green trend-line) Bearish Cross. That will be the first such pattern since September 25 2023. Along with the already established 1D RSI Bearish Divergence, it is more likely to see the pattern start the new Bearish Leg now (max extension +18.28% at 1.20450).
The first Target of the previous Higher High rejection was the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. Our Target is again slightly above it at 1.12000.
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EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis
for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD NY Session Outlook - BUYPrice action has recently swept key swing levels, including the Previous Day Low (PDL) and the London session low.
Based on this, I anticipate a potential liquidity sweep of the Daily EQ lows, followed by a reaction from our Point of Interest (POI), which aligns with a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) support zone.
For the New York session, I expect possible downside manipulation into this area of interest, with a subsequent move targeting the buyside liquidity.
Notably, there is a strong draw on liquidity above, including the London high and the Previous Day High (PDH), which may serve as bullish targets. 🎯
EURUSD Channel Down topped. Sell Signal.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a 1-month Channel Down since the September 16 High and last Friday it got rejected on its top and just above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). As long as it doesn't break higher, this is technically the pricing of the new Lower High.
Lower Highs tend to initiate Bearish Legs within such patterns. The two already formed before have declined by around -2.00%. As a result, our Target is 1.15000, which again will be valid as long as no new High is made.
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EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis and important supports & resistances
for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD: Time to Recover?! 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Looks like EURUSD finally went oversold.
A double bottom pattern and a breakout of its neckline with a bullish imbalance
indicate a strong buying interest.
I think that the price will bounce at least to 1.579 level.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Bears Still in Control – Rallies Are for SellingAs I explained before, my bias on EURUSD is bearish.
In yesterday’s DXY analysis, I mentioned that as long as the 98.60 zone remains intact, the U.S. Dollar Index has high chances to extend its rise toward 100.00.
That scenario is playing out perfectly so far.
Yesterday, EURUSD erased the entire Friday’s up move, falling back to its local support area. This type of reversal structure is typically seen in weak markets — when bullish attempts are quickly negated by strong selling pressure.
From a technical standpoint, this is very bearish price action. The market keeps testing the same support level without any meaningful bounce, which usually leads to a breakdown rather than a reversal.
My strategy remains unchanged:
• Bias: Bearish
• Plan: Sell rallies
• Short-term view: Pressure remains on the downside
• Medium-term target: 1.1400, with respect for the 1.1500 psychological level
As long as DXY holds above 98.60, EURUSD should remain under pressure. The pair might consolidate briefly, but the broader structure still points lower.
EURUSD More selling ahead after the 1D MA100 rejection.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a (red) Channel Down since the September 17 High, which is so far technically the Bearish Leg of the last valid Channel Up (since the July 01 High).
The break below its 1D MA100 (red trend-line) has the potential to start a new yearly Bear Cycle but on the short-term even, today's 1D MA100 re-test and rejection, validates the continuation of the Channel Down.
Given that the first Bearish Leg was -2.30%, we expect at least another such decline from the recent Lower High, which gives us a 1.15100 Target.
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EURUSD – Support Tested, More Downside ProbableIn my previous EURUSD analysis, I mentioned that there was a strong chance of a break below the 1.17 support zone, targeting 1.16 initially — and possibly even lower to 1.15.
The pair followed the plan perfectly, dropping to 1.16 as expected and currently trading just above this key level.
My outlook remains unchanged: while a short-term rebound from support is possible, it should be seen as a selling opportunity, not a trend reversal. The broader structure still favors further downside.
📊 Resistance: 1.17
📉 Bias: Bearish continuation remains likely
Wait Zones for Euro After Accelerated DowntrendFenzoFx—Euro's downtrend escalated after Germany's exports data fell by 0.50%. Currently, the equal lows at $1.1574 are in focus. This level will likely be targeted by bears.
From a technical perspective, we expect EUR/USD to consolidate after tapping into the liquidity below $1.1574. In this scenario, the market will likely rise toward $1.1704 or a higher resistance level. In the longer term, we expect the downtrend to resume toward the bullish fair value gap with support at $1.1438.
Please be aware not to grab a falling knife, because the current price does not offer a premium entry to join the bear market. We advise waiting for the Euro to consolidate after profit-taking at or below the equal lows.
Euro May Drop Toward $1.1656FenzoFx—Euro traded higher today, up by 0.33%; however, the uptrend eased after the price reached the equal highs at $1.1807. However, the volume profile formed lower lows, meaning the current uptick in momentum could be fake.
The immediate support rests at $1.1761. From a technical perspective, a close below this level can trigger the downtrend. If this scenario unfolds, Euro could target the lows at $1.1656.
EURUSD: Bearish Setup Builds Below $1.1778FenzoFx—Euro began dipping after it tapped into the bearish fair value gap with resistance at $1.1778. Looking at the 4-hour charts, we notice equal lows with liquidity resting below $1.1712.
From a technical perspective, we expect the price to start a new bearish leg if the fair value gap with resistance at $1.1778 holds. Please note that the downtrend outlook should be invalidated if the price closes and stabilizes above this mark.






















