EUR/USD Eyes Liquidity Gap at $1.1788 SupportFenzoFx—Euro is trading bearish in the short term, currently lingering around the fair value gap with support at $1.1788. Looking at the 4-hour chart, we notice the price respected the bearish FVG with resistance at $1.1903, and the price failed to close above it and engulfed below it.
From a technical perspective, the sell-side liquidity has not been taken yet. That's the gap area with support at $1.1788. We expect the short-term bearish bias to resume by filling the gap. The cumulative volume profile also indicates the recent higher lows are valid, and there is no bullish divergence.
The bearish outlook should be invalidated if the price closes above $1.1903.
Eurusdsignals
EURUSD: More Growth Potential 🇪🇺🇺🇸
As I predicted earlier, EURUSD nicely bounced from a major daily support.
Analyzing how strong was a bullish reaction that, I think that there
is more growth potential here.
On a daily time frame, the price formed a bullish imbalance candle
and a double bottom with a confirmed change of character on a 4H.
The next strong resistance is 1.1827.
It feels like it might be reached soon.
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EURUSD Buy Signal triggered on the 4H MA100.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up for almost 2 months and today it is rising after hitting the 4H MA100 (green trend-line). This is technically the bottom of the pattern and potentially the start of its new Bullish Leg.
The typical rallies within this pattern have ranged between +1.41% and +1.51%, so expecting a minimum of +1.41% is valid. Our Target is 1.18900.
On a side-note, the 4H RSI has also rebounded on its own Support Zone, strengthening the current Buy Signal.
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EURUSD: Bullish Move Continues 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD will likely continue rising, nicely bouncing
from a major rising trend line.
I expect a bullish movement to 1.1758
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EURUSD This is its final rally before Bear Market.The EURUSD pair has been rising aggressively within a (blue) Channel Up since the January 13 2025 bottom. The current Bullish Leg started 6 weeks ago when it hit the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) and rebounded.
This is a critical buy level as it has supported all similar Channel Up patterns since January 2017. When that broke and a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) crossing came equally fast, the new Bear Market in the form of a (red) Channel Down started.
The key now is the 1W RSI, which has started to form a Double Top peak pattern similar to those that led to the tops of February 12 2018 and January 04 2021. What those two have in common is contact with the Lower Highs trend-line, an 8-year Resistance level that EURUSD is targeting now.
If the 1W RSI double tops again, we expect another brutal rejection on the Lower Highs trend-line and we estimate that to be around the 1.20000 psychological level. As a result, we call the current rise, EURUSD's final rally on a Bull Cycle that lasted a year. After that, we expect the new Channel Down to lead to the Bear Market that will at least target the top of the 9-year Support Zone. It is a long-term projection but we see 1.06500 getting hit by the end of 2026 - beginning of 2027.
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EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest support & resistance analysis
for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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EURUSD – Weakness Ahead?For over a month, EURUSD has been stuck in a choppy range:
• Support: 1.1580 zone
• Resistance: just above 1.1700
As always, such tight consolidations usually precede strong moves. The question is: which way?
🔑 Factors pointing lower:
1. On the DXY, I expect a potential upside reversal – most bad news is already priced in.
2. Yesterday’s reaction to the NFP revision → USD strength, not weakness, which confirms the shift in sentiment.
3. A false break above resistance on EURUSD adds to the bearish case.
📌 Conclusion:
I expect further EURUSD weakness, with confirmation if the price breaks below 1.1650.
EURUSD Key for the trend is the 1H MA50.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a short-term Channel Up similar to late August's. It's Support is the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line), which is critical, as a candle close below it was what reversed the trend to bearish on the previous Channel Up.
As a result, as long as it holds, we will stay bullish, targeting 1.1800 (the 1.3 Fibonacci extension, which was the peak of the previous Channel Up).
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EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis: important supports
and resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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EURUSD Channel Up aiming at 1.20500The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 21 High and is on its new Bullish Leg since the Higher Low bottom on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
Having flipped the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support, the 1D RSI shows that we are on a symmetrical level similar to June 10 2025. We expect the Bullish Leg to reach the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (at least) just like the previous one did. Our Target is 1.20500.
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EURUSD: More Growth Ahead 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD closed in a very strong bullish mood,
perfectly respecting a bullish breaker block on a 4H time frame.
With a high probability, a bullish rally will continue next week.
Next goal - 1.172
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EUR/USD Bearish SetupFenzoFx—EUR/USD filled the bullish fair value gap after it swept the highs at 1.1730, formed a double top. However, the recent decline in the currency pair did not result in a liquidity sweep below recent lows.
Therefore, the bearish outlook remains valid despite the primary trend, which is bullish. This week, we expect EUR/USD to trade below $1.1591 to accumulate liquidity before rallying higher.
Retail traders should monitor the middle line of the bearish engulfing pattern with resistance at $1.1685 for a bearish setup, targeting the equal lows followed by the bullish order block with ultimate support at $1.1528.
EURUSD Is it about to experience a big drop??The EURUSD pair has been consolidating under moderate pressure since the June 30 (weekly) High with its 1W RSI basically ranged since April 14.
We have seen this sequence of sideways 1W RSI trading after hitting the overbought (70.00) level another 3 times in the past 8 years. All of those times, the market priced a long-term Top there or shortly after.
In all instances, the first Target was the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), with the price even going as low as the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
If the Top this time was already priced in June, then we should be expecting a Target of at least 1.1200 on the medium-term, which would be a potential contact with the 1W MA50 and marginally above the 0.382 Fib.
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EUR/USD Sweeps Liquidity: A Bearish SetupFenzoFx—EUR/USD trades in a downtrend, forming lower lows. Today, during the late Asian session, the pair swept the liquidity below $1.1590.
From a technical perspective, we expect the price to consolidate from this point by filling the fair value gap, with resistance at $1.1636. In this scenario, a new bearish wave could emerge, targeting the bullish order block with support at $1.1528.
EURUSD 4H Golden Cross kickstarting the next bullish phase.The EURUSD pair just formed its first 4H Golden Cross since May 29. Similar to that formation, this is taking place as the new Bullish Leg of the 4-month Channel Up has already started, following a bottom rebound near its 1D MA100 (red trend-line).
In similar fashion as that sequence, we expect it to reach at least the 1.1 Fibonacci extension on the short-term, which sits at 1.18750. If you're looking for an even higher extension, a +5.11% rise at 1.19700 is possible (also based on he previous Bullish Leg).
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EURUSD 1D MA100 bounce targets 1.8750 at least.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a 4-month Channel Up and recently priced its latest Higher Low (pattern's bottom).
That happened to take place just above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), giving a strong medium-term buy signal. As long as it holds, we expect the emerging Bullish Leg to target at least 1.18750 (the 1.1 Fibonacci extension) and in continuation 1.19700 (+5.11% from the bottom), both based on the previous Bullish Leg.
Notice also that the 1D MACD is forming its first Bullish Cross since May 26, a very strong additional buy signal.
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EUR/USD Momentum Builds After Pennant BreakAfter reversing to retest the broken double top neckline and consolidating early last week, the probabilities shifted in favour of an upside continuation.
Following this consolidation under resistance, EUR/USD broke back above, hitting a local high at 1.17 on Tuesday. A pullback followed, forming a clean pennant pattern on the lower timeframes.
The Asian open today brought a decisive breakout above that pennant’s resistance, putting the bias once again to the upside.
Upside target : 1.18 zone
Invalidation: Only if price drops back below 1.16
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EUR/USD Breaks Daily Lows as Consolidation DeepensFenzoFx—EUR/USD consolidates after the impulsive bullish momentum. The uptrend initiated after the price swept below the monthly lows at $1.1400. In the current trading session, the price dipped below the previous day's low, meaning the consolidation period will likely extend to a lower support level.
The immediate resistance is at the previous day's high, the $1.159 resistance. From a technical perspective, we expect the currency pair to trade lower, near the support at $1.146, the bullish break of structure.
This level can provide a discounted price to join the dominant trend, which is bullish. We expect the Euro to rise toward $1.169 after the end of the consolidation period.
EURUSD – Retest in Play After NFP Reversal?EURUSD started last week with a heavy bearish tone, dropping 200 pips on Monday alone — which is quite a move for such a typically stable pair.
After a brief consolidation around the neckline support of the recent double top, sellers came back in, pushing the pair down to 1.1400 by Friday — a level I highlighted in my previous analysis.
But then came NFP...
The weak jobs data triggered a sharp bullish reversal, and the euro took off like a rocket.
By the weekly close, the pair had rallied all the way back to the neckline zone, now acting as potential resistance.
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🔍 Technical Outlook:
This area around 1.1550–1.1590 could now serve as a retest of the broken structure.
• 🔽 A rejection here, followed by a break back below 1.1500, would confirm the bearish scenario and open the door for a move toward 1.1200, the next major support.
• 📌 On the flip side, a sustained move above the neckline would invalidate the double top — and put bulls back in control.
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Conclusion:
Watching for sell signals around the neckline makes technical sense — but confirmation is key.
The reaction early this week will likely set the tone for the next major swing.
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EURUSD: Pullback From Resistance 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD strongly reacted to the underlined intraday
resistance area after the market opening.
I see a tine double top pattern on that and a formation
of a bearish engulfing candle.
I expect a retracement to 1.154 level.
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EUR/USD at Discount Level: Bullish Setup in FocusFenzoFx—EUR/USD bearish momentum extended to $1.154, the lower line of the flag. This is a support area backed by the Bullish FVG.
The immediate resistance is at $1.157. From a technical perspective, a close above this level can trigger an uptrend, targeting the bearish FVG at approximately $1.170 to $1.175.
Please note that the bullish outlook should be invalidated if EUR/USD falls below the main support level at $1.145.
EURUSD Will the 1D MA50 hold?The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 21 2025 High. The price is right now on a strong pull-back and is about to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 12.
As long as the 1D candle closes above the 1D MA50, it will be a buy signal, targeting 1.19250 (a standard +3.20% rise).
If the candle closes below the 1D MA50, the buy will be invalidated and we will switch to a sell, targeting the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) at 1.14100.
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