Fakeout
Waiting for a clear break outAfter making a nice trend higher on the daily chart, price has stalled into a sideways box pattern.
After trying to make a breakout higher that ended in a fakeout, price is very much stuck at the moment.
The best play looks to be to watch this pair until price makes a clear break out of this congestion and shows some clearer price action.
Price Makes False BreakPrice attempted a breakout higher in this pair last week that turned into a fakeout with a daily bearish 2 bar reversal.
Price was looking to breakout higher and through what has been a tight ranging period.
Now price has moved back lower into the range, more sideways price action could play out.
In the short-term the intraday price flip level we discussed last week looks important. If it holds as a new resistance it could contain prices lower.
BITCOIN SELL SIGNAL Hey tradomaniacs,
welcome to a new free trading-setup.
Notice: This is meant to be a preparation for you! As always we will have to wait for a confirmation!
BTC/USD: Daytrade-preparation
Market-Sell: 11870
Stop-Loss: 12500
Target 1: 11200
Target 2: 10895
Target 3: 10425
Stop-Loss: 630 pips
Risk: 0,5 % - 1%
Risk-Reward: 2,33
LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me.
Any questions? PM me. :-)
Check out my old weekly chart for the alt market.This one's TA played out like true poetry. I was on my way to post a chart of an exciting double bottom pattern on the TOTAL2 (altmarket) chart and it brought back up some charting I had done on a head and shoulders (in yellow). I was saying in previous ideas over a year ago when we originally formed this big h&s patterns that based on how illogically low the breakout target is we would definitely see this pattern end up being a fakeout which would lead to at best the end of the bear market...many times a bearish head and shoulder pattern is really a bullish falling wedge in disguise and this time was no different. So I have a yellow head and shoulders pattern and a green falling wedge drawn here overlapping eachother you can see I marked the measured move target from where we broke out of the green wedge at $96. we can also see inside the smaller yellow circle, that right before we broke up from the wedge we had price send a wick below the neckline of the h&s likely trapping a bunch of naive bears..it then slingshotted itself out of the wedge and over the breakout target plummeting back into the h&s pattern a few short weeks later for one last fakeout at the neckline (as shown in the larger yellow circle) super interesting how this fakeout candle's lower wick retested the top trendline of the green wedge with absolute precision and the body of the same candle closed perfectly on the support of the neckline. After now confirming the h&s fakeout & the falling wedge breakout simultaneously we shot up to just below the horizontal resistance at 96 but above the 200 and 50 weekly mas until we finally closed a candle above that horizontal resistance after forming a bull pennant of which had a breakout target shown here at $136...upon reaching that target we surpassed our top dotted yellow resistance and will now possible look to retest it as new solidified support. We can see we are mere weeks away from a weekly golden cross which would greatly increase the probability that we maintain the dotted yellow line as solidified support. There is now a bigger pattern on a more macro scale to focus on so immediately after I post this idea I will be posting another one with only the larger pattern which is a double bottom that will also likely trigger and lead to much more upside and a confirmed bull market altseason for the alt market.
Bitcoin Faked The Fakeout? In my last analysis, I was a bit devided by the price action of Bitcoin. Bitcoin broke in and out of its triangle whether it was bullish or bearish. We spotted 2 false breakouts on the downside and one on the upside.
When the price was at the support line of the triangle, I said that Bitcoin had a 55% probability to rise to resistance and possibly break it. Right now, Bitcoin is at resistance again which gives me more confidence Bitcoin will rise to our target of 13k. Because the price is still in the triangle we can't get ahead of ourselves yet. So i raise my probability to 60% for the price to break bullish.
Now, this still is not enough confidence to take the trade. At least you want to be 70% sure that the trade will be successful. For that to happen, Bitcoin needs to get above the red resistance zone again. But for now i am more confident than i was yesterday. However i still am not as confident as i was 2 days ago.
To summarize: I still think it is more probable the price will reach our target of 13k. However I need to be sure for at least 70% before i make that claim again.
AST- low-cap speculation/gamble. Long if weekly S/R lvl holdAs DEXes trading volume approach or even exceed that of centralized exchanges, speculators are pushing up the price of DEX tokens.
AirSwap has the market cap of around 35 millions and is a speculative DEX token that has a lot of upside potential.
Long now or wait until the weekly S/R lvl is successfully retested.
LEND- Time to cool offMakerDao, Compound and Aave are the three major lending protocols in the DeFi space. I think LEND has run its course and there are better coins to speculate on since it has already gone up more than 35x this year alone.
It may be facing a major pullback soon. Even so, it is never a wise idea to short a high momentum coin until the trend is clearly broken, which hasn't happened for LEND yet.
BTC BREAKOUT OR FAKEOUT?Is amazing to see BTC finally manage to enter the red zone, BTC has been in front of the doorstep three-time( 26/10/2019, 11/02/2020, and 01/06/2020) and unfortunately, BTC backed away.
And I just missed the chance to long BTC, and on a dilemma to take any trade on BTC.
I am still skeptical the BTC will passthrough this red zone and reach another high.
Why? Because:
1. The volume of BTC breaking the Triangle Pattern is so low ( it could be a potential Fakeout)
2. The MACD, although we have a crossover, look at how weak it is.
3. The RSI, if we are on the Overbought zone I would be glad because it indicating the trend is strong.
4. There is no best support to put on.
Thus, I would pass the current opportunity to take any entry, I would rather wait for it pass through this red zone taking entry around 11,4k. IF BTC goes close above the red zone we could put SL on 10k which is the optimal support for the current potential bull run.
We could short on the current price, right? Nah I pass too.
Is tempting but is really really risky, I don't see signs of exhaustion from the bull yet, the bull run is still legit, and taking short is just like standing in front of a rampage, waiting to be killed.
Shorter be patient, be careful of a rampage.
Trade idea for GBP/JPYWhen we look at the chart we can see that the price is testing the wedge. We will be waiting for the wedge to break to go short. Than we need to asses if it is a breakout or a fake out.
Please leave a comments whit what you think of it.
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If you have any questions feel free to PM me.
Trade idea for AUD/USDWhen we look at the chart we can see that the wedge has been broken. The thing that we need to find out now is if this is a breakout or a fake out. What do you think?
If you like the idea than don't forget to give it a like and follow me for even more ideas.
If you have any questions feel free to PM me.
GBPUSD - How to trade with Supply Demand - Fake Outs, TrendHello Traders!
In this post I am going to show you how to trade Supply Demand.
What is Supply Demand:
Supply Demand is a strategy that works with the footprints of the banks, financial institutions, hedgefonds, ... The big players in forex. We simply follow their moves. Supply Demand Zones are zones where these institution may have their orders located.
Example:
I got a perfect example here on GBPUSD.
We can see some nice Supply Demand Zones. Also we got Swap Zones which are Supply Demand Zones where the quantity was not given in order for the banks to drive the price up or down.
Below the Zones we have Resistance Lines. They are often used for Fake Outs like we can see on the charts. Afterwards the price is pushing back down.
The same steps again and again.
This is how you can easily trade Supply Demand in a Down Trend by following the price from zone to zone.
That was my Idea and I hope you liked it. Please leave a LIKE if you like the content. In the comment section you can share your view and ask questions.
Thank you and we will see next time
- Darius.