Fibonacci
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/17/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 24551.75
- PR Low: 24525.00
- NZ Spread: 59.75
Key scheduled economic events:
14:00 | FOMC Economic Projections
- FOMC Statement
- Fed Interest Rate Decision
14:30 | FOMC Press Conference
Temp AMP margins increase for expected FOMC volatility
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 9/17)
- Session Open ATR: 270.67
- Volume: 12K
- Open Int: 220K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 25217
- Mid: 22503
- Short: 21790
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
FED shaken by politics | Gold eyes new ATH🟡 XAU/USD – 16/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED & US Politics :
S. Miran elected to the FED Board but still serves as Trump’s economic advisor → concerns FED may face White House influence.
Michelle Mills elected with a narrow 48–47 margin.
Appeals Court blocked Trump from firing L. Cook, affirming FED’s independence, but raising the risk of a legal battle at the Supreme Court.
US Economy :
6:30 AM (US time): Retail Sales release – key consumer spending indicator.
Probability of a -50bps FED cut this week is down to 1.2% , nearly ruled out. FED is almost certain to deliver -25bps next week.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Politics create noise, but the macro backdrop (FED easing + weak US data) remains the tailwind supporting Gold’s journey toward new ATH.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) :
3706 – 3714 (Fibonacci resistance)
3722 – 3724 (Strong Sell Zone, potential ATH test)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) :
FVG Dock: 3666 – 3668
OB Harbor: 3643 – 3645
Strong Low: 3611 (deep support)
Market Structure :
After a series of BoS , Gold broke out of sideways EqH/EqL and surged.
Preferred scenario: retrace to FVG 3666 , then bounce toward 3714 – 3722.
If 3722 breaks successfully → confirms new ATH and extends bullish momentum.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy 1 (FVG)
Entry: 3666 – 3668
SL: 3657
TP: 3690 – 3706 – 3714 – 372x
Buy 2 (OB)
Entry: 3643 – 3645
SL: 3632
TP: 3666 – 3700 – 3714 – 372x
⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone
Entry: 3722 – 3724
SL: 3732
TP: 3714 – 3706 – 3690
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship has broken free from sideways waters and is heading toward new peaks. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3666 – 3643) is the safe dock for sailors to gather strength before sailing further. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3722 – 3724) is the big wave, suitable only for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . With dovish winds from the FED, the Golden sails are set toward new ATH.”
FTSE 100 Wave Analysis – 16 September 2025- FTSE 100 reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 9090.00
FTSE 100 index recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the key resistance level 9330,00 (which stopped the previous wave (3) in the middle of August, as can be seen below) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone started the active short-term correction 2.
FTSE 100 index can be expected to fall to the next support level 9090.00, the target for the completion of the wave 2 (low of the previous correction (4)).
GME - Bullish mode againDisclaimer - I'm not a Diamond hand GME type but this is a very bullish formation, technically.
GME is back on uptrend a while ago but going sideways.
With the recent developments from their earnings call with CASH on their balance sheet and Warrants for the shareholders (Record date - 3 Oct 2025) blah blah... grabbed everyone's attention.
Ref: infomemo.theocc.com
Technical takeaways -
- The Chart turned very bullish and heading for the gap fill upto 29-30
- Weekly closed above 200MA and above 50MA
- Above the highest volume shelf (~22)
Long anywhere here
Target 1 - 29
Target 2 - 32
Target 3 - 41
Target 4 - 50
Stop loss - 21
SENSEX Intraday Levels for 17th SEP 2025SENSEX Intraday Levels for 17th SEP 2025
# "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format.
^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
BANKNIFTY Intraday Levels for 17th SEP 2025BANKNIFTY Intraday Levels for 17th SEP 2025
Short View: Momentum may pause due to Low IV.
Compare to NIFTY,(+0.68%), BANKNIFTY(+0.47%) Closed much Less
Close Crossed 50 DMA, Confirmation Needed.
# "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format.
^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
GBP/NZD (4H) – Bullish SetupPrice has broken out of the downtrend and is retesting the support zone. As long as the 2.2720 area holds, I expect a continuation to the upside.
Entry Zone: 2.2770 – 2.2800
Stop Loss: Below 2.2680
Targets: 2.2900 → 2.3000 → 2.3100
This setup is based on a breakout + retest structure and a bullish momentum shift.
ORHD - EGX30 - Critical point , high risk EGX:ORHD - EGX30 - Timeframe 2 Hours
Prices achieved the minimum target for Head and Shoulders pattern at 21.30,
Moreover now prices Formatted a Gartley bullish pattern as follow:
- Entry: 21.45 (current price: 21.30)
- Stop loss: 21.16 (potential loss: 1.35%)
- First target: 22.41 (potential profit: 4.45%)
- Second target: 23.00 (potential profit: 7.60 %)
This is not investment advice, only my analysis based on chart data.
Consult your account manager before investing.
Thanks and good luck.
EGAL - EGX30 - Good opportunity EGAL- EGX30 - Timeframe 1 day
Format a Gartley bullish pattern as follows:
- Entry: 153.70 (current price: 156)
- Stop loss: 150.00 (potential loss: 3%)
- First target: 161.98 (potential profit: 5%)
- Second target: 2.98 (potential profit: 9%)
Important notes:
1. Activate the stop loss if it is triggered, because if 150 violated double top pattern activated on a weekly frame moreover stock will reverse the major uptrend to downtrend
This is not investment advice, only my analysis based on chart data.
Consult your account manager before investing.
Thanks and good luck.
DAL eyes on $62.31: Golden Genesis fib could TOP or POP to $70 DAL flying back to its previous cruising altitudes.
Now approaching a Golden Genesis fib at $62.31
Look for a Dip-to-Fib or likely Orbits then launch.
"Golden Genesis" fibs are always a HUGE deal, as this one has proven over and over:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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GCT - POTENTIAL 52-WEEK HIGHGCT - Current Price 31.10 - 31.20
GCT is in a healthy UPTREND because :
Price is above 50- and 200-days EMA.
A Golden Cross was formed recently, where the 50 EMA crossed above the 200 EMA (look at the blue circle).
RSI (45-period) has remained above 50 level since May 2025, showing consistent momentum buildup and buyers’ dominance.
Price is now approaching the 52-week high resistance at 34.50. A breakout above this level could trigger momentum toward the next target of 38.00 based on Fibonacci extension.
ENTRY PRICE : 30.00 - 31.20
TARGET : 34.00 and 38.00
SUPPORT : 27.50 (The low of 09 SEPTEMBER 2025 bullish white candlestick)
Notes : 1st target at 34.00 is slightly below the actual 52-week high resistance level of 34.50.
ELLIOTT WAVE EURUSD Daily update
EW Trade Set Up daily
minute ((i)) seems finished
H4 scenario 210725:
the price upward movement from 1.1557 area on 17/07/25 has broken decisively 1.1684-1.1705 area but it had not the
strenght to go further so that the lagging span (green line) could break upward the leading span B (red line).
A decrescent high has been registered at 1.1800 area on 24/07/25.
In this new scenario it looks like that the impulsive movement that started from 1.0180 on 13/01/25
finisced at 1.1834 on 010725 in the minute wave (i). (EWO divergence, break down of the upward (ii)/(iv) channel).
So i have to register that a correction to minute wave ((ii) has started
key levels VP area
1.1800
1.1370 POC
1.0850
note :
monitor the price reaction at any supports level: VP area and LVN
Gold Futures – Short Setup to Lock in Profits🟠 Gold Futures – Short Setup to Lock in Profits
Gold has had a strong breakout above the symmetrical triangle and has now pushed into an extended move near $3,700+. While the trend remains bullish on the higher timeframe, the current leg looks overextended, and I’m looking to hedge profits with a short setup.
🔑 Key Technicals
Pattern Breakout: Gold broke out of a long consolidation wedge and accelerated higher.
Resistance Zone: Price is testing the Fib 1.618 extension near $3,750, a potential exhaustion area.
Volume Profile: Strong demand zone sits between $3,300 – $3,360 where most volume is concentrated. A pullback could retest this area.
Risk-Reward: Setup gives ~1:3.4 RR with stop above recent highs and target into the HVN zone.
📉 Trade Idea – Protective Short
Entry: 3750
Stop Loss: 3800 (extension level).
Take Profit: $3580
⚖️ Strategy
This is not a reversal call – the larger trend is still bullish. The short setup is hedge/profit-protection only, aiming to capture a pullback after the parabolic leg.
I’ll be watching if buyers can defend $3,600 on the first dip; failure to hold could accelerate selling toward the high-volume zone.
📊 Bias
Short-term: Bearish (pullback expected)
Mid-term: Neutral to Bullish (trend intact above $3,300)
What do you think – do we see a healthy correction here, or is gold too strong to fade yet?
DRIFT — No More Drifting, Breakout ImminentDRIFT has been trading sideways in a 226-day range, capped by resistance at $0.75. The POC of this entire range sits at $0.6, and price is currently trading above it at $0.62.
Volume spikes within the range show solid participation, and the structure is starting to resemble a Head & Shoulders formation with a neckline at $0.75 that needs to break.
Bullish Confluence (Support Zone)
Trading above:
21 Daily EMA ($0.593) / SMA ($0.592)
21 Weekly EMA ($0.577) / SMA ($0.549)
200 Daily EMA ($0.5828) / SMA ($0.5483)
Monthly Open → $0.5888
0.618 Fib retracement of current move → $0.5987 (long trigger)
Clear invalidation: below weekly 21 SMA ($0.549) / daily 200 SMA ($0.5483)
Resistance Confluence (Target Zone $1.3–$1.38)
nPOC of the end 2024 / early 2025 trading range → $1.3
0.786 Fib retracement → $1.2935
0.382 Fib retracement of entire downtrend → $1.3056
0.618 Fib retracement of smaller wave → $1.3677
Yearly Open → $1.3664
500M Market Cap → $1.38
📌 This creates a resistance cluster between $1.3–$1.38, an ideal take-profit zone and potential short opportunity.
🟢 Long Setup Idea
Entry: $0.62–$0.60 (ladder in near confluence with Fib + support levels)
Stop: Below $0.55 (weekly 21 SMA/ daily 200 SMA invalidation)
Targets:
TP1: $1
TP2: $1.3
Potential Gain: +115%
Quick Take
If $0.75 breaks, DRIFT could move quickly toward $1.3–$1.38, a zone stacked with resistance and confluences, the perfect place to secure profits/look for a short setup.
Key Levels
Support: $0.62–$0.60 (Fib + POC + EMAs)
Resistance: $0.75 neckline, then $1.3–$1.38 (confluence cluster)
🔍 Indicators used
LuxAlgo — Liquidity Sentiment Profile (Auto-Anchored)
DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points
Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the weekly 21 EMA/SMA.
Fair Value Trend Model → Calculates a regression-based fair value curve
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
How to Use Fibonacci Levels in Gold Trading. Best Ratios For XAU
I will teach you a simple but efficient way of using Fibonacci levels for Gold analysis.
You will learn the strongest Fib.retracement levels and a proven strategy for XAUUSD trading.
First, let me show you the most powerful Fibonacci retracement levels that you should use for trading Gold.
The most significant ones are: 382, 50, 618, 786.
To use these Fib.Retracement levels properly, you will need to find the strongest 3 impulse legs.
Please, note that you can execute Fibonacci analysis of Gold on any time frame, for the sake of the example, we will do that on a daily.
Here are 3 impulses that I found.
I was simply trying to identify the price waves with the strongest impact. I underlined them from their lows to their highs.
We will draw Fibonacci Retracement levels based on these 3 movements.
We plot Fib.Retracement of a bullish impulse from its low to its high.
We plot Fib.Retracement of a bearish impulse from its high to its low.
That is how it looks.
After that we will need to find a confluence - zones or levels where Fib.Retracement levels of different impulses match .
Such zones will be significant liquidity clusters where market participants will place huge volumes of trading orders.
The first 2 confluence zones that I spotted on a Gold chart will be specific. They are based on 1 and 0 Fib.Retracement levels that match.
These 2 areas are both completion and starting points of our impulse legs.
The fact that significant price movements completed and started after tests of these zones indicates their significance .
Confluence zones 3/4/5/6 are based on a convergence of at least 2 Fib.Retracement levels of different impulses.
Probabilities will be high that these zones will attract the market liquidity.
After we found all confluence zones, I recommend removing Fibonacci levels from the chart to keep it clean .
That is how our complete Fib.Analysis will look.
From these zones, we will look for trading opportunities.
The areas that are above current price levels will be significant supply areas , and we will look for sell signals from them.
The zones that are below Gold spot price will be demand areas. Chances will be high that a strong buying reaction will follow after their test.
Confluence zones that we spotted on Gold chart provide unique perspective. Integrating them in your XAUUSD analysis, you will increase the accuracy of your predictions and trading decisions.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
JSW INFRAJSW Infrastructure Ltd. (currently trading at ₹326) is India’s second-largest private port operator and a key logistics arm of the JSW Group. It operates 12 port concessions across India and a liquid storage terminal in Fujairah, UAE, with a total cargo-handling capacity of 170 MTPA. The company offers end-to-end maritime services including cargo handling, storage, rail connectivity, and logistics parks. JSW Infra is expanding aggressively through brownfield acquisitions, mechanization projects, and multi-modal logistics hubs.
JSW Infrastructure Ltd. – FY22–FY25 Snapshot
• Sales – ₹1,603 Cr → ₹2,950 Cr → ₹3,850 Cr → ₹4,476 Cr Growth driven by cargo volume expansion
• Net Profit – ₹284 Cr → ₹890 Cr → ₹1,240 Cr → ₹1,521 Cr Earnings surge supported by operating leverage and tariff optimization
• Operating Performance – Strong → Strong → Strong → Strong EBITDA margins consistently above 50%; high asset utilization
• Dividend Yield (%) – 0.00% → 0.27% → 0.30% → 0.35% Initiated payouts post listing; reinvestment remains priority • Equity Capital – ₹2,000 Cr (constant) No dilution; strong balance sheet post IPO
• Total Debt – ₹3,200 Cr → ₹3,000 Cr → ₹2,850 Cr → ₹2,700 Cr Gradual deleveraging supported by internal accruals
• Fixed Assets – ₹6,800 Cr → ₹7,500 Cr → ₹8,200 Cr → ₹9,000 Cr Capex focused on berth mechanization, rail siding, and logistics parks
Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends
Promoter holding stands at 85.00%, with no pledging. FIIs and DIIs have actively accumulated post IPO, citing long concession tenures and high-margin infra assets. Delivery volumes reflect long-term positioning by infra, logistics, and ESG-focused funds.
Business Growth Verdict
JSW Infra is scaling across port terminals, logistics parks, and rail connectivity Margins remain robust due to mechanization and operating efficiency Debt is declining steadily with strong operating cash flows Capex supports long-term competitiveness and cargo diversification
Management Con Call
• Q1 FY26 revenue rose 21.2% YoY to ₹1,223 Cr; PAT up 31.4% YoY to ₹390 Cr • Signed 30-year concession with Kolkata Port for ₹740 Cr berth modernization24 • Acquired 86-acre rail siding in Ballari, Karnataka for ₹57 Cr; ₹380 Cr logistics park planned5 • FY26 outlook: 18–20% revenue growth, 5–7% volume CAGR, and margin retention above 50%
Final Investment Verdict
JSW Infrastructure Ltd. offers a high-quality infra compounding story built on long-tenure port assets, operating efficiency, and strategic expansion. Its improving profitability, zero pledging, and multi-modal logistics integration make it suitable for accumulation by investors seeking exposure to India’s trade infrastructure and supply chain modernization.
OrionChain 24: Galaxy Digital and $536M in SolanaIn the fast-paced crypto market of September 2025, institutional moves are reshaping narratives, with Galaxy Digital's aggressive Solana accumulation signaling a "Solana season." The firm acquired 2.31 million SOL tokens worth nearly $536 million over the past 24 hours, transferred from major exchanges. This follows Galaxy's leadership in a $1.65 billion private placement for Forward Industries, transitioning to a Solana-focused digital asset treasury. SOL surged to $237.90, entering the top 5 cryptos with a $126.4 billion market cap, surpassing BNB. From OrionChain 24, a leading analytics platform specializing in whale tracking and AI signals, we overview the purchase, SOL levels ($200–$400), and whale signals via MACD and RSI. Data as of September 16, 2025—position for continued momentum.
OrionChain 24 equips traders with real-time whale alerts; sign up for our demo to track these flows.
Galaxy Digital's $536M SOL Purchase: Strategic Bet on Solana
Galaxy Digital scooped up 2.31 million SOL (~$536 million) in a 24-hour spree, fueling speculation of deeper ties to Forward Industries' Solana treasury pivot. This aligns with a broader trend: Solana's speed (58M monthly users, $15.3B TVL) and potential spot ETFs (90% approval odds by late 2025) drive adoption.
On-chain: Transfers to Galaxy wallets, with Forward's shares up 135% in five days. OrionChain AI detects 71% bullish sentiment: whale inflows +15%, positioning SOL for 20–30% Q4 upside amid ETF hype.
SOL Levels: $200–$400 Range in 2025
SOL at $237.90 (up 19% weekly) broke $220 for the first time in eight months, liquidating $17M in shorts. Base range: $200 support (50% Fibonacci from April trend) to $400 resistance (161.8% extension), with $300 midpoint on ETF approvals.
Support ($200–$220): 20-day EMA alignment; hold here signals rebound to $250.
Resistance ($300–$400): 52-week high projection; breakout above $240 targets $350 on institutional flows.
OrionChain forecasts: $200 floor (risk-off), $400 ceiling (Solana season full steam), correlating 0.8 with BTC.
Whale Signals: MACD and RSI from OrionChain 24
OrionChain tracks whale activity in SOL, using MACD for momentum and RSI for overbought/oversold, based on the August rally.
MACD: Bullish crossover (histogram +0.18), line above signal—whale buys accelerating; entry on pullbacks for 10–15% to $260. Galaxy's $536M adds conviction, with volume spikes +25%.
RSI (14-day): 62 (strong bullish, not overbought <70); divergence from price lows signals $250 near-term. Whale metric: Accumulation score 75/100, inflows $700M+ in 48 hours.
Signals: Long SOL above $240 (RSI >60), stop at $220; target $300 on MACD expansion. Risks: ETF delays (5–7% dip); hedge with USDC.
Conclusion: Ride the Solana Wave with OrionChain 24
Galaxy Digital's $536M SOL buy cements institutional faith, propelling SOL toward $200–$400 with MACD/RSI flashing bullish. OrionChain's whale signals guide your trades in this season of Solana.
Ready to accumulate? Join OrionChain 24 for alerts and demo access. What's your SOL target? Comment below!
#Solana #GalaxyDigital #SOL #WhaleSignals #OrionChain24
Riokapital: 2025 Crypto Forecasts — BTC to $151K, ETH to $5KAs 2025 approaches, the crypto market is gearing up for a new growth cycle, fueled by institutional inflows and macroeconomic shifts. Bitcoin could reach $151K, and Ethereum may hit $5K, according to our models. From Riokapital, a leading analytics platform specializing in cyclical analysis and AI-driven signals, we present a detailed 2025 forecast: BTC ranging from $80K to $151K, ETH from $1.6K to $4.5K. We use RSI for momentum, Fibonacci for levels, and on-chain metrics for signals. Data as of September 16, 2025—prime time for strategic positioning ahead of the halving and ETF evolution.
Riokapital equips traders with real-time dashboards; sign up for demo access to seize the advantage.
Cyclical Analysis: Why 2025 Is a Breakout Year
Crypto markets follow a 4-year cycle tied to Bitcoin halvings. Post-2024 halving, the market is in an accumulation phase: BTC at $115K, ETH at $4.5K. Historically, post-halving years yield +300% gains (2013, 2017, 2021). In 2025, we expect a peak driven by $100B ETF inflows, regulatory clarity (GENIUS Act), and AI integration (ERC-8004).
On-chain: 60% of BTC unmoved for over a year, whale accumulation +15%. Riokapital’s AI detects a 71% bullish sentiment: BTC RSI at 59 (healthy momentum), Fibonacci support at $80K (base case minimum).
BTC Forecast: $80–151K in 2025
BTC in 2025 could range from $80K (conservative, recession scenario) to $151K (bullish, soft Fed landing). Base case: $120K average, peaking in Q4 on ETF and halving momentum.
RSI: Currently 59–65 (neutral-bullish, not overbought). Signal: Buy on RSI >50 for accumulation; bullish divergence suggests 20–30% upside to $140K.
Fibonacci: Support at $80K–$90K (61.8% retracement from 2021 peak). Resistance at $130K–$151K (161.8% extension). Breakout above $116K targets $151K.
On-chain: ETF inflows $59M/week, dominance at 57.4%—signals altcoin rotation post-$130K.
Riokapital forecasts: $80K minimum (risk-off), $151K maximum (with 3–4% Fed rates).
ETH Forecast: $1.6–4.5K in 2025
ETH tracks BTC but offers greater upside from the Pectra upgrade and AI-driven dApps. Range: $1.6K (minimum, L2 delays) to $4.5K (bullish, TVL >$1T).
RSI: 58 (bullish momentum). Signal: Enter on RSI >55; overbought >70 signals profit-taking, but divergence points to $5K.
Fibonacci: Support at $1.6K–$2K (50% retracement). Resistance at $4K–$4.5K (161.8%). Breakout above $4.7K targets $5K.
On-chain: Gas fees down 20%, AI TVL +25%—signals growth from dAI Team.
Riokapital sees: $1.6K minimum (regulatory risks), $4.5K maximum (with ETH/BTC at 0.04).
Riokapital Signals: How to Trade in 2025
Leverage our AI signals:
BTC: Long above $116K (RSI >60), stop at $113K, target $130K (Fib 100%). Hedge 20% in ETH.
ETH: Buy at $4.3K (Fib support), RSI divergence—15–20% to $5K. Hedge with stablecoins.
Overall: Diversify 60% BTC/ETH, 20% altcoins; monitor RSI for entries.
Risks: Recession (20–30% drop), hedge with treasuries.
Conclusion: Position for 2025 with Riokapital
2025 promises BTC at $80–151K and ETH at $1.6–4.5K, with RSI and Fibonacci signaling a bullish cycle. Riokapital’s AI is your tool for signals and on-chain forecasts.
Ready for 2025? Join Riokapital for alerts. What’s your BTC/ETH forecast? Comment below!
#BTC2025 #ETH2025 #Forecasts #RSI #Riokapital