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Fibonacci

NQ (Nasdaq 100 Futures) - Technical Short SetupMarket Context & Thesis Price action on the NQ is approaching a significant technical confluence, suggesting a potential reversal zone favorable for short positioning. The setup is defined by two key Fibonacci retracement levels aligning closely, indicating strengthened resistance. Technical Rationale Primary Resistance Confluence: Price is nearing the convergence of two distinct .382 Fibonacci retracement levels. A longer-term .382 retracement measured from the late-October high to the November low. A more recent .382 retracement from the December 10th high. Volume Analysis: The rally to the longer-term .382 level in November was accompanied by strong volume (~11M), potentially representing a prior distribution zone. The subsequent advance to the current zone has occurred on notably lower volume (~3M), indicating weakening bullish momentum and lack of broad participation, which supports the reversal premise. Conclusion The confluence of dual Fibonacci resistance, corroborated by divergent volume profiles, presents a high-probability short entry opportunity. The trade structure offers a disciplined, quantified approach with a positive expected value based on 3:1 risk-reward framework.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by 618SurfClub
Bitcoin - 2025After a long consolidation around $100,000, and a correction of ~32% from the top, it seems we are preparing for a new move. In the previous idea, I mentioned that there could be either consolidation or a healthy correction, but both happened. I will describe several scenarios that I see. I will describe only positive, super-positive and ultra-positive ones. Since the negative sounds like this - we have already reached the peak, there will be a small over-high, and we will go bearish. Positive scenario - parabolic growth, with a new peak in the region of $150,000-$200,000 Super-positive scenario - parabolic growth, with a new peak in the region of $200,000-$300,000 Ultra-positive scenario - parabolic growth, with a new peak in the region of $300,000-$400,000 Now you must ask - can we really reach $400,000, how is this possible, with the current price of $84,000, and April outside the window? I will tell you that there is nothing complicated or incredible here, that is why it is ultra-positive. But you should focus only on positive and negative scenarios, and not float in the clouds hoping for a miracle. As for altcoins, in this scenario, I don't think Bitcoin dominance will last long, so high, in any case, soon there will either be an overflow and altcoins will start shooting, or we will all die from the paws of bears HOLD YOUR BEARS, IT'S NOT OVER
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by just5
1
Monero XMR price analysisIs CRYPTOCAP:XMR preparing to break its ATH? Looking at the #XMRUSDT chart, it feels like #Monero is approaching a critical moment. After years of consolidation, a confirmed hold above $520 could mark the start of a real harvest season 🌾 🔓 This level may become the key trigger that shifts CRYPTOCAP:XMR into a new market phase. 🎯 So what’s the real target for #Monero? ▪️ $1250? ▪️ Or even much higher — $4300? 💰 Current market cap is around $7.9B. Do you believe CRYPTOCAP:XMR is capable of growing to: ➡️ $23B ➡️ or even $80B? 🤔 Share your thoughts — is #Monero ready to surprise the market again? ______________ ◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates! 🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves 🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
CRYPTO:XMRUSD
by P_S_trade
6
BTC at Premium Zone | Smart Money Eyes Lower Levels📝 Description Market structure on M15 remains bearish within the higher-timeframe context, despite the recent bullish retracement. Price is now retracing into a premium zone, aligning with the H1 OTE (0.618–0.786) of the last bearish displacement, without any confirmed CHOCH + BOS combination to validate a bullish reversal. ________________________________________ 📈 Signal / Analysis Primary Bias: Bearish below 88,500–88,800 Short Setup (Preferred Scenario): • Entry (Sell): 88,120 • Stop Loss: Above 88,500 (above H1 swing high) • Take Profit 1 (TP1): 87,500 • Take Profit 2 (TP2): 86,900 • Take Profit 3 (TP3): 86,600 ________________________________________ 🎯 ICT & SMC Notes • Price currently reacting inside H1 OTE (0.618–0.786) • Clear Bearish Order Block (H1) acting as supply • H4 Order Block below price remains unmitigated • No valid CHOCH + BOS sequence confirming trend reversal • RSI structure aligns with corrective pullback, not momentum expansion ________________________________________ 🧩 Summary The current price action represents a corrective retracement within a dominant bearish market structure. As long as BTC remains capped below the 88,500–89,000 premium resistance, continuation toward lower HTF liquidity pools is favored. Rejection from the current OTE zone strengthens the probability of a bearish expansion toward unmitigated H4 demand and order blocks. ________________________________________ 🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment Recent signals around a potential Bank of Japan rate hike have added pressure to global risk assets. A tighter Japanese monetary policy strengthens the yen and reduces carry-trade liquidity, which historically impacts crypto and equities negatively. As yen-funded positions unwind, capital flows shift toward safety, limiting upside momentum in Bitcoin. In this environment, crypto remains vulnerable to downside moves unless global liquidity conditions ease or major risk-on catalysts emerge. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Short
by TFlab
7
Total Crypto Market Cap to reach $8-14 Trillion ?! ALT SEASON IS COMING My favourite Moon Boy , Raoul Pal said: Cycle Timeline: The traditional 4-year Bitcoin cycle has extended to ~5.4 years due to longer government debt maturities and liquidity waves. The current bull market peak is now expected in Q2 to late 2026 (e.g., mid-2026 or end-2026), not 2025. This creates a prolonged "supercycle" with the real parabolic ("Banana Zone") phase still ahead. Short-Term Drivers (into 2026): Rising global liquidity (M2 growth), easing monetary policy, institutional inflows (ETFs), and a weakening dollar will fuel upside. Corrections like recent ones are normal; the bigger move is coming as risk appetite shifts from BTC to ETH to alts. The top of this Total Crypto Market bull cycle will be around $8-14 trillion. My Top Picks for this crypto cycle narratives: 1) Real-World Asset (RWA) Tokenization 2) Stablecoins and Payments Infrastructure 3) AI and Agents in Crypto 4) Privacy & Quantum enhanced security
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by Migoreng_wrap
NZDUSD — Correction Invalidated, Execution From the A–B BreakerPrice is trading inside a higher-timeframe BC , where the first failure already occurred. The base breaker formed when continuation buyers expected the uptrend to resume, but MSS invalidated that assumption , trapping early continuation attempts. At that stage, there was no sequence yet — only uncertainty. Only after that failure did a valid ABC structure develop. Wave A proposed direction Wave B formed as a correction, where buyers entered expecting B to hold Wave C began at the end of B and structurally invalidated B , proving the correction was finished The continuation breaker is defined as the entire zone between the end of A and the end of B , where correction buyers built exposure. For execution, I drop to lower timeframes and isolate the last breaker inside the A–B zone before Wave C flipped the scenario . That breaker represents the final correction belief — and therefore the highest-probability entry location . Price is expected to return to this area to: remove correction buyers sweep inducement rebalance risk That liquidity is the fuel for Wave C continuation toward its target . If price does not return to the A–B zone, there is no trade . If correction is not structurally invalidated, there is no participation . I don’t trade direction — I trade when correction proves it’s finished . “ I participate only after correction fails — not before, not without proof. ” Not financial advice.
Short
by SmellyTaz
EURUSD – 1-Hour Timeframe Tradertilki AnalysisMy friends, greetings, I have prepared an EURUSD analysis for you. My friends, if EURUSD manages to close a candle above the levels of 1.17632-1.17460, I will open a buy position. Immediately after that, I will update here in the trade active section to inform you where I opened the buy position and share the target level. My friends, I share these analyses thanks to each like I receive from you. Your likes increase my motivation and encourage me to support you in this way.🙏✨ Thank you to all my friends who support me with their likes.❤️
Long
by TraderTilki
2
XAUUSD | Awaiting Reaction at OB + Fibo to Confirm Next Move◆ Market Context (M30) The price is maintaining an uptrend with a supporting trendline. After a strong push creating a short-term peak, the market enters a pullback to rebalance. The current decline has not broken the upward structure. ◆ SMC & Price Action • The rapid decline creates an OB + Fibo Sell zone ~4,335 (retesting the premium area). • The price has reacted at the trendline ~4,315, indicating that buying pressure still protects the structure. • Liquidity above 4,367 – 4,372 remains → potential for liquidity draw if the trend continues. ◆ Key Levels • OB + Fibo Sell: ~4,335 • Trendline / Support: ~4,315 • Liquidity (upper target): 4,367 → 4,372 • Invalid uptrend: clear break below trendline ~4,315 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority) • Await price reaction around the trendline ~4,315 • Condition: candles rejecting decline / maintaining higher lows • Targets: ▪ 4,335 ▪ 4,367 → 4,372 (Liquidity) ➤ Scenario B – Short-term Sell • If the price retraces to OB + Fibo ~4,335 but does not break • Observe rejection signals to SELL back to 4,315 • Only a scalp against the main trend ➤ Scenario C – Breakdown (defensive) • If the trendline ~4,315 is decisively broken • Stay out / wait for a new CHoCH before BUYing again ◆ Summary • Context: pullback within an uptrend. • Decision zones: 4,315 (trendline) and 4,335 (OB + Fibo). • Upper target: 4,367 → 4,372. • Avoid FOMO; prioritize BUYing pullbacks according to the structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Goldscale-Capital
2
NAS100 – 30-Minute Timeframe Tradertilki AnalysisMy friends, greetings, I have prepared a NAS100 analysis for you on the 30-minute timeframe. My friends, if NAS100 reaches the positive levels between 25.001 and 24.951, I will open a buy position and target the 25.258 level. My friends, I share these analyses thanks to each like I receive from you. Your likes increase my motivation and encourage me to support you in this way.🙏 Thank you to all my friends who support me with their likes.❤️
FX:NAS100Long
by TraderTilki
2
GOLD - Consolidation amid a bullish trend. To ATH?FX:XAUUSD , after retesting its ATH (to the 4375 zone), is falling amid weak US inflation data. The dollar is strengthening, but despite this, gold is in a bullish trend. US inflation (CPI) for November was lower than expected, but Trump's statements about the future “dovish” Fed chair are limiting the decline in gold. The market continues to expect the Fed to ease policy in 2026. Today, data on the US consumer confidence index will be released. Short-term pressure remains, but the fundamental background does not allow us to talk about a trend reversal. The market structure is bullish, but there is a magnet zone below: 4310 - 4300. MM is likely to test it before moving towards ATH and updating highs... Resistance levels: 4330, 4353, 4375 Support levels: 4308, 4300, 4291 The dollar is forming a temporary correction due to fundamental factors. A weak dollar will support gold... The 4308-4300 zone is a liquidity pool, and the market may test this area amid the dollar correction. A long squeeze could bring the market back to growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
Bitcoin Hits Critical Support — Is Another Dump Coming?As I expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin has broken through its support lines and declined to the support zone($86,300-$85,140), reaching its full target in the process. Currently, Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the support zone($86,300-$85,140), and we need to watch whether it will break through this support or begin to rebound. Before diving into the analysis, it’s important to note that Bitcoin has a strong correlation with the S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ). Given that the S&P 500 is currently in a downward trend, it’s likely that Bitcoin will also experience further declines. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that Bitcoin is currently starting a new five-wave downward sequence following the break of its support lines, which could lead to even lower levels. Looking at recent developments, one reason for Bitcoin’s decline is the selling pressure from long-term holders, which has created a quiet but significant downward pressure and challenged the support levels. Additionally, the state of the U.S. markets, with the S&P 500 index also trending down, contributes to the downward pressure on Bitcoin. In conclusion, I expect that Bitcoin, upon entering the resistance zone($89,230-$87,720) and touching the resistance lines, will again face downward movement and aim for the support zone($86,300-$85,140). If it breaks that support zone, we could see it moving towards Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($85,300-$83,000). Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $89,000-$88,500 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $91,830-$90,000 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,400-$97,000 Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the $83,000 mark with strong momentum, we might expect it to reach even lower levels, potentially down to $80,000. Do you think Bitcoin can break the support zone($86,300-$85,140)? First Target: $85,540 Second Target: $84,229 Stop Loss(SL): $90,429(Worst) Points may shift as the market evolves 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Short
by pejman_zwin
46
SOLUSDT - Countertrend correction to resistanceBINANCE:SOLUSDT , after updating its low, is forming a correction to the resistance conglomerate, but will the bears be able to hold back the upward movement? Bitcoin is testing 90K but is currently unable to consolidate above this zone. This is having a negative impact on the entire market. SOL is testing the 125.5 zone of interest after updating its low. If the bears keep the price below this level, SOL may come under pressure. Two key areas of interest: 124.5 and 128.9. If 124.5 does not hold the market, then before falling, within the global downtrend, SOLANA may test the upper resistance. Resistance levels: 124.5, 128.9 Support levels: 120.15, 116.7 Global and local trends are downward. At the moment, a countertrend correction is forming, which may be stopped in the indicated areas. A false breakout could trigger a decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
XAUUSD M45: SELL at OB 4.331–4.339, BUY at 4.306–4.3121) Market Context (M45) – SMC & Price Structure The spike up followed by a strong sell-off is a liquidity event (liquidity sweep), creating a clear bearish displacement. After the sell-off, the price is retracing in a pullback/retest manner → prioritize the strategy “SELL retracement at supply zone,” or “BUY reaction at demand zone” if there is a sweep down. 2) Key Levels Liquidity Sell (liquidity peak): 4.367.982 OB Bearish (Sell Zone): 4.331.123 – 4.338.610 Liquidity Support (Demand): 4.312.463 – 4.306.358 Current reference price: ~4.326 (currently in the middle of the range, not an optimal entry point) 3) Trading Plan Scenario A – SELL at OB Bearish (priority) If the price retraces to the 4.331 – 4.339 zone and shows rejection signals: pinbar / shadow downward engulfing or bearish ChoCH on M15–M45 Then prioritize SELL following the retracement in the short-term bearish structure. Reference targets: TP1: 4.312 TP2: 4.306 Invalidation: M45 candle closes firmly above 4.339 and holds → stop the SELL idea. Scenario B – BUY at Liquidity Support (reversal scenario) If the price is pulled down to the 4.312 – 4.306 zone and shows signs of sweep + reclaim (piercing down then closing back up the zone). Upon confirmation, watch for BUY retracement. Reference targets: TP1: 4.331 TP2: 4.339 Note: if the price touches the OB Bearish again without breaking it, prioritize closing and observing the reaction. Scenario C – Sweep up to Liquidity Sell 4.368 then reverse If the price breaks above OB Bearish and continues to run liquidity up to 4.368. The 4.368 zone is suitable for finding a sell reaction (only SELL with confirmation signals). 4) News on 18/12 affecting gold On 18/12, there is US CPI (November): the most impactful news on gold as it directly affects interest rate expectations, yields, and USD. On the same day, there are usually Initial Jobless Claims and activity indicators (e.g., Philly Fed), which can easily create short-term spikes for XAUUSD. After the CPI day, the market often exhibits liquidity sweeps on both ends before choosing a direction → avoid FOMO, prioritize trading at the right zone. 5) Quick Conclusion Short-term bias: prioritize SELL retracement at OB 4.331–4.339 until the price strongly reclaims above. Defensive scenario: BUY reaction at 4.312–4.306 if there is a sweep + confirmation. Avoid entering trades in the middle of the range; wait for “right zone – right signal.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Liquidity Grab Completed, Waiting for Pullback to ContinueMarket Context Gold has just completed a strong impulsive rally, sweeping buy-side liquidity above the previous highs. After this expansion, price is now entering a short-term consolidation / pullback phase, which is expected behavior following a liquidity grab rather than a full trend reversal. From a fundamental perspective, expectations of a more accommodative Fed stance continue to limit downside pressure on Gold, keeping the broader bias supported despite intraday corrections. Technical Structure (Short-Term) The larger structure remains bullish Recent move shows a liquidity grab at the highs, followed by rejection Current price action suggests rebalancing into demand zones No confirmed bearish market structure shift so far Key Technical Zones Upper Resistance / Sell Reaction: 4,360 – 4,365 Intraday Resistance: 4,333 – 4,336 Buy Zone (Pullback Area): 4,300 – 4,305 Deeper Demand / Liquidity Support: 4,275 – 4,280 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Buy the Pullback Expect price to retrace into 4,300 – 4,305 or deeper toward 4,280 Look for bullish reaction / stabilization to rejoin the trend Upside targets: TP1: 4,323 TP2: 4,335 TP3: 4,360+ (liquidity) Alternative Scenario If price holds above 4,323 and breaks higher directly, wait for a clean retest before considering continuation setups. Avoid chasing price at premium levels. Invalidation A sustained break and H1 close below 4,275 would weaken the bullish continuation scenario and shift focus to deeper consolidation. Summary Gold remains in a bullish environment, with current weakness viewed as a technical pullback after liquidity grab. Bias remains buy-the-dip, prioritizing patience and confirmation at key demand zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
10
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/19/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2026 - PR High: 25257.50 - PR Low: 25209.75 - NZ Spread: 106.75 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (MoM|YoY) 10:00 | Existing Home Sales Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM) - Session Open ATR: 430.77 - Volume: 35K - Open Int: 271K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -4.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 26521 - Mid: 25264 - Short: 24008 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2026Long
by mv3trader5