Fibonacci
3 Wave uptrend?Was taking a look at FO TSX, looks like a 3 wave uptrend is taking place. I drew a fib grap from Dec 2024, then used the price drift to align the 0.236 level, and used additional data and aligned the 0.382 fib line. I then Identified pull backs, and drew a wavey line to 0.465 price. We will see what happens Cheers
ETH 4H Chart1️⃣ Market Structure (HTF – 4H)
We had a clear uptrend in the channel (black lines).
A breakout from the channel occurred at the bottom → this is a break of structure.
The decline was impulsive, without any major corrections → supply prevailed.
➡️ Medium-term bias: bearish/corrective
2️⃣ Key price levels
🔴 Supports
$2,938 – currently the closest technical support
$2,862 – a very important zone (strong reaction, long wick)
$2,740 – next HTF support (if the market collapses)
➡️ 2,862 = key decision level
Loss → high chance of a breakout to 2,740
🟢 Resistances
$3,081 – local resistance/flip after a breakout
$3,215 – former support, now resistance (ideal for shorts)
$3,430 – upper HTF resistance (only after a structure change)
3️⃣ Price Action (what we're seeing now)
After a strong dump, an impulsive downward wick appeared → Possible short-term relief (dead cat bounce).
The current bounce looks corrective, not impulsive.
Not yet:
higher low
4-hour candlestick closes above 3,081
➡️ This could still be just a pullback for further declines.
4️⃣ RSI Stochastic
RSI was heavily oversold → a technical bounce is normal.
Now a quick return to the upper regions → watch out for a bearish cross.
In downtrends, the Stoch RSI often:
Quickly reaches 80–100
and immediately reverses
➡️ RSI does not yet confirm a trend change
5️⃣ Scenarios
🟡 Scenario A – correction and further decline (more likely)
Bounce to 3,080–3,215
Rejection
Return to 2,860 → 2,740
📉 Short setup:
Reaction below 3,080 / 3,215
Weak volume, pin bar / bearish engulfing
🟢 Scenario B – return to growth (less likely)
Conditions:
4-hour close above 3,215
Hold as support
Only then target: 3,430
📈 Without this → longs are counter-trend
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 21 January 2026 - USDJPY reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 5.50
USDJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the support area between the support level 157.75 (former strong resistance from November and October) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from December.
The upward reversal from this support area continues the active multi-impulse upward sequence 3 from September.
Given the ы, Uniswap cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 5.50 (former support from the start of January).
Axie Infinity AXS price analysisAfter spending more than three years in a sustained downtrend, CRYPTOCAP:AXS price action over the last month resulted in an approximately x3 increase, supported by improving volume dynamics.
Key observations:
Clear break from long-term bearish structure
Strong short-term momentum on OKX:AXSUSDT
Renewed speculative interest in the #GameFi sector
As long as current conditions persist, the $4 level stands out as the first meaningful upside target from a technical perspective.
Failure to sustain volume and momentum would likely turn this move into a temporary relief rally.
🤔 Do you see this as a structural trend change for CRYPTOCAP:AXS and #GameFi sector, or just a reactionary move within a broader bearish context?
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🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
XRP at a Critical Daily Decision Zone | Big Move ComingXRP – Daily Technical Outlook
Supports
Ascending trendline: 1.75 – 1.80
Fib 0.382 support: 1.62
Major invalidation: 1.20
Resistances
Fib 0.50 / Daily equilibrium: 1.96
Fib 0.618: 2.30
Fib 0.786: 2.78
Major supply: 3.06 – 3.40
RSI (Daily): 43 (bearish momentum weakening, base forming)
Daily Expectation
Holding 1.75–1.80 → expect push toward 1.96 → 2.30
Daily close above 2.30 → continuation toward 2.78
Loss of 1.75 → pullback to 1.62
Daily close below 1.62 → deeper correction toward 1.20
Bias: Neutral → bullish above 1.75
Invalidation: Daily close below 1.62
Gold is accelerating at same rate as prior cycles big picture Bullish Gold
how far will gold move to? this shows it could go over 8k?
Yes there are big round numbers out there
But if it scales like last time maybe we get another chance to add soon
Then wheres the top Elliot 5th wave top ?
Have a look at the boxes to give you some perspective how far gold could travel and still be in the same remit similar to what it did in the past.
Same works for Silver
Long term 15k or even 25k looks like big real numbers but first its got to do 5k and 10k
Chart needs cleaning up for exact numbers just was drawn fast to look at big picture to see how far the gold and silver miners could keep running for as they lag.
How many gold and silver miners were in the top 100 companies or top 10 last time around? and look to see if a similar amount are there again. As a relative comparison I guess would be sensible Using fib exertion tool on the monthly often you see price reach one of the key fib numbers and then inflect and gold likes Fib numbers historically.
SUI Daily OTE Rejection - Pin Bar Signal Toward SSL and FVGs📝 Description
SUI on Daily timeframe is trading inside a bearish HTF structure and has now retraced into the 0.618–0.786 OTE zone, where a clear FVG is present. Price reaction in this area suggests weakening upside momentum rather than acceptance above value.
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📈 Analysis (Scenario-Based | Non-Signal)
If the latest daily candle closes as a pin bar within the 0.618–0.786 zone and inside the FVG, downside probability increases. This behavior would signal rejection from premium, favoring a bearish rotation toward lower liquidity.
Downside Expectation:
• Draw toward lower FVGs (1.780 and 1.535)
• Targeting Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) below recent lows
• Move classified as liquidity-driven continuation, not a trend change
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Confluence of OTE (0.618–0.786) with reversal FVG
• Pin bar close = premium rejection
• Bias shifts toward SSL draw
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🧩 Summary
A pin bar close on D within the 0.618–0.786 OTE and reversal FVG strengthens the case for a bearish continuation. Under this condition, price is likely to rotate lower toward FVG inefficiencies and SSL, aligning with the dominant HTF bearish framework.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
SUI remains risk-sensitive. Any return of risk-off or USD strength can speed up the SSL draw after rejection from the 0.618–0.786 OTE. In a risk-on environment, downside may stay corrective, D close confirmation remains key.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
$SERV: trend structure analysis I like the monthly consolidation structure from a macro-bullish perspective. However, on the short-term, I cannot rule out that the complex consolidation has not yet fully resolved. Price may have already formed a lower high and entered the early stages of a new downside wave toward macro support, or it could still attempt a re-test of the October highs, potentially forming a double top.
In the short term, as long as price is holding above the 12.50 local support, I can see an attempt for further upside toward the 16.70–19.20 resistance zone. A break below 12.50 would shift the odds toward a deeper pullback into the 8.50–6.90 mid-term support area.
From a mid-term perspective, as long as price is closing below the 16.70–19.20 resistance zone, I consider a deeper pullback to remain the operative scenario.
Chart:
Previously:
• On support and bullish potential (Aug 18):
www.tradingview.com
• On trend reversal (Aug 27):
www.tradingview.com
• On upside potential (Sep 18):
www.tradingview.com
GBPCHF Short Term Sell IdeaH1 - Strong bearish momentum.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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WULF risks of mid-term top being Price has reached a key macro resistance level, which could substantially increase selling pressure and push the market into at least a mid-term correction below November 2024 highs. As long as price continues to close below October highs, I favor the view that a mid-term top is likely in place.
While a final push higher into the resistance zone remains plausible — especially if price holds above the 21dEMA — maintaining a high level of caution with new or existing long exposure is strongly advised. The uptrend from the 2023 bottom appears to be finishing a diagonal structure, which by nature often results in sharp and deep pullbacks once fully complete.
Chart:
Chart (Weekly view):
Previously:
• On upside potential (Aug 14):
Chart:
www.tradingview.com
• On trend structure (Aug 12):
Chart:
www.tradingview.com
• On macro bullish structure (Jul 30):
Chart:
www.tradingview.com
UPST: trend structure analysis Given the structure of the recovery from the November lows, price may have completed its initial impulsive (bullish) leg and is now entering a consolidation phase before a potential continuation of the new uptrend.
If that’s the case, ideally we want to see price hold within the 44–40 local support zone to form a higher low and build the right side of the base, followed by a sustained breakout above 52.
Chart:
A failure to hold the 40 level would shift the odds toward a deeper pullback into the macro support zone at 28–21.
From a higher-timeframe perspective, the broader consolidation structure still looks relatively constructive for a multi-month upside continuation toward the 190–250 area, provided price continues to hold above the 21 level.
Weekly chart:
GOLD - Consolidation after the rally. Target 5000FX:XAUUSD continues to hit new record highs (the latest being 4888) amid escalating geopolitical tensions, global risk aversion, and a falling dollar...
Fundamental drivers:
Trump's pressure on the Fed and uncertainty over the appointment of a new chair are undermining confidence in US monetary policy.
Trade threats are increasing the risks of escalating conflict with the EU.
Today, PCE inflation data (October-November) and US GDP for the third quarter will be released.
Gold maintains its upward momentum thanks to political uncertainty and pressure on the Fed. Short-term corrections are possible after the data release, but the trend will remain bullish until geopolitical risks subside.
Resistance levels: 4877, 4888, 4900
Support levels: 4845, 4834, 4816
Gold has strengthened by 2.6% since the opening of the session and, having exhausted its intraday ATR, may move to local consolidation or retest key support zones before growth: 4845, 4834, 4816. The medium-term growth potential remains intact. The market is heading towards 5000...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Biocon: Heading for All-Time High?🚀 Biocon: Heading for All-Time High? 🚀
📉 CMP: ₹390
🔒 Stop Loss: ₹330
🎯 Targets: ₹428 | ₹478 | ₹560
🔍 Why Biocon Looks Promising?
✅ Weekly Rounding Bottom Breakout: Breakout triggered above ₹390
✅ Weekly Box Breakout: Confirmation above ₹398 strengthens the setup
✅ Final Confirmation: A weekly close above ₹402 will validate the breakout for a potential strong upside
💡 Strategy & Risk Management:
📈 Phased Entry: Build positions gradually post confirmation to manage risk effectively
🔒 Strict SL: Maintain stop loss at ₹330 to protect capital in case of reversal
📍 Outlook: Biocon is showing strong technical signals with an all-time high on the radar, making it a compelling positional trade setup.
📉 Disclaimer: Not SEBI-registered. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before investing.
#Biocon #PharmaStocks #TechnicalBreakout #AllTimeHigh #SwingTrading #StockMarket #InvestmentOpportunities
GOLD - Aggressive bullish trend. Test of the 4725 zone...FX:XAUUSD continues to update its historical maximum, currently testing the 4725 zone, against the backdrop of escalating geopolitical risks and declining risk appetite...
Fundamental situation
Trump's threats to impose new tariffs on goods from the EU and the union's retaliatory measures have heightened fears of a trade war.
Escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict
The economic backdrop is contributing to the decline of the dollar, which in turn is supporting gold.
The key events of the week will be the US PCE inflation data (Thursday) and the revised GDP report for the third quarter.
Gold continues to rise due to geopolitical uncertainty and the weakening of the dollar. Further dynamics will depend on US inflation data — weak figures could strengthen the upward momentum, while strong figures could trigger a correction.
Resistance levels: 4725, 4750
Support levels: 4707, 4700, 4691
Growth has been halted by the psychological resistance zone of 4725. Since the opening of the session, the market has exhausted its intraday potential and may form a correction (profit-taking) and test the key support zones of 4710-4700 before continuing to grow.
Best regards, R. Linda!






















