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Fibonacci Retracement

GOLD → Retest of resistance at 3660. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is testing resistance to correction after breaking the local market structure from bearish to bullish. A breakout of 3660 could give buyers a chance... A 25 bp rate cut to 4.25% was expected, but the forecast for further cuts came as a surprise: now two cuts before the end of 2025 (instead of one) and one in 2026. The reason for the shift: fears of a slowdown in the labor market outweighed the risks from inflation (2.9% in August). The dollar continues its countertrend correction (rebound) after Powell's speech and economic news. This temporary phenomenon may soon end. Gold, after a manipulative phase, may return to an upward movement if the price breaks 3660 and consolidates above this level. The Fed preferred to support employment, risking accelerating inflation. In the long term, this will support risk assets and commodities, but in the short term, the markets have taken a pause. Resistance levels: 3360, 3675, 3688 Support levels: 3643, 3631 Gold is not updating local lows, a cascade bottom is forming and the local bearish structure is breaking down. If the market manages to overcome the resistance of the correction, a bullish impulse may form! Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
SOLUSDT → Correction amid a strong bullish trend BINANCE:SOLUSDT , after updating its next high, formed a false breakout of local resistance and returned to the trading range as part of a correction. What to expect from altcoin? The main driver of the crypto market, Bitcoin, is consolidating above 115K and facing fairly strong resistance at 117400. Earlier, the price completed a downward correction. The market is dominated by a positive technical and fundamental background. SOL looks stronger than Bitcoin and is testing new highs... The price of SOLANA is forming a false breakout of resistance and is entering a correction phase amid a bullish trend. As part of the correction, the price may test the local imbalance zone and the key liquidity level of 242.5. Resistance levels: 244, 249.2, 253.5 Support levels: 242.5, 239, 231.5 Technically, the price may form a false breakdown of the nearest zone of interest at 242.5, and if the bulls manage to keep the price above the resistance zone of 242.5-244.0 after this maneuver, the coin may return to an upward movement. However, if this does not happen, I would wait for a retest of the 239.0 zone, where the trend support line is located. The medium- and long-term outlook for SOL is positive, and the price is highly likely to test the ATH 295.0. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
$MSTR Must Close This Week Above the 50WMA Or Else...The MicroStrategy chart is the only top signal that is somewhat cause for concern at the current moment. You can see NASDAQ:MSTR has closed the past several weeks below the 50WMA, which signaled the start of the bear market last cycle. Having said that, it has had a bullish rally this week and is trading above the 50WMA once again. MSTR must close the week above this level, otherwise the stock could be in for a much deeper correction, which could negatively affect CRYPTOCAP:BTC in October. Where have you heard that October prediction before? Coincidence? 🥸
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by jonnieking
GOLD → Rates have been cut. Will growth continue?FX:XAUUSD , following the Fed's decision on interest rates, caused a shock, updating the ATH to 3707, then updating the minimum to 3633. Since the opening of the European session, the market has been recovering, but there is a BUT... The Fed's Dot Plot confirmed the forecast of two additional rate cuts before the end of the year, which provides long-term support for gold. The USD remains under pressure after the Fed's decision, despite a short-term rebound. Trump's statements and the escalation of conflicts continue to fuel demand for safe havens. After rising to a record high of $3707, a short-term correction is possible. If today's jobless claims come in better than expected, it will temporarily strengthen the USD. As for Powell, his emphasis on “meeting-to-meeting decisions” may limit appetite for risky assets. Resistance levels: 3674.7, 3688.6 Support levels: 3654.5, 3633, 3626.8 Technically, since the opening of the European session, gold has spent its intraday ATR reserve. From the specified resistance level of 3675 (psychological level), a correction to 3660-3655 may form before continuing to grow to 3675-3688. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
GBPAUD → False breakdown. Return to bullish trend FX:GBPAUD is forming a false breakdown of support and returning to a bullish trend. The market has seen a breakdown of the local structure, signaling the end of the correction. The pound sterling has consolidated above the consolidation resistance, thereby showing bullish signs, which has a positive effect on the GBPAUD currency pair. False breakdown of the trend and support of global consolidation. The price returned to the range and closed in the long zone. Bulls may provoke continued growth after the formation of local patterns... Resistance levels: 2.0746, 2.103 Support levels: 2.04788, 2.0301 Consolidation of the price above support and a breakout of local consolidation may trigger further growth. The trend is bullish, targets are indicated on the chart. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
LiamTrading – XAUUSD: A New Trend Taking ShapeGold has entered a new phase, beginning a sharp correction following Chairman Powell’s announcement of a Fed rate cut. On the H1 chart, a bearish Dow structure is clearly forming, suggesting the potential for sustained downside in the medium term. Most buy-side liquidity has now been cleared, leaving limited scope for a strong recovery – aside from a brief FVG that appeared immediately after the news. Market sentiment indicates that activity during that phase carried little weight. The appearance of a gap highlights growing confidence among sellers in seizing control after the Fed’s statement. This decline could drive gold towards the 363x area, and potentially extend to the 361x region. A critical level to watch remains 3651, a strong support where price previously rebounded by more than 20 dollars immediately after the announcement. Trading plan for today: Sell 3656 – 3659, SL 3666, TP 3651 – 3646 – 3638 – 3634 – 3626 – 3615 Buy 3634 – 3632, SL 3628, TP 3640 – 3652 – 3660 Buy zone 3607 – 3604, SL 3600, TP 3616 – 3625 – 3638 – 3647 – 3660 This is my personal view on XAUUSD for today. Please use it as a reference for your own trading. If you find it useful, follow me for further updates and gold market scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
GER40 Loading the Break – Big Move Coming!Hey guys, I’ve analyzed the GER40 index for you. Right now, it’s too early to drop a clear target—the price is stuck in a consolidation zone. It’s either gonna break down or break out. Once that move happens, I’ll share the exact target right away. For now, just waiting on the breakout. Also, every single like from you guys is what keeps me motivated to keep sharing these analyses. Big thanks to everyone supporting me with those likes.
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by TraderTilki
23
GOLD → The market depends on the mood of the FED. Rate cuts FX:XAUUSD , after reaching 3700, entered a correction phase triggered by profit-taking ahead of important market news—the Fed's interest rate meeting. Gold is falling and testing 3660-3650 after updating its ATH to 3703 ahead of the Fed's decision. All eyes are on Powell's forecasts and comments on future policy. Fundamentally, a 25 bp rate cut is already priced in. Much more important is whether the Fed will hint at more than two cuts before the end of the year. The market is expecting aggressive easing due to the risks of stagflation (weak labor market + persistent inflation). If the Fed takes a dovish stance (three rate cuts), gold could hit new records. If it is hawkish, i.e., a surprise (only one or two rate cuts), the dollar will strengthen and gold will correct Resistance levels: 3674.7, 3686, 3700 Support levels: 3657, 3646.5, 3637 Technically, the further scenario for gold depends solely on the mood of the Fed and Powell's comments. The market still hopes to hear more positive hints and, before that, is forming a deep correction to the liquidity zones indicated on the chart in order to buy cheaper, if the situation allows... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
XRPUSD → Will the rate meeting be a bullish driver for altcoins?BINANCE:XRPUSDT.P is consolidating above the previously broken boundary of the descending triangle formed within the bullish trend. Important news is ahead—the Fed's meeting on interest rates, which is highly likely to become a bullish driver for the cryptocurrency market. The daily structure of the XRP market looks promising. The price is not updating global lows, is staying within the boundaries of the uptrend, and at the same time is breaking through the resistance of the downward correction, trying to consolidate above the fairly strong support level of 2.9535. But the market is waiting for a driver, namely fundamental background. If this background strengthens after Powell's speech, Bitcoin and altcoins may strengthen, including XRP. However, the fundamental background largely depends on the overall mood of the Fed and its comments. The market has already priced in an interest rate cut, as this is predictable given the economic data. But traders will be watching Powell's tone and how dovish or hawkish his view of the situation is. Support levels: 2.9535, 2.8853 Resistance levels: 3.0577, 3.155, 3.359 Technically, at the moment, I am considering a scenario of a retest of support and the formation of a long squeeze at 2.9535 - 2.8853 against the backdrop of increased news volatility (manipulative nature). However, if this does not happen, the focus will be on 3.0577, and a close above this level could trigger further growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Testing 3700. What to expect from the price going forwardFX:XAUUSD continues to rally. Ahead lies the psychological barrier of 3700, where the market may form profit-taking ahead of Tuesday and Wednesday's news... Gold is testing 3700. The bullish trend remains unshakable thanks to a combination of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. Expectations of Fed policy easing: There is a high probability of a 25 bps rate cut (possibly even 50 bps) as early as this week. Trump's pressure on Powell reinforces these expectations. Stagflation risks: Slowing growth amid steady inflation increases the appeal of gold as a hedge. Risks: Profit-taking: After a sharp rise, a short-term correction is possible in the psychological target zone of 3700. Retail sales data (today): Weak data will support gold, while strong data may temporarily strengthen the dollar. Fed decision (tomorrow): Even if the rate is lowered, a “sell on the fact” reaction is possible. Resistance levels: 3700, 3710 Support levels: 3685, 3675, 3657 Technically, since the opening of the session, gold has lost part of its daily ATR, and the upward movement may be zigzag-shaped, especially ahead of the news. I expect a correction from the market to 3685-3675 with the aim of rebounding upwards... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
29
GBPJPY → Ascending triangle on an upward trend...FX:GBPJPY is attempting to break through the resistance of the ascending triangle consolidation pattern amid the strengthening of the pound sterling, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts... The currency pair is breaking through consolidation resistance amid the growth of the pound sterling. The driver is the expectation of positive news... An attempt to break through resistance is forming, with bulls forming a cascade of support and a local uptrend. If the price closes above 200.27, it will be able to move into a distribution phase. Resistance levels: 200.27, 200.75 Support levels: 200.06, 199.65 Technically, the chart looks quite strong and aimed at continuing the uptrend. If the bulls can consolidate above the specified level of 200.0 - 200.27, then overall we will see a growth phase. Above the current levels, there is a free zone, and up to 208.0, there are practically no obstacles except for local levels that are not capable of reversing the trend... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
GOLD → A s.triangle against the backdrop of a bullish trend... FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in anticipation of positive news from the Fed, namely a cut in interest rates. Against this backdrop, the dollar is falling, which only supports the price of gold... Gold is trading in a sideways range around $3650 at the start of a week packed with central bank events. Despite the lack of a clear direction, the metal is finding support thanks to several factors. Key drivers: Weak economic data from China, anticipation of the Fed's decision: On Wednesday, the Fed will almost certainly cut rates by 25 basis points, but there is a chance of 50 basis points. This supports gold. The tone of Powell's comments will determine expectations for further cuts. Technically, gold remains stable ahead of key events. China's weak economy and the Fed's dovish policy limit the potential for decline. A break above $3650 is possible with dovish signals from the Fed or an escalation of trade risks. Resistance levels: 3646, 3657, 3675 Support levels: 3630, 3620, 3600 As part of the formation of a “symmetrical triangle” consolidation, I will consider a retest of the consolidation support with the possibility of further growth (distribution). Sincerely, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21
BITCOIN → Consolidation in anticipation of a bullish driver...BINANCE:BTCUSDT is testing the 117K area as part of an upward movement triggered by the end of the bearish correction. The price is moving into consolidation. Focus on the range boundaries... The market is awaiting the Fed's interest rate meeting. A rate cut could support the growth of the flagship, but before that, the market may form a manipulation in the form of a long squeeze. The market is forming consolidation after breaking the local correction against the backdrop of a global bullish trend. Focus on the boundaries of the range. Technically, I would highlight the support of local consolidation and the previously broken trend boundary as two key details that can be used in further trading: 114600, 113300. Behind this zone lies a pool of liquidity, and before a possible rise, the price may try to absorb it... Technically, we are seeing confirmation of a bullish market structure; all that remains is to wait for the appearance of a bullish driver and the market's readiness for growth. Support levels: 114600, 113300, 110700 Resistance levels: 11700, 117860 A false breakdown of support followed by a close above one of the specified zones could attract buyer interest, which in turn could trigger a price increase within the global bullish trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
14
LTCUSDT 1D chart review🔎 key levels • Resistance resistance: • 118.92 USDT (local resistance, recently tested several times). • 126.05 USDT (stronger resistance - if it pierces, the trend is continued). • Support (Support): • 113.31 USDT (current level, currently defended). • 109.28 USDT (SMA as dynamic support). • 102.38 USDT (key support - if it falls, there may be a stronger decrease). ⸻ 📉 Trend • You can see the yellow inheritance trend line on the chart - the course respected it several times. • Currently, the price is trying to stay above SMA200 (green line), which is a signal of a potential reflection. ⸻ 📊 indicators • MacD: • The histogram has gone into a positive zone, which suggests growth moment, but the signal lines are close to each other → possible consolidation. • RSI: • Value around 50 → neutral zone, no clear purchase or sale. • If he pierces 60, he may enter the upward trend. ⸻ 📌 Scenarios 1. Bullish • If it stays above 113.31 and breaks 118.92, the goal will be 126 USDT. • Confirmation: RSI> 60 and MacD further opening up. 2. Bearish • If the course drops below 113.31, subsequent support is 109.28 and 102.38. • Confirmation: Macd Cross down + RSI <45.
by cryptodailyuk
HBARUSDT → Correction before the rally...After strong growth from the 0.14 zone, BINANCE:HBARUSDT HBAR updated its maximum to 0.30 and entered a correction phase, testing the intermediate and strong support level of 0.2300. A false breakdown has formed, and price consolidation above the key zone could trigger another rally. HBAR currently has two key levels: 0.243 and 0.2337. The bulls are trying to keep the correction at the upper support level. However, there is a huge pool of liquidity hidden behind 0.2337, which could be tested (before growth resumes) if 0.243 fails to hold the price. Locally, the coin is breaking the structure of the downward correction (consolidation in a bull market) and is trying to consolidate above support (in the zone of interest). The end of the current correction phase may lead to a resumption of distribution. Support levels: 0.2432, 0.2337 Resistance levels: 0.2547, 0.26, 0.2763 The formation of a bullish structure relative to 0.2432 will confirm the presence of an interested, large buyer. This could trigger strong growth. Otherwise, I will wait for a retest of 0.2337, from where I will look for an opportunity to open long positions with the aim of medium-term growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
ETHUSDT → Correction and hunt for liquidity ahead of growth BINANCE:ETHUSD is showing positive dynamics and breaking through the resistance conglomerate (consolidation boundary and downward correction line). The fundamental background is positive, and bulls are generally quite confident... The cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin, and altcoins are awaiting a batch of positive news. Traders are waiting for interest rates to fall, which could attract additional capital to the cryptocurrency market, especially ETH. The breakout of the correction resistance and consolidation resistance gives the market hope for growth. The global trend is bullish, and the fundamental background is positive. If the bulls hold their defense above 4488-4450, ETH may strengthen. Resistance levels: 4661, 4783 Support levels: 4488, 4450 Technically, I expect a false breakdown of support (retest of the liquidity zone). If this maneuver ends with the price closing above 4488 and the formation of a confirming bullish pattern, then in this case, we can consider the continuation of growth. Sincerely, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
28
GOLD → Consolidation before continuing growth to 3700 FX:XAUUSD resumed its growth on Friday, approaching the $3,650 level, amid growing expectations of aggressive Fed rate cuts and geopolitical risks. The metal remains near record highs and is poised for a fourth consecutive week of gains. Key drivers: Probability of a 25 bp rate cut on September 17 — 92%, chance of a 50 bp cut — 8%. Markets are expecting three cuts in 2024. US plans to impose new tariffs on India and China are supporting demand for safe havens. Gold remains in a bullish trend. The weak US economy and geopolitics are pushing it to new highs, but profit-taking at current levels is possible. There is no news today, so trading may be relatively calm. Technically, if the price does not retest 3738 but begins to consolidate near 3657 and attempts a breakout, the chances of continued growth will increase. Support levels: 3638, 3630 Resistance levels: 3649, 3657 I expect the market to reach the liquidity zone of 3638 before returning to retest the trigger. However, if MM deems this maneuver unnecessary and forms a trading range between 3657 and 3649, then closing above 3657 could lead to another bullish distribution. Sincerely, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
ETH/USDT 1D chart review🔎 Technical analysis 1. Trend • You can see a clear growth trend line (orange). The price consistently reflected from her, which means that the buyers defend this level. • Currently, the price is above trendline, which is a bull signal. 2. Support and resistance • Support: • $ 4,429 • USDT $ 4,556 • resistance: • $ 4.687 USDT (current price fight - this is where the market is testing) • USD 4,793 (strong resistance) • USD 4,954 (key psychological resistance - nearly 5K) 3. Candles • We have a long green up move - the momentum is strong. • The last candles show a little indecisive at 4.687 (upper shadows), i.e. possible consolidation or back. 4. STOCHASTIC RSI (oscillator at the bottom of the chart) • enters the purchase zone (> 80). • This often heralds correction, but in strong trends the indicator can last long. ⸻ 📊 Scenarios • bull (continuation of growth): If ETH stays above 4.687 and pierces 4.793, the next goal is 4.954 (and then psychological 5,000). • Bear (correction): Rejection 4.687 and descent below 4.556 can open the way to the Trendline test around 4.430. Puncting the trend down is a reversal signal and a possible drop towards 4.200. ⸻ 📌 Summary • Main trend: upward. • Momentum: Strong, but the indicators show buying. • Strategy: • Careful entrances with support (4.556 / 4.430). • confirmed breaking 4.793 = strong signal for further increases. • Stop loss below Trendline (~ 4,400), because it will negate the current script of the bull
by cryptodailyuk