TSLA — Bullish Above 317.77, Targeting 544.53TSLA maintains a bullish structure as long as price holds above the key zone at 317.77.
This level represents the foundation of the current upward leg and serves as the invalidation point for the broader trend. As long as buyers protect 317.77, upside continuation remains the dominant scenario.
Price is currently reclaiming the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 424.43. A sustained close above this area strengthens bullish momentum toward 452.77 (0.618), followed by 472.47–484.48 (0.7–0.75). A breakout above these mid-range levels would open the path toward the major extension target at 544.53.
In a bearish scenario, price cannot break above the key support zone; any rally into it while trading below would be considered only a corrective bounce.
But as long as 317.77 holds, the primary outlook remains bullish.
Fibonachi
HOOKUSDT → trigger for buy or sellHOOKUSDT currency has the potential to buy or sell and enter this currency due to approaching the proof range (green range) which is its strong support range.
- The middle of the downward channel shown in the 15-minute time frame is important for us because the history of the chart of this currency clarifies this issue for us. From this, we can conclude that the middle channel is a dynamic line for us, and we can open a buy or sell deal on this currency in case of failure.
- The strategy that gives us a trigger in addition to the middle channel is the RSI, where we see a divergence in the current price and, in a way, an entry trigger.
- The targets of this currency are shown with a flag symbol, and the stop loss is also in the green range
Regards SadyCrypt!
BTC/USD - LONG SCENARIOS - ANALYSIS - DThe "BTC/USD" is in a downtrend since Nov – 2021, and it is obvious that we can expect a trend reversal if necessary.
-> The coupling of traditional markets to BTC is very high because of institutional investors (example: S&P500 falls = BTC falls).
-> I will analyze in more detail in today's post at which key areas we can expect resistance at a LONG.
-> For this, we will look at the "BTC/USD" from the daily view and integrate elements of the daily, weekly and monthly charts.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
- 1st part = EXPLANATION - used indicators + levels
- 2nd part = SCENARIOS - Pro + Con breakdown
- 3rd part = CONCLUSION
FIRST PART
1. | FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT |
For this Fibonacci retracement, we take the move,
which started in - Sep/2022 - and ended in - Sep/2022 -.
-> 0.618 FIB = 21,013.91 USD | Pending processing
-> 0.65 FIB = 21,163.44 USD | Pending processing
-> 0.75 FIB = 21,630.75 USD | Pending processing
-> 0.786 FIB = 21,798.97 USD | Pending processing
-> 0.88 FIB = 22,238.24 USD | Pending processing
-> 1.618 FIB = 25,686.93 USD | Pending processing
> As "dotted" lines - drawn in the chart.
2. | FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT |
For this Fibonacci retracement, we take the movement,
which started in - Aug/2022 - and ended in - Sep/2022 -.
-> 0.618 FIB = 22,504.72 USD | Pending processing
-> 0.65 FIB = 22,731.45 USD | Pending processing
-> 0.75 FIB = 23,439.99 USD | Pending processing
-> 0.786 FIB = 23,695.06 USD | Pending processing
-> 0.88 FIB = 24,361.08 USD | Pending processing
-> 1.618 FIB = 29,590.06 USD | Pending processing
> As "dashed" lines - drawn in the chart.
3. | FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT |
For this Fibonacci retracement, we take the movement,
which started in - May/2022 - and ended in - June/2022 -.
-> 0.328 FIB = 22,468.86 USD | Pending processing
-> 0.618 FIB = 26,754.19 USD | Pending processing
-> 0.65 FIB = 27,227.05 USD | Pending processing
-> 0.75 FIB = 28,704.75 USD | Pending processing
-> 0.786 FIB = 29,326.72 USD | Pending processing
-> 0.88 FIB = 30,625.76 USD | Pending processing
> As "solid" lines - drawn in the chart.
4. | DEMAND ZONES
The demand zones formed at the beginning of the upward movement,
thus they were created and in - June-Oct/2020.
-> WEEK ZONE | 1 | = 29,282.36 – 32,399.00 USD | Pending processing
-> DAYS ZONE | 1 | = 21,538.51 – 22,799.00 USD | Pending processing
-> TAGES ZONE | 2 | = 23,671.22 – 25,211.32 USD | Pending processing
-> DAY ZONE | 3 | = 29,944.10 - 32,399.00USD | Pending processing
-> 4 HOURS ZONE | 1 | = 22,182.93- 22,794.61USD | Pending processing
-> 4 HOURS ZONE | 2 | = 23,111,.04- 23,600.00USD | Pending processing
> As "GREY" areas - drawn in the chart.
5. | POINT OF INTEREST |
The points of psychological interest,
were created the first time Nov - 2017 - and showed some reactions since then.
-> POI | 1 | = 22,600 USD | Pending processing
-> POI | 1 | = 28,000 USD | Pending processing
-> POI | 2 | = 30,000 USD | Pending processing
| POI should be used as support in the upcoming situation.
| POI is used as ZONE -> no point exact support.
> As "Orange" line - drawn in the chart.
6. | SIDEWAYS CHANNEL |
The sideways channel formed at the last sell-off, in - May/2022.
-> Range = 22.800,00 USD - 18.626,00 | Pending settlement
SECOND PART
As soon as the price reaches the broken down levels, we can expect a reaction from the market, which depends on the "weighting" of each level.
1. | SCENARIO | TOP - at approx. 23,600-24,400 USD (momentum-dependent)
What would speak for it:
- "BREAK OF THE SIDEWARDS-TREND CHANNEL" + confirmation
- "FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT (1) = completely worked off
- "FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT (2) = 0.786
- "SUPPLY ZONES | D1 (1) + 4H (1+2) = Drop-Base-Rally = WEAK
+ this idea must be supported by the DXY + S&P500!
= DXY falls + S&P500 rises
What is the argument against it:
- "BREAK OF THE SIDE DOWNTREND CHANNEL" + without confirmation.
- "FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT (2) | 0.618+ 0.65 FIB"
- "FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT (3) | 0.328 FIB"
- "POINT OF INTEREST (1)
- "SUPPLY ZONE | D (2) = rally base drop = STRONG
- Entire AREA - marked with "RED ZONE" = very strong resistance - need enough momentum to break it and stay above it.
All levels plotted on this screenshot:
2. | SCENARIO | TOP - at approx. 27,500 – 30,000 USD (momentum dependent)
What would speak for it:
- "FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT (1) + (2) | Worked down to the 1.618s
- "FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT (3) | 0.328s = Pending
- "SUPPLY ZONES | Worked down to the W (1) + D (3) = Outstanding - Liquidity Pools
- Uptrend line serves as resistance
- Test from last market structure break
+ this idea must be supported by the DXY + S&P500!
= DXY falls + S&P500 rises
What is the argument against it:
- All AREAS - marked with "RED ZONE" = are very strong resistances - we need enough momentum to break this and stay above.
All levels drawn in on this screenshot:
CONCLUSION
What the exact scenario for "BTC/USD" will look like is impossible to say at the moment.
The correlation relevant for us to make decisions is as follows:
- DXY (USD) is currently like a kind of indicator of fear in the market, with which it controls the S&P500.
- The S&P500 is currently at a very relevant level (3,600 points), if this breaks sustainably (with confirmation), we will see a strong sell-off in all markets - market crash! (for this please look at my SHORT SCENARIOS version to get the relevant levels).
- If this market crash does not happen, then all markets will go into a "recovery rally". The traditional market will also pull the crypto market up with it.
- If this market crash does occur, then it will also have a significant impact on BTC. (Liquidation cascades of stop loss orders and fear from retail market participants.)
-> The marked levels should all realize a reaction, which are dependent on momentum.
-> Once it is apparent that we have formed the BOTTOM, I will upload a detailed LONG execution.
-> Feel free to discuss it in the comments and share our perspectives, I would be "burning" to hear your take on it all.
If this idea and explanation added any value to you, I would be very happy to see a review of it.
Thank you and happy trading!
Audjpyi think price after a impulse upside , in correction, and correction almost complete.
so price will be ready for another impulse.
tomorrow we have high impact news which I think AUD will be Strong.
So careful with this trade
Like and follow if you agree with me.
tell me what you think about this chart.
have a nice day
ROO UPDATEIt appears we have broken out of this downward channel, if we can test the .66 .618 above us and hold around that area we could get a push up..
I really like the stonk
IMMU take profits or go short, price at 1.6 fibonachi from lows.IMMUprice guped up to a 1.6 fibonacci retracement from recent lowes. It is good time ffor longs to take profits and or short the stock in case you were not long. The price will probably stay within the shown rizing parallel channel from the recent lowes.The gup will probably get partially filled down to the support line shown from recent tops, and filled on the way down as more longs will likely start taking profits as the stock trends towards the inside region of the bollinger band and towards the bottom of the channel. If the price reaches the bottom of the channel prepare to change to long and reenter the market.






















