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LTCUSDT → False breakout of resistance...BINANCE:LTCUSDT is forming a distribution pattern after local consolidation. The price is testing the resistance zone and forming a false breakout, but there is a but. The cryptocurrency market is in correction... Bitcoin looks quite weak at the moment, forming a correction and local consolidation before a possible continuation of the decline to 117-116K. The local pump in LTC may end in an aggressive decline if the price closes below the key resistance level. Manipulation (false breakout) relative to resistance. Against the backdrop of a weak market, LTC is forming a rally, which may be a sign of a local trap before a drop to the break-even or liquidity zone (124.1 - 115.3). Resistance levels: 132.0, 134.2 Support levels: 124.14, 115.36 A false breakout of resistance, while the entire altcoin market is declining, looks like a hunt for liquidity before catching up with the main market. Accordingly, confirmation of a false breakout of the resistance zone could trigger a drop in LTC. Sincerely, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
11
BITCOIN → False breakout of the all-time high zoneBINANCE:BTCUSDT is rising amid the US government shutdown and testing the all-time high zone and resistance at 123.3K - 123.7K. A false breakout has formed and the market is moving into local consolidation. The price is reacting aggressively to the retest of the uptrend support. A rally is forming, and Bitcoin is testing the ATH zone. As part of the distribution (14% rally), the price reaches an important resistance zone, behind which lies a liquidity pool - 123.3K - 124.5K. However, the growth ends with a false breakout and subsequent price consolidation in the sales zone. To break through such a strong zone, the market needs significant consolidation, which is currently lacking, and the news that caused the price to grow so strongly has already partially exhausted its potential. Thus, the market may move into consolidation, correction to accumulate potential, or wait for the next bullish driver. Resistance levels: 123.3K, 123.7K, 124.5K Support levels: 119.2K, 117.8K I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 123.7 - 124.5, but technically, on Friday, the market began a sell-off (profit-taking), forming a sufficiently long shadow on the daily candlestick. In the medium term, I expect a correction to the local break-even and imbalance zone of 119K - 117K before another attempt at growth is made Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
24
USDJPY → Gap and retest of resistance on a neutral trendThe Japanese yen opens with a gap in the Asia-Pacific session and forms a distribution, within which it tests the resistance zone of 149.93 - 150.79. The dollar is rebounding again, provoking a corresponding reaction in the markets. However, based on fundamental data, the decline may continue after the pullback. Gap in USDJPY, distribution and entry into the resistance zone at high speed, there may not be enough potential for continued growth. There is no trend, the price is in a sideways market. A false breakout of 149.93 may trigger a correction towards the lower boundary of the gap. Resistance levels: 149.93, 150.79 Support levels: 148.76, 148.09 If the currency pair is unable to continue growing, then a false breakout of resistance can be considered. A return of the price to the range on D1 may trigger a decline to support. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
9
Trader Tilki’s GOLD-XAUUSD Breakdown: Silent Storm Brewing📊 XAUUSD – GOLD Critical Breakout Analysis Hey Guys, By popular demand, I’ve prepared the latest breakout analysis for XAUUSD-GOLD. Your support means a lot to me, so I’m sharing this breakdown based on your requests. 🔹 Buy Scenario If we get a candle close above 3878.0, the first target will be 3900.0. 🔹 Sell Scenario If price closes below 3850.0, then gold’s target level will be 3816.0. Every single like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses. Thanks to everyone showing support 🙏
TVC:GOLD
by TraderTilki
30
NZDCAD → A false breakthrough will trigger a decline FX:NZDCAD is forming a countertrend correction with the aim of retesting key resistance and the liquidity zone amid a global downtrend. A reaction to the support zone is forming. The price is recovering, but within the global downtrend. The countertrend movement may end in the resistance zone of 0.811 - 0.8125 The global trend is downward, but we are seeing a rebound within the retest of the channel support. There is a fairly large pool of liquidity ahead, which is capable of stopping the price from rising at a high speed. A false breakout of 0.811 - 0.8125 could trigger a decline. Resistance levels: 0.811 - 0.8125 Support levels: 0.8056, 0.8030 A false breakout, consolidation below the specified zone, and a price close below the level could trigger a further decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
GOLD → Liquidation, but there is still a chance for growth...FX:XAUUSD has reached a new all-time high of 3871.6, marking its best month in 14 years (+12% in September). However, against the backdrop of high risks, the market is experiencing profit-taking and a deep correction. What next? The high probability of a shutdown from October 1 is weighing on the dollar. The probability of a Fed rate cut in October is 90%, despite cautious comments from the Fed. New tariffs on timber and furniture (from October 14). Data from China: PMI growth (Manufacturing to 51.2). All this supports the bullish trend in gold. However, the end of the quarter, anticipation of NFP (but in the event of a shutdown, the publication of employment data will be suspended). Technically, as part of the correction, the price is testing the upward support line, and the price reaction to the 3790-3780 zone will give hints about further movement... Support levels: 3791, 3783 Resistance levels: 3831, 3847 A false breakdown and the formation of a reversal pattern relative to the specified support zone could trigger a recovery phase within the bullish trend. However, a quick return to support could trigger an attempt to break through and correct to 3759-3738. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
27
GBPUSD → Will the bulls be able to maintain the bullish trend?FX:GBPUSD slows down in the 1.334 zone amid a sharp decline. The market is testing trend support against the backdrop of a bullish run in the DXY due to confusing data from Powell... The dollar continues its countertrend correction and is approaching resistance as part of the rally. A fall in the DXY will resume the growth of currency pairs. The pound sterling is currently testing trend support and the trading range. The focus is on the 1.334 - 1.337 zone. If the bulls keep the price above this range, it will confirm the false breakdown and may trigger growth within the bullish trend. Powell has confused the market with his statements and further policy. We have been observing the market's reaction over the past few days... Support levels: 1.334, 1.3315 Resistance levels: 1.337, 1.346 I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 1.3315, but a return of the price to the range and consolidation of the price above the 1.334-1.337 zone will confirm the false breakdown and may give buyers hope that this, in turn, could lead to a recovery. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
GBPAUD → False breakdown. Return to bullish trend FX:GBPAUD is forming a false breakdown of support and returning to a bullish trend. The market has seen a breakdown of the local structure, signaling the end of the correction. The pound sterling has consolidated above the consolidation resistance, thereby showing bullish signs, which has a positive effect on the GBPAUD currency pair. False breakdown of the trend and support of global consolidation. The price returned to the range and closed in the long zone. Bulls may provoke continued growth after the formation of local patterns... Resistance levels: 2.0746, 2.103 Support levels: 2.04788, 2.0301 Consolidation of the price above support and a breakout of local consolidation may trigger further growth. The trend is bullish, targets are indicated on the chart. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
GOLD → As prices continue to rise, so do the risks...FX:XAUUSD continues to rise, setting new highs. New ATH 3659. Focus on current consolidation, as the structure remains bullish... Gold hit a new record high, surpassing $3,650, amid a weakening dollar and growing expectations of aggressive Fed policy easing. However, overbought conditions and profit-taking risks may limit further growth. The USD is at 7-week lows due to fears of stagflation and deteriorating employment data. The probability of a rate cut on September 17 is 89.4% (25 bps), with a chance of 50 bps. Markets are expecting more than two cuts in 2024. Risks for gold: “Sell the fact”: If the NFP revision turns out to be weak (as expected), investors may start to take profits. Technically, gold remains bullish, but a near-term correction is likely due to technical factors and a possible reaction to the data. The long-term trend remains bullish thanks to a weak USD and the Fed's dovish policy. Resistance levels: 3657, 3675, 3700 Support levels: 3636, 3628, 3620 Gold is consolidating. At the moment, the fundamental background is stable, and no news is expected today except for those that are impossible to predict (comments, rumors, etc.). Before further growth, gold may test the support area and the liquidity hidden behind it. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
20
GBPUSD → Retest resistance for a breakout. Distribution?FX:GBPUSD is attempting to break through the resistance of the symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern, which is a continuation pattern of the main bullish trend. Against the backdrop of stagnation and weakening of the dollar index, the GBPUSD price has stopped updating local lows, and consolidation in the form of a symmetrical triangle is forming. The strengthening of the GBP led to a breakout of the consolidation resistance, and if the bulls can stay above 1.352, then the market may trigger a rally to the resistance at 1.3588, from which a small correction is expected before continuing to grow to 1.378 thanks to motivated buyers. Resistance levels: 1.3589, 1.3674 Support levels: 1.3524, 1.3446 In the 1.3525 zone, there may be a prolonged struggle for the buying area (above resistance). If the bulls manage to stay above the resistance conglomerate, this will confirm the fact of a resistance breakout and the end of the downward correction, which may trigger a continuation of the global trend and price growth to 1.378. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
9
GOLD → Consolidation and news. What are the chances for growth?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern. Market uncertainty remains high. The global trend is bullish, while the local trend is neutral. What can we expect from gold? Gold is falling ahead of Powell's speech in Jackson Hole. The dollar is strengthening on strong US economic data (housing sales and PMI growth), which reduces the likelihood of an early easing of Fed policy. Key factors: Powell may confirm a cautious approach to rate cuts. The probability of a rate cut in September has fallen to 75%. The rise of the dollar as a “safe haven” is putting pressure on gold Scenarios after the speech: Hawkish tone from Powell → dollar rises → gold falls below $3300. Soft signal → dollar correction → gold recovery Technically , the gold casino continues and it is difficult to determine in advance which way the symmetrical triangle will break, but if we bet on a bullish trend and the likelihood of an imminent interest rate cut, the most likely scenario is a rebound from the support zone followed by a breakout of resistance and a rise to local levels Resistance levels: 3350, 3358, 3370 Support levels: 3323, 3320, 3315 A false breakout of the key support level, which is being defended quite aggressively by the bulls, could trigger an active recovery phase. However, it is important to keep an eye on Powell's speech, as well as Trump's, who will also be commenting this afternoon. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
HYPEUSDT → Correction for consolidation before ATH breakoutBINANCE:HYPEUSDT.P looks quite strong and is just a few cents away from reaching its ATH. The coin needs to build up its potential to reach its target and break through a strong resistance level... The cryptocurrency market feels quite confident. Bitcoin's growth is having a positive effect on altcoins. HYPE almost tested its ATH as part of an upward movement, but encountered pressure. The price did not reach its target (ATH) and entered a correction phase. Most likely, this is an MM maneuver to collect liquidity... As part of the correction, the market may test the consolidation located below. Focus on the support area 0.5F - 45.85 Resistance levels: 49.88 Support levels: 45.85, 44.27 The most likely scenario is a retest of the support and interest zone. A false breakdown and the bulls holding the price above the level, i.e. in the zone of interest, could attract active buying, which in turn could trigger a continuation of the growth within the global bullish trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
GBPAUD → Attempt to break through resistance. Rally?FX:GBPAUD is preparing to accelerate its growth within the global bullish trend. A breakout of the local channel resistance is forming... Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, GBP is taking advantage of the opportunity and entering a phase of active growth. GBPAUD is emerging from local consolidation. The movement is accompanied by bullish momentum and a breakout of the upward channel resistance. Technically, after retesting (forming) the upper channel boundary at point 2, consolidation is forming. There is no decline, which indicates the bullish potential of the market. The breakout of the overall figure's resistance confirms the buyer's intentions... Resistance levels: 2.0698, 2.0756, 2.085 Support levels: 2.06658, 2.06537, 2.0593 If the bulls keep the price above the specified zone after the breakout, then in the short and medium term, the price may continue to rise to the resistance of the trading range... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
SUIUSDT → Resistance breakout and entry into the buying zoneBINANCE:SUIUSDT is breaking out of its trading range and local consolidation upward. Consolidation above the mirror level could trigger a continuation of the rally to 4.4 - 5.0. Bitcoin has been trading in the red since the start of Saturday's session, but is gradually recovering. At this time, the altcoin market is rallying, while the Bitcoin dominance index is updating its decline As for SUI, the coin is in a bullish trend both locally and globally, but ahead lies the 4.45 barrier, which separates the price from a rally to ATH. The coin is breaking through a fairly strong resistance zone at 3.881. (A strong, mirror level, which currently acts as support). Resistance levels: 3.959, 4.167 Support levels: 3.881, 3.715 Since the price has entered the buying zone, there is a possibility of a retest of the mirror level and the liquidity zone that has formed below the specified support. If the bulls hold their defense above 3.88 - 3.9, then in the short and medium term, the price could show good growth... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
11
USDCAD → Short squeeze for further declineFX:USDCAD is forming another short squeeze relative to the global price range ahead of a possible decline within the global downtrend. After breaking through the resistance of the global trading range, USDCAD was unable to continue its upward momentum. The price returned to the range, under strong resistance, and is forming a pre-breakdown base for a possible decline. The trigger in our case is support at 1.3762. The dollar is stagnating, trading below strong resistance. A decline in the dollar could trigger a fall in USDCAD Support levels: 1.376, 1.3695, 1.3629 Resistance levels: 1.3774, 1.3809 The market structure is quite weak, both globally and locally. In addition, against the backdrop of an expected rate cut, the dollar may continue its downward global trend, which may also affect the price of the currency pair, which has formed a false breakout of resistance... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
8
GOLD → Consolidation and correction before growthFX:XAUUSD continues to consolidate after a strong rally. The market is returning to a bullish trend, but a correction is possible before growth continues... Gold is rising amid expectations of Fed policy easing. The market is finding support amid: a 90.5% probability of a Fed rate cut in September, weak US employment data, and dovish comments from Fed officials. The market is waiting for news that could determine further movement. ISM Services PMI data: strong figures could temporarily support the dollar, while weak figures could increase pressure on the USD. Questions about the Fed's independence after Trump fired the head of the BLS. Gold is maintaining its upward momentum, but its dynamics will depend on macro statistics and the Fed's response. Technically, the focus is on the local trading range of 3385 - 3363 - 3353. Resistance levels: 3385.4, 3433 Support levels: 3362, 3353, 3345 A retest of support and holding the price above key support could trigger a continuation of the uptrend, but it is important to pay attention to the fundamental background. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
GOLD → Consolidation after the rally...FX:XAUUSD is not falling back after a strong rally, but is consolidating against resistance at 3362.8. Continued high demand could allow the market to strengthen... The price of gold halted its two-day rally, trading around $3362.8 on Monday morning after weak US employment data. This heightened concerns about the US economy and increased the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in September to 80%. Additional pressure on the dollar came from the dismissal of BLS chief Erika McAntfer, which raised suspicions of statistics manipulation. Market attention is also focused on US-Canada trade talks, which could affect investor sentiment. Gold is consolidating for now, but its further growth will depend on the dynamics of the dollar and macroeconomic data. Resistance levels: 3362.8, 3383, 3433 Support levels: 3345, 3334 As the market has now entered a consolidation phase, MM may form a retest of support before a possible rise in order to accumulate liquidity. However, a breakout of resistance at 3362.8 could trigger further growth. Best regards, Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
USDJPY → False breakdown of upward trend supportFX:USDJPY is testing trend support as part of a correction triggered by news. The dollar has been recovering since the start of the session, giving the pair a chance to rise. As part of a correction against the backdrop of sharp and unexpected Friday NFP data, the currency pair is forming a false breakdown of trend support and testing the 0.7f buy zone. The market is reacting to the retest of support. Momentum is forming. Focus on the local range of 147.6 - 147.9. If the bulls keep the price above this consolidation, the price may continue to rise Resistance levels: 147.95, 149.02 Support levels: 157.55, 147.0 Focus on the trend and the indicated consolidation, which may move into the realization phase. If the bulls take the initiative, the pair will have a chance to rise to 149 - 150.8. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
SP500 → Countertrend correction before growthFX:SPX500 is correcting against an upward trend. In the second half of the week, the market received fairly positive fundamentals during the reporting period. S&P 500 futures found support after strong reports from Meta and Microsoft, which exceeded earnings expectations and forecasts thanks to AI. The rise in futures supported demand for the “Magnificent Seven” despite Powell's hawkish comments. The focus is on Apple and Amazon reports in the evening, which could strengthen the tech rally. On Friday, we are seeing a countertrend correction in which the market is testing the 6288 zone of interest. Support levels: 6288.4, 6262.6 Resistance levels: 6342, 6371 Most likely, the market will form a false breakout of support during the correction. If the bulls keep the index above the key level, we can expect continued growth in the short and medium term. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:SPX500Long
by RLinda
5
GOLD → Retest of resistance within a bearish runFX:XAUUSD breaks through the upward trend support amid a rallying dollar. Since the opening of the session, the price has been testing the zone of interest, but bears are quite aggressive... Gold is partially recovering after falling to $3,268, a monthly low caused by the Fed's hawkish tone. The Central Bank kept its rate at 4.25–4.5% (9 votes to 2), highlighting uncertainty due to Trump's tariffs. Markets now estimate the probability of the rate remaining unchanged in September at 58% (previously 35%). The dollar's rise slowed amid concerns about the extension of the US-China trade truce and profit-taking ahead of key US employment data (after strong ADP and GDP reports). The nearest drivers are labor market statistics and trade news, while the technical picture for gold remains bearish. Technically, on D1, the price is breaking key support zones, including the trend line, which overall only increases selling pressure on the metals market... Resistance levels: 3310, 3320, 3334 Support levels: 3287, 3267, 3255 As part of the correction, the price has exhausted the entire daily ATR, forming a retest of the liquidity and interest zone. If the bears keep the price below 3320-3310, gold may head towards support... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
23
BITCOIN → Correction within a downward channel. 112K or 125K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating. However, a local downward trading range is forming relative to the current setup. What is the probability of a correction continuing to 112K or growth to 125K? Daily structure: a local correctional channel within a global bullish trend. We have cascading resistance at 119.2, 119.6, 120, and 120.8. It will be quite difficult to break through this zone on the first attempt, but MM can use it to form traps and collect liquidity. At the bottom, everything is simpler — a breakdown of the local bullish structure, the formation of an intermediate minimum, below which there is a void down to 112K. Yesterday, relative to 115-116K, mm staged a massacre (trap) on both sides of the market. Liquidity collection, return to the range, and growth. The reaction to the false breakdown of support is quite strong. Since the opening of the session, Bitcoin has been heading towards resistance, but there may not be enough potential to break through the upper resistance conglomerate, so I expect to see a pullback or decline to 116-115-114. Resistance levels: 119.2, 120.1, 120.85 Support levels: 116.37, 115.67, 112 Technically and fundamentally, I do not see any drivers that could support the market (I am talking about Bitcoin, since the driver for altcoins is the decline in Bitcoin's dominance). It is possible that this may appear later. In the current situation, I am considering a false breakout and correction, as the market has not yet finished consolidating or correcting, and the current downward trading range may be extended. PS: As the price moves towards resistance, it is necessary to monitor the reaction. The market itself will show what it is preparing for... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
29
GOLD → False breakdown 3310. Consolidation ahead of news...FX:XAUUSD is forming a false breakdown of support at 3310, thereby confirming the boundaries of the trading range. The dollar is testing strong resistance within the global downtrend. And in the near future, we can expect more economic news... Gold is trading below the key resistance level of $3345, remaining in a narrow range ahead of the Fed's decision and US GDP data for Q2. Weak data could reinforce expectations of a rate cut and support gold, while strong data would strengthen the dollar. The Fed is likely to keep rates at 4.25–4.5%, with markets pricing in a 64% chance of a 25 bps cut in September. Investors are waiting for signals from Jerome Powell, with a possible split within the Fed: some members may support calls for easing, which would be a driver for gold. Technically, the situation on D1 is quite interesting. Gold is still below the previously broken trend resistance, but there is no continuation of the momentum. Buyers are reacting to support at 3310, but the market is stagnating due to uncertainty ahead of the news... Resistance levels: 3345, 3375 Support levels: 3320, 3310, 3287 Thus, from a technical analysis perspective, I expect a retest of 3345, followed by a pullback to support at 3320, from which gold could move higher (if the bulls take the initiative), but if 3320 breaks and 3310 comes under pressure, gold could test 3287. Again, the emphasis is on trend support (the upward line) in the 3335-33450 zone. If the price can consolidate in this zone, we will have confirmation that the price has returned to the boundaries of the upward trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
16