XAUUSD: Buyers Aiming for a Rebound Toward $4,170 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD continues to trade within a corrective structure, forming a broad Triangle Pattern defined by the Triangle Resistance Line above and the Triangle Support Line below. After a strong impulsive rally earlier, gold entered a prolonged consolidation phase, highlighted by a clear Range Zone where price repeatedly tested both the upper and lower boundaries without establishing a directional breakout. Several Breakouts occurred during this period, but each bullish attempt failed to secure continuation, leading to pullbacks that kept the market inside the broader consolidation. This showed clear indecision and a balanced battle between buyers and sellers.
Currently, gold retested the Support Zone around $4,040–$4,060, which coincides with the Triangle Support Line. A fake breakdown occurred below this level, but the market quickly bounced back, confirming strong demand and rejecting the bearish attempt. This rebound signals that buyers are actively defending the structure. Price is now stabilizing above support and showing early signs of bullish pressure. If buyers maintain control, the next logical target becomes the major Resistance Level at $4,170, which has acted as a key cap on previous bullish attempts. As long as XAUUSD stays above the Support Zone and trades within the rising trendline structure, the overall market bias remains moderately bullish.
Scenario & Strategy
I expect gold to gradually move upward from the current support area and retest the $4,170 Resistance Level. Minor corrections may occur along the way, but as long as price holds above $4,040, the bullish scenario remains valid. A clean breakout above $4,170 could trigger a stronger bullish continuation toward the next supply zone.
However, a breakdown below the Support Zone and Triangle Support Line would invalidate the bullish scenario and open the way for deeper correction. For now, buying the dips remains the more favorable approach as long as gold respects demand and stays within the triangle structure.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Forex
EURAUD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
EURAUD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.7884 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.7835
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDCADHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on NZDCAD?
NZD/CAD has been moving in a continuous downward structure and has now reached a key support zone. In this area, we expect a positive reaction from the price. At the moment, the descending trendline is preventing further bullish movement, but we expect that at this stage the price will manage to break above it and reach the projected targets. Therefore, you can wait for the descending trendline to break, and after the breakout, enter on the pullback.
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EURJPY A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
EURJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 181.10 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 180.59
Recommended Stop Loss - 181.39
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Very useful techniques to learnI have recently posted several posts around mechanical and simple charts. This is another insight into some professional techniques that are not often shown.
Gann talked about High and low candles and opposing ticks.
Lowest Tick of the Highest Bar: This refers to the lowest price point (or low tick) of the highest price bar (or highest price period) on the chart. It indicates a crucial support level. If the price falls below this point, it may signal a downward trend or a breakdown.
Highest Tick of the Lowest Bar: Conversely, this refers to the highest price point (or high tick) of the lowest price bar (or lowest price period). This represents a key resistance level. If the price rises above this level, it may indicate an upward trend or a breakout.
Here's an image showing this in an uptrend.
And another for a downtrend.
Then what you would expect from this, would be a move similar to this and of course you can't expect it every time. But to appreciate it, you need to understand the logic as to why this is important in the first instance.
The simple explanation of that is in an uptrend that lowest tick of the highest bar was in fact the exact area buyers failed and sellers took control. Obviously, the inverse is true of a downtrend. The highest point of the lowest candle, means buyers are back pushing prices higher.
Into the future you MIGHT but not always see these levels as support or resistance.
When you overlap this with the mechanical techniques, you can use this for range entries. Here's a post on mechanical techniques.
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Second tip is to do with volume.
Many people seem to have volume on their chart, but don't really know how to utilise it.
Now, imagine the areas I mentioned in the first tip. As price nears these zones (other other zones) order blocks, supply or demand, fib levels.
If you could quickly identify what story volume is trying to tell you. Then there is a huge benefit to know how you need to react to the price action.
In this image; Look at the spikes in volume until the orange arrow point.
What you can see from this next image, is the orange arrow is the turning point.
For it's next stop after breaking through the PoC of the range from the prior low to its high. You can draw a line, extended from the highest tick of the lowest candle.
Price comes back, and as explained in the example above. Buyers step back in and drive the price directly away from this level.
Now; let's go one step further.
In this image I have the volume profile on the left representing the swing low to high and then the profile on the right from that high to the fresh swing low.
You can see from the sell side pressure where price has interest to both parties.
Next you have both lines drawn on the chart of the opposing candles, like this.
Here. we can look at if the market is seeking outside or inside liquidity.
However, if you look back at the volume on the bottom of the chart. Are we seeing green candles and volume increasing? or red candles with volume increasing? This is where the second tip becomes very, very useful.
If you can identify the phase of internal or external, areas of interest. You can confirm this with volume clues on the chart and you will find yourself on the right side of the trade more often than not.
Have a great week all!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
FractalCycles at Work: Analysis of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)This chart highlights the dominant 62-period cycle currently steering short-term swings in the U.S. Dollar Index. Price has been respecting the rhythm of this cycle, with recent highs and lows forming close to the projected turning points.
At the moment, DXY is trading near a potential cycle peak, and with the next downward phase approaching, the probability of a short-term pullback increases. Momentum indicators are also softening, offering further confirmation of cycle pressure beginning to turn.
Takeaway:
The 62-period cycle continues to provide reliable structure for timing DXY’s shorter-term movements. If the pattern persists, traders should be prepared for a potential downswing as the next cycle trough unfolds.
EURUSD Buyers Defend Support — Targets 1.1600 Resistance RetestHello traders! Let’s break down the current EURUSD structure. EURUSD is trading within a broad ascending structure, finding strong support at the Buyer Zone (1.1500–1.1510), which aligns with both the Support Level and the lower boundary of the rising channel. This area has acted as a key reaction point multiple times, confirming the presence of strong buyers and forming the base for several upward impulses. Earlier, the pair broke out of the descending triangle structure, retesting the former Seller Zone before continuing lower. After reaching the channel support, EURUSD formed a local bottom and started to grow, respecting the trendline and creating higher lows. A fake breakout occurred near the mid-channel resistance, where buyers quickly returned, signaling continued demand. Currently, EURUSD is approaching the Resistance Level at 1.1600, which also serves as the first major take-profit area (TP1). This zone has previously caused corrective moves and remains the main barrier for buyers. If the pair maintains momentum and stays above the Buyer Zone, I expect a bullish push toward TP1 → 1.1600, where sellers may again attempt to hold resistance. A confirmed breakout above 1.1600 would unlock a path toward higher levels within the ascending structure. However, if EURUSD breaks below 1.1500 and fails to hold the Buyer Zone, the bullish scenario becomes invalid. In that case, the price may revisit deeper support levels and potentially exit the rising channel. For now, the structure remains moderately bullish, with buyers dominating as long as the pair trades above demand and respects the ascending support line. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀
DXY at a KEY “Decision Point” on the Supply ZoneAfter an extended bullish duration, the DXY is now challenging a technically critical “Supply Zone” (100.150 – 100.600). Further away from key levels, both pump and dump up and down, momentum oscillators on all time frames give us mixed signals of exhaustion from buyers and that we are near to making a big decision in the direction of our market.
A comprehensive technical look that includes the broader structures and multi-month macroeconomic supply-demand analysis.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
Critical Resistance (Purple Zone): We are currently sitting right inside that 100.150 – 100.600 corridor. This is a level we know well—it’s packed with strong selling pressure and smart money order blocks. Think of this zone as a huge mental hurdle for the bulls; trying to go "Long" here without seeing a clean, high-volume breakout is just asking for trouble with a bad risk/reward setup.
Trend Structure: That ascending yellow trendline connecting the lows since September has been holding the price up so far. But look closer—the space between the price and this trend support is squeezing tight (Compression). This usually tells us one thing: volatility is kicking in and a big move is brewing.
Negative Divergence (RSI) : Here’s the warning sign. While the daily chart is trying to make new highs or just hanging on at resistance, the RSI is losing steam and making lower highs. This "Bearish Divergence" is a classic signal that the trend is running on fumes.
Momentum (MACD) : The MACD histogram is fading out, which confirms the bulls are getting tired. It hints that profit-taking—and the sellers taking over—is likely just around the corner.
MACROECONOMIC AND FUNDAMENTAL DYNAMICS
Fed Expectations : The market is scrambling to rethink the Fed's rate path for 2025. We are watching the data like hawks right now; even a small sign of cooling in jobs or PMI data could spark a rejection from this resistance and send the DXY correcting downwards.
Bond Yields : Any pullback in the US 10-Year Treasury Yields (US10Y) is going to add fuel to the fire for sellers on the Dollar Index.
Liquidity Hunt: Watch out for the "fakeout." Market makers might try to push the price just above that 100.600 level to grab liquidity and hunt the stops of early shorters before slamming it back down. Keep your eyes peeled on the Price Action here.
STRATEGY AND OUTLOOK
Since we are banging our heads against resistance, opening new long positions here just isn't juicy enough risk-wise.
Bearish Scenario: If we see a hard crash with volume breaking that ascending yellow trendline, that seals the deal for a reversal. If that happens, we’re looking at intermediate supports first, with the main target being that 96.50 level down low.
Bullish Scenario : Unless we get a solid daily candle close above 100.800, any rallies should be looked at as opportunities to sell. If the price stays above that level, then this idea is dead in the water.
Conclusion: It’s a "sit on your hands" moment. Waiting for that trend support to break is the safest confirmation we can get before jumping in.
Disclaimer : Just sharing my personal notes and educational analysis here, not financial advice.
EURUSD Pullback Into 15min Orderblock Before Targeting LiquidityQuick Summary
EURUSD is expected to pull back into the 1.15191 15 Min orderblock, where a bullish reaction may form. If confirmed with a candle close and rejection signal, price may reverse upward toward the 1.15528 liquidity target on the H1 timeframe.
Full Analysis
Continuing the previous EURUSD outlook on the H4 timeframe, the pair is now approaching a notable orderblock around 1.15191. This zone has structural significance, as it aligns with the recent corrective leg and represents an area where institutional buying may reappear.
From a market-structure perspective, the movement toward this level appears corrective, suggesting that sellers may only be gathering liquidity before the next impulsive move higher. The market has a clear pool of targeted liquidity at 1.15528 on the H1 timeframe, making it a logical upside target if bullish orderflow resumes.
The preferred entry approach is a reaction from the 1.15191 orderblock, but only if the market provides proper confirmation. This includes a clear 15-minute candle close inside the zone, combined with a strong rejection signal, indicating that buyers are defending the level and absorbing sell-side liquidity.
If these confirmations align, the setup offers a clean continuation opportunity toward 1.15528, where liquidity rests above previous highs.
XAUUSD: Stuck Above 4,000, Just Waiting for the Next DropThe current context shows gold being “squeezed” between two forces : on one side, improving risk appetite as markets expect the Fed to cut rates; on the other, ongoing geopolitical and global financial concerns . As a result, price is holding above 4,000 but finding it hard to break higher.
On the H1 chart, XAUUSD is moving sideways with a slight downside tilt, spending most of the time inside or below the Ichimoku cloud . The latest bounce only reached the 4,100 area before being sold off again, showing that the cloud and the top of the channel are still acting as a lid on the downtrend. In the middle of the range, price is hovering around the temporary support at 4,050 – which is also the level highlighted on the chart as a potential breakdown point.
Trading idea: if price fails to hold 4,100 and we get a clear H1 close confirming weakness, the intraday bearish trend could resume and drag gold back toward the 4,050 zone.
Good luck and trade safe!
NZDCHF: Bearish Wave is Coming 🇳🇿🇨🇭
Quick update for NZDCHF.
As the trend remains globally bearish,
I still believe that the pair will drop soon.
With a high probability, the price will reach 0.448 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BITCOIN Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 86,941.46.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 74,805.18 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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USDJPY Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 156.909.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 155.044 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPCAD: Bearish Forecast & Outlook
Looking at the chart of GBPCAD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURAUD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for EURAUD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.785.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.777 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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CADJPY Will Go Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 111.244.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 112.283 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EURUSD: Short Signal Explained
EURUSD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURUSD
Entry - 1.1530
Stop - 1.1537
Take - 1.1520
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURCAD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the EURCAD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.6259
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.6220
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 4066.7
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 4082.3
My Stop Loss - 4057.6
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPAUD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GBPAUD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2.0297
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2.0205
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK






















