Gold Slides Sharply as Markets React to Fed Signals and AI RallyHello everyone, looking at XAU/USD on the 4H timeframe today, I can clearly feel that gold has just gone through a very “textbook” correction after major news. From the 4,130 USD peak, price dropped quickly to 4,079 USD, losing more than 50 USD in a single session. At the moment, gold is trading around 4,090 USD, sitting below the Ichimoku cloud and having just filled part of the FVG around 4,100 — showing that sellers are still in control.
Technically, gold failed to break through the 4,130–4,150 USD resistance cluster. Last night’s sharp drop broke below the short-term support at 4,100, triggering a wave of profit-taking from earlier long positions. Now, the area at 4,070–4,050 USD is the nearest support and the level gold must defend to avoid a deeper decline towards 4,020–4,000 USD. Conversely, to return to an upward move, gold needs to reclaim 4,110 decisively — otherwise any rebound will likely be temporary.
Fundamentally, the market was moved just as much by news as by technicals. The FOMC minutes showed the Fed is still divided: one side worried about weakening labour data, the other insisting inflation hasn’t behaved consistently. This dampened expectations for an early rate cut, strengthening the USD, pushing DXY above 104 — and immediately weighing on gold. At the same time, Nvidia’s blowout earnings sent US equities sharply higher as money rotated into AI stocks, reducing gold’s appeal during a “risk-on” wave.
In this context, I see this as a healthy correction within a broader uptrend — not a reversal. Based on the way price is reacting, gold will likely retest 4,070–4,050 USD before attempting a rebound. If buyers return at that zone, price may recover toward 4,110–4,130 USD, especially if the USD pauses. If 4,050 breaks, gold may drop deeper to 4,020–4,000 USD to attract liquidity.
Forex
EUR/USD Faces Key Support Before Potential ReboundHello everyone , looking at EUR/USD on the 4H chart, the pair is undergoing a sharp correction after falling from 1.1650 to 1.1515 over recent sessions. The price is currently below the Ichimoku cloud, and the 1.1515 zone acts as a critical “floor,” where the market will decide whether sellers remain dominant or buyers step in for a technical rebound.
Technically, after reaching 1.1650, selling pressure increased, pushing the price through several minor support levels and forming green FVGs, reflecting buyers’ accumulation. The 1.1515–1.1500 zone is now the equilibrium point; if defended, the pair could rebound toward 1.1600–1.1650. Conversely, a breach may extend the decline to 1.1450 or even 1.1400.
News catalysts are driving the move. The recent Fed minutes reveal disagreement: some officials worry about a weakening labor market, others warn inflation remains sticky. This divergence strengthened the USD, pushing DXY above 104, while US equities recovered on Nvidia’s strong report, drawing risk-on flows and reducing EUR appeal. Meanwhile, Europe’s economic outlook remains muted with slow inflation decline and a less flexible ECB.
From my perspective, EUR/USD is likely to test 1.1515–1.1500 in the short term. A clear buying reaction here (pin bars, rising volume) could push it toward 1.1600–1.1650 to fill uncompleted FVGs. If support fails, the decline may extend to 1.1450–1.1400 before the market rebalances.
Overall, this is a breathing period after strong volatility. EUR/USD cannot sustainably recover until buying strength at key support zones is confirmed. Monitor the 1.1515 area for trend-following entries or a technical rebound.
GBPUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce In PlayMomentum: Bullish
The price has bounced off the buy entry, which is a pullback support.
Buy entry: 1.3063
Pullback support
Stop loss: 1.3043
Pullback support
Take profit: 1.3116
Strong overlap resistance
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EURUSD M30 | Bullish Bounce OffMomentum: Bearish
The price has bounced off the buy entry, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Buy entry: 1.1527
Pullback support
50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 1.1510
Pullback support
Take profit: 1.1564
Pullback resistance
Slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
AUD/JPY: Exhaustion at The High?AUD/JPY briefly traded at a 16-month high on Thursday before reversing lower. At current levels it’s on track to form a spinning-top doji on the weekly chart, and it has already printed a shooting-star candle on the daily at the November high and monthly S1 pivot.
Given the multi-week bearish RSI divergence and false breakout at the highs, the bias is for some mean reversion towards at least the 20-day EMA. The 100 handle and 50-day EMA near the January high also make viable downside targets for bears, should the yen enjoy a bout of risk-on strength.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
The Gold Bullish Setup You Can't Afford to Miss!OANDA:XAUUSD The price is currently showing clear signs that it’s approaching a significant support zone, an area where the market has previously reacted positively. This zone is also near the psychological threshold of $4,000, a level that generally attracts considerable attention in the market.
The momentum from this zone suggests that buyers could step in and push the price higher. A positive confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, a bullish engulfing candle, or a long lower shadow, would increase the likelihood of a rebound from this level. If my prediction is
correct and buyers regain control, the price could reach $4,070.
However, a break below this support level would invalidate the bullish outlook and could lead to a deeper price decline.
This is not financial advice!
Bullish momentum to extend?GBP/CHF is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.0486
1st Support: 1.0426
1st Resistance: 1.0625
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Potential bearish drop?EUR/GBP is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 0.8826
1st Support: 0.8762
1st Resistance: 0.8859
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?EUR/CAD is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.62239
1st Support: 1.61817
1st Resistance: 1.62991
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?AUD/JPY has bounced off the pivot, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 101.30
1st Support: 100.85
1st Resistance: 102.22
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Bearish drop off?AUD/CHF is rising towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.52231
1st Support: 0.51502
1st Resistance: 0.52684
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Bullish bounce off key support?AUD/NZD has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.15287
1st Support: 1.15006
1st Resistance: 1.15909
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Bearish drop off key resistance?NZD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 88.17
1st Support: 87.55
1st Resistance: 88.48
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Bullish bounce off?USD/ZAR has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 17.16849
1st Support: 17.07313
1st Resistance: 17.35540
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
GBP-AUD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBPAUD tapped the horizontal supply and rejected after collecting buy-side liquidity. Bearish displacement signals downside continuation, with price expected to move toward the sell-side liquidity at the TP zone.
--------------------
Stop Loss: 2.0340
Take Profit: 2.0227
Entry: 2.0298
Time Frame: 2H
--------------------
Buy!
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EURUSD PULBACK AHEAD|SHORT|
✅EURUSD rejected the 4H supply after taking buy-side liquidity, showing strong bearish displacement. With order flow shifting lower, price is expected to target the sell-side liquidity resting at the marked zone. Time Frame 4H.
LONG🚀
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NZDCAD BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅NZDCAD NZDCAD rejected the 2H supply after collecting buy-side liquidity, forming strong bearish displacement. With order flow shifting lower, price is expected to drive toward the sell-side liquidity at the marked target zone. Time Frame: 2H
SHORT🔥
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AUD-NZD Strong Rejection! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUDNZD tapped the horizontal demand area after a sharp displacement, sweeping downside liquidity. Price may now retrace toward the target zone as the mitigation block supports a corrective move. Time Frame 2H.
Buy!
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Gold price analysis November 20Gold continues to show a solid reaction at the main trendline, indicating that the bullish structure is still maintained by organized buying. The market's continued respect for this support line is an important signal, keeping the possibility of extending the trend to the 4200 zone high.
However, it is important to note: a H4 candle closing below the trendline will be the first sign confirming the weakening of the bullish momentum. At that time, the balance of forces will tilt towards the sellers and the price may correct deeply to the 3936 zone - the confluence of the next strong support.
Recommended strategy:
Activate BUY when the market shows a price rejection signal at 4041.
Profit target: 4200.
Risk management: H4 closes below 4041 → switch to SELL strategy, aiming at 3936.
SPX 500: Bullish Rebound to 6760?FX:SPX500 is priming for a bullish rebound on the 4-hour chart , where price has pulled back to a critical support zone following a sharp decline, forming a potential bounce setup amid a broader uptrend—highlighted by the rebound pattern near key levels that could ignite buying if buyers defend against further downside. This confluence at the support offers a high-reward long opportunity in the index's volatile range.
Entry zone between 6530-6550 for a buy position. Target at 6760 🎯near the resistance zone, delivering a risk-reward ratio greater than 1:4 .Set a stop loss on a close below 6500 📊 to manage risk effectively. Watch for confirmation via a strong bullish candle with rising volume above the entry, capitalizing on the index's resilience despite recent pressures🌟.
Fundamentally , the S&P 500 closed at around 6646.7 on November 19, 2025, down over 2% in November amid economic concerns and high valuations, particularly in AI stocks, with the index dipping below its 50-day moving average for the first time since April—yet historical patterns suggest a median 15% upside to 7710 over the next year if it follows median rebounds. Earnings growth remains robust at 16.9% YoY, beating estimates, supporting potential recovery despite tariff worries. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry Zone (Buy): 6530 – 6550
🎯 Target:
• TP: 6760 (major resistance)
❌ Stop Loss: Close below 6500
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: Greater than 1:4
What's your outlook on this rebound? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
GBP/CHF: Bearish Slide to 1.04?FX:GBPCHF is signaling a bearish slide on the 4-hour chart , with price adhering to a downward trendline since April 2025, forming lower highs and approaching a good entry point near cumulative sell liquidation levels—indicating potential for further downside if sellers break through toward support zones.
Entry zone between 1.056-1.0585 for a short position. Targets at 1.0447 (first) and 1.04 (second) 🎯. Set a stop loss on a close above 1.065 to manage risk effectively📊. Look for confirmation with a bearish close below entry and increasing volume, amid GBP weakness against the safe-haven CHF. 🌟
Fundamentally , on Friday, November 21, 2025, we have the UK Retail Sales report, which could pressure GBP if weaker than expected (forecasted at -0.3% MoM after September's 0.5% rise). Additionally, the SNB Chairman Schlegel's speech on Friday at 12:40 GMT may introduce volatility to CHF, potentially strengthening it if hawkish tones emerge. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry Zone (Short): 1.0560 – 1.0585
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: 1.0447
• TP2: 1.0400
❌ Stop Loss: Close above 1.0650
What's your view on this setup? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
XAUUSD:LIVE TRADEHello friends
Well, we had a decline that we found support for with Fibonacci, and you can see that there was good support from buyers at this point.
We also have a head and shoulders pattern, which is again a positive.
The downtrend line has also been broken, which is also a positive point.
Now, given the arrival of buyers, we can enter the trade and move with it to the specified targets.
Note that the first principle of trading is capital and risk management, so be sure to follow it and avoid emotional behavior.
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