USDJPY bullish setupHarmonic ABCD pattern 4 hour
Trend reversal with RSI div at 1 4 hour
RRR > 1:3
Risk 1-5%
Forexanalysis
EURUSD Bearish Setup Triggered — TRZ + PRZ Confluence AheadToday, I want to share a short setup for EURUSD( FX:EURUSD ) and explain why this could be a great opportunity, so stay tuned!
Right now, EURUSD has entered a heavy resistance zone($1.192-$1.166), Time Reversal Zone(TRZ), and is approaching a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) .
The EURUSD also seems to be near the upper lines of two ascending channels, making a breakout less likely in the immediate term.
Additionally, a negative Regular Divergence(RD-) can be observed between the two peaks on the 4-hour chart, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
EURUSD reacted bearishly after the latest U.S. Unemployment Claims came in much stronger than expected (191K vs. 219K forecast). The data signals a resilient labor market, reducing expectations for near-term Fed rate cuts and giving the U.S. dollar fresh momentum as long as yields remain supported, with rallies facing selling interest unless the broader macro tone shifts in favor of risk assets.
Given these factors, I anticipate that EURUSD, after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel(small), could drop at least to $1.15940.
First Target: $1.1594
Stop Loss(SL): $1.172
Points may shift as the market evolves
What do you think about EURUSD? Will it break through the heavy resistance and the PRZ, or not?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 Euro/U.S Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
USD/CHF – Watching for liquidity sweep into origin demandPrice is trading inside a clean descending channel.
Below current price sits untouched inducement — a liquidity pool that lines up perfectly with the origin demand zone where the previous impulsive rally started.
If price sweeps that inducement and taps the demand zone, I’ll look for confirmation (MSS + FVG/OB) for a potential move back toward the channel midline or upper boundary.
Bias: Bullish upon sweep + tap
Invalidation: Clean break below demand
Confluence: Channel low + origin demand + resting liquidity
Not financial advice.
Silver Forming Major Top Near Supply Downside Retracement LikelyThe chart shows Silver reaching a major Strong Supply Zone near the 58–60 level, where price has reacted multiple times in the past. After a strong impulsive rally driven by Buyer Control, the market broke above the previous Buyer Zone, confirming bullish strength. However, once price entered the upper supply region, momentum started to fade, forming a clear Rounded Top Pattern — a classic distribution structure indicating exhaustion of buyers.
Following the breakout retest, buyers failed to continue upward, and sellers stepped in aggressively from the supply zone. The chart now shows a shift from buyer dominance to seller pressure, with price beginning to curve downward inside the rounded top. This shape reflects decreasing highs, weakening demand, and early reversal signals.
The projected move suggests that once the neckline of the rounded top breaks with strong bearish candle confirmation, price is likely to fall toward the first Target Zone around 54, which aligns with the Seller Zone and previous breakout structure. If bearish continuation remains strong, the next logical target lies in the Demand Zone Area between 48–49, where liquidity is expected to support a potential reversal or consolidation.
Overall, this chart indicates a high-probability corrective phase, with sellers preparing to reclaim control as the market rejects the supply zone and transitions into a deeper pullback phase. Buyers must show strong defense at the mid-support; otherwise, Silver could decline further toward the lower demand region.
EUR/GBP 2HR: Anticipating a Reversal from Fresh B-R Supply Zone📉 EUR/GBP 2H: Anticipating a Reversal from Fresh B-R Supply Zone
📝 Overview & Market Context
The EUR/GBP chart is currently illustrating a strong bullish trend on this intermediate timeframe, characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows. The price has been rising and is now approaching a significant historical level of supply that previously acted as a strong turning point.
The core idea is to identify the origin of the last major bearish drop and wait for the price to retrace into that unmitigated zone for a high-probability short entry, aligning with the concept that supply areas often contain large, pending sell orders from institutional players.
🔑 Key Technical Zones
The analysis highlights three critical price zones based on Supply and Demand principles:
1. B-R Supply (Break-Rally Supply) 🔴
Zone: The large red box spanning approximately 0.87500 to 0.87800.
Significance: This zone represents a fresh, unmitigated supply area—the origin of a prior decisive price drop. The pattern appears to be a Rally-Base-Drop (RBD) or a Break-Rally formation, where buyers absorbed price into a base before sellers took over, causing an aggressive move down.
Trading Thesis: This is the high-probability entry zone for a short position, as institutional sell orders are expected to still reside here. The psychological level of 0.87500 also provides a confluence point for resistance.
2. Demand Entry Origin (D-R-D) 🟢
Zone: The green box around 0.87100 to 0.87200.
Significance: This area acted as a Demand Zone (likely a Drop-Base-Rally or D-R-D base) that launched the current rally. This confirms that the buyers driving the current move are active, but it also provides a potential first Take Profit (T/P) target for the anticipated short trade. A break below this would likely confirm a major bearish reversal.
3. Confirmation/Invalidation Level 🔵
The level marked just below the B-R Supply Zone acts as a confirmation level. A decisive break and close above the entire red supply zone would invalidate the bearish trade setup, indicating that buyers have overwhelmed the institutional supply at this level.
📊 Trade Plan: Shorting the Retracement
Trade Direction: Short (Sell)
Entry Strategy: Wait for price to enter the B-R Supply Zone (0.87500 - 0.87800). Entry should be confirmed by a price action rejection signal, such as an engulfing candle or a pin bar, on a lower timeframe (e.g., 15M or 30M) to minimize risk.
Stop Loss (S/L): Place the Stop Loss just above the distal (furthest) boundary of the B-R Supply Zone (e.g., above 0.87850) to protect against a complete structural break higher.
Take Profit (T/P) 1: The Demand Entry Origin (D-R-D) at 0.87150, offering a quick risk/reward opportunity.
Take Profit (T/P) 2: A lower structural low, targeting areas around 0.86800 if the move proves to be a full trend reversal.
🌐 Fundamental Note
The EUR/GBP pair is primarily influenced by the monetary policies of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE), alongside UK-EU economic ties. Divergence in interest rate expectations or unexpected economic data releases (like UK GDP or Eurozone Industrial Production) could accelerate or invalidate this purely technical setup.
This technical analysis provides a framework for entry; however, confirmation from price action and awareness of fundamental releases are crucial for risk management.
To understand how to correctly identify and use Supply and Demand zones for higher probability trades, you may want to watch this video on How to Master and Trade Supply and Demand.
EURUSD SMC ICT ANALYSISMarket mostly move from external range liquidity to internal range liquidity.
now in eurusd , market has already taken buy side trendline liquidity & form strong bearish reaction which mean we can expect selling move.
4hr bullish ob is unmitigate , which increase the chance of selling.
Currently smc market structure is bearish , which signal selling looks valid.
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold is once again moving toward its previous all-time high after completing a corrective move.
While the medium-term and long-term outlook remains bullish, we do not expect gold to break into new highs in the short term.
The current upward movement appears to be a corrective rally, and we anticipate a bearish reaction from the marked resistance zones.
Gold is currently moving within a channel, and the maximum upside expectation in this phase is a move toward the channel top, which also aligns with the previous all-time high resistance zone.
From this confluence area, we expect the rally to stall and a pullback toward lower support levels to begin.
If gold breaks above the channel top and prints a new all-time high, this analysis becomes invalid, signaling stronger bullish momentum than anticipated.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
AUD/USD: Strong Support Fuels Bullish MomentumCurrently, AUD/USD is testing the strong support at 0.6465, with the price sitting at 0.64990. After touching this support level, the market could rebound strongly due to the solid consolidation trend and support from lower levels.
Technical Analysis:
The chart shows that AUD/USD is in a consolidation pattern, with strong support at 0.6465. If the price maintains above this support, AUD/USD could continue its bullish momentum, aiming for the next resistance level at 0.6540.
News Factor:
The weaker-than-expected CPI (Consumer Price Index) data in the U.S. has increased the likelihood that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in December. This provides favorable conditions for risk assets like AUD/USD. The Australian Dollar benefits from the weakening USD as investors expect the Fed to reduce rates, boosting demand for the Australian Dollar.
Next Scenario:
If AUD/USD stays above the 0.6490 support level and does not drop below 0.6465, there is a high probability of breaking the 0.6540 resistance level and continuing upward.
EUR/USD – H1 Wedge Breakout |Bullish Momentum Targeting 1.1600📌 Setup Overview FX:EURUSD
EUR/USD has broken out of a falling wedge on H1, signalling a potential bullish trend reversal.
Price has reclaimed the Ichimoku cloud — now acting as support, showing fresh buyer strength.
• Pattern: Wedge Breakout Pattern
• Timeframe: H1 Chart
• Bias: Bullish
• Reason for setup: Breakout & Retested
🎯 Trading Plan
• Entry idea: Retest of breakout zone for confirmation before continuation
• TP1: 1.15886 (1st Resistance)
• TP2: 1.16148 (2nd Resistance / liquidity sweep zone)
🧠 Fundamental Drivers
1️⃣ 80% probability the Federal Reserve cuts rates in December → weaker USD supports bullish EUR/USD
2️⃣ Upcoming high-impact data to watch:
• EUR – German GDP
• USD – Core PPI
• USD – Retail Sales
Fundamentals currently favour bullish EUR side, with USD losing momentum.
#EURUSD #forex #forexanalysis #priceaction #chartanalysis #technicalanalysis #fundamentalanalysis #tradingview #supportandresistance #smartmoney #breakout #wedgebreakout #ichimokucloud #marketstructure
📌 What to expect
Break/retest continuation structure suggests 1.1588 is the first magnet.
If momentum remains strong, price could extend to 1.1614 liquidity zone.
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⚠ Disclaimer:
Trade for education/study only. Manage risk according to your own system.
Gold Reaches Exhaustion Zone — Sell Momentum LoadingGold Reaches Exhaustion Zone — Sell Momentum Loading
Gold is showing signs of upside exhaustion, with price repeatedly failing to gain momentum as it approaches the mid-range premium zone near the 4,245 area. The recent structure reflects a market transitioning from short-term recovery into renewed weakness, with each bullish attempt losing strength faster than the previous one.
Order flow remains dominated by distribution behaviour, and the chart signals a potential liquidity sweep followed by a bearish continuation. The projected rejection zone suggests that buyers are running into an area of heavy supply, where institutional activity has previously triggered aggressive downside extensions. Volume distribution across the range also highlights diminishing demand at higher prices, reinforcing the likelihood of a downward rotation.
As the market continues to respect its broader range ceiling, the probability increases for price to revisit deeper value regions. With momentum fading and the current leg showing hesitation, gold is positioned for a potential sell-side move toward lower mean-reversion levels.
USDCAD is set to go 700 pip up!💹 Trade Setup USD/CAD
USD/CAD has formed a bullish channel with recent formation of inverted head and shoulder on the support level of the rising channel.
Weekly price action is has shown strong rejection from the support level with multiple liquidity grab.
with weaker CPI 2.9% where the forecast is 3.1% on CAD as well as continued bearish trend in Crude Oil ( as CAD is highly influence to WTI price ) putting CAD under pressure, While strong NFP data Non-Farm Employment Change 119k while forecast 53k boosting DXY making USD /CAD one of the strongest USD currency pairs to trade on
📈Trading Idea :
Look for bullish setup after false breakout of daily support at 1.4080 and rejection above
✈️Targets
1st Resistance 1.4543
2nd Resistance: 1.4799
🔴Stop level
at or below 1.3971 as this is the lower shadow of the inverted head and shoulder.
Follow for more ideas and update on this pair and other pairs !
CADJPY – Update & ExecutionYesterday, our CADJPY position was stopped out at 111.65. The trend-changing pattern between Wave 3 and Wave 4 remains valid.
The wave that broke the Wave 3 structure extended beyond expectations, and price has now confirmed a breakdown with a second lower low on the M5 timeframe.
We have re-entered short at 111.94, with a stop loss at the high of the day (112.28).
Our target remains 110.92.
USDCAD: Mild Bullish ForecastUSDCAD is currently in a mild uptrend, driven by the strengthening of the USD and the weakening of the CAD. The pair continues to hold above a strong support trendline and is testing the resistance area at 1.40600. News about Canada’s inflation in October showed a slight decrease, weakening the CAD and providing an opportunity for the USD to continue its strength.
On the 4H chart, we can see USDCAD trading within an accumulation zone between 1.40000 and 1.40600. Although some small pullbacks may occur, the overall trend remains mildly bullish. If the price maintains above the support at 1.40000, it is likely to continue its uptrend toward 1.40600.
Forecast:
With the supporting technical factors and fundamental news, USDCAD may continue to rise in the short term, with the next target being 1.40600. Traders may look for buy signals when the price pulls back to 1.40000 to enter the trend.
EURCHF SHORT SETUP ( 20 NOV 2025 )If you have doubt on our trades you can test in demo.
OANDA:EURCHF SHORT SETUP
📊 EP: 0.92895
💵 TP: 0.92804
❌ SL: 0.92942
Trade Ideas:
Idea is clearly shown on chart + we have some secret psychologies and tools behind this.
Trade Signal:
I provide trade signals here so follow my account and you can check my previous analysis. So don't miss trade opportunity so follow must.
CADJPY: Ending Diagonal + RD(_) = Downtrend StartingToday, I’d like to share a Short positioning opportunity on the CADJPY pair .
In the current scenario, CADJPY is moving within a Resistance zone(112.100 JPY-109.500 JPY) and is close to a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) as well as the upper line of the ascending channel.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that CADJPY is completing the microwave 5 of the microwave C of the main wave Y , and the microwave 5 appears to be forming an Ending Diagonal .
Additionally, we can observe a negative Regular Divergence (RD-) between the peaks.
Fundamental analysis : Considering the above analysis, and also taking into account the fundamental conditions, Canada’s core inflation came in softer than expected, reinforcing the BoC’s easing path, while JPY benefits from the current risk-off tone. Fundamentally, CADJPY remains biased to the downside.
Finally, based on all the above, I expect that CADJPY will begin its downward trend, with a First target at 109.103 JPY
Take Profit(2): 108.543 JPY
Stop Loss(SL): 118.820 JPY(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Canadian Dollar/ Japanese Yen Analysis (CADJPY), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Warning: AUD/USD Sinking – Any Reversal Ahead?Hello everyone, today we’ll analyze the AUD/USD pair in the context of its clear downtrend.
In terms of news, the USD is strengthening due to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates high, putting pressure on the AUD. Additionally, the lack of supportive data from Australia recently has made investors concerned about the economic outlook of the country.
From a technical perspective, the chart shows that AUD/USD is in a downtrend as the price breaks through a descending triangle pattern . The resistance at 0.65200 has been rejected several times, and the buying pressure is weakening. This indicates that the downtrend could continue, especially as the price has tested and failed to break through this resistance level.
The next key support levels are 0.64700 and 0.64200. If the price breaks these support levels, the downtrend will likely accelerate. Given the current context, AUD/USD may continue to fall in the short term, unless there’s an unexpected shift in policy from the Fed or Australia .
In conclusion, the downtrend of AUD/USD is clear and significant . The support levels at 0.64700 and 0.64200 are important levels to watch for trading.
EUR/USD Trend Analysis: Will Bulls Take Control?EUR/USD Trend Analysis: Will Bulls Take Control?
EURUSD continues to trade inside a broad descending structure that has been active for several weeks, with repeated breaks of structure marking the gradual weakening of bearish momentum. The pair has shown consistent attempts to reclaim internal structure, revealing that sellers are losing dominance at each successive swing.
The recent price action highlights a slowdown in the bearish cycle, with the pair forming a compressed consolidation near the lower boundary of the channel. This type of price behavior typically represents absorption, where liquidity is collected before a potential directional shift. Multiple bullish breaks within the current leg signal that the market is preparing for a transition phase.
The chart illustrates a clear reaction to the most recent liquidity sweep, followed by a controlled reset in order flow. Buyers have stepped in aggressively in previous cycles after similar setups, suggesting that the market is once again positioning itself for a recovery attempt toward higher inefficiencies.
Volume distribution from the left side of the chart shows earlier institutional engagement, and the current region aligns with historical accumulation behaviors seen in prior EURUSD reversals. If the pair maintains strength within this consolidation pocket, the next move could be a bullish repricing wave targeting unmitigated zones above.
Overall, EURUSD is showing signs of shift and structural recovery, with the current pattern favoring a bullish reaction in the coming sessions.
US100 | Bullish Reversal From Demand Zone — Targeting 25,200 LiqUS100 has reacted strongly from the 24,400–24,900 major demand zone, showing a sharp rejection and reclaiming structure. Price is now building momentum toward the 25,200 buy-side liquidity level.
A clean consolidation + breakout pattern is forming just below liquidity, indicating potential continuation to the upside.
Market Breakdown:
HTF Bias: Bullish
Demand Zone: 24,400 – 24,900
Intraday Target: 25,201 liquidity zone
Extended Target: 25,722 (major buy-side liquidity)
Confirmation: Break & retest above 25,100
Invalidation: Clean break below 24,950
EURUSD – Bullish Setup Toward 1.16EURUSD – Bullish Setup Toward 1.17
EURUSD is showing strong signs of a bullish reversal after an extended period of downside movement. The 3H chart highlights several Market Structure Shifts (MSS) and Breaks of Structure (BOS) suggesting that bearish momentum is fading and buyers are regaining control near the 1.1500 demand zone.
The price is forming a solid accumulation base, indicating that smart money may be positioning for a move higher. A clean break above the 1.1680–1.1730 resistance area could confirm a trend reversal, opening the way for a sustained bullish rally toward the mid-1.18 region.
With momentum strengthening and structure turning positive, EURUSD looks poised for a potential breakout continuation in the days ahead.
📈 Key Insights:
Structure: Bullish reversal forming on 3H timeframe
Support zone: 1.1500 – strong accumulation base
Upside targets: 1.1680 → 1.1730 → 1.1800
Outlook: Buyers regaining control; bullish continuation likely
AUDNZD Rally Losing Steam – Watch This Reversal Zone!As we’ve seen, AUDNZD ( OANDA:AUDNZD ) recently began an upward move after forming a Falling Wedge Pattern , and it’s been in an Ascending Channel for about the past 16 days.
Currently, AUDNZD is moving into a Heavy Resistance zone(1.1662 NZD-1.1340 NZD) and a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems like AUDNZD is completing the microwave 5 of the main wave 3 . Once it breaks below the lower line of the ascending channel, we can somewhat confirm the end of the main wave 3.
Additionally, we can see a Negative Regular Divergence(RD-) forming between two consecutive peaks.
I expect that in the coming hours, AUDNZD might decline at least to the Support zone(1.1480 NZD-1.1444 NZD) . If it breaks that Support zone, we could see it dropping toward around 1.1353 NZD(Second Target) .
Stop Loss(SL): 1.16403 NZD
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Australian Dollar/New Zealand Dollar Analyze (AUDNZD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
AUDUSD – When Capital Starts Leaning Toward the BullsThe market is entering an interesting phase as Australia’s latest economic data brings renewed confidence to the AUD. Stronger-than-expected job growth and the RBA’s stance of “no interest-rate cuts anytime soon” have created a solid foundation for the Australian dollar to attract buying pressure. Meanwhile, the USD is gradually losing momentum as markets reduce expectations of a quick policy move from the Fed. This shift makes the AUD a more attractive short-term choice.
On the chart, AUDUSD has just broken above short-term resistance and is holding firmly above the 0.6560 nearby support — an important area the market may use to accumulate before pushing higher. The current structure leans bullish, with higher lows forming and clear buying interest each time price retests support.
As long as AUDUSD stays above 0.6560, the next target lies around 0.6620 — a zone that previously acted as strong rejection. This will be the level where bulls truly test their strength before deciding whether to extend the uptrend.
Market Outlook | GU, UJ & Gold Analysis | Nov 10–14In this video, we unpack how structure, sentiment, and events shaped last week’s price action across GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD (Gold) and what these clues reveal about where the market might head next.
The video highlights how the market reacted to the quiet U.S. week caused by the government shutdown, and how traders positioned themselves ahead of the major data coming up, from UK employment and GDP figures to U.S. CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales.
You’ll Learn:
✅Why each market moved the way it did last week in simple, clear terms.
✅How I connect fundamental sentiment with real chart structures.
✅Key price zones and levels I am watching in the coming trading week.
✅How I anticipate reactions to upcoming economic data.
Stay till the end for my outlook and mindset tip, and check the comment section throughout the week for real-time updates as I monitor price action.
Timestamps:
00:01 – Welcome & overview
01:35 – GBP/USD breakdown
06:55 – USD/JPY analysis
11:05 – XAU/USD (Gold) insights
14:05 – Closing outlook & mindset
⚠️ This isn’t a signal service; it’s my personal trading map, shared to help you think and trade smarter.
NZD/USD: Tech and Geostrategic Levers for ReboundThe NZD/USD pair currently trades near $0.5640$, softening after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) survey. Two-year inflation expectations held steady at $2.28\%$ for Q4 2025. This neutral RBNZ outlook currently limits the New Zealand Dollar's (NZD) strength. Furthermore, the likely end of the US government shutdown supports the US Dollar (USD). Despite these immediate headwinds, several structural and technological factors create significant upside potential for the Kiwi currency.
Macroeconomic Catalyst: US Labor Weakness
The USD presently gains strength from the US Senate's vote to end the government shutdown. Nevertheless, the post-shutdown release of delayed US economic data, specifically the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), creates high-risk volatility. Private-sector surveys recently indicated a cooling trend in the US labor market. Any weakness confirmed by official US data will immediately exert severe selling pressure on the USD. This scenario presents the most potent near-term catalyst for NZD/USD appreciation.
Geostrategic Stability and Trade Corridors
New Zealand maintains a stable and predictable political environment. This institutional quality significantly enhances global investor confidence. Geostrategically, New Zealand benefits from its reliable trade links, primarily with the Asian economies. While US-China trade tensions create short-term market risk, New Zealand’s role as a smaller, diversified commodity and services provider mitigates the direct impact severity. The country remains a highly reliable partner, fostering strong long-term capital inflow.
High-Tech Diversification and Patent Strength
New Zealand actively pivots its economy toward higher-value exports. Technology, especially Agritech and Fintech, is driving growth. The tech sector currently ranks as the third-largest export industry, increasing foreign currency revenue. Strong R&D investment supports this structural diversification. New Zealand creates patented solutions for sustainable agriculture worldwide . Global demand for these science-backed, proprietary solutions structurally supports NZD strength long-term.
Conclusion
The NZD faces short-term pressure from US political resolution and RBNZ neutrality. However, market participants must look beyond immediate volatility. Structural drivers are in place. These include conditional USD weakness and New Zealand's growing strength in high-tech exports and geopolitical reliability. We project these factors will drive the NZD/USD pair higher as the market shifts focus from present risks to future economic fundamentals.
