XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
As seen on the chart, Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a defined range for the past two weeks, showing choppy price action without a clear trend direction.
Short-Term Strategy (Range Bound):
As long as the price remains within this box, the optimal strategy is to trade the boundaries:
• Short: At the resistance zone
• Long: At the support zone
Trend Strategy (Breakout Setup):
For a directional move, we need to wait for a valid breakout from this consolidation structure:
1-Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability ):A breakout above the current resistance zone will likely push the price toward the Previous High.
2-Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the current support zone will expose the lower Target Support Area.
Always wait for candle confirmation before entering breakout trades.
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Forexsignals
EUR/USD | What happens next? (READ THE CAPTION!)By examining the 4H chart of EURUSD, we can see that with FOMC news, EURUSD managed to break through the supply zone and hit the 1.17000 level as I had previously pointed in the previous analysis.
EURUSD faced a small correction and now is being traded at 1.16900 level. I expect it to challenge the next supply zone for a move above 1.17130.
EURUSD – 1-Hour Timeframe Tradertilki AnalysisMy friends, good morning,
I have prepared an EURUSD analysis for you on the 1-hour timeframe.
My friends, if EURUSD reaches the positive levels between 1.16418 and 1.16216, I will open a buy position and target the 1.17075 level.
Additionally, buy opportunities may also come from the 1.16604-1.16542 levels, but for me, the most suitable positive buy zone is between 1.16418 and 1.16216.
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XAU/USD | A drop before a bullish move? (READ THE CAPTION)Good morning folks, Amirali here.
As you can see, last night with FOMC news, Gold price surged from 4194 all the way to 4238 before dropping again to 4204 and now it's being traded at 4214 level.
Gold is respecting the supply zone and has shown reaction to it multiple times. I expect Gold to challenge the supply zone again, should it fail to go through, a drop to 4160 to sweep all the sellside liquidity there and then again another upwards move for it to happen is likely.
GBPJPY – 30-Minute Timeframe Tradertilki AnalysisGood Morning,Traders
Friends, I have prepared a GBPJPY analysis for you on the 30-minute timeframe.
My friends, if GBPJPY reaches the levels between 208.685 and 208.907, I will open a sell position.
My target will be the 208.199 level.
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USDJPY – The Technical Picture is Bullish, but Watch the BoJIn my previous USDJPY analysis, I highlighted the importance of the 158.00 resistance zone, noting that such a major level could trigger a corrective move.
That scenario played out cleanly: a combination of the technical barrier and speculation about a potential BoJ rate hike sent the pair lower into the 154.00 support zone.
However—if we zoom in, as shown on the left chart—this entire decline has been contained within a falling wedge, a pattern visible on the lower timeframes.
Once USDJPY reclaimed 155.00 and successfully established it as support, the structure shifted decisively.
We saw a classic upside break of the wedge followed by a sharp acceleration into the 157.00 handle.
The market then printed a new corrective leg, this time tapping directly into the Daily FVG —a clean technical reaction that aligns well with the broader bullish context.
Fundamentally, the landscape hasn’t changed much:
- A BoJ rate rise is largely priced in,
- The outlook for JPY remains structurally weak,
- And USDJPY continues to find solid demand on dips.
With that in mind, an upside continuation toward the 158.00 resistance looks likely. This level now aligns not only with the resistance but also with the measured target of the falling wedge breakout.
At this moment, I am bullish USDJPY, with a negation zone below 154.50. The only caveat: the BoJ is always a wildcard, and officials have not been shy about signaling discomfort with a persistently weak yen.
For now, as long as we hold above support, the path of least resistance remains higher. 🚀
XAU/USD – H1 Trading Plan: Buy at OB 4,19x – 4,18x, Targets 4,241. Market Structure (H1)
Gold is retracing back into bullish structure after breaking a series of bullish ChoCH and BoS, forming a new high around 4,24x. The current decline is only a technical pullback because:
• Price is returning to the Buy Order Block at 4,188 – 4,196.
• This zone aligns with trendline support and the demand base that fueled the previous impulse.
• The macro structure remains bullish as long as H1 does not close below 4,188.
→ This is a clear pullback–continuation setup: wait for price to retrace into discount, then target higher zones.
2. Key Levels
🔹 Demand Zone (Buy Zone): 4,188 – 4,196
• Bullish OB
• Trendline support
• Priority BUY area
🔹 Resistance 1: 4,217 – 4,218
• Multiple rejections
• Breakout → next bullish leg
🔹 Resistance 2: 4,238 – 4,239
• 0.5–0.618 Fibo confluence
• Possible mild sell reaction
🔹 Liquidity & Targets:
• 4,259 → Fibo 1.272
• 4,278 → Fibo 1.618 + resting liquidity
3. Trading Plan
🔸 Main Scenario – BUY at OB 4,19x – 4,18x
Conditions:
• Price taps 4,188 – 4,196
• Reversal signals: pin bar, engulfing, or bullish ChoCH
Targets:
TP1: 4,217
TP2: 4,238
TP3: 4,259
TP4: 4,278
Invalidation:
• H1 close below 4,185 → stay out.
🔸 Alternate Scenario – Price goes up without retesting OB
If price holds above 4,210 and breaks 4,217:
• Wait for retest of 4,217
• BUY continuation toward 4,238 → 4,259 → 4,278
Market Outlook
Gold is accumulating and building a base for a stronger breakout. The OB Buy zone 4,19x – 4,18x remains the highest-probability reversal area.
Market Hunter: NASDAQ-NAS100 Sell OpportunityMy friends, Good morning!☀️
For US100-NAS100, I will open a SELL position between 24,988 and 25,243, targeting 23,843.📊
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NZDUSD: Bullish Push to 0.593?FX:NZDUSD is eyeing a bullish rebound on the daily chart , with price approaching a key support zone near cumulative sell liquidation, converging with downward short-term and long-term trendlines that could spark upside momentum if buyers defend the level amid recent consolidation. This setup hints at a reversal opportunity after the downtrend, targeting higher levels with strong risk-reward.🔥
Entry between 0.56060–0.56780 for a long position (entry at current levels with proper risk management is recommended). Target at 0.59300 . Set a stop loss at a close below 0.55680 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:2.5 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair's potential recovery post-pullback.🌟
Fundamentally , NZDUSD is holding near 0.5723 as of November 28, 2025, after surging to 0.5715 following the RBNZ's 25 bps rate cut to 2.25% on November 27, with signals of no further easing ahead amid resilient labor markets and inflation concerns. The pair has risen about 2.65% since late last week from a low of 0.55910 on November 20, driven by renewed NZD strength and rising US rate cut bets that could weaken the USD further, though forecasts suggest testing support near 0.5675 with volatility persisting due to diverging central bank policies. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
0.56060 – 0.56780
🎯 Target:
• 0.59300
❌ Stop Loss:
• Daily close below 0.55680
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• ~1:2.5 overall
👇 Share your thoughts below! 👇
Interest Rate Decision and DXY – 1-Week - Tradertilki AnalysisMy friends,
Today, the most important fundamental news from the U.S. will be the interest rate decision.
This data will determine the direction of both gold and cryptocurrencies.
If there is an interest rate cut, gold and bitcoin will rise; if there is a rate hike, gold and bitcoin will fall.
Before approaching other trades today, I believe it is beneficial to wait for this important news release.
If DXY manages to break above the 101,550 – 99,143 levels, the first level it will want to test is 103,360.
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XAGUSDXAGUSD price could test the 61.98-62.34 level. If the price fails to break through 62.34, a short-term downtrend is likely. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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GBPJPY 7-month Channel Up has topped. Sell Signal.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a 7-month Channel Up since May 8 with its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) acting as its major Support thus the most optimal buy entry.
Today the price seems to be starting to reverse after two days of testing the pattern's top and the Diverging Higher Highs trend-line. With the 1D RSI having made a near Triple Top on the 70.00 Resistance, we expect the Channel Up to initiate its Bearish Leg now.
All previous Bearish Legs have hit at least their 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, with the last two even making direct contact with the 1D MA100.
As a result, our short-term Target on this pair is 203.000 or book it earlier if the 1D RSI enters its Support Zone first.
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AUDUSD on its most important week of the past 5 years.The AUDUSD pair has been trading on a strong bearish trend under the heavy Resistance pressure of the 5-year Lower Highs trend-line, which just broke above it this week.
This is the most critical multi-year test for the pair as a weekly closing above the Lower Highs trend-line, thus the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) also which has been intact since Jan 2023, will place the market on a new potentially long-term bullish trend.
If it closes below the Lowe Highs trend-line though, that would be the most optimal sell signal to target the 0.786 Fibonacci level at 0.60700.
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USDCHF: High Chance for a Pullback 🇺🇸🇨🇭
There is a high probability that USDCHF
will move up from a key daily support.
A double bottom pattern formation on that on an hourly time frame
provides a reliable confirmation.
Expect a pullback to 0.8007
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Bullish bounce off 61.8% FIbonacci support?Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 1.1654
1st Support: 1.1623
1st Resistance: 1.1711
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bearish momentum to continue?Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 0.8011
1st Suport: 0.7961
1st Resistance: 0.8036
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the overlap support.
Pivot: 156.06
1st Support: 154.92
1st Resistance: 156.87
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish momentum to extend?GBP/USD is falling towards the pivot, which is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3354
1st Support: 1.3297
1st Resistance: 1.3453
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
EURAUD: Bearish Move From Key Level 🇪🇺🇦🇺
EURAUD will most likely drop from a key daily resistance level.
I opened my short position on a retest of a broken neckline of
a double top pattern on an hourly.
Goal - 1.7571
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Is NZD/USD Ready for a Bullish Drive? WMA Breakout Validated🎯 EUR/USD "THE FIBRE" BREAKOUT SETUP | Multi-Layer Entry Strategy 📊
📈 MARKET ANALYSIS | EUR/USD SWING/DAY TRADE
Asset: EUR/USD (The Fibre)
Bias: BULLISH ✅
Setup: Triangular Moving Average Breakout + Retest Confirmed
Strategy Type: Swing/Day Trade | Multi-Layer Entry (Thief Method)
🎯 TRADE PLAN BREAKDOWN
Entry Strategy: "THIEF LAYERING METHOD" 💰
This strategy uses multiple limit orders to scale into position:
📍 Multi-Layer Buy Limit Entries:
Layer 1: 1.16400
Layer 2: 1.16600
Layer 3: 1.16800
Note: You can add more layers based on your capital allocation and risk tolerance
🛑 Stop Loss:
Thief SL: 1.16200
⚠️ Adjust based on YOUR strategy and risk management plan
🎯 Take Profit Target:
Primary TP: 1.17600 (Strong resistance + potential overbought zone)
💡 Exit Strategy: Watch for trap patterns near resistance—secure profits wisely!
⚡ KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS
Entry Zone: 1.16400-1.16800 (Multi-layer accumulation)
Stop Loss: 1.16200 (Risk management level)
Target: 1.17600 (Resistance + overbought zone)
🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (USD CORRELATION)
Monitor these pairs for confirmation and correlation analysis:
Direct USD Pairs:
GBP/USD (Cable) 📉 - Positive correlation with EUR/USD approximately 70-80%. When Cable moves higher, it typically confirms USD weakness across the board and supports EUR/USD bullish momentum.
USD/JPY 📊 - Inverse correlation, acts as a USD strength indicator. If USD/JPY drops below 150.00, it signals USD selling pressure which benefits EUR/USD longs.
USD/CHF 🇨🇭 - Inverse correlation, serves as a risk-off sentiment gauge. When USD/CHF falls, it indicates USD weakness and supports EUR/USD upside.
EUR Cross Pairs:
EUR/GBP 🇪🇺🇬🇧 - Measures EUR strength versus GBP. Rising EUR/GBP shows Euro outperformance and confirms EUR/USD bullish bias.
EUR/JPY 📈 - Risk appetite indicator. When EUR/JPY climbs, it signals risk-on sentiment which typically supports EUR/USD gains.
EUR/CHF - Euro zone stability measure. Stable or rising EUR/CHF indicates confidence in the Eurozone economy.
💡 Correlation Key Points:
USD Index (DXY) - Watch for weakness below 106.00 for EUR/USD bullish continuation. A breaking DXY confirms broad USD selling.
GBP/USD alignment - If Cable breaks higher simultaneously, this confirms USD weakness is widespread, not just EUR strength.
USD/JPY divergence - A drop below 150.00 signals significant USD selling pressure across all pairs.
Risk Sentiment - EUR/JPY rising equals risk-on environment which generally supports EUR/USD bullish moves.
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER
Dear Traders (OG Thief Gang),
This is NOT financial advice—educational analysis only
ADJUST YOUR SL/TP based on YOUR risk tolerance
Money management is YOUR responsibility
Take profits at YOUR comfort zone
Never risk more than you can afford to lose
Markets can be unpredictable—trade smart! 🧠
📊 WHY THIS SETUP WORKS
✅ Triangular MA breakout confirmed
✅ Retest of breakout level completed
✅ Multi-layer entry reduces timing risk
✅ Clear risk/reward ratio defined
✅ Correlation analysis supports directional bias
📌 Remember: The market rewards patience and discipline. Trade your plan, not your emotions! 🎯💪
Gold Analysis: Volatility Ahead in NY Session (Dec 11, 2025)FXOPEN:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS VOLATILITY AHEAD IN NY SESSION (December 11, 2025)
Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS
*Market Overview*
Gold rallied to $4,232/oz after the Fed’s third straight 25bp cut weakened the dollar and eased yields, giving bullion classic upside fuel. Silver outperformed with a 1.9% jump to a new all-time high amid a historic squeeze, while gold’s gains were limited by the Fed’s hawkish 2026 dot plot. Powell’s announcement of $40B/month Treasury bill buys acted as stealth QE, lifting both risk assets and safe haven flows. China’s continued gold accumulation and elevated geopolitical risks added further support. Overall, gold holds a bullish bias toward $4,300 as long as DXY stays below 98.5.
*Key Fundamentals*
Spot Gold: $4,215/oz, up 57% YTD, with 50+ ATHs showing strong momentum.
Central Banks: 254t bought YTD, on track for 1,000t/year a powerful structural floor.
ETF Flows: $64B inflows (record AUM $530B; holdings 3,932t), signaling surging investment demand.
Inflation: CPI ~3% with Nov expected 2.7–2.99%; real yields near 2%, supportive for gold.
Dollar & Yields: DXY at 98.59 (soft), 10Y at 4.13% (low real yields) both bullish tailwinds for gold.
*Geopolitics*
1. China Warns Against US Tariffs
Rising US China trade tensions pushed gold up and pressured tech/Asian markets.
2. US Tech Export Curbs on China
New US restrictions on semiconductors/software lifted gold and hurt tech stocks, especially chipmakers.
3. Israel Iran Tensions Increase
War rhetoric boosted safe-haven buying (gold, oil) and weakened global equities.
4. US China Trade Truce Talks Fail
Talk breakdown revived trade-war fears, increasing gold ETF inflows and pressuring EM currencies.
5. Houthi Attacks in Red Sea
Shipping disruptions lifted oil and gold, increasing market volatility and hurting shipping stocks.
Emerging Flashpoints
South Korea, Syria, and European debt worries added fresh volatility, pushing the GPR index higher and reinforcing upside risks for gold and other safe-haven assets.
*Risk-On/Risk-Off Analysis*
1. Yields Stabilized After Fed Cut but Stay Elevated
Treasury yields eased slightly after the Fed’s 25bp cut (10-yr at 4.13%), but real yields remain high (~2.05%), signaling persistent inflation pressure and fewer expected cuts in 2026.
2. Market Sentiment = Mild Tactical Risk-Off
Yen carry unwinds, tariff fears, and the Fed’s cautious outlook have shifted markets into a 55/45 risk-off tilt, supporting gold and Treasuries, even as U.S. equities remain resilient with low VIX.
3. Cross-Asset Signals Flash Mixed Outlook
Stocks rise on strong earnings and AI demand, but rising yields (-0.85 correlation), a soft USD (-0.75 correlation with gold), and global policy shifts (BoJ hikes) create a fragile setup where risk-on/bullish momentum depends heavily on next week’s CPI.
*Key Insights From Credible Sources*
Trump Comments on Markets & Growth
Trump expressed extremely bullish views, suggesting GDP could reach 20–25% and that markets should continue rising adding short-term optimism to equities and risk assets.
Powell Comment on Housing
Powell said a 0.25% rate cut won’t significantly improve housing affordability, signaling limited impact of small cuts on the housing market and keeping pressure on real estate linked assets.
*Key Events To Watch*
🔸 US Unemployment Claims (TODAY — HIGH IMPACT)
Higher claims → Weak labor → Dovish → Bullish gold
Lower claims → Strong labor → Hawkish → Bearish gold
Expect immediate spike reactions toward your zones.
*Conclusion*
Gold remains supported by strong macro foundations Fed easing, a softer dollar, and record central-bank demand keeping the broader trend firmly bullish above $4,200. Geopolitical tensions and rising risk-off flows continue to fuel safe-haven demand, while ETF inflows reinforce a structural floor. Although yields remain elevated and sentiment is cautiously mixed, the path toward $4,300 stays intact as long as DXY holds below 98.5. With high-impact labor data ahead, expect sharp intraday volatility, but the overall bias remains upward.
Support the Analysis
If this breakdown added value to your trading:
👍 Drop a like
💬 Comment your levels
📈 Share your charts with the community
Let’s grow together.
Best Regards,
M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
Falling towards pullback support?AUD/CHF is falling towards the support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.52861
Why we like it:
There is pullback support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.52492
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.5356
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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GBPUSD: Bullish Push to 1.345?FX:GBPUSD is eyeing a bullish reversal on the 4-hour chart , with price rebounding from cumulative long liquidation near a golden cross on the 4H timeframe, converging with a potential entry zone that could trigger upside momentum if buyers defend against dips amid recent consolidation. This setup suggests a recovery opportunity after the pullback, targeting higher resistance levels with favorable risk-reward.
Entry between 1.3222–1.3266 for a long position (entry at these levels with proper risk and capital management is recommended). Target at 1.3450 . Set a stop loss at a daily close below 1.3177 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:2. Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair's momentum post-golden cross.🌟
Fundamentally , GBPUSD is trading around 1.331 in mid-December 2025, with key events this week centered on the US Dollar amid the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting on December 9-10, where a 25-basis-point rate cut is widely expected, potentially weakening the USD further if signals are dovish, though dissent among policymakers could introduce volatility. Supporting data includes Tuesday's NFIB Optimism Index (Nov) at 6:00 am ET and JOLTS Job Openings (Oct, delayed) at 10:00 am ET, which could influence USD strength if labor market resilience persists. Wednesday likely features November CPI data, a critical inflation gauge that may solidify or alter Fed cut expectations if readings show cooling prices. For the British Pound , no major high-impact releases this week, but anticipation builds for the Bank of England's MPC decision next week on December 18, where a quarter-point rate cut is priced in at ~85% probability amid fragile UK growth and inflation concerns, potentially pressuring GBP if confirmed dovish. Overall, softer US data and Fed easing could favor GBP upside this week. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
1.3222 – 1.3266
(Entry at these levels is valid with proper risk & capital management.)
🎯 Target:
1.3450
❌ Stop Loss:
Daily close below 1.3177
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
~ 1:2
Does GBPUSD hold the golden-cross support and push toward 1.3450 — or will FOMC volatility create a deeper pullback first? 👇






















