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Due to the recent shift in GBPUSD’s market structure, I plan to enter a buy position when price reaches the 1.34753 – 1.34623 range.
Target levels: 1.35721 and 1.35932 📈
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Forextrading
USD may weaken in the futureExperts say the USD is still under pressure after the US economy announced a "shocking" non-farm payrolls report for July and revised the May and June figures down sharply compared to forecasts and previous figures.
Experts say the rapidly weakening job market is fueling speculation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will soon cut interest rates in September.
However, in the last session, the USD basically stopped falling sharply, when data on the US service and aggregate purchasing managers' indexes increased quite well in July. This has helped the USD not to fall too much.
The USD is expected to remain volatile when the US announces weekly employment on Thursday. Next week is the July consumer price index (CPI). This is an important indicator for the Fed to make a decision on interest rate policy at its meeting in September. This index will strongly affect the trend of the USD.
USD increased slightly and JPY decreased deeplyThe world USD price increased slightly. The USD-Index reached 98.79 points, 0.08 points higher than yesterday. According to CNBC, the USD increased in value compared to most currencies as the market focused on President Donald Trump's personnel nomination for the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Yesterday, President Donald Trump said he would soon announce decisions on replacing Governor Adriana Kugler, who resigned last Friday, including choosing the next Fed chair. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's term will end in May 2026.
Yesterday's report from the Institute for Supply Management said that the US non-manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) in July fell to 50.1 from 50.8 in June. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the services PMI would increase to 51.5. A PMI reading above 50 indicates growth in the services sector, which accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy. Investors are pricing in a high probability that the Fed will cut interest rates at its September meeting. Investment bank Goldman Sachs expects the Fed to deliver three consecutive 0.25% rate cuts starting in September...
gold trading strategy for todayThe price is 3,400 USD/ounce. The main reason is believed to be due to the weaker-than-expected US labor market, increasing the possibility of the US Federal Reserve (FED) cutting interest rates, thereby promoting the increase of this precious metal as investors seek gold as a safe haven.
Some analysts note that, since reaching a historical peak of 3,500 USD on April 22, 2025, the gold price has fluctuated in a narrow range from 3,180 to 3,400 USD/ounce. Based on macro assumptions, analysts predict that the gold price may reach 3,850 USD/ounce in the second quarter of 2026 and the current period is like "compressing the spring" - preparing for a strong increase in gold prices in the near future.
Meanwhile, Citigroup (a US multinational financial group) has just raised its forecast for world gold prices to $3,500/ounce in the next 3 months, $3,300/ounce for 6-2025, $3,300 - $3,600/ounce. The main reasons include concerns about US economic growth, high inflation due to US President Donald Trump's tariff policy and a weakening USD.
USOILUSOIL price is now testing the support zone of 64.72-63.88. If the price cannot break through the 63.88 level, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying in the red zone.
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GBPUSD SELLGBP/USD holds steady above 1.3250 as investors brace for US ISM Services PMI release
The GBP/USD pair trades on a flat note near 1.3280 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. Nonetheless, rising odds of Federal Reserve rate cuts could weigh on the US Dollar against the Cable. Investors will keep an eye on the US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index data, which is due later on Tuesday.
The broad-based selling pressure surrounding the US Dollar (USD) helped GBP/USD gain traction and allowed the pair to snap a six-day losing streak.
The monthly data published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) rose by 73,000 in July, missing analysts' estimate of 110,000, while the Unemployment Rate edged higher to 4.2% from 4.1%, as expected. More importantly, the BLS announced that it revised down May and June NFP increases, noting that NFP growth in this two-month period combined was 258,000 lower than previously reported.
The probability of a 25 basis points Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in September jumped above 70% from about 30% before the data, as per CME FedWatch Tool. In turn, the USD weakened sharply against its peers.
The economic calendar will not feature any high-tier macroeconomic data releases on Monday. Later in the week, the Bank of England (BoE) will announce monetary policy decisions.
In the meantime, market participants will keep a close eye on US politics. Following the dismal employment report, US President Donald Trump fired BLS Chief Erika McEntarfer, accusing her of manipulating the numbers for political purposes. Additionally, Fed Governor Adriana Kugler, whose term was scheduled to end on January 31, 2026, announced her resignation.
Investors could opt to stay away from the USD in case political developments feed into concerns over the Fed or the BLS losing independence.
SUPPORT 1.32382
SUPPORT 1.31758
SUPPORT 1.32382
RESISTANCE 1.33086
RESISTANCE 1.33375
gold price forecast today short term increase forecastmarket overview
Gold prices had a correction around 2325 yesterday, after recovering from a low of 2,290 USD. In the context of investors expecting the Fed to cut interest rates soon, gold is being strongly supported by the prospect of loose monetary policy and the weak USD.
Factors supporting gold prices
Weaker-than-expected US labor data
The non-farm payrolls report released on Friday showed the number of new jobs reaching only 142,000 - much lower than the expected level of 180,000. This increased expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates as early as September, strongly supporting gold prices
MarketBreakdown | EURCHF, WTI CRUDE OIL, GBPNZD, DXY
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURCHF daily time frame 🇪🇺🇨🇭
The market is testing a strong supply area
based on a solid falling trend line and a horizontal resistance.
Probabilities will be high that the price will retrace from that.
2️⃣ CRUDE OIL #WTI daily time frame 🛢️
The price is very close to a significant demand zone
based on a horizontal support cluster and a rising trend line.
I will expect a bullish reaction to that.
3️⃣ #GBPJPY daily time frame 🇬🇧🇳🇿
The market is trading within a contracting triangle.
The price nicely respected its support line and goes up steadily.
I think that bullish momentum will remain strong and the market
will go up to the resistance line of a triangle.
4️⃣ DOLLAR INDEX #DXY daily time frame 💵
The market is consolidating on a key daily support cluster.
Probabilities will be high that the price will bounce from that.
Today's fundamental news can be a trigger.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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AUDUSD BUY
AUD/USD rises to near 0.6480 as accelerating Fed dovish bets weigh on US Dollar
The AUD/USD pair moves higher to near 0.6480 during the European trading session on Monday. The Aussie pair gains as demand for risk-perceived assets has increased, following an increase in market expectations that the Fed could resume its monetary expansion cycle in the September meeting
The AUD/USD currency pair, commonly known as the “Aussie”, represents how many US dollars (the quote currency) are needed to purchase one Australian dollar (the base currency). Alongside the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and the Canadian Dollar (CAD), the AUD is considered a commodity currency due to Australia’s significant exports of raw materials such as precious metals, Oil, and agricultural products.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has historically maintained higher interest rates compared to other industrialized nations. Combined with the relatively high liquidity of the AUD, this has made the AUD attractive for carry traders looking for higher yields.
SUPPORT 0.64852
SUPPORT 0.65074
SUPPORT 0.65285
RESISTANCE 0.64498
GOLD (XAUUSD) - Potential Bullish Reversal from Demand ZonePrice is currently trading around the 3,368–3,370 area after a steady decline. I’m watching two key zones for a potential reaction:
✅ Demand Zone (15M + 5M OB) – This confluence zone sits near 3,360–3,364. If price taps into this area and shows bullish rejection, I expect a bounce in line with the 1H Trendline support.
📈 Scenario:
A liquidity sweep into the 15M/5M Order Block zone followed by a bullish reaction.
Continuation to the upside targeting the 5M and 30M Order Blocks around 3,380.
⚠️ Invalidation:
If price closes strongly below the demand zone, this bullish setup will be invalidated and further downside could follow.
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Signal 1
🟢 Buy @ 3355.91
🔴 SL @ 3349.91
🟢 TP @ 3367.91
✅ Result: +120 Pips
Signal 2
🟢 Buy @ 3368.32
🔴 SL @ 3362.32
🟢 TP @ 3380.32
❌ Result: -60 Pips
Signal 3
🟢 Buy @ 3373.29
🔴 SL @ 3367.29
🟢 TP @ 3385.29
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EURUSD SELLEUR/USD appears offered around 1.1550
After failing to break above the 1.1600 barrier, EUR/USD is currently under renewed selling pressure and is testing the mid-1.1500s again on Monday. The US Dollar, on the other hand, rises slightly across the board as investors absorb Friday's big drop after the US employment data and turn their focus to trade.
The daily chart for the EUR/USD pair shows the pair met buyers just ahead of a bullish 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) currently at around 1.1370. A flat 20 SMA, in the meantime, provides resistance at around 1.1640, the level to overcome to turn bullish. Finally, technical indicators corrected oversold conditions, but lost their upward strength just below their midlines, suggesting buyers are still on the sidelines.
In the 4-hour chart, the EUR/USD pair is range-bound, although there are no signs of a potential slide. The 20 SMA lost its bearish strength and turned flat in the 1.1480 area, while technical indicators remain directionless well above their midlines. The pair flirted with the 1.1600 level during Asian trading hours, with gains beyond the level turning the risk towards the upside in the near term.
SUPPORT 1.15387
SUPPORT 1.14950
SUPPORT 1.14520
RESISTANCE 1.16032
RESISTANCE 1.15832
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold saw a strong rally on Friday following the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report and is now trading near a key resistance zone.
At this resistance, a short-term pullback is likely as traders lock in profits.
We expect the correction to be contained within key support levels, and if price holds in that zone, the uptrend is likely to resume, targeting new highs.
Will gold resume its rally after the correction? Share your view below! 👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
USDCHFUSDCHF price is near the main support zone 0.79245-0.78590. If the price cannot break through the 0.78590 level, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
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GBPJPYGBPJPY price is near the main resistance zone 200.168. If the price cannot break through the 200.186 level, it is expected that the price will go down. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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XAUUSDXAUUSD trend If the price can still stand above 3249, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
After last week's sharp decline, EUR/USD rebounded slightly on Friday, initiating a corrective move to the upside.
We anticipate this retracement to extend over the next few days, likely reaching the broken trendline and former support zone, which now acts as resistance.
As long as the pair remains below this resistance area, the bearish outlook remains valid.
Once the pullback is complete, we expect renewed downside pressure toward the next support levels.
💬 Is this just a corrective move before another leg down? Let us know your thoughts below! 👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold (XAU/USD) in Symmetrical Triangle – Short‑Term Squeeze,Price Structure & Technical Setup
Gold is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, showing lower highs and higher lows—a classic precursor to breakout in either direction
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Trendlines converge tightly around $3,326–$3,334, hinting at imminent directional acceleration
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🎯 Key Levels & Targets
Scenario Trigger Confirm Area Targets Stop Loss
Bullish Breakout above $3,344–$3,350 $3,369 → $3,396 → $3,422–$3,550 ~$3,340
Bearish Breakdown below ~$3,326–$3,320 $3,320 → $3,300 → $3,297 → $3,255 ~$3,335–$3,340
A breakout above $3,344–$3,350 validated with volume may drive prices toward $3,400+, with extended targets up to $3,550 or higher in bullish conditions
Traders Union
Time Price Research
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A drop below $3,326–$3,320 risks further decline, targeting $3,300, $3,297, and eventually $3,255 if breakdown momentum builds .
📉 Market Context & Drivers
U.S. dollar strength, easing safe-haven demand, and optimistic trade sentiment are constraining gold’s upside unless breakout forces emerge .
Key upcoming catalysts: FOMC guidance, U.S. macro data (GDP, inflation), and geopolitical developments—their tone could tip the bias direction .
⚙️ Trade Rules & Risk Management
Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown—do not trade mid-range.
Confirm break with at least one close outside the triangle and rising volume .
Position sizing: Risk 1–2% per trade, adjust stop-loss to price structure ($8–$15 depending on volatility).
Take profits in stages: scale out at minor milestones (first targets), trail stop for extended targets.
Avoid chasing price within the middle of the triangle—risk/reward is unfavorable.
🧠 Why This Plan?
Follows textbook symmetrical triangle trading methodology: entry on breakout, stop beyond pattern opposite side, projection based on triangle height .
Aligns with broader outlook: bearish unless convincing upside breakout appears, consistent with analyst consensus hedging current bull exhaustion and wait‑and‑see on policy signals .
✅ Summary
Gold is coiling inside a tight triangle range near $3,326–$3,334, with breakout potential identified to either side:
Bullish breakout over $3,344–$3,350 targets up to $3,550 or beyond.
Bearish breakdown under $3,326–$3,320 risks slide towards $3,300–$3,255.
Wait for confirmation, apply disciplined risk controls, and let volume validate the move.
GBP/USD: Post-Impulse Sell Setup from Ending DiagonalThe chart depicts a completed 5-wave impulsive structure, culminating at the top of wave (5). The internal wave structure of the final fifth wave forms a classic ending diagonal pattern, typically signaling a trend reversal or deep correction.
After this extended fifth wave, the price has started rolling over, confirming the start of a corrective decline. The wave count now expects an ABC correction targeting the previous wave 4/2 demand zone, highlighted in red.
Target 1 (T1): 1.33608
Target 2 (T2): 1.32436
Stop Loss (SL): 1.35988
Ending diagonal at the top of wave (5) signals exhaustion of bullish momentum.
Clear bearish divergence (not shown here) is commonly seen with this pattern.
The price has broken the short-term structure and is now forming lower highs.
Target zone aligns with previous wave 2 consolidation – a typical retracement zone for post-impulse corrections.
USDCHFHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDCHF?
USD/CHF has broken above its descending trendline and cleared a resistance zone, signaling a potential trend reversal and growing bullish momentum.
After some minor consolidation and a pullback to the breakout zone, we expect the pair to continue its rally toward the next identified targets.
The broken resistance now acts as new support, and as long as price remains above this area, the bullish outlook remains valid.
Is USD/CHF ready to extend higher toward its next targets? Share your view below! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAUUSD Price at Decision Point – Bounce or Breakdown?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading between two significant zones — a ⏫ 1H Order Block above and a 🛑 Major Support level at 3268.
At this stage, price action remains undecided, and we have a few key scenarios to monitor:
🔄 Potential Scenarios:
📌 Price taps into the 1H OB, then shows signs of rejection — this could trigger a move back down toward support.
⬇️ Price drops directly to 3268, where buyers may step in for a potential bounce.
🚀 If the price breaks through the OB, it may continue pushing up toward the liquidity area around 3248.
⚠️ If support fails, we could see a deeper bearish continuation.
These zones are crucial for both intraday and swing setups. Be patient and wait for a clean reaction to catch a high-probability move.
GOLD BUYGold maintains its daily gains around $3,300
After retreating markedly on Wednesday, Gold rebounds moderately and remains positive at about $3,300 per troy ounce on Thursday. The precious metal’s rebound comes in response to the daily retracement in US yields across the curve and the so far irresolute price action in the Greenback
The US Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting, in a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, despite intense pressure from US President Donald Trump and his allies to lower borrowing costs. The decision, however, met opposition from Fed Governors Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller. This was the first time since 1993 that two governors had dissented on a rate decision.
In the accompanying monetary policy statement, the committee had a more optimistic view and noted that the economy continued to expand at a solid pace. Adding to this, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said during the post-meeting press conference that the central bank had made no decisions about whether to cut rates in September. This comes on top of the upbeat US macro data, and lifted the US Dollar to a two-month high.
Automatic Data Processing reported that private payrolls in the US rose by 104,000 jobs in July, following a revised 23,000 fall recorded in the previous month. Adding to this, the Advance US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report published by the US Commerce Department showed that the economy expanded at a 3.0% annualized pace during the second quarter after contracting by 0.5% in the previous quarter
SUPPORT 3,346
SUPPORT 3,328
SUPPORT 3,309
RESISTANCE 3,283
RESISTANCE 3,273
GBPUSD BUYGBP/USD rebounds from lows, back above 1.3200
GBP/USD now alternates gains with losses in the low-1.3200s, reversing an early pullback to the 1.3180 zone. Meanwhile, Cable's inconclusive tone is accompanied by some renewed selling pressuron on the the US Dollar in the wake of US data releases.
Robust macroeconomic data releases from the United States (US) and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) cautious tone on policy-easing fuelled a bullish rally in the US Dollar (USD) midweek, causing GBP/USD to decline sharply.
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis' (BEA) first estimate showed that the United States' (US) economy staged an impressive comeback following the 0.5% contraction seen in the first quarter. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at an annual rate of 3% in the second quarter, surpassing the market expectation of 2.4%. Additionally, ADP Employment Change came in at 104,000 in July, beating analysts' estimate of 78,000 by a wide margin.
Later in the day, the Fed announced that it maintained the policy rate at the range of 4.25%-4.5% in a widely expected decision. The policy statement showed that Governor Christopher Waller and Governor Michelle Bowman dissented, preferring a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut, which was also anticipated.
In the post-meeting press conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell refrained from confirming a rate cut at the next meeting in September, citing heathy conditions in the labor market and explaining that the current policy stance as being appropriate to guard against inflation risks. Moreover, Powell said that the policy was not holding back the economy despite being still modestly restrictive.
According go the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25 basis points Fed rate cut in September dropped toward 40% from above-60% before the Fed event. In turn, US Treasury bond yields pushed higher and the USD outperformed its rivals during the American trading hours.
The BEA will release Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for June on Thursday. Powell said that they expect the annual PCE inflation and Core PCE inflation to come in at 2.5% and 2.7%, respectively. Weekly Initial Jobless Claims will also be featured in the US economic calendar. Ahead of Friday's critical July employment report, investors could remain hesitant to take large positions based on this data.
It's important to note that month-end flows on the last day of July could ramp up volatility toward the end of the European session and trigger irregular movements in the pair.
SUPPORT 1.33727
SUPPORT 1.33128
SUPPORT 1.32590
RESISTANCE 1.3052
RESISTANCE 1.31567