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GBP/JPY) Beraish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point Technical analysis of GBP/JPY Short Setup Pair:GBP/JPY Timeframe:Likely 1H/4H (based on annotations) Analysis: Price is testing a key resistance (purple line) and failing to break higher. - If breakdown occurs below support (lower blue line), expect move toward target point Plan: Mr SMC Trading point - Entry:Short below support zone (specific price TBA based on current levels). - Stop Loss:Above resistance (purple line) to limit risk. Target: Marked "target point" on chart (add exact price if available). Confirmation Needed: Bearish candlestick patterns (like engulfing/ pinbar) at resistance. RSI divergence or bearish MACD cross for added confluence. Please support boost. This analysis
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
GBP/JPY) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of GBP/JPY 1H – SMC + Technical breakdown based exactly on the chart you shared: --- Market Structure Market has shifted bullish after: A strong impulsive move up Followed by a corrective pullback Recent candles show break of the descending correction trendline, confirming: > Change of Character (CHoCH) → Bullish continuation --- EMA Confirmation EMA 50 ≈ 206.66 EMA 200 ≈ 206.17 Price: Rejected strongly from EMA 200 Now trading above EMA 50 This confirms: > Trend realignment to the upside --- Fibonacci Confluence Your fib is drawn perfectly: 0.62 – 0.79 retracement zone aligns with: EMA 200 Structural demand Trendline support → This forms a high-probability institutional buy zone. --- SMC Logic Sequence visible: 1. Bullish impulse 2. Deep pullback into discount (0.62–0.79) 3. Liquidity sweep below the low 4. Strong bullish displacement 5. Break of corrective structure This is a classic SMC bullish continuation model. --- Key Levels Strong Demand: 206.00 – 206.30 Mid Support: 206.60 Breakout Level: 207.00 Major Target / Liquidity: 208.19 (your marked target) --- Trade Idea (From Your Chart) Buy Setup Entry Zone: 206.60 – 206.90 Stop Loss: Below demand → 205.85 Target 1: 207.40 Final Target: 208.20 Risk : Reward: 1:3+ --- Projected Price Path Minor pullback → Higher low → Strong impulsive rally Final expansion into: Previous high Liquidity pool at 208.19 Premium zone --- Invalidation Criteria This bullish setup is invalid if: H1 candle closes below 205.85 Or price re-enters and holds below EMA 200 Mr SMC Trading point --- Final Verdict Trend: Bullish continuation Structure: Break of bearish correction Entry: Fib discount + EMA 200 + Demand Target: 208.19 liquidity Bias: BUY on pullbacks --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
BTC/ISD) Beraish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical of analysis depicts a bearish descending channel* on the BTC/USDT 4-hour chart with the following key elements: 1. Channel structure Price is moving within a clear descending channel (black parallel lines), indicating a sustained downtrend. 2. Breakout point: The black dot marks a recent break below the lower channel line, signaling potential continuation of the bearish momentum. Mr SMC Trading point 3. Target: The projected downside target is ≈80,428.17 USDT, shown by the horizontal “target point” line. 4. EMA (200): The blue exponential moving average (200-period) is acting as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the bearish bias. 5. Price action: The latest candle closes at 89,037.66 USDT down -0.36% for the session, with reduced volume (-1.33% Vol). The overall idea is that after the breakdown from the channel, the analyst expects BTC/USDT to head toward the 80.4k support zone. Please support boost this analysis
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
USD/JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY 1-hour chart shows a bullish setup with key elements: 1. Pattern: Price forms an ascending channel and breaks out of the consolidation zone (blue area), indicating potential bullish continuation. 2. Indicators: - EMA(200) at 155.825 and EMA(50) at 155.835 are near the current price, supporting the positive trend. - Current price (155.814) is above EMAs, signaling bullish momentum. 3. Entry: Long position suggested after breakout around 155.835 (EMA 50). 4. Target: Upside target at 157.384 (target point), ~1.0% potential gain. 5. Stop Loss: Place below support zone (~155.000) to protect against Mr SMC Trading point reversal. 6. Confirmation: Wait for bullish candle confirmation post-breakout or signals from other indicators for validation. Please support boost this analysis
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
BTCUSD – Updated 4H PerspectiveFirst of all, I would like to apologize for the previous outlook from two days ago that did not play out as expected. Markets are inherently uncertain. As traders and analysts, we do not predict the future — we assess probabilities based on available data. Price action can always invalidate a scenario, and this is part of trading reality. This update is provided to reflect new information from the market, not to rewrite history. Current Market Structure BTC has failed to sustain its bullish continuation and is now showing structural weakness on the 4H timeframe. Key observations: - Price has broken below the short-term ascending trendline - Momentum failed to follow through after the previous breakout attempt - Market is transitioning from expansion into distribution / corrective phase The structure now favors downside continuation or deeper consolidation rather than immediate bullish expansion. Key Levels to Watch Immediate Resistance - 89,800 – 90,500 Former support, now acting as resistance Price acceptance below this zone keeps bearish pressure active Support Zones - 86,500 – 87,000 → First demand reaction area - 80,000 – 81,000 → Major higher-timeframe demand - 76,500 – 77,000 → Extreme support / liquidity zone A clean break and acceptance below 86.5K increases the probability of a move toward the 80K region. Momentum & Volume Insight - Stochastic RSI is deeply oversold, but without bullish divergence confirmation - Oversold conditions alone do not guarantee reversal - Net volume remains unstable, suggesting no strong accumulation yet This supports a scenario of price searching for stronger demand lower. Scenarios Going Forward ⚠️ Primary Scenario – Corrective Continuation - Price rejects 89–90K - Gradual move toward 86K → 80K - Buyers likely reappear only at higher-timeframe demand zones 🔄 Alternative Scenario – Relief Bounce - Short-term bounce from oversold conditions - Likely capped below 90K - Would be corrective, not trend reversal, unless structure is reclaimed ❌ Bullish Reclaim Condition - Strong 4H close back above 92K - Would invalidate the current bearish corrective bias - Until then, bullish setups remain lower probability. Conclusion The market has provided new information, and the analysis adapts accordingly. BTCUSD on the 4H timeframe is currently in a corrective / bearish phase, with downside risks outweighing upside continuation in the short term. Flexibility and risk management remain more important than directional bias. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past scenarios do not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and manage risk responsibly.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by x_Akki
BTCUSD on 4H PerpectiveMarket Structure Bitcoin is currently maintaining a bullish market structure on the 4H timeframe, characterized by consistent higher lows and higher highs since the rebound from the 82K–84K region. The ascending channel remains valid, indicating a healthy uptrend rather than an impulsive spike. Key Price Levels Resistance Zone 98,900 – 100,000 - Major psychological level Previous strong resistance now being tested Short-term consolidation around this zone is technically normal Support Zones 92,000 – 93,000 → Primary structural support 88,500 – 89,000 → Lower channel support (secondary) 84,000 – 85,000 → Trend invalidation zone As long as price holds above 92K, the bullish structure remains intact. Momentum Analysis Stochastic RSI has rebounded from lower levels and is not yet in extreme overbought territory. This suggests bullish momentum still has room to expand, even if a minor pullback occurs. Momentum behavior aligns with a continuation trend rather than exhaustion. Volume Observation Volume remains controlled with no significant spike. This indicates no strong distribution and suggests that smart money is still holding positions rather than exiting aggressively. Market Context Price action reflects a controlled accumulation and expansion phase, not emotional FOMO-driven movement. This type of structure often precedes continuation rather than reversal. Scenarios - Bullish Continuation (Primary Scenario) Price consolidates above or slightly below 100K Clean breakout opens targets at: 103K, 106K, 110K (psychological extension) Preferred approach: wait for pullbacks instead of chasing breakouts. - Healthy Pullback Scenario Rejection near 100K Retracement toward 95K – 93K Followed by bullish continuation This would be considered a normal corrective move, not a trend reversal. - Invalidation Scenario A 4H close below 88K would weaken the current bullish structure and require reassessment. Conclusion BTCUSD remains structurally bullish on the 4H timeframe. Momentum, structure, and volume all support the case for continuation, with pullbacks viewed as opportunities rather than threats. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk properly and make independent trading decisions based on your own research and risk tolerance.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by x_Akki
USDIDR – Monthly (1M) Technical Analysis Long-Term Market Structure USDIDR remains in a clear long-term uptrend on the monthly timeframe. Since the Asian Financial Crisis era, price action has consistently formed higher lows, confirming a structurally bullish trend for USD against IDR. The recent move shows a continuation of this multi-decade trend rather than an anomaly. Key Structural Levels Major Resistance Zone - 19,300 – 20,400 Historical resistance Psychological round-number zone Current breakout area A sustained monthly close above this zone would confirm a new structural regime for USDIDR. Major Support Zones - 16,000 – 16,500 → Primary structural support - 14,500 – 15,000 → Long-term equilibrium zone - 12,000 – 13,000 → Macro trend invalidation (very unlikely unless regime shift) As long as price holds above 16K, the long-term bullish bias remains intact. Momentum Analysis (Stochastic RSI) - Stochastic RSI is currently in overbought territory, which is normal for a strong macro trend. - Historically, USDIDR can remain overbought for extended periods without meaningful reversals. - Overbought here suggests trend strength, not immediate bearishness. Short-term pullbacks should be viewed as consolidation, not trend reversal. Price Behavior Insight USDIDR does not behave like a speculative asset. It trends slowly, structurally, and reflects: - Monetary policy divergence - Inflation differentials - Capital flow dynamics Sharp downside moves historically occur only during extraordinary policy intervention or global regime shifts. Scenarios ✅ Continuation Scenario (Primary Bias) - Price holds above 19,000 - Monthly structure confirms breakout - Potential extension toward: 21,000, 22,500 (long-term psychological extension) This scenario aligns with historical USDIDR behavior during prolonged macro uptrends. ⚠️ Consolidation Scenario - Price ranges between 17,500 – 19,500 - Sideways compression before the next expansion - Structurally healthy and expected This would represent absorption, not weakness. ❌ Invalidation Scenario - Sustained monthly close below 16,000 - Would signal a structural shift and require reassessment At present, there are no technical signals supporting this scenario. Conclusion USDIDR remains structurally bullish on a multi-decade timeframe. Momentum, historical behavior, and price structure all suggest continuation rather than reversal. Corrections are expected to be shallow and time-based rather than price-destructive. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Trading and investing involve risk. Always conduct your own research and manage risk according to your personal financial situation.
by x_Akki
XAGUSD – 4H OutlookBias: Short-term corrective move after hitting major supply zone. XAGUSD just tapped a strong 4H supply zone around 62.70 – 63.00, and price immediately rejected with a clear wick. This confirms sellers are active at this level. Structure-wise, silver has been moving in a parabolic impulse, and now the chart is showing the first signs of exhaustion. If the rejection holds, market likely forms a lower high before shifting into a deeper correction. Key Levels 62.70–63.00 (Supply Zone – Strong Rejection) 61.98 (First support / retest area) 60.62 (Major 4H structure support) 59.31 (Bigger correction target) What I Expect Next Price retests the supply zone → forms a lower high Pullback continuation toward 61.98 Break below opens the door to 60.62 Full correction target sits near 59.30 Momentum indicators also show bearish divergence + Stoch RSI cooling off, supporting a temporary downturn before any bigger trend continuation. Summary XAGUSD likely enters a short-term correction phase after rejecting a key supply area. I expect price to form a lower high and continue down toward the 60–59 zone unless buyers reclaim and hold above 63.
PEPPERSTONE:XAGUSDShort
by x_Akki