USDCHF LONG POSITION SETUPStrategy: SMC (MARKET STRUCTURE SHIFT)
We saw a reaction to a swing low and a break of structure to the upside.
💡 IDEA:
Possible bullish market to the dollar against the Swiss Frank.
SUPPORT ANALYSIS:
DXY (Dollar Index) showed weak bearish momentum on Friday after a reaction to a support level (demand zone).
ENTRY ⛔:
Enter at NEW demand zone w/ SL below the zone and TP at recent high.
WHY?
- A change of will mean 💰 price is too strong to print new lower lows below $0.79, therefore we target the previous highs as our raid of liquidity!
Goodluck to myself and ya'll!
Fractal
Litecoin — “Stay Above Here” or It’s Just Another WickCRYPTOCAP:LTC has the potential to go much higher, but so far it’s mostly reacting, not expanding. The bounce is clean, the structure improved, yet we still haven’t seen the kind of follow-through that turns a squeeze into a real trend.
On my chart I’ve highlighted the decision zone — roughly $134–$140 where the HTF descending trendline and prior supply stack up. That’s the gate. I don’t want a tag-and-fade; I want to see acceptance and time spent above it. When price breaks a key area and holds, it signals intent, not just a stop run.
In the next sessions it’s all about confirmation: push into that band, volume step-up, shallow pullbacks that base above the box, and then continuation. If we get that, the path opens for a proper stair-step: $132 → $140 hold → $150s, and, later, $165–$170 as the next extension. That’s the blueprint drawn on the chart.
Zooming out, LTC/BTC on the weekly is compressing—tight ranges, repeated rejections fading in size, and no loss of the key floor. It’s the same slow build we saw before XRP’s break: absorption candles, “quiet” volatility, liquidity loading. These periods don’t last forever; when they resolve, the move is usually meaningful.
Short term I’ll still treat dips as tests of intent. If price rolls back into the old range and can’t stabilize above the breakout band, it tells us the market wasn’t ready and we’ll need more time. But if LTC can push through and stay above the highlighted zone, the character of the trend changes from reactive to expansionary — and the upside scenario comes alive.
TL;DR: The idea is simple — stay above $134–$140 and the door to $150 → $165–$170 swings open. Fail to hold it, and it’s just another wick.
Market Update - RUT | BTCThis video looks at the underperformance of RUT compared to the rest of the markets including CRYPTOCAP:BTC where we could see a 50% drop as I compare it to 2021 fractals
We first need to see a pump around $88k and then go from there
TVC:RUT is clearly going through a Distribution phase that will Contract, and this is where we can see the rest of the markets follow through similar to Jan. 2025, and 2021 - 2022 fractal.
Expect stocks like NASDAQ:NVDA to retrace back to the downside, but will see it holdup pretty well
NASDAQ:TSLA on the other hand may see price fall back to its major Demand lvl as it has a few times already.
The Deeper Logic Behind Price Delivery (Nobody Talks About This)Most traders think some pairs are slow and others are fast.
But that belief is the reason they stay confused, lose trades, and can’t read delivery.
The truth is deeper, and once you see it, you can’t unsee it.
This is the real explanation behind timing, alignment, and phase delivery — the part nobody teaches.
Most traders think some markets “move fast” and other markets “move slow.”
That’s a surface-level observation. It sounds true, but it completely misses the deeper mechanics behind why price behaves the way it does.
The truth is this:
Markets don’t move fast or slow — markets move according to timing.
Every pair follows the same structural blueprint.
The only difference is where each pair is within its delivery cycle.
Price is always doing one of two things:
1. Delivering a continuation leg (impulsive, clean, fast movement)
2. Building the pullback leg (corrective, choppy, slower movement)
When a pair is fully aligned on the higher timeframe — when the trend, liquidity objectives, and structural breaks are all synchronized — the continuation phase will always look fast. It’s clean, directional, and decisive because the cycle is ready to deliver.
When a pair is still developing inducements, collecting liquidity, or forming the structure it needs for the next leg, it will naturally look slow or indecisive. Not because the pair is slow, but because the cycle is incomplete.
This is why one pair may be exploding while another is barely moving:
they’re simply in different phases of the same universal process.
Price is never random.
Price is never “lazy” or “weak.”
Price is simply obeying its timing.
Higher timeframes reveal that timing.
They show you:
• Whether continuation is ready
• Whether the pullback is still developing
• Whether liquidity has been engineered
• Whether the dominant leg is prepared to deliver
• Whether the cycle is aligned or still maturing
Lower timeframes only express what the higher timeframe already decided.
So the idea that “some pairs move fast and some move slow” is a misunderstanding. No pair is naturally fast or slow — every pair delivers exactly the same way, just not at the same time.
Fast movement = HTF alignment + continuation phase
Slow movement = HTF development + liquidity engineering phase
Once you understand timing, you stop comparing pairs by their speed and start reading them by their position in the cycle.
That’s when trading stops being guesswork and starts becoming recognition.
Because the deeper truth is simple:
Price isn’t unpredictable — traders are just unaware of what time it is.
-Do you view the market by timing or by “speed”?
Let me know — I read every comment.
#NAS100 #Education #SMC #MarketTiming #PriceAction #SmartMoney #Forex #Indices
History always repeats — that’s what trading is about !Hello Traders 🐺
Welcome back to another idea.
I think maybe you said to yourself that this idea could be a total madness :-)
But here is the truth — and we have to be honest with ourselves.
I know it sounds a little bit crazy to see a Skyfall from 96K all the way down to 34K , something around 60% !
But we’ve had similar situations so many times before.
Let me break it down for you, my friends 👇
As you can see on the Monthly timeframe , BTC is playing between two curves for almost its whole life.
Yes — looks interesting, and I think we can use it as a very clear map to avoid greed and fear , and control our emotions during the time, especially if you are not a day trader.
I think these two support and resistance curves are very valid because they formed on a high timeframe such as the monthly.
So what else can we see here?
If you pay closer attention to the chart, you’ll find that every time price hits the resistance line (the upper line of our curvy channel),
that was the top of the bull market.
But the interesting point here is:
I am seeing a fractal pattern. Let me show you 🔍
If you go back to 21 November 2021 , you can see that price formed a double-top pattern, and the bear market officially started when price broke below the neckline of that double top.
Now here is the same twist:
We are very close to 21 November again :-)
And price is currently trying to hold above the support line of the double top pattern.
I think if we break below the neckline — which is around 75K —
with a high degree of certainty, BTC would fall straight to the next most important support level, which is 32K.
But why this level?
As you can see, at this level we have 3 points of confluence:
On the right-hand side of the chart, the Anchored VPVR shows a huge demand zone
This zone aligns exactly with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level
And the most interesting part: both areas perfectly match the support level of the curvy channel 📉
I think we must be honest in trading and always pay close attention to the warning signs.
This time is no different.
History will always repeat — and this is exactly what trading is about.
I hope you enjoy this idea 🙌
Please drop your comments below so we can share our thoughts together.
And as always remember:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Gold — Liquidity Delivered Into WCL BreakerGold just tapped its higher-timeframe C target , completing the previous bullish cycle and leaving behind a clean WCL on the pullback. That WCL is now the boundary where the next phase should begin.
On the lower timeframes, price has been forming a controlled micro-bearish sequence. The important detail is that this micro-wave is delivering its C target directly into the 5-minute breaker block that's sitting inside the HTF WCL.
That combination is rare and powerful:
Liquidity has already been swept beneath the WCL
Momentum into the breaker is corrective, not impulsive
The breaker + WCL overlap is a classic launch zone
The next logical magnet is a revisit of the previous C
If Gold reacts from this breaker, the structure supports a full bullish wave back toward that C — and if C breaks, the matryoshka continuation opens.
I’m watching this zone as the potential ignition point for the next leg up.
This is not financial advice.
Gold: buyers defend the key demand zoneGold has reached the major demand zone at 4026–3993 — the same area where strong bullish reactions appeared multiple times in the past. The chart shows several reversal structures forming right inside this zone, while the price retests previous liquidity sweeps and a fair-value imbalance created before the last upward impulse.
Technically, gold remains inside a local descending channel, but the main focus is on the reaction from the demand zone. This level is supported by previous BOS signals, high-volume reactions and a clear accumulation base. EMA lines remain above the price, confirming the short-term bearish impulse, but zones like this often become the starting point for medium-term reversals.
Fundamentally, gold stays under pressure due to a strong USD and Fed expectations; however, macro-risks and safe-haven demand continue to prevent a deeper decline. If buyers hold 4026–3990, a recovery toward the major supply zone at 4210–4268 becomes highly probable.
Tactically: the main scenario is to look for confirmations to go long inside the demand zone. First target: 4170–4180. Main target: 4210–4268. If the zone breaks down, gold may head toward 3950.
If demand holds, the next impulse may come much faster than the market expects — gold often moves sharply once liquidity is collected.
Ethereum Trade IdeaThe recent volatility has pushed Ethereum and the entire altcoin market lower than expected, but this is exactly where disciplined traders find their edge. The setup on the chart shows a fresh order block with clear upside targets (TP1–TP4), offering a structured path for potential recovery. Stay focused, stay patient, and remember capital preservation is your strongest weapon. Only risk what you’re comfortable losing, trust your process, and let the market come to you. Smart risk management will carry you farther than any single trade.
XAU/USD 14 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per yesterday's analysis, price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
USD/CHF – Building the LaunchpadAfter a clean impulse higher, USD/CHF is dipping right into the zone where demand was born — the BC + WCL overlap , sitting on top of the daily imbalance .
This area (around 0.7975 ) feels like the kind of zone where price takes a breath before the next leg.
As long as 0.7923 holds, I’m hunting for longs toward 0.8270–0.8300 .
That’s the HTF target and the last unmitigated supply area above.
If the zone cracks, I’ll let it go — no need to fight the flow.
Solid structure, clean logic, fair R:R. Let’s see if the launchpad fires.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
EUR/USD – The Rhythm ResetsPrice formed a clean A–B–C correction and tapped into the BC zone around 1.1570–1.1550 .
I’m watching this area for a possible reload — structure still bullish while 1.1539 holds.
Targeting the C extension near 1.1640 if momentum confirms.
If it breaks, I’ll wait for the next rhythm — no chase.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
XAU/USD 13 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price did not print according to my analysis. Price instead targeted strong internal high by printing a bullish iBOS.
This could potentially indicate H4 bearish pullback phase is complete.
Price has since printed a couple of bearish CHoCH's, however, I will not mark them as such due to very insignificant depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH. CHoCH positioning is demoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
AUD/USD – Looking for buys off the 4H BC zoneAfter completing a clean bearish correction, price shifted bullish on the 4H.
I’m waiting for a retrace into the BC + Order Block zone (0.6490) to go long.
Targeting 0.6560 , stop below 0.6463 .
If 0.6460 breaks cleanly, setup’s invalid.
R:R ≈ 1:2.6 — let’s see if demand holds 👀
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Fractal Dimension VisualizedThere are plenty of times where fractals are mentioned across TA, from indicators like FRAMA, Williams Fractals, concepts like Elliott waves - all the way to my own way of breaking cycles through Fibonacci Channels. Pretty much most of them are about self-similar behavior of the market which is often invisible to unweponized eye.
In this piece I’m going to the core - fractal dimension . Don’t fixate on numbers! Instead, visualize the scaling process: how structures fills space as you zoom in and out.
Regular Dimensions
The most fundamental question is: How many copies (N) do we get with each magnification (R).
Line (1D): A line has only one length. If I magnify length by a factor R, the number of smaller copies that fit is N=R. (Double the length → 2 copies; in general N = R^1.)
Square (2D): Magnify side length by R: the big square splits into a grid of R x R old squares, so N=R^2.
Cube (3D): Magnify edge length by R: the big cube contains R x R x R small cubes, so N=R^3.
So in D dimensions, when you scale length by R, the count of self-similar copies is N = R^D
Hence, we can extract dimension: D = log N / log R
This is the similarity dimension formula when the object breaks into N exact copies, each scaled by 1/R in length.
Application to Fractals
Sierpinski Triangle
We actually start with a solid 2D equilateral triangle. Then we remove the central upside-down triangle to leave three smaller solid triangles. Now we repeat that step inside every remaining triangle, forever. As this process continues, any patch of solid area that survives will eventually be removed, so the total area shrinks toward zero while the number of pieces explodes. The limit is the Sierpiński triangle: not “just lines,” but a fractal set with no area and a non-integer dimension between 1 and 2
At each step you get N=3 copies, each scaled by 1/2 (so R=2).
D = log 3 / log 2 = 1.5850
How to work out D in practice
Identify the scaling length: by what factor R must you magnify so the large figure looks like a collage of smaller identical copies?
Count those copies N.
Plug into D = log N / log R.
This is highly important for perceiving scaling laws not just for self-similar shapes but also other patterns.
DKNG Update | $10Video contains a update on DKNG price action
Looking to see a move to $10 in the long term view
First we need to see a pullback which we are going through currently
Before $10 we will look to hit $20 first. Any rejection under liquidity grab will validate the next move.
Watch video for more details.
Ps
TradingView needs to allow shorter descriptions again😕
XRPUSDT 30min Longs 🔵 Market Structure
Break of Structure (BOS): Above 2.4283 confirmed
Liquidity Sweep: Below 2.4019 before push upward
🟡 ICT Concepts
⚡ Trade Setup
Long Entry: 2.4150-2.4200 (current pullback)
Stop Loss: Below 2.3980 (FVG break)
Targets :
TP1: 2.4500-2.4750
TP1:2.5200-2.5700
Bullish structure intact - buying dips for liquidity grab above
#XRP #SMC #ICT #TradingView #Bullish
SOLUSDT 30min | Bullish 🔵 Alligator Positioning
Lips: 156.52 | Teeth: 156.15 | Jaws: 156.38
Price trading ABOVE all 3 lines → bullish alignment
Tight coil suggests imminent expansion
Market Structure
Sell-side Liquidity: Swept below 157.78
🎯 Optimal Trade Entry
Primary Long: 157.80-158.00 (current zone)
Secondary Long: 157.15-157.40 (OB retest)
Stop Loss: Below 156.10 (Alligator cluster break)
💰 Profit Targets
TP1: 160.00 (immediate resistance)
TP2: 162.50-165.00 (momentum zone)
TP3: 170.00-171.63 (liquidity target)
Bullish alignment intact - buying Alligator support for push toward liquidity above
#SOL #TradingView #ICT #Alligator #Bullish






















