MSFT / MICROSOFT / Fractal and Seasonality inspiredHere is my view on MSFT from seasonal and fractal point of view.
Price gonna break the recent 516 high, shall turn and break recent 505 low than head upside for end of the year ralley.
i put 2 Longs into the chart. Smaller for first partial take profit and the larger one for rest.
All this should play out until 15th of November or latest until End of January.
After January 2026 downside. Be careful!
(This is not a trade call, just educational analysis, trade at your own risk)
Feel free to comment so we can learn and improve together!
Cheers!
Fractal
XAU/USD 29 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per my analysis dated 22 September 2025, whereby I mentioned price could potentially continue to print higher-highs. This is how price printed, showing little to no signs of pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Take note that CHoCH positioning as been brought significantly closer than previous, this allows for a more realistic chance of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation, price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,819.915.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to previous intraday expectation whereby I mentioned price to trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,791.255.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted horizontal line.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Price to then trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,819.915
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially continue to print higher.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
#NZDUSD Short tradeSince we are looking for TVC:DXY longs, this means we’re automatically looking for /USD shorts.
I’m looking for NZDUSD to retrace back into daily demand.
By doing this, we will take liquidity above the high that brought us to the recent low. The only thing that remains after this is a CHoCH on the 1H–4H.
The main objective is continuing the bearish swing trend on the 4H timeframe.
I know you dont like me but.. but... the whole universe is a huge fractal. Repetition inside a repetition repeated over time. Trading and investing is not far away from philosophy.
Been showing this fractal for few years now :) its simple on point week by week.
Not an investment advice. Go to meditate.
BTS rules.
I know you dont like me but..but... the whole universe is a huge fractal. Repetition inside a repetition repeated over time. Trading and investing is not far away from philosophy.
Look ar my BTC fractal prediction. its simple on point week by week.
Not an investment advice. Go to meditate.
Elon rules.
$TSLA: Sierpinski Fibs (RAW)Documenting in interactive the geometry of movements for research purposes to learn how future outcomes deviates in respect to angles from original measurements. Since the periods are vast, the corresponding price axis also spans large magnitudes. This uncovers the long-term confluence points and provides basic texture of systemic behavior.
ETH to 40k? 2020-21 Fractal PRESS PLAYWhy?
-meme stock mania redux
-stock market bottoms 6 months before economy (April bottom + 6 = October)
-wyckoff accumulation after sign of strength breakout
New
-deregulation of crypto
-staking of ETH ETFs
-RISC-V future, lighter.xyz, zero knowledge proofs
-layer 2 execution to offload retail flow
press play!
fib lines and PLAY idea inspired by @ScottScotty cheers!
XAU/USD 26 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 September 2025.
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs. This is continuing.
As per my analysis of yesterday, dated 22 September 2025, whereby I mentioned price could potentially continue to print higher-highs. This is how price printed, showing little to no signs of pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a horizontal blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation, price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,791,255.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 September 2025.
As per analysis and intraday expectation of previous analysis, price has printed a bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation
Price is currently trading within an internal low and internal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,791.255.
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially continue to print higher.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 25 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 September 2025.
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs. This is continuing.
As per my analysis of yesterday, dated 22 September 2025, whereby I mentioned price could potentially continue to print higher-highs. This is how price printed, showing little to no signs of pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a horizontal blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation, price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,791,255.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 September 2025.
As per analysis and intraday expectation of previous analysis, price has printed a bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation
Price is currently trading within an internal low and internal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,791.255.
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially continue to print higher.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart :
How to Buy low and Sell Highs - Advanced Market StructureHello traders, we al ever heard about buy low sell high is the most profitable approach.
Sounds easy and looks easy in hindsight, but it's a bit complicated to do it if you dont know this what Im going show you today about an advanced market structure. To understand why it is advanced we will first look to the basic market structure.
🟣 Basic Market Structure:
• Highs and Lows
• Used as a confluence, Not as the main basis for generating trading ideas.
• Enhancing perspective and view of the markets.
• Not significant but good to be aware of.
📍 Uptrend
Price is in bullish move and making higher highs and higher lows
📍 Downtrend
Price is in bearish move and making Lower lows and lower highs
When using basic market structure to analyze the markets. Traders missing the fact that market makers need liquidity for the next move. Liquidit is mostly below the lows and highs. And when the price dips there it can look like a break out, but it's not unless the price is coming from a higher timeframe key level.
🟣 Advanced Market Structure:
• More refined and accurate perspective.
• Advanced market structure takes into account the breaking and rejection of highs
and lows. (Liquidity)
• It also incorporates other methods to measure and gauge market order flow and
structure, which are based on practical concepts rather than just unrealistic theory.
📍 Uptrend
Price is in a bullish move and is consistently breaking abovehighs and rejecting below lows. (Sweeping liquidity) - heading to HTF liqudity
📍 Downtrend
Price is in a bearish move and is consistently breaking below lows and rejecting above highs.(Sweeping liquidity) - heading to HTF range liqudity
For higher probability of the setups these lows and highs should be occurring
in the Premium part of the structure for shorts and in the discount for the longs.
For this we are using dealing ranges which I have explained in this thread below.
🟣 Advanced Market Structure:
if we are looking to the markets structure with different lenses we are mapping short term H/L runs above / below them are intermediate H/L. This is where we want to be entering.
📍 Short term swings .
- STL (Short Term Low)
- STH (Short Term High)
These are swings where liquidity was not swept...
📍 Intermediate term swings.
- ITL (Intermediate Term Low)
- ITH (Intermediate Term High)
These are swing with Liquidity Sweep / Stop hunt its time for entries here.
🧪 Downtrend
short term highs are swept and intermediate highs are created. This is strong highs..
🧪 Uptrend
short therm lows are swept and intermediate lows are created. This is strong lows.
But how do we know that it's not a structure shift? How do we know that, it's just a false break and opportunity to buy low or sell high? Answer is simple - HTF BIAS
Hence we must always use at least two timeframes but with 3 Timeframes you will master precision.
🟣 Timeframes Sequence
Month - Bias, HTF Key Levels
Weekly / Daily - Bias alignments , Ranges
H4 - Intraday ranges
H1 / M15 / M5 - entries
Stop hunts mostly appears with a huge candle which can be done only by a market makers. This candle created the range on Weekly, Daily , H4... Once this range is manipulated in other words liquidity is taken by market makers. You drop lower timeframe and there you execute your entries in the HTF direction.
To learn more about liquidity check other this thread below
🧪In the uptrend you want be buying after stop hunts of short term lows
🧪In downtrend you want sell after stop hunt of short term highs
🎯Once the price make a stop hunt on the short term low or short term high, you need to see a confirmation in the change in order flow. In other words - Order Block or Supply / Demand to be created.
I have explained order block in this thread below
💊Here are recent trade examples of the stop hunt and range trades.
✅ EURUSD - Stop hunt of the range
✅ USDCHF - Stop hunt of the range
✅ GBPUSD - stop hunt of the range
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔
$SPY: Systematic Behavior 3 Frames of Reference:
An angle from the top (beginning of decline) to a point of resistance where the price got further dumped to form a bottom. This emphasizes some boundary that needs to be broken in order to proceed to transition phase.
Also would be nice to have the angle of entire tariff crash so the fib spacings could reflect the shockwaves of that event.
For the 3rd ( as 3rd axis in geodesics ), we would cover what immediately grew after crash establishing a common angle.
In cases 2 and 3, the common criterion for choosing the angle was that in both cases the nested cycles on smaller scale were completed confirming the measured angle. Watching for consistency in shapes is essential for capturing the interplay of multiple forces.
FAg / DIAMONDBACK ENERGY / Fractal and Seasonality / LongHave we reached this years bottom yet?
For me it is finding entry at any good price action and in case price droppes I have my reason to add more to the position when price should hit 128 as a low.
Seasonality tells us in PE+1 we are bullish until 26th of November for FANG.
Then rather bearish until 19th of December.
This is for educational purpose only. not a trade call or financial advice.....
Have fun, let's discuss. Comment or write to me in private chat.
Cheers!
XAU/USD 24 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs. This is continuing.
As per my analysis of yesterday, dated 22 September 2025, whereby I mentioned price could potentially continue to print higher-highs. This is how price printed, showing little to no signs of pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a horizontal blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation, price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,791,255.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Chart:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per analysis and intraday expectation of yesterday's analysis, price has printed a bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation
Price is currently trading within an internal low and internal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,791.255.
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially continue to print higher.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Rejection Before 3800: A Final Window for ShortsDriven by market sentiment, gold has now reached a high of around 3792, just one step away from the 3800 mark. Judging from the current structure, gold is undoubtedly in a unilateral bull trend and has completely replicated the rising pattern of the previous wave, with almost no decent retracement during the rise.
Now gold continues to break through historical highs and enter unknown areas. In addition, due to the promotion of market sentiment, the current technical level has been distorted, so there is no good reference target at present. It can only be calculated based on space and cycle; the foreseeable upper limit area in the short term is in the 3820-3830 area; but because there are obvious signs of stagnant growth before reaching the 3800 mark, gold may be the first to experience a pullback.
Because gold is in an extreme rising mode, most funds may not have the opportunity to participate in long transactions, so in order to increase liquidity, gold also has a need for a retracement; however, because the current market enthusiasm remains unabated, it can be expected that the retracement space for gold is limited. The foreseeable retracement area is in the 3760-3750 area, and the second is in the area near 3730.
In addition, look at it according to the cycle. It is not difficult to see from the financial calendar that China, a major gold holder, will usher in the National Day holiday. Before the holiday, some funds may take profits, which will also lead to a decline in gold prices. After the holiday, gold may end its retracement and return to the upward trend.
So if you hold a short position, then when gold falls back to the 3760-3750 area, or even around 3730, it will be an opportunity for gold bears to get out of trouble. Once gold retreats to this area and escapes the predicament, it could be a good opportunity to re-enter the long position!
CASELA WASTE SYSTEMSHere are my Thought on Casela Waste Systems:
- from a seasonal perspective it should be bullish from early october until mid of january with an expected gain of median 8% and average 15%.
- from a fractals perspective i am not sure which of the three entry points will work out. maybe this is more a complete entry area.
feel free to contact me, leave a comment or/and support my idea by clicking that rocket.
cheers!
FAST / FASTENAL / Long scenario / Fractal & SeasonalityMy view from a seasonality standpoint:
Bullish time ahead until around mid of december. Maybe one little dip lower before the action starts.
my view basted on a fractal analysis:
uncertain about on emore breaking the low but then upside at least to the former high.
*this is not a trade vall nor is it financial advice. think and trade for yourself and on your own discretion and risk