WTI drops near 2025 lows amid Ukraine-Russia deal, can $55 hold?WTI crude oil has declined near fresh 2025 lows around $56.60 as optimism over a Russia-Ukraine peace deal collides with fears of global oversupply. With NFP and central bank decisions looming, the market is bracing for a volatile test of the critical $55 support.
In this video, we analyse the bearish pressure from potential sanctions relief on Russian oil and persistent market surpluses, weighed against the bullish risks of escalating US-Venezuela tensions. We then map out the technical path to $55 and lower if fractals work out and the conditions for a potential bounce back toward $60.
Key drivers
Bearish catalyst : Progress in US-backed Russia-Ukraine peace talks is fuelling expectations of supply normalisation, pushing prices down amid a market already facing a surplus through 2026.
Bullish risks : Escalating tensions between the US and Venezuela, including tanker seizures, threaten to disrupt roughly 1 million barrels per day of supply, potentially offsetting bearish sentiment.
A packed week featuring the NFP report and rate decisions from the BOE, ECB, and BOJ will drive dollar volatility, directly impacting crude prices.
WTI remains at risk below $59-60. The primary downside target is the structural support at $55, with a break opening the door to $50. Resistance stands at $58.50 and $60.00.
Trade Plan : Bearish bias targets a test of $55.00 as long as price holds below $58.50. Watch for a reversal signal at $55 or a reclaim of $60 on supply disruption news.
Trading the oil crash? Share your thoughts on the $55 support level in the comments and follow for more commodity and macro trade setups.
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Fractalstrategy
The Bill Williams Strategy ExplainedWe all know the market doesn’t always play nice, but the Bill Williams Fractal Indicator can help you read between the lines. If you're focused on fine-tuning your entries and exits, let’s break down how fractals can be a useful tool in your strategy.
What is the Bill Williams Fractal Indicator?
At its core, the Bill Williams Fractal Indicator is a technical analysis tool that identifies potential reversal points in the market. This indicator is based on the fractal definition by Bill Williams, who described fractals as price patterns that can be used to predict potential shifts in price direction.
In simple terms, a fractal pattern consists of five consecutive bars or candlesticks on a chart. The middle bar of this pattern represents a local peak or trough, while the two bars on either side of it are smaller. A bullish fractal occurs when the middle bar is a higher high than the surrounding bars, and a bearish fractal appears when the middle bar is a lower low.
Bill Williams Fractal Definition
The Bill Williams Fractal is defined by a sequence of five consecutive bars. The middle bar represents the peak (for bearish fractals) or trough (for bullish fractals), surrounded by smaller bars on both sides. When price breaks the high (for bearish fractals) or low (for bullish fractals) of this central bar, it signals a potential breakout.
How Does the Bill Williams Fractal Trading Strategy Work?
The Bill Williams Fractal Strategy is a proven approach in crypto trading. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, using the fractal strategy can provide valuable insights into potential market reversals and breakouts. By combining the Bill Williams Fractal Indicator with effective risk management, you can improve your trading edge.
A common method is to use the 200 EMA to gauge the overall trend. If the price is below the 200 EMA, traders tend to focus on lower fractals and look for short opportunities, while if the price is above the 200 EMA, they focus on upper fractals and consider long trades. However, always remember to confirm the breakout of local levels for greater reliability in your trades.
Master the Bill Williams Fractal Strategy
The Bill Williams Fractal Strategy is a well-established method in crypto trading. Whether you're just starting out or you're an experienced trader, incorporating the fractal strategy can provide useful insights into potential market reversals and breakouts. By combining the Bill Williams Fractal Indicator with a solid risk management plan, you can enhance your trading approach.
That said, remember that no strategy guarantees success. Fractal trading isn't about predicting the market with absolute certainty — it's about managing your entries and exits with precision and maintaining discipline. Always make sure to think critically and adapt to market conditions. So, when you spot a Bill Williams Fractal on your chart, use it as a guide, but always trust your analysis and approach. Happy trading!
BTC FRACTAL : Has BTC been following THIS EXACT PATTERN?The only difference in terms of the first peak, is the duration. But even the pullback size has been similar:
Interestingly, in terms of the second peak, the increase from the corrective bottom to the new ATH is almost exact at 122%:
Here's why we MAY still have a small push upward:
- The previous time, the peak was at least 6% higher. Currently, that would put us around 116K.
- The current pennant pattern is different from the previous bearish flag.
2%:
Pattern:
Do you think the bearish cycle is starting, or is another push up likely?
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BINANCE:BTCUSD
Fractality in Trading: the market’s hidden patternHave you ever noticed how price movements look similar across different timeframes? This is Fractality in Trading, a concept that suggests markets behave in repeating patterns regardless of scale.
In the chart above, we compare the 1-Day (left) vs. 1-Week (right) timeframe for NASDAQ 100 Futures. Despite the difference in time horizons, the price movements, corrections, and trend reversals mirror each other, following the same wave structures.
What Does This Mean for Traders?
✔️ Price Action Repeats Itself: Market cycles—uptrends, downtrends, and consolidations—occur in similar ways across different timeframes.
✔️ Multi-Timeframe Analysis (MTA): By analyzing a higher timeframe (1W), traders can identify key trends and use the lower timeframe (1D) for precision entries.
✔️ Scalability: Whether you are a swing trader, day trader, or long-term investor, the same patterns apply, making technical analysis universally effective.
Key Takeaway
Understanding fractality helps traders align their trades with the dominant trend, reducing false signals and improving trade confidence.
Do you use multi-timeframe analysis in your strategy? Let me know in the comments!
LINK Fractal | ALTS | Chainlink can EASILY +90%Chainlink is one of those alts that haven't yet made a new ATH with the rest of larger alt market group.
This means that the bullish cycle is taking a detour and it could be extended to another multi-month cycle, as I've previously stated in my BTC updates.
If LINK follows the previous pattern of a multi-month extended patter, we could see a fractal playout that takes us beyond the current ATH over the next few months.
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BINANCE:LINKUSDT
EGLD (MultiverseX) - AltSeason Cycle - Bull RunBINANCE:EGLDUSD (#MultiverseX) is ready to jump.
That's because the #AltSeason shall push #AltCoins to the limits.
Its Market Cap ( CRYPTOCAP:EGLD ) is very low now and about to grow significantly.
This will be the result of #Crypto #MarketCap ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 & CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS ) breaking through their #ATH.
With #BitcoinDominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) showing signs of #Correction, #eGold should prevail.
What Happened with BINANCE:EGLDUSDT ?
#EGLD managed to spike a bit in the end of '23, thus confirming the start of a larger #Bullish #Cycle.
#Correction is also complete (Q4 in '24), which leaves room for the Bull.
What's next for BINANCE:EGLDUSD ?
An Impressive Rise is expected for $EGLD.
The current levels are to be watched closely by #Traders going #Long.
#MultiverseX #TechnicalAnalysis
- #ElliottWave A-B-C Sequence: Confirmed
- Intermediate (A) & (B) (white): Complete
- #Bullish #Fractal: Commenced
- #Fibonacci Levels: Conditions Met
My BINANCE:EGLDUSDT #Long Levels
#HODL #Trade:
- Entry @ 31.00 USD (or below)
- TP @ 420.00 USD
#Futures #Trading:
- Entry @ 31.00 USD (or below)
- SL @ 10.00 USD
- TP @ 225.00 USD
Is Tesla TSLA ready to resume HIGHER? TSLA Buy Opportunity?🟢Tesla has been real good to us in our long term portfolio.
🟢Yes we took some profit in 2024 Q4 last year but hey we trade and invest for a living so we have to pay ourself sometimes.
✅️ Our higher time frame next major level remails at $722.
Is TESLA creating a nice base for a new rally time will tell but current TIME and PRICE structure looks good.
The low at 373 remains a key price level if this base is to materialise.
WHILST 373 STAYS UNTOUCHED WE REMAIN ALERT FOR OUR BUY TRIGGER.
⭐️REMEMBER NO TRIGGER NO TRADE⭐️
🟢 FOLLOW SeekingPips NOW TO STAY IN THE LOOK ON OUR LATEST IDEAS💡
AVAX vs BTC | ALTCOINS | Life Changing IF This Pattern Plays OutFractals have been used for years as possible suggestions to map how money moves in the financial market.
This is what gives them significance; they draw out a sort of map. The hard part about fractals though, is that they often appear cross markets and it is no easy feat to spot similarities on large scale. However, to the seasoned eye, fractal-spotting becomes easier over time.
There is a misconception that fractals can only be used in the same timeframe. This is simply because, as with Bitcoin, there is a large history of candles (data) that plays out in an elaborate pattern. Daily candlestick patterns become lost in weekly patterns, even though the general direction / macro is the same.
In the case for AVAX, a similar pattern has been observed in BTC before the COVID pandemic - and it has been playout out perfectly, so far.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
DOGE FRACTAL : Don't Lose Hope! BEST YET TO COME DOGE has been trading undeniably bearish over the past few weeks, as we see significant signs of bearish price action:
- 📉 lower highs
- 📉 lower lows
However, if we take a look at a fractal that played out between Dec 2023 - Feb 2024, there is definitely a chance for a PARBOLIC PUMP. Watch this short video to find out how (there are TWO SIGNS we need to see on the chart BEFORE we can seriously consider this).
Make sure you catch my update on Bitcoin, because ultimately BTC determines the direction of the market. Therefore it's vital to watch the trendsetter!
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
Future forecast with fractal pattern detectionTake this as a representation of entire market structure
On the first pannel, you can see 4 boxes
The bigger ones A+B (green continuous period) are a perfect representation of the smaller ones A+B (green dotted period)
They are fractaly similar
So, we will take the small pattern period to reveal what will happen with the bigger period
And that is what we see on the 2nd pannel: the blue line on the 2nd chart is the exact pattern of the small period, but plotted over its bigger counterpart
Hold tight, because it will be a great ride!
BTC/USD Fire the Engines!!!Hi ,there
In green the lines that we will go up and in red the lines that will find support
the game is hard .. I know!!
if you can't do some trades (small time frame) just buy and hold.
there aren't many options..
we know that in the future it will definitely go up and statistically it always seems that it will achieve this but it takes some time (maybe several months or a few years)
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments
If you liked this idea don't forget to follow me for more news and updates.
Thanks for reading!
The Good the Bad and the Neutral scenarioLet's all wish a happy new year!
Let's all see the ads for the super products
don't worry if you don't .. the company knows how to do it!
* Let's remember those in our local area who need to sell their products (or online) and buy some (good scenario)
* Let's see more ads without buying nothing (Bad scenario for now)
* Let's see what our favourite people do with smoke signals until the market gives us the up or down signal
If you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments.
Thanks for reading!






















