GBP/USD - Fundamental Drive Ahead! (21.10.2025)🧠 Setup Overview:
GBP/USD has broken below its rising trendline after testing the 1.3470 resistance zone multiple times. The pair is under fundamental selling pressure, fueled by risk aversion and renewed U.S. dollar strength.
Fundamental Drivers:
1️⃣ U.S. markets gained as President Trump decided not to impose very high tariffs on Chinese goods, which temporarily boosted sentiment.
2️⃣ However, investors are now digesting U.S. credit risks and US–China trade tensions, both adding safe-haven demand to the USD.
3️⃣ Meanwhile, the UK economy faces uncertainty from softer consumer spending and weak housing data — further limiting GBP’s upside potential.
📉 Technical Plan:
Bias: Bearish below 1.3400
Structure: Trendline breakdown confirmed
Cloud Resistance: Adds confluence to downside momentum
Next Levels to Watch:
🟥 1st Support: 1.3349
🟥 2nd Support: 1.3310
📊 If price closes below 1.3349 on the 30-min chart, further selling pressure may extend toward 1.3310 and possibly deeper if fundamentals align.
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use proper position sizing before entering any trade.
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Fundamental-analysis
GBP/NZD - Wedge Breakdown (20.10.2025)📊 Setup Overview:
GBP/NZD has formed a Rising Wedge Pattern on the 30-min chart, signaling a potential trend reversal from the recent bullish structure. The pair has also completed a Cloud Cross, indicating early bearish momentum as price begins to break below the wedge support line. OANDA:GBPNZD
📈 Trade Plan: Bias: Bearish
Sell Entry Zone: Below 2.3400 (after candle close confirmation)
1st Target: 2.3288 ✅
2nd Target: 2.3277 🎯
Resistance Zone: 2.3479 – 2.3523
🧩 Technical Highlights:
1.Rising Wedge pattern breakdown – early bearish signal
2.Ichimoku Cloud Cross confirms downside pressure
3.Volume profile thinning below 2.34, showing potential liquidity vacuum
4.Clean bearish structure with clear risk–reward setup
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Always confirm setups with your own analysis and manage risk properly before entering any trade.
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Adobe: Entering the Fourth Wave — Smart Money Distribution PhaseAdobe’s stock is entering a critical structural phase — the completion of its third global impulse and the start of the fourth corrective wave.
While the long-term uptrend remains intact, the price structure and fundamentals suggest that the most explosive growth period may already be behind us.
🧭 Long-Term Technical Context
Looking back to the early 2000s, Adobe has moved through a textbook Elliott Wave structure.
The first and second waves built the base, while the third wave delivered the explosive rally — from roughly $30 to $600, marking a 20x increase.
Now, the fourth subwave of the third major wave appears to be forming — a phase typically characterized by sideways consolidation and distribution by institutional players.
🔺 Wave 4 Triangle Formation
In many long-term wave structures, the fourth wave forms a triangle (ABCDE pattern) — a contracting structure where price oscillates between defined boundaries.
We can already observe the emerging shape:
Wave A and B are complete
Wave C is in progress
Wave D and E will likely complete the pattern before the final breakout
Once the triangle ends, a final Wave 5 push could occur — potentially extending toward $700, or in an extended scenario, even $2000.
📊 Trading Range and Short-Term Strategy
At this stage, smart money tends to distribute positions gradually.
The price is oscillating within a broad corridor, providing opportunities for range-based trading:
Buy zones: near the triangle lows (Wave A area around $350)
Profit zones: near the triangle highs (Wave B area around $600)
For swing traders, this range offers multiple short-term opportunities before the next major move begins.
💵 Fundamental Context
Despite being in a late-wave structure, Adobe’s fundamentals remain strong.
Share buybacks: The company continues to repurchase its own shares, supporting EPS growth.
EPS trend: Rising steadily year over year.
Revenue growth: Stable, around +10% YoY, with quarterly metrics showing +40% growth since Q1 2024.
Forward P/E: Approximately 28, which, by Peter Lynch’s growth-to-PE logic, still appears reasonably valued.
These metrics suggest that even in a market downturn, Adobe’s downside risk may be more limited compared to weaker tech peers.
🧮 Fundamental Summary
✅ Consistent buybacks supporting EPS
✅ Double-digit annual revenue growth
✅ Attractive valuation relative to growth metrics
✅ Strong defensive profile versus the broader tech sector
There are no visible signs of fundamental weakness — only technical consolidation after years of exponential expansion.
⚠️ Alternative Scenario
If the stock breaks below $270, the current wave structure may need adjustment.
Such a move could imply a larger triangle or a flat correction, but the broader interpretation — that we’re inside a long-term Wave 4 — would remain valid.
📈 Market Outlook
Adobe is transitioning from a high-momentum growth phase into a strategic accumulation and distribution phase.
The stock is unlikely to replicate its earlier explosive rally, but it continues to offer structured trading opportunities inside a stable technical range.
For long-term investors, the risk-reward remains balanced, supported by solid fundamentals.
For traders, the triangle provides a clear framework: buy near lows, take profits near highs, and wait for the fifth wave breakout.
🧩 Summary
Price structure suggests Wave 4 triangle formation
Trading range between $350–$600
Fundamentals remain strong and defensive
Forward P/E at 28 — reasonable given EPS growth
Next major target: Wave 5 breakout toward $700–$2000
Adobe is no longer in its most explosive phase — but it’s far from weak.
This is a mature consolidation period, not a decline story.
For disciplined traders, the triangle may offer some of the cleanest swing setups in the tech sector.
📹 Full video analysis on my YouTube channel — check it out for detailed charts and Elliott Wave breakdowns!
TSLA: Fundamentals Are Collapsing While Valuation Stays in OrbitTesla is trading near multi-month highs… but the fundamentals tell a very different story.
EPS has dropped by 50%, revenue growth has almost stalled, and yet the stock still carries a Forward P/E of 164.
This combination — slowing growth and extreme valuation — looks like the definition of an institutional bubble setup.
🧮 Fundamental Context
Over the past few years, Tesla’s growth has slowed dramatically:
Revenue rose from 31B → 53B → 81B → 96B → 97B — barely any increase.
EPS climbed from 0.2 → 1.6 → 3.6 → 4.3 — and then fell by half.
Quarter-over-quarter metrics remain negative, with no visible recovery trend.
Meanwhile, the Forward P/E of 164 implies double-digit expansion ahead — which clearly isn’t happening.
The fundamentals simply do not justify this kind of valuation.
Right now, Tesla’s numbers resemble the early phase of a valuation compression cycle — where prices eventually catch up with reality.
📉 Technical Structure
Technically, Tesla has been moving in a broad sideways range, forming what looks like a long-term Wave 4 structure.
We’re currently inside the “B” leg, which could already be complete or near completion.
Once that wave ends, the next expected move is a Wave C decline.
Key levels to watch:
📍 Upper resistance zone: $400 – $550
📍 Primary cluster: around $250
📍 Support zone: $150 – $200
The chart shows clear volume concentration around $250 — once that level breaks, the next liquidity pocket sits between $150 and $200.
That’s where a potential bottoming cluster could form before the final upward leg.
⚠️ Market Outlook
While other FANG names maintain solid balance sheets and stable earnings, Tesla’s fundamentals are deteriorating sharply.
Yes, the stock may still see short-term pumps driven by sentiment or Musk’s fan base — but markets always return to fundamentals.
And those fundamentals are pointing downward.
📊 Summary
EPS and revenue both trending lower 📉
Forward P/E at 164 — completely disconnected from growth metrics
Technical range suggests potential decline toward $200–$150
Current price action likely part of a larger corrective structure
Long-term investors should exercise extreme caution ⚠️
Tesla isn’t a short-term “growth story” anymore — it’s a valuation risk story.
Until earnings stabilize and margins recover, this stock looks massively overpriced.
GBPUSD Short Confluence and stacking the oddsFPMARKETS:GBPUSD
Fundamental: Bearish (5/5).
Technical: Bearish (7/7) — Diamond Vault (7-Stack) candidate; SL=0.0121, TP distance=0.0314.
Weak UK inflation and growth; dollar steadies. Trend structure bearish across EMAs; momentum favors sellers while rebounds face supply overhead.
USDJPY Long #confluence country #trade the stacks. OANDA:USDJPY
Fundamental: Bullish (5)
Technical: Bullish (6/7) — actionable threshold met (≥6)
20-word summary: Dollar-yen supported by rate differentials; EMAs aligned; momentum constructive; watch 152 zone and intervention risk while trend persists this week.
Actionable Trade (Long): ATR 1.181 → SL distance 1.79512; Stop 150.08088; TP 156.54331 (2.6R).
Bullish Bias Toward $4,400+🌍 Fundamental Overview
Gold is trading around $4,135–$4,155/oz, staying firm despite mild USD recovery.
Friday’s U.S. data (Michigan Consumer Sentiment, inflation expectations) came slightly higher, but Fed cut expectations remain unchanged — markets still price 99% chance of a rate cut in October.
Geopolitical backdrop remains tense — Middle East concerns, ongoing U.S.–China trade friction, and soft global growth outlook keep gold demand resilient.
ETF inflows show renewed interest; central banks (China, Turkey, India) continue accumulating.
Short-term: Profit-taking possible early this week; medium-term trend remains bullish toward $4,300+.
📊 Technical Overview
Current Price Range: $4,135 – $4,155
Support Zones:
$4,120 (minor intraday support)
$4,080 (major short-term floor)
$4,050 (psychological & structural support)
Resistance Levels:
$4,180
$4,200 (key breakout zone)
$4,300 (next major upside target)
Trend: Bullish consolidation — healthy sideways price action above $4,100 zone.
RSI (H4): Resetting from overbought, suggesting space for renewed upside momentum.
🎯 Trading Strategy
1️⃣ Buy Dip Setup
Entry: $4,090–$4,120
SL: below $4,050
TP: $4,180 → $4,220
2️⃣ Breakout Buy
Entry: above $4,180 (confirmed 1H close)
SL: below $4,150
TP: $4,250 → $4,300
3️⃣ Short Scalp (Counter-trend)
Entry: $4,180–$4,200 (if rejection appears)
SL: above $4,220
TP: $4,120 → $4,080
📌 Bias: Bullish above $4,080 — watch for early-week volatility and liquidity traps.
Silver rally: Are you in?Silver (XAGUSD) just hit a new all-time high, soaring above $53/oz! The surge is driven by a real physical shortage in London (record-low LBMA stocks, spike in lease rates, and COMEX premium), flight to safety amid dovish Fed expectations and gold’s rally, and booming industrial demand from solar energy and electronics. A short squeeze is also underway due to the rising cost of borrowing silver.
5 key drivers behind the XAGUSD bull run:
1. The market is short on metal – demand consistently outpaces supply.
2. Physical squeeze in London – inventories are depleted, spot trades above COMEX, borrowing costs surge.
3 . Industrial super-demand – energy transition fuels silver use in solar, electronics, and EVs.
4. Dovish macro backdrop – Fed rate cuts expected, weaker USD, inflows into safe havens.
5. Capital inflows – silver ETFs and bullion/coin demand picking up momentum.
FreshForex analysts see further upside: the breakout to new highs confirms strong demand for physical silver and sustained investor interest. The rally in gold and robust industrial trends give the silver market breadth and staying power. Q4 2025 offers great potential for active traders, but the strongest move is expected in Q1 2026 , as Fed policy loosens and supply remains tight
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 21, 2025 GBPUSDThe pound has retreated from last week’s highs as the market prepares for fresh UK price data and weighs it against recent Bank of England signals. After the August rate cut to 4.00%, policymakers emphasize that any further easing should be cautious given the risk of still-elevated inflation—higher than in most G7 peers. That tempers excessive optimism on sterling and makes the reaction to CPI potentially asymmetric: softer prices would support expectations of later cuts, while stickier readings would revive concern about persistent inflation.
The US backdrop works against cable: the ongoing partial suspension of federal agency operations in the US boosts demand for the reserve currency during bouts of uncertainty, and high US real yields continue to attract global capital. Until markets receive a clean run of US data and clarity on the budget, the dollar’s near-term advantage remains.
Domestic fundamentals also constrain sterling: households remain sensitive to borrowing costs, business investment is uneven, and the services surplus cannot fully offset external risks. As a result, scope for a swift sterling advance is limited, with the balance of risks favoring moderate profit-taking after the climb toward the 1.34 area.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.34050, SL 1.34550, TP 1.33550
AUDCAD potential long setupLooking at AUDCAD this morning and noticed the 3 bounces off the Monthly 50EMA (overlayed on this 4H chart). The pair is stuck in a wide range after a strong September rally linked to the gold (commodities) strength and above forecast AUD economic data. The pair is also sitting at a critical trend line support while RSI is positioned well for a move upward.
Fundamentally, precious metals are erasing Friday's losses while a meeting between President Trump and Australian PM Albanese is set to take place Monday morning to discuss a critical minerals deal (among other topics), which could boost the AUD significantly. In the meantime the Canadian government continues to follow Brussel's lead in economic obliteration and CAD insignificance.
I could be wrong, I'm a nobody.
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 20, 2025 USDJPYThe dollar–yen pair has stabilized around 150.700, but the fundamental backdrop favors a downward correction. Falling US Treasury yields and persistent expectations of Fed policy easing narrow the rate differential that previously supported USD/JPY. Against this background, demand for the yen as a safe-haven asset tends to increase whenever the dollar shows signs of weakening.
Japan’s domestic agenda sends mixed signals: cabinet reshuffles and discussion of economic measures provide short-term support to equities, but for the exchange rate the key driver remains the trajectory of US Treasury yields and the risk of investor caution near levels that previously drew attention from financial authorities.
Given recent US rate commentary and the decline in global yields, the base case is a gradual move in USD/JPY toward 149.500, barring new factors that sharply improve the dollar backdrop. Risks to this view include unexpectedly restrictive signals from the US or a renewed rise in yields.
Trade recommendation: SELL 150.700, SL 150.900, TP 149.950
Gold Steady Above $4,000 — Dips Remain Buying Opportunities1) Macro & Fundamental Drivers
Narrative: Gold remains in a structural bull phase, supported by policy-easing expectations, soft USD/real yields, and persistent safe-haven demand. After the vertical run to—and through—the $4k handle, price is consolidating at elevated levels.
Rates/Yields: Markets still price near-term Fed cuts; real yields have eased from recent highs—historically bullish for gold.
USD: The dollar is mixed but broadly softer on easing expectations and global growth worries—tailwind for XAU.
Growth/Inflation mix: Growth data is uneven, inflation trend is moderating on a 3–6m basis; that reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold.
Risk Premium: Ongoing geopolitical/fiscal headlines (US fiscal noise, US–China tension) keep safe-haven bids alive.
Official & Institutional Demand: Central-bank net buying remains a structural pillar; ETF/retail participation is improving on breakouts.
Supply: Mine output growth is slow; AISC (all-in sustaining costs) are elevated—supportive to longer-term floor.
Bottom line: Macro backdrop remains gold-positive, with the caveat that the pace of the recent rally leaves price vulnerable to tactical pullbacks.
2) Flows & Positioning (what matters for timing)
CTA/Trend followers: Likely max long or near it after the $4k breakout. This magnifies both momentum upswings and the risk of air-pocket pullbacks if key levels break.
Options: Skew is biased to calls (crash-up hedging) but rich—implieds elevated. Fade extreme IV spikes; use options for defined-risk breakout exposure.
ETFs/CBs: Dip buying remains a theme; structural demand reduces the depth/duration of corrections.
3) Technicals (multi-timeframe)
Weekly
Trend: Strong uptrend, higher highs/higher lows; price well above rising 20/50-WMA equivalents.
Momentum: Weekly RSI high but not reversing—trend intact.
Daily
Structure: Post-breakout sideways-to-up range developing above the $4k handle (healthy digestion).
Key Levels:
Support: $4,100 (nearby pivot) → $4,050 (strong base) → $4,000 (psych + breakout retest).
Resistance: $4,180–4,200 (cap) → $4,300 (extension) → $4,400+ (measured move if momentum resumes).
Indicators: RSI cooling from overbought; ADX still firm; 10/20-DMA above 50-DMA—bullish stack.
Volatility: Daily ATR expanded—position size down, wider stops.
Intraday (H1–H4)
Bull channel intact while price makes higher lows above $4,100–4,120.
Intra supports: 4,120 / 4,090–4,100; Intra resistances: 4,175–4,200, then 4,240–4,260.
4) Scenario Map (next 1–2 weeks)
Scenario Catalyst / Sign Market Reaction Gold Plan
Bull Base Case Easing-friendly data; calm USD; steady risk-off tone Grind higher into 4,200 → 4,300 Buy dips 4,090–4,120; trail below 4,050
Bull Acceleration Dovish Fed signaling / softer inflation, risk flare-ups Break & close > 4,200, momentum to 4,300–4,400 Breakout long on daily/15-min close >4,200; add through 4,240
Sideways/Mean Revert Mixed data; USD stabilizes; profit-taking Chop 4,050–4,200 range Range trade: buy 4,070–4,100, fade 4,190–4,210 with tight stops
Bear Risk (tactical) Hawkish surprise / strong USD / hot inflation Flush to 4,000–4,020; if breaks, 3,950 Stand aside into the flush; reload longs on reclaim of 4,050/4,100 or buy 3,950 with reversal signal
5) Trade Plans (levels are live-action guides)
A) Swing – Buy the Dip (core idea)
Entry: 4,090–4,120 (staggered)
Invalidation: Daily close < 4,050
Targets: 4,180 / 4,220; runners 4,300
Notes: Use half size first; add only on strength back above the 4,150 pivot.
B) Breakout – Continuation
Trigger: 15–60min close > 4,200 with expanding volume / breadth
Stop: 4,160–4,170 (below breakout)
Targets: 4,260 / 4,300 / 4,360
Tactics: Trail stop under rising 20-EMA (H1).
C) Tactical Short – Reversion
Setup: Rejection wicks at 4,190–4,210 or parabolic spike >4,240 without breadth
Stop: Above the rejection high (tight)
Targets: 4,150 / 4,120; stretch 4,080
Note: Counter-trend. Keep size small and take profits fast.
Risk & Sizing
Keep risk 1–2% per idea.
ATR-adjust stops; don’t widen stops—cut size instead.
Avoid stacking correlated risk; use time-stops if catalysts disappoint.
6) What Would Change My View?
Bearish shift: A sustained daily close below $4,000, or a sharp rebound in real yields + USD with hawkish Fed tone.
Bullish extension: A clean weekly close > $4,200 with improving breadth; that unlocks 4,300–4,400 roadmap.
EURJPY Long Confluence between fundamental & TechnicalOANDA:EURJPY
Fundamentals: Bullish — 5 Stacks
Technicals: Diamond Vault Bullish — 7 Stacks
Summary: Strongest dual confirmation; macro and momentum align perfectly. Carry advantage, ECB tone, and ADX strength sustain powerful uptrend.
This pair is ready to jet higher.
Good luck.
EURUSD — Decline from Supply ZoneEURUSD pair, after testing the 1.1780–1.1820 supply zone, shows a clear sellers’ reaction and forms a descending channel. Volume profile confirms bearish pressure, indicating a potential continuation of the downward move. Key downside targets are located at 1.1610, 1.1557, and 1.1200. As long as the price remains below 1.1720, the short bias remains valid.
From the fundamental side, euro weakness is driven by dovish ECB comments and strong U.S. data, while the dollar index holds near local highs. This supports the continuation of the bearish scenario in the coming weeks.
Conclusion: bearish setup remains valid below 1.1720–1.1780, with targets 1.1550–1.1200.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues its historic rally, printing new all-time highs almost daily. Price is currently hovering around 4,356, consolidating just below the 4,385 resistance after a steep vertical move higher.
Momentum remains strong, with price holding well above both the MA50 and MA200, confirming that buyers remain firmly in control.
Immediate resistance sits at 4,385, followed by 4,406, 4,425, and 4,445. If price fails to break above 4,356, watch the First Reaction Zone (4,329–4,307) for a potential minor pullback.
Failure to hold this zone could open the way for a deeper correction toward lower support areas in line with the moving averages.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4356
4385
4406
4425
4445
Support:
4329
4307
4280
4257
4235
4205
🔎 Fundamental focus:
The U.S. government shutdown and ongoing U.S.–China trade tensions continue to cloud market sentiment, driving investors toward safe-haven assets. The uncertainty has created a “no-ceiling” environment for gold, where every dip is quickly absorbed and traders keep chasing fresh all-time highs amid strong momentum and risk aversion.
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 17, 2025 GBPUSDThe pound trades above 1.34000, responding to broad US dollar weakness and moderately positive signals from the UK economy. Recent GDP prints point to a slight pickup in activity late in the summer, helping sterling stay at the upper end of the weekly range. On the pound’s side are stable short-term UK gilt yields and a lower risk premium for the dollar. Live quotes confirm a 1.34300–1.34500 range.
Demand for GBP is also supported by expectations of a cautious stance at the Bank of England: the regulator seeks to keep inflation on a downward path without abrupt moves, while markets gradually price later timing for any potential easing. Meanwhile, the external agenda (US–China trade issues, swings in global equity indices) reduces the dollar’s appeal as a defensive asset, indirectly facilitating sterling’s advance.
The US backdrop adds to GBPUSD’s fundamental case: prolonged budget uncertainty and softer-sounding remarks from some Fed officials reduce the yield advantage in favor of the dollar. This keeps the door open for a move toward 1.35000, provided there are no negative surprises from the UK side.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.34450, SL 1.34250, TP 1.35150.
Diamond Vault Setup: 5 Fundamental + 7 Technical Stacks in Full OANDA:USDCHF USDCHF — Diamond Vault Setup: 5 Fundamental + 7 Technical Stacks in Full Alignment
The USDCHF setup stands out as a Diamond Vault trade — where both Fundamental and Technical confluence align with precision.
We are stacked with the Big 5 Fundamentals: softening US inflation, dovish Fed commentary, firm Swiss GDP resilience, stabilizing risk sentiment, and ongoing safe-haven flows into the Franc.
On the Technical side, all 7 stacks are in play — price trading below every EMA, RSI under 45, a clearly negative MACD, and an ADX above 25 with strong −DI dominance, confirming sustained bearish pressure.
This alignment represents a rare high-probability setup where macro and momentum are synchronized.
A break below 0.79 could open the door toward 0.7750 with confirmation from continued divergence across momentum oscillators.
⚠️ Reminder: Even with full confluence, proper money management is key.
Position sizing should respect your ATR-based risk model — Stop Loss = 1.52×ATR, Take Profit = 2.6×Risk minimum.
Protect capital first, profits second.
Bias: 🔻 Extremely Bearish
Classification: 🟩 Diamond Vault (5 Fundamentals + 7 Technicals)
ADX: 17.39 (rising) | −DI dominance: confirmed
suggest SL 0.8033 TP 0.7748
Gold Holding Strong Above $4,100 — Bulls Eye $4,300 Next🌍 Market Update & Key Drivers
Gold is holding above $4,100/oz, after a strong run.
Safe-haven demand is still a major driver given global uncertainties (trade tensions, risk in U.S. fiscal policy).
The U.S. dollar remains soft, which is favorable for gold.
Fed rate-cut expectations are still elevated; major central banks and ETFs continue to accumulate gold positions.
Some caution emerges: central banks and institutional funds may take partial profits, leading to short-term volatility.
📈 Technical Structure & Levels
Support Zones
First: ~$4,100
Then: ~$4,050
Deeper: ~$4,000
Resistance / Target Zones
$4,200 → $4,300
If momentum is strong: $4,400+
The trend is strongly bullish, but momentum indicators suggest overextension. A cooling-off or sideways phase is possible before new highs.
🎯 Bias & Trade Strategy
Directional Bias: Bullish overall, but expect short-term consolidation.
Trade ideas:
Buy on dips into recent support zones (e.g. $4,050–$4,100).
Breakout trade: If gold convincingly breaks above $4,200 with strong volume, engage for a move to $4,300+.
Scalp / Short pullback: If you see reversal signals near recent highs, play short-term moves back to support.
Key risk factors include: hawkish surprises from the Fed, USD strength, or large profit-taking at extremes.
OSCR breakout from accumulation and start of a new trendOscar Health (NYSE: OSCR) is emerging as one of the more interesting names in the U.S. healthcare insurance sector. After an extended accumulation phase, the stock has broken out and is now trading above its major EMAs (50/100/200), confirming a structural shift toward a bullish trend.
The pattern resembles an inverse head and shoulders, with the 17.50–20.00 area acting as strong base support. A confirmed breakout above this zone sets the stage for a move toward 37.78 (Target 1) and potentially 93.55 (Target 2) — the upper boundary of the mid-term ascending channel.
Fundamentally, The company continues to grow its customer base and improve margins after strategic restructuring. Its shift toward tech-driven insurance solutions and partnerships with major healthcare providers strengthen its position. Recent earnings reports show narrowing losses and revenue stabilization — a sign of operational progress.
This looks like the early stage of a longer recovery cycle: the market is moving out of accumulation, but confirmation above 20.00–25.00 is crucial. As always — stay disciplined and trade by structure, not emotion.
GBP/JPY | Breakout Alert! (16.10.2025)The GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern.
This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 204.11
2nd Resistance – 201.77
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Disclaimer: This is for educational and analytical purposes only. Trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for everyone. Do your own research (DYOR) and always manage your risk. Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. "Charts Don't Lie, Traders Don't Quit."
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EUR/GBP - Triangle Breakout (16.10.2025)📊 Setup Overview:
EUR/GBP has formed a Symmetrical Triangle and is now breaking below the lower trendline support, signaling a bearish continuation setup. The recent cloud cross confirms bearish momentum, aligning perfectly with the price structure for a potential downside move.
📈 Trade Plan: Bias: Bearish
Sell Entry Zone: Below 0.8680 (after breakout confirmation)
1st Target: 0.8655 ✅
2nd Target: 0.8640 🎯
Invalidation: Above 0.8715 resistance zone
🧩 Supporting Factors:
Clear Triangle Breakout pattern breakdown
Cloud cross confirming bearish momentum
Price trading below Ichimoku Cloud, showing downside pressure
Volume profile supports potential drop toward the next demand zone
#EURGBP #Forex #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ChartPatterns #TriangleBreakout #Ichimoku #BearishSetup #ForexSignals #FXTrading #ChartsDontLie
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This chart is for educational and analytical purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage your risk wisely and confirm setups with your own analysis before trading.
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USDX — rebound from demand zoneThe U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) is correcting within an upward channel. After testing the demand zone 98.20–98.80 on the 4H chart, a double bottom pattern appeared, signaling a potential bullish continuation.
Strong Smart Money and volume support remain near 98.50. As long as price stays above this area, the bullish scenario remains valid.
Targets for growth are located at 100.12 and 101.03 — key supply zones and previous highs.
The dollar is supported by solid U.S. macro data and expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher rates for longer. This keeps the USD attractive and favors further recovery.
The bullish bias remains while price holds above 98.20. Only a confirmed breakdown below 97.50 would shift the structure to bearish.