Gold→ Between Glory and CollapseGold has climbed without mercy, each retrace shallow, each rally sharper than the last.
Now the metal stands suspended between glory above 3700 and collapse into the 3579 support shelf.
Above, the 3687–3700 premium zone glows like bait. Breakouts here could unleash a frenzy, pulling in late buyers and forcing shorts into a brutal squeeze. But every step higher walks deeper into thin air, where reversals strike hardest.
Below, the 3579–3540 demand base waits patiently. It’s the foundation of this whole move — the line that must hold if bulls want to defend the uptrend. If price ever cuts back to this shelf, it won’t just test support; it will test conviction.
This is no ordinary range. It’s a battlefield stretched to extremes:
⚔️ Above 3700 → euphoria and chase.
⚔️ Below 3579 → panic and liquidation.
Gold doesn’t move aimlessly — it hunts. And right now, it’s hunting those who believe it can only go one way.
Gold is writing history between 3700 glory and 3579 collapse.
If this map sharpened your view, show some love: smash that like, hit follow, and support the idea so we keep bringing you daily precision charts.
— GoldFxMinds 🚀✨
Fvg
H1 XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – Full Map (Sep 8–12, 2025)Hello traders, gold trades around 3585–3600. The H1 chart now gives us the full structural map: all supply levels stacked above price, and all demand levels layered below. This is the tactical roadmap for the week 👇
🔑 H1 Structural Supply Zones (Upside Resistance)
Immediate Supply (3618–3628)
H1 OB + bearish FVG
Liquidity above Friday’s wick
Fib 127% extension
Primary Supply (3668–3678)
Refined H4 supply
Fib 161.8% extension
Gap inefficiency
Extended Supply (3725–3735)
Next liquidity pocket
H1 imbalance zone inside rally
Target only if CPI fuels expansion
Extreme Supply (3790–3805)
HTF fib 200% extension
Last clean H1 OB before weekly resistance cluster
🔑 H1 Structural Demand Zones (Downside Support)
Immediate Demand (3562–3552)
H1 OB + EMA21
Fib 61.8% retracement
Gap-fill from breakout
Primary Demand (3528–3515)
OB + EMA50 support
Unfilled FVG
Fib 78.6% retracement
Secondary Demand (3488–3475)
Previous accumulation base
Micro OB + gap imbalance
Aligned with EMA100
Deep Demand (3445–3430)
Institutional block
Strong HTF liquidity pool
Only tested on aggressive USD rally
📌 Scenarios
Bullish Path 🟢
Hold Immediate Demand (3562–3552) → retest 3618–3628.
Break above this → continuation toward 3668–3678.
If macro stays supportive, 3725–3735 may unlock later.
Bearish Path 🔴
Rejection at 3618–3628 sends gold back to 3562–3552.
Losing this opens 3528–3515, then deeper 3488–3475.
Strong CPI/PPI could flush into 3445–3430.
✅ Conclusion & Action Plan
The full H1 map frames this week clearly:
Supplies stacked: 3618–3628 → 3668–3678 → 3725–3735 → 3790–3805.
Demands layered: 3562–3552 → 3528–3515 → 3488–3475 → 3445–3430.
Between these zones is the battlefield — trade reactions, not guesses. Let PA confirm (BOS, rejection, slowdown) before execution.
✨ Which zone do you expect to trigger first — the Immediate Supply 3628 or the Immediate Demand 3552? Drop your view 👇,please 🚀🚀🚀and follow GoldFxMinds for precision weekly maps 🚀
H4 XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – September 8–12, 2025Hello traders, gold ended last week at 3585–3600, breaking into fresh highs. The H4 chart now sets the battlefield for this week: we refine the institutional zones into clear swing areas where liquidity and reactions are most likely. With PPI (Sep 10) and CPI (Sep 11) ahead, these zones will shape the flow 👇
🔸 H4 Structure & Trend
Trend: Strong bullish → higher highs and higher lows continue.
EMAs (5/21/50/100/200) → perfectly aligned, EMA21 supports short-term structure.
RSI: Near 68, showing momentum strength but stretched into premium levels.
Bias: Bullish, but with room for correction into lower demand zones.
🔑 H4 Structural Zones
Upside Supply / Resistance
3615–3635 → First H4 supply, immediate test zone above 3600.
3665–3685 → Main H4 supply of the week, strong resistance cluster.
3735–3755 → Extended upside supply, only unlocked if CPI/PPI favor gold.
Downside Demand / Support
3565–3545 → Nearest H4 demand, aligned with EMA21.
3525–3505 → Secondary demand, key support base if 3550 fails.
3465–3445 → Deeper H4 demand, liquidity zone and EMA100 alignment.
📌 Weekly Scenarios
Bullish Path 🟢
If gold holds above 3565–3545, buyers can defend and attack higher levels.
Break above 3615–3635 unlocks 3665–3685.
Macro momentum (weak CPI/PPI) could drive extension into 3735–3755.
Bearish Path 🔴
Rejection at 3615–3635 may drag gold back into 3565–3545.
Losing this zone opens 3525–3505.
If macro favors USD, deeper test into 3465–3445 becomes possible.
✅ Conclusion & Action Plan
The H4 map with wide zones gives clarity for the week:
3565–3545 → key demand lifeline.
3615–3635 → immediate ceiling.
3665–3685 → decisive zone for continuation or reversal.
Expect sideways early in the week, then breakout volatility around Wednesday’s PPI and Thursday’s CPI.
✨ Will bulls break 3615–3635 early, or do we dip into 3545–3525 first? Share your thoughts , 🚀🚀🚀and follow GoldFxMinds for weekly precision outlooks 🚀
Daily XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – September 8–12, 2025Hello traders, after gold closed last week near 3600, we step into a week dominated by U.S. inflation data (PPI on Sep 10, CPI + Unemployment Claims on Sep 11, UoM Sentiment on Sep 12). The daily chart is stretched bullish, but structure shows where buyers and sellers are likely to fight. Let’s break down the map 👇
🔸 Daily Structure & Trend
Trend: Strong bullish continuation → daily candles are stacked above EMA5/21, showing institutional control.
Momentum: RSI near 70, confirming overbought but still within expansion mode.
Price action: Last week printed a powerful bullish engulfing → buyers firmly in control.
Bias: Bullish overall, but sensitive to mid-week CPI/PPI.
🔑 Daily Structural Zones for the Week
Upside Supply / Resistance
3620–3640 → First resistance area above 3600. Expect rejections or breakouts here.
3665–3700 → Main daily supply zone, aligning with HTF resistance.
3810–3860 → Extended bullish target zone if CPI/PPI data weakens USD.
Downside Demand / Support
3550–3530 → Nearest daily support, aligned with EMA5. Bulls need to defend this zone to sustain momentum.
3485–3520 → Stronger daily demand zone, previous breakout base.
3375–3325 → Deep daily demand and structural defense for the bullish trend.
📌 Weekly Scenarios
Bullish Path 🟢
If gold holds 3550+, buyers can attempt another push toward 3620–3640.
A clean breakout opens the door for 3665–3700 and possibly 3810–3860 by end of week if CPI favors gold.
Bearish Path 🔴
If sellers reject 3620–3640, price could correct back into 3550–3530.
Losing 3550 exposes 3485–3520 as the deeper retracement zone.
Strong USD data (hot CPI/PPI) could pull price even lower into 3375–3325.
✅ Conclusion & Action Plan
The daily chart sets a clear battlefield for this week:
3550–3530 = immediate lifeline for bulls.
3620–3640 = first ceiling to break.
3665–3700 = main supply target for a bullish continuation.
Failure at these levels opens the way for a corrective dip into 3485–3520.
Expect a quiet start Monday–Tuesday, followed by heavy volatility from Wednesday’s PPI and Thursday’s CPI. Trade the reactions, not the guesses.
✨ Do you see gold climbing straight to 3700, or does it need a reset at 3550 first? Drop your thoughts , 🚀🚀🚀and follow GoldFxMinds for more weekly precision maps 🚀
Gold Futures Short Into Asia 9/7/25Based on the current Fair Value Gap (FVG), Order Block (OB), and the liquidity resting below, I anticipate gold will retrace toward the Point of Control (POC) identified on the volume profile. This would provide an ideal setup for short-term selling opportunities during tonight’s PM session.
My expectation is for price to open lower, push into the 3658 range, and present a bearish entry signal. From there, I’ll be targeting shorts toward the equilibrium of the FVG around 3619, which also aligns closely with previous session highs and lows—adding confluence to the setup.
USDCAD bearish possibility There are a two bottom liquidity's not sweep, so it's mean the price should go down to sweep their liquidity . Also maybe we will have a head & shoulder pattern
Also, when the price going to sweep liquidity, there is FVG that must be visited, which confirms the process of liquidity sweep.
Let's see what will happen, and will update later
USDT.D — 1W FVG Test & RSI Bull Div | Caution for RiskUSDT Dominance is testing a major 1W FVG support area while developing bullish divergences on the 4H RSI. Although a short-term bounce and market correction are likely, the overall bullish trend in BTC means a sharp reversal is not guaranteed. Risk management is a priority here — no high-risk positions until the RSI resets and market context is clearer.
1W FVG support + 4H RSI bull div
Bounce likely = correction on risk assets
RSI needs reset to 50 before reassessing
If lost — risk-off, possible slice down
Reasoning: Support + momentum, but trend is bullish — not risking gains here
Long from accumulation range: targets 1.50 → 2.35 (Weekly FVG)Price is sitting at the upper edge of the 0.78–0.83 accumulation. Above, unfilled FVG clusters on D1/W1 act as magnets; the first target is 1.50, then 2.00–2.35 (Weekly FVG). VPVR shows the main volume base at 0.70–0.83.
Idea
Counter-trend long from range support with base R/R ≈ 3.7. Expectation: liquidity sweep to the upside and FVG fills.
Trade Plan (laddered limits)
Entries: 0.820 (40%), 0.780 (30%), 0.650 (30%)
Hard stop (invalidation): 0.611
TP1: 1.500 (take 50%)
TP2: 2.350 (leave 50%)
Risk / Reward
Max risk to stop: −23.63% from 0.800 → 0.611.
Upside: +87.5% to 1.50 and +193.8% to 2.35.
Base R/R ≈ 3.7.
Management
After 1.00–1.05, move stop to breakeven (avg entry). After TP1, trail under the latest H4/D1 HL and hold for the Weekly FVG 2.00–2.35.
Key Levels
Support: 0.83 / 0.78 / 0.72–0.70 / 0.65
Resistance: 1.00 / 1.20–1.35 / 1.50 / 1.95 / 2.35
Confirmation Triggers
H4/D1 close above 0.90–1.00 (fresh HH)
Impulsive move from 0.78–0.83 with volume and absorption of the last bearish block
Alternative (bearish)
Clean break and acceptance below 0.611 cancels the idea; wait for a new base/re-accumulation.
Risks
Meme coins are prone to sharp liquidity flushes; use strict position sizing and respect the stop.
DXY - OTE + SD Long TradeThis was my trade in TVC:DXY
This is the example of an absolute perfect entry and exit.
Entry at Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) level 0.5 .
Stoploss below swing low.
Exit half lots at Standard Deviation TP 1 and rest of the lots at Standard Deviation TP 2.
They say the perfect trade doesn't exist. But here is something to change your mind :)
Share your thoughts and analysis in the comments! I'd love to learn more.
"Gold’s Critical Bounce Zone – Is $3,400 the Next Magnet Level?""Gold’s Critical Bounce Zone – Is $3,400 the Next Magnet Level?"
📊 XAUUSD is showing a textbook bullish structure setup after forming a Higher Low right above strong support at $3,339. Price is now trading inside the Entry Zone ($3,348 – $3,339), an area that aligns with:
✅ Order Block Support
✅ Previous Break of Structure (BOS)
✅ Smart Money Fair Value Gap (FVG) retest
🧐 Market Structure Insight
Recent BOS flipped bias to bullish after buyers pushed through prior resistance.
A bullish FVG from earlier in the trend still holds influence, attracting price back for a healthy retest.
The current Higher Low shows buyers stepping in early, maintaining upward momentum.
Strong resistance is located at $3,400 – $3,440, which also acts as a psychological magnet for traders.
🎯 Trade Plan (Educational Example)
Entry Zone: 3,348 – 3,339 📍
Stop Loss: below 3,339 🛑
Target 1: 3,380 🎯 (partial profits)
Target 2: 3,400 ⭐ (main target)
Extended Target: 3,420 – 3,440 💎
📈 Reward to Risk: ~1.6R to the main target, with potential 2.9R to extended resistance if momentum accelerates.
EURUSD - Bullish momentum for the week!Introduction
The EURUSD has been consolidating for a prolonged period, sweeping both upside and downside liquidity in the process. After the liquidity sweep to the downside, price reacted strongly by moving upwards, indicating a shift in market structure. The pair has since inverted the previously bearish 4-hour fair value gap, which now acts as a bullish reference point, and is currently holding within the 1-hour fair value gap. As long as price maintains this 1-hour FVG support, there remains a strong case for further upside movement.
Liquidity Sweep
The recent downside liquidity sweep was a significant turning point. By driving below key lows and collecting stop orders, EURUSD effectively cleared the market of weak positions. This was followed by a sharp rejection, represented by a wick, which signaled strong buying interest at these levels. Since then, the market has been climbing steadily, showing intent to challenge the higher liquidity levels resting above.
Inversion
Following the liquidity sweep, EURUSD inverted the bearish 4-hour fair value gap. What was previously an area of supply and resistance has now been reclaimed and transformed into a demand zone. This inversion is an important bullish signal because it indicates that sellers were absorbed and that buyers have successfully taken control. As long as this zone remains intact, the path of least resistance continues to lean upward.
1-Hour Bullish FVG
Currently, EURUSD is resting on a 1-hour bullish fair value gap. This area serves as an important support level, and as long as it holds, price is likely to use it as a springboard for further gains. The next targets lie at the upside, beginning with the first objective at the intermediate resistance level labeled “Target 1,” before ultimately pushing towards the liquidity area above. By reaching this zone, the market would sweep short-side liquidations and potentially trigger momentum-driven buying.
Target Area
The primary targets for this bullish move are the two significant highs above the current range. These highs represent zones where stop-loss orders are most likely accumulated. By driving into and above these levels, EURUSD will effectively complete a liquidity grab, providing bulls with a logical profit-taking zone before the market considers a possible retracement. Such a move would align with the general principle of markets seeking liquidity before establishing a new direction.
Final Thoughts
In summary, EURUSD is showing constructive price action following its downside liquidity sweep and subsequent bullish reversal. The inversion of the 4-hour FVG and the current defense of the 1-hour FVG are both encouraging signs for buyers. As long as the 1-hour fair value gap continues to act as a firm support, the probability of an upward continuation towards the liquidity area remains strong. However, traders should also remain mindful that once the liquidity above the highs is collected, a corrective move to the downside could develop. For now, the short-term bias stays bullish, with clearly defined targets on the upside.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold at the Threshold – Can Bulls Break 3500? | H1 OutlookHello traders,
Gold is consolidating just under the all-time high at 3500. On H1, the chart shows stacked supply above and multiple demand layers below, creating a clear battlefield for the next big move 👇
🔹 H1 Supply & Targets (Above Price)
Immediate Supply 3461–3449 → secondary block with OB + FVG overlap.
Primary Supply 3495–3475 → key rejection zone under ATH, strong OB + liquidity inducement.
Liquidity Magnet 3500 → ATH level, buy-stop cluster above.
Fibo Extension Target 3520–3530 → first bullish expansion above ATH (1.272).
🔹 H1 Demand & Supports (Below Price)
Decision Demand 3435–3425 → aligned with EMA21, first correction pocket.
Mid Demand 3415–3405 → OB confluence + EMA50 support.
Deep Demand 3395–3380 → OB + imbalance + EMA100.
Final Demand 3375–3360 → EMA200 cluster, last major H1 support.
🔹 Bias
Bullish bias as long as price holds above 3435–3425.
Neutral zone between 3461–3449 demand flip and 3495–3475 supply.
Bearish shift only if candles close under 3395–3380.
🔹 Scenarios
Bullish Path:
Hold above 3435–3425 → retest 3495–3475 supply.
Break above supply → sweep ATH 3500 → expansion to 3520–3530.
Bearish Path:
Rejection at 3495–3475 → correction into 3435–3425.
Deeper rejection → cascade to 3415–3405 then 3395–3380.
🔹 Conclusion
Gold sits at a pivotal point: ATH magnet above vs. stacked demand layers below. If bulls defend retracements into 3435–3405, upside toward 3500+ stays on the table. If sellers hold both supply zones, correction opens down to EMA100–200 supports.
✨ This map gives a clear 4x4 structure of supply and demand.
Where do you stand — breakout of 3500 or deeper retrace? 👇
Like 🚀🚀🚀 Comment below & follow GoldFxMinds for precision sniper maps 🚀📈
H4 Outlook – Gold (XAUUSD) September 2025Hello traders,
Gold is pressing into premium territory, with sellers attempting to defend supply while a cluster of EMAs builds strong confluence below. Let’s refine the H4 battle map 👇
🔹 H4 Structural Zones
Short-Term Supply (3450–3470) → wick rejection zone, first intraday resistance.
Liquidity Magnet (3485–3500) → psychological round number + liquidity pool above highs.
Decision Demand (3420–3400) → first intraday support, aligned with EMA 21 (3404).
Mid-Term Demand (3380–3360) → valid OB + confluence with EMA 50 (3370), EMA 100 (3363), and EMA 200 (3357). This is the strongest support cluster.
Liquidity Sweep Zone (3320–3300) → inducement pocket if deeper retracement occurs.
🔹 EMA Confluence (H4)
EMA 5 → 3432 (guiding immediate momentum).
EMA 21 → 3404 (Decision Demand).
EMA 50 → 3370 (part of Mid-Term Demand).
EMA 100 → 3363 (inside Mid-Term Demand).
EMA 200 → 3357 (base of Mid-Term Demand).
💡 All three mid/long EMAs overlap between 3370–3357, making 3380–3360 a critical demand block.
🔹 Fibonacci Extensions
1.0 = 3480 → inside Liquidity Magnet.
1.272 = 3520–3530 → bullish expansion target.
1.618 = 3600–3620 → extended projection if bullish momentum holds.
🔹 Scenarios
Bullish:
Hold above 3420–3400 (Decision Demand) keeps flow bullish.
Break 3470 → run into Liquidity Magnet (3485–3500).
Above 3500 → Fibo extensions at 3520–3530 then 3600+.
Bearish:
Rejection from 3450–3470 → pullback to Decision Demand (3420–3400).
Break below → direct move into Mid-Term Demand (3380–3360, EMA cluster).
If that fails → liquidity sweep at 3320–3300.
✨🔹 H4 Bias
Bullish → while holding above 3400.
Neutral → ranging between 3450–3470 supply and 3400 demand.
Bearish → only if 3360 breaks, exposing 3320 liquidity.
My preferred bias is bullish, as long as 3400 holds. Gold is pressing into supply, and a sweep of the liquidity magnet at 3500 looks likely. A bearish shift only comes if 3360 breaks.Summary: On H4, gold is capped by 3450–3470 but strongly supported at 3380–3360, where three EMAs converge. 3500 remains the liquidity magnet, with Fibo extensions at 3520 and 3600.
✨ Stay sharp — gold is sitting between heavy supply above and strong EMA confluence demand below. Patience is key here, wait for confirmations before engaging.
What’s your view on gold’s next move? 👇
Drop a comment and don’t forget to like and follow GoldFxMinds for daily outlooks and precision sniper-entry plans 🚀📈
XAUUSD Professional OutlookXAUUSD Professional Outlook
Gold has been carving out a strong bullish structure, showing resilience after multiple liquidity sweeps and rejections from deeper zones. The chart indicates that buyers continue to dominate, with price currently pressing toward a critical resistance region.
🔹 Key Observations
Structure Alignment
The market has successfully defended every higher low, proving the strength of buyers.
Recent momentum confirms that demand zones are being respected while supply zones are gradually weakening.
Support & Demand Control
3320 – 3330 stands as a major structural support, where liquidity was swept and buyers re-entered aggressively.
Current buying zone around 3380 – 3400 is the short-term level where fresh orders may accumulate before continuation.
Resistance in Focus
The resistance block around 3415 – 3440 is the immediate test.
A rejection here could trigger a controlled pullback, but the probability favors a bullish breakout given the ongoing higher-low pattern.
Liquidity Dynamics
Smart money has already cleared liquidity below the July swing.
Market is now targeting liquidity pockets above, aligning with a push toward the 3440+ region.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
Bullish Case (Higher Probability)
Buy retracement toward 3380 – 3400, with upside targets at 3440 and extended 3480 – 3500 if breakout occurs.
Bearish Risk Case
Failure to hold above 3380 could push price back into 3320 demand, where the larger bullish thesis would be tested.
📝 Final Note
Gold is operating in a controlled bullish cycle with momentum favoring buyers. As long as 3320 holds firm, dips remain buying opportunities, and the path of least resistance is upward. The upcoming test at 3440 will be decisive for either a strong continuation or a temporary pullback
Bitcoin - Will the CME gap be filled?Introduction
Bitcoin has been under consistent downward pressure since it reached its new all-time high, and the market has been struggling to regain momentum. During the past weekend, we saw a notable drop in price that created a CME gap, which also happens to align with the bearish 4-hour fair value gap. Since then, the price has been climbing back up, but the recovery has been slow and cautious rather than explosive. The key question now is whether Bitcoin will continue to rise and fill the CME gap or whether it will lose strength and revisit the recent lows. In the following sections, I will go over the levels and scenarios to watch closely.
Daily FVG bounce
Last week, Bitcoin found support at the daily fair value gap, which acted as a strong demand zone. From this level, the price bounced upward and has been grinding higher ever since. Although this reaction gave some relief to buyers, the pace of the move has been rather sluggish, and momentum remains weak. What traders now need to evaluate is how far this move can realistically extend. The daily FVG provided the initial foundation for this bounce, but the real test will come as the price approaches shorter-term imbalances and resistance areas.
Bullish scenario
For the bullish outlook to play out, Bitcoin needs to hold the current 1-hour fair value gap as support. If this level remains intact, it will signal that buyers are in control of the short-term trend and that the recent bounce has the potential to evolve into a more sustainable rally. In that case, the next logical upside target would be the 4-hour fair value gap, which conveniently aligns with the CME gap left behind last weekend’s drop. Filling this inefficiency would not only provide a technical target for bulls but would also help restore some balance to the market structure.
Bearish scenario
On the other hand, if Bitcoin fails to maintain the 1-hour fair value gap and breaks below it with a clear 1-hour candle closure, the outlook shifts to bearish. This kind of move would create a bearish inversion and serve as confirmation that sellers are regaining control. If this occurs, the probability increases significantly that Bitcoin will revisit its recent lows. In such a case, the market could once again test the demand at the daily fair value gap, and depending on the strength of that support, we could even see deeper retracements.
Final thoughts
Bitcoin is currently at an important crossroads where both bullish and bearish outcomes remain possible. The reaction around the 1-hour fair value gap will provide the clearest signal as to which direction the market is likely to take next. If buyers manage to defend this level, the path toward the 4-hour FVG and the CME gap becomes a realistic target, offering room for a meaningful recovery. However, if sellers push the price below the 1-hour imbalance, then the recent bounce may be nothing more than a temporary relief rally before another leg down. Traders should remain cautious, monitor these key levels closely, and adapt to whichever scenario unfolds.
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Gold XAUUSD Buy SetupGold is forming a potential buy setup.
If price reaches the FVG zone and the M15 candle closes above the 50% level, a buy entry can be considered.
⚠️ Always wait for candle confirmation and manage risk properly.
Entry Zone: FVG 50% level
Trade: 3430+
Stop Loss: Below FVG zone
Risk/Reward: High probability setup"
EURUSD - Is there more bearish momentum ahead?Introduction
Last Friday, the EURUSD experienced a sharp move to the upside following Jerome Powell’s speech, which fueled optimism and created strong bullish momentum. However, the market could not sustain this rally, and by yesterday all the gains were fully retraced. Price dropped back into the bullish inversion fair value gap (FVG), ultimately filling it entirely. While this retracement has cooled off the bullish pressure, it has also introduced some new dynamics into the market that traders should be aware of.
Liquidity sweep
During Friday’s impulsive rally, EURUSD swept liquidity above the recent highs and simultaneously filled all the bearish fair value gaps. This move, while initially strong, did not manage to establish a sustainable break above those highs. As a result, bearish momentum began to reappear, suggesting that the rally was more of a liquidity grab rather than the start of a prolonged bullish trend.
Bullish case scenario
The bullish scenario from here would require EURUSD to reclaim strength and invalidate the recently formed bearish 4-hour FVG. For this to happen, the pair would need a decisive 4-hour candle close above this zone, signaling renewed upside momentum. Should buyers manage to achieve this, the next logical target would be another attempt at the highs that were swept on Friday. A confirmed break above those levels would strengthen the bullish case and potentially open the path to higher price levels.
Bearish case scenario
On the other hand, the bearish scenario appears more probable if EURUSD faces rejection at the bearish 4-hour FVG. A failure to break above this area would confirm that the bearish momentum is still in play. If that occurs, price will likely seek liquidity by moving lower, potentially targeting the bullish 4-hour FVG that sits beneath the liquidity zone. This move would align with the broader bearish structure and reinforce the idea that the market remains under selling pressure despite Friday’s rally.
Final thoughts
In conclusion, EURUSD is currently at a critical juncture, with both bullish and bearish scenarios still on the table. The decisive factor will be how price reacts around the bearish 4-hour FVG. A strong close above could set the stage for a continuation to the upside, while rejection from this zone would likely lead to a liquidity grab to the downside and a revisit of lower fair value gaps. Traders should remain cautious and patient, waiting for clear confirmations before committing to a direction, as the market continues to balance between bullish hopes and bearish pressure.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Reload at $0.40, ride the trend toward $0.90–$1.20ENA is tracking a higher-timeframe bullish structure while eyeing a deep retest at $0.40. That zone aligns with prior demand and alert levels from the author. The monthly support / invalidation sits at ~$0.238 — a break below would negate the idea.
Trade Plan (Swing)
Entry: $0.4000 (limit; consider a ladder $0.415 → $0.400 → $0.385)
Stop (hard): $0.2380 (monthly break) → −40.50%
Targets:
TP1: $0.70 (+75.0%) — partials/stop to BE
TP2: $0.90 (+125.0%) — main take
TP3 (stretch): $1.20 (+200.0%)
Baseline R:R: ~3.09 : 1 (0.40 → 0.90 vs. 0.238)
Scenarios
A) Preferred — Deep Retest & Reversal at $0.40
Trigger: Wick into $0.41–$0.39 with H4/W1 SFP/BOS + reclaim of $0.40.
Execution: Fill ladder; add on reclaim > $0.40 (flip to support).
Invalidation: Daily/Weekly close < $0.238 (monthly level lost). Tighten if H4 structure fails repeatedly below $0.39.
B) Shallow Pullback, Continuation Above $0.40
Trigger: Hold >$0.40 without a deep tag; higher lows on H4.
Execution: Buy on retest $0.40–$0.41 with confirmation (LL→HL shift).
Invalidation: H4 acceptance < $0.40 (failed flip); hard stop unchanged $0.238.
Smart Money View
Setup resembles a “deep reload” into demand before expansion. If $0.40 holds and flips, the draw favors inefficiency fills toward $0.70 → $0.90, with $1.20 as extension once weekly momentum compounds.
Risk & Management
Size down to respect the HTF stop distance; ladder entries to improve average.
After TP1 $0.70, move stop to break-even and trail below fresh higher lows on H4/D1.
Avoid chasing mid-range between $0.45–$0.65 without a clean pullback or structure break.
Breakout > $112,000 or Demand Reload $107,000–$104,000BTC is compressing below the decision level at $112,000. Liquidity is stacked at Equal Highs $112,300–$113,700 and Equal Lows near $107,000, with a daily demand/FVG around $104,000. Expect a quick liquidity sweep before direction is chosen.
Trade Plan
Scenario A — Breakout Long (> $112,300-112,700)
Trigger: H1/H4 close above $112,700 with acceptance (no immediate reclaim back below $112,300).
Entry: Stop-limit on confirmation or on the first clean retest of $112,000 as support (flip).
Targets:
• TP2: $115,000+ (range expansion)
Invalidation: H4 close back below $112,000 after the flip (failed breakout). Conservative hard invalidation: daily close < $111,500.
Scenario B — Demand Long ($107,000–$104,000)
Trigger: Sweep/visit of $107,000 into $104,000 FVG/demand, then bullish reversal signal on H1/H4 (SFP, BOS + retest).
Entry: Ladder limits $107,000 → $104,000.
Invalidation: Daily close below $104,000 (demand lost). Tighter option: H4 close < $102,156.
Positioning & Risk
Split size 50/50 across scenarios (breakout vs. reload) or use conditional orders.
Move stops to BE after TP1 or once $112,000 holds as support.
Expect wicks: allow for confirmation; avoid chasing mid-range.
EURUSD - Bullish outlook heading into next week!Introduction
The EURUSD experienced a strong surge last Friday, largely driven by Jerome Powell’s speech, which added significant momentum to the market. This impulsive move to the upside successfully filled both the bearish 4-hour and 1-hour Fair Value Gaps (FVGs). The candle that formed was notably strong and bullish, and because of its size and strength, it is highly probable that we will see at least a 50% retracement of this candle before price continues to push higher. Such a retracement would allow the market to gather liquidity and prepare for another bullish leg.
Liquidity Sweep
Before this sharp rally, the EURUSD executed a liquidity sweep at the recent lows, clearing out stop losses and inducing sellers into the market. This is a classic move often seen before a strong reversal to the upside. Following this sweep, price accelerated with an aggressive bullish candle. My expectation now is for the market to retrace into this candle, ideally retracing deeply enough to provide a high-probability entry for continuation to the upside. This liquidity sweep sets the stage for a bullish scenario, as it suggests that smart money has already accumulated positions at discounted levels.
Resistance
As price surged higher, it tapped into a key area of resistance, which aligns with both the 1-hour and 4-hour FVGs. This confluence of timeframes strengthens the validity of the resistance zone and explains why price has reacted from this level. I anticipate that breaking through this resistance will require additional momentum, which may not occur immediately. Instead, we could see a short-term pullback or cooldown that allows the market to gather strength before attempting to push through this supply zone. This resistance area will therefore act as a decisive battleground for buyers and sellers.
Bullish Support
The strong bullish candle formed during the rally now serves as a new area of support. I expect price to respect the 50% retracement level of this candle, which lies around 1.166. This midpoint often acts as a significant level in technical analysis, and holding above it would confirm bullish continuation. As long as price remains above this zone, the momentum remains to the upside, and the probability of another move higher increases. This makes the retracement into this level a potential buying opportunity.
Inversion
Another important factor to consider is the inversion of the 4-hour FVG. On the previous drop, the EURUSD created a bearish 4-hour FVG, which initially acted as resistance. However, with the latest bullish impulse, this same zone has now flipped into an inversion FVG, transforming from a bearish area into a bullish support. This inversion highlights a significant shift in market structure and suggests that bulls are taking control of the price action. This level will be crucial to watch, as holding above it strengthens the case for further upside.
Final Thoughts
In summary, the EURUSD is showing strong bullish potential following the liquidity sweep and the aggressive rally sparked by Powell’s speech. While the market has reached a significant resistance area marked by the 1-hour and 4-hour FVGs, a retracement into the 50% level of the bullish candle would be healthy and provide a potential entry point for buyers. With the inversion of the previous bearish FVG into bullish support, the technical picture favors the upside as long as key support levels are respected. The coming sessions will reveal whether the market has the strength to break through resistance and continue its upward trajectory.
Bitcoin - A Deep Sweep Setting Up the Next ExpansionBitcoin just swept the monthly low of August as well as the previous day’s low. This was a clear liquidity grab that lined up with today’s bullish momentum in the market. The strong reaction from this zone shows that buyers were waiting for these liquidity levels to get cleared before stepping in.
Liquidity Sweep and Reaction
The sweep was significant because it cleared out resting sell-side liquidity to the left. This kind of move usually sets the stage for a reversal, and the large impulse candle confirms strong demand stepping in. While some might see this as just a reaction to external events, the technical picture supports continuation higher.
Immediate Target
The first target is sitting around 117,000. This level lines up with short-term inefficiencies and is a logical magnet for price in the coming sessions. I expect this liquidity pool to be swept before any meaningful retracement.
Retracement Expectation
After hitting the first target, I anticipate a move back down to fill around 50% of the large green impulse candle. Big candles like this often retrace partially before continuing their main direction. That retracement will provide a cleaner structure and a chance for re-entries on lower timeframes.
Higher-Timeframe Objective
Once the retracement plays out, the bigger objective sits higher at the unmitigated 4H fair value gap around 120,500. This area remains untouched and is likely to act as a price magnet as the market seeks balance.
Conclusion
The sweep of key lows combined with the strong impulsive move is a bullish development. I expect price to first tag 117,000, then retrace into the large candle before resuming higher towards the 4H FVG.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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