Bitcoin - Will the bears push the price towards $104.000?Introduction
Bitcoin is currently in a phase of consolidation following the recent sharp decline. For several days, the price has been forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating increasing tension between buyers and sellers. This phase is often seen as a period of preparation for a larger move. However, clear bullish momentum is still lacking, which increases the risk of a downward breakout.
Triangle pattern
The price is moving within a triangle pattern, where the highs are decreasing and the lows are slightly rising. This suggests a compression of liquidity and declining volatility. The upper boundary of the pattern acts as dynamic resistance, while the lower boundary serves as support. Once the price breaks out of this structure, the direction of the next major move will likely be determined. For now, the price seems trapped between these two key levels.
Liquidity at the top with the bearish 4h FVG tested
Yesterday, the upper side of the structure was tested, just above the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG). In that area, liquidity from previous highs was also located. The price reacted with a strong rejection and quickly fell back. This reaction confirmed that sellers still have control and that demand has weakened. The signal indicates that the market is struggling to break above $114,000.
4h bearish FVG
The 4-hour bearish FVG is located between approximately $108,600 and $111,300. This zone now serves as a key resistance area. Each time the price touches this region, selling pressure increases, limiting further upside movement. As long as this zone is not convincingly broken with volume, the short-term trend remains bearish. A breakout above this level could open the door to higher targets.
Liquidity area at the bottom
At the lower end of the triangle, there is a clear liquidity area around $103,500. This is where stop-losses from long positions and potential buy orders from large players are located, waiting for a liquidity grab. If the price moves into this area, a short wick downward could occur before a potential bounce takes place. Therefore, this level is important to monitor in case of a downward breakout.
Conclusion
BTC still shows no signs of strength. The rejection from the 4-hour bearish FVG above the liquidity zone points to a lack of buying interest. As long as the price remains within the triangle and trades below $113,000, the likelihood of a downward move remains higher. Only a convincing breakout above the upper boundary could temporarily improve market sentiment. Until then, the bears remain in control, with focus on the support around the lower liquidity zone.
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Fvg
AVNT Bullish Reversal / Accumulation Entry on the 2H macro phase.
2H Manipulation phase (0.7258 - 0.4316) is confirmed as {COMPLETE}. Price is now in the high-probability {Accumulation} phase—the institutional setup for a massive directional shift.
ENTRY CONFLUENCE (UNICORN MODEL)
MAIN ENTRY 0.5007
exact boundary of the 30m FVG (0.5007 - 0.4990), strategically placed for optimal mitigation and nested within the 30m Breaker Block for supreme structural support.
SL 0.4866 (Placed below the 30m Breaker Block for absolute invalidation control
Price Doesn’t Move Randomly: It Hunts Liquidity1. Introduction
Every trader starts by learning “supply and demand.”
Sounds logical: buyers push price up, sellers push it down.
But that’s not how it really works.
Price doesn’t move because of demand.
It moves toward liquidity — where orders exist.
The market’s goal is simple: find liquidity, fill it, and move on.
2. What Is Liquidity?
Liquidity is the pool of pending orders sitting on the chart — stop losses, limit orders, and resting positions.
Think of them as magnets.
Above highs: stop losses from shorts.
Below lows: stop losses from longs.
Around major levels: limit orders waiting to be filled.
Institutions and large players can’t just “market buy” or “market sell” huge positions — they need liquidity to fill them efficiently.
So, price hunts it.
3. The Game of Stop Hunts
You see it all the time:
A breakout above resistance → instant reversal.
A sweep below support → immediate bounce.
That’s not coincidence — that’s a liquidity grab.
Big players push price to trigger stop losses, collect those orders, and then reverse in the true direction.
Retail traders call it “manipulation.”
Smart traders call it “the business model.”
4. How to Read It
Stop focusing on predicting direction — start identifying where liquidity sits.
Look for:
Equal highs/lows → obvious stop clusters.
Clean levels that everyone sees → perfect trap zones.
FVGs or inefficiencies → likely rebalance points post-hunt.
Instead of asking “where will it go,” ask “who’s trapped?”
5. Takeaway
The market isn’t random. It’s strategic.
Every wick, every fake breakout, every stop hit — it all serves one purpose: to find liquidity.
Stop trying to predict the next candle.
Start understanding why the candle exists.
Price hunts liquidity — not logic.
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 22/10/2025The Judas Swing strategy continues to show how patience and structure can consistently produce high-probability setups. Yesterday FX:EURUSD offered a clear example of how the market manipulates early liquidity before revealing its true move.
Heading into 08:30EST, price had been trading in a tight range throughout 00:00 - 08:30EST. Our attention was on the highs and lows, key zones that often set the stage for the Judas Swing’s liquidity sweep.
Price ran below the low at 08:35EST, taking out liquidity resting beneath those lows. This was our first signal, a potential false move designed to trap early sellers. Once that downside sweep occurred, we shifted our focus to the upside looking for buys. The key confirmation came shortly after with a clean break of structure to the upside, showing that momentum was reversing. At this point, all we needed was patience. We waited for price to retrace into the fair value gap (FVG) formed during the impulsive move up.
Once price tapped into the imbalance, we executed our long position with 1% risk, targeting a 2% reward. Initially, the market dipped slightly below our entry, testing our patience but our stop was well-placed beneath the liquidity sweep, giving the trade enough room to breathe
Within minutes, the bullish momentum kicked in. The move from discount pricing quickly turned into a strong rally as price reclaimed the earlier range and pushed firmly into premium levels.
Our target was hit decisively, delivering a +2R return in just an hour and 45 minutes. A clean execution, following the exact sequence of events the Judas Swing strategy thrives on:
1. Liquidity sweep
2. Break of structure
3. Retrace into FVG
This trade was a perfect reminder that discipline and structure always win. It’s easy to get tempted by early entries or impulsive setups, but the Judas Swing strategy continues to show that following your rules pays off
EUR/USD forms a daily range after reacting to the weekly key levThe price is reacting to the weekly key level and is forming a daily range with new structural zones. On the daily chart, we can see a break of the D FVG, which indicates the strength of the sellers. However, the price is moving into discount areas, which by themselves are zones of buyers’ interest. The key factor will be the daily candle close — if it closes above the 0.5 level of the range, it will indicate that the range has been balanced, and we can start considering long positions.
USDJPY – Yen Weakens as Japan Forms New Coalition👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on FX:USDJPY ?
At the start of the new week, USDJPY is showing interesting movements following news that Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and the Japan Innovation Party have agreed to form a coalition government. This development paves the way for Sanae Takaichi to become Japan’s first female Prime Minister, sparking market expectations of increased fiscal spending and a more accommodative monetary policy.
From a market perspective, these expectations tend to weaken the yen, as investors anticipate low interest rates to continue and ample liquidity support from the Bank of Japan.
As a result, USDJPY is likely to maintain its upward momentum, with potential for further gains if the U.S. dollar continues to be supported by higher Treasury yields and solid U.S. economic data.
What about you — do you think USDJPY will keep rising or start to fall? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Good luck!
USOIL: Buy setups during higher-timeframe correctionOIL PRICE WEEKLY OUTLOOK
(Week of Oct 20-24, 2025)
Key Drivers & Risks
Updates in Supply, Demand, and Geopolitical News
EIA (week ending Oct 10): Crude inventories +3.5 million bbl; distillates −4.5 million bbl.
IEA OMR (Oct 2025): Upgraded global supply forecast: +3.0 mb/d in 2025 and +2.4 mb/d in 2026, while demand grows only ~0.7 mb/d per year ⇒ signaling a large surplus risk and downward pressure on prices.
OPEC (Oct 2025): Maintains demand growth outlook of +1.3 mb/d for 2025, but acknowledges a smaller deficit in 2026 as OPEC+ output rises; September production increased by ~630 kb/d.
Maritime risk in the Red Sea / Gulf of Aden: Over the weekend, a gas carrier reportedly caught fire following a possible attack off Yemen’s coast, leading to higher shipping risk premiums, though no major disruption to trade flows has been reported yet.
Watchlist for the Week Ahead
EIA Weekly Report (Oct 22): Focus on crude and distillate inventories, and any signs of policy or flow adjustments.
Maritime security updates in the Red Sea / Gulf of Aden / Strait of Hormuz — monitor frequency and severity of incidents.
China data: imports, refinery runs, and inventories — potential signals of stockpiling at lower price levels.
Any notable demand-side surprises (if any emerge).
Overall View
Oil prices are expected to gradually decline within a relatively narrow range of $70–$50 through mid-2026.
Short-term rebounds may occur due to low price levels and heightened transport risk headlines.
China’s potential restocking activity could provide limited demand-side support.
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
George Vann @ ZuperView
DXY AnalysisOn the weekly chart, the price has formed a new trading range. We mark it out and move down to the daily timeframe.
After the correction, the price reacted from an inefficiency zone, showing buyer interest.
At the moment, I’m considering two bullish scenarios:
1️⃣ An impulsive breakout of the daily FVG zone followed by an expansion of the current range.
2️⃣ A reaction from the FVG zone, then a sweep of Friday’s low, after which the price could resume its upward movement.
I see the second scenario as more likely, as it would allow the market to collect liquidity before continuing higher.
Top-Down Analysis Strategy: How I Open and Manage TradesLearn how I use top-down analysis from senior to junior timeframes to find high-probability entry points and confidently follow through on trades.
On the weekly chart, I identify point A and the presumed point B — this is my idea. Then, gradually shifting through the timeframes, I need to confirm this idea. I get confirmation when volume appears on the chart.
On the daily chart, I note the formation of a new trading range, which arises as a result of the interaction of the price with the key level. I determine the POI in the form of a daily FVG — my idea is confirmed, and the price is ready to move towards point B.
I also note the daily SNR as a potential zone of interest. If the price reacts to the SNR, it will mean that I am working in a strong trend. If the reaction occurs on the FVG, the movement simply continues along the trend.
If you are interested in the topic of working in ranges, write in the comments — I will definitely cover it.
As a result of the daily SNR test, the price confirms the presence of volume through the formation of a 4-hour True SNR. You can open a position from it with a limit order with a target beyond point B and fix the risk/profit ratio at 1:2.
If you found this article interesting and my method useful, I would appreciate your support — please like, share, and help promote this article so that it reaches more traders.
Bitcoin - First Signs of the Bear AwakeningBitcoin recently swept the previous all-time high, taking liquidity from the major external range. After that sweep, price reacted sharply downward, leaving behind a significant daily imbalance. This gap is now acting as resistance, with clear rejection seen on the daily timeframe. The move signals exhaustion from buyers and an early sign that the market could be preparing for a deeper retracement phase.
Consolidation Structure
Following the rejection, Bitcoin is moving within a short-term consolidation range, sitting between the daily imbalance above and a major demand zone below. This structure represents indecision as the market transitions from expansion to a potential reaccumulation or redistribution phase. The large wick left behind during the last drop suggests that liquidity was collected below the previous range, but it remains unfilled, hinting at unfinished business in that area.
Bullish Scenario
In the short term, a bounce from the lower zone could play out as the market attempts to correct the imbalance. This would align with a 50% fill of the previous large wick, providing the liquidity needed before resuming any sustained downside movement. If buyers manage to reclaim control temporarily, the move would likely target the unfilled 4-hour gaps sitting above current price.
Bearish Scenario
However, any upside reaction is expected to face resistance at the daily imbalance. Once those 4-hour gaps are filled, the likelihood of another rejection increases. If that rejection confirms, it could trigger a larger selloff targeting the strong support area below, where the next round of liquidity rests. The reaction from that zone will determine whether the market continues lower or begins forming a new base for accumulation.
Price Target and Expectations
The ideal flow would see Bitcoin dip to fill 50% of the large wick, find temporary support, then stage one final bounce into the 4-hour imbalance zone before resuming its bearish leg. This structure keeps the overall narrative intact, combining liquidity behavior with efficient price delivery.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s current setup remains technically balanced between two key inefficiencies. A short-term bounce is likely before continuation lower, with the daily gap rejection acting as the main pivot point in this structure. Until the wick fill and 4-hour gaps are resolved, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
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Bitcoin - What to expect from this week?Introduction
This analysis examines the recent price behavior of Bitcoin against USDT on the daily timeframe. The chart highlights several key technical concepts, including a liquidity sweep at the highs, a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) acting as resistance, and the likelihood of a wick fill within a major imbalance zone. Together, these elements provide valuable insight into how institutional traders may be engineering liquidity and preparing for the next significant move. Understanding these areas can help traders anticipate high-probability reaction zones and better align with the market’s underlying structure.
Liquidity sweep
The market recently executed a liquidity sweep above previous swing highs, triggering buy stops and attracting breakout traders into the move. This sudden push to the upside was quickly rejected, signaling that smart money likely used this moment to gather liquidity and distribute positions. Liquidity sweeps often serve as the market’s way of collecting orders before a reversal or retracement, indicating that the bullish momentum may be temporarily exhausted. This event sets the stage for price to rebalance inefficiencies left behind during the rapid move.
Daily FVG resistance
Following the liquidity sweep, price left behind a clear daily Fair Value Gap, which represents an area of imbalance caused by strong displacement. This gap often acts as resistance, where price is expected to return and mitigate before potentially continuing lower. The FVG provides an ideal area for institutional traders to reposition, as it offers a point of confluence between inefficiency and structure. If price reacts bearishly within this zone, it would strengthen the bearish outlook and suggest a continuation toward lower levels.
Wick fill
The large wick seen during the recent sell-off is an important feature of this chart. Historically, big wicks tend to get filled by 50% to 65%, reflecting the market’s tendency to rebalance inefficiencies over time. The marked blue zone below shows where this fill is most likely to occur. This zone aligns closely with previous support levels and Fibonacci retracement levels, further reinforcing it as a potential area of interest. A wick fill into this region could provide liquidity for future bullish movement, allowing the market to establish a more solid foundation for the next impulsive leg upward.
Conclusion
In summary, the current daily structure of Bitcoin suggests that price has completed a liquidity sweep at the highs and is now in the process of rebalancing inefficiencies through a possible retracement. The daily Fair Value Gap above serves as a critical resistance zone where sellers may re-enter, while the wick fill area below marks a high-probability target for price to revisit before establishing new direction. Traders should monitor how price reacts to these two regions, a rejection from the FVG coupled with a move toward the wick fill zone could signal the next significant swing opportunity. In this environment, patience and precision are key, as the market seeks equilibrium before its next major directional move.
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GOLD (XAUUSD) – Smart Money Setup | Bullish Outlook Above 3985 Price is currently trading near a key FVG & Demand Zone (Fib 0.5–0.618), showing signs of potential bullish reversal.
If the structure holds above 3985–3970, buyers could target the Weekly High at 4059 after reclaiming the Previous Day High (4022).
Analysis Highlights:
HTF Bias: Bullish – Rejection from demand + liquidity sweep.
Key Levels:
Support: 3985 / 3970 / 3947
Resistance: 4022 / 4059
Trade Idea: Waiting for liquidity grab → bullish CHoCH → entry confirmation.
Target Zones: 4022 → 4059
Invalidation: Break and close below 3947 zone.
ETHUSD 30-MIN – Holding Zone Reaction Ahead BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
Market Overview
After sweeping liquidity from the upper rejection zone, ETH experienced a controlled sell-off, reaching into the strong blue holding zone. The current structure shows early signs of absorption and a potential W-shaped reversal forming. If buyers defend this area, we could see a breakout toward the 4 535 and 4 672 reaction zones. Otherwise, failure to hold this block could drive price deeper toward the yellow demand base for the next bullish reload.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1 : 4 435 | 🎯 Target 2 : 4 535 | 🎯 Target 3 : 4 672
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → 🎯 Target 1 : 4 250 | 🎯 Target 2 : 4 100 (deeper demand)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴 : 4 435 – 4 672
Support 🟢 : 4 280 – 4 100
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
Bitcoin – Short-Term Weakness, Long-Term StrengthBitcoin has recently swept the all-time high, triggering a short-term reaction from liquidity resting above that level. This move often signals that the market has completed its buy-side run and is now seeking to rebalance inefficiencies created during the aggressive push upward. The current structure indicates that price is shifting momentum in the short term, preparing for a deeper retracement before resuming its bullish trajectory.
Imbalance and Structure Shift
Following the liquidity sweep, a clear 4-hour imbalance (IFVG) has formed, acting as the first sign of bearish pressure entering the market. This inefficiency shows that the prior move lacked sufficient counter-orders, meaning price may need to return there to restore balance. The bearish move was further confirmed as price inverted a smaller 4-hour FVG, signaling a potential continuation to the downside in the short term.
Bearish Scenario
If the market continues to respect the newly formed IFVG, we could see a sustained bearish retracement develop. Price may use this imbalance as a draw, seeking to fill deeper inefficiencies left behind during the prior expansion. This corrective phase is not necessarily a trend reversal but rather a short-term redistribution phase before buyers potentially step back in from lower levels.
Bullish Scenario
Once the 4-hour fair value gap below is filled, the market could begin forming a base for a new bullish leg. The liquidity collected from the downside move and the rebalancing of inefficiencies would give price enough fuel for a strong continuation higher. Traders should look for a clean market structure shift or displacement from that demand area as the signal of renewed bullish intent.
Expectations and Outlook
In summary, Bitcoin appears to be in a healthy retracement phase after sweeping liquidity at the highs. The 4-hour imbalance provides a clear short-term target for price to seek, and once filled, the bullish structure could resume. This setup favors patience, waiting for confirmation that the downside rebalancing is complete before anticipating another impulsive rally.
Conclusion
Overall, Bitcoin’s structure suggests a temporary bearish move to fill the 4-hour FVG, followed by a potential bullish continuation once that inefficiency is resolved. Watching how price reacts upon entering that zone will be key in determining whether the next expansion phase begins.
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Bitcoin - Shortterm correction in the bullish trend!Introduction
The Bitcoin price action is currently moving within a structured range where both liquidity and fair value gaps (FVGs) are playing an important role in shaping potential market direction. By analyzing the chart, we can identify key areas of liquidity, resistance, and support that traders are likely to pay close attention to in the coming days. Understanding how price reacts around these zones will help anticipate whether bulls can maintain control or if bears will attempt to reclaim lost ground.
Upside liquidity
At the top of the range, we can see a clear liquidity area where price previously reversed. This liquidity pool represents buy-side liquidity, and the market could be drawn towards it as price seeks to sweep the highs. Liquidity is often targeted by the market before making a significant move in the opposite direction, which makes this area important to watch closely.
Resistance from the 4h and daily FVG
Before price can reach higher liquidity levels, it must contend with a strong resistance zone that overlaps with both the 4-hour and the daily fair value gap. This confluence strengthens the resistance, making it more likely that price will struggle to break through immediately. Traders will be watching for signs of rejection within this area, which could cause short-term pullbacks before any potential breakout.
4h FVG and CME gap support
On the downside, the 4-hour fair value gap aligns with the CME gap, providing a strong support level. This zone acts as an attractive area for price to retrace into before continuing higher. It is common for the market to return to such imbalances to fill inefficiencies, so a temporary dip into this support could serve as a healthy retracement before bulls attempt to push price further upward.
Bullish inversion
Another critical development is the inversion zone, where previous resistance has now flipped into support. This shift highlights that bulls are taking control of the market structure, strengthening the overall bullish outlook. As long as this inversion level holds, buyers are likely to defend it aggressively, reducing the probability of a deeper breakdown.
Final thoughts
Overall, the market remains in a bullish posture with upside liquidity acting as a magnet, but significant resistance awaits at the overlapping 4h and daily FVG. Short-term pullbacks into the 4h FVG and CME gap support are likely before the next major move upward. If the bullish inversion continues to hold, we could see a strong push towards the higher liquidity zones, potentially targeting levels beyond 117,000. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether bulls can maintain this control or if resistance proves too strong.
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USOIL: Waiting for resistance rejection & buying at support zonePlease refer to my previous higher-timeframe analyses to better follow my current outlook on USOIL.
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
sept 29: 1 loss, 2 winssept 29: 1 loss, 2 wins
I saw that price tapped the DAY FVG + EQH up there and has downtrended massively, so I looked for shorts.
Applied my AVWAPS, and my confluence filters(Orderflow+sweep+div+FVG), which was favorable so I entered.
I kinda rushed into the first trade because I woke up late, but basically would have also won there if I just plotted the AVWAP first(yeah), because if i did plot my AVWAP,
I would have seen that price has a few more pips before hitting the AVWAP line, so I could have put my entry higher and my stoploss higher.
Well I just moved my SL on the first trade, and then re-entered twice after it "respected" the AVWAP (plotted from the DAY FVG STING).
Standard 10TP5SL, and it won twice. so, good day I guess.
US30: Rebound to resistance & continue to break down
📝 1. Market Context
The SPREADEX:DJI dropped sharply from the recent high around 46,700 down to near 45,700, showing that sellers are currently in control in the short term. After this sharp decline, price is experiencing a mild recovery but still remains within a clearly defined downtrend channel and below key resistance.
🟥 2. Resistance Zone
The major resistance is located around 46,250 – 46,130 (highlighted in blue on the chart):
• This zone overlaps with the EMA and the upper band of the Keltner Channel.
• It was previously a sideways consolidation area that has now turned into resistance.
• It also intersects with the descending trendline, making a bearish rejection likely.
🟩 3. Support Zone
The nearest support lies at 45,858 – 45,748 (first pink zone).
If price breaks below this level, it is likely to continue falling toward the lower support zone at 45,520 – 45,640 (second pink zone).
🚨 4. Bearish Scenario
• Main scenario: Wait for a price pullback into the 46,250 – 46,130 area and watch for bearish signals → then SELL.
• Target: First target at 45,860 – 45,750 → if broken, expect further decline toward 45,520 – 45,640.
• Invalidation: A daily close above 46,250 would invalidate this bearish setup.
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SEPT 25: Price Stopped at Old POISEPT 25: Price Stopped at Old POI
So, I looked for my entry criterias (old sweep check, recent sweep check, divergence check, engulfing candle check, price respecting a fib level check, FVA check), and there it was, so I made my entries.
10pip tp + 5pip sl. let's see how it goes.
Sept 25: Two Trades Should Have Won If I Just...Sept 25: Two Trades Should Have Won If I Just...
Put my TP at 10 pips (100 points).
Both trades on A+ setups but failed because TP was too high.
I guess I have to adjust my 130 point standard take profit idea. It's still too high lol.
I've decided to do 50 points/5pips SL and 100 points/10pips as my standard. I think it's just enough for my strategy's "gas limits".
We'll see how it goes if this ends up making me profitable or not.
EURUSD - Bears are taking control!Introduction
This chart analysis of EUR/USD highlights key price action concepts such as liquidity grabs, fair value gaps, and inversions on the four-hour timeframe. By examining how the market has been moving recently, we can better understand where price may head next and how institutional activity could be shaping upcoming moves. The following sections break down the liquidity sweeps, the bearish and bullish setups, and the potential implications for future price direction.
Liquidity grab at the upside
The recent price movement shows a clear liquidity grab to the upside, where price aggressively pushed higher to take out resting buy stops above previous highs. This kind of move is typical of market makers and institutions seeking liquidity before reversing the price. Once those stops are cleared, the market often lacks the momentum to sustain higher levels, which can be a precursor to a reversal or deeper retracement.
Liquidity grab at the downside
After the upward liquidity sweep, the market also executed a downside liquidity grab. Price dipped lower to target sell-side liquidity, running stops beneath previous lows before showing signs of reacting. These moves are designed to trap both breakout traders and late sellers, creating the liquidity necessary for the next larger move. This back-and-forth price action emphasizes how the market often seeks liquidity in both directions before deciding on a sustained trend.
4h bearish FVG
A four-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) has formed, which acts as a strong area of imbalance where price is likely to return. This zone provides a potential entry point for institutional traders looking to short, as it represents inefficiency in the market that has yet to be filled. As long as price respects this area and reacts bearishly upon re-entry, it strengthens the case for continuation to the downside.
4h bullish inversion
At the same time, there is a four-hour bullish inversion level, where previous resistance has flipped into potential support. This area can act as a temporary base for price to consolidate or retrace before resuming its bearish trajectory. If the inversion holds, we might see short-term bullish reactions, but the broader market structure still favors sellers as long as the bearish FVG remains intact.
Final thoughts
Overall, the current EUR/USD setup suggests that the market is in the process of engineering liquidity on both sides before deciding its next major move. The upside and downside liquidity grabs confirm the presence of institutional activity, while the bearish FVG highlights a potential point of interest for further selling. The bullish inversion may offer temporary support, but the broader bias remains bearish until proven otherwise. Traders should watch how price reacts to the highlighted zones, as these areas are likely to provide the clearest signals for the next significant move.
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