NASDAQ - setting up for Bearish SetupLooking for the bearish signal or the H4/Daily time frame, might get that final push for the D extension on the weekly timeframe, opening of the week might get a small pullback then continuation to the upside. Trade will be validated only if we get bearish PA setup on the H4/Daily. Looking for the setup to create a turn shape then can look for potential entries. If price does not present a bearish setup on the H4/Daily then the plan is no longer valid.
Fvg
Bitcoin - Will the parallel channel hold?Introduction
The Bitcoin market is currently showing an interesting structure that offers both bullish and bearish possibilities. By analyzing the liquidity dynamics, the channel formation, and key areas of interest highlighted on the chart, we can gain a better understanding of the potential scenarios that may play out in the short to medium term. This analysis focuses on the recent liquidity sweep, the behavior within the rising channel, and the critical zones that could act as decision points for price movement.
Liquidity sweep above the highs
Recently, the market performed a liquidity sweep above the previous highs. This type of price action typically occurs when liquidity pools are triggered, trapping breakout traders and providing institutional players with favorable entries in the opposite direction. The sweep has set the stage for the next move, and it becomes crucial to see whether price sustains above this level or rejects it decisively.
Rising channel
Price is currently trading within a rising channel, which often acts as a short-term bullish structure but can also precede reversals if broken to the downside. The channel is providing clear levels of support and resistance, with the midline serving as a short-term equilibrium point. As long as price remains inside this channel, traders should expect oscillations between its boundaries, but any break below it could trigger a stronger move toward lower support zones.
Bearish scenario
In the event that price fails to hold within the channel, the bearish scenario points toward a retest of the lower fair value gap (FVG) around the 113,000 level. This would align with a deeper correction, offering the market a chance to rebalance inefficiencies left behind during the recent bullish rally. A sustained breakdown from the channel could accelerate selling pressure, with liquidity below key lows acting as a magnet for price.
Bullish scenario
On the other hand, if price manages to respect the rising channel and reclaim the liquidity sweep level, the bullish scenario would see a continuation toward the higher 4-hour fair value gap around 119,000–120,000. This area is a major point of interest, as it represents an unfilled imbalance that could attract buyers if momentum continues. Holding above the midline of the channel would strengthen the bullish outlook and could even lead to a retest of previous highs.
Final thoughts
Overall, the market is at a decisive stage where both bullish and bearish outcomes remain valid. The liquidity sweep has created a reaction point, and the rising channel offers a clear framework for monitoring price behavior. Traders should remain flexible and prepared for either outcome, watching closely for confirmations such as a clean break of the channel or a strong reclaim of resistance levels. Ultimately, the reaction around the current structure will determine whether Bitcoin continues higher toward the upper fair value gap or corrects lower into the demand zone below.
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BTC short trade update from last post !we see more down side? CRYPTOCAP:BTC Short Trade Update: I'm in a short position targeting a potential Monday low. As noted in my previous post, a close below 116.8K could trigger further downside. Stop loss set above the 1hr FVG at 117.2K for risk management !
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 15/09/2025The Judas Swing strategy is all about discipline, patience, and trusting the process, and this FX:EURUSD setup from Monday’s session was a perfect reminder of why sticking to the rules matters more than chasing results.
As the Judas Swing session started, FX:EURUSD gave us the first clue we look for: a liquidity sweep above the zones high. Breakout buyers jumped in, only to find themselves trapped as price quickly reversed. This was our signal to get ready. But, as always, one signal isn’t enough. We needed the next confirmation: a break of structure to the downside. Once that shift in order flow printed, the setup was officially on our radar.
Next came the waiting game. The strategy demands patience until price retraces back into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) created on the price leg that broke structure. It didn’t take long FX:EURUSD pulled back neatly, tapped into the FVG, and our entry candle closed. That was the green light.
Risk per trade: 1%
Target: 2%
Risk-to-Reward: 1:2
Checklist complete. Trade executed.
Unlike some trades where price rockets instantly, this one tested our patience. FX:EURUSD moved in our favor but reversed and even pulled against us. Momentum returned, but instead of pushing toward our 2% target, price lost steam mid-way and reversed. The result: a 1% loss
The important lesson here is that a losing trade executed according to plan is still a successful trade. We didn’t chase the liquidity sweep. We didn’t anticipate the break of structure. We didn’t force an early entry. Every box was ticked, and the trade simply didn’t play out. That’s trading. The Judas Swing isn’t about winning every setup, it’s about trusting the process over the long run. By managing risk and staying consistent, we position ourselves for sustainable growth, even when individual trades don’t hit target.
USDCHF: Looking for Shorts After Liquidity GrabMarket Context
Price swept liquidity above recent highs and quickly rejected, creating a strong bearish reaction candle. This signals potential exhaustion of the bullish pullback within the larger downtrend.
Key Technicals
Liquidity sweep above local highs
Break of structure (BOS) to the downside
Price now retracing back into a supply zone
Supply zone aligns with the 50–61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Previous daily low (PDL) sits as a clear downside target
Trade Plan
Wait for price to retrace into the marked 1H supply zone (green box)
Look for rejection or bearish confirmation candle
Short only if price reacts cleanly from the zone and holds below the BOS
Target: Previous daily low (PDL)
Invalidation: Clean close above the liquidity sweep high
Psychology Note
Stay patient, the best trades often form after the stop hunts. Emotional chasing after big red candles leads to losses. Think like a pro: react to your levels, not to fear of missing out.
Perfect Setup AnatomyPERFECT SETUP ANATOMY: Sept 17, 2025
OBVIOUS LIQUIDITY SWEEP(SSL) AREA, OF COURSE PRICE WILL TAKE IT OUT LOL.
i THOUGHT ABOUT PUTTING AN ENTRY HERE JUST IN CASE MY INITIAL FVA RESPECT
ENTRY WAS TAKEN OUT, BUT I WAS OFF THE PC BY THAT TIME SO I DIDN'T.
WELL, THERE WAS A BULLISH DIV + SWEEP + FVA RESPECT AT THIS POINT,
SO I DID WHAT ANY SANE PERSON WOULD DO, RE-ENTER.
Price moved as follows:
1.) TRENDLINE LIQUIDITY GATHERING
2.) ACCUMULATION BEFORE TRENDLINE BREAKOUT. This is where sweep+div+cisd+fvg+fva happened. "PDA accumulation"
3.) FVA RESPECT/RE-TEST
4.) PRICE HITS ORIGINAL DAY EQH TARGET
5.) I SHOULD HAVE PUT THIS ON 1:3RR,
BUT I'M GOING TO TRY 1:1RR FIRST
(TO INCREASE WINRATE = INCREASE CONFIDENCE IN THE STRATEGY),
WITH A TRAILING STOP THAT STARTS AT 1.5RR USING MT5.
LOGIC IS, SO IT FULL TPs AT 1RR MINIMUM,
AND RIDE THE TREND IF THE PRICE RUNS FARTHER.
-
so, here's what's required again for a trade to start being considered:
0. HTF Target (EQH/EQL) + HTF OF Alignment
1. Previous Orderflow Liquidity Sweep
2. Accumulation of BUY/SELL Arguments (Trendline Liquidity & FVA = recent sweep+div+CISD+FVG) / PDA ACCUMULATION
3. Respect of FVA
4. Entry
Bias - uptrend, day eqh
Narrative - sting into htf fvg = ltf ssl
Context - ssl to eqh
Entry - fva respect & retest
Bitcoin - Daily Gap Inversion Aligns with UptrendBitcoin recently made a push higher that cleared local highs and swept liquidity above the previous range. This move created a temporary fake out before price sharply retraced, filling inefficiencies left behind in the market. After completing this corrective move, price has begun reclaiming structure and is now respecting higher timeframe demand zones.
Daily Structure
The daily chart continues to show a clean uptrend, with higher lows forming along the rising trendline. After the liquidity sweep, price retraced to test key imbalances and has since confirmed a bullish shift by inverting a daily gap. This gap has been retested multiple times, suggesting it is holding firm as support and reinforcing the bullish continuation bias.
Liquidity Dynamics
The sweep of liquidity at the highs cleared buy-side pressure, resetting the market. This type of liquidity event often precedes sustained directional moves as the market seeks out new inefficiencies and liquidity pools. For now, downside liquidity has been satisfied and the path of least resistance appears to be higher.
Upside Scenarios
If the inverted daily gap continues to hold, price could target the major resistance block above 120,000 USDT. This zone aligns with the previous rejection area, where liquidity remains untested. Any approach into this resistance will be key to monitor for continuation or rejection.
Downside Risk
Should Bitcoin lose the daily inverted gap and trendline support, further retracement toward 111,000 to 112,000 USDT becomes possible, where a deeper liquidity pocket and structural support remain. Until then, the higher low structure remains intact.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has absorbed liquidity, filled inefficiencies, and inverted a daily gap that is now holding as support. Combined with the ongoing daily uptrend, this strengthens the bullish outlook with a clear target toward the 120,000 USDT resistance zone.
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SOL — Bulls Need to Defend $230 for ContinuationSOL had a strong bullish week, almost tapping the $250 psychological level before rejecting down into the monthly level at $231.77, where price found support and bounced. This level also aligned with the 1.272 Fib extension ($231.96), making it a valid long opportunity.
🟢 Next Long Opportunity
The 0.382 Fib retracement ($230.39) of the move from the $199.32 low is the next key level to watch.
A retest here would:
Sweep liquidity from the current low
Offer a low-risk entry
Help fill some imbalances
📌 Overall, $230 is the level that must hold for bullish continuation.
Targets
TP1: $238 → R:R ~1:3
TP2: $252.91 (0.786 Fib retracement) → R:R ~1:8+ if momentum continues
Risk Management
Stop-Loss: Below $229 (clear invalidation)
Risk: Only 1% on this trade setup
Quick Take
If $230 holds, SOL could set up for another leg higher. This zone offers a clean, low-risk, high-reward long setup with clearly defined invalidation and attractive targets.
Swing Setup: (1D+4H) POI + 5min DIVERGENCE + FVA RESPECT So I did my top down analysis, saw a 1D FVG and price respected it, so I looked for divergences and i found it on the 5min, saw price made an FVA and displaced through it so I decided it was time to enter that because a 4H and 1D FVG is a strong POI, and the fact that price did not burst through it meant it was getting respected.
So I think it was at this time that I saw the FVA has formed and has been respected so I looked for an entry.
For the actual entry, I think there was a small bullish FVG there above the FVA so I took that.
Since price was at a 1D + 4H FVG, I considered it as the Internal Range Liquidity(IRL) and therefore targeted the External Range Liquidity (ERL). I put my SL quite far, at the bottom of this sting into the FVG. It got me 2.8RR I think, and that's good enough.
I made this trade on friday, and it only resolved the next trading day, which was monday.
TL;DR, 4H and above POI(IRL), once you see it getting respected (with an FVA + FVG), take it as a sign, enter without hesitation, and target the ERL.
NAS100 Buy Entry’s Clean, R:R 2.00 — Setup Locked & Loaded!Hey traders,
Here’s my NAS100 setup based on the 1-hour chart:
🟢 Buy Entry: 23998.77
🔴 Stop Loss: 23884.81
🎯 TP1: 24045.42
🎯 TP2: 24097.67
🎯 TP3: 24225.56
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.00
Every like you drop is pure fuel for me to keep sharing these setups.
Big thanks to everyone standing by and showing support.
Bitcoin - Heading lower after hitting resistance?Introduction
Looking at the current 4-hour Bitcoin chart, we can see that price action is moving into a crucial zone. After a strong upward move, Bitcoin has reached an area of resistance where multiple factors align, making it an important level to watch. The chart highlights fair value gaps (FVGs) both above and below, which are key points that could influence the next move. By analyzing these areas, we can form a clearer idea of the potential short-term trend and what traders might expect in the coming days.
Bearish 4h FVG resistance and liquidity grab
At the moment, price is testing a strong resistance level, which coincides with a 4-hour fair value gap. This area has already absorbed much of the short-side liquidity, meaning that stop losses from traders positioned against the uptrend have been triggered. This liquidity grab often signals exhaustion in the upward move and can serve as the starting point for a retracement. The resistance zone is proving to be difficult to break, and if the market fails to hold above it, we could see a shift in momentum toward the downside.
4h bullish FVG to hold
Just below the current price, there is a 4-hour bullish fair value gap that could act as support in the short term. If buyers step in and defend this area, it may temporarily stabilize the market and create a bounce. However, if this support fails to hold, it would open the path for further downside movement. The chart suggests that a break below this level would likely drive Bitcoin toward the next major target around the $112,000 region. This makes the bullish FVG a key decision point for the market.
Target for the short
If Bitcoin cannot sustain its position above the highlighted resistance zone, the downside target becomes more clear. The lower 4-hour fair value gap, sitting closer to $112,000, is marked as the target for the short. This is where price is likely to be drawn in order to rebalance inefficiencies left behind in the chart. Traders looking for bearish opportunities would see this as the logical area to aim for, as the market often gravitates toward unfilled gaps after liquidity grabs at the top.
Final thoughts
In conclusion, Bitcoin is currently at a critical point. The resistance area combined with the 4-hour FVG has absorbed liquidity, creating the possibility for a downward move. The short-term bullish FVG below is the level to watch, as a break here could confirm bearish continuation toward $112,000. On the other hand, if buyers manage to hold the current support, the structure may remain intact and prevent deeper downside. Overall, the chart suggests that the path of least resistance may now be lower, unless the market proves otherwise by breaking convincingly above resistance.
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Bitcoin - Clearing the Gaps on the Way to 117kBitcoin continues to respect the ascending channel on the 4H chart, showing steady higher highs and higher lows with clean structure. Price has been climbing with solid bullish momentum, and each retracement so far has been contained within the channel. This gives us a clear framework to track both short-term pullbacks and the next potential leg higher.
Channel Dynamics
The channel is holding perfectly, with both the upper and lower bounds being respected almost to the point. As long as price trades within this structure, the bias remains bullish. A deep pullback into the lower side of the channel would not necessarily invalidate the setup, but we should avoid closing below the last key demand zone if we want to keep the bullish structure intact.
Fair Value Gaps Below
Before continuing higher, Bitcoin may dip back into inefficiencies left behind. A key fair value gap sits below around the 111,700–112,300 region, aligning with prior support. Price filling this gap would be healthy for the structure, giving bulls a better base to push from. If price respects that level, the probability of a continuation toward the channel highs increases significantly.
Bullish and Bearish Scenarios
On the bullish side, if we hold the demand zone and reclaim the blue structure line, price should attempt to sweep short-term highs and extend into the upper channel boundary. A clean break above would open the door to the red supply zone around 117,000–118,000. On the bearish side, any decisive close below the purple fair value gap would shift momentum and put pressure on the lower channel boundary, signaling weakness and invalidating the immediate bullish scenario.
Price Target and Expectations
If the structure continues to play out, I expect Bitcoin to first dip into the imbalance below, find support, then make another leg higher toward 116,500–118,000. This area is a logical liquidity pool where stops above recent highs are clustered, and also aligns with a major supply zone. That zone should be closely monitored for reactions and potential reversals.
Conclusion
Bitcoin remains in a constructive bullish channel, but gaps below need to be addressed before a push into higher liquidity levels. I will be looking for a retracement into the imbalance to set the stage for a continuation higher into the upper red supply zone. As long as we hold above the key demand region, the bullish play remains valid.
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USDCHF – Liquidity Sweep + FVG Entry (Counter-Trend Long to PDH)Idea:
Price swept previous day’s low (PDL), tapping into an Extreme Daily POI.
We then saw a CHOCH on LTF, confirming rejection.
A clean 5M FVG entry formed, giving a precise long setup.
Bias: Intraday bullish (HTF still bearish).
Entry: 5M FVG inside Daily POI.
SL: Below swept low.
TP1: 2R (partial exit).
TP2: Previous Day High (PDH liquidity magnet).
Notes:
This is a buy-to-sell setup — valid for intraday longs up into PDH, but watch for shorts if HTF structure rejects at PDH.
Bullish Setup Forming: Approaching Untested FVG + Oversold RSIACHR is setting up for a potential bounce based on multiple confluences:
Price is heading straight into a fair value gap that was never tested — could be a solid bounce spot;
Daily RSI is oversold (~32), often a sign the move down is stretched;
It’s also right on top of a rising trendline that has held for almost a year;
Volume is drying up, which might mean sellers are losing steam;
🎯 First target: $10.91
🏁 Final target: $12.00
❌ Stop-loss: just under the FVG zone, in case it breaks down.
Watching closely 👀
And remember: respect both your stop loss and position sizing.
1:18RR long position goldi had a successful scalp and executed good entries on the fvg and trend liquidity on gold during asians session today but with the scalp the idea was to secure profits at the PDH/ATH while i wait for NY / London session to see if gold will continue to rise like a rocket.
the whole idea here is the long position the bigger picture because with the technical analyses my anticipation has always been to see gold rising till infinity to start with $3500 and $3700.
do you think gold prices will increases to the final key levels?
Gold Futures Short Into Asia 9/7/25Based on the current Fair Value Gap (FVG), Order Block (OB), and the liquidity resting below, I anticipate gold will retrace toward the Point of Control (POC) identified on the volume profile. This would provide an ideal setup for short-term selling opportunities during tonight’s PM session.
My expectation is for price to open lower, push into the 3658 range, and present a bearish entry signal. From there, I’ll be targeting shorts toward the equilibrium of the FVG around 3619, which also aligns closely with previous session highs and lows—adding confluence to the setup.
USDCAD bearish possibility There are a two bottom liquidity's not sweep, so it's mean the price should go down to sweep their liquidity . Also maybe we will have a head & shoulder pattern
Also, when the price going to sweep liquidity, there is FVG that must be visited, which confirms the process of liquidity sweep.
Let's see what will happen, and will update later
USDT.D — 1W FVG Test & RSI Bull Div | Caution for RiskUSDT Dominance is testing a major 1W FVG support area while developing bullish divergences on the 4H RSI. Although a short-term bounce and market correction are likely, the overall bullish trend in BTC means a sharp reversal is not guaranteed. Risk management is a priority here — no high-risk positions until the RSI resets and market context is clearer.
1W FVG support + 4H RSI bull div
Bounce likely = correction on risk assets
RSI needs reset to 50 before reassessing
If lost — risk-off, possible slice down
Reasoning: Support + momentum, but trend is bullish — not risking gains here
Long from accumulation range: targets 1.50 → 2.35 (Weekly FVG)Price is sitting at the upper edge of the 0.78–0.83 accumulation. Above, unfilled FVG clusters on D1/W1 act as magnets; the first target is 1.50, then 2.00–2.35 (Weekly FVG). VPVR shows the main volume base at 0.70–0.83.
Idea
Counter-trend long from range support with base R/R ≈ 3.7. Expectation: liquidity sweep to the upside and FVG fills.
Trade Plan (laddered limits)
Entries: 0.820 (40%), 0.780 (30%), 0.650 (30%)
Hard stop (invalidation): 0.611
TP1: 1.500 (take 50%)
TP2: 2.350 (leave 50%)
Risk / Reward
Max risk to stop: −23.63% from 0.800 → 0.611.
Upside: +87.5% to 1.50 and +193.8% to 2.35.
Base R/R ≈ 3.7.
Management
After 1.00–1.05, move stop to breakeven (avg entry). After TP1, trail under the latest H4/D1 HL and hold for the Weekly FVG 2.00–2.35.
Key Levels
Support: 0.83 / 0.78 / 0.72–0.70 / 0.65
Resistance: 1.00 / 1.20–1.35 / 1.50 / 1.95 / 2.35
Confirmation Triggers
H4/D1 close above 0.90–1.00 (fresh HH)
Impulsive move from 0.78–0.83 with volume and absorption of the last bearish block
Alternative (bearish)
Clean break and acceptance below 0.611 cancels the idea; wait for a new base/re-accumulation.
Risks
Meme coins are prone to sharp liquidity flushes; use strict position sizing and respect the stop.